2013. 2. 1. Position (consolidated) End of 2012 End of 2011 Changes Ratio Current Asset 3,365.4...
Transcript of 2013. 2. 1. Position (consolidated) End of 2012 End of 2011 Changes Ratio Current Asset 3,365.4...
Disclaimer
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This presentation is for informational purposes only, contains preliminary financial and other information about Korean Air Lines Co., Ltd. and is subject to updating, revision, amendment and completion. This presentation does not and is not intended to constitute or contain any offer of securities for sale or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities of Korean Air Lines Co., Ltd. or any other company and neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. Certain statements contained in this presentation may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements in this presentation. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, including without limitation, statements referring to risk limitations, operational profitability, financial strength, performance targets, profitable growth opportunities, and risk adequate pricing, the words "may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, or continue", "potential, future, or further", and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Korean Air Lines Co., Ltd. assumes no obligation to update or revise any such statements or any other information contained herein to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation.
Financial Position (consolidated)
End of 2012 End of 2011 Changes Ratio
Current Asset 3,365.4 3,350.2 15.2 0.5%
Cash & Cach Equivalent 1,465.5 1,465.7 -0.2 -
Non Current Asset 19,617.6 19,038.2 579.4 3.0%
Aircraft related asset 11,776.9 11,186.7 590.2 5.3%
Investment in Associates 2,566.8 2,612.3 -45.5 -1.7%
Total Assets 22,983.0 22,388.4 594.6 2.7%
Financial Liabilities 15,206.9 15,325.4 -118.5 -0.8%
Current 4,114.4 4,639.8 -525.4 -11.3%
Non Current 11,092.5 10,685.6 406.9 3.8%
Other Liabilities 4,866.3 4,294.0 572.3 13.3%
Total Liabilities 20,073.2 19,619.4 453.8 2.3%
Total Equity 2,909.8 2,769.0 140.8 5.1%
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(Unit : KRW Billion)
Income Statement (consolidated)
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4Q 2012 4Q 2011 Changes 2012 2011 Changes
Operating Income 3,083.5 3,190.6 -3.4% 12,728.0 12,269.1 3.7%
Operating Expense 3,101.1 3,113.6 -0.4% 12,405.6 11,808.9 5.1%
Operating Profit -17.6 77.0Turn to
loss322.4 460.2 -29.9%
Non Operating
Profit257.0 -24.3 125.9 720.6
Foreign Currency
related gains, net473.5 140.2 695.4 -261.7
Interest Expense, net 121.9 133.3 530.5 535.2
Equity method gain,
net-26.1 45.7 92.2 221.9
Income before tax 239.4 52.7 354.3% 448.3 -260.4Turn to
profit
Net Income 140.3 44.5 215.3% 256.4 -199.8Turn to
profit
(Unit : KRW Billion)
Income Statement (non consolidated)
4Q 2012 4Q 2011 Changes 2012 2011 Changes
Operating Income 2,977.4 3,062.1 0.0 12,263.9 11,805.3 3.9%
Operating Expense 2,991.3 2,985.3 0.0 11,992.3 11,411.2 5.1%
Operating Profit -13.9 76.8Turn to
loss271.6 394.1 -31.1%
Non Operating
profit311.4 -42.6 123.9 -837.1
Forign currency
related gains, net474.5 139.6 696.2 -262.0
Interest Expense, net 109.0 117.5 463.3 469.0
Income before tax 297.5 34.2 7.7 395.5 -443.0Turn to
Profit
Net Income 220.8 58.2 2.8 259.6 -301.1Turn to
Profit
5
(Unit : KRW Billion)
Borrowings (non consolidated)
※ Applied FX rate(USD) : as of YE 2012 (KRW 1,071.1, JPY: 85.86, EUR: 0.76)
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Balance
(Billion)Ratio
Balance
(Billion)Ratio
Balance
(Billion)Ratio
USD $74.1 57.7% $73.5 60.1% $0.60 0.8%
KRW ₩4,860 35.3% ₩4,413 33.6% ₩447 10.1%
JPY ¥76 6.9% ¥65 6.2% ¥11 16.9%
EUR € 6 million 0.1% € 8 million 0.1% -€2 million -25.0%
Total
(KRW)₩13,754 100% ₩13,590 100% ₩164 1.2%
As of Dec 31, 2012 As of Sep 30, 2012 Changes
Domestic Passenger
4.5%
Int’l Passenger 56.4%
Cargo 26.5%
Others 7.5%
(In-flight sales, etc.)
Aerospace 4.0%
Catering 0.7%
Hotel /Limousine
0.4%
Revenue Composition
4Q Operating revenue: KRW 2.977 trillion
여객
※ Non consolidated
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Passenger Traffic
8
4Q 2012 4Q 2011 YOY 4Q 2012 4Q 2011 YOY
Supply
(Mil ASK)21,117 21,081 0.2% 863 1,000 -13.7%
Oct 7,011 7,134 -1.7% 325 349 -7.0%
Nov 6,762 6,717 0.7% 274 324 -15.3%
Dec 7,345 7,230 1.6% 264 328 -19.3%
Traffic
(Mil RPK)16,167 15,783 2.4% 612 688 -11.1%
Oct 5,528 5,481 0.9% 253 262 -3.6%
Nov 5,079 4,925 3.1% 200 226 -11.5%
Dec 5,560 5,377 3.4% 159 200 -20.6%
L/F(%) 76.6% 74.9% 2.3%p 70.9% 68.8% 2.1%p
Yield (US Cent) 9.5 9.2 3.3% 19.7 17.7 11.3%
Int'l Passenger Domestic Passenger
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
85.0%
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4(mil RPK)
International Passenger Trend International Passenger hit the historically high L/F and RPK for 4Q.
72%
75% 77%
75%
RPK(left)
L/F(right)
9
2009 2010 2011 2012
Domestic
7%
Japan
12% China
11%
SEA
18%
Oceania
5%
Americas
32%
Europe
15%
4Q 2012
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Domestic Japan China SEA Oceania Americas Europe
4Q 2012
4Q 2011
Passenger revenue by route operation
[Unit : billion]
Domestic
8%
Japan
16% China
11%
SEA
15%
Oceania
5%
Americas
32%
Europe
13%
4Q 2011
10
Passenger revenue by regional sales
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Korea Japan China SEA Americas Europe
4Q 2012
4Q 2011
[unit : billion]
Korea
44%
Japan
14%
China
8%
SEA
9%
Americas
19%
Europe
6%
4Q 2012
Korea
41%
Japan
18%
China
7%
SEA
8%
Americas
19%
Europe
7%
4Q 2011
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Passenger Business Overview & 2013 Business Plan
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4Q Business Summary
Traffic increased in all routes : SEA 12%↑, Europe 8%↑, China 6%↑, Oceania 14%↓, Japan 9%↓ Americas 1%↓
Korea outbound traffic increased 9%, Overseas outbound decreased 4%
( Korea Inbound : 16%↓, Transit : 10%↑)
2013 Business Plan
Global air travel demand is projected to grow by 5.1% in 2013.(IATA) (Asia region 8%↑, Korea market 7%↑)
Despite high fuel price and expansion of LCC, demand in Asia region is expected to consistently grow.
New route : ICN - Colombo/Male (3 flights per week) Frequency Increase : ICN - Narita/Xiamen/Dalian/Dallas/Seattle/ Toronto/Paris Busan – Narita
Cargo Traffic
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4Q 2012 4Q 2011 Changes
Supply (Mil AFTK) 2,721 3,028 -10.1%
Oct 953 1,040 -8.3%
Nov 905 995 -9.0%
Dec 863 993 -13.1%
Traffic (Mil FTK) 2,122 2,288 -7.2%
Oct 733 789 -7.1%
Nov 712 746 -4.6%
Dec 677 753 -10.1%
L/F(%) 78.0% 75.6% 2.4%p
Yield (US Cent) 31.3 31.5 -0.6%
Cargo (Domestic + International)
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
2,900
1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4
Cargo Traffic Trend
4Q 2012 cargo traffic(FTK) was decreased by 7%(yoy).
(million FTK)
FTK(left)
L/F(right)
76%
2009 2010 2011 2012
14
76%
78%
76%
Maintain Load Factor by capacity control.
0
100
200
300
Domestic Japan China SEA Oceania Americas Europe
4Q 2012
4Q 2011
[unit : billion]
Cargo revenue by route operation
Domestic
1% Oceania
1% Japan
5%
China
11%
SEA
13%
Americas
40%
Europe
29%
4Q 2012
Domestic
1% Oceania
1%
Japan 6%
China
11%
SEA
13%
Americas
36%
Europe
32%
4Q 2011
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Cargo revenue by Regional Sales
0
100
200
300
Korea Japan China SEA Americas Europe
4Q 2012
4Q 2011
Korea
32%
Japan
8%
China
25%
SEA
14%
Americas
10%
Europe
10%
4Q 2012
Korea
33%
Japan
12% China
20%
SEA
14%
Americas
11%
Europe
11%
4Q 2011
16
[unit : billion]
Cargo Business Overview & 2013 Business Plan
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4Q Business Summary
Korea outbound shipment decreased by 5%.
Transit shipment decreased by 7% (Americas 16%↑, Japan 28%↓)
Traffic shrunk due to weak economic recovery, relocation of manufacturing facilities abroad.
Ensure profitability with cost cutting by capacity control, focusing on the sales of high margin products (eg. perishables or medicines) and so on.
2013 Business Plan
Global air cargo demand is projected to be increased by 2% in 2013(IATA).
Increase margins with sales growth in Asia region and reorganizing of network.
Exploitation of new markets such as South America/MEA.
Fuel
39.2%
Labor
14.0%
Depreciation
12.8%
Airport
related
9.7%
In-flight service 3.3%
Sales Commission
2.8%
Maintenance 3.5%
Rentals
1.7%
Others
13.0%
영업수익 x억원 4Q 2012
(KRW 2,991 billion)
4Q 2011
(KRW 2,985 billion)
Operating Expense Breakdown [non consolidated]
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Fuel
40.7%
Labor
13.5%
Depreciation
12.0%
Airport
related
10.4%
Maintenance 0.9%
In-flight service 3.3%
Sales Commission
3.5%
Rentals 2.0%
Others
13.7%
(Unit: KRW billion)
Key Expense
19
* Include : 7 A/C subleased to JIN Air
** Include 3 A/C rented out
4Q 2012 4Q 2011 Changes
Fuel 1,172 1,215 -3.5%
Consumption(million bbl.) 796 826 -3.6%
Average Unit Price(U$/bbl.) 134.0 129.2 3.7%
Labor 419 403 4.0%
Aircraft Rental 339 427 -20.6%
No. of A/C(as end of 3Q)* 21 22 -1
Aircraft Depreciation 359 337 6.5%
No. of A/C(as end of 3Q)** 135 127 +8
2013 Business Plan & Key Assumptions
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2012 2013 Changes(yoy)
Operating Revenue 12,263.9 13,070.0 7%
Operating Expence 11,992.2 12,410.0 3%
Operating Profit 271.6 660.0 143%
Unit 2012 2013
Fuel Into plane USD/bbl. 132 134
FX rate KRW/USD KRW 1,127 1,100
Interest
Rate3M Libor % 0.48 0.50
Description
※ Non-consolidated
(unit : KRW billion)
6
7
8
9
2012 2013
50
55
60
65
70
75
2012 2013
2013 Supply & Traffic Plan
2013 Plan YOY
Supply
(mil Km) 91,014 3.1%
Traffic
(mil Km) 71,538 3.9%
L/F 78.6% 0.7%p
Supply
(mil ton Km) 10,702 -1.2%
Traffic
(mil ton Km) 8,467 2.1%
L/F 79.1% 2.6%p
Passenger
Cargo
Description
3.9% ↑
2.1% ↑
21
billion Km
billion Km
0
1
2
2012 2013
2013 CAPEX & Fleet Utilization Plan
Description2012
(Assupmtions)2013 Changes
Aircraft 1,486.5 1,702.0 14%
Project 160.0 213.0 33%
Total 1,646.5 1,915.0 16%
22
(unit : KRW billion) (trillion)
Description 2012 2013 Changes
Passenger 119 119 -
Cargo 27 27 -
Total 146 146 -
62
96 105
119 119
10
16 24
27 27
0
50
100
150
1990 2000 2010 2012 2013
Freighter
Passenger
16%↑
Project
Aircraft
(no. of A/C) (as of end of the year)
Fleet Type Status Delivery plan for 2013
A380 6 2
A330 23 1
A300 3
B747 15
B777 32 2
B737 40 2
Passenger Total 119 7
B747F 23
B747-8F 2 1
B777F 2 1
Cargo Total 27 2
Total 146 9
23 ※ Fleet rented out to Jin Air & Uzbekistan Airways are excluded from the chart
Fleet Status
(as 2012 year end)