2560 E conomics and Climate Change: From …utcc2.utcc.ac.th/utccjournal/373/143_167.pdfq × | pm×...

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143 sj jmÔ© ¡~צpm~× Ë r ¥}jjwm j 2560 conomics and Climate Change: From Concept and Analytical Tools to Public Policy in Agriculture Nirote Sinnarong 1,* E Abstract Climate change is a key issue in socio-economic development, which gains attention globally, particularly in agricultural economic planning and development for economic, social, and environment balance and sustainability. This article aims to review crucial concepts embracing climate change, econometrics tools for studying the effect of climate change on agricultural production, and agricultural public policy frameworks. Evidences show that applied econometrics is a tool for studying the effect of climate change agricultural production that provides empirical information for agricultural policy planning. Policy frameworks have to cover the awareness of weather variables and agricultural production, the reduction of greenhouse gas emission, and the adaptation to mitigate the impact of future climate change. These require cooperation of all stakeholders in the society, ranging from national to local levels, in order for adaptations to be posed as core components of sustainable agricultural development strategy within the context of climate change. Keywords: climate change, adaptation, econometrics, public policy, agriculture 1 Applied Economics Program, Maejo University, Chiangmai, Thailand * Corresponding author. E-mail: nirote1980@gmail.com

Transcript of 2560 E conomics and Climate Change: From …utcc2.utcc.ac.th/utccjournal/373/143_167.pdfq × | pm×...

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143

2560

conomics and Climate Change: From Concept and Analytical Tools to Public Policy in Agriculture

Nirote Sinnarong1,*

E

Abstract

Climate change is a key issue in socio-economic development, which gains attention globally, particularly in agricultural economic planning and development for economic, social, and environment balance and sustainability. This article aims to review crucial concepts embracing climate change, econometrics tools for studying the effect of climate change on agricultural production, and agricultural public policy frameworks. Evidences show that applied econometrics is a tool for studying the effect of climate change agricultural production that provides empirical information for agricultural policy planning. Policy frameworks have to cover the awareness of weather variables and agricultural production, the reduction of greenhouse gas emission, and the adaptation to mitigate the impact of future climate change. These require cooperation of all stakeholders in the society, ranging from national to local levels, in order for adaptations to be posed as core components of sustainable agricultural development strategy within the context of climate change.

Keywords: climate change, adaptation, econometrics, public policy, agriculture

1 Applied Economics Program, Maejo University, Chiangmai, Thailand* Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

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1,*

1

* Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

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)

y = f(x,v)

x

v

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yit = f(x

itk ik) + u

it

yit

xit

ik

uit

i t

k

(uit)

2itu

2( ) ( , )it itk ikE u f x b

uit

E(uit) = f(x

itk ik)

y (x,v)

y (x,v) = f1 1

) + u

f1 1

) = E[y(x,v)]

u = y (x,v) - f1(x,

1)

y (x,v)

2

2

_

_

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E {[y (x,v) – f1 1

)]m x} = fm m

),

m = 2, 3

m y x,v)

yit

= f1(x

itk k) + u

it = f

1(x

itk,

1k) + f

2(x

itk,

2k)1/2

.it

yit

i t

xitk

i t k

f1(x

itk k)

uit = f

2(x

itk,

2k)1/2 .

it

f1 1

)

f2 2

)

f3 3

)

(uit)3 = f

3(x

itk,

3k) + e

it

eit

, Ü

uit

uit

uit

uit

2

3

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Approaches)

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