Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India 5/18/2015 1 Cdr...
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Transcript of Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India 5/18/2015 1 Cdr...
Climate Change, Disasters and Security…Issues, Concerns and Implications for India
04/18/23 1Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 304/18/23
Climate Disasters- CRED 2007 Report
1987-1998Average- 195
2000-2006Average- 365
www.em-dat.net
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 704/18/23
Time Line Trend of Natural Disasters 1975-2007
www.em-dat.net
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 904/18/23
Climate Change- Disasters –Security Nexus
Conflict
Natural Hazard
DisastersVulnerable Conditions
Resource scarcityPoverty/inequalityPolitical instabilityLack of developmentLack of human security
Climate Change
Security
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1104/18/23
Disasters- Indian Scenario
India supports 1/6th of world’s population on 2 % of world's landmass
• 59% of land vulnerable to Earthquakes • 28% of land vulnerable to Drought• 40 million hectares (12%) of land vulnerable to Floods• 80% of coast vulnerable to Cyclones • Different types of manmade Hazards• 1 million houses damaged annually + human, economic, social, other losses
INDIA ECONOMIC LOSSES DUE TO DISASTERS
PERIOD
Annual- Impact on People 1. Losses in lives - 4334.2. People affected - 30 Million.3. Houses lost - 2.34 Million.
50 % 139 %
Losses in Losses in Thousand Thousand
Crores Crores
Annual- Financial Losses Percentage of Central Revenue (for relief) – 12%.
311 %
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1404/18/23
Projected Impacts of Climate Change in India
Coastal Zone Area (coastal districts ) approx 379,610 Km2, Population density of 455 pers /Km2, 1.5 times
national average of 324 pers/ Km2
Sea level rise highest along Gulf of Kutchh/ coast of West Bengal
01m Sea Level Rise displace approx 7.1 million people, about 5,764
Km2 of land are will be lost, 4200 km of road
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1504/18/23
Recommendations
Integrated Risk Management Framework Adaptation and Mitigation Structural to Non Structural Mitigation Impact Assessment CCDRI Modeling
Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI 1604/18/23
Recommendations
Vulnerability Atlas Climate Change to “Climate Affairs” Development as a Tool for Risk Reduction Centre State Relations International Cooperation Climate Change- Need for Single Authority
Thank YouThank YouQuestions?Questions?
1704/18/23 Cdr Sunil Chauhan, Senior Fellow, CS3/USI