Post on 12-Jan-2016
BATTLEGROUND XXV
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
If the election for President were held today, and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you probably vote?
[Unaided Ballot]
Unsure13%
Other1%
John Kerry41%
Ralph Nader1%
George Bush43%
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
40%
5%
55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Right Direction Unsure Wrong Track
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
What do you think is the number one problem for the next President to deal with?
26%
2%
3%
6%
8%
9%
10%
18%
18%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Economy/Taxes
Terrorism/National Defense
War in Iraq
Health Care
Unemployment/Jobs
Foreign affairs
Education
Moral/Religious/Values
Other
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of...
46% 46% 7% 2%
29% 47% 18% 6%
51% 43% 5%1%
51% 47% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
George W. Bush
John Kerry
Ralph Nader
Dick Cheney
Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of...
55% 39% 7%
50% 45% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The Republican Party
The Democratic Party
Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard Of
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Thinking about the election for President that will be held in November 2004 – If the election for President were being
held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Undecided5%
Democrat49%
Republican47%
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel that George W. Bush has done his job as President well enough to deserve re-election, or do you feel it
is time to give someone new a chance?
46%51%
2%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Re-elect New Person Unsure
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
51%
2%
48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
How would you rate the job George W. Bush has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of
the job he is doing?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
64%
8%
29%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
What is your impression of George W. Bush as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
15%
45%
26%
10%3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
A lot ofattention
Someattention
A littleattention
No attentionat all
Unsure
How much attention do you feel that the politicians & candidates are paying to people like yourself during
the current election campaign?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Still thinking about the elections in November --If the election was held today, and you had to make a
choice, for whom would you vote...George W. Bush, the Republican, or John Kerry, the Democrat?
Undecided3%
Other1%
Kerry48%
Nader1%
Bush48%
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
24%
37%
18% 19%
2%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0 times 1-5 times 6-10 times More than 10times
Unsure
How many times would you say that you recall seeing or hearing a political advertisement during the past
week on either TV or radio?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
72%
3%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Yes Unsure No
Have you seen, read or heard anything about President Bush and his campaign for President
recently? (Split Sample A)
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
40%
2%
13%
45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
More Likely Unsure No Difference Less Likely
Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about President Bush, has it made you more likely or
less likely to vote for him?
(Split Sample A)
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
81%
2%18%
0%10%
20%30%40%
50%60%70%80%
90%
Yes Unsure No
Have you seen, read or heard anything about Senator Kerry and his campaign for President recently?
(Split Sample B)
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
39%
4%10%
47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
More Likely Unsure No Difference Less Likely
Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about Senator Kerry, has it made you more likely or
less likely to vote for him?
(Split Sample B)
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Still thinking about the elections in November --If the election was held today, and you had to make a
choice, would you vote to re-elect President Bush no matter who ran against him?
Unsure6%
No59%
Yes35%
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
41% 46% 6% 8%
42% 48% 3%7%
47% 46% 2%6%
32% 52% 6% 10%
51% 42% 2%5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
War in Iraq
Prescription drugs
Keeping Americaprosperous
Education
Federal spending
George W. Bush John Kerry Neither Unsure
Please tell me, for each one, who would do a better job of handling this issue…President George W. Bush or
John Kerry.
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
55% 36% 3% 6%
42% 49% 3%6%
36% 51% 5% 8%
54% 36% 3% 7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Taxes
Social Security
Jobs
Terrorism
George W. Bush John Kerry Neither Unsure
Please tell me, for each one, who would do a better job of handling this issue…President George W. Bush or
John Kerry.
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
54% 37% 3%6%
57% 34% 4%5%
45% 42% 6% 6%
48% 44% 4%3%
41% 46% 7% 6%
54% 38% 3%5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strong leader
Cares about peoplelike me
Represents my values
Honest & trustworthy
Says what he believes
Steady & consistentleader
George W. Bush John Kerry Neither Unsure
Please tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality…President George W. Bush or John Kerry.
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
19%
26%
14%
34%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Republican/ votes withBush
Republican/ votesindependently
Democratic/ voteswith Dem leadership
Democratic/votesindependently
Are you interested in electing a member of Congress who is Republican & votes with President Bush, Republican &
votes independently, Democratic & votes with the Democratic leadership, or Democratic & votes
independently?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me which one issue you think is most important for the U.S. Congress to deal with.
3%
6%
6%
6%
11%
13%
16%
28%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Terrorism
Health care
Keeping Americaprosperous
Education
The national debt
Social Security
Taxes
The environment
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Please tell me which one issue you think is the next most important for the U.S. Congress to deal with.
5%
8%
11%
12%
15%
16%
16%
17%
0% 10% 20%
Terrorism
Health care
Education
Keeping Americaprosperous
Social Security
Taxes
The national debt
The environment
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Most & next most important issue combined
7%
13%
15%
16%
25%
26%
30%
44%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Terrorism
Health care
Keeping Americaprosperous
Education
Social Security
Taxes
The national debt
The environment
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
37% 53% 3% 7%
47% 46% 2%5%
33% 57% 4% 6%
45% 48% 3%4%
36% 57% 4%4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Protecting the middleclass
Sharing your values
Improving health care
Keeping Americaprosperous
Improving education
GOP DEM Neither Unsure
Please tell me, for each one, who would do a better job of handling this issue…the Republicans in Congress
or the Democrats in Congress.
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
52% 39% 3%6%
55% 35% 3% 8%
41% 52% 2%5%
34% 56% 4%6%
53% 38% 3% 6%
43% 45% 6% 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Holding down federalspending
Holding the line on taxes
Strengthening SocialSecurity
Creating jobs
Safeguarding Americafrom terrorism
Dealing with Iraq
GOP DEM Neither Unsure
Please tell me, for each one, who would do a better job of handling this issue… the Republicans in Congress or
the Democrats in Congress.
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
6%
31%
41%
22%
1%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure
In thinking about the economy, how would you rate the current state of the economy?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
10%
41%
33%
14%
3%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure
In thinking about the economy, how in do you think the economy will rate six months from now?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
62%
17%
7%10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Jobs &unemployment
Inflation The stockmarket
Interest rates
Which of these issues is your biggest concern about the economy…jobs & unemployment, inflation, the
stock market, or interest rates?
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Would you say that you and your family are financially better off, worse off or just about the same as you were
a year ago? (Split Sample A)
26%23%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Better off Worse off About the same
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Looking ahead, do you think that a year from now you and your family will be better off financially, worse off,
or just about the same? (Split Sample B)
33%
9%
55%
3%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Better off Worse off About thesame
Unsure
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
In thinking about the economy, in your opinion, which of these statements best describes what is happening with the economy
today…It is going well in the country & well for people like yourself, It is going well in the country but not so well for people like yourself,
It is not going well in the country but going well for people like yourself, or It is not going well in the country & not
so well for people like yourself.
34%
11%
18%
33%
4%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Well incountry/Wellpersonally
Well incountry/Not well
personally
Not well incountry/Wellpersonally
Not well incountry/Not well
personally
Unsure
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Collapsed Well in Country
45%51%
4%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Well in country Not well in country Unsure
June 20-23, 2004/ N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters/±3.1% M.O.E.
Collapsed Well Personally
52%
44%
4%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Well personally Not well personally Unsure