CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...

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Transcript of CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...

CNG CNG –– Present Status and Present Status and Future ChallengesFuture ChallengesMichael Nikolaou

Michael J. Economides

Xiuli Wang

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

2

Natural Gas TransportationNatural Gas Transportation

• Current– 70% via pipeline

– 30% as LNG

• Economics

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

3

Globalization of Gas TradeGlobalization of Gas Trade

Source: International Energy Agency

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

4

Potential CNG MarketsPotential CNG Markets

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

5

CNG vs. LNG Marine TransportCNG vs. LNG Marine Transport

CNG

LNG

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

6

Loading and Offloading Terminals Loading and Offloading Terminals for LNG and CNG for LNG and CNG 

At Source

At Destination

Source: http://www.xgas.us

LNG CNG

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

7

CNG vs. LNGCNG vs. LNGCNG LNG

Processing Compressed gas <1:300

(Possibly chilled)

gas → liquid → gas

(1:600)

Loading Dehydrate, compress Treat, liquefy, store

Terminals Jetty or buoy Jetty or regas offshore

Ships Simple – like bulk‐carrier

Sophisticated, efficient

Receiving Decompress (& heat) –utilize energy released

Store, regasify

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

8

Marine CNG HistoryMarine CNG History

Source: companies’ web sites

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

9

ABS, DNV ApprovalABS, DNV Approval

• EnerSea (steel, vertical pipes, 130 bar, ‐29°C)

• SeaNG (Coselle 275 bar) 

• Knutsen (steel, vertical pipes, 250 bar)

• CETech: (steel, horizontal pipes, 200‐250 bar)

• TransCanada (wrapped steel liner)

• Trans Ocean Gas (composite)

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

10

CNG Vessels TriviaCNG Vessels TriviaArticulated Tug

BargeShip

Volume 0.7-2 MMcm(25-75 MMscf)

8-29 MMcm(300-1000 MMscf)

Loading unloading rates

0.3-2 MMcm/day (10-75 MMscf/day)

2-14 MMcm/day (75-500 MMscf/day)

Distance 100-1000 km (50-500 nautical

miles)

250-5000 km (135-2700 nautical

miles)Speed <25 km/hr

(<14 knots)<33 km/hr (<18 knots)

Estimated cost $15-35 million $150-350 million

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

11

CNG Technologies:  CNG Technologies:  CosellesCoselles (Compression only)(Compression only)

Source: SeaNG

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

12

CNG Technologies:  Compression and ChillingCNG Technologies:  Compression and Chilling

Source: EnerSea

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

13

Why Compression and Chilling?Why Compression and Chilling?

z~ zTV

P

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

14

Loading and OffloadingLoading and Offloading

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

15

Natural Gas Transport:  Fixed CostNatural Gas Transport:  Fixed Cost

CAPEX Distribution

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CNG LNG Pipeline

Permanent Assets Flexible Assets

CAPEX Distribution

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CNG LNG Pipeline

Permanent Assets Flexible Assets

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

16

CNG Distribution Patterns:  Logistics Matter!CNG Distribution Patterns:  Logistics Matter!

• Hub‐and‐Spoke • Milk‐Run

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

17

CNG DistributionCNG Distribution

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

18

CNG Fleet Size BoundsCNG Fleet Size Bounds

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

19

CNG Distribution in the CaribbeanCNG Distribution in the Caribbean

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

MontserratTurks and Caicos Islands

British Virgin IslandsAnguilla

DominicaAntigua and Barbuda

Saint V incent and the GrenadinesSaint Kitts and Nevis

GrenadaSaint Lucia

Cayman IslandsHaiti

BermudaAruba

MartiniqueBarbados

United States Virgin IslandsNetherlands Antilles

GuadeloupeBahamas

Trinidad and TobagoJamaica

Dominican RepublicPuerto Rico

Individual �bars�and cumulative �dots�CNG requirement �Bcm�year�

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

20

CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Big 4CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Big 4

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

21

CNG to the Big 4: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Big 4: Fleet Capacity

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

22

CNG to the Big 4:  Travel TimeCNG to the Big 4:  Travel Time

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Puerto Rico

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Puerto Rico

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

5

10

15

Time�days� Dominican Republic

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

5

10

15

Time�days� Dominican Republic

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Jamaica

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Jamaica

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Bahamas

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Bahamas

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

23

CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Small OnesThe Small Ones

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

24

CNG to the Small Ones:  Itinerary CNG to the Small Ones:  Itinerary 

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

25

CNG to the Small Ones: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Small Ones: Fleet Capacity

4 6 8 10 12 14

100

120

140

160

180

qload �MMcm�day�

Gto

tal

�MMcm� n �4

n �5

n �6

n �7n �8n �9

n �10

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

26

CNG to the Small Ones:  Reduced ItineraryCNG to the Small Ones:  Reduced Itinerary

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

27

CNG to the Small Ones:  CNG to the Small Ones:  Fleet Capacity for Reduced ItineraryFleet Capacity for Reduced Itinerary

4 6 8 10 12

50

60

70

80

qload �MMcm�day�

Gto

tal�MMcm

� n �4

n �5

n �6

n �7n �8n �9

n �10

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

28

ConclusionsConclusions

• CNG ready for prime time– Room for further improvement

• CNG complements LNG– Several potential markets worldwide

• Logistics and fleet optimization important