1589 YGG Eng 2015 May (F)

20
品質 Quality 速度 Speed 團隊 Team Work 卓越 Excellence May 2015 YG Group 1589TT 2 Disclaimer The information contained in this document was verified by an independent third party. YG does is not responsible for the accuracy, fairness, and completeness of any information contained in this document. You should not assume any information in this document to be accurate, fair, nor complete. The information or opinions contained in this document is provided on a specified date, which YG reserves all right to update. YG has no obligation to notify you of any updates after a specific date or any development of information in the documents. YG will not accept any liability for any loss resulting from the use of this document or its contents or for other reasons related to this document. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer of purchase or acquisition to sell or issue shares of YG or any of its subsidiaries or related parties in any jurisdictions, does not serve as a part an offer or incentive, nor should be interpreted as such. Any part thereof or distribute the facts does not constitute the basis of any contract or commitment, and should not be relied upon in respect of any contract or commitment. Your acceptance of this document constitutes your agreement that the information contained in the document is kept strictly confidential, securities researchers should have eligibility of the securities research and follow any relevant securities laws and regulations and restrictions of the appropriate jurisdiction before publishing research results on YG. This document is provided for the securities researchers for use as their research reference only. Any part of the document cannot be photocopied, copied, forwarded, or in any manner, directly or indirectly transferred to any other person or for public announcement and for any other purpose.

Transcript of 1589 YGG Eng 2015 May (F)

品質 Quality         速度 Speed 

團隊 Team Work 卓越 Excellence

May 2015

YG Group1589TT

2

Disclaimer The information contained in this document was verified by an independent third party. YG does is not responsible for the accuracy, fairness, and completeness of any information contained in this document. You should not assume any information in this document to be accurate, fair, nor complete. The information or opinions contained in this document is provided on a specified date, which YG reserves all right to update. YG has no obligation to notify you of any updates after a specific date or any development of information in the documents. YG will not accept any liability for any loss resulting from the use of this document or its contents or for other reasons related to this document.

This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer of purchase or acquisition to sell or issue shares of YG or any of its subsidiaries or related parties in any jurisdictions, does not serve as a part an offer or incentive, nor should be interpreted as such. Any part thereof or distribute the facts does not constitute the basis of any contract or commitment, and should not be relied upon in respect of any contract or commitment.

Your acceptance of this document constitutes your agreement that the information contained in the document is kept strictly confidential, securities researchers should have eligibility of the securities research and follow any relevant securities laws and regulations and restrictions of the appropriate jurisdiction before publishing research results on YG.

This document is provided for the securities researchers for use as their research reference only. Any part of the document cannot be photocopied, copied, forwarded, or in any manner, directly or indirectly transferred to any other person or for public announcement and for any other purpose.

3

Executive Summary

• We are a 1st source supplier of ductile iron castings to the

world’s top producers of wind turbines, injection molding

machines and other industrial equipment .

• Our core competitive edge is built upon our superior

scale, attention to detail in the manufacturing process and

vertical integration.

• We are one of the world’s largest independent foundries

even though we have only a 0.5% share of the global

market for ductile iron castings in 2013. We aim to benefit

from the current trend towards increased outsourcing,

and see ourselves as a consolidator in the fragmented,

and growing global market for ductile iron castings.

• In the next 3-5 years, we see an expanding customer

base and opportunities in new product types as the

drivers of top and bottom line growth.

4

Competitive Edge

Strategy for Sustained Growth

Diversified Revenue Stream

YGG Value Creation

5

Competitive Edge

Strategy for Sustained Growth

Diversified Revenue Stream

YGG Value Creation

6

YGG’s Competitive Edge

Attention to Detail in the Casting Process

Scale Advantage

One‐Stop Shopping (Vertical 

Integration)

Cost Advantage

Experienced  Management 

Team

7

Attention to Detail in the Casting ProcessMaterials Science Know-How

The purity and concentration of 26 chemical elements is monitored at all stages of the production process.

Spheroidal graphite nodules enhance the strength of ductile iron. The highest recorded concentration is 300/mm2. YGG can achieve 280/mm2. Over the past ten years, YGG has helped one client reduce cycle times for their injection molding equipment to 4 seconds from 10 seconds by steadily improving nodule count.

Advanced Process Controls

SOLIDCast software simulates thermal changes in the casting during the solidification process to show potential defects, greatly reducing failure rates.

YGG’s process control know-how allows us to produce Ductile Cast Iron with high yield strength and high toughness at low temperature.

Investment in Superior Plant Equipment and Design

Proprietary Design: YGG stipulates its own specifications for key pieces of casting equipment, subcontracting production to an overseas supplier.

Allowance for Extra-Large Castings: Casting facilities can accomodate larger castings than those of YGG‘s peers, and overhead cranes are rated for heavier loads.

Advanced Inspection Equipment: YGG has invested in advanced testing equipment and performs precision testing services for customers with tight tolerance specifications.

Geothermal heating facilities maintain a stable temperature in the machine shop in both summer and winter to ensure precision in the machining process.

Attention to Detail

8

Not Your Average Foundry

* Based on 2013 output 112,339 tonnes per foundry.Source:Modern Casting Magazine, December 2014

Scale Advantage

22,468

8,659

6,122 4,085 3,417 2,815 2,656 2,272 2,133 1,813 1,483

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Average Output Per Foundry*Tonnes per annum

9

Casting Capacity

FoundryDesign Capacity

Max. SingleWeight* 

1986 YGA Taipei 8,400 T/Yr 8 Tons

1995 YGD Dongguan 18,000 T/Yr 12 Tons

2002 YGS Ningbo 36,000 T/Yr 45 Tons

2002 YGL Ningbo 36,000 T/Yr 25 Tons

2008 YGB Liyang 60,000 T/Yr 60 Tons

subtotal 158,400 T/Yr

New Capacity

4Q16 YG‐Thailand 48,000 T/Yr Non‐Energy Application

4Q16 YG‐Taichung 48,000 T/yr Energy Application

*The maximum size of casting that can be produced at each respective foundry.

Scale Advantage

10

One Stop Shopping

Vertical and horizontal process integration.

We provide end-to-end satisfaction of customer needs from pattern design, casting, welding, painting, machining and assembly – all at YGG.

Total Solution

Casting

Machining

Painting

Design

Welding

Assembly

Casting Machining Inspection Welding Assembly

One Stop Shopping

11

Cost Advantage

YGG’s cost competitiveness stems from:

Low RM cost: Cash purchases and pro-active inventory management

Economies of scale in production

Attention to detail: low defect rate of 0-3% reduces waste.

Vertical integration: Yeo-Tian, a 100%-owned steel scrap merchant, helps YGG lower scrap steel acquisition costs.

Cost Advantage

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

Jan-08 Dec-08 Nov-09 Oct-10 Sep-11 Aug-12 Jul-13 Jun-14

RMB/kgPig Iron Price

Market Price

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

5500

6000

Jan-08 Dec-08 Nov-09 Oct-10 Sep-11 Aug-12 Jul-13 Jun-14

Market PriceYGG Class-A Scrap…

Scrap Steel PriceRMB/kg

12

Experienced and Stable Management Team

Hsien-Ming ChangFounder and ChairmanOver 35-yrs experienceChairman of YGG Co.

Andy Tsai Vice Chairman37-yrs experience General Manager of Shieh-Yih Machinery Co.Metal Industries R&D Centre

Fred KongVice President, Sales Director8-yrs experience General Manager of Suzhou Liang-Chi Motor Vice President of Suzhou TECO Co.

Wen-Lung ChangExecutive Vice PresidentChairman of YGA Co.23-yrs experience General Manager of YGG Co.

Rui GuoVice President, R&D Director18-yrs experience Engineer of Jiang-Dong Machinery Co.

Ching-Hsiung Hsu Vice PresidentGeneral Manager of Ning-Po YGS Co.40-yrs experience Vice President of Chen-Hsing Industrial Co.

Wu-Chi Chen Executive Vice PresidentGeneral Manager of Dong-Guan YGD Co.44-yrs experience Vice President of YGG Co.

Vicky LinVice President, Finance Director10-yrs experience Deloitte Taiwan

Tai-Fon Lin Vice PresidentGeneral Manager of Ning-Po YGL Co.10-yrs experience Vice President of GS Machinery Co.

Manage‐mentTeam

13

Competitive Edge

Strategy for Sustained Growth

Diversified Revenue Stream

YGG Value Creation

14

1st Source Supplier to Global Leaders

15

Revenue by Application

41%

26% 27%

6%

48%

25%22%

5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Wind Power InjectionMolding

IndustrialMachinery

MedicalEquipment

2014/2013 Sales Breakdown by

Application

2013 2014

37%

26%28%

8%

60%

20%

14%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Wind Power InjectionMolding

IndustrialMachinery

MedicalEquipment

15Q1/14Q1 Sales Breakdown by

Application

14Q1 15Q1

16

S group, 19.4%

GE energy, 12.4%Nordex, 7.8%

Gamesa, 7.5%

Elekta, 5.7%

Engel, 3.5%

Milacron, 3.5%

Envision, 3.2%

K, 3.0% Sumitomo DEMAG, 2.8%

15Q1 Revenue by Customer15Q1 Main Customers 15Q1 Top 5 Wind Power customers

15Q1 Top 5 Injection Molding Machine Customers 15Q1 Top 5 Industrial Machinery Customers

Main customer chart is % of YGG total sales. All other charts are percent of sales for that segment. 

33%

21%

13% 12%

5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

S group GE energy Nordex Gamesa Envision

17% 17%

15%14%

7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Engel Milacron K SumitomoDEMAG

Nissei

14%

9%

5% 4% 4%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

 Atlas  Bobst  Zitai  Wartsila  Yamada

17

S Group, 12.2%

GE Energy, 11.4%

Nordex, 7.9%Elekta, 6.0%

Engel, 5.6%

Milacron, 4.6%

Gamesa, 3.7%

Sumitomo DEMAG, 3.4%

K, 3.4%H, 3.4%

2014/2013 Revenue by Customer

2013 Main Customers

Main customer chart is % of YGG total sales. All other charts are percent of sales for that segment. 

S Group, 15.8%

GE Energey, 11.0%

Nordex, 6.4%Engel, 5.2%

Elekta, 5.1%

Milacron, 4.7%

Gamesa, 4.6%

K, 3.3%

SACMI, 2.9%

Sumitomo DEMAG, 2.9%

2014 Main Customers

18

Competitive Edge

Strategy for Sustained Growth

Diversified Revenue Stream

YGG Value Creation

19

YGG 5‐Year Goals

New Products, New Customers

Establish New Production Base

(Thailand, Taichung)

Increase Total Capacity by 75%

To be One of The World’s Leading Manufacturer of Ductile Casting Iron

20

New Products, New Customers

Product Customer

Wind Power* Worldwide Windmill Producers

Earth-Moving and Agricultural Equipment

Automotive Stamping Molds

Overhead Cranes, Infrastructure

US Multinationals

Major Global Automaker

Manufacturers, Municipalities

*Existing application

We are receiving enthusiastic interest from new and existing customers. This should increasingly allow YGG to pick and choose our products, leading to a higher end product mix and enhanced profitability.

Note: These are product areas and customers that we are targeting to drive growth. In most cases, there are no commitments from customers to do business with YGG at this time, though in most cases target customers have expressed interest in YGG or have approached us.

21

Consolidating Share in a Fragmented, Growing Market

Market GrowthMarket Growth

YGG as ConsolidatorYGG as Consolidator

Industry Trends Favor YGG

Industry Trends Favor YGG

Modern Casting Magazine estimates that global shipments of ductile iron reach a total of 25.06mn tonnes in 2013. Worldwide top 5 countries is Chinese, Germany, Japan, India and South Korea.  

YGG’s share of the global ductile cast iron market is only 0.5% and our output represents only 1% of the total output of Chinese foundries. 

Given the high number of small and inefficient players in the market (30K foundries in China alone), we believe that we can steadily increase our share. 

One of the ductile iron industry’s most pronounced trends is the migration of production capacity to Asia, in particular China, India and South Korea. While production output in these countries has risen rapidly, there has been a steady decline in production in Europe, Japan and Russia. 

YGG is one of a handful independent foundries that can meet the quality and quantity demands for large modern castings. YGG has been upgrading its facilities while competitors in mature markets have been scaling down their output. For example, from 2007‐2013, average annual output per foundry in Japan declined from 4,089 tonnes to 2,656 tonnes.

22

• Shipments: We target 2015 shipments of 150,000 tonnes, +10% YoY growth.

• Product Mix:

• Capex:We plan to spend a total of NT$2.5bn on facility investment in 2015‐2017. 2014 total capex spending was NT$548mn.

2015 Outlook

(% of total revenue) 2013 2014E 2015F

Energy 41 48  55‐60

Plastic Injection Molding 26  25 40‐45Industrial Machinery & 

Others33 27 

23

Our Commitment to Shareholders

• We pledge that our primary focus will be the maximization of returns to our shareholders via the profitable long‐term growth of our ductile iron casting business

• We aim to sustain revenue and earnings growth superior to that of our peers and the overall industry

• We intend to maintain a cash dividend payout in excess of 50%

24

Financial Results

25

4,031 

3,179 

4,425 

5,261  5,261 5,899 

7,206 

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

467 387 

572 

402 

547 

861 

1,349 

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

11.6% 12.2%12.9%

7.6%

10.4%

14.6%

18.7%

25.7% 25.9% 25.0%

20.0%

23.1%

28.6%31.5%

Revenues    NTD$ million

Gross Margin %

Operating Profit NTD$ million

Operating Margin %

2008‐2014 Revenues and Operating Profit

26

367 267

466

298 370

541

1,002

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

6.46

4.05

5.83

3.72 3.795.36

9.78

EPS NTD Net Income NTD$ million

14.1

7.8

10.8

6.3 6.9

9.0

14.1

5.7

6.0

7.0

3.8 4.4

6.8

9.9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ROE % ROA %

2008‐2014 Financial Highlights

27

Five‐year P&L (Consolidated)

NTD$ million

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

SalesRevenue

3,179  4,425  5,261  5,261  5,899 7,206

Gross Profit 825  1,108  1,052  1,215  1,687 2,258

OP Profit 387  572  402  547  861 1,349

Incomebefore tax

319  573  368  464  730 1,321

Net Income 267  466  298  370  541 1,002

EPS (NTD$) 4.05  5.83  3.72  3.79  5.36 9.78 

YOY (%)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

39.2  18.9  0.0  12.1  22.2 

34.3  (5.1) 15.5  38.8  33.8 

47.9  (29.8) 36.1  57.4  56.5 

79.7  (35.9) 26.2  57.3  81.1 

74.5  (36.2) 24.5  46.2  85.1 

44.0  (36.2) 1.9  41.4  82.5 

28

NT$ million 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YOY (%)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

TOTAL ASSETS 6,366  6,999  8,627  8,365  9,506 11,678 9.9  23.3  (3.0) 13.6  22.9 

Cash 503  688  944  1,430  1,557 2,942 36.7  37.2  51.5  8.9  89.0 

NR & AR 841  1,255  1,654  1,403  1,938 1,994 49.3  31.7  (15.1) 38.1  2.9 

Inventory 775  661  992  941  1,106 1,411 (14.8) 50.2  (5.2) 17.5  27.6 

Fixed Asset 3,112  3,826  4,338  3,997  4,021 4,310 23.0  13.4  (7.9) 0.6  7.2

TOTAL LIABILITIES 2,126  2,541  3,544  2,664  3,207 3,621 19.5  39.5  (24.8) 20.4  12.9 

Bank Loans 1,334  1,883  2,649  1,856  1,789 412 41.2  40.7  (29.9) (3.6) (77.0)

NP & AP 343  403  553  478  977 1,200 17.4  37.4  (13.5) 104.4  22.8 

Accrued Expenses  99  125  162  175  274 405 26.1  30.1  7.7  56.6  48.0 

TOTAL EQUITY 4,240  4,458  5,083  5,702  6,299 8,057 5.1  14.0  12.2  10.5  27.9

Capital 32  800  800  1,009  1,009 1,049 2,376  0.0  26.1  0.0  4.0

Additional Paid‐in Capital

3,934  3,166  3,166  3,548  3,548 4,046 (19.5) 0.0  12.1  0.0  14.0 

Retained Earnings 345  811  1,109  1,316  1,666 2,315 135.0  36.7  18.7  26.6  38.9 

A/R Turnover Days 111 89 102 107 106 102

Inventory Turnover Days

125 81 75 91 92 96

A/P Turnover Days 71 41 41 47 63 80

Five‐year Balance Sheet (Consolidated)

29

Dividend Payout

( NTD Million ) 2011 2012 2013 2014

Net income 298 370 541 1,002

Cash dividend 13 262 353 667

Dividend p/s (NT$) 0.15 2.6 3.5 6.36

Cash yield (%) 0.5*1 5.2*2 2.4 *3 3.8 *4

Payout ratio (%) 5% 71% 65% 65%

Notes:

1. 2011 yield is based on YGG’s closing share price on Oct 15, 2012; the day before ex-dividend day.

2. 2012 yield is based on YGG’s closing share price on August 8, 2013; the day before ex-dividend day.

3. 2013 yield is based on YGG’s closing share price on June 23, 2014; the day before ex-dividend day.

4. 2014 yield is based on YGG’s closing share price on March 13, 2015.

30

Quarterly P&L (Consolidated)

NTD$ million 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Sales Revenue

1,169 1,415 1,631 1,684 1,636 1,949 1,787 1,834

Gross Profit 296 367 484 540 491 641 562 564

OP Profit 135 166 260 300 294 404 313 338

Income before tax

113 162 249 206 267 398 297 359

Net Income 85 124 187 145 208 300 226 268

EPS (NTD$) 0.84 1.23 1.85 1.44 2.06 2.97 2.19 2.56

31

Appendix

32

The Casting Process

33

Casting Applications 

34

Welding Service

35

Assembly Service

36

Applications I

37

Applications II

38

Applications III

39

Scale Advantage 

• YGG is substantially larger than the average local Chinese foundry. In 2013, YGG’s ductile cast iron output accounted for 1.6% of total Chinese output, while there are nearly 30,000 foundries in China

Source:Modern Casting Magazine, 2013

2013 Primary Ductile Iron Producing Countries and Output

10.9

4.3

1.6 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.4

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Million Tonnes