17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply...

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17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model U.S. Economic Growth Rates Accounting for Growth Productivity Growth in the New Economy Key Terms Previo us Slide Next Slid e End Show ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE NEW ECONOMY 17 C H A P T E R

Transcript of 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply...

Page 1: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 1Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

ECONOMIC

GROWTH AND THE NEW

ECONOMY

17C H A P T E R

Page 2: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 2Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

• Increases in the Quantity &

Quality of Natural Resources• Increases in the Quantity &

Quality of Human Resources• Increases in the Supply (or

Stock) of Capital Goods• Improvements in Technology

GROWTH ECONOMICSSupply Factors

Page 3: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 3Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

•Households, Businesses, and

Government Must Purchase the

Economy’s Expanded Output

GROWTH ECONOMICSDemand Factor

Efficiency Factor

•The Economy Must Achieve

Economic Efficiency as well as

Full-Employment

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17 - 4Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES ANALYSIS

Economic Growth

A

B

C

D

a

b

Cap

ital

Go

od

s

Consumer Goods

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17 - 5Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES ANALYSIS

Growth and Production PossibilitiesLabor and Productivity

Worker-HoursLabor-Force Participation RateLabor Productivity

Real GDP =WorkerHours

XLabor

Productivity

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17 - 6Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

•Size of employed labor force

•Average hours of work

•Technological advance

•Quantity of capital•Education and training

•Allocative efficiency•Other

REALGDP

SUPPLY DETERMINANTSOF REAL OUTPUT

LaborInputs(Hours

of Work)

LaborProductivity

(AverageOutput

Per Hour)

X =

Page 7: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 7Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

GROWTH IN THE AD-AS MODEL

Production Possibilities and Aggregate Supply

Extending the AD-AS Model

Page 8: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 8Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

GROWTH IN THE AD-AS MODEL

A

B

C

D

Ca

pit

al G

oo

ds

Consumer Goods

Pri

ce

Lev

el

Real GDP

ASLR1 ASLR2

Q1 Q2

Page 9: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 9Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THEEXTENDED AD – AS MODEL

Pri

ce L

evel

Real GDP

o

P1

AS2

ASLR1

AD2

Q1

ASLR2

Q2

AD1

AS1

P2

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17 - 10Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

U.S. Economic Growth,Annual Averages for Five Decades

1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999

U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH RATES

5

4

3

2

1

0

Real GDP Real GDP Per Capita

Av

era

ge

An

nu

al I

nc

reas

e (

Pe

rce

nt)

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17 - 11Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH

Inputs versus Productivity

Quantity of Labor

Technological Advance

Quantity of Capital

Infrastructure

Education and Training

Human Capital

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17 - 12Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH

Increase in quantity of labor 33%

Increase in labor productivity 67%

Technological advance 26%

Quantity of capital 18%

Education and training 11%

Economies of scale 6%

Improved resource

allocation 6%

100%

Sources of Growth of U.S. Output, 1929-2000

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17 - 13Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

Changes in the Educational Attainment of the U.S. Adult Population

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

100

80

60

40

20

0

College Graduates or More High School Graduates or More

ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Pe

rce

nt

of

U.S

. Po

pu

lati

on

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17 - 14Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

ACCOUNTING FOR GROWTH

Economies of Scale

Improved Resource

Allocation

Other Factors

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17 - 15Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

PRODUCTIVITY GROWTHAND THE NEW ECONOMY Characteristics of the New

Economy•Microchip and

Information Technology•New Firms and

Increasing Returns•Start-Up Firms

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17 - 16Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

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EndShow

PRODUCTIVITY GROWTHAND THE NEW ECONOMY

Sources of Increasing Returns• More Specialized Inputs• Spreading of Development

Costs• Simultaneous Consumption• Network Effects• Learning by Doing

Global Competition

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17 - 17Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

PRODUCTIVITY GROWTHAND THE NEW ECONOMY

Macroeconomic Implications• Faster Noninflationary

Growth• Low Natural Rate of

Unemployment• Growing Tax Revenues

Skepticism About the New

Economy

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17 - 18Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVEGrowth Competitiveness Ranking 2000

Source: World Economic Forum

12345678910

United States

Singapore

Luxembourg

Netherlands

Ireland

Finland

Canada

Hong Kong, China

United Kingdom

Switzerland

Rank

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17 - 19Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

IS GROWTH DESIRABLEAND SUSTAINABLE?

The Antigrowth View

In Defense of

Economic Growth

Chapter Conclusions

Page 20: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

economic growth

supply factors

demand factor

efficiency factor

labor productivity

labor-force participation rate

infrastructurehuman capitaleconomies of scaleNew Economyinformation technologystart-up firmsincreasing returnsnetwork effectslearning by doing

ENDBACKCopyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin 2002

Page 21: 17 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Growth Economics Production Possibilities Analysis Supply Determinants of Real Output Growth in the AD-AS Model.

17 - 21Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Growth Economics

Production Possibilities Analysis

Supply Determinants of Real Output

Growth in the AD-AS Model

U.S. Economic Growth Rates

Accounting for Growth

Productivity Growth in the New Economy

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Deficits,Surpluses

and thePublic Debt

Chapter 18 Next...