Post on 18-Jul-2016
STATE public institutions SAMARA REGION Employment center of the city of Samara
Samara State Technical University
Labor Market: Realities and Prospects
Regulation of the interaction of the labor market and vocational training system based on the forecast staffing needs in the region
1. Regional model of regulation of the labor market interaction and vocational education system.
2. Goals and objectives of the prediction technique to study the labor market in the Samara region. The results of the survey in 2013
3. Effects of regulation of volumes of training in vocational education on the basis of forecast staffing needs of the region's economy.
«Forecast»
-
study of the staffing needs of
the regional economy in the medium term based on a
survey of employers
«ORDER»
(admission quotas)
-
formation as a result of prediction of the state job
training for vocational education
«Placing orders»
-
competitive placement of state
jobs in subordinate institutions of vocational education
The basic elements of a regional model of interaction
regulation of the labor market and vocational training
system
Medium-term staffing needs of socio-
economic development of the region
Regional order for training and retraining
Receivership order placement regional institutions of
vocational education
•contract
•financing standards
•licensing, certification, accreditation standards
resource
Centers
Coordinating Council
on Personnel Policies
Ministry of
Education and
Science
The institutionalization of regulatory interaction of the labor market and vocational education
Requirements to the results of forecasting for the possibility of ordering for training
regional scale studies
examined the structure of jobs
depth of prediction should correspond to the period of training for professions and specialties
forecast must comply with the classification of professions and specialties
direct appeal to employers
The results of the survey of enterprises 2013
examined
2747 business entities
The number of employed in the surveyed
enterprises:
515,491 workers, accounting for 46.3% of
those employed in the economy
Margin of error of 0.1% significance level of 0.05
(95%)
The number of unemployed citizens and declared vacancies on 12/03/2014
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ КАЗЕННОЕ УЧРЕЖДЕНИЕ САМАРСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ Центр занятости населения городского округа Самара
38,2%
60,7%
1,1%
безработные на 01.03.2014
рабочие
специалисты, служащие и руководители
не имеющие профессии
72,6%
27,4%
вакансии на 01.03.2014
The social composition of the unemployed (% of total unemployment) and vacancies (in% of the total number of vacancies)
Professions The number of vacancies
The number of
unemployed
Maximum salary Average salary
workers
locksmith 448 114 49 071 15 056
vegetable grower 427 0 15 000 8 203
collector 324 9 20 000 8 374
seller 297 77 29 500 12 250
car driver 265 116 40 000 16 324
Specialists and office workers
nurse 703 12 30 000 11 202
doctor 660 3 39 000 16 028
engineer 334 184 177 330 22 992
specialist 298 239 50 000 12 115
master 134 79 81 074 15 064
technician 126 34 50 000 21 786
Supply and demand for labor in the context of professional qualification according to the employment center
(optional on the most common professions)
The overall results of forecasting staffing needs of the economy of the Samara Region
The number of minimum required amount of training staff to update the existing enterprises in the region over the levels of vocational education
109918790
11979
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
профессии
НПО
специальности
СПО
специальности
ВПО
Ежегодное
прогнозное
обновление
персонала
The structure of the staffing needs of the economy in a survey
of employers
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
профессии НПО специальности СПО специальности ВПО
Промышленно-технические
Строительство
Транспорт
Сельское хозяйство
Сфера обслуживания
Здравоохранение
Образование
Культура
Гуманитарные, социальные и экономические
The sequence of steps in the formation of a regional order for the training of specialists on the basis of medium-term forecasting
staffing needs of the labor market
The structure of
employment by level
of education and
qualifications
Forecast demand for
specialists in educational levels
and occupations, special
training
The structure and volume of
training in the regional system of
vocational education
Strategy development
and investment
projects in the region structure and volume
of attracted labor
Regional order for
training
Placing an
order
Vocational
education
institutions
Начальное профессиональное образование
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2000 г. 2003 г. 2004 г. 2005 г. 2006 г. 2008 г. 2010 г. 2014 г.
Выпуск НПО
Потребность
Среднее профессиональное образование
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
2000 г. 2003 г. 2004 г. 2005 г. 2006 г. 2008 г. 2010 г. 2014 г.
Выпуск СПО
Потребность
Высшее профессиональное образование
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
2000 г. 2003 г. 2004 г. 2005 г. 2006 г. 2008 г. 2010 г. 2014 г.
Выпуск ВПО
Потребность
Dynamics of the volume ratio of training and
demand for specialists in the labor market of the Samara Region
Доля выпускников учреждений профессионального образования в
составе безработных (в %)
0,91
0,8
1,3
2,2
2,6
2,3
0,9
0,6
0,80,6
0,81
0,60,5
2
1,5 1,41,4
0,7
0,3
0,5
0,20,3
1,3
0,5
0,7
1,2
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
2002 г. 2003 г. 2004 г. 2005 г. 2006 г. 2007 г. 2008 г. 2009 г. 2010 г. 2011 г. 2012 г.
выпускники ВПО выпускники СПО выпускники НПО
Information about vacancies
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ КАЗЕННОЕ УЧРЕЖДЕНИЕ САМАРСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ Центр занятости населения городского округа Самара
engineer Automation and mechanization of production processes Requirements: experience of 5 years; knowledge of manufacturing techniques of plastic products for the automotive industry; knowledge of English, Serbian, Croatian languages; knowledge of modern quality management system Earnings: 177 000 master workover (capital, Underground)Мастер Additional conditions: watch in the Far North Requirements: 3 years experience; access to the management of mining operations Earnings: 81 074
Factors affecting the change in the structure of the working process
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ КАЗЕННОЕ УЧРЕЖДЕНИЕ САМАРСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ Центр занятости населения городского округа Самара
•aging of the population
•the growth of international cooperation in the production of
•increased use of automated systems and the widespread use of IT-technologies
•increase in the volume and frequency of communications
•displacement of automated control systems of the human routine workflows
•blurring industry boundaries, the growth of interdisciplinary research and production
•the growth of environmentally friendly production
Changing tasks of workers in industries
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ КАЗЕННОЕ УЧРЕЖДЕНИЕ САМАРСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ Центр занятости населения городского округа Самара
•ICT •automation •new technologies •Biotech, 3D-printing and others.
change processes in industries •change practices development, production, management, maintenance •change in the workplace •change in the sectoral structure
larger social processes globalization
• the growth of the middle class and changing consumer preferences
• change management models in business and government
• environmentally friendly lifestyles and production processes
Надпрофессиональные навыки и умения, наиболее важные для работников будущего
ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЕ КАЗЕННОЕ УЧРЕЖДЕНИЕ САМАРСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ Центр занятости населения городского округа Самара
•системное мышление
•навыки межотраслевой коммуникации
•умение управлять проектами и процессами
•программирование ИТ-решений / управление сложными автоматизированными комплексами / работа с искусственным интеллектом
•клиентоориентированность, умение работать с запросами потребителя
•мультиязычность и мультикультурность
•умение работать с коллективами, группами и отдельными людьми
•работа в режиме высокой неопределенности и быстрой смены условий задач
•способность к художественному творчеству, наличие развитого эстетического вкуса
•бережливое производство
STATE public institutions SAMARA REGION Employment center of the city of Samara
Olga Grosheva
e-mail: samararirc@samaratrud.ru Irina Kuznetcova
Samara State Technical University irkuz@sstu.smr.ru