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Transcript of 1 Rue d'Arlon 63-67 B-1040 Bruxelles Belgium Email: [email protected] Web: The Rise of Solar Thermal...
1 Rue d'Arlon 63-67 • B-1040 Bruxelles • Belgium • Email: [email protected] • Web: www.estif.org
The Rise of Solar Thermal Energy for heating and cooling in Europe
Olivier DrückeESTIF President
New York Solar Thermal RoadmapTuesday, 20.10.2009Kingston, NY, USA
Solar heat is leading the way in solar energy technologies
Solar Thermal worldwide provides 10x more energy than Solar
Electric
ST Capacity installed at the end 2007 by collector technologies in the world
Source: IEA SHC, 2008
4
Final energy consumption in the EU
20%
49%
31%
electricity
heating
transport
EU Solar Thermal market 1990-2008> Major triggers
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
5000000
19901992
19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
m² Germany
Europe minus Germany
back from 35% in 2007
in 2008
Germany: A Phoenix reborn from ashes
2008: 2,1 millions m² or 1,5 GW thermal
Increase 2008/07: 123%
Customers finally opted for solar heat to reduce their energy bill !
Outlook 2009: Stable market with uncertainties in the second semester
Austria: The pioneer still leads the way
2008: 350.000 m² or 243 MW thermal
Increase 2008/07: 24%
Sustainable market due to continuous support policies
Outlook 2009: Stable market with small growth due to improved support policies
Large Scale Solar Thermal Heating and Cooling
Vienna Soccer Stadium, Austria
Spain: Obligations and construction boom
2008: 434.000 m² or 304 MW thermal
Increase 2008/07: 58%
Actually second European market in volume !
Outlook 2009: Recessive market due to strongest crisis impact on construc-tion sector and economy
Italy: Snow White was waked with a kiss
2008: 421.000 m² or 295 MW thermal
Increase 2008/07: 28%
Tax breaks and strong marketing influence by northern Neighbours !
Outlook 2009: Strong uncertainties due to crisis impact, but potential to be Europe’s No. 2 soon
France: When public authorities push hard
2008: 388.000 m² or 272 MW thermal
Increase 2008/07: 18%
Despite strongest public support, market growth is weaker than forecasted: High system prices? Heat pumps?
Outlook 2009: Probably quite stable market; development of a new support mechanism
in 2008
18
The EU Renewables Directive...
20% EU RES-target by 2020
Agreed by European Parliament and Council in December 2008
Transposition into national law within the next 18 months
Mandatory national targets
National Renewable Energy Action Plans
19
…provides a major boost for ST
Renewable heating/cooling at eye-level with RES in power and transportation!!
RES obligation in new and existing buildings by 2015
Exemplary role of public buildings
Qualification of installers, planers, public services
Important: Stable support policies Quality schemes Flanking campaigns on RES-Heat &
EE
20
Solar Heat about to boom in Europe
Heating & Cooling Demand
Solar Heat
Source: Potential of Solar Thermal in Europe, ESTIF, 2009
The long term goal: 50% of the heat demand will be provided by ST
Share of solar thermal: 0.2% => 50%
Total installed: 13 GWth => 2400 GWth
Main challenges
Cost reduction
Capacity building
Innovations
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2004 2030-2050
solarthermal
TWh
fossil/nuclear
other RES
Heat demand in EU25
-40% by efficiency