DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DTICAD-A26 6 525 DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DSA Report *790 9 October 1987...

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DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONSDSA Report *790 9 October 1987

DTIC S~ELECTE

S JUL 0 6 1993 D IARECONSTRUCTION OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET

NATIONAL ECONOMIC BALANCE TABLES, 1970- 1983:

A Replication and Evaluation of

Steinberg's Reconstruction MethodologyiVolume II: Tables

I

Thsdocment *-os bee, app-rovedJ t public relecse ond sQoe; its tsI jditibto is unlimtedl.

Final ReportPrepared under Contract No. MDA903-86-C-0028For the Office of Net Assessnwnt°.,.=., , °.....93-15144Department of Defense93 1 1The Pentagon ll ll!HliiWashington, D.C. 20301 i tj

Attention: Lt. Col. Thomas Gladstone

IiSuite 1000. 1901 North Moore Street, Arlington. Virginia 22209 (703) 243-2500

(R I-7

REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form ApprovedOMB No. 0704-0188

Pu ic n portin b rten for this collection of info ation is estima eW to avera e I hou er reaponse includin th• time f r revigwinn? i.ons, ar~q in exi dataIou sgaerin anl main ainiatng the ata rongle In r B ime fIrmatio , en0 c nt egarg s d ee esimaeorany oe aspecto. cole•ion in atoni sti~nsortni's n, aab F at I nid a an ~reoucigatlisbpu~ert, •p•pmgB .I-e..qqJ~.r le~cs jctorf• Torimrorma~tion o.erc os and •eao~s,.' ] e]•~r"rson, javis_ 88),

.J.a•onuli1•, Lington, -4 , om tice Fan aana nt udget Paperwork eduction Project (07u4-0 ,

1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED

9 Oct 87 Final: OCTOBER 1987

t ,ifi fO rT& OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET NATIONAL ECONOMIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERSBALANCE TABLES, 1970-1983: A REPLICATION AND EVALUATION OFSTEINBERG'S RECONSTRUCTION METHODOLOGY, VOL. II, TABLES C: MDA 903-86-C-0028

6. AUTHOR(S) M. Zelina, G. Pugh

7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATIONREPORT NUMBER

Decision-Science Applications, Inc. DSA 790

1901 N. Moore St. #1000

Arlington, VA 22209

9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)

Office of the Secretary of DefenseOffice of the Director of Net Assessment 10. SPONSORING/MONITORINGRm 3A930, The Pentagon AGENCY REPORT NUMBERWashington, D.C. 20301

87-238411. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES

12a. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE

A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.

13. ABSTRACTCompiles the complete set of Soviet National Economic Balance tables as reconstructed in the DSA computerized

data base.

14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF PAGES135

Soviet Union Economy Defense Spending 16. PRICE CODE

17. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 18. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 19 SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 20. LIMITATION OF

OF REPORT OF THIS PAGE OF ABSTRACT ABSTRACT

UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED SAR

NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89Presc-bed by ANSI Std Z39-18. 298-102

DISCLAIMKI NOTICK

THIS DOCUMENT IS BEST

QUALITY AVAILABLE. THE COPY

FURNISHED TO DTIC CONTAINED

A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF

PAGES WHICH DO NOT

REPRODUCE LEGIBLY.

II

flMAI W• DECISION.SCIENCE APPLICATION,

DSA Report #790 9 October 1987I

i RECONSTRUCTION OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET

NATIONAL ECONOMIC BALANCE TABLES, 1970 - 1983:

A Replication and Evaluation of Accesion For

Steinberg's Reconstruction Methodology N-rS CRAM lIU.... C.....ed

Volume II: TablesD i L".-to: -

Michael W. Zelina -. or

* George E. Pugh

"The views, opinions, and findings contained in this

report are thou of the author(s) and should not beconstrued as an official Department of Defense position,

policy, or decision, unless so designated by other official

documentation".

Final ReportPrepared under Contract No. MDA903-86-C-0028 Lii ,For the Office of Net AssessmentDepartment of DefenseThe PentagonWashington, D.C. 20301

Attention: Lt. Col. Thomas Gladstone

Suite 1000, 1901 North Moore Street, Arlington, Virginia 22209 (703) 243-2500

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... iv

LIST OF MAJOR SOURCE TABLES ....................................................................... v

WORKING TABLES

WT001 Net Investment by Sector ...................................................................... I

WT002 Production and End Use of Goods (GSP Balance) ................. 3

WT005 GSP and Replacement Fund .............................................................. 6

WT006 Supply of Goods by Sector ................................................................. 8

WT011 Total Material Outlays of Production Sectors ........................ 10

WT012 Material Outlays of Heavy Industrial Sectors ........................ 12WT013 Material Outlays of All Other Sectors ....................................... 14

WT014 Capital Depreciation ............................................................................ 16WT015 Capital Replacement ............................................................................ 18WT016 Capital Repair ........................................................................................ 19

WT017 Foreign Trade in Gold Rubles ........................................................ 20WT018 Foreign Trade in Domestic Rubles ............................................... 22WT019 Produced National Income by Sector .......................................... 24

WT020 Capital Investment in Constant Prices ....................................... 26WT021 Capital Investment in Production Sectors ................................. 27

WT022 Capital Investment in Nonproduction Sectors ........................ 28

WT023 Additions to Capital Stock in Constant Prices ...................... 29WT026 Balance of Inventories and Reserves .......................................... 30

WT027 Additions of Inventories and Reserves ...................................... 31WT02$ Demographic Trends ............................................................................ 32

WT029 Civilian Labor Force .......................................................................... 34WT030 Labor Outlays - Production Sectors ............................................. 36

WT031 Labor Outlays - Industrial Sectors ................................................ 38

WT032 Labor Outlays - Nonproduction Sectors .................................... 41

W T 033 N et P rofit ........................................................................................................ 42

WT034 Turnover Tax and Other Financial Revenues ....................... 44WT037 Industrial GVO in Constant and Current Prices ................... 46

WT040 Wage and Capital Bonus Funds ..................................................... 49

Ii

I

WT641 Capital Construction - Constantand Current Prices ............................................................................... 50

WT043 Structure of Industrial Purchaser's Prices ............................... 52

WT044 Industrial Groups A and B .............................................................. 54

WT046 Transportation & Communication and Trade &Distribution Charge by Sector ......................................................... 56

WT047 Retail Trade of Goods by Sector .................................................. 57

WT048 Retail Purchases by Householdsand ................................................................................ 59

WT049 Unified Balance of HouseholdIncom e and Outlays ............................................................................. 60

WT050 Supporting Data on Education, Culture,Health, & Services ............................................................................... 62

WT051 Outlays and Profit of Service Sectors ....................................... 64

WT052 Material Outlays of Nonproduction Sectors ............................ 67WT053 State Budgetary Revenues ................................................................. 68

WT054 State Budgetary Outlays by Sector .............................................. 70

WT055 Itemized State Budgetary Outlays ............................................... 72

WT056 Financial Balance of HouseholdIncom e & O utlays .................................................................................. 73

WT058 Financing Working Assets ................................................................. 74

WT0$9 Financing Capital Investment ........................................................ 76

WT061 Distribution of State Profit .............................................................. 77

WT063 Consumption of Goods by Sector ................................................... 79

WT064 Agricultural Productive Capital ................................................... 81

WT066 Industrial Production Outlays -Industry, Power, Fuel ......................................................................... 82

WT067 Industrial Production Outlays -Metallurgy, Chemicals, MBMW ...................................................... 84

WT068 Industrial Production Outlays - Wood & Paper,Construction Materials, Light &Food Industries ..................................................................................... 86

WT069 USSR Defense Budget ...................................................................... 88

WT070 Export and Import Coefficients ..................................................... 89

WT071 Capital Investment in Current Prices .......................................... 90

WT100 Agricultural Consumption-In-Kind ............................................ 91

W T101 Defense Science ...................................................................................... 92

ii

UNIFIED ECONOMIC BALANCE (UEB) TABLES

U E B 1970 ............................................................................................................................... 93

U E B 1971 ............................................................................................................................... 95

U E B 1972 ............................................................................................................................... 97

U E B 1973 ............................................................................................................................... 99

U E B 1974 ........................................................................................................................... 101

UEB 1975 .................................................. 103

U E B 1976 ............................................................................................................................ 105

U E B 1977 ............................................................................................................................ 107

U E B 1978 ............................................................................................................................ 109

U E B 1979 .................................................................................................................... 111

U E B 1980 ............................................................................................................................ 113

U E B 198 1 ............................................................................................................................ 115

U E B 1982 ............................................................................................................................ 117

U E B 1983 ............................................................................................................................ 119

U E B T E M P L A T E .................................................................................................................. 12 1

III

II°o

INTRODUCTION TO VOLUME II

This volume compiles the complete set of Soviet National Economic Balancetables as reconstructed in the DSA computerized data base. The first part of thisvolume contains the set of 55 working tables and the second part contains the setof 14 unified economic balance tables. The minor source table references are givenon the opposite page of the individual working tables; each unified economicbalance table is printed in two parts on separate pages. The unified economicbalance template on page 121 is accompanied by a legend indicating the arithmeticfunctions contained in the unified economic balance tables. A description of theprocedures used to construct the tables contained in this volume as well as an

assessment of the reconstruction methodology are provided in Volume I, Technical.A List of Major Source Tables is also included in the front of this volume toidentify the published Soviet statistical tables used to construct the Soviet NationalEconomic Balance tables.

I,

Ii

LIST OF MAJOR SOURCE TABLES

L Lend NK Narodnove Khozvavstvo SSSRVS Vestnik StatistikiCM CEMA Statistical HandbookGOSBUD Gosudarstvenniv Budzhet SSSR:

Sovuznvkh Resoublik (1976 and 1982)

Table Til Source

STOOl National Income (PNI) by Sector CM83, p. 41

ST002 State Investment: Production andNonproduction Sectors CM83, p. 137

ST003 State-Cooperative and Collective GSP CM83, p. 62ST006 Productive and Nonproductive Labor

by Sector CM83, p 382

ST009 Captial Investment: Major Sectors CM83, p. 144

STOW Structure of Captial Investment by Sector CM83, p. 153

STOl Structure of Fixed Capital (in percent) NK72, p. 64

STO12 Structure of Fixed Captial: Profit3 Seeking Sectors NK72, p. 63

ST014 Industrial and Agricultural Supply NK73, p. 16

ST016 Structure of Fixed Capital:Budgetary Sectors NK73, p. 61

ST019 Industrial GVO w/o Turnover Tax NK80, p.123ST020 Passenger Transportation by Factor

Cost NK74, p. 473

I ST021 Structure of Fixed Capital NK74, p. 82

ST022 Industrial Labor by Sector NK74, p. 188

ST023 Depreciation Deductions in Industry NK74, p. 207

5T025 Retail Trade Inventories K80, p. 4333 ST026 Structure of Industrial Prices NK77, p.145

ST027 Population According to Types of Income NK79, p. 9

ST028 GSP by Sector NK80, p. 49

ST029 Number of Newborn NK79, p. 31

ST030 USSR Population NK80, p. 7

ST031 Construction Price Index NK80, p. 352

ST032 Trade Inventories NK80, p. 433

I

ZTgbL•. Itl& Source

ST033 Social Security Budgets NK80, p. 527

ST034 Industrial GVO by Sector: Growth Rates NK80, p. 128

ST035 Industrial GVO by Sector: Percent of Total NK80, p. 128

ST036 Structure of Retail Trade NK80, p. 429

ST037 State Budgetary Outlays (Education) NK80, p. 525

ST038 Structure of Capital Investment inConstant Prices NK80, p. 334

ST039 Gardening NK80, p. 235

ST040 Retail Trade Turnover: State-Cooperative,and Ex-Village Markets NK80, p. 424

ST041 Outlays on Services NK80, p. 524

ST042 Financial Accumulations NK80, p. 503

ST043 Value of Unfinished Construction byBranch of Industry NK80, p. 345

ST044 Net Profit by Sector NK80, p. 503

ST045 All-Union and All-Republic Budgets NK80, p. 525

ST046 Capital Stock of Collectives NK80, p. 213

ST047 Installation and Liquidation Rates NK80, p. 147ST048 Agricultural Production: Growth Rates

for State, Collective, and Private Sectors NK80, p. 205

I ST049 State Budget NK80, p. 522

ST050 State Farms NK80, p. 271

ST051 Number of Students NK80, p. 455

ST052 Captial Investment by Sector NK80, p. 336

ST053 Depreciation Funds NK80, p. 521

ST054 Structure of Captial Investment: State-Cooperative Production (%) NK80, p. 335

I ST055 Trade Outlays NK80, p. 434

ST056 Average Monthly State-CooperativeWages by Sector NK80, p. 364

ST057 Bonus Funds NK80, p. 518

ST058 Industrial Groups A&B NK80, p. 124

ST059 Industrial Production Outlays NK80, p. 153

"*mvi

Table lM Source

ST060 Agricultural Production(GVO -- 1973 prices) NK80, p. 201

ST061 Working Assets NK80, p. 510

ST062 Agricultural Procurement NK80, p. 211

ST063 Value of Construction Work NK80, p. 346

ST065 Profit in Trade NK80, p. 508

ST066 Capital of State Farms NK80, p. 214

ST067 Production of Consumer Goods NK80, p. 191

ST068 Livestock (Total of all Farms) NK80, p. 245ST069 Profit in the Transportation and

Communications Sector NK80, p. 507

ST070 MBMW Products NK80, p. 164

S ST071 Structure of Agricultural Fixed Capital NK80, p. 213ST072 Structure of Foreign Trade NK80, p. 540

ST073 Industrial Profitability by Sector NK80, p. 506

ST074 Foreign Trade Turnover in Gold Rubles NK80, p. 537ST075 Freight Transportation NK80, p. 293

ST076 Credits Issued to Cooperatives and Collectives NK80, p. 532ST078 Issued Credits by Economic Sector NK80, p. 528

ST079 Everyday Services in Constant Prices NK80, p. 451ST080 Agricultural Investment NK80, p. 145

ST081 Industrial Profit by Sector NK80, p. 505ST082 Industrial Fixed Capital by Sector NK80, p. 145

ST083 Productive and Nonproductive Labor NK80, p. 356

ST084 Capital Investment into Industry NK80, p. 338

ST085 Capital Investment -- State-Cooperative,Collective, and Private NK80, p. 333

ST086 Capital of State Farms and Joint Ventures NK80, p. 282

ST087 Family Budget of Workers and ServicePersonnel NK80, p. 383

ST089 Higher Education NK80, p. 483

ST091 Collectives (Employees, GVO, Capital,Income and Wages) NK80, p. 254

ST092 State Housing Investment NK80, p. 391

II vii

ITable flit Source

S ST093 State-Cooperative Employees by Sector NK80, p. 357

ST094 GVO for Communications NK80, p. 322

ST095 Distribution of Profit NK80, p. 504

ST.i96 Machinery and Equipment Production NK80, p. 167

ST097 Retail Trade Turnover NK80, p. 421

ST098 Growth of Capital-Labor Ratio NK80, p. 145

ST099 Pensioners NK80, p. 411

ST100 Households Savings NK80, p. 408

STI01 Social Security Payments NK80, p. 381ST102 Consumption and Investment NK80, p. 380

NK75, p. 505-506

I ST103 Pre-School Children NK80, p. 410

ST104 Industrial Materials Outlays NK83, p. 1493ST15 State Capital Investment NK83, p. 355

ST106 Production Outlays in Collectives NK82, p. 261

ST108 Capital Installation by EconomicBranch NK82, p. 329

ST109 Fishing Collectives NK83, p. 282

ST113 Industrial Wages by Sector VS74 (9,10);82(8)-p. 79; and83(1 1)-p. 45

STl 14 Industrial Labor VS76(8), p. 87

STI 15 Installation of Industrial Capital VS79(2), p. 76

ST120 Financing Working Assets VS12(84), p. 74

ST122 Outlays on Education VS82(12), p. 74

ST 123 Total Employees and Workers VS82(8), p. 77

ST125 Structure of Trade Inventories NK80, p.517

ST126 Cost Structure of Retail Trade NK80, p. 436

ST127 Cost Structure of Food Service Sector NK80, p. 436

ST128 National Income NK80, p. 379

ST129 Structure and Growth of the Productionof the Means of Production NK80, p. 124

I STI30 Structure of the Production ofConsumer Goods NK80, p. 125

Ii viii

Table - TSourc

ST131 Agricultural Investment NK80, p. 342

ST132 Construction Labor NK80, p. 351

ST133 Number of Men and Women NK80, p. 8

ST134 Average Annual State-CooperativeFemale Workers NK80, p. 361

ST135 Female Workers in Collectives byPercent NK83, p. 392

ST136 Higher and Special Education NK80, p. 462

ST137 Women in Higher and Special Education VS83(1), p. 74

ST138 Sources of Female Support VS77(1)

ST139 Labor Productivity Index by IndustrialSector NK80, p. 136

ST140 Industrial Production Index NK80, p. 127

ST141 Short-Term Credits by Type NK80, p. 529

ST142 Geological Works NK82, p. 356

ST143 Structure of State-CooperativeCapital Investment NK80, p. 337

ST144 Capital Investment in Collectives NK80, p. 341

ST145 State Budgetary Revenues GOSBUD, 1976 &

1982

ST156 Family Budgets of Collective Workers NK80, p. 385

ST157 Family Budgets of Industrial Workers NK80, p. 384

ST158 Financing Working Assets NK80, p. 511

ST159 Structure of Bonus Funds NK80, p. 518

ST160 Structure of Industrial Bonus Funds NK80, p. 519

ST162 Structure of Inventories NK80, p. 513

ST163 Structure of Inventories in Industry NK80, p. 514

ST165 Structure of Inventories in Construction NK80, p. 516

ST167 Working Assets and Inventories by Sector NKg0, p. 510

ST168 Payments from Social Consumption Fund NK80, p. 381

ST170 Bonus Wages by Sector NK80, p. 517

STI71 Budgetary Outlays on Social-CulturalMeasures and Science NK80, p. 525

ix

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