1 FTTx in Telekom Slovenije Beyond NGA Matjaž Pogačnik, MBA Telekom Slovenije d.d. Brussels,...
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1
FTTx in Telekom SlovenijeBeyond NGA
Matjaž Pogačnik, MBATelekom Slovenije d.d.
Brussels, October 9th, 2008
2
Agenda
1. Slovenia and Telekom Slovenije2. Access and BB networks Telekom
Slovenije3. FTTx implementation4. Conclusion
3© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Area: 20.256 km²Population: 2.006,694Settlements: 5.988Cities over 10.000 16 (2 over
50.000)Households: 685.847BB access: 56 %CATV: 54 %
Short facts about Slovenia
4© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Telekom Slovenije: after successful diversification, a future focus will be on stronger integration
100% 83.38%100% 63.75%100% 50% 75%
100%
100%
100%100%
Slovenia
Mobileoperator
Slovenia
Construction and
maintenance of
telecom networks
Slovenia
Systems integrator
Slovenia
Telephone directory publisher
Bosnia-Herzegovina
ISP
Gibraltar
Telecom incumbent
Mobile portal
Saline
24%
M-Pay d.o.o. SloveniaMobile payment
Slovenia
Slovenia
Searchengine
Searchengine
Serbia Croatia Slovenia
Searchengine
Slovenia
Internet search engine
76%
70%75% 70%
Macedonia
ISP
Fixed licence
ISPAlbaniaKosovo
ISP and 2nd GSM license
ISPFixed
licence
Bosnia-Herzegovina
50%100%
5© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Agenda
1. Slovenia and Telekom Slovenije2. Access and BB networks Telekom
Slovenije3. FTTx implementation4. Conclusion
6© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Broadband in Telekom Slovenije
• March 2001: First commercial subscribers (ITU-T G.992.1 Annex B (ADSL/ISDN), ADSL packet 512/128 kbit/s)
• February 2003: ADSL packet 8192/768 kbit/s• September 2003: IP TV over ADSL (1 STB, ATM, mcast on BRAS)• September 2004: LLU• May 2005: Triple play @ ADSL2+ @ IP/Ethernet DSLAM • January 2007: VDSL2 • April 2007: First commercial FTTH subscribers • Triple play service: data, VoIP, IPTV (120 channels, HDTV, EPG,
VoD, nPVR, MPEG2 MPEG4); analogue TV over FTTH (80 channels)
• Prices: Triple play@30 EUR; standalone: 20/20 Mbit/s@26 EUR, IPTV@12 EUR, VoIP@14 EUR, CATV@12 EUR
7© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Strong infrastructure competition in SlovenijaQ2/2008 situation
• BB market share of TS is 48% (from 100% in 2004)• market share per technology:
– 23% Cable (0% TS)– 8% FTTH (25% TS)– 69% DSL (67% TS)
• FTTH subscriber growth taking up• Cable operators going for FTTH implementation• TS has 25% FTTH market share
FTTH in Slovenia: Telekom Slovenije is follower!
24,8
28,1 28,6
32,333,6
1,7
8,6
24,0
28,2
30,5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
dec. 04 dec. 05 dec. 06 jun. 07 dec.07
%
EU SI
Comparison of LLU and BSA over xDSL EU and SI (Source:EU)
8© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Market share of alternative operators is increasing
Število xDSL priključkov po operaterjih v SIVir: TS
73.65492.904
119.348 132.705148.722 159.984 171.622 177.611
920
1.664
11.244
28.732
48.38863.075
76.37986.221
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
dec.04 jun.05 dec.05 jun.06 dec.06 jun.07 dec.07 jun.08
Telekom Ostali
• Number of xDSL subscribers growing• Market share of alternative operators increasing
(Q2/2008 = >30%)
Deleži operaterjev na trgu xDSL v SI (PRD + SRD + BSA)Vir: TS
98,891,4
82,275,5 71,7 69,2 67,3
1,28,6
17,824,5 28,3 30,8 32,7
98,2
1,8
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
dec.04 jun.05 dec.05 jun.06 dec.06 jun.07 dec.07 jun.08
Telekom OSTALI
9© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Alternatives migrating from BSA to LLUDeleži posameznih dostopov (PRD, SRD, BSA) novih vstopnikov v SI
Vir: TS
0,0
13,2
25,932,4
40,347,3 50,8
0,0
0,0
15,6
25,0
23,6
27,626,9
100,0
86,8
58,6
42,636,1
25,2 22,3
100,0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
dec.04 jun.05 dec.05 jun.06 dec.06 jun.07 dec.07 jun.08
PRD SRD BSA
• Fast progress in Ladder of investment• Market share of new DSL connections is in favour of
alternative operators
Deleži novih xDSL priključkov na trgu xDSL v SlovenijiVir: TS
96,3
73,4
43,3 44,9 43,4 46,737,8
3,7
26,6
56,7 55,1 56,6 53,362,2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
I.pol.05 II.pol.05 I.pol.06 II.pol.06 I.pol.07 II.pol.07 I.pol.08
Telekom Drugi
10© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Access networks today: last mile is relatively short, pairgain systems are bottleneck
BB Services:• HSI: 188.000• VoIP: 80.000 • IPTV: 60.000
Hitrost na ADSL/VDSL2 priključkih (IPBANi)
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0,1
0,3
0,5
0,7
0,9
1,1
1,3
1,5
1,7
1,9
2,1
2,3
2,5
2,7
2,9
3,1
3,3
3,5
3,7
3,9
4,1
4,3
4,5
4,7
4,9
zračna razdalja (km)
hit
rost
(kb
it/s
) ADSL povprečje DS vključeno
ADSL povprečje max DS
ADSL max hitrost DS
VDSL2 povprečje DS vključeno
VDSL2 max hitrost DS
VDSL2 povprečje max DS
Number of POTS, ISDN-BA, PRD
54%
23%
10%
5%4% 4%
do 1 km
do 2 km
do 3 km
do 4 km
nad 4 km
brez podatka
11© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Agenda
1. Slovenia and Telekom Slovenije2. Access and BB networks Telekom
Slovenije3. FTTx implementation4. Conclusion
12© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
FTTH milestones and objectives of Telekom Slovenia
• April 2007 - Mass P2P fiber deployment• Filling available ducts space
• 2008 - more focus on FTTN: • Civil works & available ducts• ’black holes’’ & pairgain reduction
• FTTH customers today:• 70.000 homes passed
• 13.500 customers– 0,1 % > 20/20 Mbit/s– 1 IPTV: 41 %– 2 IPTV: 19 %– CATV: 44 %– VoIP: 96 %
IPTV is the driver!
13© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
• P2P– Future proof (unlimited speed per subscriber - possibility of 10Gbit/s)– End-to-End Ethernet – no additional complexity– CPE is a mass market product– Greenfield players are deploying P2P
• PON +– Usually quoted reasons:
• Less fibres• Less space (CO, underground pipes)
– Not quoted reasons:• Preventing LLU• Impact of suppliers
• PON -– IPTV limited– Interoperability– Higher cost (SW + CPE)– More BW – upgrades?– No backward compatibility
P2P will prevail in long turn
• WHY CATV– Traditional customer prefers classical TV instead of IPTV today.
– CATV customer will be offered other services - IP services.
14© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
CATV
Internet
PC
Router
Transmitter
1550nmEDFA
Central office
Single-mode Fiber
TV
SDCajun P112T
LNK COL TXPWR NMA RED
9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8
17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24
NMA
RX RDX
Lucent Technologies
Triple Play Optical Ethernet Switch
5#Twisted Pair
Coaxial Cable
PSTN
Gateway
IP/POTS phone
CATV
Customer Premises
CATV
CATV Data
Data
Data
SDCajun P112T
LNK COL TXPWR NMA RED
9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8
17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24
NMA
RX RDX
Lucent Technologies
IPTV
CPE
Distribution Hub
Technical solution: P2P two fibers: IP + CATV
15© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
FTTx vs Others = why bother with FTTH?
• FTTH: – 2007: without civil works: 970 EUR– 2008: Urban areas: 1.310 EUR– 2008: Rural areas: 1.860 EUR– Up to 7.000 EUR/HH in rural areas!
• FTTB: – 24 port: 2.041 EUR– 48 port: 1.160 EUR– 96 port: 689 EUR
• FTTN: – 200 port: 815 EUR
• ADSL2+:– 240 port: 122 EUR
• VDSL2:– 216 port: 247 EUR
• Wimax:– 200 port: 650 EUR
Procent - št. večstanovanjskih objektov v razredu
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 180 190 200
Razred večstanovanjskega objekta (št. stanovanj)
Procent - št. večstanovanjskihobjektov v razredu
17© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
QoE: reliability and stability
• Different requests from different user groups (gaming vs IPTV)• Fault reports statistics have a strong seasonal extremes• FTTH solves the xDSL reliability and stability issue
TF in PRD prijave okvar 2001 - 2008
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
maj
01
okt
01
mar
02
avg
02
jan 0
3
jun 0
3
nov
03
apr
04
sep 0
4
feb
05
jul 0
5
dec
05
maj
06
okt
06
mar
07
avg
07
jan 0
8
TF centrale / delilniki TF dostop.omrežje TF naroč.naprave & napeljave TFostalo PRD
18© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Focus on applications, services and content
• HD programs only for FTTH customers• Ambient - videoarts in VoD (SD and HD)• Security package, WiFi AP• Siol Plac! Network storage
19© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Agenda
1. Slovenia and Telekom Slovenije2. Access and BB networks Telekom
Slovenije3. FTTx implementation4. Conclusion
20© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
FTTH is a must!• TS is follower in FTTH Main FTTH driver is competition• FTTN driven by services
• Build it and they come! NOT WORKING!• 3-4 parallel infrastructures - who will survive?• NGA is here!• Who will compensate for OTTs? BBC, Disney
TS expectations:• Market analyses and definition on sub-national level different
obligations in different areas and markets• Up-to-date market situation should be considered• Coherent approach to regulation (markets 4 and 5 together)• Symmetrical obligations for all FTTH players• Slovenija has unique situation!
22© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
14%
13%
6%
35%
10%
5%
17%
Optical port, 140 EUR
CATV port, 127 EUR
ODF, 60 EUR
Optical connection CO end-subscriber(sewage system, pypes, cables,joins, work), 330 EUR
Instalation in building, 100 EUR
Instalation in department, 50 EUR
CPE, 163 EUR
Price per FTTH subscriber in 2007 is 970 EUR
-120.000.000
-100.000.000
-80.000.000
-60.000.000
-40.000.000
-20.000.000
0
20.000.000
40.000.000
60.000.000
80.000.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
NPV
denarni tok
• BE in the 8th year • NPV in 10th year is 44 mio EUR• IRR = 16%
23© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Central Office:• Optical access L2/L3 switch is conected to LAS• Optical switches and CATV equipment must be placed in racks with fiber guides (like optical
distribution frames - ODF)• The ODF for access network is separated from the ODF for backbone • LC / APC connectors, interconnect
Access network: • Optical kable with 864 fibres from central office, splices in shafts • 2 fibres/residental subscriber, 4 fibres/business subscriber• From CO to subscriber without connectors – only splices
Costumer:• Optical fibres terminate in an outlet box with SC connectors. • Possibility of self install • CPE: WAN + 4port 10/100BaseT + 2port FXO/FXS SIP + RF+ WiFi + USB
FTTH elements
24© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
Central office
LAS
Obstoječi (MK) ODF
CATV Head end
IP RAS
F2 access cable
846 fiber
Existing backbone cable
25© Telekom Slovenije Confidential
CPE – one box fits all approach
WAN interface = 100baseFX (SM BiDi)
• 4x 10/100BaseTX LAN ports
• 2x RJ11 (SIP interface) – POTS (FXS)
• 2x USB host (possibility of WiFi interface 802.11g - USB stick)
• 1x RF COAX OUT in aditional unit with place for extra lenght of patchcords, MMC unit and power suply.