Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India

04/18/23 1Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 304/18/23

Climate Disasters- CRED 2007 Report

1987-1998Average- 195

2000-2006Average- 365

www.em-dat.net

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 704/18/23

Time Line Trend of Natural Disasters 1975-2007

www.em-dat.net

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 904/18/23

Climate Change- Disasters –Security Nexus

Conflict

Natural Hazard

DisastersVulnerable Conditions

Resource scarcityPoverty/inequalityPolitical instabilityLack of developmentLack of human security

Climate Change

Security

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1104/18/23

Disasters- Indian Scenario

India supports 1/6th of world’s population on 2 % of world's landmass

• 59% of land vulnerable to Earthquakes • 28% of land vulnerable to Drought• 40 million hectares (12%) of land vulnerable to Floods• 80% of coast vulnerable to Cyclones • Different types of manmade Hazards• 1 million houses damaged annually + human, economic, social, other losses

INDIA ECONOMIC LOSSES DUE TO DISASTERS

PERIOD

Annual- Impact on People 1. Losses in lives - 4334.2. People affected - 30 Million.3. Houses lost - 2.34 Million.

50 % 139 %

Losses in Losses in Thousand Thousand

Crores Crores

Annual- Financial Losses Percentage of Central Revenue (for relief) – 12%.

311 %

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1404/18/23

Projected Impacts of Climate Change in India

Coastal Zone Area (coastal districts ) approx 379,610 Km2, Population density of 455 pers /Km2, 1.5 times

national average of 324 pers/ Km2

Sea level rise highest along Gulf of Kutchh/ coast of West Bengal

01m Sea Level Rise displace approx 7.1 million people, about 5,764

Km2 of land are will be lost, 4200 km of road

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1504/18/23

Recommendations

Integrated Risk Management Framework Adaptation and Mitigation Structural to Non Structural Mitigation Impact Assessment CCDRI Modeling

Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1604/18/23

Recommendations

Vulnerability Atlas Climate Change to “Climate Affairs” Development as a Tool for Risk Reduction Centre State Relations International Cooperation Climate Change- Need for Single Authority

Thank YouThank YouQuestions?Questions?

1704/18/23 Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI