DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DTICAD-A26 6 525 DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DSA Report *790 9 October 1987...
182
AD-A2 66 525 DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DSA Report *790 9 October 1987 DTIC S S JUL 0 6 1993 D I A RECONSTRUCTION OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET NATIONAL ECONOMIC BALANCE TABLES, 1970- 1983: A Replication and Evaluation of Steinberg's Reconstruction Methodology i Volume II: Tables I Thsdocment *-os bee, app-roved J t public relecse ond sQoe; its ts I jditibto is unlimtedl. Final Report Prepared under Contract No. MDA903-86-C-0028 For the Office of Net Assessnwnt °.,.=., , °.....93-15144 Department of Defense93 1 1 The Pentagon ll ll!Hlii Washington, D.C. 20301 i tj Attention: Lt. Col. Thomas Gladstone Ii Suite 1000. 1901 North Moore Street, Arlington. Virginia 22209 (703) 243-2500 (R I-7
Transcript of DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DTICAD-A26 6 525 DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONS DSA Report *790 9 October 1987...
AD-A2 6 6 525
DECSIDC4INC APPLICATIONSDSA Report *790 9 October 1987
DTIC S~ELECTE
S JUL 0 6 1993 D IARECONSTRUCTION OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET
NATIONAL ECONOMIC BALANCE TABLES, 1970- 1983:
A Replication and Evaluation of
Steinberg's Reconstruction MethodologyiVolume II: Tables
I
Thsdocment *-os bee, app-rovedJ t public relecse ond sQoe; its tsI jditibto is unlimtedl.
Final ReportPrepared under Contract No. MDA903-86-C-0028For the Office of Net Assessnwnt°.,.=., , °.....93-15144Department of Defense93 1 1The Pentagon ll ll!HliiWashington, D.C. 20301 i tj
Attention: Lt. Col. Thomas Gladstone
IiSuite 1000. 1901 North Moore Street, Arlington. Virginia 22209 (703) 243-2500
(R I-7
REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form ApprovedOMB No. 0704-0188
Pu ic n portin b rten for this collection of info ation is estima eW to avera e I hou er reaponse includin th• time f r revigwinn? i.ons, ar~q in exi dataIou sgaerin anl main ainiatng the ata rongle In r B ime fIrmatio , en0 c nt egarg s d ee esimaeorany oe aspecto. cole•ion in atoni sti~nsortni's n, aab F at I nid a an ~reoucigatlisbpu~ert, •p•pmgB .I-e..qqJ~.r le~cs jctorf• Torimrorma~tion o.erc os and •eao~s,.' ] e]•~r"rson, javis_ 88),
.J.a•onuli1•, Lington, -4 , om tice Fan aana nt udget Paperwork eduction Project (07u4-0 ,
1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED
9 Oct 87 Final: OCTOBER 1987
t ,ifi fO rT& OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET NATIONAL ECONOMIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERSBALANCE TABLES, 1970-1983: A REPLICATION AND EVALUATION OFSTEINBERG'S RECONSTRUCTION METHODOLOGY, VOL. II, TABLES C: MDA 903-86-C-0028
6. AUTHOR(S) M. Zelina, G. Pugh
7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATIONREPORT NUMBER
Decision-Science Applications, Inc. DSA 790
1901 N. Moore St. #1000
Arlington, VA 22209
9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)
Office of the Secretary of DefenseOffice of the Director of Net Assessment 10. SPONSORING/MONITORINGRm 3A930, The Pentagon AGENCY REPORT NUMBERWashington, D.C. 20301
87-238411. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
12a. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE
A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
13. ABSTRACTCompiles the complete set of Soviet National Economic Balance tables as reconstructed in the DSA computerized
data base.
14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF PAGES135
Soviet Union Economy Defense Spending 16. PRICE CODE
17. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 18. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 19 SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 20. LIMITATION OF
OF REPORT OF THIS PAGE OF ABSTRACT ABSTRACT
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DISCLAIMKI NOTICK
THIS DOCUMENT IS BEST
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REPRODUCE LEGIBLY.
II
flMAI W• DECISION.SCIENCE APPLICATION,
DSA Report #790 9 October 1987I
i RECONSTRUCTION OF THE UNIFIED SOVIET
NATIONAL ECONOMIC BALANCE TABLES, 1970 - 1983:
A Replication and Evaluation of Accesion For
Steinberg's Reconstruction Methodology N-rS CRAM lIU.... C.....ed
Volume II: TablesD i L".-to: -
Michael W. Zelina -. or
* George E. Pugh
"The views, opinions, and findings contained in this
report are thou of the author(s) and should not beconstrued as an official Department of Defense position,
policy, or decision, unless so designated by other official
documentation".
Final ReportPrepared under Contract No. MDA903-86-C-0028 Lii ,For the Office of Net AssessmentDepartment of DefenseThe PentagonWashington, D.C. 20301
Attention: Lt. Col. Thomas Gladstone
Suite 1000, 1901 North Moore Street, Arlington, Virginia 22209 (703) 243-2500
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... iv
LIST OF MAJOR SOURCE TABLES ....................................................................... v
WORKING TABLES
WT001 Net Investment by Sector ...................................................................... I
WT002 Production and End Use of Goods (GSP Balance) ................. 3
WT005 GSP and Replacement Fund .............................................................. 6
WT006 Supply of Goods by Sector ................................................................. 8
WT011 Total Material Outlays of Production Sectors ........................ 10
WT012 Material Outlays of Heavy Industrial Sectors ........................ 12WT013 Material Outlays of All Other Sectors ....................................... 14
WT014 Capital Depreciation ............................................................................ 16WT015 Capital Replacement ............................................................................ 18WT016 Capital Repair ........................................................................................ 19
WT017 Foreign Trade in Gold Rubles ........................................................ 20WT018 Foreign Trade in Domestic Rubles ............................................... 22WT019 Produced National Income by Sector .......................................... 24
WT020 Capital Investment in Constant Prices ....................................... 26WT021 Capital Investment in Production Sectors ................................. 27
WT022 Capital Investment in Nonproduction Sectors ........................ 28
WT023 Additions to Capital Stock in Constant Prices ...................... 29WT026 Balance of Inventories and Reserves .......................................... 30
WT027 Additions of Inventories and Reserves ...................................... 31WT02$ Demographic Trends ............................................................................ 32
WT029 Civilian Labor Force .......................................................................... 34WT030 Labor Outlays - Production Sectors ............................................. 36
WT031 Labor Outlays - Industrial Sectors ................................................ 38
WT032 Labor Outlays - Nonproduction Sectors .................................... 41
W T 033 N et P rofit ........................................................................................................ 42
WT034 Turnover Tax and Other Financial Revenues ....................... 44WT037 Industrial GVO in Constant and Current Prices ................... 46
WT040 Wage and Capital Bonus Funds ..................................................... 49
Ii
I
WT641 Capital Construction - Constantand Current Prices ............................................................................... 50
WT043 Structure of Industrial Purchaser's Prices ............................... 52
WT044 Industrial Groups A and B .............................................................. 54
WT046 Transportation & Communication and Trade &Distribution Charge by Sector ......................................................... 56
WT047 Retail Trade of Goods by Sector .................................................. 57
WT048 Retail Purchases by Householdsand ................................................................................ 59
WT049 Unified Balance of HouseholdIncom e and Outlays ............................................................................. 60
WT050 Supporting Data on Education, Culture,Health, & Services ............................................................................... 62
WT051 Outlays and Profit of Service Sectors ....................................... 64
WT052 Material Outlays of Nonproduction Sectors ............................ 67WT053 State Budgetary Revenues ................................................................. 68
WT054 State Budgetary Outlays by Sector .............................................. 70
WT055 Itemized State Budgetary Outlays ............................................... 72
WT056 Financial Balance of HouseholdIncom e & O utlays .................................................................................. 73
WT058 Financing Working Assets ................................................................. 74
WT0$9 Financing Capital Investment ........................................................ 76
WT061 Distribution of State Profit .............................................................. 77
WT063 Consumption of Goods by Sector ................................................... 79
WT064 Agricultural Productive Capital ................................................... 81
WT066 Industrial Production Outlays -Industry, Power, Fuel ......................................................................... 82
WT067 Industrial Production Outlays -Metallurgy, Chemicals, MBMW ...................................................... 84
WT068 Industrial Production Outlays - Wood & Paper,Construction Materials, Light &Food Industries ..................................................................................... 86
WT069 USSR Defense Budget ...................................................................... 88
WT070 Export and Import Coefficients ..................................................... 89
WT071 Capital Investment in Current Prices .......................................... 90
WT100 Agricultural Consumption-In-Kind ............................................ 91
W T101 Defense Science ...................................................................................... 92
ii
UNIFIED ECONOMIC BALANCE (UEB) TABLES
U E B 1970 ............................................................................................................................... 93
U E B 1971 ............................................................................................................................... 95
U E B 1972 ............................................................................................................................... 97
U E B 1973 ............................................................................................................................... 99
U E B 1974 ........................................................................................................................... 101
UEB 1975 .................................................. 103
U E B 1976 ............................................................................................................................ 105
U E B 1977 ............................................................................................................................ 107
U E B 1978 ............................................................................................................................ 109
U E B 1979 .................................................................................................................... 111
U E B 1980 ............................................................................................................................ 113
U E B 198 1 ............................................................................................................................ 115
U E B 1982 ............................................................................................................................ 117
U E B 1983 ............................................................................................................................ 119
U E B T E M P L A T E .................................................................................................................. 12 1
III
II°o
INTRODUCTION TO VOLUME II
This volume compiles the complete set of Soviet National Economic Balancetables as reconstructed in the DSA computerized data base. The first part of thisvolume contains the set of 55 working tables and the second part contains the setof 14 unified economic balance tables. The minor source table references are givenon the opposite page of the individual working tables; each unified economicbalance table is printed in two parts on separate pages. The unified economicbalance template on page 121 is accompanied by a legend indicating the arithmeticfunctions contained in the unified economic balance tables. A description of theprocedures used to construct the tables contained in this volume as well as an
assessment of the reconstruction methodology are provided in Volume I, Technical.A List of Major Source Tables is also included in the front of this volume toidentify the published Soviet statistical tables used to construct the Soviet NationalEconomic Balance tables.
I,
Ii
LIST OF MAJOR SOURCE TABLES
L Lend NK Narodnove Khozvavstvo SSSRVS Vestnik StatistikiCM CEMA Statistical HandbookGOSBUD Gosudarstvenniv Budzhet SSSR:
Sovuznvkh Resoublik (1976 and 1982)
Table Til Source
STOOl National Income (PNI) by Sector CM83, p. 41
ST002 State Investment: Production andNonproduction Sectors CM83, p. 137
ST003 State-Cooperative and Collective GSP CM83, p. 62ST006 Productive and Nonproductive Labor
by Sector CM83, p 382
ST009 Captial Investment: Major Sectors CM83, p. 144
STOW Structure of Captial Investment by Sector CM83, p. 153
STOl Structure of Fixed Capital (in percent) NK72, p. 64
STO12 Structure of Fixed Captial: Profit3 Seeking Sectors NK72, p. 63
ST014 Industrial and Agricultural Supply NK73, p. 16
ST016 Structure of Fixed Capital:Budgetary Sectors NK73, p. 61
ST019 Industrial GVO w/o Turnover Tax NK80, p.123ST020 Passenger Transportation by Factor
Cost NK74, p. 473
I ST021 Structure of Fixed Capital NK74, p. 82
ST022 Industrial Labor by Sector NK74, p. 188
ST023 Depreciation Deductions in Industry NK74, p. 207
5T025 Retail Trade Inventories K80, p. 4333 ST026 Structure of Industrial Prices NK77, p.145
ST027 Population According to Types of Income NK79, p. 9
ST028 GSP by Sector NK80, p. 49
ST029 Number of Newborn NK79, p. 31
ST030 USSR Population NK80, p. 7
ST031 Construction Price Index NK80, p. 352
ST032 Trade Inventories NK80, p. 433
I
ZTgbL•. Itl& Source
ST033 Social Security Budgets NK80, p. 527
ST034 Industrial GVO by Sector: Growth Rates NK80, p. 128
ST035 Industrial GVO by Sector: Percent of Total NK80, p. 128
ST036 Structure of Retail Trade NK80, p. 429
ST037 State Budgetary Outlays (Education) NK80, p. 525
ST038 Structure of Capital Investment inConstant Prices NK80, p. 334
ST039 Gardening NK80, p. 235
ST040 Retail Trade Turnover: State-Cooperative,and Ex-Village Markets NK80, p. 424
ST041 Outlays on Services NK80, p. 524
ST042 Financial Accumulations NK80, p. 503
ST043 Value of Unfinished Construction byBranch of Industry NK80, p. 345
ST044 Net Profit by Sector NK80, p. 503
ST045 All-Union and All-Republic Budgets NK80, p. 525
ST046 Capital Stock of Collectives NK80, p. 213
ST047 Installation and Liquidation Rates NK80, p. 147ST048 Agricultural Production: Growth Rates
for State, Collective, and Private Sectors NK80, p. 205
I ST049 State Budget NK80, p. 522
ST050 State Farms NK80, p. 271
ST051 Number of Students NK80, p. 455
ST052 Captial Investment by Sector NK80, p. 336
ST053 Depreciation Funds NK80, p. 521
ST054 Structure of Captial Investment: State-Cooperative Production (%) NK80, p. 335
I ST055 Trade Outlays NK80, p. 434
ST056 Average Monthly State-CooperativeWages by Sector NK80, p. 364
ST057 Bonus Funds NK80, p. 518
ST058 Industrial Groups A&B NK80, p. 124
ST059 Industrial Production Outlays NK80, p. 153
"*mvi
Table lM Source
ST060 Agricultural Production(GVO -- 1973 prices) NK80, p. 201
ST061 Working Assets NK80, p. 510
ST062 Agricultural Procurement NK80, p. 211
ST063 Value of Construction Work NK80, p. 346
ST065 Profit in Trade NK80, p. 508
ST066 Capital of State Farms NK80, p. 214
ST067 Production of Consumer Goods NK80, p. 191
ST068 Livestock (Total of all Farms) NK80, p. 245ST069 Profit in the Transportation and
Communications Sector NK80, p. 507
ST070 MBMW Products NK80, p. 164
S ST071 Structure of Agricultural Fixed Capital NK80, p. 213ST072 Structure of Foreign Trade NK80, p. 540
ST073 Industrial Profitability by Sector NK80, p. 506
ST074 Foreign Trade Turnover in Gold Rubles NK80, p. 537ST075 Freight Transportation NK80, p. 293
ST076 Credits Issued to Cooperatives and Collectives NK80, p. 532ST078 Issued Credits by Economic Sector NK80, p. 528
ST079 Everyday Services in Constant Prices NK80, p. 451ST080 Agricultural Investment NK80, p. 145
ST081 Industrial Profit by Sector NK80, p. 505ST082 Industrial Fixed Capital by Sector NK80, p. 145
ST083 Productive and Nonproductive Labor NK80, p. 356
ST084 Capital Investment into Industry NK80, p. 338
ST085 Capital Investment -- State-Cooperative,Collective, and Private NK80, p. 333
ST086 Capital of State Farms and Joint Ventures NK80, p. 282
ST087 Family Budget of Workers and ServicePersonnel NK80, p. 383
ST089 Higher Education NK80, p. 483
ST091 Collectives (Employees, GVO, Capital,Income and Wages) NK80, p. 254
ST092 State Housing Investment NK80, p. 391
II vii
ITable flit Source
S ST093 State-Cooperative Employees by Sector NK80, p. 357
ST094 GVO for Communications NK80, p. 322
ST095 Distribution of Profit NK80, p. 504
ST.i96 Machinery and Equipment Production NK80, p. 167
ST097 Retail Trade Turnover NK80, p. 421
ST098 Growth of Capital-Labor Ratio NK80, p. 145
ST099 Pensioners NK80, p. 411
ST100 Households Savings NK80, p. 408
STI01 Social Security Payments NK80, p. 381ST102 Consumption and Investment NK80, p. 380
NK75, p. 505-506
I ST103 Pre-School Children NK80, p. 410
ST104 Industrial Materials Outlays NK83, p. 1493ST15 State Capital Investment NK83, p. 355
ST106 Production Outlays in Collectives NK82, p. 261
ST108 Capital Installation by EconomicBranch NK82, p. 329
ST109 Fishing Collectives NK83, p. 282
ST113 Industrial Wages by Sector VS74 (9,10);82(8)-p. 79; and83(1 1)-p. 45
STl 14 Industrial Labor VS76(8), p. 87
STI 15 Installation of Industrial Capital VS79(2), p. 76
ST120 Financing Working Assets VS12(84), p. 74
ST122 Outlays on Education VS82(12), p. 74
ST 123 Total Employees and Workers VS82(8), p. 77
ST125 Structure of Trade Inventories NK80, p.517
ST126 Cost Structure of Retail Trade NK80, p. 436
ST127 Cost Structure of Food Service Sector NK80, p. 436
ST128 National Income NK80, p. 379
ST129 Structure and Growth of the Productionof the Means of Production NK80, p. 124
I STI30 Structure of the Production ofConsumer Goods NK80, p. 125
Ii viii
Table - TSourc
ST131 Agricultural Investment NK80, p. 342
ST132 Construction Labor NK80, p. 351
ST133 Number of Men and Women NK80, p. 8
ST134 Average Annual State-CooperativeFemale Workers NK80, p. 361
ST135 Female Workers in Collectives byPercent NK83, p. 392
ST136 Higher and Special Education NK80, p. 462
ST137 Women in Higher and Special Education VS83(1), p. 74
ST138 Sources of Female Support VS77(1)
ST139 Labor Productivity Index by IndustrialSector NK80, p. 136
ST140 Industrial Production Index NK80, p. 127
ST141 Short-Term Credits by Type NK80, p. 529
ST142 Geological Works NK82, p. 356
ST143 Structure of State-CooperativeCapital Investment NK80, p. 337
ST144 Capital Investment in Collectives NK80, p. 341
ST145 State Budgetary Revenues GOSBUD, 1976 &
1982
ST156 Family Budgets of Collective Workers NK80, p. 385
ST157 Family Budgets of Industrial Workers NK80, p. 384
ST158 Financing Working Assets NK80, p. 511
ST159 Structure of Bonus Funds NK80, p. 518
ST160 Structure of Industrial Bonus Funds NK80, p. 519
ST162 Structure of Inventories NK80, p. 513
ST163 Structure of Inventories in Industry NK80, p. 514
ST165 Structure of Inventories in Construction NK80, p. 516
ST167 Working Assets and Inventories by Sector NKg0, p. 510
ST168 Payments from Social Consumption Fund NK80, p. 381
ST170 Bonus Wages by Sector NK80, p. 517
STI71 Budgetary Outlays on Social-CulturalMeasures and Science NK80, p. 525
ix
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