Post on 10-Oct-2020
Michigan Department of
Corrections UpdateOctober 11, 2017
Population Update
As of the 9/28/17 Weekly Population Census, the MDOC’s prison
population had declined to 39,987.
This is the first weekly census to show a population of under 40,000
in over 20 years.
The population has declined by 1,165 prisoners since the start of the
year (2.8%).
The population has declined by 3,352 prisoners since July of 2015,
when the “Offender Success” model was developed (7.7%)
39,000
40,000
41,000
42,000
43,000
44,000
45,000
46,000
47,000
48,000
49,000
50,000
51,000
52,000
53,000
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Nu
mb
er
End of Month
Michigan Department of Corrections
ACTUAL AND PROJECTED PRISON POPULATION
Actual Prison Population 02/2017 Prison Population Projection
3
The population projection developed in February anticipated a slowing decline then
stability as a baseline forecast absent any new initiatives.
Population Projection vs. Actual Population
Month February
Projection
Actual Population Difference
March 40,836 40,929 +93
June 40,677 40,338 -339
September 40,494 39,987 -507
December 40,299 ?? ??
54,48255,545 56,155
59,35760,177
58,113
55,592
53,422
50,862 50,641 50,81749,201
47,480 47,347 47,453
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Total Felony Court Dispositions (Offenders)
**2017 figure is data through May extrapolated to full year.5
Front End Impact: After peaking in 2007, annual felony court dispositions showed a slow
downward trend for nine years. Through mid-year, the trend since 2015 is relatively stable.
21.9%
20.3%20.9%
21.7%
20.7%
19.4% 19.3%
20.3% 20.2%20.7%
21.6% 21.7% 21.5%21.0%
19.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Prison Commitment Rate*
* The prison commitment rate is the percentage of all felony court dispositions that are sentenced to prison.
** 2017 data through May.
6
Front End Impact: Through May, the prison commitment rate continues to
remain in a fairly narrow, 19-22%, range since 2003.
3,333
3,479
4,228
3,706
3,494 3,481
3,643
3,359
2,850
2,632
2,481 2,507
2,6342,705
2,556
2,405
2,2492,146
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Probation Violator Intake*
* Includes probation technical violators and probationers with a new sentence.
7
** 2017 data through June extrapolated to full year.
Front End Impact: Probation violator intake has decreased from 2002 and data through
June suggests a continuing decline for this year to a nearly 50% decline since 2002.
9,169
9,5849,424
8,809 8,922
9,610
11,050
10,311
9,811
10,241
11,094
10,705
9,715
9,2959,158
8,7568,882
9,2378,983
8,664
8,085
7,736
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Prison Intake*
*Includes new court commitments, probation violators (technical or new sentence), parole violators new sentence, and escapee new sentence.
8
Front End Impact: Annual prison intake decreased by 21% from 2007 to 2011 and then
increased for 2 years. Through June, the decline since 2013 appears to be continuing.
** 2017 data through June extrapolated to full year.
9
47.046.1
48.949.9 49.2 48.7
50.148.7 48.7
50.148.7
44.042.6
44.0
41.943.2
42.2
44.1 43.7
45.4
49.648.6
47.5
49.9
51.7 52.251.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Michigan Department of Corrections
Prison Intake by Average Cumulative Minimum Term in Months
Impact on Length of Stay: The average minimum term shows the influence of the surge in
13-24 month minimums in the 2000’s and the consistency of the 61+ month minimums.
68.2%
64.6%
61.1%
63.3%
57.4%
55.0%
57.9%
55.3%
51.3% 51.5%
47.3% 47.7%48.4%
51.8% 51.5%
54.7%
51.7%52.5%
58.1%
62.4%
55.9%
65.5% 65.0%
67.6%
65.1%
68.0%
71.2% 71.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Parole Approval Rate
** 2017 data is through June.
10
Impact on Length of Stay: The parole approval rate was fairly stable for 2011-2015.
Last year the rate edged up a bit and appears stable through June.
9,078
9,465
8,758
10,506
9,682
9,133
10,001
10,697
11,752
11,344
10,284 10,240
12,429
11,557
13,542
12,138
11,162
9,361
10,554
10,110 10,019
10,601
9,798
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Moves to Parole
11
Impact on Releases: After a record high in 2009, moves to parole have declined. Data
through June, suggests there will be less paroles this year, this number lags PB decisions.
** 2017 data through June extrapolated to full year.
45.744.9
43.5
41.9
39.3 39.1
40.8 40.6
36.5
33.2
31.530.6
29.0
30.331.0
29.8
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Michigan Department of Corrections
Return to Prison Rate*
* Only includes cases that were returned on upheld Technical Violations or for a New Sentence within three years of release.
12
Impact on Returns: Since establishing the baseline for recidivism in 1998, there has
been continuing improvement with a fairly stable rate in the 29%-32% range since 2008.
890
1,033
1,2881,345
1,259
1,1661,195
1,441
1,644
1,802
1,879
2,0201,985
2,0251,970
1,794
1,525
1,406 1,393
1,267
1,1591,105
1,036
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Parole Violator New Sentence Intake
13
Impact on Returns: Through June, the parole violator new sentence intake
appears to continue its decline for the ninth year.
** 2017 data through June extrapolated to full year.
1,916
2,577
2,668
3,1103,186
3,111
3,2363,289
2,161
3,013
2,859
3,157
2,094
1,878
2,127
2,373
1,893
2,698
2,020
1,686
1,854
1,958
1,690
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017**
Michigan Department of Corrections
Parole Technical Violator Returns to Prison
14
** 2017 data through June extrapolated to full year.
Impact on Returns: Through June, the parole violator tech
returns appears to be returning to twenty year lows.
After reaching a peak population of just over 2,300 in
early 2016, the female prison population has declined by
over 120 prisoners (5%).
Even with this decline, the female prisoner population is
212 (10.7%) larger than it was 5 years ago.
The MDOC continues to focus on the creation of a Gender-
Informed “Offender Success” model to better assist this
population.
Female Prison Population Update
Handlon Vocational Village Update
• The Handlon Vocational Village continues to produce
“graduates” who are returning to their communities.
• The current post incarceration employment rate for Villagers is
68%, or about twice that of normal parolees.
• We continue to promote the Village and speak to employers
about the benefits of hiring returning citizens.
• With the launch of the Parnall Vocational Village, the focus of
this locations has shifted to West Michigan.
Parnall Vocational Village Update
• The Parnall Vocational Village opened this summer and should
start producing its first graduates in the next 9-12 months.
• The facility has programs in CNC Machining, Robotics,
Commercial Truck Driving, Fork Lift/Warehousing, Auto
Mechanics, Cement/Masonry, and Building Trades.
• The facility still has additional space to add 1 or 2 additional
disciplines based on employer needs.
• The Parnall Vocational Village is focused on offenders returning
to southeast Michigan and has a capacity of roughly 220
“Villagers”.
WRAP (Residential Alternative to Prison) Update
• The WRAP at DRC continues to divert high risk probation
violators away from long prison sentences.
• The custody-based cognitive and vocational program serves
Wayne County Offenders.
• 280 probationers have participated in the program and 228 have
successfully completed it.
• The MDOC is finalizing the RFP for programming at the new
“Westside WRAP”, which should launch in January.
FY ‘18 Updates
• The MDOC is finalizing the RFP for an Online High School Degree
Pilot.
• The Pilot will focus on 3 MDOC sites and the RFP should be issued
in the next few weeks.
• The MDOC now has Offender Success Administrative Agencies on
performance-based contracts providing reentry services to every
county in the state.
• The MDOC is developing new programs under the Regional
Supervision Incentive Program that will launch this year.