Is this the peak oil era?

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Transcript of Is this the peak oil era?

http://oilpeak.webs.com

Presentation for EEG’s Inter College Speaking Competition 2009

Presentation Guideline

5

Life before..

© Yann Arthus – Photographer

6

WATERWATER

© Yann Arthus – Photographer

7

Coal

http://www.ccmhs.co.uk

ENERGY

http://tammi.tamu.edu/photos/Coal Stacks.JPG

Oil Discovery

1859Edwin Drake

Industrial RevolutionIndustrial Revolution

http://www.americansolvent.com

http://pnis.org/cms/sites/default/files/model-t.gif

Development

© Yann Arthus – Photographer © Yann Arthus – Photographer

Converted Deserts…Converted Deserts…

13© Yann Arthus – Photographer © Yann Arthus – Photographer

Into Cities…

http://www.eikongraphia.com/?p=1868

Al-Jumaira Palm Tree Island

15http://kuusanmaki.com/blog/?p=21

Burj Dubai

16 © NASA

Space Exploration

But Why Oil?

Oil Dependency

90%

Consumes as Fuel

Oil Form in Hundreds of Millions of Years!

www.solarnavigator.net

100Years

http://www.superstock.com/

www.futurescenarios.org

Extr

actio

n Ra

te

Time

HUBBERT THEORY

Increasing Depletion

Peak

HUBBERT THEORY

Individual Wells

Region Curve

Extr

actio

n Ra

te

Time

Charlie Bottle - http://seekingalpha.com/article/96235-peak-oil-are-we-there-yet

But does this last?

28

Pumping

29Day and Night

But does this last?

31

Depleted Oil Well

Injection Well

www.princeton.edu

2. COLLAPSE PEAK THEORY

Life after oil runs out.

37Hunger and Poverty

38

Diseases

39

Transportation Crash

40

WARS

41

ENERGY WARS

3. TECHNOLOGY EXPLOSION

What the experts say?

-Jad Mouawad Journalist – New York Times

“ As oil prices rise, new extraction technologies become viable, thus

expanding the total recoverable oil reserves . ”

-Leonardo MaugeriSenior Vice President of Eni S.p.A

“The geological structure of the earth has not been explored thoroughly enough to conclude that the declining trend in discoveries.”

- Abdullah Jum'ah CEO of Saudi Aramco

“I believe that in-place conventional and non-conventional liquid resources may ultimately total between 13 trillion and 16 trillion barrels and that only a small fraction (1.1 trillion) has been extracted to date.”

4. TECHNOLOGY STABILITY

49

http://www.fossilfoolsdayofaction.org

50

http://www.goodplanet.org

Use Nature Forces

Go Renewablehttp://tech.c4ads.org

ZeroEmission City

http://www.bustler.net

Masdar CityMasdar City

THE ULTIMATE ANSWER

?Is this the peak oil era?

YESNO

Doesn’t matter!

“ No matter what else happens, this is the century in

which we must learn to live without fossil fuels. ”

- David GoodsteinWriter of “Out of Gas”

What the public say?

http://oilpeak.webs.com

IS THIS THE PEAK OIL ERA?

Do we have to wait?

Green eraOil era

5. OUR THEORY

61© Yann Arthus – Photographer

62© Yann Arthus – Photographer

http://oilpeak.webs.com