Post on 14-Feb-2016
description
Wind Energy in Ireland
Michael WalshIrish Wind Energy Association
Overview
• Ireland’s Resource
• Ireland’s Energy System
• Achieving High Renewable Penetration
• Observations for the Future
Resources & Capabilities
Wind Generation Costs
Ardnacrusha 1927
Thermal Unit
Wind Unit
Household electricity prices, 2007
Source: Eurostat
Irish Power System
• Transmission Stations 113
• 110kV Feeders 3848 km*
• 220kV Feeders 1729 km*
• 400kV Feeders 439 km*
• 3 Interconnections to NIE
ROI Targets• 16% of energy to come from renewables by 2020
• 40% of electricity to come from renewables by 2020
Wind Energy in Ireland Today and IWEA projections for 2020
2009 2020
Installed capacity
1200 MW 8,250 MW *
Number of turbines
900 ~4500
Electricity generation
2663 GWh 16425 GWh ROI 5256 GWh UK
Share in net electricity consumption
8 % 40% ROI1.4% UK
*2,000 MW for export to UK
System Demand from Wind
00:0001:00
02:0003:00
04:0005:00
06:0007:00
08:0009:00
10:0011:00
12:0013:00
14:0015:00
16:0017:00
18:0019:00
20:0021:00
22:0023:00
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00% 40.38%
7th May8th May9th May10th May
Hour
Win
d Po
wer
Pen
etra
tion
(%)
Achieving 40% Wind
• Finance
• Grid
• Planning
• System Integration
• Community
Achieving 40% Wind
• Finance
• Grid
• Planning
• System Integration
• Community
Finance
• Support Systems are driving development in Ireland and most of the EU– Feed in Tariff in Ireland provides a floor of €75/MWhr– ROC System in UK provides top up revenue of £50/MWhr
• Market Integration is a policy priority• Market Structures under pressure with new power
systems– More capital intensive cost base– Low marginal generation costs
• More risk sensitive finance providers
Trend in Average Daily SMP
Stabilise Policy
• Difficult credit environment
• Clarity is essential
• Regulatory systems and market design should
promote market certainty
• Scope to improve BES scheme
Achieving 40% Wind
• Finance
• Grid
• Planning
• System Integration
• Community
Areas Outside
Standards in 2010
2013 to 2016
Developing the Grid - Grid252,200 km Upgrades
1,150 km New Build
€4 billion
€4 bn
*Reinforcement Corridors
EirGrid Off-Shore Grid
Study
Achieving 40% Wind
• Finance
• Grid
• Planning
• System Integration
• Community
Planning
• Expiring permissions
• European Directives
Expiring Permissions
• Long lead time for Grid Connections
• Planning Consents typically expire after 5 years
• NI system requires Grid applicants to have a planning permission
Overview
• Ireland and New Zealand
• International Factors
• Ireland’s Energy System
• Achieving High Renewable Penetration
• Observations for the Future
Observations
1. A long term energy strategy is a necessary first step2. Markets need to value the full energy product
– Energy– Secure supply– Price stability– Strategic Energy Security– Carbon Costs and Benefits
3. System Operation with large wind is achievable
Observations
4. Consistent application of a strategy between agencies is a make or break factor
5. Other industries are impacted web farms, supply chain etc.
6. Copenhagen is not the end of the process on international agreement
7. Community and society involvement essential
www.iwea.com