Post on 13-Jan-2015
description
Approach
The "first peoples”
alternative futures
INSPECT
SCENARIOS Futures Triangle
Sarkar Game
plural futures/foresight/prospectiva
unlock the future, to undo it from so-called default futures or official futures predicted by experts, banks, corporations, news headlines, individuals, etc.
In fact, futures studies are not at all about prediction as the future cannot be known.
To Jim Dator, “there are no future facts and there are no past possibilities”
Futures studies are concerned with creating the future rather than predicting it.
Basic futures concepts
• Preferred future - desired
• Probable future – likely based on current trends and strategies
• Possible futures – full range of alternatives
(Sohail Inayatullah, 2012)
Core futures thinking
• Not one future but futureS
• Humans have agency, they can influence the future
• The image of the future pulls toward a future
• Question assumptions to create alternative futures (Sohail Inayatullah, 2012)
Is the future of the first people nations/communities colonized?
Why indigenous community foresight?
• Explore and develop a model for the future of the first people of Saranggani and the future generations
• Gain insight from our engagements and exciting discussion and act on it!
• We are all eligible to create the future• Reconfigure the present from the future• Purpose is not merely to forecast but to create
the future that we want for Saranggani
Why indigenous community foresight?
• Re-emergence of the cultural• Wave of cultural power• The emerging cultural infrastructure epidemic • Modernity is shaping/morphing to fit with
culture/local/spiritual – Transmodernism
Re-emergence of the indigenous culture/peoples/communities
Munato Alternative Futures?
• What will the future be like in the year 2040?• What are your fears about the future? • What are your hopes, your visions of the future?• What is missing? Are there hidden assumptions,
things that we took for granted from the future forecasted or desired?
• What is your preferred, your desired future?• What actions can we take to achieve that
preferred future? (Thanks to Sohail)
1. STEEP Scanning (30 mins)
What are the issues, events, developments that might influence (drivers. Influencers) the future of Munato in the years to come?
Social – Technological – Environmental – Economic – Political -
STEEP Analysis
Scenarios
The future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens
Rainer Maria, Letter to a Young Poet