We read for you June 2014
1
Tax, Lies and Red Tape: Confessions of an unreconstructed Neoliberal Fundamentalist
By Dawie Roodt, with Linette Retief Presented by Andr Roux
Date: June 2014
Inspiring thought leadership across Africa
2014/06/09
1
1
Tax, lies and red tape: Confessions of an unreconstructed
neoliberal fundamentalist
Dawie Roodt, with Linette
Retief
Andr Roux
June 2014
Inspiring thought leadership across
Africa
WE READ FOR YOU
Main title:
Disdain for the recurring theme of state intervention; wishes and pipe dreams
Plan for the economy, based on simplicity and choice
Clear guidelines
Freedom choice
To stimulate a Damascus experience; a paradigm shift
Sub-title
Old school, free-market thinking
2014/06/09
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FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES AND BELIEFS
Conventional wisdom is neither necessarily true nor accurate. often a major obstacle to new research, knowledge, or visionary thinking.
Private property rights in the very broad sense of the word (including over life and immaterial belongings)
- right of movement
- right to sign a contract with whomever, on any basis
- right to trade
Therefore, firmly in favour of capitalism/ a free-market system.. The invisible hand allows people to ultimately look out for themselves, and through the trade and entrepreneurship that results from this economic self-centredness, society as a whole benefits more than it would have otherwise . Government intervention often inhibits this invisible hand
FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES AND BELIEFS
Conventional wisdom is neither necessarily true nor accurate. often a major obstacle to new research, knowledge, or visionary thinking.
Private property rights in the very broad sense of the word (including over life and immaterial belongings)
- right of movement
- right to sign a contract with whomever, on any basis
- right to trade
Therefore, firmly in favour of capitalism/ a free-market system.. The invisible hand allows people to ultimately look out for themselves, and through the trade and entrepreneurship that results from this economic self-centredness, society as a whole benefits more than it would have otherwise . Government intervention often inhibits this invisible hand
Rhino horn
Solution = allow farmers to sell horn for profit
pp 12-15
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PLAN OF THE BOOK
Chapter Title
2 The history of mankind and markets
3 The problem with communism
4 What can we learn from the Great Recession
5 How the state spends your money
6 Our taxing regime
7 Central banks and monetary policy
8 Trade and tribulations
9 Why is labour not working
10 What the future holds
THE HISTORY OF MANKIND AND MARKETS
Discovery of fire (cooking) = more energy = more strength = creation of a surplus of time
Strength and time enabled humankind to invent and develop major economic breakthroughs
- wheel
- taming and domestication of animals
= property, which man wanted to protect
= significant surpluses
= change in values respect for others property
- domestication of plants
- specialisation commerce and trade rules, laws and property rights
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THE HISTORY OF MANKIND AND MARKETS
Other hallmarks of civilisation
Organised government
Organised religion
Job specialisation
Social class
Writing and record-keeping
Arts and architecture
Human development did not progress linearly backward steps were also taken, eg communism
THE PROBLEM WITH COMMUNISM
Main goals of communism
No social class
No money
No state
!!!!!!!!!!!!
Local communists dont understand their own ideology, yet these are the very people who have the
power to make decisions about the countrys economic policy.
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THE PROBLEM WITH COMMUNISM
Zwelinzima Vavi (2012)
The creation of the CPSA was also a great breakthrough in non-racialism
CPSA was created in 1921 under the slogan
Workers of the world unite and fight for white South Africa
THE PROBLEM WITH COMMUNISM
The root of the problem= resource allocation:
Fixation on fixed prices
Trying to anticipate the needs of the economy
Allocating resources to achieve some or other political objective (not to serve the inhabitants of the land)
Micro-management of every aspect of the system
Scandalous surpluses
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WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM THE GREAT RECESSION?
Three sets of reasons why the credit bubble burst:
Emotional arguments values, greed, excessive risk-taking
Technical insufficient capital reserves, incorrect pricing of assets and risks, warped credit ratings
Fundamental considerations too-low interest rates, an overly accommodating fiscal policy approach, and other measures that encouraged the accumulation of private and public debt . And ultimately all bubbles burst
X
X
WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM THE GREAT RECESSION?
Two approaches to fixing the mess
USA move private sector debt to the public sector; printing money
Europe austerity impact on growth? Euro?
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HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
What (core) functions should be provided by the state?
Collective goods the state should provide those things from which its citizens cannot be excluded
Defence
Law and order
Independent judiciary
And arguably infrastructure
HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
However, in SA secondary functions dominate the social security tail has started to wag the fiscal dog
Item Rbn % of total
Education 212 21.0
Health care
132 13.1
Social develop-ment
164 16.2
Housing 97 9.5
TOTAL 603 59.8
Item Rbn % of total
Economic services & infrastructure
112 11.1
Defence 38 3.8
Justice, crime prevention & security
99 9.8
TOTAL 249 24.7
Secondary functions Core functions
2012/2013
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HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
Thus, the redistribution function of the state is growing in importance
Problem!! Recipients of this largesse are not the major contributors to the state, but they are in the majority will therefore continue to vote for a bigger tax burden on the minority until, theoretically, everybodys income will eventually be the same
More state spending now to be funded by more taxes and more borrowing debt explosion/ default/ economic collapse is this a fundamental flaw of democracy?
HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
Education: Spending > Outcomes Solutions
SADTU
Teachers (paid to do a bad job) and children (dont have to work hard to pass) are in cahoots to preserve the status quo thus break this cosy relationship
Different education systems and curricula
Increased autonomy for schools
Allow schools to generate own revenue
Vouchers present to any school of their choice
Incentivise children with lots of money to gain, eg, a distinction in maths or science
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HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
Social grants: Unintended consequences
e.g., culture of dependency, artificial stimulation of economy (inflation, weaker currency)
Thatcher
The problem with socialism is that at some point you run out of other peoples money
Solutions
Introduce more means tests
Parent must prove that child goes to school, has been innoculated, has a certain mass in line with its age
HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
The three great evils
Unemployment: the real problem is barriers to entry
Poverty: the real problem is we have too few rich people
Inequality: the real problem is a perception problem
- inequality allows the rich to save more for future investments
- in a system of unequal distribution entrepreneurship, hard work and good skills are rewarded incentive for others to become wealthy
Inequality only a problem when associated with other differences (race, political insiders vs outsiders)
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HOW THE STATE SPENDS YOUR MONEY
Growing concern about budget deficits and rising state debt
Thus, create a statutory fiscal council that plays an independent evaluative and directional role in fiscal policy (c/f monetary policy).
VAT can be adjusted up or down to ensure that a fiscal surplus is achieved at all times over the economic cycle
This could make voters realise that they cannot simply demand more the money has to come from somewhere
OUR TAXING TAX REGIME
The characteristics of a good tax system
Fairness
Cost-effectiveness
Simple and easy to understand
Enables state to collect sufficient revenue
Neutral
Aim to diminish the individual tax burden by spreading the tax load
SA does not fair very well in respect of the above especially load spreading every individula taxpayer
supports 9 people who do not pay tax
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OUR TAXING TAX REGIME
Improving SAs tax system to ensure fiscal survival
Simplify
Reduce the number of personal income-tax brackets
Let small and large companies pay the same (much lower) income tax (on turnover, not profit)
Increase VAT (no zero-rated items)
Abolish taxes on dividends and CGT
Simplify sin taxes
Implement more user charges
OUR TAXING TAX REGIME
Another word on inequality
SA has
have-lots
have-littles
have-nothings
The have-littles are refusing to share with the have-nothings .
labour laws act as barriers to entry for the have-nothings
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CENTRAL BANKS AND MONETARY POLICY
Crash course on money and monetary policy
Role and autonomy of central bank
Money creation
Inflation and exchange rates
Gold standard
Quantitative easing
TRADE AND TRIBULATIONS
Why do we trade?
- to obtain things that we would not otherwise be able to get our hands on
Why is it better to encourage trade than restricting it?
- specialisation; comparative advantage
Where does competition fit into the picture?
- consumer welfare is the unintended and coincidental by-product (result) of competition; you cannot create more welfare by instructing competition
- Competition Act, Competition Commission a waste of time and taxpayers money!
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TRADE AND TRIBULATIONS
In fact.
Companies do not compete to give consumers a better deal
Companies try to kill the competition
Capitalists dont like competition; everything businesses do is anti-competitive (eg, advertising, moving closer to the market)
Collusion often works to the benefit of consumers
TRADE AND TRIBULATIONS
Competition Act: Reservations and anomalies
Price fixing often attracts competition (prices are almost always fixed at a high level)
The Act actually includes alist of fixed tariffs for 1000s of different medical, dental and allied treatments
The prices of petrol and oil products are fixed by government
Moreover, greed is good; it works; and because it optimises the use of scarce resources, it minimises wastefulness
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TRADE AND TRIBULATIONS
Converging prices are not the result of collusion, but actually the consequence of competition
How could the Competition Commission and Competition Act brighten our economy?
- tackle Eskom, the regulated fuel price, anti- competitive import tariffs on clothing
- help SA take advantage of the ICT society by addressing the heavily protected telecommunications industry
- distinguish between anti-competitive practices (behaviour of protected cartels) and competition itself (aggressive rearguard action by large incumbents hoping to save their businesses in a fast-moving, dog-eat-dog market)
WHY IS LABOUR NOT WORKING?
The flaw in the idea of job creation is the very notion that jobs must be created entrepreneurs do not employ people because they want to do so; they employ people because they dont have a choice its the only way in which they can capitalise on their economic activities.
Jobs happen - if the circumstances are right
Workers are not being exploited (the only way in which workers can be exploited is when they are slaves with no choices or options)
Small business owners are being exploited greedy taxman, aggressive workforce, regressive legislation
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WHY IS LABOUR NOT WORKING?
Fig 9.1
WHY IS LABOUR NOT WORKING?
The state as an employer
Year No of emplo-
yees
% of total employ-
ment
1999 1.008m 9.7
2005 1.089m 8.7
2011 1.3m 9.9
Central & provincial governments
All levels of govt, SOEs, statutory
institutions: 2.8m = 21% of total
workforce
Average civil servants remuneration is 30-40%
higher than private sector counterpart
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WHY IS LABOUR NOT WORKING?
Solutions for labour law restrictions
State should employ as few people as possible AND improve productivity or cut wages to levels comparable with private sector
Liberalise labour legislation (make it easier to hire and fire)
Get rid of laws that affect employment (eg, required registration for UIF; or proposed law on licensing all businesses)
WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS
Can SA expect a demographic dividend?
If not, can we generate one?
If the wave arrives, are we ready to capitalise on it?
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WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS
Daniel Stelter
Deal with the debt overhang, immediately
Reduce unfunded liabilities
Increase the efficiency of government
Prepare for labour scarcity
Develop smart immigration policies
Invest in education
Reinvest in the asset base
Increase raw material efficiency
Co-operate on a global basis
Remove the next Kondratiev wave
WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS
Daniel Stelter
Deal with the debt overhang, immediately
Reduce unfunded liabilities
Increase the efficiency of government
Prepare for labour scarcity
Develop smart immigration policies
Invest in education
Reinvest in the asset base
Increase raw material efficiency
Co-operate on a global basis
Remove the next Kondratiev wave
There is still time to act, provided leaders from all social sectors
government, business, organized labour, environmental and other
stakeholder groups [take firm and swift action] to secure future
economic prosperity, social cohesion, and political stability
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