PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE: Bayesian inference Zoltán Dienes, Philosophy of Psychology Thomas Bayes 1702-1761.
Probability does not exists – but does risk exist? Why uncertainty should replace probability in the definition of risk Terje Aven University of Stavanger.
2007/08/07ARIA1 Hidden Overconfidence and Advantageous Selection Rachel J. Huang Assistant Professor, Finance Department Ming Chuan University, Taipei,
Chapter 2 Probability COMPLETE BUSINESS STATISTICSby AMIR D. ACZEL & JAYAVEL SOUNDERPANDIAN 7th edition. Prepared by Lloyd Jaisingh, Morehead State University.
1 15. Risk and Information 15.1 Describing Risky Outcomes 15.2 Evaluating Risky Outcomes 15.3 Bearing and Eliminating Risk 15.4 Analyzing Risky Decisions.
FPP 13-15 Probability 1. What statisticians hang their hat on Provides a formal framework from which uncertainty can be quantified Why study probability.
Intelligent Design. Principles of evolution Evolution: Species undergo genetic change over time. Gradualism: This takes many generations Speciation: Ancestral.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Chapter 1 Risk in Our Society.
Intelligent Design
