CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...

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CNG CNG Present Status and Present Status and Future Challenges Future Challenges Michael Nikolaou Michael J. Economides Xiuli Wang

Transcript of CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...

Page 1: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

CNG CNG –– Present Status and Present Status and Future ChallengesFuture ChallengesMichael Nikolaou

Michael J. Economides

Xiuli Wang

Page 2: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

2

Natural Gas TransportationNatural Gas Transportation

• Current– 70% via pipeline

– 30% as LNG

• Economics

Page 3: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

3

Globalization of Gas TradeGlobalization of Gas Trade

Source: International Energy Agency

Page 4: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

4

Potential CNG MarketsPotential CNG Markets

Page 5: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

5

CNG vs. LNG Marine TransportCNG vs. LNG Marine Transport

CNG

LNG

Page 6: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

6

Loading and Offloading Terminals Loading and Offloading Terminals for LNG and CNG for LNG and CNG 

At Source

At Destination

Source: http://www.xgas.us

LNG CNG

Page 7: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

7

CNG vs. LNGCNG vs. LNGCNG LNG

Processing Compressed gas <1:300

(Possibly chilled)

gas → liquid → gas

(1:600)

Loading Dehydrate, compress Treat, liquefy, store

Terminals Jetty or buoy Jetty or regas offshore

Ships Simple – like bulk‐carrier

Sophisticated, efficient

Receiving Decompress (& heat) –utilize energy released

Store, regasify

Page 8: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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Marine CNG HistoryMarine CNG History

Source: companies’ web sites

Page 9: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

9

ABS, DNV ApprovalABS, DNV Approval

• EnerSea (steel, vertical pipes, 130 bar, ‐29°C)

• SeaNG (Coselle 275 bar) 

• Knutsen (steel, vertical pipes, 250 bar)

• CETech: (steel, horizontal pipes, 200‐250 bar)

• TransCanada (wrapped steel liner)

• Trans Ocean Gas (composite)

Page 10: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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CNG Vessels TriviaCNG Vessels TriviaArticulated Tug

BargeShip

Volume 0.7-2 MMcm(25-75 MMscf)

8-29 MMcm(300-1000 MMscf)

Loading unloading rates

0.3-2 MMcm/day (10-75 MMscf/day)

2-14 MMcm/day (75-500 MMscf/day)

Distance 100-1000 km (50-500 nautical

miles)

250-5000 km (135-2700 nautical

miles)Speed <25 km/hr

(<14 knots)<33 km/hr (<18 knots)

Estimated cost $15-35 million $150-350 million

Page 11: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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CNG Technologies:  CNG Technologies:  CosellesCoselles (Compression only)(Compression only)

Source: SeaNG

Page 12: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

12

CNG Technologies:  Compression and ChillingCNG Technologies:  Compression and Chilling

Source: EnerSea

Page 13: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

13

Why Compression and Chilling?Why Compression and Chilling?

z~ zTV

P

Page 14: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

14

Loading and OffloadingLoading and Offloading

Page 15: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

15

Natural Gas Transport:  Fixed CostNatural Gas Transport:  Fixed Cost

CAPEX Distribution

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CNG LNG Pipeline

Permanent Assets Flexible Assets

CAPEX Distribution

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

CNG LNG Pipeline

Permanent Assets Flexible Assets

Page 16: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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CNG Distribution Patterns:  Logistics Matter!CNG Distribution Patterns:  Logistics Matter!

• Hub‐and‐Spoke • Milk‐Run

Page 17: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

17

CNG DistributionCNG Distribution

Page 18: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

18

CNG Fleet Size BoundsCNG Fleet Size Bounds

Page 19: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

19

CNG Distribution in the CaribbeanCNG Distribution in the Caribbean

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

MontserratTurks and Caicos Islands

British Virgin IslandsAnguilla

DominicaAntigua and Barbuda

Saint V incent and the GrenadinesSaint Kitts and Nevis

GrenadaSaint Lucia

Cayman IslandsHaiti

BermudaAruba

MartiniqueBarbados

United States Virgin IslandsNetherlands Antilles

GuadeloupeBahamas

Trinidad and TobagoJamaica

Dominican RepublicPuerto Rico

Individual �bars�and cumulative �dots�CNG requirement �Bcm�year�

Page 20: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Big 4CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Big 4

Page 21: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

21

CNG to the Big 4: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Big 4: Fleet Capacity

Page 22: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

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CNG to the Big 4:  Travel TimeCNG to the Big 4:  Travel Time

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Puerto Rico

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Puerto Rico

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

5

10

15

Time�days� Dominican Republic

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

5

10

15

Time�days� Dominican Republic

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Jamaica

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Jamaica

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Bahamas

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0

2

4

6

8

Time�days� Bahamas

Of f loading time

Travel and loading time

Page 23: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

23

CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  CNG Distribution in the Caribbean:  The Small OnesThe Small Ones

Page 24: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

24

CNG to the Small Ones:  Itinerary CNG to the Small Ones:  Itinerary 

Page 25: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

25

CNG to the Small Ones: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Small Ones: Fleet Capacity

4 6 8 10 12 14

100

120

140

160

180

qload �MMcm�day�

Gto

tal

�MMcm� n �4

n �5

n �6

n �7n �8n �9

n �10

Page 26: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

26

CNG to the Small Ones:  Reduced ItineraryCNG to the Small Ones:  Reduced Itinerary

Page 27: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

27

CNG to the Small Ones:  CNG to the Small Ones:  Fleet Capacity for Reduced ItineraryFleet Capacity for Reduced Itinerary

4 6 8 10 12

50

60

70

80

qload �MMcm�day�

Gto

tal�MMcm

� n �4

n �5

n �6

n �7n �8n �9

n �10

Page 28: CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case Studies Conclusions 19 CNG Distribution in the Caribbean 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Montserrat

Nikolaou

Research Project Openings

CNGCNG

CNG VesselsCNG Vessels

CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX 

optimizationoptimization

Case StudiesCase Studies

ConclusionsConclusions

28

ConclusionsConclusions

• CNG ready for prime time– Room for further improvement

• CNG complements LNG– Several potential markets worldwide

• Logistics and fleet optimization important