Post on 18-Jul-2015
State of the State Survey
Winter 2013
Charles L. Ballard
Professor, Department of Economics
Director, State of the State Survey
Institute for Public Policy and Social Research
ballard@msu.edu
517.353.2961
State of the State Survey
Winter 2013
Ratings for Obama Improve;
Snyder Stays About the Same;
Consumer Confidence Mixed
About SOSS Round 64
1,013 Interviews Completed
January 14, 2013 – March 4, 2013
President Obama’s
positive ratings
improved to their
highest level since
Summer 2009.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Excellent Good Fair Poor
17.2
31.2
22.0
29.6
Pe
rce
nt
Michigan Residents' Ratings of President Obama's Performance, Winter 2013
70.7
62.6
53.2
44.2
36.9
43.9
32.7
44.5 44.540.4 40.6 41.0
42.848.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Pe
rce
nt
Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating President Obama's Performance as "Excellent" or "Good", 2009-2013
44.3
49.5
56.053.0
55.1
40.8
66.9
47.4
42.3
32.4
27.5
20.5
17.3
57.7
36.9
43.1
40.6 41.0
42.8
48.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Pe
rce
nt
Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating U.S. President's Performance as
"Excellent" or "Good", 1995-2013
Clinton
Bush
Obama
Governor Snyder’s approval
ratings were basically
unchanged.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Excellent Good Fair Poor
6.6
27.4
33.1 33.0
Pe
rce
nt
Michigan Residents' Ratings of Governor Snyder's Performance, Winter 2013
55.0
50.6
46.7
52.5
49.5
43.7 43.6
57.2
48.7
35.3
34.4
25.3
23.0
31.0
20.7
31.833.0
36.8 35.5
34.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Pe
rce
nt
Year
Percentage of Michigan Residents Rating Performance of Governors as "Excellent" or "Good", 1995-2013
Engler
Granholm
Snyder
Consumer confidence:
Some indicators improve;
others don’t.
In every case, we remain
well below 1999, and
well above 2009.
Assessments of the
current financial
situation improved
from Fall 2012 to
Winter 2013.
6.3
46.3
28.7
10.6
8.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Excellent Good Just Fair Not So Good Poor
Perc
en
tMichigan Residents' Assessments of Their Current
Financial Situation, Winter 2013
60.9
60.2 61.4
64.1 63.9 62.9
62.2
54.0
56.4
54.9
49.3
50.8
43.444.0
47.3 47.3
54.1 54.4
47.8
52.6
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Perc
en
tPercent of Michigan Residents Who Rate Their Current Financial Situation As "Excellent" or "Good", 1995-2013
Michigan residents’
assessment of whether they
are better off or worse off
than one year before were
less favorable in Winter
2013 than in Fall 2012.
34.9
27.6
37.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Better Off About the Same Worse Off
Perc
en
tMichigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Are
Better Off Than One Year Ago, Winter 2013
52.6
50.2
53.255.8
61.6
48.4
40.2
35.4
31.7
27.4
19.8
14.4
23.026.2
34.2
41.7
34.9
18.5
17.7
18.1
14.315.2
24.2
31.8
44.544.6
59.6
62.6
50.6
45.1
35.7
38.5
32.6
37.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pe
rce
nt
Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Are Better Off or Worse Off Than One Year Ago, 1995-2013
Better Off
Worse Off
Michigan residents’ assessment of whether they will be better off one year from now were also less favorable in Winter 2013 than in Fall 2012.
However, those who think they will be better off still outnumbered those who think they will be worse off by about 2 to 1.
55.2
16.1
28.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Better Off About the Same Worse Off
Perc
en
t
Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Will Be Better Off One Year From Now, Winter 2013
57.258.6
65.9
66.6
70.5
60.0
66.2
59.8 60.1
50.5
51.4
45.146.448.6
54.0
48.4
61.0
48.7
61.0
55.2
13.1
12.3
11.99.5 10.7
19.9
14.7
19.1
20.1
26.1
29.2
35.5 34.733.1
28.530.4
20.5
29.8
19.3
28.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Pe
rce
nt
Michigan Residents' Beliefs About Whether They Will Be Better Off One Year From Now, 1995-2013
Better Off
Worse Off
Attitudes by Race and Gender
Views of Michigan Residents
by Race and Sex
State of Michigan
Women Men Whites Blacks
Obama “Excellent” or Good”
48.4% 50.5% 46.2% 42.0% 79.1%
Snyder“Excellent” or Good”
34.0% 32.8% 35.3% 35.2% 23.7%
Attitudes by Political Party
Views of Michigan
Residents
by Political Party
State of Michigan
Republican Independent Democrat
Obama
“Excellent” or Good”48.4% 14.3% 38.0% 85.5%
Snyder
“Excellent” or Good”34.0% 56.9% 36.7% 19.8%
Regional Attitudes
Views of Residents from Different Regions in Michigan
a Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties
b Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties
c Clinton, Eaton, and Ingham Counties
State of Michigan
City of Detroit
Wayne, Oakland, Macomb
SEMCOGRegiona
Grand Rapids Areab
Obama “Excellent” or Good”
48.4% 69.3% 55.3% 54.1% 41.4%
Snyder“Excellent” or Good”
34.0% 30.5% 31.5% 33.3% 43.1%
How to Learn More about SOSS:
http://ippsr.msu.edu/SOSS/
Charles Ballard: ballard@msu.edu
517.353.2961
Cynthia Kyle: kylec@msu.edu
517.353.1731
Graham Pierce: glpierce@msu.edu
517.884.0364
THANK YOU!