2012 Political Landscape
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Transcript of 2012 Political Landscape
2012 PoliticalLandscape
2012 SENATE DEMOCRATIC DASHBOARDSAFE
DPROBABLY
D???????? PROBABLY
RSAFE
RFeinstein
CarperHawaii-Open
CardinKlobucharMenendezGillibrand
WhitehouseSanders
Connecticut-Open
StabenowCasey
CantwellBrown
Manchin
McCaskillTester
New Mexico-Open
Virginia-OpenWisconsin-Open
Nelson (FL)
North Dakota-Open
Nelson (NE)
NINE SIX SIX TWO ZERO
2012 SENATE REPUBLICAN DASHBOARD
SAFE D
PROBABLY D
????????? PROBABLY R
SAFE R
HellerBrown
Arizona-OpenLugar
SnoweTexas-Open
WickerCorker
Hatch- seatBarasso
Nebraska-Open
ZERO ZERO TWO FOUR FIVE
Democrats need a gain of 26 seats in the House to win the Majority.
33 Seats being vacated (20D, 13R). Dem gains likely; Dem takeover highly
unlikely.
192242
1
DemocratRepublicanVacancy
Current Divide
Running for Senate (6D,
5R)
Running for Other Office
(2D, 2R)
Retiring (9D, 5R)
Resigned (3D, 1R)
The Fight for 218 Votes in the House
States to Watch
Florida: Adding 2 (likely Dem) seats
Illinois: Losing 1 seat, but Rs losing advantage in three more
California: No new seats, but Dems likely gain advantage in at least 2 R seats
North Carolina: No new seats, but Rs gaining advantage in at least 3 seats
Who Controls Re-Districting? (By District)
Republicans: 202Democrats: 47Bi-Partisan: 92Divided: 87At Large: 7
Redistricting Impact on 2012 House Elections
AR 4 (Open) NC 11 (Schuler) AZ 9 (NEW)
CA 21 (Open) NC 13 (Open) NV 4 (NEW)
GA 12 (Barrow) NY 1 (Bishop) SC 7 (NEW)
IN 2 (Open) NY 23 (Owens) WA 10 (NEW)
KY 6 (Chandler) PA 12 (Crtiz v Altmire)
NC 7 (McIntyre) OK 2 (Open)
NC 8 (Kissell) UT 4 (Matheson)
Republican House Targets: Vulnerable Democratic Seats
CA 19 (Denham) NH 1 (Guinta) PA 8 (Fitzpatrick)
FL 22 (West) NH 2 (Bass) PA 7 (Meehan)
IL 13 (Biggert) NJ 3 (Runyan) PA 11 (Barletta)
IL 10 (Dold) NY 13 (Grimm) TX 23 (Conseco)
IL 17 (Schilling) OH 18 (Gibbs) VA 2 (Rigell)
IA 3 (Latham) OH 6 (Johnson) WI 7 (Duffy)
NV 3 (Heck) OH 16 (Renacci)
Democratic House Targets: Vulnerable Republican Seats