071214 i vox_express political survey_v1

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EXPRESS SOCIO SURVEY REPORT

Attitudes towards recent political events by Ukrainian population

December, 04-07, 2014

To the attention of Ambassador of Belgium to Ukraine, Mr.Luc Jacobs

On the occasion of the official visit to Ukraine

of Mr.Reynders, The Vice Prime Minister of Belgium

THE ENTIRE LIST OF THE POLITICAL EVENTS

UNDER THE “TEST”

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• Russian President Putin has threatened Ukraine (represented by its President Poroshenko) with the full-scale military invasion in the nearest future.

• New parliamentary coalition declared the intent of Ukraine to join NATO.

• Ukrainian government has suspended social expenses on the occupied territories of Donbass region (i.e. pensions, state expenses etc) as of Dec 1st, 2014.

• Prime minister Yatseniuk has announced pessimistic forecast (on continuous recession) of Ukrainian economy for 2015.

• USA and European bodies started providing Ukraine with modern non-lethal weaponry.

• The second wave of lustration of "old" officials started in Ukraine in the end of November.

• At the World TOP-20 leaders' summit in Australia, President Putin has been exposed to the aggressive critics by the participants for the situation in Eastern Ukraine.

• Three foreign specialists were invited and have joined the new government of Ukraine as the ministers.

• Terrorist attack by Chechen insurgents (rebels) on the governmental forces in Groznyi - the capital of Chechnia.

• The new Ukrainian Parliament has approved creation of the new Ministry: of information policy.

EXPRESS CONCLUSIONS

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The most positive perception receives the new wave of the second wave of lustration thatstarted in November (76%), the criticism, president Putin got faced on World TOP-20 summit(76%) and the fact, that USA and Europe started the provision of Ukraine with modern non-lethal weaponry (71%).

The respondents assess negatively the threats of president Putin to invade Ukraine in thenearest future (85%) and the prime minister’s Yatseniuk claim on the pessimistic forecast forUkrainian economics in 2015.

As the result of the survey, it was determined that respondents with the income below averageare more likely to assess the political events negatively than those with the average and aboveaverage income. On the contrary, the respondents with above average income tend to perceivepolitical events positively. Worth to mention, that men are more optimistic on the political eventsthan women.

Almost all events, studied upon the survey, were considered by the respondents as importantand scored more than 50%, except set up of the new ministry (of information policy) in theUkrainian government.

The respondents with income above average consider as more important (than those with thebelow average income) the following events: beginning of provision of Ukraine with the modernnon-lethal weaponry from the USA and Europe as well as the inclusion into the Cabinet ofMinisters of three foreign specialists as ministers.

UKRAINE’S OPINION ON RECENT POLITICAL EVENTS

NEGATIVE VS. POSITIVE

4Base: all respondents (N=508)

04-06 of December 2014

Please describe your opinion on the following latest events:

7

11

12

18

17

25

32

25

62

81

3

2

3

3

6

8

8

8

16

4

6

6

6

6

8

8

13

20

9

6

8

4

8

11

14

10

12

21

6

4

12

5

12

9

20

15

8

10

3

2

65

71

59

54

35

34

27

16

3

4

The new wave of lustration of "old" officials started in Ukrainein the end of November

On the world top-20 countries leaders' summit in Australia,President Putin was exposed to the critics of other…

USA and European bodies started provision of Ukraine withmodern non-mortal weaponry

New parliamentary coalition declared the intend of Ukraine toenter NATO

Three foreign specialists where invited and entered the newgovernment of Ukraine as its ministers

Ukarinain government suspended strating Dec 1st, the fundingof social expenses on the occupied territories of Donbass…

Attack of Chechen insurgents (rebels) on the governmantalforces in Groznyi - the capital of Chechnia

New Ukrainian parliament approved the creation of the newministry of information policy

Prime minister Yatseniuk announced the pessimistic forecast(on continous recession) of Ukrainian economy in 2015

Russian President Putin threatened Ukraine (represented byits president) with the full-scale military invasion in the…

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Index (out of 6)

B2B(1+2)

T2B(5+6)

5.1 10% 76%

5.0 14% 76%

4.8 15% 71%

4.5 21% 62%

4.2 23% 56%

3.8 33% 49%

3.3 40% 34%

3.3 32% 26%

1.8 79% 6%

1.5 85% 5%

%New (2nd) wave of lustration

Critics to Putin on the World TOP-20 summit in Australia

Supply of modern non-lethal weaponry

The new Coalition intends Ukraine to NATO

Three “expat” Ministers into new Ukrainian Cabinet

Suspend of funding of social expenses on the occupiedterritories

Attack of Chechen insurgents (rebels) in Groznyi

Set up of Ministry of information policy

Pessimistic forecast (of continuous recession) for 2015 by Yatseniuk

President Putin’s threats of the full-scale military invasion

positivenegative

Sort

ed b

y T

2B

B2B T2B

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New wave of lustration





Suspend of funding of social expenses on the occupied territories





THE PERCEPTION OF POLITICAL EVENTSNEGATIVE-POSITIVE BY INCOME

5


8

8

10

13

14

24

33

29

72

91

82

83

82

75

70

57

41

24

5

3

14

23

21

30

35

40

53

35

88

78

72

66

61

52

45

41

26

23

4

8

8

11

12

18

20

32

35

31

76

87

77

80

74

64

55

50

36

31

9

5

B2B (1+2) T2B (5+6)

below average average above averageA B C

Base: all respondents (see details)

Income

N=151 N=211 N=134

Sort

ed b

y T

2B

The respective value is significantly higher/lower at sig. level 95%

C

A

A

AB

C

* 2% of respondents refused to answer about their income











THE PERCEPTION OF POLITICAL EVENTSNEGATIVE-POSITIVE BY GENDER

6



Sort

ed b

y T

2B


82

82

79

69

61

57

44

25

7

9

71

71

64

57

51

42

26

27

5

2

Male (N=245) Female (N=264)

Т2В (5+6)

%



5

3

1

2

3

6

5

4

5

12

1

2

1

2

1

2

3

2

3

7

5

4

4

5

3

6

6

8

11

16

4

8

11

8

10

9

10

18

17

23

10

14

21

22

19

14

11

24

18

15

75

70

62

61

64

64

66

45

45

27

Russian President Putin threatened Ukraine (represented byits president) with the full-scale military invasion in the…

New parliamentary coalition declared the intend of Ukraine toenter NATO

Ukarinain government suspended strating Dec 1st, the fundingof social expenses on the occupied territories of Donbass…

Prime minister Yatseniuk announced the pessimistic forecast(on continous recession) of Ukrainian economy in 2015

USA and European bodies started provision of Ukraine withmodern non-mortal weaponry

The new wave of lustration of "old" officials started in Ukrainein the end of November

On the world top-20 countries leaders' summit in Australia,President Putin was exposed to the critics of other…

Three foreign specialists where invited and entered the newgovernment of Ukraine as its ministers

Attack of Chechen insurgents (rebels) on the governmantalforces in Groznyi - the capital of Chechnia

New Ukrainian parliament approved the creation of the newministry of information policy

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)



Suspend of funding of social expenses on the occupiedterritories





.




meanB2B

(1+2)T2B

(5+6)

5.4 6% 85%

5.4 4% 84%

5.4 2% 83%

5.3 4% 83%

5.3 4% 83%

5.1 8% 78%

5.2 8% 76%

4.9 6% 69%

4.8 8% 64%

4.0 19% 42%

% importantunimportant

B2B T2B

THE PERCEPTION OF POLITICAL EVENTSUNIMPORTANT-IMPORTANT

Sort

ed b

y T

2B











82%

80%

81%

85%

79%

75%

70%

64%

63%

33%

86%

86%

82%

84%

81%

78%

78%

67%

59%

48%

85%

85%

86%

78%

91%

79%

80%

79%

72%

43%

below average (N=151) average (N=211) above average (N=134)

8Base: all respondents (see details)


THE PERCEPTION OF POLITICAL EVENTSUNIMPORTANT-IMPORTANT BY INCOME LEVEL

Sort

ed b

y T

2B


Т2В (5+6)

B

A

A B C

* 2% of respondents refused to answer about their income











THE PERCEPTION OF POLITICAL EVENTSUNIMPORTANT-IMPORTANT BY GENDER

9



Sort

ed b

y T

2B


86

88

86

83

84

82

79

73

70

47

83

80

81

83

81

73

74

65

58

38

Male (N=245) Female (N=264)

Т2В (5+6)

%

METHODOLOGY & RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

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Research ObjectivesStudy of the public opinion upon political situation in Ukraine.

Data collection methodOnline survey based on iVOX panel of respondents across Ukraine.

Target groupMen and women aged 16-59 years in all regions of Ukraine.

GeographyUkraine, all types of settlements, all regions (excluding Crimea).

Effective sample size508 respondents. The sample is representative to general population of Ukraine (See above. "Geography") by gender, age, geography of residence. Stat. error= 4,3% at 95% reliability of the method.

Length of interview~ 4 minutes

Data collection period: 04-06 of December, 2014

Gender

Male 48%

Female 52%

Age

16-29 30%

30-44 37%

45-59 33%

Region

Kiev 6%

North 9%

West 23%

Center 12%

South 14%

East 36%

Income

We do not have enough money even for food 2%

We have enough money for food, but to buy clothing will be difficult

27%

We have enough money for food and clothing, but buying a TV, refrigerator or a washing machine is difficult

42%

We can buy the basic household appliances, but we cant afford a car

23%

Our resources are not enough to buy an apartment or private house

3%

If necessary, we can buy an apartment or a house 0.02%

Refused to answer 2%

Level of income

Below average 29%

Average 42%

Above average 27%

SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF THE SAMPLE


RFQ us: [email protected]

IVOX ONLINE CONSUMER PANEL,

THE QUALITY LEADER IN UKRAINE

The pioneer of the Ukrainian market, since 2008.

The panel members have been recruited gradually during 4 years, specifically for research purpose only.

No artificial acquisition (purchase of database or similar); all panelists were engaged consciously.

Double opt-in registration.

Deeply profiled panel => good quality of targeting respondents.

Well balanced by sources of recruitment: 40+ online sources + 10% offline recruitment.

Very moderate deterioration of the panel. We conduct on average about 3 effective interviews per year / one panelist.

mailto:[email protected]

iVOX Ukraine

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071214 i vox_express political survey_v1

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