DEMOGRAPHICS...DEMOGRAPHICS Sub-Saharan Africa 7.BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA FEDERAL OFFICE FOR...
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Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger DEMOGRAPHICS Sub-Saharan Africa 7 .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
Transcript of DEMOGRAPHICS...DEMOGRAPHICS Sub-Saharan Africa 7.BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA FEDERAL OFFICE FOR...
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
DEMOGRAPHICSSub-Saharan Africa
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.BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
.BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
DEMOGRAPHICSSub-Saharan Africa
Preface | Wolfgang Taucher, Mathias Vogl, Peter Webinger .....................6
Sub-Saharan Africa .....................................................................................7
Mauritania .......................................................................................................9
Senegal ............................................................................................................11
The Gambia .....................................................................................................13
Guinea-Bissau .................................................................................................15
Guinea .............................................................................................................17
Sierra Leone ....................................................................................................19
Liberia ..............................................................................................................21
Côte d'Ivoire .....................................................................................................23
Mali ..................................................................................................................25
Burkina Faso ...................................................................................................27
Ghana ..............................................................................................................29
Togo ..................................................................................................................31
Benin ................................................................................................................33
Niger .................................................................................................................35
Nigeria .............................................................................................................37
Cameroon ........................................................................................................39
Contents
Chad .................................................................................................................41
Central African Republic .................................................................................43
Sudan ...............................................................................................................45
South Sudan ....................................................................................................47
Eritrea ..............................................................................................................49
Djibouti .............................................................................................................51
Ethiopia ............................................................................................................53
Somalia ............................................................................................................55
Sources ..........................................................................................................58
Imprint ............................................................................................................60
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Wolfgang Taucher Mathias Vogl Peter WebingerDirector of the Federal Office Director-General for Deputy Director-Generalfor Immigration and Asylum Legal Affairs for Legal Affairs
Austrian Federal Ministry Austrian Federal Ministry Austrian Federal Ministryof the Interior of the interior of the interior
The 7th edition of our regiones et res publicae series continues to focus on demographic trends. This time, we will be looking at sub-Saharan Africa, a region which is to experience a substantial demographic leap in the next decade.
As we have previously argued, demographic trends are just one potential indicator of migration flows. However, considering the scope of the demographic developments in sub-Saharan Africa, it is highly likely that we are to witness an increase in migration flows – be it regional or transcontinental.
As is the case with the Middle East and North Africa, an understanding of the population trends of this region will help comprehend the migration dynamics in the coming decade.
This edition was published in collaboration with the International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD).
Preface
7
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
8
Total population
Age distribution
563 552 441 641 619 153 727 056 590 819 472 764
0–19 years 20–64 years
49,8
3%
50,1
7%
65+ years
Gender ratio
49,7
8%
50,2
2%
49,7
5%
50,2
5%
49,7
3%
50,2
7%
female male
3,00%
2020
2015
2030
2025
42,83%
54,18%
3,05%
43,89%
53,06%
3,15%
45,24%
51,61%
3,30%
46,71%
49,99%
9
MAURITANIA
10
Total population
Age distribution
4 182 341 4 783 767 5 416 711 6 076 668
0–19 years 20–64 years
49,6
4%
50,3
6%
65+ years
Gender ratio
49,5
6%
50,4
4%
49,5
1%
50,4
9%
49,5
1%
50,4
9%
female male
3,10%
2020
2015
2030
2025
46,37%
50,53%
3,23%
47,36%
49,41%
3,52%
48,29%
48,20%
3,87%
49,34%
46,80%
11
SENEGAL
12
Total population
Age distribution
14 976 994 17 200 154 19 576 78022 123 230
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
2,99%
43,46%
53,55%
3,04%
44,22%
52,74%
3,15%
45,35%
51,50%
3,35%
47,02%
49,63%
50,9
2%
49,0
8%
50,8
1%
49,1
9%
50,7
1%
49,2
9%
50,6
3%
49,3
7%
female male
13
THE GAMBIA
14
Total population
Age distribution
1 977 590 2 293 4932 635 740
3 000 667
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,33%
41,19%
56,48%
2,40%
42,12%
55,48%
2,55%
43,49%
53,95%
2,76%
45,16%
52,08%
50,5
0%
49,5
0%
50,5
1%
49,4
9%
50,5
1%
49,4
9%
50,5
1%
49,4
9%
female male
15
GUINEA-BISSAU
16
Total population
Age distribution
1 770 526 2 000 694 2 241 865 2 492 580
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,88%
44,91%
52,22%
3,16%
45,67%
51,18%
3,24%
46,81%
49,95%
3,34%
48,51%
48,15%
50,8
4%
49,1
6%
50,7
4%
49,2
6%
50,6
5%
49,3
5%
50,6
0%
49,4
0%
female male
17
GUINEA
18
Total population
Age distribution
12 091 533 13 750 826
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
15 611 60017 631 380
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,05%
43,61%
53,33%
3,25%
44,51%
52,24%
3,43%
45,72%
50,85%
3,58%
47,16%
49,26%
49,8
9%
50,1
1%
49,8
3%
50,1
7%
49,7
9%
50,2
1%
49,7
7%
50,2
3%
female male
19
SIERRA LEONE
20
Total population
Age distribution
7 237 025 8 046 931
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
8 873 984 9 719 531
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,50%
43,86%
53,63%
2,53%
45,41%
52,06%
2,60%
47,43%
49,98%
2,76%
49,71%
47,53%
50,5
1%
49,4
9%
50,4
4%
49,5
6%
50,3
9%
49,6
1%
50,3
6%
49,6
4%
female male
21
LIBERIA
22
Total population
Age distribution
4 499 621 5 103 853 5 770 0966 495 377
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,02%
44,02%
52,96%
3,12%
45,14%
51,75%
3,29%
46,67%
50,04%
3,53%
48,11%
48,36%
49,5
9%
50,4
1%
49,4
9%
50,5
1%
49,4
2%
50,5
8%
49,3
7%
50,6
3%
female male
23
CÔTE D'IVOIRE
24
Total population
Age distribution
23 108 472
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
26 171 750 29 590 63133 337 306
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,89%
43,40%
53,71%
2,97%
44,31%
52,72%
3,05%
45,15%
51,79%
3,13%
46,02%
50,85%
49,2
5%
50,7
5%
49,4
7%
50,5
3%
49,6
6%
50,3
4%
49,8
2%
50,1
8%
female male
25
MALI
26
Total population
Age distribution
17 467 90520 284 180
23 475 74727 057 112
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,53%
39,00%
58,47%
2,48%
39,41%
58,10%
2,43%
40,69%
56,88%
2,44%
42,54%
55,02%
49,9
9%
50,0
1%
49,9
0%
50,1
0%
49,8
2%
50,1
8%
49,7
6%
50,2
4%
female male
27
BURKINA FASO
28
Total population
Age distribution
18 110 624 20 903 34523 991 225
27 382 488
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,41%
41,15%
56,44%
2,41%
42,18%
55,41%
2,52%
43,55%
53,93%
2,70%
45,20%
52,10%
50,2
0%
49,8
0%
50,0
3%
49,9
7%
49,9
0%
50,1
0%
49,8
1%
50,1
9%
female male
29
GHANA
30
Total population
Age distribution
27 582 821 30 733 755 33 969 758 37 294 019
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,39%
47,38%
49,23%
3,39%
48,63%
47,98%
3,66%
49,72%
46,62%
4,03%
51,13%
44,84%
50,2
4%
49,7
6%
50,1
1%
49,8
9%
50,0
2%
49,9
8%
49,9
5%
50,0
5%
female male
31
TOGO
32
Total population
Age distribution
7 416 802 8 384 291 9 411 356 10 507 241
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,79%
44,95%
52,26%
2,90%
45,80%
51,30%
3,05%
47,28%
49,66%
3,29%
48,96%
47,75%
50,1
7%
49,8
3%
50,1
2%
49,8
8%
50,1
0%
49,9
0%
50,0
9%
49,9
1%
female male
33
BENIN
34
Total population
Age distribution
10 575 952
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
12 122 985 13 809 46715 628 437
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,23%
43,01%
53,76%
3,28%
44,13%
52,59%
3,40%
45,30%
51,30%
3,60%
46,58%
49,82%
50,1
7%
49,8
3%
50,0
6%
49,9
4%
49,9
9%
50,0
1%
49,9
4%
50,0
6%
female male
35
NIGER
36
Total population
Age distribution
19 896 965
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
24 074 69329 078 590
34 993 540
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,54%
36,93%
60,52%
2,58%
36,65%
60,77%
2,66%
37,03%
60,31%
2,75%
37,72%
59,53%
49,9
0%
50,1
0%
49,7
9%
50,2
1%
49,7
0%
50,3
0%
49,6
4%
50,3
6%
female male
37
NIGERIA
38
Total population
Age distribution
181 181 744
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
206 152 701 233 691 888264 067 527
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,74%
42,86%
54,41%
2,74%
43,16%
54,10%
2,81%
44,05%
53,15%
2,92%
45,27%
51,82%
49,3
5%
50,6
5%
49,3
0%
50,7
0%
49,2
7%
50,7
3%
49,2
5%
50,7
5%
female male
39
CAMEROON
40
Total population
Age distribution
22 834 522
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
25 958 184 29 339 083 32 979 644
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,16%
43,31%
53,53%
3,16%
44,19%
52,65%
3,19%
45,61%
51,20%
3,32%
47,37%
49,31%
49,9
7%
50,0
3%
49,9
3%
50,0
7%
49,9
1%
50,0
9%
49,9
1%
50,0
9%
female male
41
CHAD
42
Total population
Age distribution
14 009 413
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
16 285 09318 775 565
21 459 963
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,46%
38,80%
58,74%
2,52%
39,96%
57,51%
2,56%
41,49%
55,95%
2,58%
43,25%
54,16%
49,9
5%
50,0
5%
49,9
3%
50,0
7%
49,9
2%
50,0
8%
49,9
2%
50,0
8%
female male
43
CENTRAL AFRICANREPUBLIC
44
Total population
Age distribution
4 546 100
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
4 920 889 5 488 896 6 123 615
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,66%
41,27%
55,07%
3,62%
42,43%
53,95%
3,58%
44,84%
51,58%
3,57%
46,95%
49,49%
50,6
8%
49,3
2%
50,6
7%
49,3
3%
50,6
6%
49,3
4%
50,6
6%
49,3
4%
female male
45
SUDAN
46
Total population
Age distribution
38 647 803
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
43 541 203 48 999 711 54 842 478
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,46%
44,12%
52,42%
3,69%
45,59%
50,72%
3,91%
47,33%
48,75%
4,18%
48,83%
46,99%
50,0
5%
49,9
5%
50,0
0%
50,0
0%
49,9
7%
50,0
3%
49,9
6%
50,0
4%
female male
47
SOUTH SUDAN
48
Total population
Age distribution
11 882 136
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
13 610 007 15 395 477 17 254 367
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,47%
43,47%
53,06%
3,39%
44,93%
51,68%
3,44%
46,23%
50,32%
3,62%
47,59%
48,79%
49,9
2%
50,0
8%
49,8
6%
50,1
4%
49,8
1%
50,1
9%
49,7
8%
50,2
2%
female male
49
ERITREA
50
Total population
Age distribution
4 846 976
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
5 432 216 6 056 880 6 717 687
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,65%
44,08%
52,26%
3,50%
44,94%
51,56%
3,47%
47,15%
49,39%
3,49%
49,97%
46,54%
49,9
1%
50,0
9%
49,8
7%
50,1
3%
49,8
3%
50,1
7%
49,8
1%
50,1
9%
female male
51
DJIBOUTI
52
Total population
Age distribution
927 414
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
999 899 1 069 009 1 132 710
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
4,10%
53,42%
42,48%
4,40%
56,07%
39,53%
5,01%
57,96%
37,03%
5,87%
59,00%
35,13%
49,8
0%
50,2
0%
49,8
4%
50,1
6%
49,9
0%
50,1
0%
49,9
6%
50,0
4%
female male
53
ETHIOPIA
54
Total population
Age distribution
99 873 033
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
112 759 070 126 120 682 139 620 178
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,48%
43,12%
53,40%
3,59%
46,01%
50,39%
3,77%
48,71%
47,52%
3,97%
51,00%
45,03%
50,0
8%
49,9
2%
50,0
6%
49,9
4%
50,0
5%
49,9
5%
50,0
5%
49,9
5%
female male
55
SOMALIA
56
Total population
Age distribution
13 908 129
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
16 105 17418 665 849
21 535 019
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,69%
39,59%
57,72%
2,77%
40,36%
56,87%
2,81%
41,13%
56,06%
2,84%
42,19%
54,97%
50,1
8%
49,8
2%
50,1
8%
49,8
2%
50,1
9%
49,8
1%
50,2
0%
49,8
0%
female male
58
Sources
DataUnited Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, DVD Edition.
MapsGeoatlas®, Graphi-Ogre, www.geoatlas.com
60
Imprint
Published byWolfgang Taucher Mathias Vogl Peter Webinger
Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior Herrengasse 7 I 1010 Vienna I [email protected]
Editors Alexander Schahbasi, Thomas Schrott I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
ResearchMartin Hofmann I International Centre for Migration Policy Development
Editorial TeamSarah Kratschmayr, Marina Prohaska I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
Layout & Infographic DesignNatalie Raskovic, Martin Angel I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
PrintAustrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
DisclaimerThe content of this publication was researched and edited with utmost care. Liability for the correctness, completeness and up-to-dateness of contents cannot be incurred. The Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior, the publishers, editors and individuals involved in the publication do not assume any liability for possible damages or consequences arising from the usage, application or dissemination of the contents offered. The responsibility for the correctness of information provided by third parties lies with respective publishers and thus excludes liability by the publishers and editors of this volume. The contents of this publication do not represent positions of the Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior or the editors. The boundaries on the maps used in this publication do not imply official endorsement of acceptance. The publication does not claim completeness and is based on the quoted sources.
CopyrightThis publication and all the data therein are protected by copyright. All rights of utilization are reserved to the Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior. Reproduction and distribution in any possible way – for com-mercial and non-commercial usage – are prohibited without prior written permission by the editors.
ISBN 978-3-903109-11-7
© 2018 Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
Notes
Notes
Notes
1
2
DEM
OG
RAP
HIC
S
SOMALIASecurity, Minorities & Migration
AFGHANISTAN2014 and beyond
regiones et res publicae - Country Analysis Reports
www.bmi.gv.atwww.staatendokumentation.at
ISBN 978-3-903109-11-7
PAKISTANChallenges & Perspectives3
THE KURDSHistory - Religion - Language - Politics4
5SYRIA, IRAQ & AFGHANISTANMapping migration, social media and topography
6DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
7DEMOGRAPHICSSub-Saharan Africa
