A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

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A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny Graeme T. Lloyd and Matt Friedman

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Transcript of A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

Page 1: A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

A novel method for time-binning rates of continuous character evolution on a phylogeny

Graeme T. Lloyd and Matt Friedman

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Coming soon…

Fossilworks Intensive Workshop in Analytical Paleobiology

June-July 2014

University of Macquarie, Sydney

fossilworks.org

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Acknowledgements

ChrisOrgan

GrahamSlater

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Phylogeny in macroevolution

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Variable-rate models

Early Burst

Late BurstTrai

t

Time

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Continuous ratesRa

te

Time

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Continuous ratesRa

te

Time

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Continuous rates

Raia et al. 2013

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Guts

Harmon et al. 2008

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Method

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Method

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Method

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Method

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Method

S1 S2 S31

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Data

Anderson et al. 2013

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Data

Anderson et al. 2013

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“Equal” time-scaling

τ7

τ8

τ6

τ5

root age

τ7

τ6

τ5

Traditional approach first Share time with preceding(non-zero length) branch

Ruta et al. 2006; Brusatte et al. 2008

τ8

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Probabilistic time-scaling

τ6

τ5

τ4

τ2

τ1

τ3

Hedman 2010

τ0

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Probabilistic time-scaling

τ0

τ6

τ5

τ4

τ2

τ1

τ3

Hedman 2010Age (Ma)

τ0

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“Equal” time-tree

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Probabilistic time-tree

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Rates

“Equal” timetree

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Rates

“Equal”timetree

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Rates

“Equal” timetreeProbablistic timetree

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“Equal” rates with error

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Probabilistic rates with error

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Model complexity

S1 S2

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Change in mode

Slater 2013

BrownianOrnstein-Uhlenbeck

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Conclusions

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Conclusions

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Conclusions

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Conclusions