Over 100 years of history atlantic and pacific basins hurricane seasons

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Forecast of the national oceanic and atmospheric administration from August to December 2013: 13-20 named storms with 7-10 becoming hurricanes. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction

Transcript of Over 100 years of history atlantic and pacific basins hurricane seasons

OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY: ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS

2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASONJune 1 – December 30

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION

•SEVERE WINDSTORMS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION

RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

SEVERE WINDSTORM SEVERE WINDSTORM DISASTER RESILIENCEDISASTER RESILIENCE

•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EARLY WARNING•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION

POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS

Wind profileWind profile

Storm Hazards:Storm Hazards:-Wind pressure-Surge-Rain-Flood-Waves-Salt water-Missiles-Tornadoes

OceanOceanOceanOcean

Gradient WindGradient Wind

FORECAST OF THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC

ADMINISTRATION

FORECAST: 13-20 NAMED STORMS

WITH 7-10

BECOMING HURRICANES

STORM NAMES 2013 SEASON

CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’s STORMS

• ANDREA - Tropical storm; June 5

• BARRY - Tropical storm; June 19

• CHANTAL – Tropical storm; July 7

• DORIAN – Tropical Storm; July 22

• ERIN – Tropical Storm; August 14

• FERNAND –Trop. Storm; August 16

• GABRIELLE –

CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS

• HUMBERTO –

• INGRID –

• JERRY –

• KAREN –

• LORENZO –

• MELISSA –

• NESTOR –

CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS

• OLGA –

• PABLO –

• REBEKAH –

• SEBASTIEN –

• TANYA –

• VAN --

• WENDY --

STORM TRACKS OF ANDREA, BARRY, CHANTAL, AND DORIAN

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ---

FIRST STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

ANDREA: JUNE 5, 2013

ANDREA’S IMPACTS

• The precursor to Andrea dropped nearly 12 inches (300 mm) of rainfall in the Yucatán Peninsula.

• In Cuba, the storm brought flooding, especially in the Pinar del Rio Province, and over 1,000 people fled their homes, mainly along the Cuyaguateje River. .

ANDREA’S IMPACTS

• In Florida, the storm brought heavy rainfall that caused localized flooding and five tornadoes that downed power lines and trees and caused significant roof damage.

• As Andrea died, heavy rains occurred in the Eastern United States and Atlantic Canada, causing flooding in Nova Scotia.

• .

TROPICAL STORM BARRY ---

SECOND STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker and Power Disupter

BARRY: JUNE 19, 2013

BARRY’S IMPACTS

• In the Mexican state of Yucatan, wind gusted up to 48 mph (77 km/h) and heavy rains downed trees and power lines; more than 26,000 residents lost power after lightning struck a nearby power station and caused a fire.

• El Salvador experienced flooding.

BARRY’S IMPACTS

• Heavy rains in Honduras triggered flooding that damaged 60 homes and affected 300 people.

• In southern Belize, an estimated 10 in (250 mm) of rain fell in 24 hours, causing several rivers to over-top their banks and some to evacuate.]

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ---

THIRD STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL: JULY 8, 2013

A tropical storm warning was issued for Puerto Rico, Barbados, Dominica, Saint

Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Miami.

July 8th

CHANTAL’S IMPACTS

• Chantal produced heavy rainfall in Hispaniola, forcing thousands to evacuate their homes.

• In the Dominican Republic, flooding from the storm killed one person in Maimon.1]

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN

---FOURTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON

Rain in florida was Most Notable Impact

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN: JULY 22-27, 2013

TROPICAL STORM ERIN ---

FIFTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Short Lived Storm With no Notable

Impact

TROPICAL STORM FERDNAND ---

SIXTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONStill Developing (08/16)

ERIN AND FERDNANDAUGUST 16, 2013

AUGUST 16th REVISED FORECAST OF THE

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

FORECAST: STILL AN ABOVE NOMAL SEASON, BUT ONLY 3 TO 5

MAJOR HURRICANES

LOOKING BACK AT 2012

2012’s ACTUAL STORMS EXCEEDED THE FORECAST

FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS

WITH 4-8

BECOMING HURRICANES

ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED STORMS; 10 HURRICANES

NAMED STORMS IN 2012

• ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19

• BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27

• CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21

• DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23

• ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3

• FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5

• GORDON –Hurricane, August 16

NAMED STORMS FOR 2012

• HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19

• ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21

• JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25

• KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27

• LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5

• MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5

• NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12

NAMED STORMS IN 2012

• OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4

• PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11

• RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12

• SANDY– A Super Hurricane; October 22

• TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24

SANDY: A $300 BILLION STORM; OCTOBER 24, 2012

Sandy, 2012’s ninth hurricane, became a huge storm with wind and rain bands reaching out 500 km or more from the

storm center, producing 15-50 cm of rain and flooding in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba, New Jersey,

and New York

CAT I HURRICANE SANDY: OCTOBER 24

SANDY: RAIN IN HAITI

SANDY REACHES HAVANA. CUBA: OCTOBER 25

SANDY: RAIN IN CUBA

SANDY: RAIN BEGINS IN FT LAUDERDALE, FLORIDA; OCT. 26

OCEAN CITY, MARYLAND

REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE: OCT. 29

SUPER STORM SANDY: OCT. 29-30, 2012

NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC CITY UNDER WATER

NEW JERSEY: OCEAN FRONT FLOODING

NEW JERSEY: STREETS FLOODED

FLOODING IN BROOKLYN, NY

$360 MILLION STORM SURGE, NEW HAVEN, CT: OCT. 30