A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

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Transcript of A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

Graeme T. Lloyd and Matt Friedman

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Fossilworks Intensive Workshop in Analytical Paleobiology

June-July 2014

University of Macquarie, Sydney

fossilworks.org

Acknowledgements

ChrisOrgan

GrahamSlater

Phylogeny in macroevolution

Variable-rate models

Early Burst

Late BurstTrai

t

Time

Continuous ratesRa

te

Time

Continuous ratesRa

te

Time

Continuous rates

Raia et al. 2013

Guts

Harmon et al. 2008

Method

Method

Method

Method

Method

S1 S2 S31

Data

Anderson et al. 2013

Data

Anderson et al. 2013

“Equal” time-scaling

τ7

τ8

τ6

τ5

root age

τ7

τ6

τ5

Traditional approach first Share time with preceding(non-zero length) branch

Ruta et al. 2006; Brusatte et al. 2008

τ8

Probabilistic time-scaling

τ6

τ5

τ4

τ2

τ1

τ3

Hedman 2010

τ0

Probabilistic time-scaling

τ0

τ6

τ5

τ4

τ2

τ1

τ3

Hedman 2010Age (Ma)

τ0

“Equal” time-tree

Probabilistic time-tree

Rates

“Equal” timetree

Rates

“Equal”timetree

Rates

“Equal” timetreeProbablistic timetree

“Equal” rates with error

Probabilistic rates with error

Model complexity

S1 S2

Change in mode

Slater 2013

BrownianOrnstein-Uhlenbeck

Conclusions

Conclusions

Conclusions

Conclusions