Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan 2020-2024

Dr.MedrilzamandPakFarhanHelmyDirectorforEnvironmentalAffairsMinistryofNationalDevelopmentPlanning/NationalDevelopmentPlanningBoard(BAPPENAS)

RegionalSEEAworkshop29November2017

Preparation Schedule of National Development Plan 2020-2024:

BackgroundStudyofRPJMN

RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident

WritingofRPJMN

InitialPreparation

2017 2018 2019 2020

MISSION:DEVELOPTHENEXTINDONESIADEVELOPMENTPLAN

BECOMEGREENERANDLESSCARBON

HOWNCACOULDFITININTODEVELOPMENTPLANNING?

Low Carbon Development Plan will be Integrated into National Development Plan 2020-2024

“Thisiswhyourupcoming5yeardevelopmentplan,…willbeIndonesia’sfirstlow-carbondevelopmentplan.Wewanttousethisplantoaddresssustainabilitychallengesandunlocksomeoftheseopportunitieswhichwillbecriticaltoachievingaprosperous,low-carbongrowthpath.Wewanttoensurethatourgrowth,movingforward,continuestosecureournaturalassets,providingvalueintandemwiththecreationofnewopportunitiesforeconomictransformationanddevelopment….”

(Prof.BambangBrodjonegoro–MinisterofNationalDeveopmentPlanning,BonnCOP23UNFCCC,2017);

Principles applied to LCD Planning for National Mid-Term National Plan 2020-2024: 1)  Applyintegratedandsystemicapproachamong

sectors–EvidenceBasedPolicy2)  Putfuturecarryingcapacity(includingGHG

Emission)ispartofpriorityconcernsindevelopmentplan

3)  Emphasiseimplicationofvariouspolicies-planning-programTowardabalancingandtrade-offbetweeneconomy,povertyandenvironmentgoals

4)  ApplyHITS(Holistic,Integrated,Thematic,Spatial)5)  Involvingdevelopmentplannersand

environmentalstakeholders

CONCEPTUALISATION OF LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT PLAN

Agricultures

EnergyandMining Industries

Settlements

Forestry

Fishery,othersectors

Water

Landcover

Emission

Ocean

IKLH

Assimilativecapacity

SupportiveCapacity

CarryingCapacityInter-relatedHumanActivities

Impacts/Pressures

GreenEconomy

Poverty

Policy

Interven

tion

(availabilityconcept)

Biodiversity

SectoralTarget

Tradeoff

Tradeoff

*)NCAshouldprovidenecessaryinformationonstockandflowofNaturalResourceandCarryingCapacitybeingassessed

WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO LOW CARBON DEV’T PLAN 2020-2024 PROCESS?

SystemDynamicsModel

(Non-Spatial)(Sectors:

Agriculture,Forest,Mining,etc.)

Tabular(Statistics)danSpatial

Policy/Planning/ProgramminginRPJMN

2020-2024

GreenEconomy

Poverty

CarryingCapacity

SpatialDynamicsAnalysis

INTERFACE

WAVES

NaturalCapitalStock-Flow

MAPS

DatabaseCentre

GreenGrowthandLowCarbonDevelopmentPlan

Econ.ofLowCard.Dev(IndonesiaSternReview)

InvestmentAnalysis

LowCarbonDevelopmentSystemModelStructureforDevPlan2020-2024

Economicsstock-flows

Socialstock-flows

Naturalresourcesstockandflows

Absortivecapacitystock-flows

ECONOMY LANDUSE

FISHERY

WATER

ENERGY

CLIMATE

GHGEMISSION

BIODIVERISTY

POPULATION

POVERTY

NCAContribution

LowCarbonDevelopmentmodellingprocessrequiresStockandflowinformationfromNCA:

8

Landsectors Watersectors Energy Fishery

ForestAccount

MineralAccountonlyPilotProject

IndonesiaNCA/SISNERLING

WAVESSUPPORT

Notes:•  IndonesiaStatisticsAgency(BPS)leadsthedevelopmentofNCAinIndonesia

•  DevelopmentoftheNCAshouldbebasedontheneedsofpolicyandplanning

•  StrongcollaborationisneededbetweenWAVESconsultantandmodellingteam

FullAccount

BackgroundStudyofRPJMN

RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident

WritingofRPJMN

Preparation

2017 2018 2019 2020

Modelconceptualisation,integratedmodelandDatabasedevelopment

SEAreportforRPJMN2020-2024

Policycommunications

IntegratedmodelstructureandPolicy

simulations

SEA

NCADEVELOPMENT

…ItisagoodtimingforNCAtobeapplied..ButdelayedNCAprocesscannotbetolerated..Theclockisticking…..!!

Furthercontact:

DirectorateforEnvironmentAffairs

Email:medril@bappenas.go.idorMedrilzam.Medrilzam@gmail.com

Ph:+623900412(Office),+62811802824(Mobile)