Proposed CGIAR Mega Program
Climate Change, Agriculture and
Food Security
Proposed CGIAR Mega Program
Climate Change, Agriculture and
Food Security
Bruce Campbell
Director
CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)
Bruce CampbellBruce Campbell
DirectorDirector
CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)
Outline1. Some history
2. Why work on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security?
3. Proposed R for D program
1. Some history
• 2002-2003 – Inter-centre working group on
climate change � Nairobi meeting; Challenge
Program proposal
• 2006-2007 – ESSP-CGIAR prepared new
proposal �Stakeholder meetings, regional
input �Bali COP announced
• 2009
• Funds: EU, CIDA, WB, Danida
• Hired staff
• Planning/implementation
And then……the New
• Major reforms
• All work to be conducted in “Mega Programs”
(MPs)
• Climate Change MP proposed (“MP7”)
• CCAFS asked to lead development
• CP likely to be rolled into MP
Our strategy
• Make everything we do relevant to the new
realities in the CGIAR
• E.g. High-level meeting with private sector
(don’t even mention CP – focus on climate
change and food security)
• Use on-going implementation to “test” the
proposals in the MP concept
MP proposal development process
• CCAFS Management Team meet (March)
• GCARD – MP presented to diverse
stakeholders (April)
• CGIAR Contact Point Meeting (April)
• Nairobi meeting (May)
– What are the priorities?
– Inputs into the implementation in the target
regions
2. Why a program on Climate Change,
Agriculture and Food Security?
Population Growth
60-70% more
food by 2050
Climate is likely to change for the worse in many
developing countries……………
CSIRO, A2, AR4
Precipitation change (mm, 2000-2050)
The suitability for crops will decline in
many areas……
2050Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS
“Unchecked climate change will result in a 20 percent
increase in malnourished children by 2050”
Gerald Nelson, IFPRI/CCAFS
We needWe needWe need
• Agriculture and food systems that are climate-
resilient
• Enhanced adaptive capacity
•• Agriculture and food systems that are climateAgriculture and food systems that are climate--
resilient resilient
•• Enhanced adaptive capacityEnhanced adaptive capacity
Agricultural Greenhouse Gases(Mt CO2-eq)
Source: Cool farming: Climate impacts of agriculture and mitigation potential, Greenpeace, 07 January 2008
We also need a climate-
friendly agriculture
But there is also an opportunity……
3. Proposed R4D program 3. Proposed R4D program
• Objectives
• Beneficiaries
• Thematic focus
• Objectives
• Beneficiaries
• Thematic focus
• Regional
implementation
• Partnerships
• Capacity development
• Regional
implementation
• Partnerships
• Capacity development
Proposed objectivesProposed objectives• To provide diagnosis and analysis to ensure the inclusion of agriculture in climate change policies
• To identify and develop pro-poor adaptation and mitigation practices, technologies and policies
•• To provide diagnosis and To provide diagnosis and
analysis to ensure the analysis to ensure the
inclusion of agriculture in inclusion of agriculture in
climate change policiesclimate change policies
•• To identify and develop To identify and develop
propro--poor adaptation and poor adaptation and
mitigation practices, mitigation practices,
technologies and policiestechnologies and policies
Resource-poor farmers
18
Urban poorUrban poor
Global public goodGlobal public good
Climate Variability and Change
Improved
Environmental
Benefits
Improved
Livelihoods
Improved
Food SecurityTrade-offs and synergies
1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate
Change
2. Adaptation Pathways for Current
Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviaition through
Mitigation
Technologies, practices,
policies and capacity
enhancement:
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making
Strategic ChoicesEnhanced adaptive
capacity in agricultural,
NRM & food systems
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices•Adapted farming systems for changing
climate conditions
•Strategies for breeding for future climatic
conditions
•Genetic diversity for increased resilience
and productivity
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices•Field-, farm- and community-level risk
management strategies
•Better management of food delivery,
trade and crisis response
•Climate-related information and services
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices
•Impacts of agricultural development
pathways
•On-farm mitigation practices and their
landscape-level implications
•Institutional arrangements and incentives
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices
•Scenarios to help planning under
uncertainty
•Data and tools for analysis and planning
•Outcomes of policy, program and
technology options
25
Regionalimplementation
Regionalimplementation
2010•West Africa•Eastern Africa•Indo-Gangetic plains
2010•West Africa•Eastern Africa•Indo-Gangetic plains
2011•2 more regions2012•3 more regions
2011•2 more regions2012•3 more regions
Partnerships for research and impact
Civil society
Private sector
Regional organisations (ag & climate)
NARES
NMS
ARIs
Climate science
that is
meaningful for
agricultural
planning and
development
Policies,
Institutions, and
Markets for
Enabling
Agricultural
Incomes for the
Poor
Forests and
trees
Water scarcity
and land
degradation
Sustainable rice,
wheat and maize
systems for
ensuring global
food security
Climate Change,
Agriculture and
Food Security
Capacity building � mainstreamed into
the delivery of outputs and outcomes
• E.g. Build a PhD
network to measure
GHGs
• E.g. Work together with
national and regional
agencies to inform
UNFCCC
Photos: Neil Palmer, Peter Cooper, Jim Hansen
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