Foresight Education:Foresight

Education:

University Foresight Network, Sept. 6, 2012

Jay Gary, PhDJay Gary, PhD

Follow Twitter @ RegentGLEMSFEmail: jay@jaygary.com  http://www.jaygary.com/jayufn12.pdf

The Regent Experience

Futures Education: 100 year prologueFutures Education: 100 year prologue

1902 H.G. Wells, Anticipations1927 William F. Ogburn, Social Changes1945 RAND Corporation1946 Stanford Research Institute (SRI)1967 World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF)

World Future Society (WFS)Institute for the Future (IFTF)

1970 Rand Graduate Institute (PhD in Policy Analysis); Alvin Toffler, Future Shock

1971 U. of Hawaii, PhD in Futures Studies (Poli. Sci.)1974 U. of Houston, Studies of the Future M.S. (Technology)1987 Global Business Network1995 Tamkang U., Center for Futures Studies

Richard Slaughter, Foresight Principle1999 Swinburne, AGSE, Master of Mgt, Strategic Foresight (Entrep)2002 Association of Professional Futurists (APF)2004 ShapingTomorrow.com2006 Regent University, MA in Strategic Foresight, DSL (Leadership)2010 OCAD University, M.Des. in Strategic Foresight & Innovation (Design)

Adapted from slide 24, John Smart, Selling and Teaching Foresight Development: Tips and Tools for Foresight Educators, World Future Society, 2008, http://accelerating.org/presentations/Selling&TeachingFD(115).ppt

Regent University

M.B.A. M.A. in Organizational Leadership M.A. in Strategic Foresight Doctor in Strategic Leadership PhD in Organizational Leadership

Christian Leadership to Change the World

Christian leadershipChristian leadership

http://www.regent.edu/global

65 Foresight students/year Masters & Doctors

65 Foresight students/year Masters & Doctors

http://www.regent.edu/global

½ gradstakeForesightcourse(s)

10 foresightgrads/yr

Gary, J. E. (2010, September). Leading from the future: A review of the Regent foresight program. JFS, 15(1), 119-133. http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/15-1/S03.pdf

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

1 2 3 4 5

1. What is the conceptual framework of your futures studies program?

2. How does the cultural, academic and disciplinarycontext of the program affect the way foresight is learned?

3. What is the content of the futures education program and how was it derived?

4. What are the students’ developmental levels and what teaching & learning methods are most appropriate to ensure student learning?

5. What are the intended outcomes of the foresight program at the program and student level and how are they assessed and used to ensure continuous improvement, to serve community/market needs?

Guiding Questions Guiding Questions

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

Foresight ActivitiesForesight Activities

1 Framing

2

3

4

5

Source: Hines & Bishop, Thinking About the Future, 2007

6

Scanning

Forecasting

Visioning

Planning

Acting

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

Discipline ContextDiscipline Context

Strategic Foresight

Business

Spirituality

Strategy

Leadership

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

Master of Strategic ForesightMaster of Strategic Foresight

CORE COURSES

LMOL601 Foundations of Leadership

LMSF602 Survey of Futures Studies

LMSF603 Social Change

LMSF604 Systems Thinking

LMSF605 Forecasting Techniques

LMSF606 Scenario Dev. & Visioning

LMSF607 Strategic Planning & Change Mgt

LMSF609 Culminating Experience

Core & ElectivesCore & Electives

THREE ELECTIVES

LMSF616 World Futures

LMSF617 Human Futures

LMSF618 Organizational Futures

LMSF622 Images of the Future

LMSF623 Religionists and Futurists

LMSF624 Defense Futures

LMSF671 Professional Futures

LMSF690 Ind. Study in Strategic Foresight

Master of Strategic Foresight

http://www.regent.edu/global/msf

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

MSF FacultyMSF Faculty

MSF Faculty 

Jay  Gary, Ph.D.Assistant Professor

Virginia Richardson, D.S.L.

Adjunct Professor

Kathleen Patterson, PhD

Associate Professor

I work from homeI work from home

I work from home!

I am on campus 3 hours a week

I am on campus 3 hours a week

I am on campus 3 hours a week

I interact with students online

I interact with students online

My office is Blackboard.

I interact in Virtual Classrooms

I interact in Virtual Classrooms

I meet online live with my students every 3 weeks

Textbooks

Masters ResidencyMasters ResidencyJoin us May 9-10, 2013 Thurs & Fri

Spencer – My Journey

Slides are at: http://www.jaygary.com/aug16.pdf

World Future 2012

World Future 2012

www.wfs.org

Regent MSF& DSL Studentsat lunch

Internships

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

Master Level OutcomesMaster Level Outcomes

1. Create a horizon scanning and trend analysis systems.

2. Create a baseline forecast of trends for an industry.

3. Lead departmental teams to develop visions & strategic plans.

4. Lead scenario learning process for leadership teams.

5. Create a professional specialization and showcase their work.

http://www.regent.edu/global

Assessment MapAssessment MapProgram Outcome

Assessment Benchmark Results ‘09‐10 Action Plan

1. Scanning MSF 602: ScanMSF 603: Issues MgtMSF 604 Sys Model

80% of students at a pass rate 80%

Benchmark achieved by 85% of students

Continue & monitor 

2. Forecasting MSF 603: EssayMSF 605: Forecast

80% of students at a pass rate 80%

Benchmark achieved by 90% of students

Continue & monitor 

3.  Planning MSF 603: MasterplanMSF 606: SWOT

80% of students at a pass rate 80%

Benchmark achieved by 95% of students

Continue & monitor 

4. Scenarios MSF 606: ManoaMSF 606: Scenarios

80% of students at a pass rate 80%

Benchmark achieved by 90% of students

Continue & monitor 

5. Profession MSF 602: PortfolioMSF 605: Vision EsyMSF 609: CulProject

80% of students at a pass rate 80%

Benchmark achieved by 100%

Continue & monitor 

Source: http://www.regent.edu/global/msf

Where do our graduates go?Where do our graduates go?

• Strategic Planner• Management Consultant• Non-profit Executive • Intelligence Analyst• Innovation Mgr • Consulting Futurist

MSF GraduatesMSF Graduates

5 Guiding Questions5 Guiding Questions

ConceptFrame

DisciplineContext

Course Context

Learning Methods

OutcomesAssessed 

1 2 3 4 5

Foresight Educators Bootcamp

Foresight Educators Bootcamp

World Future Society Toronto, July 26, 2012

Download slides: http://www.jaygary.com/bootcamp.pdf

Jay Gary & Richard SlaughterJay Gary & Richard Slaughter

DNA AlterationsDNA Alterations

Traditional ImprovedFace to Face Hybrid: Online & F2FAcademic grades Competence - OutcomesMenagerie of Courses Common Learning DesignLong Summer Recess Year-Round OperationFaculty Teaching Faculty & Peer-to-PeerRational / Secular More attention to Values / SpiritExtracurricular Learning Internships & Company Spin-offs

“Raising quality, Lowering Costs, Serving More Students”

Anytime, anywhere personal and collaborative learning

1. Create frameworks that articulate the essential nature of future studies programs.

2. Affirm an internal locus of control and creativity for individual programs.

3. Articulate issues of legitimacy, both internal and external to academia.

4. Offer resources for new and developing programs.

5. Serve as a reference for programs responding to accrediting processes.

5 Functions of UFN5 Functions of UFNMy Vision – Jay Gary

Foresight Education:Foresight

Education:

University Foresight Network, Sept. 6, 2012

Jay Gary, PhDJay Gary, PhD

Follow Twitter @ RegentGLEMSFEmail: jay@jaygary.com  http://www.jaygary.com/jayufn12.pdf

The Regent Experience