Building Resilience Amongst Communities in EuropeSee http://embrace-eu.org/
Outline of talk
Background and objective
Cases and methods
Contribution and findings
Background
Map as communication and planning tool
include the social (social map)
Uses of models
Communication of ideas Generate and interrogate scenarios
Objective
Learning about uses of methods with stakeholders
allowing them to “play” with the idea of community resilience
Cases
South Tyrol, Italy. Landslides
municipal organisations, emergency services, mayor and other local actors, householders
Cumbria, England. Flooding
district governance, county/ nat. governance, environment agency, emergency services, householders
Local flood action group
Methods
Methods that describe complexity
Social network analysis (SNA) and mapping
Agent-based modelling (ABM)
See paper for further info
Methods II
Commitment to participatory research
meaning community engagement in stages of the research, grounding in practicalities
In principle, SNA → P-SNA ABM → P-ABM
Contribution
Our contribution is in testing 4 uses : check that we have represented local
knowledge(s) correctly; translate that knowledge across geographical and
policy spaces; link socially robust data to and from indicators; explore alternatives re. more resilient options
Findings New data and findings in South Tyrol
survey in Abtei (2 questions about use of networks)
mapping with organisational stakeholders
New data and findings in Cumbria
workshops in Keswick (mapping of preparedness and response networks)
analysis of 60 interviews in Cumbria
Disaster preparedness ABM
Patton's disaster preparedness model relates risk perception, hazard anxiety, critical awareness, etc.
Adding social influence: communication networks
Conclusions
P-SNA and P-ABM seem to help to stimulate discussion and elicit further data However in the English case P-SNA may have been
viewed as too abstract
Method take-up by partners less than hoped may take time to develop competencies and get
desired ‘scientific’ results build complexity of models so they are relevant and
reliable
they are not 'mainstream' in DRR / disaster resilience research
milestone is increasing the modelling literacy of stakeholders (a prerequisite for ‘deep’ participation?)
Conclusions cont.
The greatest insights into ways to improve risk management may come from the community itself
Thankyou !
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