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Stephen Passmore
La-Palm Royal Beach Hotel Accra
15th September 2016
Introduction to resilience.io
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The Ecological Sequestration Trust
• UK Charity 2011 speed up and scale up transformative city-region development• Operate in space between private, public, knowledge and civil society sectors• Leading experts foster integrated systems thinking and collaborative approaches• Develop tools and demonstrators to support implementation of post 2030 agenda
National, city-region scale integrated systems platform
1) Build Open-source modelPopulation/processes
2) Develop scenariosTechnology/policy
3) Collaborate on solutions4) Generate results
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Practical value
• Social and Physical
• Data driven
• Evidence for investment
• Performance based procurement
• Metrics for SDG delivery
WASH prototype● Model development
● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io● 50 Process blocks developed that describe
input output, energy, material and labour● Computer modules built and tested
● ABM & RTN
● Three Use cases developedwith the GTG to demonstratefunctionality and benefits
● Visualisations for decision support andbasic user interface
● Data● 200 plus data sets collected
that describe WASH in GAMAas well as socio-economic, GIS,process and technology.
GAMA Technical Group
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June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May
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Month 2015-16
TEST/CA StaffGAMA Stakeholders
MLGRD “helps to consider the complexities and difficulties faced in planning and implementation of WASH sector”Private Sector “Can use resilience.io to better evaluate resilient initiatives and work in PPP to deliver new infrastructure around GAMA”
Very well received..MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model.
UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning
AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy
Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly
• 3 results workshops including live model runs– 97% think the resilience.io prototype is functional
– 71% think resilience.io is suitable to inform policy/investment decision making (high degree)
• Training and installation session– 90% like to be involved in further development & 100% like to use as part of their role/institution
• High level debut event– It’s a great thing for GAMA, a great thing for Ghana, and I believe it will be a great thing for
Africa Robert Ansah - AMA
1.1 Question: What technologies and capacity can meet future needs?
Additional treatment needs capacity
needs by 2025 : 200,000 m3/day
1.1 Question: How will the proposed system(s) affect other
sectors?
New desalination plant substantially
increases electricity needs:
350,000 kWh /day
1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
1.1 Question: What will be the cost and is it affordable?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
1.1 Question: What will be the cost for GAMA?
Population and Demands 2015 2025
Population 4.39 million 5.68 million
Faecal Sludge Generation 6,651 m3/day 8,708 m3/day
Waste-Water Treatment Needs 243 thousand m3/day 423 thousand m3/day
Public Decentralised (million USD) 2010-2015 2015-2025
Expenditure for treatment capacity 90 260
Expenditure for public toilets 42 192
Total Capital Costs 132 352
1.1 Question: Will it be affordable?
GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 (million USD) 2025 (million USD)
Total operational costs per year 55.6 80.5
Revenues from public toilet use 33.0 82.0
Costs per Citizen per year (USD) 12.7 11.6
GAMA – 15 MMDA values 2015 2025
Greenhouse emissions in tonnes per year 2011 7516
Total jobs for sewerage system 82 625
Key:Proposed plan of urban investment Traditional investment Quality assurance / evidence / technical support
Collaboratory• Independent • Cross sector• Quality assurance• Transparency• Procurement• Data in/output
UDIF• Investors: private equity,
pensions, impact investors, development banks
• Public, private or mix• Unlimited revolving fund• One major full cost loan
type to keep costs low• Local needs determine
transformational change
Implementing Entity
Projects
Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment
Municipalities
INVESTORS / FUNDERS e.g. GCF, Bonds, Private
LOCAL COLLABOR-
ATORY
Portfolio of projects
UDIF
ROI
Implementing Entity
Reduced project costSpeeding up delivery
design
#roadmap2030http://ecosequestrust.org/roadmap2030
• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector
• How to implement the urban agenda• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach
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