Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan 2020 ... ·...
Transcript of Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan 2020 ... ·...
Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan 2020-2024
Dr.MedrilzamandPakFarhanHelmyDirectorforEnvironmentalAffairsMinistryofNationalDevelopmentPlanning/NationalDevelopmentPlanningBoard(BAPPENAS)
RegionalSEEAworkshop29November2017
Preparation Schedule of National Development Plan 2020-2024:
BackgroundStudyofRPJMN
RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident
WritingofRPJMN
InitialPreparation
2017 2018 2019 2020
MISSION:DEVELOPTHENEXTINDONESIADEVELOPMENTPLAN
BECOMEGREENERANDLESSCARBON
HOWNCACOULDFITININTODEVELOPMENTPLANNING?
Low Carbon Development Plan will be Integrated into National Development Plan 2020-2024
“Thisiswhyourupcoming5yeardevelopmentplan,…willbeIndonesia’sfirstlow-carbondevelopmentplan.Wewanttousethisplantoaddresssustainabilitychallengesandunlocksomeoftheseopportunitieswhichwillbecriticaltoachievingaprosperous,low-carbongrowthpath.Wewanttoensurethatourgrowth,movingforward,continuestosecureournaturalassets,providingvalueintandemwiththecreationofnewopportunitiesforeconomictransformationanddevelopment….”
(Prof.BambangBrodjonegoro–MinisterofNationalDeveopmentPlanning,BonnCOP23UNFCCC,2017);
Principles applied to LCD Planning for National Mid-Term National Plan 2020-2024: 1) Applyintegratedandsystemicapproachamong
sectors–EvidenceBasedPolicy2) Putfuturecarryingcapacity(includingGHG
Emission)ispartofpriorityconcernsindevelopmentplan
3) Emphasiseimplicationofvariouspolicies-planning-programTowardabalancingandtrade-offbetweeneconomy,povertyandenvironmentgoals
4) ApplyHITS(Holistic,Integrated,Thematic,Spatial)5) Involvingdevelopmentplannersand
environmentalstakeholders
CONCEPTUALISATION OF LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT PLAN
Agricultures
EnergyandMining Industries
Settlements
Forestry
Fishery,othersectors
Water
Landcover
Emission
Ocean
IKLH
Assimilativecapacity
SupportiveCapacity
CarryingCapacityInter-relatedHumanActivities
Impacts/Pressures
GreenEconomy
Poverty
Policy
Interven
tion
(availabilityconcept)
Biodiversity
SectoralTarget
Tradeoff
Tradeoff
*)NCAshouldprovidenecessaryinformationonstockandflowofNaturalResourceandCarryingCapacitybeingassessed
WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO LOW CARBON DEV’T PLAN 2020-2024 PROCESS?
SystemDynamicsModel
(Non-Spatial)(Sectors:
Agriculture,Forest,Mining,etc.)
Tabular(Statistics)danSpatial
Policy/Planning/ProgramminginRPJMN
2020-2024
GreenEconomy
Poverty
CarryingCapacity
SpatialDynamicsAnalysis
INTERFACE
WAVES
NaturalCapitalStock-Flow
MAPS
DatabaseCentre
GreenGrowthandLowCarbonDevelopmentPlan
Econ.ofLowCard.Dev(IndonesiaSternReview)
InvestmentAnalysis
LowCarbonDevelopmentSystemModelStructureforDevPlan2020-2024
Economicsstock-flows
Socialstock-flows
Naturalresourcesstockandflows
Absortivecapacitystock-flows
ECONOMY LANDUSE
FISHERY
WATER
ENERGY
CLIMATE
GHGEMISSION
BIODIVERISTY
POPULATION
POVERTY
NCAContribution
LowCarbonDevelopmentmodellingprocessrequiresStockandflowinformationfromNCA:
8
Landsectors Watersectors Energy Fishery
ForestAccount
MineralAccountonlyPilotProject
IndonesiaNCA/SISNERLING
WAVESSUPPORT
Notes:• IndonesiaStatisticsAgency(BPS)leadsthedevelopmentofNCAinIndonesia
• DevelopmentoftheNCAshouldbebasedontheneedsofpolicyandplanning
• StrongcollaborationisneededbetweenWAVESconsultantandmodellingteam
FullAccount
BackgroundStudyofRPJMN
RPJMNapprovedbytheselectedPresident
WritingofRPJMN
Preparation
2017 2018 2019 2020
Modelconceptualisation,integratedmodelandDatabasedevelopment
SEAreportforRPJMN2020-2024
Policycommunications
IntegratedmodelstructureandPolicy
simulations
SEA
NCADEVELOPMENT
…ItisagoodtimingforNCAtobeapplied..ButdelayedNCAprocesscannotbetolerated..Theclockisticking…..!!
Furthercontact:
DirectorateforEnvironmentAffairs
Email:[email protected]@gmail.com
Ph:+623900412(Office),+62811802824(Mobile)