CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...
Transcript of CNG – Present Status Future Challenges · CNG CNG Vessels CNG UTransport: CAPEX optimization Case...
CNG CNG –– Present Status and Present Status and Future ChallengesFuture ChallengesMichael Nikolaou
Michael J. Economides
Xiuli Wang
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
2
Natural Gas TransportationNatural Gas Transportation
• Current– 70% via pipeline
– 30% as LNG
• Economics
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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Globalization of Gas TradeGlobalization of Gas Trade
Source: International Energy Agency
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
4
Potential CNG MarketsPotential CNG Markets
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
5
CNG vs. LNG Marine TransportCNG vs. LNG Marine Transport
CNG
LNG
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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Loading and Offloading Terminals Loading and Offloading Terminals for LNG and CNG for LNG and CNG
At Source
At Destination
Source: http://www.xgas.us
LNG CNG
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG vs. LNGCNG vs. LNGCNG LNG
Processing Compressed gas <1:300
(Possibly chilled)
gas → liquid → gas
(1:600)
Loading Dehydrate, compress Treat, liquefy, store
Terminals Jetty or buoy Jetty or regas offshore
Ships Simple – like bulk‐carrier
Sophisticated, efficient
Receiving Decompress (& heat) –utilize energy released
Store, regasify
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
8
Marine CNG HistoryMarine CNG History
Source: companies’ web sites
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
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ABS, DNV ApprovalABS, DNV Approval
• EnerSea (steel, vertical pipes, 130 bar, ‐29°C)
• SeaNG (Coselle 275 bar)
• Knutsen (steel, vertical pipes, 250 bar)
• CETech: (steel, horizontal pipes, 200‐250 bar)
• TransCanada (wrapped steel liner)
• Trans Ocean Gas (composite)
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
10
CNG Vessels TriviaCNG Vessels TriviaArticulated Tug
BargeShip
Volume 0.7-2 MMcm(25-75 MMscf)
8-29 MMcm(300-1000 MMscf)
Loading unloading rates
0.3-2 MMcm/day (10-75 MMscf/day)
2-14 MMcm/day (75-500 MMscf/day)
Distance 100-1000 km (50-500 nautical
miles)
250-5000 km (135-2700 nautical
miles)Speed <25 km/hr
(<14 knots)<33 km/hr (<18 knots)
Estimated cost $15-35 million $150-350 million
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG Technologies: CNG Technologies: CosellesCoselles (Compression only)(Compression only)
Source: SeaNG
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG Technologies: Compression and ChillingCNG Technologies: Compression and Chilling
Source: EnerSea
Nikolaou
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
13
Why Compression and Chilling?Why Compression and Chilling?
z~ zTV
P
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
14
Loading and OffloadingLoading and Offloading
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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Natural Gas Transport: Fixed CostNatural Gas Transport: Fixed Cost
CAPEX Distribution
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CNG LNG Pipeline
Permanent Assets Flexible Assets
CAPEX Distribution
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
CNG LNG Pipeline
Permanent Assets Flexible Assets
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG Distribution Patterns: Logistics Matter!CNG Distribution Patterns: Logistics Matter!
• Hub‐and‐Spoke • Milk‐Run
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
17
CNG DistributionCNG Distribution
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG Fleet Size BoundsCNG Fleet Size Bounds
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Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG Distribution in the CaribbeanCNG Distribution in the Caribbean
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
MontserratTurks and Caicos Islands
British Virgin IslandsAnguilla
DominicaAntigua and Barbuda
Saint V incent and the GrenadinesSaint Kitts and Nevis
GrenadaSaint Lucia
Cayman IslandsHaiti
BermudaAruba
MartiniqueBarbados
United States Virgin IslandsNetherlands Antilles
GuadeloupeBahamas
Trinidad and TobagoJamaica
Dominican RepublicPuerto Rico
Individual �bars�and cumulative �dots�CNG requirement �Bcm�year�
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
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CNG Distribution in the Caribbean: The Big 4CNG Distribution in the Caribbean: The Big 4
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG to the Big 4: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Big 4: Fleet Capacity
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CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
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CNG to the Big 4: Travel TimeCNG to the Big 4: Travel Time
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Puerto Rico
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13�of ships, n
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Puerto Rico
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
5
10
15
Time�days� Dominican Republic
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
5
10
15
Time�days� Dominican Republic
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Jamaica
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Jamaica
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Bahamas
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12�of ships, n0
2
4
6
8
Time�days� Bahamas
Of f loading time
Travel and loading time
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
23
CNG Distribution in the Caribbean: CNG Distribution in the Caribbean: The Small OnesThe Small Ones
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
24
CNG to the Small Ones: Itinerary CNG to the Small Ones: Itinerary
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
25
CNG to the Small Ones: Fleet CapacityCNG to the Small Ones: Fleet Capacity
4 6 8 10 12 14
100
120
140
160
180
qload �MMcm�day�
Gto
tal
�MMcm� n �4
n �5
n �6
n �7n �8n �9
n �10
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
26
CNG to the Small Ones: Reduced ItineraryCNG to the Small Ones: Reduced Itinerary
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
27
CNG to the Small Ones: CNG to the Small Ones: Fleet Capacity for Reduced ItineraryFleet Capacity for Reduced Itinerary
4 6 8 10 12
50
60
70
80
qload �MMcm�day�
Gto
tal�MMcm
� n �4
n �5
n �6
n �7n �8n �9
n �10
Nikolaou
Research Project Openings
CNGCNG
CNG VesselsCNG Vessels
CNG Transport:CNG Transport:CAPEX CAPEX
optimizationoptimization
Case StudiesCase Studies
ConclusionsConclusions
28
ConclusionsConclusions
• CNG ready for prime time– Room for further improvement
• CNG complements LNG– Several potential markets worldwide
• Logistics and fleet optimization important