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Berlin children wave to a blockade relief plane, 8 July 1948
President Truman and the Origins of the Cold WarBy Arnold A Offner
Last updated 2011-02-17
Did President Truman make fatal errors of judgment that precipitated the
world's slide into the Cold War?
What sort of statesman?
Harry S Truman became President of the United States on 12 April 1945, amidst profound concern about his
capacity for national or world leadership. He was untutored in foreign affairs, and knew nothing about the
complex diplomacy of his predecessor, Franklin D Roosevelt. At the same time the expedient Anglo-American
Soviet alliance - formed in oppos ition to Nazi Germany during World War Two - was growing strained over
Russian actions in eastern Europe, and over Allied policy differences towards a soon-to-be defeated
Germany.
...growing acclaim for his policies has overlooked the way in which his parochial ... outlook infused his
policy-making...
After seven years in office, in his last year in the White House, Republicans would charge that Truman's
administration had surrendered 15 countries and 500 million people to Communism, and sent 20,000Americans to their deaths in Korea. But the British Prime Minister, Winston Churchill, would tell the US
President that on the contrary it was he, more than anyone else, who had 'saved western civilisation' from
Soviet aggression. And Truman's biographers, such as the prominent Labour MP Roy Jenkins, subsequently
hailed him as a provincial politician who became a 'world statesman', and credited his administration w ith
forging the containment policy that ultimately brought the demise of the Soviet Union and Communism.
Undoubtedly, Truman profoundly shaped US foreign policy during 1945-53, and had great success regarding
postwar reconstruction in Europe and Japan. But growing acclaim for his po licies has overlooked the way in
which his parochial and nationalist outlook infused his policy-making, intensified Soviet-American conflict and
division in Europe, and led to tragic interventions in Asian civil wars that made America's Cold War 'victory'
exceedingly costly.
Early ideology
Born in
Missouri in
1884,
Truman was
encouraged
to read the
Bible from an
early age.
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Communist leaders Mao Tse-Tung (left) and Nikita Khrushchev, 11 Augu1958
This instilled in him the belief that 'punishment always follows transgression', a maxim he would apply to his
deliberations over North Korea and the People's Republic of China (PRC). His self-tutelage in history, based
on didactic Victorian biographies, instilled a belief that current events had precise historical analogues, and
this led him to apply inexact analogies about 1930s appeasement to postwar disputes w ith the Soviet Union
Thus the man who became US President in 1945 was less an incipient statesman than an intense
nationalist...
During World War One Truman bravely commanded troops in France, but he deplored European politics and
social mores, and vowed never to leave 'God's country' again. He identified with Woodrow W ilson and his
League of Nations, and as a senator during 1934-44 he supported neutrality revision, rearmament, Lend
Lease for Great Britain and the Soviet Union, and US membership in a United Nations.
His internationalism, however, rested heavily on military preparedness, he too quickly blamed international
conflict on 'outlaws' and 'totalitarians', and he hoped that Germany's invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941
would lead to mutual destruction, although he opposed a Nazi victory. Furthermore, he likened Russian
leaders to Hitler and Al Capone, and inveighed against the 'twin blights' of Atheism and Communism.
Thus the man who became US President in 1945 was less an incipient statesman than an intense nationalis
overly fearful that appeasement, lack of preparedness, and enemies at home and abroad would thwartAmerica's mission ('God's w ill') to win the post World War Two peace on its own terms.
Atomic power play
As plans were made for the division of power in the postwar world, Truman initially opposed any Anglo-
American ganging-up on the Russians, and sa id he would keep every agreement w ith them. But his desire to
appear decisive and tough spurred his belief that he could get 85 per cent of his own way out of every deal
with the Russians, and that if not, they could 'go to he ll'. Truman went to the Potsdam Conference in July
1945 to advance only American interests ('win, lose, or draw - and we must win'), and believed that the
atomic bomb was his 'ace-in-the hole'.
Truman viewed the US as the world's trustee for atomic power...
Thus rather than meet the Soviet claim, based on the Yalta accords, to about $10 billion in reparations from
Germany, the Pres ident insisted that each nation take reparations from its own zone in Germany. This deniethe Soviets access to the industrial Ruhr, but zonal reparations a lso augured economic-political division of
Germany.
American use of atomic bombs against Japan at Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945 was intended to
shorten the war and save lives. But Truman believed as well that the bombs would cause Japan to 'fold up'
before the Soviets entered the Pacific War, which would assure exclusive US occupation of Japan, and a
chance to negate concessions due the Russians in Manchuria. In effect, the prospect of political gain in
Europe and Asia precluded serious US thought of not using atomic bombs against Japan.
Truman viewed the US as the world's trustee for atomic power, sided w ith Cabinet advisers who thought
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America's technological genius assured its supremacy in an arms race, and proved as res istant in many way
as Joseph Stalin, who sought atomic parity, to international control of atomic energy. The Pres ident also
chided Secretary of State James Byrnes for reaching compromise accords in Moscow in December 1945 on
eastern Europe, Asia, and atomic power. The Russians understood only an iron fist, Truman said, and he wa
tired of babying them.
Tough on Russia
Truman began his 'get tough' policy in 1946 with strong protests against Russian troops in Iran, and denial
Soviet claims to share control of the Turkish Straits. The President also took at face value the 'Russian Repoproduced for him by White House aides. This was a series of questionable worst-case scenarios, which
suggested there was a Soviet desire for global conquest by subversion and force.
The administration skilfully built public support for vast US aid to Europe under the Marshall Plan...
Soon Great Britain announced that it was halting aid to Greece and Turkey - aid that had long been afforded
these countries, in order to protect vital British interests in the Mediterranean region.
This led to the presidents epochal statement to Congress in March 1947 that it was Americas duty to help
free peoples everywhere to res ist totalitarianism, and to his call for economic and military aid to Greece and
Turkey - resulting in the taking over of Britains former dominant role in the Mediterranean. In fact, this meansupporting Greeces right-wing-authoritarian government against its left-wing-republican opponents, and
also supporting Turkey, which was under no threat from any internal enemy or from Russia but was
considered strategically vital in the Mediterranean, and was useful in US war plans being developed in case
of hostilities there.
The Truman Doctrine may have been intended to rouse the public and Congress to national security
expenditures, but it ignored the complexity of Greece's civil war, vastly overstated the global-ideological
aspects of Soviet-American conflict, and set an unfortunate precedent for subsequent US interventions in
conflicts across the globe.
Truman's greatest success came after Secretary of State George Marshall invited Europe to forge its owneconomic recovery programme in 1947. The administration skilfully built public support for vast US aid to
Europe under the Marshall Plan, which, when implemented, spurred US-European trade and western
European recovery, integrated western Germany, and assuaged France. US financial and economic controls
precluded Moscow's taking part, however, which led the Russians to crack down on eastern Europe and
enabled Truman to blame them for the Cold War.
The President also defeated Stalin's 1948 blockade of western Berlin, intended to block formation of the
Federal Republic of Germany (FRG), with an airlift of supplies into the city. Truman refused to w ithdraw US
occupation troops from Berlin - and he was not prepared to prompt war over the blockade either, or to
transfer pres idential control of atomic weapons to the military.
Eventually, his steadfast moderation forced Stalin to accept a diplomatic end to the Berlin blockade in 1949,
while the US now joined with 11 European nations to form its first peacetime a lliance, the North Atlantic
Treaty Organisation (NATO), which the FRG joined in 1955. Meanwhile, the Soviets fostered the German
Democratic Republic (GDR), which joined the Warsaw Pact in 1956.
Confronting China
Truman's containment strategy proved less successful in Asia. Although America's exclusive occupation of
Japan promoted parliamentary government, economic productivity, and then sovereignty in 1952, under the
umbrella of US forces stationed there, US policies in China and Korea brought grave consequences.
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Thus the matrix was set for long-term, hostile policy towards the PRC well before Sino-American conflic
in Korea.
Truman initially assumed neutrality in the postwar conflict in China between Jiang Jieshi's Guomindang (GMD
- which he regarded as the world's 'rottenest' government - and Mao Zedong and the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP), whom he derided as bandits. But Truman could not perceive China's civil war apart from the
Soviet-American Cold War, and he fatally flawed General Marshall's mediation mission in 1946 by continuing
military aid to the GMD, despite its intransigence in negotiations with the CCP.
The President refused to deal with the rising CCP, and then approved the State Department's 1949 White
Paper, which detailed US aid to the GMD to show that policymakers had not 'lost' China. But it also challenge
the CCP's legitimacy to govern, and called on the Chinese people to throw off their Communist yoke, and to
resist serving Russian interests. Truman would not recognise the PRC, denied its presumptive right to rule
Taiwan, and backed GMD bombing campaigns and economic warfare from that island. Thus the matrix was s
for long-term, hostile policy towards the PRC well before Sino-American conflict in Korea.
Escalation
Truman bo ldly intervened with US forces in June 1950 to thwart North Korea's attack on South Korea, a
sovereign, UN-recognised state. He also gained UN sanction to restore peace in Korea. But his despatch of
the Seventh Fleet to the Taiwan Straits s ignalled renewed involvement in China's civil war, and soon hepublicly escalated a 'police action' in Korea into a major issue of American security and world peace. Then his
decision in September to send US/UN forces across the 38th parallel to destroy or punish the North Korean
regime, and to unify North and South Korea by military means, escalated the war from containment to
'rollback'.
...Truman would agree only to consult before using atomic weapons...
The President dismissed as blackmail PRC warnings that the advance of US troops towards its borders woul
cause it to enter the war in Korea, but then found himself forced to w itness America's bitter retreat. Then a
hasty remark - where he indicated that use of the atomic bomb was always under consideration - caused
British leaders to fly to Washington to preclude atomic war, and to assert that PRC leaders could be Marxistand nationalist, while not bowing to Stalin. Despite their arguments, Truman would agree only to consult
before using atomic weapons, and he insisted that China's new leaders were complete satellites of Russia,
who sought to conquer Asia.
Truman recognised the need to settle the war in Korea, but he would not compromise w ith the PRC, and he
pressed the UN to brand it an aggressor. Then his refusal to abide by the Geneva Convention of 1949, whic
called for compulsory exchange of all prisoners of war, and his insistence on voluntary repatriation, intended
to embarrass the PRC, delayed a settlement until President Dwight Eisenhower gained one in 1953.
Outcome
Truman's intervention preserved South Korea's independence and enhanced the UN's collective security
prestige. But his later action led to US-PRC conflict, embittered relations for a generation, and set the s tage
for long-term political-military commitments to South Korea, to the GMD on Taiwan, and to France waging wa
in Indochina. Further, America's military budget nearly quadrupled between 1950 and 1953, the President's
domestic programme lay in shambles, and McCarthyism was rampant nationally.
...there is no evidence that he intended to move his Red Army west of its agreed occupation zones...
It is certainly the case that World War Two generated complex problems, and led to the US and the USSR,
with entirely different political-economic systems, confronting one another across war-torn continents. It is
also certain that Stalin was a brutal dictator, although there is no evidence that he intended to move his Re
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Army west of its agreed occupation zones, and he always put Soviet state interests ahead of his desire to
spread Communist ideology.
So it was inevitable that Truman's policy-making would reflect a desire to assure US access to vital resource
and markets, and to avert appeasement in the face of Stalin's harsh realpolitikand pressure for security. But
from the Potsdam Conference to the Korean War, Truman insisted that either the Soviet Union or the PRC
was at the root of every problem in the world.
He also assumed the superiority of US values and institutions, which meant he could order the world on
American terms. And he promoted a politics and ideology of confrontation that revealed a lack of presidentia
leadership to move the US away from Cold War conflict and toward dtente.
Find out more
Books
Friends and Enemies: The United States, China, and the Soviet Union, 1948-1971 by Gordon H Chang (Stanford
University Press, 1991)
Harry S Truman: A Life by Robert H Ferrell (University of Missouri Press, 1996)
We Now Know: Rethinking Cold War History by John Lew is Gaddis (Oxford University Press , 1998)
Man of the People: A Life of Harry S Truman by Alonzo L Hamby (Oxford University Press, USA, 1998)
Origins of Containment: A Psychological Explanationby Deborah Welch Larson (Princeton University Press,
1985)
A Preponderance of Power: National Security, the Truman Administration, and the Cold Warby Melvyn P Leffler
(Stanford University Press, 1992)
Trumanby David McCullough (Simon and Schuster, 1993)
On Every Front: The Making and Unmaking of the Cold Warby TG Paterson (WW Norton , 1994)
Harry S Truman: Fair Dealer and Cold Warriorby William E Pemberton (Twayne, 1989)
About the author
Arnold A Offner is Cornelia F Hugel Professor of History at Lafayette College, Pennsylvania, and a past
President of the Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations. He is author of numerous books,
includingAnother Such Victory: President Truman and the Cold War, 1945-1953(Stanford University Press,
2002) andAmerican Appeasement: United States Foreign Policy and Germany, 1933-1938(Harvard University
Press , 1969). He is currently writing a biography of Senator Hubert H Humphrey.
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