StateoftheStateSurveyRound72EarlyRelease
Sample Size MarginofErrorMichiganAdults 838 3.4%LikelyRepublicanVoters 290 5.8%LikelyDemocraticVoters 262 6.1%
AmongAllAdultsCandidatePreference
SpontaneousKnowledge
Clinton 23.1% 90.6%
Sanders 22.5% 75.4%
Trump 19% 90.4%
Cruz 9.1% 60%
Rubio 8.7% 55.4%
Kasich 4.3% 24.7%
PresidentialCandidateSpontaneousRecognition7-DayWindows
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
31-Jan
1-Feb
2-Feb
3-Feb
4-Feb
5-Feb
6-Feb
7-Feb
8-Feb
9-Feb
10-Feb
11-Feb
12-Feb
13-Feb
14-Feb
15-Feb
16-Feb
17-Feb
18-Feb
19-Feb
20-Feb
21-Feb
22-Feb
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
29-Feb
1-Mar
2-Mar
3-Mar
Clinton Trump Sanders Rubio Cruz Kasich
Democrats:PresidentialVote
LikelyDemocratic
Voters
CertainDemocratic
Voters
AllDemocrats/Leaners
HillaryClinton 51.9% 55.4% 45.9%BernieSanders 46.9% 43% 39.2%
Democrats:PresidentialVoteLikelyVoters,7-DayWindows
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8031-Jan
1-Feb
2-Feb
3-Feb
4-Feb
5-Feb
6-Feb
7-Feb
8-Feb
9-Feb
10-Feb
11-Feb
12-Feb
13-Feb
14-Feb
15-Feb
16-Feb
17-Feb
18-Feb
19-Feb
20-Feb
21-Feb
22-Feb
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
29-Feb
1-Mar
2-Mar
3-Mar
Clinton Sanders
Democrats:PresidentialVote– UnweightedLikelyVoters,7-DayWindows
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8031-Jan
1-Feb
2-Feb
3-Feb
4-Feb
5-Feb
6-Feb
7-Feb
8-Feb
9-Feb
10-Feb
11-Feb
12-Feb
13-Feb
14-Feb
15-Feb
16-Feb
17-Feb
18-Feb
19-Feb
20-Feb
21-Feb
22-Feb
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
29-Feb
1-Mar
2-Mar
3-Mar
4-Mar
5-Mar
6-Mar
Clinton Sanders
Democrats:VoteByGender&AgeLikelyVoters
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Male
Female
Sanders Clinton
0 20 40 60 80 100
18-29
30-64
65+
Sanders Clinton
Democrats:VoteByRace&IdeologyLikelyVoters
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Non-White
White
Sanders Clinton0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Conservative
Middle/Lean
SomewhatLiberal
VeryLiberal
Sanders Clinton
Republicans:PresidentialVote
LikelyRepublicanVoters
CertainRepublicanVoters
AllRepublicans/
LeanersTedCruz 19.5% 20.9% 17.4%JohnKasich 8.9% 8.7% 6.3%MarcoRubio 18.1% 19.1% 16.3%DonaldTrump 36.1% 33.5% 35.9%
Republicans:PresidentialVoteProbableVoters,7-DayWindows
0
10
20
30
40
50
6031-Jan
1-Feb
2-Feb
3-Feb
4-Feb
5-Feb
6-Feb
7-Feb
8-Feb
9-Feb
10-Feb
11-Feb
12-Feb
13-Feb
14-Feb
15-Feb
16-Feb
17-Feb
18-Feb
19-Feb
20-Feb
21-Feb
22-Feb
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
29-Feb
1-Mar
2-Mar
3-Mar
Cruz Kasich Rubio Trump
Republicans:PresidentialVote- UnweightedProbableVoters,7-DayWindows
0
10
20
30
40
50
6031-Jan
1-Feb
2-Feb
3-Feb
4-Feb
5-Feb
6-Feb
7-Feb
8-Feb
9-Feb
10-Feb
11-Feb
12-Feb
13-Feb
14-Feb
15-Feb
16-Feb
17-Feb
18-Feb
19-Feb
20-Feb
21-Feb
22-Feb
23-Feb
24-Feb
25-Feb
26-Feb
27-Feb
28-Feb
29-Feb
1-Mar
2-Mar
3-Mar
4-Mar
5-Mar
6-Mar
Cruz Kasich Rubio Trump
Republicans:VoteByIdeology&EthnocentrismLikelyVoters
0 10 20 30 40 50
PreferWhites
PreferChristians
NotEthnocentric
Trump Rubio Cruz
0 10 20 30 40 50
Liberal
Middle/Lean
SomewhatConservative
VeryConservative
Trump Rubio Cruz
Republicans:VoteByMediaUsage&EducationLikelyVoters
0 10 20 30 40
NotaListener
RegularTalkRadioListener
Trump Rubio Cruz
0 10 20 30 40
NotaWatcher
RegularCableWatcher
Trump Rubio Cruz
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
HighSchoolorLess
SomeCollege
CollegeGrad
GradSchool
Trump Rubio Cruz
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