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Thinking the Unthinkable: The Limits of Traditional Crisis Management and the Necessity for New Approaches Arjen Boin, Ph.D. School of Governance, Utrecht.
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4: Uncertainty and Probability The scientist has a lot of experience with ignorance and doubt and uncertainty, and this experience is of very great importance,
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Computational Exploration in Long Term Policy Analysis for Complex Social and Organizational Systems Steven Bankes.
Energy-Water-Climate Change Risk Analysis W ESTERN E LECTRICITY C OORDINATING C OUNCIL.