2010 CENSUS POPULATION REAPPORTIONMENT DATA

2010 CENSUS POPULATION - REAPPORTIONMENT DATA

Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15:CENSUS/2010 REAPPORTIONMENT RELEASE

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Southern Tier East Census Monograph Series

Report 11-1 January 2011

2010 CENSUS POPULATION REAPPORTIONMENT DATA

The United States Constitution, Article 1, Section 2, requires a decennial census for the purpose of allocating among the States the number of representatives each may have in

the U S House of Representatives.

Prepared by Robert Augenstern

This Monograph is one of a series of Monographs and technical papers on Census related topics, prepared by the Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board with the financial support of the Appalachian Regional Commission and the Board’s member counties. Opinions presented in this monograph do not necessarily reflect positions of the Commission, the Board, or

the Board’s member counties, but rather are solely those of the author.

Table of Contents

Introduction 1 Federal Reapportionment 5 Current Congressional District Populations 6 State Senate and Assembly Districts 7



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2010 CENSUS POPULATION REAPPORTIONMENT DATA

INTRODUCTION The United States Constitution, Article 1, Section 2, requires a decennial census for the purpose of allocating among the States the number of representatives each may have in the U S House of Representatives. The first census was conducted in 1790, and therefore the 2010 Census is the 23rd census in American history. The 2010 Census form had only 10 questions which makes it, one of the shortest in U.S. history. The Census Bureau is relying upon the American Community Survey (ACS) for most of the detailed information which is commonly associated with the decennial Census. Between March and June 2010 the Census Bureau contacted approximately 134 million housing units in the U.S. for the 2010 Census. While most of these contacts were by mail, some were in person, where a census worker either collected a form or determined the unit’s vacancy status. According to the Census Bureau 74% of households returned a 2010 Census form by mail, matching the mail participation rate achieved during the 2000 Census. Under Public Law 94-171 the Census Bureau must report the count from the decennial census on or before December 31st of the Census year – roughly 9 months after the Census is taken as of April 1st. Within a week of the opening of the new session of Congress, according to Title 2, U.S. Code, the President must report to the House of Representatives the apportionment population counts for each state and the number of representatives to which each state is entitled. Within 15 days after receiving the apportionment population counts from the President, the clerk of the House of Representatives must officially inform each state governor of the number of representatives to which that state is entitled. During February and March 2011 the Census Bureau will be providing detailed population data at the county, tract, block group, and block levels which will be used for sub-state reapportionment. All states must receive redistricting data by April 1, 2011, in accordance with Public Law 94-171. Pursuant to the requirements of PL 94-171, on December 21, 2010 the US Census Bureau released data concerning the population of the United States and the States as of April 1, 2010. As of that date the population of the United States was 308,745,538, and population of New York State was 19,378,538.

As is illustrated on the accompanying diagram, the reported national population was about 270,000 persons greater than the Census Bureau’s Demographic Analysis “Middle Projection”, and about 232,000 persons fewer than the “population clock” estimate for April 1, 2010. The diagram suggests that the Census Bureau projections and estimates were notably close to the actual count.

The following brief report was prepared by the Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board from material prepared and presented by the United States Census Bureau as part of its PL 94-171



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Release. In addition this report contains information prepared by the City University of New York, Center for Urban Research, based upon American Community Survey 2005-2009 data which illustrates the potential impact of population change on the apportionment of Congressional Districts as well as the membership of both the State Senate and the State Assembly.

As is illustrated by the Census Bureau graph of population change which appears above, the population of the United States grew by 9.7% between the 2000 and 2010 Censuses. This was the second slowest rate of population growth this century – second only to the decade of the Great Depression (1930-1940). The low growth rate reported for the decade of the Great Depression is followed by more than two decades of more rapid growth – representing the “baby boom” generation.

The first of the accompanying maps from the Census Bureau shows that six states reported population growth in excess of 1 million between April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010 – Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas. In terms of growth in the actual numbers of persons, the State of Texas showed the largest population increase over the decade - 4, 293,741 persons – an amount greater than the reported population of a quarter of the states in the Union. Only one state – Michigan – was reported to have lost population during the past decade. Ten states, including four New England States, recorded population growth of less 100,000, with Rhode Island barely showing a population increase. The low population growth reported for Louisiana shows that the state is only slowly recovering from the effects of natural disasters in the middle of the decade, including Hurricane Katrina which devastated New Orleans. The population of New York State grew by 401,645 persons over the decade.

As depicted on the second of the accompanying national Census Bureau maps published as part of the reapportionment release, the highest rates of population growth were reported for States in the south and west, while the upper mid-west and northeast grew at a substantially slower rate. The Upper Midwest, the northeast, and three Gulf Coast state which had been affected by natural disasters showed notably slower rates of population growth The population of New York State, while it increased over the decade from 2000 to 2010,



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only grew by 2.1%. This means that relative to the nation as a whole New York State grew slower than the average state and thus relatively lost population which has a direct influence on legislative apportionment.

Table 1 RESIDENT POPULATION OF THE 50 STATES,

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, AND PUERTO RICO:

2010 CENSUS AND CENSUS 2000

POPULATION CHANGE

2000 TO 2010 State Rank as of April 1st

AREA APRIL 1,

2010 APRIL 1,

2000 # % 2010 2000 # Change

Alabama 4,779,736 4,447,100 332,636 7.5% 23 23 0 Alaska 710,231 626,932 83,299 13.3% 47 48 -1 Arizona 6,392,017 5,130,632 1,261,385 24.6% 16 20 -4 Arkansas 2,915,918 2,673,400 242,518 9.1% 32 33 -1 California 37,253,956 33,871,648 3,382,308 10.0% 1 1 0 Colorado 5,029,196 4,301,261 727,935 16.9% 22 24 -2 Connecticut 3,574,097 3,405,565 168,532 4.9% 29 29 0 Delaware 897,934 783,600 114,334 14.6% 45 45 0 District of Columbia 601,723 572,059 29,664 5.2% (NA) (NA) NA Florida 18,801,310 15,982,378 2,818,932 17.6% 4 4 0 Georgia 9,687,653 8,186,453 1,501,200 18.3% 9 10 -1 Hawaii 1,360,301 1,211,537 148,764 12.3% 40 42 -2 Idaho 1,567,582 1,293,953 273,629 21.1% 39 39 0 Illinois 12,830,632 12,419,293 411,339 3.3% 5 5 0 Indiana 6,483,802 6,080,485 403,317 6.6% 15 14 1 Iowa 3,046,355 2,926,324 120,031 4.1% 30 30 0 Kansas 2,853,118 2,688,418 164,700 6.1% 33 32 1 Kentucky 4,339,367 4,041,769 297,598 7.4% 26 25 1 Louisiana 4,533,372 4,468,976 64,396 1.4% 25 22 3 Maine 1,328,361 1,274,923 53,438 4.2% 41 40 1 Maryland 5,773,552 5,296,486 477,066 9.0% 19 19 0 Massachusetts 6,547,629 6,349,097 198,532 3.1% 14 13 1 Michigan 9,883,640 9,938,444 -54,804 -0.6% 8 8 0 Minnesota 5,303,925 4,919,479 384,446 7.8% 21 21 0 Mississippi 2,967,297 2,844,658 122,639 4.3% 31 31 0 Missouri 5,988,927 5,595,211 393,716 7.0% 18 17 1 Montana 989,415 902,195 87,220 9.7% 44 44 0 Nebraska 1,826,341 1,711,263 115,078 6.7% 38 38 0 Nevada 2,700,551 1,998,257 702,294 35.1% 35 35 0 New Hampshire 1,316,470 1,235,786 80,684 6.5% 42 41 1 New Jersey 8,791,894 8,414,350 377,544 4.5% 11 9 2 New Mexico 2,059,179 1,819,046 240,133 13.2% 36 36 0 New York 19,378,102 18,976,457 401,645 2.1% 3 3 0 North Carolina 9,535,483 8,049,313 1,486,170 18.5% 10 11 -1 North Dakota 672,591 642,200 30,391 4.7% 48 47 1 Ohio 11,536,504 11,353,140 183,364 1.6% 7 7 0 Oklahoma 3,751,351 3,450,654 300,697 8.7% 28 27 1 Oregon 3,831,074 3,421,399 409,675 12.0% 27 28 -1 Pennsylvania 12,702,379 12,281,054 421,325 3.4% 6 6 0 Rhode Island 1,052,567 1,048,319 4,248 0.4% 43 43 0 South Carolina 4,625,364 4,012,012 613,352 15.3% 24 26 -2 South Dakota 814,180 754,844 59,336 7.9% 46 46 0 Tennessee 6,346,105 5,689,283 656,822 11.5% 17 16 1 Texas 25,145,561 20,851,820 4,293,741 20.6% 2 2 0 Utah 2,763,885 2,233,169 530,716 23.8% 34 34 0 Vermont 625,741 608,827 16,914 2.8% 49 49 0 Virginia 8,001,024 7,078,515 922,509 13.0% 12 12 0 Washington 6,724,540 5,894,121 830,419 14.1% 13 15 -2 West Virginia 1,852,994 1,808,344 44,650 2.5% 37 37 0 Wisconsin 5,686,986 5,363,675 323,311 6.0% 20 18 2 Wyoming 563,626 493,782 69,844 14.1% 50 50 0 UNITED STATES 308,745,538 281421906 27323632 9.7% - - - Source 2010 Census Released 12/21/10 Table 4 with enhancements on changes by STERPDB



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FEDERAL REAPPORTIOMENT There are 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives which are to be apportioned among the 50 states according to the results of the decennial Census. Under the Constitution each state has at least one representative in the House of Representatives, with the remainder being apportioned based on population.

Apportionment is the process by which the 435 seats in the House of Representatives are divided among the 50 states. The number of House members was fixed at 435 representatives in 1913. Prior to then the number of representatives had grown with the from 105 members in the 1790 Congress. The accompanying national map was used in the presentation of the Reapportionment data by the Census Bureau and it shows the gains and losses which resulted from the new population figures. In particular Texas was the

largest gainer followed by Florida with the addition of 4 and 2 House seats respectively. On the other side New York and Ohio each lost two seats. Surprisingly the largest state – California – neither lost nor gained any House seats. New York had also lost 2 House seats after the 2000 Census. Table 2 confirms that there was a marked difference in the population growth rates among the national regions between 2000 and 2010. While the population residing in the Northeast and the Midwest grew by only 3 to 4 percentage points over the decade, the resident populations of the southern and western states grew by 13 to 14 percentage points. The Table also shows that the total population of the United States, including citizens living abroad and in Puerto Rico who were not included in the total used for reapportionment, was 312 million persons.1 Apportionment is the first part of a process which finishes with redistricting. Apportionment is the process of determining the number of seats for each state in the U.S. House of Representatives based on the decennial census. Redistricting is the process of revising the geographic boundaries within a state from which people elect their representatives to the U.S. House of Representatives, state legislature, county or city council, school board, etc.

1 The residents of Puerto Rico are Citizens of the United States. The reported US population includes both citizens and non-citizens residing in the US.

Table 2. RESIDENT POPULATION OF THE 50 STATES,

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, AND PUERTO RICO:

2010 CENSUS AND CENSUS 2000

POPULATION CHANGE

2000 TO 2010 AREA APRIL 1,

2010 APRIL 1,

2000 # %

TOTAL RESIDENT POPULATIONa 308,745,538 281,421,906 27,323,632 9.7% REGION Northeast 55,317,240 53,594,378 1,722,862 3.2% Midwest 66,927,001 64,392,776 2,534,225 3.9% South 114,555,744 100,236,820 14,318,924 14.3% West 71,945,553 63,197,932 8,747,621 13.8% Puerto Rico 3,725,789 3,808,610 -82,821 -2.2%

TOTAL RESIDENT POPULATION, INCLUDING PUERTO RICO

312,471,327 285,230,516 27,240,811 9.6% Source: 2010 U S Census a Includes the population of the 50 states and the District of Columbia.



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The 113th Congress which takes office in January 2013 will be the first Congress to convene with its representative realigned to reflect the reapportionment according to 2010 Census data. CURRENT CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT POPULATIONS2 The Center for Urban Research (CUR) at the City University of New York (CUNY) Graduate Center has prepared an analysis of the 2005-2009 American Community Survey total population estimates to illustrate the potential effect of shifting population on the Congressional Districts and the State Senate and State Assembly Districts in New York State.

2 The Center for Urban Research has three constituent units -- the CUNY Data Service, the CUNY Mapping Service, and the NYC Labor Market Information Service. Each of which undertakes distinct projects but also collaborates together and with CUR's research team to bring their areas of expertise to bear on our work. Much of this discussion is based upon material posted on the CUNY Mapping Service immediately after the PL 94-171 Release by the Census Bureau but is based upon 2005-2009 American Community Survey Data. CUR's website provides free access to many of the data sets, maps, and research findings, and provides links to read descriptions of our work, view data and maps online, and download materials for use in projects. According to the US Census Bureau, the apportionment population for each congressional district nationwide will be 710,667 people, based on the 2010 Census.Caution: The population data are based on a 5-year average from 2005 to 2009. The data do not reflect trends, and may differ substantially from the actual population counts from the 2010 decennial Census that will be the official data for redistricting.

TABLE 3 ESTIMATED POPULATION OF NEW YORK CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT COMPARED

WITH REQUIREDED APPORTIONMENT POPULATION

Congressional District

2005-09 population

% difference from 2010

apportionment population

1 716,034 0.7% 2 682,569 -4.1% 3 663,854 -7.1% 4 662,361 -7.3% 5 668,870 -6.3% 6 668,309 -6.4% 7 682,515 -4.1% 8 708,166 -0.4% 9 681,419 -4.3% 10 683,645 -4.0% 11 659,152 -7.8% 12 683,048 -4.1% 13 703,464 -1.0% 14 662,711 -7.3% 15 664,346 -7.0% 16 671,440 -5.9% 17 673,886 -5.5% 18 675,034 -5.3% 19 702,767 -1.1% 20 676,866 -5.0% 21 661,686 -7.4% 22 666,549 -6.6% 23 657,218 -8.1% 24 644,571 -10.3% 25 652,624 -8.9% 26 651,816 -9.0% 27 635,016 -11.9% 28 608,176 -16.9% 29 655,784 -8.4%

Apportionment population 2010 710,767



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The CUR website article entitled “The Shifting Map Of Congressional Districts In New York State: 2005-09 Population Estimates” explores how population numbers have changed for each of the State’s Legislative Districts. The paper does not predict how new Legislative districts will be drawn but rather illustrates the types of issues which will be addressed as part of the Redistricting process which will occur over the next two years. As reported above the Census Bureau has announced that New York State will lose 2 congressional districts based on the 2010 Census. Maps from CUNY's Center for Urban Research, discussed below, show the degree to which existing Legislative District estimated population vary from would need to be redistricted. Given the slower than average population growth in New York State over the past decade it is expected that most Congressional Districts in the state will have populations which are less than the apportionment population. In fact Table 3 shows that all of the New York Congressional Districts, except for the 1st Congressional District on eastern Long Island, have populations which are smaller than the federally defined apportionment population of 710,767 As reported on Table 3 and illustrated on the CUNY map on the next page, three Congressional Districts – the 24th, 27th, and 28th - have populations which are 10% or more below the federally defined apportionment population of 710,767. While the imbalance suggested by these four Congressional Districts will have to be addressed in any redistricting plan which will be considered by the State Legislature, it does not define any new district boundaries. Rather it suggests a pattern of population shift which could result in a reduction in the number of Congressional Districts in the upstate area and in western New York. .

The CUNY-CUR map to the left shows how much New York's current districts differ in population size from the apportionment population, and therefore how the state's existing 29 congressional districts may need to change to conform to the 27 districts it will have after 2013, and to the 2010 redistricting requirements. Based on the latest local population estimates from the Census Bureau (based on a 5-year sample covering the 2005-09 period), districts shaded orange and red have significantly fewer people than the reference apportionment population and will need to be combined with other

Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2005-09, table B05001. Notes: Prepared by the Center for Urban Research, CUNY Graduate Center. December 2010



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districts.3 These areas of the state will effectively lose Congressional representation. One of these districts, CD #24 based in Utica serves the northern portion of the Southern Tier East Region. The one district shaded green has too many people and will need to give up population to other districts. It will shrink in size geographically, potentially increasing Long Island's relative share of congressional representation. The CUNY website cautions that the analysis by the Center for Urban Research is based on several assumptions that may change. In particular, the population data presented on Table 3 and used for preparing the accompanying map is based on a monthly sample survey taken over a 5-year period from 2005 to 2009, and may differ substantially from the actual population counts based on the 2010 decennial Census once it becomes available in the first half of 2011. The 2010 decennial population data will be the official data that is used to determine "ideal" district size and eventual redistricting

STATE SENATE AND ASSEMBLY DISTRICTS4

On Tuesday, Dec. 14, the US Census Bureau published population estimates from the American Community Survey covering a five year period, from 2005 through 2009. It was the first time the Census Bureau provided detailed population data between decennial censuses at the local level, and for a variety of other levels of geography which could be used by CUNY-CUR to anticipate the need for changes in state legislative districts.

Based on this 2005-09 data, the CUNY-CUR estimated that the "ideal" (or average) size of a State Senate district would be 313,289 people (assuming the number of Senate districts remains at 62). In the State Assembly, the "ideal" (or average) size would be 129,493 people. In 2000, the average size of a State Senate district was 306,072 people, and the average size of an Assembly district was 126,510 people.

By 2012, the New York State and Assembly will be redistricted. How the lines are drawn -- and whether the new districts tend to concentrate or disperse populations that tend to vote for one party or another will have a substantial impact on state policies for the next 10 years, and for the next round of redistricting.

In order to determine how the distribution of Senate and Assembly seats may change within regions and across the state, the Center for Urban Research mapped how far each district's 2005-09 estimated population differs from the "ideal" size. In New York State, legislative districts within plus or minus 5% of the ideal size are considered acceptable from an overall population perspective. The maps below show which districts are within 5% of the ideal size in the State Senate and the Assembly, and which ones have a population 5% or more, 0r 5% or less, than the ideal size. Districts shaded red have "too many" people relative to the other districts, based on the 2005-09 ACS estimates, and would need to give up population to other districts. The districts shaded blue have too few people. Portions of them would need to be combined with others so that all districts are within +/- 5% of the target size.

3 The Census Bureau’s 2009 American Community Survey estimate is based upon a 5-year sample collected between 2005 and 2009. 4 See CUNY-CUR “The 2005-2009 ACS: Implications for 2012 NYS Legislative Redistricting.” (12/21/10



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STATE SENATE

The accompanying map illustrates the comparison of estimated population of NYS Senate Districts based upon the 5-year 2006-2009 sample with the “ideal” district size of 313,289 people. On the map most of the upstate districts are shaded blue indicating that they have too few people, while a significant number of districts in New York City and on Long Island are shown in red indicating that they have too many people.

Table 4 was calculated by CUNY-CUR based upon an “ideal” district size of 313,289 persons.

As reported on Table 4 it appears that the overall shift likely to occur in the State Senate would be the movement of a net of one seat from Upstate to New York City. The population of the average upstate district was significantly smaller than the average while the average district in New York City was significantly larger than average. Because Legislative Districts are not required to follow county boundaries, the actual number of senators who will represent different parts of the state will vary based upon individual district layouts. Overall, the CUNY-CUR analysis suggests that New York City would gain a State Senate seat while the state's upstate region would lose one. In the Assembly, it appears that Long Island would gain a seat while New York City would lose one. STATE ASSEMBLY

The map which appears below illustrates the comparison of estimated population of NYS Assembly Districts based upon the 5-year 2006-2009 sample with the “ideal” district size of 129,493 people. On the map most of the districts shaded blue indicating that they have too few people were found in what appear to be urban settings mostly in downstate locations, but with several small upstate enclaves. In contrast there are large areas on Long Island, the northern fringes of metropolitan New York City, and along the Hudson Valley shown in red indicating that they have too many people.

TABLE 4 AMERICAN COMMUNITY SURVEY 2005-2009 SAMPLE DATA

IMPLICATIONS FOR REDISTRICTING OF NYS SENATE Current Districts

Area Number Total Population

Average Size

Expected # of Ideal Districts

Expected Change

Long Island 9 2,865,169 318,352 9 0 New York City 26 8,438,776 324,568 27 +1 Upstate 27 8,119,951 300,739 28 -1 TOTAL 62 19,423,896 - 62 - Source : Center for Urban Research, CUNY Graduate Center, December 2010. Based upon American Community Survey Data - 2005-2009 Sample. The calculated “ideal’ size of a senate district was 313, 289


IMPLICATIONS FOR REDISTRICTING OF NYS ASSEMBLY Current Districts Area

Number Total Population

Average Size

Expected # of Ideal Districts

Expected Change

Long Island 21 2,865,169 136,437 22 +1 New York City 65 8,302,659 127,733 64 -1 Upstate 64 8,256,068 129,001 64 0 TOTAL 150 19,423,896 150 Source : Center for Urban Research, CUNY Graduate Center, December 2010. Based upon American Community Survey Data - 2005-2009 Sample. The calculated “ideal’ size of an assembly district was 129,493



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Table 5 shows that overall CUNY anticipates a net flow on one assembly district from New York City to Long Island. The CUNY Center for Urban Research, which is the source of the accompanying map and the data on Table 5, cautions that this analysis is based on several assumptions that may change. The population data used is based on a 5-year sample from 2005 to 2009 and may differ substantially from the actual population counts based on the 2010 decennial Census which will used to determine "ideal" district size and eventual redistricting. This analysis of state legislative

districts also does not account for a change in how New York's prison population will be counted for the purposes of redistricting. In 2010, NY Governor Paterson signed a law (Chapter Laws of 2010, Chapter 57, Part XX) to require New York's redistricting task force to reallocate prison populations back to verifiable “homes of record” where the prisoner resided prior to his or her incarceration for state legislative and local governmental redistricting. The task force will obtain the prison count population data from the New York State Department of Correctional Services. Until then, there is no way to accurately estimate the ideal district size based on this revised approach to counting the prison population. Also, CUNY-CUR researchers assumed that the total number of State Senate and Assembly districts remain the same (62 Senate seats, 150 Assembly seats). Finally, we assume that district boundaries in the next round of redistricting will respect the regions (LI, NYC, upstate) used in the tables above.


IMPLICATIONS FOR REDISTRICTING OF NYS SENATE

NYS Senate District

2005-09 population

% difference from "ideal"

district population

NYS Senate District

2005-09 population


district population

1 344,536 9.1% 32 323,092 3.0% 2 321,797 2.6% 33 315,861 0.8% 3 323,934 3.3% 34 326,527 4.1% 4 315,014 0.5% 35 318,252 1.6% 5 316,552 1.0% 36 321,701 2.6% 6 310,563 -0.9% 37 321,457 2.5% 7 313,076 -0.1% 38 333,624 6.1% 8 310,985 -0.7% 39 335,122 6.5% 9 308,712 -1.5% 40 316,622 1.1%

10 326,374 4.0% 41 310,117 -1.0% 11 334,668 6.4% 42 308,728 -1.5% 12 312,171 -0.4% 43 314,672 0.4% 13 316,755 1.1% 44 310,999 -0.7% 14 327,577 4.4% 45 303,296 -3.3% 15 337,651 7.2% 46 298,341 -5.0% 16 323,664 3.2% 47 286,490 -9.4%



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17 330,153 5.1% 48 294,004 -6.6% 18 324,203 3.4% 49 288,707 -8.5% 19 319,622 2.0% 50 289,556 -8.2% 20 315,260 0.6% 51 291,512 -7.5% 21 309,404 -1.3% 52 284,701 -10.0% 22 326,437 4.0% 53 291,851 -7.3% 23 321,318 2.5% 54 293,902 -6.6% 24 340,617 8.0% 55 308,362 -1.6% 25 338,075 7.3% 56 288,155 -8.7% 26 327,347 4.3% 57 284,076 -10.3% 27 317,335 1.3% 58 285,718 -9.6% 28 320,041 2.1% 59 293,053 -6.9% 29 346,524 9.6% 60 278,188 -12.6% 30 327,372 4.3% 61 291,218 -7.6% 31 309,027 -1.4% 62 299,228 -4.7%

Average District Size '05-'09 313,289 Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2005-09, table B05001 Notes: By 2012, the NYS Senate will be redistricted. Each district will need to be within roughly +/- 5% of the ideal size(the statewide average number of people per district). Using the latest Census estimates for the 2005-09 period, Assumptions: Total number of State Assembly districts remain the same. District boundaries respect the regions (LI, NYC, upstate). The population data are based on a 5-year average from 2005 to 2009. The data do not reflect trends, and may differ substantially from the actual population counts from the 2010 decennial Census that will be the official data for redistricting. Prepared by the Center for Urban Research, CUNY Graduate Center. December 2010



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IMPLICATIONS FOR REDISTRICTING OF NYS ASSEMBLY

NYS Assembly District

2005-09 population


district population


2005-09 population

% difference

from "ideal" district

population


2005-09 population


district population

1 149,663 15.5% 51 130,533 3.1% 101 130,693 3.2% 2 147,601 14.3% 52 132,618 4.6% 102 132,205 4.3% 3 143,058 11.6% 53 128,775 1.8% 103 134,981 6.3% 4 137,758 8.2% 54 126,846 0.3% 104 128,578 1.6% 5 137,264 7.8% 55 117,656 -7.5% 105 131,732 4.0% 6 138,988 9.0% 56 124,060 -2.0% 106 127,973 1.2% 7 137,745 8.2% 57 123,883 -2.1% 107 124,873 -1.3% 8 133,933 5.6% 58 122,288 -3.4% 108 132,088 4.2% 9 133,924 5.5% 59 131,042 3.5% 109 137,824 8.2% 10 135,733 6.8% 60 131,389 3.7% 110 138,309 8.5% 11 138,960 9.0% 61 126,858 0.3% 111 129,269 2.1% 12 132,393 4.5% 62 133,946 5.6% 112 137,686 8.1% 13 134,038 5.6% 63 133,931 5.6% 113 134,299 5.8% 14 132,684 4.7% 64 137,361 7.9% 114 133,434 5.2% 15 134,146 5.7% 65 136,178 7.1% 115 127,437 0.7% 16 136,094 7.1% 66 139,044 9.0% 116 123,054 -2.8% 17 137,707 8.1% 67 145,071 12.8% 117 126,223 -0.2% 18 128,412 1.5% 68 134,198 5.7% 118 129,362 2.2% 19 129,354 2.2% 69 129,544 2.4% 119 122,009 -3.7% 20 131,368 3.7% 70 131,646 3.9% 120 125,481 -0.8% 21 134,346 5.8% 71 134,003 5.6% 121 132,325 4.4% 22 120,814 -4.7% 72 123,123 -2.7% 122 129,841 2.6% 23 131,700 4.0% 73 130,997 3.4% 123 123,414 -2.5% 24 128,919 1.9% 74 132,577 4.6% 124 128,348 1.4% 25 130,312 2.9% 75 147,220 14.1% 125 129,366 2.2% 26 131,426 3.8% 76 123,282 -2.6% 126 126,167 -0.3% 27 126,775 0.2% 77 122,498 -3.3% 127 127,046 0.4% 28 128,917 1.9% 78 119,419 -5.9% 128 126,170 -0.3% 29 123,888 -2.1% 79 130,502 3.1% 129 128,646 1.7% 30 127,827 1.0% 80 128,598 1.6% 130 137,359 7.9% 31 132,535 4.6% 81 123,100 -2.8% 131 125,508 -0.8% 32 126,595 0.1% 82 128,023 1.2% 132 123,418 -2.5% 33 122,924 -2.9% 83 132,086 4.2% 133 114,503 -10.5% 34 123,530 -2.4% 84 126,059 -0.3% 134 126,098 -0.3% 35 129,167 2.1% 85 123,524 -2.4% 135 128,866 1.8% 36 123,653 -2.3% 86 124,438 -1.7% 136 121,200 -4.4% 37 119,598 -5.8% 87 131,299 3.7% 137 122,980 -2.9% 38 129,405 2.3% 88 126,916 0.3% 138 125,649 -0.7% 39 120,875 -4.6% 89 131,897 4.1% 139 124,887 -1.3% 40 130,596 3.1% 90 136,124 7.1% 140 116,193 -8.9% 41 120,688 -4.8% 91 124,680 -1.5% 141 113,818 -11.1% 42 118,769 -6.5% 92 135,907 6.9% 142 128,472 1.5% 43 118,648 -6.6% 93 134,545 6.0% 143 128,715 1.7% 44 127,040 0.4% 94 132,822 4.8% 144 131,142 3.5% 45 121,435 -4.2% 95 134,251 5.8% 145 129,485 2.3% 46 116,461 -8.6% 96 141,714 10.7% 146 128,157 1.3% 47 123,996 -2.0% 97 146,681 13.8% 147 122,556 -3.2% 48 124,807 -1.4% 98 135,405 6.6% 148 124,423 -1.7% 49 127,592 0.9% 99 135,007 6.3% 149 121,219 -4.3% 50 127,451 0.8% 100 134,594 6.0% 150 120,745 -4.8%

Average size '05-'09 129,493 Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2005-09, table B05001 Notes: By 2012, the NYS Senate will be redistricted. Each district will need to be within roughly +/- 5% of the ideal size(the statewide average number of people per district). Using the latest Census estimates for the 2005-09 period, Assumptions: Total number of State Assembly districts remain the same. District boundaries respect the regions (LI, NYC, upstate). The population data are based on a 5-year average from 2005 to 2009. The data do not reflect trends, and may differ substantially from the actual population counts



January 2011 +++

from the 2010 decennial Census that will be the official data for redistricting. Prepared by the Center for Urban Research, CUNY Graduate Center. December 2010

2010 CENSUS POPULATION REAPPORTIONMENT DATA

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