The Age of OpportunityThe New Era of Innovation for
Business, Technology, and Society
Our present-day tools, models, and processes
are quickly
becoming
Industrial Age relics...
Something fundamental has changed!
“All that was ‘normal’ has now evaporated; we have entered
postnormal times, the in-between
period where old orthodoxies are dying, new ones have not yet
emerged, and nothing really
makes sense.”
Ziauddin Sardar, The City University, London
We have entered the...Postnormal Economy
{Complexity
ChaosContradictionOpen-Sourced
DisruptiveNetworked
CollaborativeUncertaintyResilience
Imagination
“We must reduce complexity in order to
innovate.”
“We must embrace complexity in order to
innovate.”
before the shift after the shift
7 Critical Value Shifts for Organizational Culture in the Postnormal Future
Open Systems
Pattern & Sense-Making
Multiples
Meshing
Resilience
Organic
Futures
“In an age of ever increasing
complexity & ambiguity,
linear thinking & simple
strategies will no longer work. Our interconnected world has created an environment where
learning and acting from multiples perspectives is
imperative for success.”
The Avatar Future:
Telepresence, Human/Machine
Interface, & RoboticsAreas of Impact:
•Technology•Medicine•Human Resources•Talent & Work
Tuesday, September 4, 12
“This is a move from
top-down‘command & control’
business to seeing more
power placed in the hands of individuals,
including crowdsourcing, social networking, open innovation, &
solopreneurs.”
“VirFlex”Virtual Geography & Location Flexible Work Hours
+
What does this do to the concepts of “work,” “workplace,” & “business,” not to mention the idea of the “city?”
The “VirFlex” Future Areas of Impact:
•Work•Talent Development•Business Development•City Development•Innovation•Collaboration
Tuesday, September 4, 12
... Near Field Communication
The Communications
FutureAreas of Impact:
•Technology•Innovation•Money•Banking & Finances•Data & Information•City Development•Retail
Tuesday, September 4, 12
“We have moved from sustainability to resilience,
needing the ability to adapt & be flexible in the face of unfamiliar landscapes. Business
cannot rely on old strategies, but must learn how to be
robust in the face of change.”
"���� has become so tied up in
intellectual knots that it has the
������� ����������� of making things
����������"
Neal Stephenson on “Getting Big Things Done.”
Tuesday, September 4, 12
The Gami!cation of Business
If "customer engagement" is the super metric
of the next decade, then
"gami!cation" is its elixir.
The “Gamified” FutureAreas of Impact:
•Talent Assessment•Technology•Consumer Insights•Consumption•Data & Analytics•Marketing•Job Creation•Governance•Innovation•Social Media•Health & Medicine
Tuesday, September 4, 12
“Gone are the days when we could separate various
academic & professional disciplines in order to make sense of our world & get the job done. We are finding that
it’s in the “spaces-in-between” that the
solutions to our greatest challenges exist & new ways of
operating are emerging.”
The Hybrid Future
The “meshing” of physical and virtual/digital worlds,
resulting in the co-evolution of humanity and
technology...
...impacting the way we govern, do business,
perceive social interaction, and shape our world.
Areas of Impact:
•Technology•Work
•Data•Insights
•Social Media•Innovation
The “Sensored”
Future
Areas of Impact:
•Health & Medicine•Talent Assessment•Consumer Tech•Communications•Consumer Insights•Product Development•Data & Analytics•Marketing
Tuesday, September 4, 12
“People aren’t machines. Nonetheless, we’ve tried very hard to build our businesses in a mechanical fashion, like cogs in a clock. Humans are organic – living, breathing,
and often messy. We thrive in environments filled with
purpose, deep meaning, creativity,
and connection.”
The Holistic Future
Areas of Impact:
•Work and Talent•Innovation and Creativity•Technology•Consumption
“Our new world demands that
we look past the “tip of the iceberg” to see patterns between
seemingly unrelated events & trends,
making deep sense out of our converging systems.”
The Generative
FutureAreas of Impact:
•City Development
•Consumer Insights
•Technology
•Consumption
•Innovation
•Data & Analytics
•Marketing
•Job Creation
•Governance
•Social Media
•Energy
•Health & Medicine
Using exponentially accelerating technology and “big data” clusters to create cities & workforces that are equitable, inclusive, citizen-centric, and hubs of innovation.
pavagen
Futures
“We are used to depending on hindsight to run our businesses,
schools, & countries, but this can no longer be our practice in
a rapidly changing world. Our leaders must develop the skill of
identifying emerging issues, building alternative scenarios, &
creating transformational
futures.”
You can't have a better tomorrow if
you're only thinking about yesterday.
Those who can look ahead with foresight are better equipped to face change and harness opportunity, since
they know which decisions today might open up new doors tomorrow.
Applying foresight thinking can turn a
complex and unclear world into
a map of new innovation, opportunities, and possibilities.
Why Is Futures Thinking Critical To The Success Of Innovation In The Postnormal Economy?
Foresight and Innovation at Stanford University
Kedge is a minority-owned foresight, innovation, creativity, and strategic design consultancy. We help our clients to thrive in a world of complex ideas and practices, uncover emerging trends on the horizon that will impact their business, and discover unseen opportunities for strategic advantage and development.
Yvette Montero Salvatico, Partner/Principal Holding a bachelor’s degree in Finance and an MBA from the University of Florida, Yvette has over 15 years of corporate experience with large, multi-national firms such as Kimberly-Clark and The Walt Disney Company. Before becoming a partner at Kedge, she lead the effort to establish Future Workforce Insights at the Walt Disney Company, identifying future workforce trends and leveraging foresight models and techniques to assess potential threats and impacts, emerging ideas, and exciting opportunities for the organization. Yvette is an experienced speaker, addressing large audiences on topics such as business policy, diversity, and foresight.
Frank Spencer, Partner/Principal Prior to founding Kedge, Frank worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer with entrepreneurs, social communities, networking initiatives and SMEs, helping them to advance human development, local and global innovation, and open-source collaboration. He holds a Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight from Regent University, and is a member of the Association of Professional Futurists and the World Futures Studies Federation. With a strong background in both business and academic foresight, Frank taught a course on futures and foresight for developing solutions to wicked problems at the Duke TIP Institutes; is on the organizing team that is developing an MSc in Foresight and Innovation at ISTIA/The University of Angers in France; and has worked on strategic foresight projects for companies such as Kraft, Mars, Marriott, and The Walt Disney Company.
Yvette Montero Salvatico Frank W. Spencer, IV Principal, Kedge, LLC Principal, Kedge, LLC 2905 Boat Dock Road 12 Drake Drive Kissimmee, Florida 34746 Savannah, Georgia 31406 407-973-1172 912-660-6726 e-mail: [email protected] e-mail: [email protected] www.kedgefutures.com
About Kedge, LLC
Thursday, August 23, 12
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