Technology: The Next 15 Years

Presented byChris Chirgwin

CEO, Lanspeed

The Scope of Technology Today

1.25 billion active users on Facebook each month, spending an average of 21 minutes per day

Average U.S. adult spends 5 hours and 46 minutes on computing devices per day

50% of all Internet users are in the Asia region

Every Second

Broadband Trends

More mobile (smartphone) users than desktop/tablet users for accessing Internet.

The Central Coast receives a “D” grade for broadband.

Moore’s Law“the number of transistors on an

integrated circuit have been doubling roughly every 18 to 24 months.”

“We won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will be more like 20,000 years of progress”

Ray KurzweilAuthor, entrepreneur, futurist and

inventor

In just 40 years, the technology experienced a 100 billion-fold improvement,

right on schedule for Moore's Law.

2012 7.1 billion

transistors, a gate length of 28 nanometers. Cost .0000001 per transistor.

1958 First circuit

consisted of 2 transistors.

54 Years

We now have the ability to sequence a full human genome for under $1,000.

The technology is developing at 3x the rate of Moore’s Law.

3D Printing

You can 3D print just about anything these days from 300 different materials... Plastics, metals, concrete, chocolates, human cells...

3D Printing will become mainstream in the next few years – you will be able to print replacement parts for appliances, create your own jewelry, replace lost keys, etc.

3D printing technologies will create far more disruption than it is being credited with, and we’ve barely begun to scratch the surface of what it’s capabilities will be.

Artificial Intelligence We are still in the early days of artificial intelligence.

Tens of billions of capital have being poured into an AI “arms race” over the last decade.

One fun recent example is Tesla’s “autopilot” software upgrade that just came out – their AI can drive you autonomously on the highway.

Advancements in Materials & Computing

Ray Kurzweil

www.kurzweilai.net/

Since the 1990s

Kurzweil’s Predictions

Self-driving cars will take over and humans won’t be allowed to drive on highways

Humans will become hybrids in the 2030’s with brains connecting directly to the cloud

Nanobots will become smarter than current medical technology by 2020’s

Future of Technology

"As I wrote starting 20 years ago, technology is a double-edged sword," he said. "Fire kept us warm and cooked our food but also burnt down our houses. Every technology has had its promise and peril.”

Ray Kurzweil

"Most of the threats we face come from the progress we've made in science and technology. We're not going to stop making progress, or reverse it, so we must recognize the dangers and control them.”

Stephen Hawking

Security Vulnerabilities Cybercrime / Cyberterrorism Loss of Privacy Over-Reliance on Technology Artificial Intelligence Automation / Robots Genetic Engineering Socio-Economic Disparity

Technological Threats in the next 15 years

Thank you!Questions?