Over 100 years of history atlantic and pacific basins hurricane seasons

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OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY: ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS

description

Forecast of the national oceanic and atmospheric administration from August to December 2013: 13-20 named storms with 7-10 becoming hurricanes. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction

Transcript of Over 100 years of history atlantic and pacific basins hurricane seasons

Page 1: Over 100 years of history atlantic and pacific basins hurricane seasons

OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY: ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS

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2013 ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASONJune 1 – December 30

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COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION

•SEVERE WINDSTORMS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION

RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

SEVERE WINDSTORM SEVERE WINDSTORM DISASTER RESILIENCEDISASTER RESILIENCE

•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EARLY WARNING•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION

POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS

Wind profileWind profile

Storm Hazards:Storm Hazards:-Wind pressure-Surge-Rain-Flood-Waves-Salt water-Missiles-Tornadoes

OceanOceanOceanOcean

Gradient WindGradient Wind

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FORECAST OF THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC

ADMINISTRATION

FORECAST: 13-20 NAMED STORMS

WITH 7-10

BECOMING HURRICANES

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STORM NAMES 2013 SEASON

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CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’s STORMS

• ANDREA - Tropical storm; June 5

• BARRY - Tropical storm; June 19

• CHANTAL – Tropical storm; July 7

• DORIAN – Tropical Storm; July 22

• ERIN – Tropical Storm; August 14

• FERNAND –Trop. Storm; August 16

• GABRIELLE –

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CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS

• HUMBERTO –

• INGRID –

• JERRY –

• KAREN –

• LORENZO –

• MELISSA –

• NESTOR –

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CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS

• OLGA –

• PABLO –

• REBEKAH –

• SEBASTIEN –

• TANYA –

• VAN --

• WENDY --

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STORM TRACKS OF ANDREA, BARRY, CHANTAL, AND DORIAN

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TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ---

FIRST STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

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ANDREA: JUNE 5, 2013

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ANDREA’S IMPACTS

• The precursor to Andrea dropped nearly 12 inches (300 mm) of rainfall in the Yucatán Peninsula.

• In Cuba, the storm brought flooding, especially in the Pinar del Rio Province, and over 1,000 people fled their homes, mainly along the Cuyaguateje River. .

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ANDREA’S IMPACTS

• In Florida, the storm brought heavy rainfall that caused localized flooding and five tornadoes that downed power lines and trees and caused significant roof damage.

• As Andrea died, heavy rains occurred in the Eastern United States and Atlantic Canada, causing flooding in Nova Scotia.

• .

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TROPICAL STORM BARRY ---

SECOND STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker and Power Disupter

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BARRY: JUNE 19, 2013

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BARRY’S IMPACTS

• In the Mexican state of Yucatan, wind gusted up to 48 mph (77 km/h) and heavy rains downed trees and power lines; more than 26,000 residents lost power after lightning struck a nearby power station and caused a fire.

• El Salvador experienced flooding.

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BARRY’S IMPACTS

• Heavy rains in Honduras triggered flooding that damaged 60 homes and affected 300 people.

• In southern Belize, an estimated 10 in (250 mm) of rain fell in 24 hours, causing several rivers to over-top their banks and some to evacuate.]

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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ---

THIRD STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Rain Maker

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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL: JULY 8, 2013

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A tropical storm warning was issued for Puerto Rico, Barbados, Dominica, Saint

Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Miami.

July 8th

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CHANTAL’S IMPACTS

• Chantal produced heavy rainfall in Hispaniola, forcing thousands to evacuate their homes.

• In the Dominican Republic, flooding from the storm killed one person in Maimon.1]

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TROPICAL STORM DORIAN

---FOURTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON

Rain in florida was Most Notable Impact

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TROPICAL STORM DORIAN: JULY 22-27, 2013

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TROPICAL STORM ERIN ---

FIFTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONA Short Lived Storm With no Notable

Impact

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TROPICAL STORM FERDNAND ---

SIXTH STORM OF 2013 SEASONStill Developing (08/16)

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ERIN AND FERDNANDAUGUST 16, 2013

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AUGUST 16th REVISED FORECAST OF THE

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

FORECAST: STILL AN ABOVE NOMAL SEASON, BUT ONLY 3 TO 5

MAJOR HURRICANES

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LOOKING BACK AT 2012

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2012’s ACTUAL STORMS EXCEEDED THE FORECAST

FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS

WITH 4-8

BECOMING HURRICANES

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ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED STORMS; 10 HURRICANES

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NAMED STORMS IN 2012

• ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19

• BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27

• CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21

• DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23

• ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3

• FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5

• GORDON –Hurricane, August 16

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NAMED STORMS FOR 2012

• HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19

• ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21

• JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25

• KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27

• LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5

• MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5

• NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12

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NAMED STORMS IN 2012

• OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4

• PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11

• RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12

• SANDY– A Super Hurricane; October 22

• TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24

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SANDY: A $300 BILLION STORM; OCTOBER 24, 2012

Sandy, 2012’s ninth hurricane, became a huge storm with wind and rain bands reaching out 500 km or more from the

storm center, producing 15-50 cm of rain and flooding in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba, New Jersey,

and New York

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CAT I HURRICANE SANDY: OCTOBER 24

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SANDY: RAIN IN HAITI

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SANDY REACHES HAVANA. CUBA: OCTOBER 25

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SANDY: RAIN IN CUBA

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SANDY: RAIN BEGINS IN FT LAUDERDALE, FLORIDA; OCT. 26

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OCEAN CITY, MARYLAND

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REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE: OCT. 29

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SUPER STORM SANDY: OCT. 29-30, 2012

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NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC CITY UNDER WATER

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NEW JERSEY: OCEAN FRONT FLOODING

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NEW JERSEY: STREETS FLOODED

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FLOODING IN BROOKLYN, NY

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$360 MILLION STORM SURGE, NEW HAVEN, CT: OCT. 30