Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics duringa Pandemic
Michael Hohle1
1Department of MathematicsStockholm University, Sweden
Cramersallskapets hostmoteLinkopings universitet
26-27 Oct 2021
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 1 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Didactic Setup
3 Technical Aspects
4 Increase Audience
5 Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 2 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Introduction
7.5 ECTS B.Sc. summer distance course The Mathematicsand Statistics of Infectious Disease Outbreaks at StockholmUniversity during Jun-Aug 2020
Lecturers: Tom Britton and Michael Hohle
Combined experience in mathematics & statistics forinfectious disease epidemiology, media exposure and workingat a public health institution
Aim of this talk:
Share my experiences, advertise the post-course sharing idea.
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 3 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Didactic Setup
3 Technical Aspects
4 Increase Audience
5 Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 4 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Course Setup
12 Lectures on infectious disease modelling and analysis topics(often with a COVID-19 outlook):
Material + videos for preparation (1-1.5h),1h discussion session via Zoom once a week
Examination:
Home exam (5h)Two written project reports:
one structured (solve data & modelling exercise)one open (re-analyze scientific paper, visualize data, makesimulation)
Methods were illustrated in R, but students could choose theirfavorite analysis framework
93 registered students (∼30 finished)
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 5 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Course Topics
Simulation and Fitting of Epidemic and Endemic Models
Estimating Reproduction Numbers
Latencies and Delays
Vaccination
Modeling using Networks and other Heterogeneities
Univariate and Multivariate Outbreak Detection
COVID-19:
Reproduction Number and Herd ImmunityDigital Contact Tracing
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 6 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Example: Nowcasting Confirmed COVID-19 Deaths
Sources: Mix of Qvintest entry, Adam Altmejd’s COVID-19 Dashboard and course slides
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 7 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Example: Interactive AppsIn some cases the lecture material was to read a Blog post
. . . and experiment with the associated interactive Shiny app
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 8 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Didactic Setup
3 Technical Aspects
4 Increase Audience
5 Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 9 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Technical Setup
Moodle for the interaction with the students
Zoom for recording. No editing!
Recording setup:
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 10 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Didactic Setup
3 Technical Aspects
4 Increase Audience
5 Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 11 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Making it available to a greater audience (1)
GitHub page for Code & Slides:
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 12 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Making it available to a greater audience (2)
SU Video Platform:
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 13 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Making it available to a greater audience (3)
Youtube Playlist:
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 14 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Making it available to a greater audience (4)
Usage Statistics:
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 15 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Didactic Setup
3 Technical Aspects
4 Increase Audience
5 Discussion
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 16 / 17
Introduction Didactic Setup Technical Aspects Increase Audience Discussion
Discussion
Online format allowed a larger group of people to participate(including me!)
Students learned how to access COVID-19 data sources andrelate the theory to practical COVID-19 application
Discussion session ended up being the same 2-5 studentsdiscussing... (use breakout rooms!)
Most student projects were excellent!
Course layout formed the basis for a M.Sc. course at theuniversity of Zurich and will be given again at SU duringVT2022.
Teaching Statistical Analysis of Pandemics during a Pandemic Michael Hohle 17 / 17
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