RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Enhancing and implementing Knowledge based ICT solutions within high Risk and Uncertain
Conditions for Agriculture Production Systems (RUC-APS)
May 12th to May 29th, 2020
www.ruc-aps.eu
#RUCAPS2020
RUC-APS ONLINE WORKSHOP
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Modelling and Simulation in Agri-Food Domains. The challenge to embrace reality with a variety of
simulation tools
Dr. Jorge Hernandez
www.ruc-aps.eu
#RUCAPS2020
RUC-APS ONLINE WORKSHOP
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Agenda
• RUC-APS Project
• Multi-Criteria Decisions Analysis
• GRAI Methodology
• System Dynamics
• Discrete Event Simulation
• Online survey
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
H2020 RUC-APS Project⚜Funding body: EU H2020 Framework ⚜Call: H2020-MSCA-RISE-2015⚜Topic area: “Marie Skłodowska-Curie Research and Innovation Staff Exchange (RISE)”⚜Project duration: 48 months (started on 3/10/2016)⚜Overall Budget: €1.3M⚜Web-site: www.ruc-aps.eu
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
REVIEW RUC-APS MISSION“SUPPORT FARMERS DECISION-MAKING ONCE THEY ARE FACING HIGHUNCERTAINTY AND RISK WITHIN A VALUE CHAIN IMPLICATION VIEW”
REVIEW RUC-APS VISION“TO BE A CONSOLIDATED AND COMPETITIVE INTERNATIONAL AND
MULTIDISCIPLINARY CONSORTIUM TO PROVIDE PARTICIPATORY ANDCOLLABORATIVE SOLUTIONS TO AGRICULTURE VALUE CHAIN
STAKEHOLDERS CHALLENGES AND REQUIREMENTS”
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
What is a Supply chain?
Source: Food Safety Magazine 07.11.2017 (https://www.foodsafetymagazine.com/enewsletter/into-the-cold-abyss-of-food-waste/)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
This animation shows a time lapse of sea surface salinity and soil moisture
(underground water consumption)
Map of global temperatures in 2017 compared to 1981-2010 average (https://www.climate.gov)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THE RUC-APS AGRI-FOOD VALUE CHAIN MODEL
Seed
ProducersSeed
merchants
Agrochemica
lproviders
(Fertilizer,Pesticide)
Resources
(Labour,
water,Energy,
Equiptment,Machiinery,
Seedling,
seed)
Distribution
Centre
Technology
Providers
Agronomist
advisors
(public,private)
Logistics
(transport)
Farmers
(canalso
producetheir own
seeds)
Logistics
(storage,
Distribution,Packaging,
Processing)
WasteManagement
DIstribution
Centre
Eco-Service
Providers
Marketing
Certifyassociation
Wholesaler
(Local&
Global)
Logistician
(e-retail)
Retailer
(Local&
Global)
End-products
waste
management
Directsales
(hotels,
restaurants,consumers,
local&Gloabal)
Energy
Customer
Procesor
Quality(Marks)
Technology
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
The proposed RUC-APS Framework (Integrated view)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THE RUC-APS CONSORTIUMCountry Acronym Participant
ULIV University of Liverpool
UoP University of Plymouth
RP Riviera Produce
IFA Innovation for Agriculture
CNR- ISPACNR - Istituto di Scienze delle Produzioni
Alimentari
ALSIAAgenzia Lucana di Sviluppo e di Innovazione
in Agricoltura
AINIA Food Innovation Technology Center
BDI Bretagne Développement Innovation
INIANational Agriculture Institute of Chile –
Ministry of Agriculture
BBLOOCK BBlock SmarThinking
Country Acronym Participant
ISBPANIntelligent Systems Laboratory - Systems
Research Institute Polish Academy of Science
FEDACOVA Valencian Agri-Food Business Federation
UPV Universitat Politècnica de València
UNLP-FIFaculty of informatics - Universidad de La
Plata
UNLP-FASFFaculty of Agronomy and Natural Sciences -
Universidad de La Plata
UT1 Université Toulouse 1 Capitole
UL TELECOM Nancy - University of Lorraine
SV ServiVerde
SENSING Digital Stream (DS)
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Knowing agri-Food Challenges in real and global interconnected world
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
The modelling & Simulation applications
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
What is Operations Management?
What is Supply Chain Management
What is Management?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Producers(sellers)
Market (Buyers)
payment
Information/ communication
Action/ decision
THE KEY CHALLENGE IS TO BE AS LEAN AS POSSIBLE, TO REDUCE WASTE, BUT ALSO TO INCREASE PROFIT AND DEAL WITH UNCERTAINTY (Climate, Market, Regulations, Prices…)
traders processorsWholesalers/
retailers
value
A simple supply Chain view
Goods / services
UNDERSTANDING AGRICULTURAL CHAINS TOWARDS ENHANCED MARKET ACCESS Nerlita M. Manalili VREDESEILANDEN, 2015
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Shifting Trend
16
Produce first
Then sellKnow market
Then Produce
to
Specifications
Requires farmers’ awareness of :
• who their end consumers are
• in what agricultural chain they are in
UNDERSTANDING AGRICULTURAL CHAINS TOWARDS ENHANCED MARKET ACCESS Nerlita M. ManaliliVREDESEILANDEN, 2015
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Challenges and motivations
17
• Understanding Agri-Food Supply Chains requires a detailed view ofupstream and downstream relationships amongst suppliers andcustomers and consider the current regulation.
• Agri-Food decision-makers are facing several market challenges,specially in adapting to the externalities they cannot control(technological innovation, new nutritional market demands,economy, political markets, food security and climate change).
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
THIS RESEARCH IS ORIENTED TO
Provide a better understanding and visualisation for Agriculture stakeholders considering
• Current climate and market challenges (internal and external).
• The need to support a decision-making process timely and efficiently.
• The up-to-date inputs from real industry life agriculture stakeholders from an international point view
• PROVIDE AN CLEAR VISUALISATION ON PRIORITIES TO SUPPORT OPERATIONS MANEGEMENT ORIENTED SOLUTIONS
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Methodology• AHP developed by Saati
• Method for ranking decision alternatives and selecting the best one when the decision maker has multiple objectives, or criteria
Pairwise Comparisons
• Used to score each alternative on a criterion
• Compare two alternatives according to a criterion and indicate the preference using a preference scale
• Standard scale used in AHP
Preference Level Numeric
al Value
Equally preferred 1
Equally to moderately
preferred
2
Moderately preferred 3
Moderately to strongly
preferred
4
Strongly preferred 5
Strongly to very strongly
preferred
6
Very strongly preferred 7
Very strongly to
extremely preferred
8
Extremely preferred 9
NOT NEW, BUT USEFUL
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Consistency Ratio
• The AHP provides a measure of the consistency of pairwise comparison judgments by computing a consistency ratio.• The ratio is designed in such a way that values of the ratio exceeding 0.10 are
indicative of inconsistent judgments.
• Although the exact mathematical computation of the consistency ratio is beyond the scope of this text, an approximation of the ratio can be obtained.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Procedure: Estimating Consistency Ratio - 1
Step 1: Multiply each value in the first column of the pairwise comparison matrix by the relative priority of the first item considered. Same procedures for other items. Sum the values across the rows to obtain a vector of values labeled “weighted sum.”
Step 2: Divide the elements of the vector of weighted sums obtained in Step 1 by the corresponding priority value.
Step 3: Compute the average of the values computed in step 2. This average is denoted as lmax.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Procedure: Estimating Consistency Ratio - 2
Step 4: Compute the consistency index (CI):
Where n is the number of items being compared
Step 5: Compute the consistency ratio (CR):
Where RI is the random index, which is the consistency index of a randomly generated pairwise comparison matrix. It can be shown that RI depends on the number of elements being compared and takes on the following values.
1n
nλCI max
−
−=
RI
CICR =
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Random Index
• Random index (RI) is the consistency index of a randomly generated pairwise comparison matrix.• RI depends on the number of elements being
compared (i.e., size of pairwise comparison matrix) and takes on the following values:
n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
RI 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.90 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45 1.49
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
QUESTION MARK?
FROM AN OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT POINT OF VIEW, IT IS POSSIBLE LINK THEORY AND PRACTICE?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
RUC-APS AIM
Support agriculture supply chain stakeholders decision-making once they face high uncertainty and risk
THE QUESTION TO AGRICULTURE STAKEHOLDERS (RUC-APS validated)
Considering any uncertain situation you normally face, what are the most relevant aspects you consider in order to make decision over which a good or bad decision will affect positively or negatively the sector?
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method
• Primary data collected from survey to agriculture stakehodlersexperts during 2016-2017 in order establish the key set of criteria.
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Introduce the production to more stable markets
Increase the profit
Have a good life by doing farming
Mechanise and reduce the costs
Establish a formal selling point
Have quick and reliable access to information
Increase access to market information
Planning the Production
Increase the homogeneity of production (quality and volume)
Mechanize production
Have a contract
Provide and produce what is required by the market
Cropping planning regarding to the market
Get High quality support
Add value to production
Sustainable access to knowledge exchange
Count to with high quality vegetable varieties
Reduce wastes
Provide ICT’s to rural sectors
Provide logistics/transport access
Reduce seasonality of production
Automated irrigation system
That the profitability of the vegetable business generates income for the family's luxury
That the rural roads are of good quality
Mechanise specialisation
Technology implementation
Get technical assistance
Verbal or written business relationship
Planting programming
Programming pre-known planting
Anticipate harvest period
Have good source information, safe and reliable
Short-term analysis
Activities such as field days, agricultural fairs and exploitation
Many Criteria required to be classified an prioritised
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method
• Primary data collected from survey to agriculture stakeholders experts during 2016-2018 to select Key criteria and Alternatives.
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
ALT1: Offer flexible decision support system tools for different sectors
ALT2: Mentoring Farmers for business and entrepreneurship
ALT3: enhance the use of digital information systems for farmers training
ALT4: Provide assessment services to farmers to improve food safety and
implement a quality control system
ALT5: Create a collaborative group dealing with regulations rules and law aspects
in collaboration with agri-food stakeholders and public administration.
International Top 6 ranked criteria's
International Top 5 ranked alternatives
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Method• Primary data collected from focus groups meetings with stakeholders
during 2017-2018 to evaluate the selected criteria – within a view on uncertainties in regulations
Valencia, Spain20 stakeholders
Metaponto, Italy30 stakeholders
La Plata, Argentina25 stakeholders
Liskeard, UK15 stakeholders
Santiago, Chile21 stakeholders
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterationsReach theoretical consistency wasDifficult, so 0.2 was accepted.
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterationsReach theoretical consistency wasDifficult, so 0.2 was accepted.
SIMILAR BEHAVIOUR SIMILAR BEHAVIOURC1
Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
Very consistent
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterations – International view
ALL EU SA
C1 16% 12% 29%
C2 24% 24% 14%
C3 18% 9% 23%
C4 15% 21% 11%
C5 8% 15% 7%
C6 19% 20% 16%
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Results – two iterations – International view
ALL EU SA
C1 16% 12% 29%
C2 24% 24% 14%
C3 18% 9% 23%
C4 15% 21% 11%
C5 8% 15% 7%
C6 19% 20% 16%
C1Introduce the production
to more stable markets
C2 Increase the profit
C3Have a good life by doing
farming
C4Mechanise and reduce
the costs
C5Establish a formal selling
point
C6Have quick and reliable
access to information
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
Altarnatives Chile Argentina Italy UK Spain
ALT1 20.170% 17.166% 23.029% 9.760% 6.217%
ALT2 19.965% 24.469% 19.704% 27.808% 20.663%
ALT3 24.040% 32.441% 23.883% 17.774% 21.875%
ALT4 17.398% 11.581% 12.852% 24.763% 27.023%
ALT5 29.429% 18.128% 19.566% 25.600% 28.305%
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
Alternatives Chile pts
ALT5 0.294294 5ALT3 0.240404 4ALT1 0.201704 3ALT2 0.199653 2
ALT4 0.173977 1
Altarnatives Argentina pts
ALT3 0.324413 5ALT2 0.24469 4ALT5 0.181279 3ALT1 0.171658 2
ALT4 0.115813 1
Alternatives Italy ptsALT3 0.238827 5
ALT1 0.230289 4ALT2 0.197042 3
ALT5 0.195661 2ALT4 0.128521 1
Alternatives UK pts
ALT2 0.278084 5ALT5 0.255997 4ALT4 0.247632 3ALT3 0.177738 2
ALT1 0.097599 1
Alternatives Spain ptsALT5 0.283046 5
ALT4 0.270225 4ALT3 0.218745 3
ALT2 0.206633 2ALT1 0.062171 1
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
ALT1: Offer flexible decision support system tools for different sectors
ALT2: Mentoring Farmers for business and entrepreneurship
ALT3: enhance the use of digital information systems for farmers training
ALT4: Provide assessment services to farmers to improve food safety and
implement a quality control system
ALT5: Create a collaborative group dealing with regulations rules and law aspects
in collaboration with agri-food stakeholders and public administration.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
ALT1: Offer flexible decision support system tools for different sectors
ALT2: Mentoring Farmers for business and entrepreneurship
ALT3: enhance the use of digital information systems for farmers training
ALT4: Provide assessment services to farmers to improve food safety and
implement a quality control system
ALT5: Create a collaborative group dealing with regulations rules and law aspects
in collaboration with agri-food stakeholders and public administration.
Chile Argentina Italy UK Spain
ALT3 4 5 5 2 3 19
ALT5 5 3 2 4 5 19
ALT2 2 4 3 5 2 16
ALT1 3 2 4 1 1 11
ALT4 1 1 1 3 4 10
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Considering the evaluation of each alternative for each criteria
ALT1: Offer flexible decision support system tools for different sectors
ALT2: Mentoring Farmers for business and entrepreneurship
ALT3: enhance the use of digital information systems for farmers training
ALT4: Provide assessment services to farmers to improve food safety and
implement a quality control system
ALT5: Create a collaborative group dealing with regulations rules and law aspects
in collaboration with agri-food stakeholders and public administration.
Chile Argentina Italy UK Spain
ALT3 4 5 5 2 3 19
ALT5 5 3 2 4 5 19
ALT2 2 4 3 5 2 16
ALT1 3 2 4 1 1 11
ALT4 1 1 1 3 4 10
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
GRAI - Graphs with Results and Actions Inter-related
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-FoodValue Chains
Sowing Material Choice
Breeding Strategy
Sowing Strategy
Experimental Design
Crop Management
Yield Evaluation
Product quality
analysis
Material Selection
Commercial Activity
International regulations
Breeding CroppingCommercialisation
FoodSafety
Breeding
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
Breeding
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Sowing Material Choice
Breeding Strategy
Sowing Strategy
Experimental Design
Crop Management
Yield Evaluation
Product quality analysis
Material Selection
Commercial Activity
International regulations
Strategic decisions
Tactic Decisions
Operational decisions
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-FoodValue Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-FoodValue Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
60
46
80
93
00
13
92
01
85
40
23
16
02
77
80
32
40
03
70
20
41
64
04
62
60
50
88
05
55
00
60
12
06
47
40
69
36
07
39
80
78
60
08
32
20
87
84
09
24
60
97
08
01
01
70
01
06
32
01
10
94
01
15
56
01
20
18
01
24
80
01
29
42
01
34
04
01
38
66
01
43
28
01
47
90
01
52
52
01
57
14
01
61
76
01
66
38
01
71
00
01
75
62
01
80
24
01
84
86
01
89
48
01
94
10
01
98
72
02
03
34
02
07
96
02
12
58
02
17
20
02
21
82
02
26
44
02
31
06
02
35
68
02
40
30
02
44
92
02
49
54
02
54
16
02
58
78
02
63
40
02
68
02
02
72
64
02
77
26
02
81
88
02
86
50
02
91
12
02
95
74
03
00
36
03
04
98
03
09
60
03
14
22
03
18
84
03
23
46
03
28
08
03
32
70
03
37
32
03
41
94
03
46
56
03
51
18
0
TotalQuality AccumulativeAverage
84,11%
77,44%
58,65%56,33%
82,65%87,15%
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
International
Union for the
Protection of
New Varieties of
Plants
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
60
12
30
02
45
40
36
78
04
90
20
61
26
07
35
00
85
74
09
79
80
11
02
20
12
24
60
13
47
00
14
69
40
15
91
80
17
14
20
18
36
60
19
59
00
20
81
40
22
03
80
23
26
20
24
48
60
25
71
00
26
93
40
28
15
80
29
38
20
30
60
60
31
83
00
33
05
40
34
27
80
UPOVrules
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
60
12
30
02
45
40
36
78
04
90
20
61
26
07
35
00
85
74
09
79
80
11
02
20
12
24
60
13
47
00
14
69
40
15
91
80
17
14
20
18
36
60
19
59
00
20
81
40
22
03
80
23
26
20
24
48
60
25
71
00
26
93
40
28
15
80
29
38
20
30
60
60
31
83
00
33
05
40
34
27
80
Seedstoragecriteria
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
60
12
30
02
45
40
36
78
04
90
20
61
26
07
35
00
85
74
09
79
80
11
02
20
12
24
60
13
47
00
14
69
40
15
91
80
17
14
20
18
36
60
19
59
00
20
81
40
22
03
80
23
26
20
24
48
60
25
71
00
26
93
40
28
15
80
29
38
20
30
60
60
31
83
00
33
05
40
34
27
80
sowexecution
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
60
12
30
02
45
40
36
78
04
90
20
61
26
07
35
00
85
74
09
79
80
11
02
20
12
24
60
13
47
00
14
69
40
15
91
80
17
14
20
18
36
60
19
59
00
20
81
40
22
03
80
23
26
20
24
48
60
25
71
00
26
93
40
28
15
80
29
38
20
30
60
60
31
83
00
33
05
40
34
27
80
Pesticideselected
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Row Labelsbreedercommertial managerfield technicianlab technicianworker
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
breeder62%
commertialmanager
3%
fieldtechnician20%
labtechnician1%
worker14%
%PRESENCEINTHEBREEDINGPROCESS
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
CommercialManager0% Breeder
12%
Worker28%
FieldTechnician53%
LabTechnician17%
Time%Distribution
CommercialManager Breeder Worker FieldTechnician LabTechnician1
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-Food Value Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Posibles soluciones
Breeding based decision-making in Agri-FoodValue Chains
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
System dynamics
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
The Horticulture System Dynamic model
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Breeding
Producers
Food Safety
Logistics
Pricing
Quality
Regulations
Market demand
Technology Transfer
Pesticide
Labors
Uncertainties
The Horticulture System Dynamic model
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Causal-loop diagram for the food safety required conditions
Weather
control level
Pest level
Right region
locationGreenhouse
usagecost
Cropprotection
levelSoil Surface
explotation level
Soil nutrition
level
NPK
level
Irrigation
level
Pest impact
level
farmer preferences
accuracy
Chemical
products usage
conventional
usageOrganicusage
Crop selection
certainty
Fertiliser
usage
N
P
K
Contamination level
Fertilizarion
level NO3NH4
Food-safety
level
Heavy metal
levels
Uncertainty in
Water safety
Pesticide usage
level
Biological
control level
Agriculture farmer
knowledge level
MaximumPesticide
residual limitminimumtime to get
the fieldwithout
protection
Time betweenpesticide
appliaction andharvest
Chemical control
Global GAP
Level of production
quality standards
Registration of
sowing
Registration of
transplantationsSales
registration
Production and
yield registration
Pesticide usage
registrationPesticide
Warehouse qualityPesticide Warehouse
availability
trainning quality level
Management
quality
Sanitation
Food safety trainning
Food Handling
Pestice application
and management
First aid management
Production
Quality standard
Sales
Fertiliser
quality
+
++ + +
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
++ + +
+ +
++
+
+
++
+
--
-
+
+
+
-
+
++
+ -
+
+
-+
+
+
+
++
+
-
-
-
-
++
+-
-
+ +
+
+
+ +
+
+++
+
+
+
+ +
+
+
+
+
+
-
-
-
-
+
+
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Food Safety
Food Safety
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Causal-loop diagram for the food safety required conditions
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Food Safety
Food Safety
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Causal-loop diagram for the food safety required conditions
Food Safety
Unit Variable English version
years Agriculture farmer, knowledge level
Unit/ha soil Biological control level
mg/Kg soil Pesticide usage level
L/ d Irrigation level
yes or no Wheatear control level
infest/ha soil Pest level
mg N-P-K/ha soil NPK level
Kg Nitrogen/ ha soil N
Kg Phosphorus/ha soil P
Kg Potassium/ha soil K
Kg Nitrogen/ha + Kg Phosphorus/ha + Kg Potassium/ha soil Soil Nutrition level
% C soil content Right region location
m2/ha soil Greenhouse usage
Unit/$ Cost
% yield/ha soil Pest impact level
% soil erosion Soil surface exploitation level
mg pesticide/ha soil Crop protection level
yes or no Farmer preference accuracy
Total kg NPK/ha soil Fertilizer usage
variety/ha soil/season Crop selection certainty
mg chemical/ha soil Chemical product usage
m2/ha soil/season Conventional usage
m2/ha soil/season Organic usage
mg pesticide residue /kg soil Maximum residue level
N° applications/ days Time between pesticide application and harvest
days/season Minimum time to get the field without protection
mg pesticide residue/kg soil Chemical control
mg Pesticide residue/ lt water Uncertainty in water safety
kg fertilizer/ha soil Fertilization level
mg heavy metal/kg soil Heavy metal level
mg NH4 /kg soil NH4
mg NO3 /kg soil NO3
mg contamination /kg soil Contamination level
% (nutrient/ton fertilizer) Fertiliser quality
% (contamination/product) Food safety level
% (GAP/production) Level of production quality standards
% achievement GAP Global GAP
% (quality/storage) Pesticide Warehouse quality
% availabilty Pesticide Warehouse availability
% records Production and yield registration
% records Registration of transplantation
% (sales/ production) Sales registration
% registration Registration of sowing
% records Pesticide usage registration
% GAP/production Production quality standards
Unit/ $ Sales
% (training/production) Training quality level
% (application/regulations) Pesticide application and management
% (handling/ production) Food Handling
% First aid management
% (sanitation/proccess) Sanitation
% (GAP/production) Management quality
% training Training quality level
14/06/2017
ANALYSIS OF EVERY VARIABLE&
IDENTIFICATION OF DECISION ELEMENTS
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Causal-loop diagram for the food safety required conditionsFood Safety
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Producers
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Producers
Causal-loop diagram for the producers
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Producers
Producers
Causal-loop diagram for the producers
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Venta de hortalizasAlmacenamiento y
distribucion
Calidad de la hortaliza
Precio hortaliza
Disponibilidad de
nutrientes
Uso de Plaguicida
Inocuidad
Eficiencia manejo
fitosanitarioExigencia del
consumidorRiesgo por exposicion
Pago valor
agregado
Mejoramiento
genetico
Potencial maximo
de rendimiento
Mano de obraVolumen hortaliza
Rendimiento
Produccion
Disponibilidad de
insumos
Ajuste ventana
comercial
Disponibilidad de
recursos
Recursos
economicos
Superficie cultivable
disponible
Adaptacion
cambio climatico
Disponibilidad
hidrica
Costo
produccion
Nivel de
tecnificacion
Transferencia
tecnologica
Mecanizacion
Nivel de
contrato
Nivel de
conocimiento del
mercado
Seleccion
idonea del
cultivoNivel de manejo
agronomico
Incertidumbre del
mercado
Incertidumbre
ambiental
Producto innocuo
Sustentabilidad del
medio ambiente
MIP
LMR
Decision adecuada
del gobierno
Salud del
consumidor
Nivel de consumo de
alimentos limpiosRiesgo deenfermedades
transmitidas poralimentos
Costo mano de
obra
Costo de
mecanizacion
Capacitacion
Costo de
capacitacion
Inocuidad
quimica
<Mecanizacion> <Rendimiento>
<Disponibilidad
hidrica>
<Adaptacion
cambio climatico>
<Mecanizacion>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Nivel de manejo
agronomico>
<Transferencia
tecnologica>
<Ajuste ventana
comercial>
Demanda dehortaliza para
consumo fresconivel nacional
<MIP>
<Uso de Plaguicida>
Nivel de recursos
economicos del
consumidor
Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales
Calidad en
etiquetados
campania de
informacion del
gobierno
Nivel de gusto y
preferencia del
consumidor
<Nivel de conocimiento
de beneficios
nutricionales>
<Exigencia del
consumidor>
Producers
Producers
Causal-loop diagram for the producers
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Discrete event simulation
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Discrete-Event Simulation to support precission Farming decisión-Makingprocess in Basilicata - Italy
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Discrete-Event Simulation to support precission Farming decision-Makingprocess in Basilicata - Italy
Challenges/Requirements
• Understand current capacity levels.
• Find better ways to perform the operations in the greenhouse.
• Identify key bottlenecks in the systems.
• Evaluate potential scenarios for improvement.
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Discrete-Event Simulation to support precission Farming decisión-Makingprocess in Basilicat - Italy
Conveyors
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Scenario 1 – Number of Operators vs Conveyors utilization
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Scenario 1 – Number of Operators vs System utilization
100%
ScenarioConveyor
sUTIL
crop
.Maximu
m
Arrivals
Operator
.QuantityFx_OUT
38 106 7 2 5
39 106 7 3 5
40 106 7 4 5
41 106 7 5 5
42 106 7 6 5
111 106 7 7 5
112 106 7 8 5
113 106 7 9 5
114 106 7 10 5
192 106 20 2 5
193 106 20 3 5
194 106 20 4 5
195 106 20 5 5
196 106 20 6 5
197 106 20 7 5
198 106 20 8 5
199 106 20 9 5
200 106 20 10 5
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Scenario 2 – Number of Operators vs crops arrival – Processed crops
61
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Scenario 2 – Number of Operators vs crops arrival – Processed crops
61
Scenario Fx_OUT
crop
.Maximum
Arrivals
Operator
.Quantity
9 44 20 19
13 61 6 12
14 61 6 20
29 61 6 10
42 44 20 13
45 44 20 17
52 61 6 8
53 44 20 3
58 44 20 15
64 61 6 6
71 61 6 9
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Final remarks
Modelling is just a tool.
Modelling tools helps to solver a problem an to find a solution….not
the opposite.
Innovation and open minds are required to excel modelling processes.
Academic Modelling is interesting…but has to useful and
understandable for stakeholders…
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Proposes PhD Research Topics
1. An integrated International Food Demand and Food Safety Framework
2. Collaborative Agri-Food Decision-Making supported by standardised cloud-based tools
3. Risk Management Strategies to decentralise Farmers Supply Chain Management
4. Standarised strategies balance Producer and Consumer Preferences to better mitigateand adapt to Climate Change
5. Business Management for fresh products packaging in international Agri-Food SupplyChains.
6. Collaborative strategies to established food Policy in Developing Countries while facingFood Crisis and uncertainty in cross-border regulations.
7. …
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
PUBLIC CONSULTATION
AGRI-FOOD VALUE CHAIN CHALLENGES
www.menti.com
35 22 87
RUC-APS YEAR 4 HIGHLIGHTS - #RUCAPS2020 – www.ruc-aps.eu
Enhancing and implementing Knowledge based ICT solutions within high Risk and Uncertain
Conditions for Agriculture Production Systems (RUC-APS)
May 12th to May 29th, 2020
www.ruc-aps.eu
#RUCAPS2020
RUC-APS ONLINE WORKSHOP
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