The Basics of Oil Trading Episode 1

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Transcript of The Basics of Oil Trading Episode 1

THE BASICS OF OIL TRADINGBy Maruli Tua Sinambela & Rekhmen Abadi

Analisa TeknikalAnalisa Teknikal adalah analisa yang menggunakan data pergerakan harga

berdasarkan pola, karakter dimasa lalu dari suatu instrumen transaksi

dan menggunakan data data tersebut untuk memprediksikan arah pergerakan di masa depan.

TYPES OF CHART• Line Chart

Based on closing price

• Bar ChartBased on Open, High, Low, Close

• Candle-stick ChartBased on Open, High, Low, Close

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS• Candlestick merupakan bagian dari

analisa teknikal

• Merupakan catatan pergerakan harga dalam interval waktu yang dipilih

• Harga pembukaan, harga tertinggi, harga terendah dan penutupan harga tercatat dengan jelas

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

Up Trend

Down Trend

Sideways

Level buy & Level sell

SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

Support Line

Support Line

Resistance Line

Resistance Line

NEW TREND

Resistance Line

Support Line

Sell

SellBuy

Buy

New Direction

New Direction

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSDOUBLE TOP & DOUBLE BOTTOM (REVERSAL PATTERN)

B

A C

A

B

C

Double Top

Double Top

Double Bottom

Double Bottom

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

HEAD AND SHOULDER (REVERSAL FORMATION)

Neckline

B

A C

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

Head and Shoulders

Head and Shoulders

Head and Shoulders

Inverse Head & Shoulders

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSTRIANGLE (Continuation or Reversal Pattern)

Symmetrical Triangles Decending Triangles

Ascending Triangles

Candlestick Cheat Sheet single

Candlestick Cheat Sheet double

Candlestick Cheat Sheet triple

Level buy & Level sell

TREND

OIL

What’s coming next

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSTRADING TECHNIQUES

1. Have a Trading Plan; select your time session candle chart

2. Find your Resistance and Support

3. START TRADING

4. Always Use Stop Loss Order

MARKET UPDATECRUDE OIL

Market Update: Crude Oil WTI • Minyak (WTI) merosot drastis sekitar 60%an dari puncak tahun lalu!

• Tekanannya tersebut membawa harga ke zona penting (key range area)!

Minyak (WTI) dalam tekanan!FACTORS:• Penguatan USD ke level psikologis $100, karena potensi kenaikan

suku bunga AS (15-16/Des/2015)

• Surplus (kelebihan) supply minyak dunia, karena revolusi minyak shale AS, masih dipertahankannya produksi minyak OPEC, dan kekhawatiran tekanan demand karena melemahnya ekonomi China.

FOCUS:• OPEC Meeting (4/Des/2015) – Apakah akan pangkas produksi

minyaknya? (Juli 2015 hit 31,88 jt bph, rekor tertinggi yang tercatat Reuters. Sementara di Oktober 2015 ada di 31,64 jt bph).

• FOMC Meeting (15-16/Des/2015) – probabilitas kenaikan suku bunga AS November ini >70% (versus <40% Oktober sebelumnya!

What do the charts say:

Crude Oil WTI

Indeks USD

What do the charts say:

Crude Oil WTI

Indeks USD

What do the charts say:

What do the charts say: