European Labour Market and Welfare...

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European Labour Market and Welfare Systems

Jean Monnet Chair in European Integration Studies

Prof. PASQUALE TRIDICO

Globalization

What are the characteristics of the globalization phenomenon?

What are the components of the globalization process

How does this relate to history

The same trend does not always have the same impact everywhere

What are the pros and cons of Globalization?

Globalization-Something New?

It’s been a long time coming, but now it is happening furiously fast—and that is part of the problem.

So, to “what is it?” and “why is it happening?” we have to add: “is the pace of globalization accelerating—and the answer is a definite “yes”

WHAT IS GLOBALIZATION?

1) Whole world interconnected

- interdependence of all parts of world

2) Intensification of world-wide phenomena

3) Trans-national relations

- erosion of national boundaries

4) “Domino effects”

- events have long-distance ramifications e.g. September 11

WHAT IS GLOBALIZATION? 5) Alteration of space

- distances shortened

- technological changes

6) Alteration of time

- things happen quicker

7) Sense of “globality” /

Global consciousness

- experience all places as interdependent

- “the whole planet”

- “the whole of humankind”

Early Globalization

Key Elements: THEN

Key Elements--NOW

What are the Components? 1.

Broad Category: Technology

Instant, cheap Worldwide Communications—cell phone, www(availability at the individual level)

International (instant)financial and capital transfers

Increased scale and frequency of air transport

Container ships

Definitions of Globalization

Political, economic, social and cultural aspects

“an immense enlargement of

world communication and a

world market” (Fredric Jameson)

- capitalist market spreads everywhere

- the negative consequences of capitalism spread globally

Definitions of Globalization

“the intensification of world-wide social relations” (Anthony Giddens)

- - “stretching” of social relations across the globe

- - communications and media technologies

“the compression of the world and the intensification of consciousness of the world as a whole” (Roland Robertson)

- - world becomes “smaller”

- - world is experienced as “one place”

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FDI in Developed countries and in the World

world FDI inward stock (millions US$)

world FDI outward stock (millions US$)

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DevC FDI outward stock (millions US$)

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Global trade intensification

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Foreign Direct Investments in percent of World GDP

FDI, net inflows (% of GDP)

Definitions of Globalization

Deterritorialization:

“a process (or set of processes) which embodies a transformation in the spatial organization of social relations and transactions - assessed in terms of their extensity, intensity, velocity and impact - generating transcontinental or inter-regional flows and networks of activity” (David Held)

1) Processes across and beyond nation-states

2) Processes across whole regions e.g. European Union

History of Globalization Last 30 years

- Electronic communications technology

- Cheap air travel

- Spread of capitalism after fall of Communism in 1989 and 1991

- Development of a truly “global” capitalism

Component 2

Broad Category: Information

Instant dispersal of news by satellite TV, www, fax (but what news and whose?)

Competition is worldwide, not local or national

Very hard to keep a secret

Components 3

Broad Category: Culture

Increasingly a “global village,” but a Western one watching the same TV, music videos, news, soaps. Reaction to this?

Rise of a “global language.” Why? Whose?

Smaller cultures may feel threatened

Component 4

Broad Category: Environment and Health

Global environmental problems (Ozone, global “warming,” sea-level change

AIDS, Ebola, ??

Global plunder of common pool resources—ocean, forests…..

Component 5

Broad Category: Crime and Terrorism

“International” crime, Russian Mafia

Terrorists in caves in Afghanistan threaten lower Manhattan

International crime does not play by the rules of “states,” and may be better organized than some, and “own” others.

Component 6

A global population?

The rich countries remain rich, and a declining proportion of world population

The poor countries remain poor, and a rapidly expanding part of the worlds population (95% of the growth)

Hence the pressure to move to the rich countries, legally or illegally

The Information Revolution

The Internet

The WWW

Instant Dispersal of News & Information

The Rise of a Global Media Village?

The Personalization of communications: the cell/mobile phone system, and its increasing capacity.

Information: Downside?

But, what information is becoming global? But whose news is becoming global?

What is this doing to cultures and communities?

Does Globalization = Westernization =Americanization? Does it matter?

Are we evolving a global language? What are the consequences of this?

Is This Globalization?

Trans-national mobility of:

1) money & wealth

- through computer technology

2) jobs, goods & services

3) business-people

“Trans-national business class” (Leslie Sklair)

A new global elite

Trans-national Corporations (TNCs)

- e.g. Coca-Cola, Nike, Gap, Nokia, News International

Investment in countries

- cheap labour, low taxes

Mobility of capital:

- pull out of one country and move elsewhere:

Increasing World Trade (Billions of

US$)

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Merchandise Exports as percentage of GDP in 1990 prices, world and major regions, 1870-1998 ______________________________________________ 1870 1913 1950 1773 1998 ______________________________________________ Western Europe 8.8 14.1 8.7 18.7 35.8 Eastern Europe & former USSR 3.3 4.7 3.8 6.3 12.7 Latin America 9.7 9.0 6.0 4.7 9.7 Asia 1.7 3.4 4.2 9.6 12.6 Africa 5.8 20.0 15.1 18.4 14.8 World 4.6 7.9 5.5 10.5 17.2 ______________________________________________

Who Manages Globalization?

There is no world government, so who regulates and controls the process? Mostly UN agencies, but they require the compliance of all member states, and the UN does not make law.

Do states ever put the global priority ahead of their own? Plus, we have rich, strong states, and poor weak ones.

Free trade: no national barriers to trade

Neo-liberal ideology:

free markets = no State interference in economy = wealth for all

World Trade Organisation (WTO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

Reduction of a government’s control of its country’s economy

The “Real” World and the “Political” World

This

Or

This-----------

The big difference is, of course, that the one on the left will still be going in 2 billion years; the one on the right, well, don’t put money

on it.

Globalization—The Really Scary Part Part 1—the Good Old Days

Plague Famine

Globalization—The Really Scary Part Part 2—Today

AIDS

SARS

EBOLA

?

Melting Ice Sheets, Flooded Coasts, Global Warming?

Terrorism

Globalization—The

…poverty…...

For Lucas (1993), international trade contributes to stimulate economic growth through a process of structural change and capital accumulation Capital accumulation is determined by “learning by doing” and “learning by schooling” in a process of knowledge and innovation spillovers. A country that protects its goods from international competition by raising tariffs on goods made with intensive skilled work will have as an effect a domestic increase in the price of goods that use intensive skilled work. Skilled workers’ wages will increase and R&D will be more expensive. Consecutively, investments in R&D will decrease, and growth will be affected negatively. On the contrary, deleting tariffs on those goods will cause a reduction in the price of goods that use intensive skilled work. R&D will cost less, and investments in R&D will increase, with positive effects on growth (Lucas, 1993). Policies should therefore address such problems and should create conditions for effective and substantial R&D investments.

Pro and cons…. Advantages of globalisation

uneven development is caused mainly by liberalisation and trade intensification via wage differentials. This risk was already raised by Stolper and Samuelson: according to the Stolper-Samuelson theorem, market integration increases economic inequality and vulnerability because increased international trade raises the incomes of the owners of abundant factors and reduces the incomes of the owners of scarce factors. Since advanced industrial countries are more capital-intensive economies and abundant with skilled labour, trade is expected to be beneficial for capital-intensive economies and skilled labour and detrimental for unskilled labour, increasing income inequality, and for labour-intensive economies, increasing regional disparities.

…but inequality increases… Why? in theory

…BUT inequality…..

Compensation financial sector and other sectors

Avg compensation financial sector

Avg Compensation other sectors

Source: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (2011)

Ratio between manager and average workers

compensation in USA Fonte: ILO 2010

Scarier Still

We have global crime—financial, drug-related etc., perhaps the largest single element in international trade

A Man in a cave in Afghanistan can kill 3000 people in lower Manhattan

International crime does not play by the rules of states—or anyone else—and may be better-equipped.

To Recap: Globalization

Is Driven by Technology

Is seen as threatening cultures because it is equated with Westernization

Increases the pace at which everything happens: capital transfers, spread of disease, change of culture…

May be changing our global environment, but can states manage the globe?

Who runs the world????

Globalization of Economy

Right-wing view (e.g. Francis Fukuyama):

- free trade benefits all countries

- poorer countries’ economies develop and citizens get richer

- capitalism brings with it the benefits of

consumerism

democracy

human rights

- “Global Village”

Left-wing view

e.g. Noam Chomsky, Zygmunt Bauman

World united in some ways

- especially economically: world-wide capitalist market

- Habermas: world-wide capitalist system; colonizes local life-worlds

World divided in other ways

- increasing wealth in Developed World, increasing poverty in Developing World

- globalization works in Western interests

Immanuel Wallerstein: World-Systems Theory

1) Globalization = new form of imperialism

2) Not direct but indirect

Not political but economic control

3) Globalization based on rich “core”

nations and poor “periphery” nations

4) Developing world debt

5) Job insecurity in core nations:

- Decline of manufacturing

- “off-shoring”