1 Planning Team Planning on the Web Series.

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2

Today’s Facilitators

Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning TeamFederal Highway Administration

19900 Governors DriveOlympia Fields, IL 60461

708-283-3534ed.christopher@fhwa.dot.gov

Elaine MurakamiOffice of Planning

Planning Methods TeamFederal Highway Administration

c/o Federal Transit Administration915 Second Avenue, Rm 3142

Seattle, Washington 98174206-220-4460

elaine.murakami@fhwa.dot.gov

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What’s Covered

Goal: Everything that you are interested in or have a question about relating to the Census or Census Bureau.

Specific Items: 2010 Census, Geography programs including boundaries, 2000 CTPP data, ACS, Plans for future CTPPs, Relevant Research, Training Resources, and much, much more.

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Today’s Agenda -- 3 ACTs

Act 3Bringing it all togetherResourcesWhat you need to know?

EpilogueQs and As

Act 12010 CensusGeography IssuesCTPP History/Basics

Act 2American Community Survey

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It’s Only a Short Form Questionnaire

7 Questions Name Sex Age

Relationship Hispanic Origin

Race Owner/Renter

ACT 1 Census 2010

April 1, 2010 - Hiring field workers

6http://www.electiondataservices.com

7http://www.polidata.org

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ACT 1 Geography Programs and Issues

•Geography Programs

•LUCA

•PSAP

•Tiger Files

•Key Geographic Issues That Will Affect Transportation Planning

•Boundaries

•Size of MPOs

•Others

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Geographic Programs Context

Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA)

Boundary and Annexation Survey (BAS)School District Review Program (SDRP)Tribal Statistical Areas Program (TSAP)

Participant Statistical Areas Program (PSAP)

Urbanized Area UZA definitions

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LUCA

Local Update of Census Addresses

Address Definition Program for Local Governments

Updates Master Address File (MAF) and Tiger geographic data base

Multi-year program-started in 2007

Winter 2009/2010 Appeals Office Open

http://www.census.gov/geo/www/luca2010/luca.html

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PSAP

Participant Statistical Areas Program

Program to define Tracts and Block Groups

Critical to MPOs and States

Currently in the Field

Are your MPO participating?

What are they experiencing?

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Draft Schedule as of February 2009

http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/psap2010_main.html

Contacts: Start with Ed Christopher or Elaine Murakami (FHWA)

Census Bureau Geographic Standards and Criteria Branch at 301-763-3056, geo.psap.list@census.gov

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TIGER

Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing system

Census Bureau digital mapping database

For Census important, for Other not so

Gone through major Update

Tiger 2008 has issues

http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/index.html

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Geography Issues -- Closer to Home

Boundaries

Urbanized Boundary Definitions

What’s a MPO?

Others?

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Boundaries

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census/faqa2cdt.htm

Census Defined Urban Area (UA)

Adjusted Urbanized Area (UZA)

Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA)

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Urbanized Area Definitions

http://www.chrispy.net/pipermail/ctpp-news/2008-July/001695.html

2000 density based, automated process, identified urban clusters (2,500 pop), ignored place

boundaries and built from Census Blocks

2010 still in internal discussionsInvestigating use of place of work data via ACS,

reviewing land use covers and digital elevation maps and satellite imagery, thinking about using household densities and building from Census Tracts.

Look for criteria for defining urbanized areas and clusters in Fall 2009 in Federal Register

New

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Something to think about . . .

Building from Blocks

Building from Tracts

Latest Info

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100K - Threshold

Grandfathering

200K - Project Selection Authority

1 Million+ Special Funding and Requirements

NARC - Status Quo

AASHTO -Somewhat Vague

FHWA -

http://www.ampo.org/assets/685_finalampopdfoverviewappro.pdf

What’s an MPO?

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ACT 1 CTPP Basics and History

You may have seen the next 5 or 6 slides but we need to cover some basics and history.

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Special Tabulations

1960 OMB Journey-to-Work Tables

1970 and 1980 Urban Transportation Planning Package (UTPP)

1990 and 2000 Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP)

At ResidenceAt Workplace

Flows between Home and Work

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What is the CTPP 2000?

The Census Transportation Planning Package is a set of special

tabulations from the long form of the decennial census designed by

transportation planners for transportation planners

It summarizes the data

At ResidenceAt Workplace

Flows between Home and Work

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Long Form

Where does the data come from?

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For the U.S. as a whole,about one (1) in six (6) households received the Long Form questionnaire

Who got the Long Form?

17%

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Key Long Form questions

Place of Work

Means of Transportation to Work

Carpool Occupancy to Work

Departure Time for Work

Travel Time to Work

Vehicles Available

€€

€€

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Tabulations at Residence

Tabulations at Workplace

Flows between Home and Work

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3

What are the CTPP 2000 Products?

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121 Tables of Residents’ Based Data

68 Tables of Work Place Data

14 Tables of Flow Data

Types of CTPP Data

Person/WorkersWorker StatusAge, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin, Disability

HouseholdIncomeNos. Vehicles AvailableSize Number Workers

Journey-to-WorkWork Location and Mode Departure and Travel TimeArrival Time

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Types of Geography

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The past Transportation data packages were unique because of the summary levels,

geography, universes and data tables. The packages have always been designed by transportation planners for transportation

planners

Data Summary Levels

Why earlier packages special

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How has data been used

Descriptive Analysis and Reporting

Survey Support

Model Development

Model Calibration

Special Studies

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm

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Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data?

http://www.transtats.bts.gov/

ASCII Files

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https://www.bts.gov/pdc

w/Extraction Software

Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data?

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Self Instructional

CD

Provides all the basics to understand, use and work with the CTPP 2000 data for transportation planning

Is there some training?

Email ed.christopher@fhwa.dot.gov for a FREE copy of the GUIDEBOOK

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Past Journey to Work data

Buyers/Users Direct Cost Tables

1960 OMB ??? ???

1970 112 $0.6 M 43

1980 152 $2.0 M 82

1990 $2.5 M 120

2000 $3.0 M 203

2005 + AASHTO Consolidated Purchase $5.9 Million

All States and MPOs

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Replacement of the Long Form

Continuous Survey Methodology

Conducted Monthly

Produces characteristics, not population counts

http://www.census.gov/acs/www/

ACT 2 American Community Survey

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ACS Facts

250,000 Households sampled per month

About 1 in 40 Households sampled per year

Same transportation questions as 2000 Long Form

Decennial Long Form is HistoryKaput, Nada, Defunct, Gone!

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Decennial Sample 1:6 nationwide

April 1, 2000

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ACS continuous sample Yr 1

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ACS continuous sample Yr 2

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ACS continuous sample Yr 3

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ACS continuous sample Yr 4

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ACS continuous sample Yr 5

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ACS continuous sample Yrs 1-5

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ACS/Decennial Samples

ACS after 5 years Old Long Form

Smaller sample mean GREATER error

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How does the ACS work?

Three Methods of Data Collection

1. Mail Self-administered mail-out/mail-back

2. Telephone Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI)

3. Personal VisitsComputer AssistedPersonalInterviewing(CAPI) 1:3

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Tract and Block Group

5-year Period

20,000+3-year Period

65,000+Annual

Data for the Previous Year Released in:

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012+Population

Size of AreaDataType

ACS Data Release Timeline

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ACS Standard Tables

Standard Tabs include some “New” tables previously only in CTPP, eg place of work

- Mode to work by travel time

- Mode to work by time leaving home

- Household size by no of vehicles

- Household size by no of workers

Some of what the ACS provides

http://factfinder.census.gov/

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Is it 1 or 3 or 5?

Population < 20,0005-year estimates only

Population >= 20,000 and < 65,0003-year estimates5-year estimates

Population >= 65,0001-year estimates3-year estimates5-year estimates

Users will have to choose which data to use

What does this mean?

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Sample Error is larger because the number of census forms collected each year are smaller.

Changes of plus or minus 2% may be due to Sample Error and do not reflect measurable change.

Understanding Sample Error

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Percent Poverty for Families – Sevier County, TN

What does the ACS data look like?

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Percent of Population 5 Years and Older who Speak Spanish at Home - Lake County, IL

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Statistical Significance TestsStatistical Significance TestsStandard Error = Margin of Error / 1.65

But what about MOEs for 2000 data?But what about MOEs for 2000 data?

22 (SE(B))(SE(A))

BAZ

90%

90%

Confidence

Confidence

Comparing ACS to 2000 Data

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A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data

Set of user-specific handbooks

Train-the trainer materials

E-learning ACS Tutorial

http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html

There are RESOURCES AVAILABLE

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Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data forTransportation Planning

275 pagesTrend AnalysisHow to recalculate

Margins of Error

http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf

Transportation Specific

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http://ctpp.transportation.org

ACS Data Profiles

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Trend Data 2000 and 3-year ACS

Includes MOEs and significance tests

Keys on Transportation Variables

New Profiles

January 2009

March 2009

-----------------Some might be

done by end of February

Under Development

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Big Dates

AugustAnnual release of ACS data on income, earnings and poverty for areas over 65,000 pop

SeptemberAnnual release of ACS data on social, economic (transportation), demographic and housing; special population profiles; and Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data for areas over 65,000 pop

December 9, 2008First 3-year set of tables for 20,000+ pop areas. Period estimates for 2005-06-07

January 16, 2009Annual release of 3-year PUMS

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Date Summary

Aug. 2009 - 1-year ACS, Phase 1 (2008 data)

Sept. 2009 - 1-year ACS, Phase 2 (2008 data)

Dec. 2009 - 3-year ACS (06, 07,08 data)

Jan. 2010 - 3-year ACS PUMS (06, 07,08 data)

April 1, 2010 Decennial Census DayAug. 2010 - 1-year ACS, Phase 1 (2009 data)

Sept. 2010 - 1-year ACS, Phase 2 (2009 data)

Dec. 2010 - 3-year ACS (07, 08,09 data)

Dec. 31, 2010 POPULATUION Count, PL171??? 2010 - 5-year ACS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)

??? 2010 - 5-year ACS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)

??? 2010 - 5-year ACS PUMS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)

Jan. 2011 - 3-year ACS PUMS (07, 08,09 data)

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Where do you get ACS?

FactFinder

http://factfinder.census.gov

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• Changes in CTPP• Consolidated Purchase

• AASHTO Oversight Board

• Work Program - Data Products

• Resources• General

• Training/Technical assistance

• Data

• What a Division Planner needs to know

ACT 3 New Developments

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Census Transportation

Planning Products

The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these.

Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data products to help with your Transportation needs

Enter the ACS era…

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All States + DC

AASHTO Led

Oversight Board

Five Year period ~ 2011

Consolidated CTPP Purchase

Federal Technical Advisory GroupTRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (700 strong)Quarterly Newsletter -- OutreachSeveral Websites

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AASHTO Oversight Board

Approved Work Program

Program Management--Hire Person

Special Data Products3- and 5-year data productsTAZ creation

Training and Technical Assistance

Research

Approved FHWA-CB IAA for $1.19 million

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Census Data Products

X

3- and 5-year Data products

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3-year Data Product

What we were planning a year ago

Highlights

Based on 2000 Tables

More Age Tables

Streamlined Race Tables

Clarified Universes

Revamped Organization

Many NEW Univariate Tables

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3-year Data Product Hits Snag

Disclosure Review Board

All Tables rounded like 2000

No thresholds on Univariate Mode tables

Cell thresholds on all Mode by “X” tablesTables with failing cells suppressedIncludes all Resident and Workplace tables

Worker flows by Total Workers and Flows by Mode [7] no thresholds

http://trbcensus.com/drb

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3-year Data Product Update

1. Developing tables with 2006, 2007 and 2008 data, released in Summer 2010 (?)

2. Working to get table request to Census DRB for review by April 2009

3. Tables heavily collapsed

4. Going after FLOW tables regardless

Current Status

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5-year Data Product

Likely to be all synthetic

Hinges on some key research XNCHRP Proposed Problem StatementPROBLEM Number: 2010 B-23($500K)PROBLEM TITLE: Identifying CredibleAlternatives for Producing 5-year CTPP Data Products from the ACS

http://trbcensus.com/notes/NCHRP_CTPP_Data_Proposal_Oct2008.pdf

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TAZs (Traffic Analysis Zones)

What we were planning a year ago

Will there be Census TAZS?

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Where we are at today?

http://trbcensus.com/notes/ACSTAZs.pdf

• Developed in late 2008 and early 2009 Summer 2011

•All zones would nest within each larger zones and Counties

•GIS approach similar to (PSAP) equivalency process

•Funded under Consolidated Purchase

But why

the

Change?

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•General

•Geography

•Training/Technical Assistance

•Data Sources

•Research Efforts

ACT 3 Resources to Consider

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ed.christopher@fhwa.dot.gov

708-283-3534

http://www.dot.gov/ctpp

http://www.TRBcensus.com

Your Best Contacts

elaine.murakami@dot.gov

206-220-4460

72http://trbcensus.com

CTPP List Serve

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Status Report

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm

http://www.trbcensus.com/newsletters.html

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Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA) http://www.census.gov/geo/www/luca2010/luca.html

Boundary and Annexation Survey (BAS)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/bas/bashome.html

School District Review Program (SDRP)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/schdist/sch_dist.html

Tribal Statistical Areas Program (TSAP)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tsap2010/tsap2010.html

Participant Statistical Areas Program (PSAP)

Urbanized Area UZA definitions

http://www.census.gov/geo/www/

Geography Programs

75http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/cbt/index.htm

MAF/TIGER Partnership Software

PSAP

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http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/cbt/index.htm

Computer Based Training

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Boundaries

FHWA FAQs on Boundaries and Census Issues http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census/faqa2cdt.htm

Census Bureau latest info on Urban Areas http://www.edthefed.com/uza/UA_Update.pdf

Post 2000 Boundary Articles and Information http://edthefed.com/#UZA%20Issues

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Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data forTransportation Planning

275 pagesTrend AnalysisHow to recalculate

Margins of Error

http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf

Training and Technical Assistance

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A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data

Set of user-specific handbooks

Train-the trainer materials

E-learning ACS Tutorial

http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html

Working with ACS

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http://fhwa.na3.acrobat.com/p97212507/

Online Materials

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Getting Data - Census Standard Products

FactFinder

http://factfinder.census.gov

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http://ctpp.transportation.org

ACS Data Profiles

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Data ChangesThe American Community Survey (ACS) replaced the Long Form. It is the ACS where we get all the data used for transportation planning

CTPP DevelopmentsCTPP--Stands for Census Transportation Planning Products and there is a whole group of people looking out for the best interest of the transportation community

Potential Changes Due to 2010 CensusIn April of 2010 there will be population count (Census). Results will be out at the end of the year and congressional seats will change

ACT 3 Take Aways

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Boundary ImplicationsRemember: UZA Boundary setting criteria will be out in Fall 2009. FHWA plans are uncertain?

Traffic Analysis ZonesTAZs will not be developed until of summer of 2011

Other Data Products/NewSpecifics on ACS transportation data products are still unfolding

ACT 3 Take Aways

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Carl Mikyska (FL)

Epilogue

David Jolicoeur (WI)

Division Perspective

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Epilogue

•Are there any Census or other data issues or concerns that you are currently seeing with your partners?

•Have you discussed data issues with your MPOs?

•Have any data related issues come up in your certification reviews?

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Tribal Planning Issues and New Developments: What a FHWA

Planner Needs to Know

April 21, 2009

1 – 3:00 p.m. EST

Hosted by Fawn Thompson

Next Planning on the Web

Next Planning on the Web (POW) Session

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