Willy SabryAlcatel-Lucent Indonesia
+62 815 830 1036
September 2, 2010
Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia Peluang dan Tantangan
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Agenda
1. Broadband in Indonesia
2. Technology choice and network economy
3. Summary
1. Broadband In Indonesia
All Rights Reserved © Alcatel-Lucent 2010
Objectives
DGPT Study Group 4G RPJMN (2014)
1. Increase penetration
2. Affordability
3. Drive National Industry
4. Optimum spectrum value
1.Internet penetration: 50%
2.Broadband: 30%
3.Digital TV program: 35%
4.Backbone main islands: 100%
5.Broadband for cities / regency capital: 75%
BROADBANDUsers expectation:
Coverage, Services/Quality, Affordability
Why Broadband: National Infrastructure, knowledge based society, 1.3% PDB increase for every 10% broadband penetration
increase, National Competitiveness index
ICT for prosperity and welfare
1.Increase penetration
2.Affordability & quality service
3.Effective public services
4.Reduce social inequality
Mastel
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Broadband in Indonesia Today
• Land Area: 1.9m km2, 17,508 islands
• 240 million Population
• 33 provinces, 500 cities / regency capital
• 6000 municipal
• 70000 villages
• 62 million household Source: Pyramid, ALU
Broadband Services today:
• In Dense urban / Urban area, ~ 30 cities.
• Penetration: 1% WBB, 0.7% FBB, 4% PC (household basis), 68% Mobile phone
• HSPA, EVDO, WiMAX, DSL, PON, HFC
• Best effort
Dense Urban Urban Suburban
RuralExtreme Rural
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Broadband in Indonesia Expectation & Challenges
Expectation:
• Coverage (30%-40% area)
• Services/ Quality (voice-data-multimedia / best effort - QoE guaranteed - ubiquitous)
• Affordability (most competitive in the region)
Challenges:
• Technology / solution mix: access/backbone, wireline / wireless, FO / radio
• Economic: PNBP vs PDB increase / National infrastructure / ICT fund
• Regulation / Industry Structure
Dense Urban Urban Suburban
RuralExtreme Rural
Broadband for All
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Coverage… with the right technology mix being a combination of fixed & wireless
Wireline complements Wireless in Urban Areas
Wireline (eg FTTx, DSL, GPON) and Wireless (LTE, HSPA,
EVDO, WIMAX)
Wireless technologies at low frequency bands (eg
LTE, HSPA, EVDO)
Dense Urban Urban Suburban
RuralExtreme Rural
Satellite
Rural area more suitable with Wireless
transport network – FO backbone, combination FO/MW backhaul
Note: Sample cost model Australia
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Coverage… although mobile is the preferred broadband technology in emerging markets, it will eventually need to be completed with fixed technologies
Bandwidth per user (Mbps)
0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 1 2 5 7,5 10 12,528
1664
100
200
400
800
1000
Broadband
SD TV HD TV
Fibre + FTTN
Wireless only
DSL CO +
LTE/WiMAX/FTTN
Wireless + Satellite
• Mobile Broadband is a quick and easy approach to address broadband demand – but limited to maximum throughput
• Fixed technologies scale better for high density areas and greater bandwidth demand• Optimum solution is a combination of multiple technologies
Den
sit
y (
use
rs/s
qkm
)
DVB
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Service / Quality Broadband for socio economic development
Public ServicesResidential Services
High-speed Internet
Video conference / telephony over IP
IPTV (Interactive TV, 3D TV, Web TV)
Home surveillance, Home automation
Fixed-mobile convergence
Social Networking
High-Speed Internet
VPN, Web services
Unified communications
Collaboration tools
Mobility and teleworking
Campus and building surveillance
Hospitality
Utility metering
Cloud computing
Information
Public safety
Closed-circuit TV
Emergency
e-learning
e-healthcare
e-social care
e-administration
One-stop-administration portal
Data Acquisition &
control
MetropolitanSecurity
BusesPorts
(Container tracking)
Oil & Gaz(Dwelling)
High-Voltagepôles Utilities
HighwaysMetros
Asy
mm
etrica
l
Sym
metrica
l, Busin
ess C
ritical /
SLG
Sym
metrica
l, Busin
ess C
ritical /
SLG
, Ubiq
uito
us
Business Services
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AffordabilityDevelopment synergy
Halaman 10
Optional: Dark fiber roll-out
PrivateSector
Labeling / Pre-cabling
Accessto publicinfrastructure
Gov’t / PublicSector
Optional:IP Wholesale
Dark fiber roll-out and renting
Labeling / Pre-cabling
Buildof Primary infra
Market Drivene.g. Tier 1 cities
Risk Driven e.g. Tier 2 & suburban
Policy Drivene.g. rural
Investm
en
t (%
)
Area types
Retail, Service applications,
Network
Retail, service applications
Network & IP Wholesale
Retail,
Service applications,
Network, infra resources
Accessto public infrastructure
100%
BSO ICT fund NBN ???
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AffordabilityInfrastructure / Network Sharing, Services Competition
Halaman 11
Infrastructure / Network
sharing
Services competition
Retail Services(residential, public & business)
Retail Services(residential, public & business)
Active Network(network equipments, business & operation support)
Active Network(network equipments, business & operation support)
Passive Infrastructure(tower, sites, trenches, ducts, fibre)
Passive Infrastructure(tower, sites, trenches, ducts, fibre)
End-userEnd-user
2. Technology choice and network economy
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End-to-end Broadband Wireless Access Next-gen Wireless Broadband – Exploit QoE for effective Services
Radio Access Network
•2/3/G, LTE (Large & Small Cell), WiMAX, Satellite
•FTTx, MetroE Access
Transport
•Aggregation / Backhaul
•Backbone
Service Delivery Environment
• IMS, SDP, OSS/BSS, payment and security
Evolved Packet Core
•S-GW, P-GW
•MME, PCRF
OSS/BSS Subs.Data Mgmt
SDP: IMS, Mobile TV
BTS2G+3G+LTE
PCRF
SGW PGW
MME
IP/MPLS
optics
2G/3G Core(Circuit & Packet)
accessBackhaul /
aggregationCore / Edge
Backbone transport
SDE
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A common evolution path…
Broadband Wireless Accesstechnology is converging toward LTE
L
T
E
L
T
E
GSM/UMTS GSM/UMTS
GSM/EDGEGSM/EDGE
GSM/EDGEGSM/EDGE
1x/Do-R.A1x/Do-R.A
1x/Do-R.A1x/Do-R.A
B/A+B/A+
HSPA+HSPA+
UMTS/HSPA+UMTS/HSPA+
TD-SCDMATD-SCDMA
WIMAXWIMAX
…highly efficient technologies
1.4MHz 3MHz 20MHz10MHz5MHz
LTE bandwidth options, highly Spectrum efficient
1xRTT1xRTT
OFDMOFDM MIMOMIMO Flat IPFlat IP
Robust modulation
Increased link capacity
Flat, scalable
4G“3.9G”3G
2.1 GHz1.9/2.1 GHz900 MHz850 MHz700 MHz 2.3 GHz
Operating bandwidth options TDD / FDD
QoE guaranteed - Multiservices
Eco-system – NGMN, LSTI
2.6 GHz
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Impact of signal strength and concurrent users to throughput …performance by throughput per subscriber instead of peak BW per BS –
network design & dimensioning is critical
Halaman 15
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Impact of standards & frequency on network economy 2500 Mhz band require 4.5 X higher capex than 700 MHz band
Typical Cell Ranges for LTE show a significant advantage of using lower frequencies
Better indoor penetration
2.6 GHz 800 MHz
Relative CAPEX and typical cell radius to cover a certain area in suburban environment as a function of the
frequency band used for deployment
100% 126%
328%
455%
675%
1230%10
8.9
5.5
4.7
3.9
2.9
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
800%
900%
1000%
1100%
1200%
1300%
1400%
1500%
700 MHz 850 MHz 1900 MHz 2500 MHz 3500 MHz 5800 MHz
Frequency Deployment
Rela
tive
Cape
x (%
)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Cell
Radi
us (k
m)
Source: Business case summary for NGMN - Milan Sallaba
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Wireless device reality for 2009-2014LTE device overall price trend LTE Single Mode
LTE/HSPA/GSM Multi mode
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
Device Categories
Estimated Price Range
PCI Express (Embedded
modules)
USB Sticks/ Modems
CPEs
Handsets
$105
$138
$183
$124
$150
$200$150
$140
$220
$220
$344 Targeted Timeline - June2011 -
Targeted Timeline - June2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Targeted Timeline - March2011 -
Initial Trends as of February 2010Price decrease for entry range products expected in 2011 due to economic of scale
3. Summary
All Rights Reserved © Alcatel-Lucent 2010
Broadband for All Broadband for prosperity and welfare
Public ServicesResidential Services
High-speed Internet
Video conference / telephony over IP
IPTV (Interactive TV, 3D TV, Web TV)
Home surveillance, Home automation
Fixed-mobile convergence
Social Networking
High-Speed Internet
VPN, Web services
Unified communications
Collaboration tools
Mobility and teleworking
Campus and building surveillance
Hospitality
Utility metering
Cloud computing
Information
Public safety
Closed-circuit TV
Emergency
e-learning
e-healthcare
e-social care
e-administration
One-stop-administration portal
Data Acquisition &
control
MetropolitanSecurity
BusesPorts
(Container tracking)
Oil & Gaz(Dwelling)
High-Voltagepôles Utilities
HighwaysMetros
Asym
metrical
Symm
etrical, Business Critical / SLG
Symm
etrical, Business Critical / SLG
, U
biquitous
Business Services
Infrastructure / Network
sharing
Services competition
Coverage
Service / Quality Affordability
BSO ICT fund NBN ???
a holistic Network and Economic
Analysis would be necessary
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Broadband Wireless AccessRight choice of BWA technology would benefit Indonesia
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Pemakaian frequensi TV Broadcast di Indonesia
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