1 Rue d'Arlon 63-67 • B-1040 Bruxelles • Belgium • Email: info@estif.org • Web: www.estif.org

The Rise of Solar Thermal Energy for heating and cooling in Europe

Olivier DrückeESTIF President

New York Solar Thermal RoadmapTuesday, 20.10.2009Kingston, NY, USA

Solar heat is leading the way in solar energy technologies

Solar Thermal worldwide provides 10x more energy than Solar

Electric

ST Capacity installed at the end 2007 by collector technologies in the world

Source: IEA SHC, 2008

4

Final energy consumption in the EU

20%

49%

31%

electricity

heating

transport

EU Solar Thermal market 1990-2008> Major triggers

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

4000000

4500000

5000000

19901992

19941996

19982000

20022004

20062008

m² Germany

Europe minus Germany

back from 35% in 2007

in 2008

Germany: A Phoenix reborn from ashes

2008: 2,1 millions m² or 1,5 GW thermal

Increase 2008/07: 123%

Customers finally opted for solar heat to reduce their energy bill !

Outlook 2009: Stable market with uncertainties in the second semester

Austria: The pioneer still leads the way

2008: 350.000 m² or 243 MW thermal

Increase 2008/07: 24%

Sustainable market due to continuous support policies

Outlook 2009: Stable market with small growth due to improved support policies

Large Scale Solar Thermal Heating and Cooling

Vienna Soccer Stadium, Austria

Spain: Obligations and construction boom

2008: 434.000 m² or 304 MW thermal

Increase 2008/07: 58%

Actually second European market in volume !

Outlook 2009: Recessive market due to strongest crisis impact on construc-tion sector and economy

Italy: Snow White was waked with a kiss

2008: 421.000 m² or 295 MW thermal

Increase 2008/07: 28%

Tax breaks and strong marketing influence by northern Neighbours !

Outlook 2009: Strong uncertainties due to crisis impact, but potential to be Europe’s No. 2 soon

France: When public authorities push hard

2008: 388.000 m² or 272 MW thermal

Increase 2008/07: 18%

Despite strongest public support, market growth is weaker than forecasted: High system prices? Heat pumps?

Outlook 2009: Probably quite stable market; development of a new support mechanism

in 2008

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The EU Renewables Directive...

20% EU RES-target by 2020

Agreed by European Parliament and Council in December 2008

Transposition into national law within the next 18 months

Mandatory national targets

National Renewable Energy Action Plans

19

…provides a major boost for ST

Renewable heating/cooling at eye-level with RES in power and transportation!!

RES obligation in new and existing buildings by 2015

Exemplary role of public buildings

Qualification of installers, planers, public services

Important: Stable support policies Quality schemes Flanking campaigns on RES-Heat &

EE

20

Solar Heat about to boom in Europe

Heating & Cooling Demand

Solar Heat

Source: Potential of Solar Thermal in Europe, ESTIF, 2009

The long term goal: 50% of the heat demand will be provided by ST

Share of solar thermal: 0.2% => 50%

Total installed: 13 GWth => 2400 GWth

Main challenges

Cost reduction

Capacity building

Innovations

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

2004 2030-2050

solarthermal

TWh

fossil/nuclear

other RES

Heat demand in EU25

-40% by efficiency