October 2011

2012 - 2015 Strategic Plan Launch

What We Will Cover Today • Thank you for taking the time to be here today!

• Input into Strategic Planning Cycle

• Major issues currently facing community colleges nationally and state wide

• Changes in the County in the past ten years

• CCC comparison on recruitment, student performance, retention and completion

• CCC trends in modes of instruction

National Scene

National Scene

• Data-driven decisions

• College Readiness

• Economic Development

• Higher Education Completion

• Workforce Readiness

Lumina’s big goal: To increase the proportion of Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by the year 2025

The Big Goal

• Critical Outcome 1: Preparation

Students are prepared academically, financially and socially for success in education beyond high school.

• Critical Outcome 2: Success

Higher education attainment rates are improved significantly.

• Critical Outcome 3: Productivity

Higher education productivity is increased to expand capacity and serve more students.

20 year Educational Pendulum Technical training vs liberal education (now both): •Logic & empathy •Focus & synthesis •Skills & meaning •Depth & breadth

Public community colleges had the greatest enrollment increase in 2009

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Research Master's Community College

Mill

ion

s o

f St

ud

en

ts

99

04

08

09

Delta Cost Project, IPEDS database, 1987-2009, unmatched set, as published in Trends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation

Comparison of Costs per Student FTE Nationally and at CCC

Public Community Colleges - 2009

Coconino Community College -2010

Instruction $5,103 (1) $3,179 (1)

Research $64 $0

Student services $1,258 (3) $800 (3)

Public service $351 $79

Academic support $990 (5) $767 (4)

Institutional support $1,842 (2) $1,926 (2)

Operation and maintenance of plant

$1,224 (4) $654 (5)

Delta Cost Project IPEDS database, 1987-2009, 11-year match set as published in Trends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation and CCC Comprehensive Annual Financial Report, 2010

State Scene

A Decade of Change Demographics and Economics

Population Growth

134,421 116,320

0

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

2010 2000

Coconino County Grew by 15.6% or 18,101 residents

* Arizona grew by 25%

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Population Change by Ethnicity

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

2010

2000

Native American and Hispanics increase by 9,000 residents

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Population Change by Age

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Under5

years

5 to 9years

10 to14

years

15 to19

years

20 to24

years

25 to34

years

35 to44

years

45 to54

years

55 to59

years

60 to64

years

65 to74

years

2009

2000

About 5,000 more college going age adults now than in 2000

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Median Household Income

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Coconino 2000

Coconino 2009

Arizona 2000

Arizona 2009

U.S. 2000

U.S. 2009

County resident income gap persists at $3,166 less than U.S. median

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Workforce Employment

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Private wage andsalary workers

Government workers Self-employedworkers in own not

incorporated business

2009

2000

Private jobs increased by almost 7,000 positions

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Workforce by Occupation

0 5,0

00

10

,00

0

15

,00

0

20

,00

0

25

,00

0

Farming, fishing, and forestryoccupations

Construction, extraction,maintenance, and repair…

Production, transportation, andmaterial moving occupations

Service occupations

Sales and office occupations

Management, professional, andrelated occupations

2009

2000

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Employment by Industry

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

Information

Wholesale trade

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting,…

Finance, insurance, real estate, and rental…

Other services (except public administration)

Manufacturing

Transportation and warehousing, and…

Professional, scientific, management,…

Public administration

Construction

Retail trade

Arts, entertainment, recreation,…

Educational, health and social services

2009

2000

Manufacturing and health fields led in increased number of jobs

U.S. Census Bureau

Coconino County Persons in Poverty

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Coconino Arizona U.S.

2010

2000

Countywide poverty continues to be malignant

U.S. Census Bureau

Relationship of Unemployment to Educational Level – Coconino County

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Unemployed

Without HSDiploma

These are the same people

U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept of Labor

Relationship Unemployment to Educational Level – Maricopa County

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

Unemployed

Without H.S. Diploma

U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept. of Labor

Easier to get a job without a college education there

A Decade of Change Educational Attainment

Coconino County Educational Enrollment

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

Nurseryschool,

preschool

Kindergarten Elementaryschool

(grades 1-8)

High school(grades 9-12)

College orgraduate

school

2009

2000

College level gained 2,200 students and elementary level lost 1,300 students

U.S. Census Bureau

CCC Number of Credit Students Enrolled

3,203

4,944

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 10

CCC has played its part in increased numbers of residents in college

CCC Enrollment Management

Coconino County Residents Enrolled at NAU

2,207 2,035

2,076 2,057

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2007 2008 2009 2010

NAU Planning and Institutional Analysis

NAU county resident data prior to 2006 is unreliable

The number of residents attending NAU has been stable but flat

Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

Less than9th grade

9th to 12thgrade, nodiploma

High schoolgraduate(includes

equivalency)

Somecollege, no

degree

Associatedegree

Bachelor'sdegree

Graduate orprofessional

degree

2009

2000

Residents with associate degrees increased by over 1,100

U.S. Census Bureau

Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older

86%

37% 32%

84%

36% 30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

At least high school At least associate's At least bachelor's

2009

2000

Residents are becoming more educated

In 2000, 24% of adults in Coconino County had a Bachelor’s degree

Educational Attainment of 18 to 24 Year Olds by Race/Ethnicity – 2005 Arizona

12.6%

32.2%

40.9%

14.2%

35.4%36.5%

21.5%

6.6%

31.7%

43.6%

22.4%

2.4%

17.1%

28.0%

44.8%

10.1%

6.6%

25.4% 25.0%

42.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Less than High School High School Some College College Degree

White Hispanic/Latino Native American African American Asian, Pacific Islander

Source: American Community Survey (ACS)

Coconino County Capture Rates - 2008 (The percentage of recent high school graduates who directly

enter college)

37%

12% 16% 9% 0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Total CCC NAU Elsewhere

CCC Institutional Research, NAU Planning & Inst. Analysis, and AZ Dept of Ed

Capture Rate Comparison - 2008

37%

51% 63%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Coconino Arizona (44th) U.S.

Tom Mortensen, Postsecondary Opportunity

Social and economic consequences are staggering

Retention Rate Comparison - 2009 (The percentage of first time students who return for their

second year of study)

45%

60%

23%

37%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

CCC Full-Time AZ CC Full-Time CCC -Part-Time AZ CC Part-Time

National Center for Education Statistics

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 10

Full-Time

Total

Part-Time

Number of Full and Part-Time Students Enrolled at CCC

Current ratio is 3 part-timers to 1 full-time student

Comparison of Financial Aid to First Time Full Time Students -2010

$760

$1,680

$5,624

$4,179

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000

CCC Institutional Grants

AZ CC Institutional Grants

CCC Loans

AZ CC Loans

National Center for Education Statistics

CCC students receive aid are more loan dependent and less grant dependent

Educational Attainment

What Our Graduates Tell Us

95% 90% 87%

76%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Overall, I amsatisfied with the

education I receivedat CCC.

I would recommendmy program to

another student.

My studies at CCCmet the educational

goal that I had inmind when I

enrolled.

I would send mychild(ren) to CCC.

Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Overall College Qualities

Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Educational Qualities

92% 92% 86%

78% 75% 72% 71%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

I learned avariety of new

intellectualconcepts

during mycollege

education.

In general, CCCfaculty wereavailable andwilling to helpme complete

my program ofstudy.

I learned thetheoretical

foundations ofthe acacemicdisciplines I

studied duringmy collegeeducation.

The technicalskills I learnedat CCC were

complete andup-to-date.

CCC preparedme well for my

field ofspecialization.

My studies atCCC enhancedmy ability to

get a job.

My programprovided me a

detailedunderstanding

of myanticipated

career.

Characteristics of the Commuter Student

58% 62%

65%

73% 75% 79%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Rarely or nevermet with faculty

members outsideof regular

classroom hours.

Soughtadvisement lessfrequently than

once a year.

Worked at leastpart-time.

No involvementin campusactivities.

Has NOT talkedabout personalproblems with a

CCC faculty orstaff member.

No involvementwith student

organizations.

Characteristics of the Commuter Student

12%

26%

62%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

At least once a semster At least once a year Less frequently than oncea year

Sought formal advisement --

One in Five are not Engaged Do they choose to be that way?

31%

24%

19% 18% 21%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Not developed aclose personal

relationship withat least one

faculty or staffmember at CCC.

Not developedclose personal

relationships withother students.

Do NOT sharevalues similar tomost students at

CCC.

It has NOT beeneasy for me to get

to know otherstudents.

Am financiallyresponsible for

other members ofyour family.

Part-Time Commuter Student

Inherently will take longer, and encounter many challenges to achieve the next step to completion:

• Enroll for successive semesters

• Declare a major

• Complete 30 hours

• Seek advice and assistance

• Engage with the College

Educational Attainment

CCC Current Efforts

Developmental Learners Who Complete College Level Math/English Course

30%

20%

57%

37%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

CCC Success AfterDevelopmental

Math

AZ CC SuccessAfter

DevelopmentalMath

CCC Success AfterDevelopmental

English

AZ CC SuccessAfter

DevelopmentalEnglish

CCC IR and ACCPC

Volume of Learning Assistance Sessions

Discipline Area 2010-11

Nursing 2

Political Science 2

Spanish 3

Accounting/Business 19

Social Science 37

Science 75

English /writing 185

Mathematics 1,702

Total 2,023

LEC Assessment Report

Demand is predominately math but also runs across discipline areas

Student Services (advising, recruitment, disability

resources, career services, testing) 2010-2011

• 16% increase in utilization of services over 2009-2010

• 8,497 students had walk-in and scheduled appointments with staff

• Approx. 2,250 unduplicated students

Student Services assessment template

Total of 546 active CCC2NAU Participants at CCC and 133 students transitioned to NAU

0

50

100

150

200

250

Fall 2008N=11

Spring2009N=60

Fall 2009N=73

Spring2010

N=101

Fall 2010N=106

Spring2011

N=137

Fall 2011N=219

5

27 46

69

90 90

219

6

33 27 32 16 19

0

Transition Status of CCC2NAU Students by Cohort

Active CCC2NAU Participants Transitioned to NAU

Third Semester Retention at NAU for Fall 2009 Entering Cohort

94%

78% 73%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CCC2NAU CCC Transfer Sample All Transfers

By the end of summer 2011, 6 CCC2NAU students have graduated from NAU

Special Programs Student Credit Hour Production

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

FA 2004 FA 2005 FA 2006 FA 2007 FA 2008 FA 2009 FA 2010

Web

NAU X

Short

CAVIAT

Dual

Fast Fridays

ITV Receiving

Community & Corporate Learning Fiscal Summary FY09-FY11

$-

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

$200,000

SBDC (Total$408,200)

Lifelong Learning(Total $138,153)

Contract Training(Total $140,929)

Grants (Total$55,441)

Testing (Total$37,978)

$92,654

$70,635

$21,736

$- $-

$122,381

$40,388

$26,928

$- $-

$193,165

$27,130

$95,536

$55,441

$37,978

FY09 FY10 FY11

Community & Corporate Learning Corporate Clients

W.L. Gore & Associates

Mountain Heart

Coconino County, Human Resources

Grand Canyon Park

Hopi Tribal Agencies

Department of Interior, National Park Service

Goodwill Industries of Northern Arizona

NACET

AZ Department of Public Safety

Nestle-Purina Northern Arizona Healthcare

Flagstaff Chamber of Commerce

North Country Healthcare

Walgreens

City of Flagstaff

CAVIAT

Tooh Dine Industries

SCA Tissue

Coconino County, Sheriff’s Office

Mohave County Workforce Connection

Prent Corporation

Related information available at Strategic Planning at CCC web page:

http://www.coconino.edu/research/Pages/StrategicPlanningSupport.aspx

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Keep track of current developments via the CCC intranet: President’s Office, to Shared Documents, to Strategic Planning.

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