Download - Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

Transcript
Page 1: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

Phil Steele Plus WEEK 04

Inside the Pressbox

UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet

H Texas (+) over TCUHIGH SCORING POW

H (Over 52) Ohio / Cincinnati

Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK

OTHER WK 4 MATCHUPS:NC Central at DukeMaine at Central Michigan

Gardner-Webb at Appalachian StIllinois St at Colorado StDuquesne at Hawaii

McNeese at BYUTexas Southern at Houston

H

HHH

H

H

H

379 TCU 3:30 p.m. 380 H TEXAS 381 ARMY 3:30 p.m. 382 OKLAHOMA 383 LOUISIANA TECH 3:30 p.m.384 LSU 385 KANSAS 3:30 p.m.386 BAYLOR 387 SOUTH CAROLINA 3:30 p.m. 388 VANDERBILT 389 SOUTH ALABAMA 3:30 p.m. 390 MEMPHIS 391 AIR FORCE 3:30 p.m.392 UTAH STATE 393 NEW MEXICO ST 3:30 p.m. 394 UTEP 395 TEXAS ST 3:30 p.m.396 UTSA 397 TROY 3:30 p.m.398 ULM 399 VIRGINIA TECH 6:00 p.m.400 ODU 401 NORTH TEXAS 6:00 p.m.402 LIBERTY 403 H GEORGIA 7:00 p.m.404 MISSOURI 405 TEXAS A&M 7:00 p.m.406 ALABAMA 407 WISCONSIN 8:00 p.m.408 IOWA 409 ARIZONA ST 10:00 p.m.410 WASHINGTON 411 EASTERN MICHIGAN 10:30 p.m. CBSC 412 SAN DIEGO ST

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 20thOfficial - recOrds -rOtatiOn # all times are et. tV statiOns & times subject tO change

303 TULSA 7:30 p.m. 304 TEMPLE

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 21st305 FAU 7:00 p.m.306 UCF307 PENN ST 9:00 p.m.308 ILLINOIS309 WASHINGTON ST 10:30 p.m.310 USC

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 22nd311 AKRON 12:00 p.m.312 IOWA ST 313 NC STATE 12:00 p.m.314 H MARSHALL 315 CHARLOTTE 12:00 p.m. 316 MASSACHUSETTS 317 MICHIGAN ST 12:00 p.m.318 INDIANA 319 MINNESOTA 12:00 p.m.320 MARYLAND 321 WKU 12:00 p.m.322 BALL ST 323 BOSTON COLLEGE 12:00 p.m.324 PURDUE 325 CONNECTICUT 12:00 p.m.326 SYRACUSE 327 FIU 12:00 p.m.328 MIAMI FL 329 PITTSBURGH 12:00 p.m.330 NORTH CAROLINA 331 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 12:00 p.m.332 FLORIDA ST333 MIAMI OH 12:00 p.m.334 BOWLING GREEN335 TULANE 12:00 p.m.336 OHIO ST

337 H CLEMSON 12:00 p.m.338 GEORGIA TECH 339 H OHIO 12:00 p.m.340 H CINCINNATI 341 H EAST CAROLINA 12:00 p.m.342 USF 343 NOTRE DAME 12:00 p.m.344 WAKE FOREST 345 NEVADA 12:00 p.m.346 H TOLEDO 347 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m.348 VIRGINIA 349 WESTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m.350 GEORGIA ST 351 BUFFALO 12:00 p.m.352 RUTGERS 353 ARIZONA 3:00 p.m.354 OREGON ST 355 STANFORD 3:00 p.m.356 OREGON 357 FLORIDA 3:30 p.m.358 TENNESSEE 359 MISSISSIPPI ST 3:30 p.m.360 KENTUCKY 361 NEBRASKA 3:30 p.m.362 MICHIGAN 363 KANSAS ST 3:30 p.m. 364 WEST VIRGINIA 365 KENT ST 3:30 p.m.366 MISSISSIPPI 367 RICE 3:30 p.m.368 SOUTHERN MISS 369 ARKANSAS 3:30 p.m.370 AUBURN 371 TEXAS TECH 3:30 p.m.372 OKLAHOMA ST373 NAVY 3:30 p.m.374 SMU 375 COASTAL CAROLINA 3:30 p.m.376 LOUISIANA 377 UNLV 3:30 p.m.378 ARKANSAS ST

HIGH SCORING

POW

Upset POW

Page 2: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 97 9/1 38-27 W 83 107 112 0-0 0-0 109 9/1 17-19 L 101 52 651-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 100 114 9/8 21-28 L 76 108 112 27 13 32 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/8 29-36 L 102 54 65 85 109 1251-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 102 97 9/15 20-29 L 78 124 111 38 87 55 0-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 101 109 9/15 35-14 W 106 72 85 37 46 721-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 98 106 9/20 104 115 109 110 67 111 #39 #117 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 106 98 9/20 110 67 111 104 115 109

9/29 #107 #68 3-0 1-0 121 9/29 9 22 1202-1 0-0 107 10/4 42 57 43 #89 #108 1-1 0-0 92 10/6 108 112 1083-0 0-0 107 10/12 49 74 88 #93 #88 2-1 1-0 106 10/13 39 109 871-2 0-0 98 10/20 47 54 63 #100 #21 3-0 0-0 103 10/20 112 66 531-2 0-0 100 10/27 43 99 64 #87 #63 10/271-2 0-1 84 11/3 122 130 76 #54 #53 2-0 1-0 112 11?1 19 83 622-1 0-1 117 11/10 16 81 19 #72 #50 2-1 0-0 107 11/10 42 57 432-1 1-0 106 11/17 39 109 87 #85 #58 3-0 0-0 107 11/17 49 74 880-3 0-0 92 11/24 102 102 123 #91 #21 1-2 0-1 84 11/24 122 130 76

#80 #86-4 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Central Arkansas 38-27 223 9 -1 25 63-274 4.3 15-24 196 4 16 32-82 2.6 17-25 165 1 Villanova 17-19 -154 -10 -1 16 22-46 2.1 19-33 205 1 26 37-151 4.1 29-40 254 2at Texas 21-28 -125 -7 -1 17 38-189 5.0 13-26 164 0 24 47-241 5.1 21-27 237 0 Buffalo 29-36 -72 -11 -2 16 29-115 4.0 17-38 240 2 27 41-152 3.7 26-45 275 0 Arkansas St 20-29 -66 -5 -2 19 42-167 4.0 19-27 172 4 24 49-214 4.4 20-33 191 3 at Maryland 35-14 234 10 1 21 52-165 3.2 16-28 264 0 11 31-132 4.3 8-21 63 7at Temple Tulsa Bye at Boston Collegeat Houston East Carolina USF at Navyat Arkansas Cincinnati Tulane Bye Connecticut at UCFat Memphis at Houstonat Navy USF SMU at Connecticut

Average 26-28 10.7 -1.0 -1.3 20 48-210 4.4 61.0% 177 10.4% 21 43-179 4.2 68.2% 198 4.7% Average 27-23 2.7 -3.7 -0.7 18 34-109 3.2 52.5% 236 3.0% 21 36-145 4.0 59.4% 197 8.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 21-28 -125.0 -7.0 -1.0 17 38-189 5.0 50.0% 164 0.0% 24 47-241 5.1 77.8% 237 0.0% Home 23-28 -113.0 -10.5 -1.5 16 26-81 3.2 50.7% 223 4.2% 27 39-152 3.9 64.7% 265 2.4%

Central Arkansas Luke Skipper 15-24-196-2-0 Shamari Brooks 27-129-4.8-2 Keenen Johnson 2-63-31.5-0 Villanova Frank Nutile 18-32-185-1-2 Ryquell Armstead 14-31-2.2-0 Branden Mack 7-78-11.1-0at Texas Luke Skipper 12-24-153-1-2 Shamari Brooks 22-66-3.0-2 Keylon Stokes 3-62-20.7-0 Buffalo Frank Nutile 15-31-216-3-2 Ryquell Armstead 14-107-7.6-0 Randle Jones 2-50-25.0-1 Arkansas St Luke Skipper 19-27-172-1-1 Shamari Brooks 21-115-5.5-0 Keylon Stokes 6-49-8.2-0 vs. at Maryland Anthony Russo 15-25-228-1-1 Ryquell Armstead 26-118-4.5-0 Freddie Johnson 3-86-28.7-1at Temple Tulsa Bye at Boston Collegeat Houston vs. East Carolina USF at Navyat Arkansas Cincinnati Tulane vs. Bye Connecticut at UCFat Memphis at Houstonat Navy vs. USF SMU at Connecticut

vs.

Luke Skipper 46-75-521-4-3 Shamari Brooks 70-310-4.4-4 Keenen Johnson 11-159-14.5-1 Frank Nutile 33-63-401-4-4 Ryquell Armstead 54-256-4.7-0 Branden Mack 13-155-11.9-2Keenen Johnson 1-2-11-0-0 Corey Taylor 36-163-4.5-1 Keylon Stokes 10-115-11.5-0 vs. Anthony Russo 17-29-252-1-1 Rob Ritrovato 15-39-2.6-1 Ventell Bryant 12-131-10.9-0

Luke Skipper 29-109-3.8-1 Justin Hobbs 6-96-16.0-1 Todd Centeio 2-3-56-1-0 Jager Gardner 13-25-1.9-0 Freddie Johnson 4-98-24.5-1Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulsa - 57 22 25 54-314

Temple - -3.5 43 20 34-193 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulsa - 58 24 24 50-178

Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2

vs.

vs.

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Byeat UCFat Houston USF

Position by Position Edges

Temple QB/WR

0.96

0.12

Tulsa RB's

Temple By 0.7

Temple 415-325

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Temple RB's

0.67

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Temple 30 Tulsa 23

Temple 32-20

By 0.14 Points

Temple

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Receiving

Tulsa Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Temple OwlsOwls LogsGolden Hurricane Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

1-2vs. AAC

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Temple by 7

1.50

Tulsa LB'S

Temple By 7

56.5 Points

Temple By 11.5

Byeat Houston USFat Arkansas

Central Arkansasat Texas Arkansas Stat Temple

1-2vs. AAC

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Tuls

a G

old

en H

urr

ican

e

Tem

ple

Ow

ls

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

154 yards15-31-294

NCAA RANKINGS2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Tulsa

Rush Off

Temple

Pass Off

21-36-260

Comp-Att-Yds

6-19-55

21-29-258

Comp-Att-Yds

SMU

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

81

Tulsa

Temple

3.12

96Experience Rankings

Tulsa 189 yards

Tulsa Temple

0.75

Temple LB's

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOE

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing172 yards

Team & Margin

225 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Tulsa DB's

Temple

0-00-0

at Boston College East Carolinaat Navy Cincinnati

Villanova Buffaloat Maryland Tulsa

at Connecticut

Tulsa Pts

Temple Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Tulsa

Temple Leaders

Temple is 2-0 in their AAC meetings. Last year’s game was the regular season finale and the Owls needed a win to reach a bowl. Temple allowed a season low 55 pass yards in the 21-point road win (-3’). Philip Montgomery is 10-3 ATS as an AD only losing to Texas by 7 this year and Tulsa has a bye on deck while Geoff Collins is 0-5 ATS as a HF with 3 outright losses. Last year the Owls got off to a slow start and finished strong. This year they lost outright at home to Villanova and Buffalo but even without QB Frank Nutile they dominated Maryland on the road with a commanding 429-195 yard edge. Tulsa played Ark St tough at home last week and RB Shamari Brooks has rushed for 310 yards (4.4) with Corey Taylor adding 163 (4.5) in just 3 games. Tulsa has played to an average game grade of 83.1 and Temple to just 80.3. While my computer is calling for a 12-point Temple win the yards say it will be closer and the angles say Tulsa as well. I will call for the home team by 7.

0.85

0.38

0.63

Tulsa OL

0.24

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Temple DLTulsa DL

Tulsa ST's

Temple ST's

Temple OL

Tulsa QB/WR

Temple DB's

Phil Steele

2.97

Tulsa K

Temple KTulsa Coaches

Temple Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Temple

Tulsa Temple 415 yards

Tulsa 32 points

Team Schedule StrengthTulsa Temple

Temple

44

25

20 points

325 yardsProjected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF

Tulane Connecticutat Memphisat Navy

Page 3: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 110 127 #7 9/1 14-63 L 31 28 91 4 43 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 88 #21 8/30 56-17 W 25 79 44 124 125 1070-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 105 9/8 33-27 W 33 28 91 86 95 49 1-0 1-0 115 #19 9/8 38-0 W 26 80 441-1 0-0 106 9/15 49-28 W 63 45 120 2-0 0-2 1-0 0-0 112 107 #18 9/15 17 80 67 88 30 52-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 104 112 #16 9/21 48 64 97 19 83 62 #61 #7 2-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 112 104 #16 9/21 19 83 62 48 64 97

1-2 0-0 99 9/29 87 82 115 #38 #28 2-1 1-0 112 9/29 67 35 1170-3 0-2 86 10/6 107 110 47 #37 #2 0-3 0-0 92 10/6 102 102 123

10/13 #67 #15 2-1 0-1 117 10/13 16 81 192-0 0-0 103 10/20 80 34 74 #40 #1 1-1 0-0 92 10/20 108 112 1082-0 0-0 103 10/27 46 65 127 #112 #102 10/272-1 1-0 98 11/3 81 86 73 #85 #30 1-2 0-0 106 11/1 110 67 1110-3 0-0 88 11/10 124 85 98 #102 #67 2-1 1-0 106 11/10 39 109 873-0 0-0 105 11/17 83 63 7 #118 #5 3-0 0-0 103 11/17 112 66 532-1 1-0 83 11/24 116 113 77 #68 #91 3-0 0-0 107 11/23 49 74 88

#77 #10-1 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Oklahoma 14-63 -326 -6 -1 20 42-132 3.1 18-32 192 2 26 39-316 8.1 19-23 334 3 at Connecticut 56-17 166 4 3 31 36-296 8.2 26-34 356 0 27 46-220 4.8 27-41 266 0 Air Force 33-27 152 6 0 25 29-54 1.9 33-40 471 1 19 56-209 3.7 8-13 164 1 South Carolina St 38-0 309 15 0 29 47-316 6.7 22-43 250 0 14 52-177 3.4 6-19 80 4 Bethune-Cookman 49-28 227 11 0 27 61-376 6.2 19-30 183 1 16 25-119 4.8 20-33 213 1 at North Carolina CANCELLEDat UCF Florida Atlanticat Middle Tennessee Pittsburgh Old Dominion SMU Bye at Memphisat Marshall at East Carolina Louisiana Tech Byeat FIU Temple WKU Navyat North Texas Cincinnati Charlotte at USF

Average 32-39 17.7 3.7 -0.3 24 44-187 4.3 68.6% 282 3.9% 20 40-215 5.4 68.1% 237 7.2% Average 47-9 237.5 9.5 1.5 30 42-306 7.4 62.3% 303 0.0% 21 49-199 4.1 55.0% 173 6.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 56-17 166.0 4.0 3.0 31 36-296 8.2 76.5% 356 0.0% 27 46-220 4.8 65.9% 266 0.0% Away 14-63 -326.0 -6.0 -1.0 20 42-132 3.1 56.3% 192 6.3% 26 39-316 8.1 82.6% 334 13.0% Home 38-38 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0% 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0%

at Oklahoma Chris Robison 15-26-157-0-0 Devin Singletary 18-69-3.8-1 Tavaris Harrison 4-57-14.3-0 at Connecticut McKenzie Milton 24-32-346-5-0 Darriel Mack 1-70-70.0-1 Tre Nixon 5-101-20.2-2 Air Force Chris Robison 33-40-471-3-0 Devin Singletary 16-57-3.6-1 Jovon Durante 12-174-14.5-1 South Carolina St McKenzie Milton 21-39-243-1-3 Adrian Killins 8-89-11.1-2 Gabriel Davis 9-111-12.3-1 Bethune-Cookman Chris Robison 16-27-171-1-2 Kerrith Whyte 15-100-6.7-0 Harrison Bryant 5-82-16.4-0 vs. at North Carolina CANCELLEDat UCF Florida Atlanticat Middle Tennessee Pittsburgh Old Dominion vs. SMU Bye at Memphisat Marshall at East Carolina Louisiana Tech vs. Byeat FIU Temple WKU Navyat North Texas vs. Cincinnati Charlotte at USF

vs.

Chris Robison 64-93-799-4-2 Devin Singletary 53-210-4.0-7 Jovon Durante 23-298-13.0-2 McKenzie Milton 45-71-589-6-3 Adrian Killins 17-127-7.5-3 Tre Nixon 8-154-19.3-2Rafe Peavey 4-5-25-0-1 Kerrith Whyte 21-116-5.5-1 Tavaris Harrison 11-195-17.7-0 vs. Darriel Mack 3-6-17-0-0 Darriel Mack 5-111-22.2-1 Gabriel Davis 15-151-10.1-2Doug Johnson 2-4-22-0-0 Doug Johnson 12-61-5.1-1 Harrison Bryant 9-135-15.0-0 Greg McCrae 10-105-10.5-1 Dredrick Snelson 11-135-12.3-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

OVERALL:

2-1 2-0FAU Owls OVERALL:

0.97

Las Vegas Total

FAU LB'S

1.50

UCF QB/WR

0.79

FAU DB's

Ucf 42-26

UCF 41 FAU 31By 0.45 Points

UCF

Last met in 2003. Since joining CUSA in ‘13 FAU is just 1-11 in non-conf road games. FAU rates the edge on defense but UCF has the QB edge with McKenzie Milton so they have the edge on offense and on ST’s (#37 vs #98) and won their games in Bright House last year by 28 ppg. FAU was +193 ypg at home but -4 ypg on the road. UCF is +238 ypg this year and FAU is just +18 but FAU has taken on my #50 rated schedule including Oklahoma and UCF has taken on 2 poor teams and my #127 schedule. This is an intriguing in-state matchup featuring defending conference champions. UCF enters off an unexpected bye due to Hurricane Florence. The Knights were in a similar situation LY after a postponement & responded w/a 28 point win at MD. UCF does have an entirely new coaching staff however. After rushing for close to 2,000 yards in ‘17, Devin Singletary has yet to reach 100 in a game in ‘18. FAU is 19-8 as an AD. This should be an entertaining Friday night game and while UCF will roll up the score if given the chance, I think FAU stays closer than 2 TD spread.

Phil's Forecast:

74.5 Points

+/- Ratings

0.74

Ucf By 11.8

Game GradeUcf By 14.1

UCF PtsFAU 42 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score4.8326 points UCF

Experience Rankings

54 FAU UCF 127

61 FAU 37UCFComputer Points

Computer YardsFAU Pts

5.28

FAU UCF 306 yards

UCF 236 yardsFAU K

UCF K

2.00

FAU Coaches

UCF

Projected Rushing

542 yards

Projected Passing238 yards

UCF Coaches470 yards FAUProjected Yardage Total

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

REC

Old Dominion Total Off SMU Bye Score Off at Memphis

at UCF Rush Off Florida Atlanticat Middle Tennessee Pass Off Pittsburgh

at Oklahoma 2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Connecticut Air Force

FAU UCF

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

UCF KnightsOwls Logs vs. CUSA vs. AAC Knights Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOETM CONF TM

CONF--PS RANK--FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE REC

0-0 1-0FOETM REC

NCAA RANKINGS

FAU QB/WR

0.32

UCF LB's

UCF DL

UCF RB's

South Carolina St Bethune-Cookman at North Carolina

at North Texas Score Def Cincinnati Charlotte Sks By at USF

at FIU Pass Def Temple WKU Total Def Navy

at Marshall Sks Allowed at East Carolina Louisiana Tech Rush Def Bye

1.45

FAU OL

FAU DL

UCF OL

Net Defense

FAU

Ow

ls

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ypg Diff

By Game Yardage Leaders

UC

F K

nig

hts

FAU UCF

Offense

Total TO's

Ucf 542-470

UCF Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreFAU ST's

0.96

UCF ST's

FAU Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

232 yards FAU

Phil SteeleUCF by 10

Team & Margin

Team Schedule Strength

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineUcf By 13.5

FAU RB'sUCF DB's

1.38

Page 4: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 101 #10 9/1 45-38 W 11 17 27 86 66 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 100 82 9/1 31-24 W 106 93 33 127 118 1081-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 117 #13 9/8 51-6 W 13 18 27 64 44 87 1-0 0-0 97 9/8 34-14 W 111 91 332-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 123 89 #11 9/15 63-10 W 19 23 32 119 105 115 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 102 106 9/15 19-25 L 109 93 24 59 69 793-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 126 101 #10 9/22 18 19 13 106 100 25 #26 #23 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 101 126 #10 9/22 106 100 25 18 19 13

3-0 1-0 132 9/29 3 6 18 #50 #11310/6 #26 #75 1-2 0-1 91 10/6 113 71 81

1-1 0-0 119 10/13 32 17 41 #5 #82 0-0 0-0 106 10/13 45 89 593-0 0-0 108 10/20 50 62 83 #21 #106 2-1 0-0 119 10/20 5 16 363-0 0-0 117 10/27 68 25 22 #68 #71 2-1 0-0 104 10/27 38 51 682-1 0-0 122 11/3 40 2 24 #33 #122 3-0 0-0 111 11/3 88 44 342-1 0-0 119 11/10 5 16 36 #39 #115 0-2 0-0 101 11/10 37 33 1191-2 0-1 91 11/17 113 71 81 #33 #47 3-0 0-0 117 11/17 68 25 222-1 0-0 104 11/24 38 51 68 #3 #68 0-0 0-0 107 11/24 56 37 82

#24 #107+1 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Appalachian St 45-38 -17 2 1 24 43-204 4.7 31-36 230 1 22 37-159 4.3 26-39 292 2 Kent St 31-24 16 -2 1 22 49-279 5.7 13-24 190 3 24 43-183 4.3 28-41 270 1at Pittsburgh 51-6 90 8 1 23 33-211 6.4 15-31 179 1 15 52-245 4.7 9-18 55 4 Western Illinois 34-14 15 1 3 20 47-238 5.1 14-23 138 1 19 21-66 3.1 26-42 295 3 Kent St 63-10 446 8 -1 26 45-297 6.6 14-25 370 1 18 37-41 1.1 21-40 180 7 † USF 19-25 -246 -10 1 21 48-212 4.4 20-31 168 5 31 44-215 4.9 23-40 411 1at Illinois Penn St Ohio St Bye at Rutgers Michigan St Purdueat Indiana at Wisconsin Iowa at Marylandat Michigan Minnesota Wisconsin at Nebraskaat Rutgers Iowa Maryland at Northwestern

Average 53-18 173.0 6.0 0.3 24 40-237 5.9 65.2% 260 3.3% 18 42-148 3.5 57.7% 176 13.4% Average 28-21 -71.7 -3.7 1.7 21 48-243 5.1 60.3% 165 11.5% 25 36-155 4.3 62.6% 325 4.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 51-6 90.0 8.0 1.0 23 33-211 6.4 48.4% 179 3.2% 15 52-245 4.7 50.0% 55 22.2% Home 33-19 15.5 -0.5 2.0 21 48-259 5.4 57.4% 164 8.5% 22 32-125 3.9 65.1% 283 4.8%

Appalachian St Trace McSorley 21-36-230-1-0 Miles Sanders 19-91-4.8-2 KJ Hamler 4-68-17.0-1 Kent St AJ Bush 13-23-190-0-0 AJ Bush 21-139-6.6-0 Ricky Smalling 3-70-23.3-0at Pittsburgh Trace McSorley 14-30-145-2-0 Miles Sanders 16-118-7.4-0 Brandon Polk 2-45-22.5-1 Western Illinois MJ Rivers 9-16-105-2-0 Mike Epstein 8-105-13.1-0 Sam Mays 4-42-10.5-0 Kent St Trace McSorley 11-22-229-2-1 Miles Sanders 14-86-6.1-0 DeAndre Thompkins 4-101-25.3-1 vs. † USFat Illinois Penn St Ohio St Bye vs. at Rutgers Michigan St Purdueat Indiana at Wisconsin Iowa vs. at Marylandat Michigan Minnesota Wisconsin at Nebraskaat Rutgers vs. Iowa Maryland at Northwestern

vs.

Trace McSorley 46-88-604-5-1 Miles Sanders 49-295-6.0-2 KJ Hamler 8-130-16.3-2 MJ Rivers 29-45-273-2-0 Mike Epstein 35-251-7.2-2 Ricky Smalling 7-110-15.7-0Sean Clifford 4-4-175-2-0 Trace McSorley 26-143-5.5-6 Brandon Polk 6-119-19.8-2 vs. AJ Bush 18-30-223-0-0 Reggie Corbin 37-240-6.5-3 Sam Mays 9-102-11.3-0

Mark Allen 23-98-4.3-2 DeAndre Thompkins 4-101-25.3-1 TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 AJ Bush 26-142-5.5-0 Mike Dudek 4-65-16.3-0Category

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - -3.5 39 23 37-120

Illinois - 43 0 12 27-37 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - -6 14 15 47-172

Illinois - 46 16 16 27-68 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Penn St - -11.5 24 25 48-250

Illinois - 54.5 17 27 24-90 -1

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

20-32-240

33-52-321

Penn St By 28Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total59.5 Points

1.07

Penn St 41-15

Illinois Coaches

0.75

Phil's Forecast:

Illinois Leaders

Penn St ST's Team & Margin

Illinois ST's

Penn St DB's

Illinois QB/WR

Illinois actually won the last time these two played here 16-14 as a six point HD. Penn St got their revenge in the next year 39-0 (-3’) at home in their last meeting in 2015. Lovie Smith is just 3-7 ATS as a HD here and they lost their B10 HG’s by 18.4 ppg. Penn St is 6-2 ATS as an AF the last 3 years. Penn St does have a huge game vs Ohio St on deck at home but should be fired up for a national TV Friday night game. PSU enters this short week well rested after the backups got plenty of time in their blowout win over Kent St. The coaching staff had limited the amount of called run plays for QB Trace McSorley due to backup QB Tommy Stevens injury, but now that Stevens is healthy, McSorley will be afforded the opportunity to run. Illinois led USF 19-7 in the 4Q but USF got a TD with 2:24 left in Soldier Field for the tough loss. LY RB Mike Epstein led the team in rushing with 346 (6.1) despite being OFY after 5 games. Epstein has 251 (7.2) and scat back Reggie Corbin had 240 (6.5). The big question is QB AJ Bush who was clearly the starter, but was injured and true frosh MJ Rivers (PS#75) is hitting 64% in two games. Since allowing App St 38 in the opener that Penn St D has yielded just 16 points the last two weeks and on the year is holding foes to 72 ypg below their season average. Illinois is allowing foes 121 ypg above their season average. Both teams have played Kent St and PSU was +446 yds while Illinois was just +16. The Ohio State look ahead could keep this closer than expected and the Illini are getting 5 suspended players back this week including 3 who were starters last year.

Game Grade

1.07

Penn St Coaches

Illinois K

Penn St K

Illinois Fighting Illini3-0 2-1OVERALL:OVERALL:

Penn St by 21Penn St 41 Illinois 20

By 11.26 Points

Penn St By 22.0

Penn St By 27.1

104

Illinois 321 yards

15 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

176 yards

98

Team Schedule Strength

Penn St 551-321

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele57 Penn St Illinois

Projected Rushing

Illinois RB's1.01

Penn St LB'S

2.61

8-16-93

26-42-215 Penn St Illinois

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Penn St

Projected Passing

337 yards

106 Penn St Illinois

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

Kent St

Ohio St

FOE

Illin

ois

Fig

hti

ng

Illi

ni

Penn St QB/WR1.98

Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score

551 yards Penn St

Penn St

Score

1.64

Illinois LB's

Penn St RB's

Appalachian St

Iowa

12.33

Penn St Pts

Experience Rankings

Illinois

Illinois Pts

Illinois DL

17-44-130

Comp-Att-Yds 214 yards Penn St

Receiving

IllinoisPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges

NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

† USF Penn St

Western Illinois

FOE +/-FOE CONF

0-0TM REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Kent St

at WisconsinRush Def at Maryland

at Rutgers

FOE REC

vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10 Fighting Illini Logs

Penn St Nittany LionsNittany Lions Logs

TM REC FOE REC

at Indiana Sks Allowed

Bye Total Off Michigan St Score Off Purdue

at PittsburghPenn St

at Illinois Rush Off

Illinois

Pass Off

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

at Rutgers Score Def Iowa Maryland Sks By at Northwestern

at Michigan Pass Def Minnesota Wisconsin Total Def at Nebraska

Pen

n S

t N

itta

ny

Lion

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Rushing Receiving

Illinois DB's

Score

Penn St OL

1.65

Penn St DL

1.00

Illinois OL

1.68

By Game Yardage Leaders

Penn St

145 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Illinois

41 points

22-33-280

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Penn St Leaders

OffenseNet

Page 5: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 106 9/1 41-19 W 75 41 126 114 32 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 95 #15 9/1 43-21 W 18 5 11 80 120 1221-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 108 78 9/8 31-0 W 81 49 126 120 127 85 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 119 #17 #10 9/8 3-17 L 14 5 11 5 25 22-0 0-0 108 9/15 59-24 W 75 37 95 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 116 112 #22 9/15 14-37 L 24 7 9 31 20 143-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 111 111 9/21 69 26 80 23 8 11 #125 #116 1-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 111 111 9/22 23 8 11 69 26 80

2-1 0-1 117 9/29 51 12 2 #2 #44 1-2 0-0 106 9/29 34 76 841-2 0-0 97 10/6 101 105 101 #24 #92 10/6

10/13 #22 #112 3-0 0-0 109 10/13 44 28 233-0 0-0 108 10/20 11 15 89 #12 #106 2-1 0-1 117 10/20 51 12 23-0 1-0 119 10/27 7 9 6 #20 #109 2-1 1-0 109 10/27 22 56 303-0 0-0 110 11/3 72 50 66 #8 #29 1-2 0-0 97 11/3 101 105 1013-0 0-0 109 11/10 44 28 23 #4 #76 3-0 0-0 110 11/10 72 50 660-0 0-0 106 11/17 34 76 84 #18 #71 0-3 0-0 99 11/17 78 39 792-1 1-0 126 11/23 13 13 70 #12 #38 3-0 2-0 118 11/24 21 14 67

#5 #85+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Wyoming 41-19 188 9 -1 24 21-75 3.6 38-57 319 0 15 39-139 3.6 8-20 67 3 UNLV 43-21 96 6 1 23 38-219 5.8 22-35 282 2 17 43-308 7.2 12-27 97 5 San Jose St 31-0 435 19 -2 27 31-124 4.0 35-54 420 0 8 23-9 0.4 14-28 100 5 at Stanford 3-17 -10 7 -3 20 37-114 3.1 17-36 218 4 13 29-159 5.5 16-28 183 0 Eastern Washington 59-24 186 12 4 35 15-41 2.7 51-65 524 2 23 35-148 4.2 14-36 231 2 at Texas 14-37 -77 -9 0 16 16--5 -0.3 30-48 322 3 25 48-160 3.3 16-34 234 2at USC Washington St Utah at Arizonaat Oregon St Bye Bye Colorado Oregon at Utah at Stanford Arizona St California at Oregon Stat Colorado California Arizona at UCLA Washington Notre Dame

Average 44-14 269.7 13.3 0.3 29 22-80 3.6 70.5% 421 1.1% 15 32-99 3.1 42.9% 133 11.9% Average 20-25 3.0 1.3 -0.7 20 30-109 3.6 58.0% 274 7.6% 18 40-209 5.2 49.4% 171 7.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 3-17 -10.0 7.0 -3.0 20 37-114 3.1 47.2% 218 11.1% 13 29-159 5.5 57.1% 183 0.0% Away 41-19 188.0 9.0 -1.0 24 21-75 3.6 66.7% 319 0.0% 15 39-139 3.6 40.0% 67 15.0% Home 43-21 96.0 6.0 1.0 23 38-219 5.8 62.9% 282 5.7% 17 43-308 7.2 44.4% 97 18.5%

at Wyoming Gardner Minshew 38-57-319-3-1 James Williams 16-82-5.1-1 Jamire Calvin 5-82-16.4-0 UNLV JT Daniels 22-35-282-1-0 Aca'Cedric Ware 10-100-10.0-1 Amon-Ra St. Brown 7-98-14.0-1 San Jose St Gardner Minshew 34-51-414-3-2 Max Borghi 10-46-4.6-0 Travell Harris 6-83-13.8-0 at Stanford JT Daniels 16-34-215-0-2 Aca'Cedric Ware 18-59-3.3-0 Tyler Vaughns 7-84-12.0-0 Eastern Washington Gardner Minshew 45-57-470-2-0 James Williams 6-19-3.2-3 Tay Martin 13-149-11.5-1 vs. at Texas JT Daniels 30-48-322-0-1 Stephen Carr 6-13-2.2-1 Amon-Ra St. Brown 9-167-18.6-0at USC Washington St Utah at Arizonaat Oregon St vs. Bye Bye Colorado Oregon at Utah at Stanford vs. Arizona St California at Oregon Stat Colorado California Arizona vs. at UCLA Washington Notre Dame

vs.

Gardner Minshew 117-165-1203-8-3 James Williams 32-137-4.3-4 Tay Martin 24-290-12.1-3 JT Daniels 68-117-819-1-3 Aca'Cedric Ware 32-167-5.2-1 Amon-Ra St. Brown 18-304-16.9-1Anthony Gordon 7-11-60-1-1 Max Borghi 15-75-5.0-2 Jamire Calvin 15-188-12.5-0 vs. Matt Fink 1-2-3-0-0 Stephen Carr 25-119-4.8-1 Tyler Vaughns 15-157-10.5-0

Gardner Minshew 13-30-2.3-1 Dezmon Patmon 13-180-13.8-0 Vavae Malepeai 13-68-5.2-3 Michael Pittman 8-117-14.6-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St 16 60.5 30 23 30-122

USC 5 -4.5 27 15 29-163 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St - 66 17 23 26-34

USC - -8.5 44 21 32-127 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Washington St - 54 10 12 22-7

USC 25 -15.5 7 14 42-139 1

vs.

USC ST's

21-32-400

Comp-Att-Yds

26-38-215

11-21-54

USC

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Wash St QB/WR

1.38

USC DB's

Wash St

vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 123-0

OVERALL:

Wash St Coaches

USC Coaches

245 yards

5 USC by 10

Computer Points

2.95

Wash St Pts

USC Pts25 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score20 points

USC

USC has now won 12 straight Pac 12 home games and are playing with legitimate revenge after losing to Wash St for the for the first time since 2002 on a Friday night road game last year. USC is happy to be back home after playing the rugged defenses of Stanford and Texas on the road. USC lost those games by a combined 54-17 but were only -2 FD and -43 ypg. USC is 8-2 ATS as a HF when unranked. Last year Wash St was +20 ppg and +224 ypg at home but -13 ppg and -20 ypg on the road with their three P12 road losses by 34, 21 and 27. While USC has faced my #5 rated schedule, Wash St has faced my #111 slate. They did trail Wyoming 16-13 at half on the road until the game snowballed in the 2H. QB Gardner Minshew has thrown for 419 ypg hitting 67% with a 6-3 ratio but has not faced a defense anything like USC which is allowing just 49.4% completions. This game has it all. USC is more talented, at home, played the tougher schedule and is playing with revenge. There is also solid value as the Trojans were -15.5 at the start of the year and I expected them to lose to both Stanford and Texas and the line is mpe close to a FG. 108 Usc 25-20

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

109 Wash St USC

157 yards

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

USC 27 Washington St 17By 3.74 Points

Phil's Forecast:

Usc By 3.5

53 PointsLas Vegas Total

Usc By 5.0

Wash St By 3.1

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Computer YardsUsc 402-276

0.935 yards Wash StProjected Passing

Projected Rushing Wash St K

USCUSC K

276 yards Wash St USC 402 yards

271 yards Wash St0.25Projected Yardage Total

USC

Wash St USC 6.68

Wash St OL0.38

USC DL

Wash St RB's2.47

USC LB's

USC Leaders

Team & Margin

Wash St DL1.52

USC OL

0.04

0.69

1.96Las Vegas Line

USC RB'sWash St DB's

USC QB/WRWash St ST's

Wash St LB'S

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

AP

Cougars Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/- TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-1TM REC FOE

RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

at USC Rush Off Washington St Utah Pass Off at Arizona

Wash St CougarsTrojans Logs

1-2 USC TrojansOVERALL:

San Jose StWash St USC

at Stanford Eastern Washington at Texas

at Wyoming 2018 TEAM RANKINGS UNLV

California Pass Def at Oregon Stat Colorado Total Def California

Oregon Sks Allowed at Utah at Stanford Rush Def Arizona St

at Oregon St Total Off Bye Bye Score Off Colorado

Offense Defense

Was

h S

t C

oug

ars

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

US

C T

roja

ns

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Arizona Score Def at UCLA Washington Sks By Notre Dame

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

125 Wash St USC

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Wash St Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

34-51-340

15-29-164

Comp-Att-Yds

44-66-386

FOE +/-

Page 6: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 91 101 9/1 115 59 120 51 48 69 0-0 0-0 118 9/1 46 37 1100-0 0-0 91 9/8 41-7 W 117 55 120 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 115 9/8 3-13 L 43 34 110 57 33 171-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 92 112 9/15 39-34 W 113 48 39 50 28 86 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 115 131 #5 9/15 27-37 L 54 38 117 4 32 472-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 97 115 9/22 115 52 94 70 41 125 #95 #129 0-2 2-0 0-1 0-0 115 97 9/22 70 41 125 115 52 94

9/29 #51 #46 2-1 0-0 117 9/29 53 3 100-3 0-0 95 10/6 94 96 93 #80 #116 3-0 0-0 124 10/6 65 32 463-0 1-0 103 10/13 85 87 114 #32 #1230-0 0-0 86 10/20 119 103 128 #4 #60 10/200-3 0-1 88 10/27 123 104 110 #22 #58 2-1 0-0 111 10/27 26 47 281-2 1-0 100 11/1 105 61 69 #87 #99 2-1 0-0 103 11/3 89 80 1002-1 0-1 101 11/10 77 91 95 #49 #88 2-1 0-0 108 11/10 27 79 141-2 0-0 86 11/17 111 122 106 #44 #71 2-1 0-0 117 11/17 30 24 751-1 0-0 101 11/23 64 107 9 #104 #126 0-0 0-0 110 11/24 63 43 12

#63 #111+2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Nebraska CANCELLED South Dakota St CANCELLED Morgan St 41-7 245 13 0 26 39-200 5.1 18-31 237 1 13 42-114 2.7 8-22 78 1 at Iowa 3-13 -83 -3 0 11 25-19 0.8 19-31 169 4 14 36-105 2.9 16-28 166 0at Northwestern 39-34 -124 -15 2 15 36-90 2.5 17-28 277 0 30 36-86 2.4 37-58 405 2 Oklahoma 27-37 -72 -4 0 20 29-87 3.0 25-36 360 1 24 39-171 4.4 21-29 348 1at Iowa St Akron Bye at TCU Miami, OH at Oklahoma Stat Buffaloat Kent St Bye Central Michigan Texas Tech Northern Illinois at Kansasat Eastern Michigan Baylor Bowling Green at Texasat Ohio Kansas St

Average 40-21 60.5 -1.0 1.0 21 38-145 3.9 59.3% 257 1.7% 22 39-100 2.6 56.3% 242 3.8% Average 15-25 -77.5 -3.5 0.0 16 27-53 2.0 65.7% 265 7.5% 19 38-138 3.7 64.9% 257 1.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 27-37 -72.0 -4.0 0.0 20 29-87 3.0 69.4% 360 2.8% 24 39-171 4.4 72.4% 348 3.4% Away 39-34 -124.0 -15.0 2.0 15 36-90 2.5 60.7% 277 0.0% 30 36-86 2.4 63.8% 405 3.4% Home 27-37 -72.0 -4.0 0.0 20 29-87 3.0 69.4% 360 2.8% 24 39-171 4.4 72.4% 348 3.4%

at Nebraska CANCELLED South Dakota St CANCELLED Morgan St Kato Nelson 16-26-232-3-1 Van Edwards 17-109-6.4-2 Jonah Morris 4-94-23.5-1 at Iowa Kyle Kempt 15-21-126-0-0 David Montgomery 17-44-2.6-0 Hakeem Butler 3-35-11.7-0at Northwestern Kato Nelson 17-28-277-2-0 Van Edwards 14-53-3.8-0 Kwadarrius Smith 6-90-15.0-0 vs. Oklahoma Zeb Noland 25-36-360-2-1 David Montgomery 21-82-3.9-1 Hakeem Butler 5-174-34.8-2at Iowa St Akron Bye at TCU Miami, OH vs. at Oklahoma Stat Buffaloat Kent St Bye Central Michigan vs. Texas Tech Northern Illinois at Kansasat Eastern Michigan Baylor Bowling Green vs. at Texasat Ohio Kansas St

vs.

Kato Nelson 33-54-509-5-1 Van Edwards 31-162-5.2-2 Jonah Morris 7-145-20.7-1 Zeb Noland 29-46-403-2-1 David Montgomery 38-126-3.3-1 Hakeem Butler 8-209-26.1-2Alex Ramart 2-5-5-0-1 Kato Nelson 24-79-3.3-0 Andre Williams 7-131-18.7-2 vs. Kyle Kempt 15-21-126-0-0 Kene Nwangwu 3-10-3.3-0 Deshaunte Jones 10-97-9.7-0

Deltron Sands 7-32-4.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 7-125-17.9-1 Sheldon Croney 7-9-1.3-0 Matthew Eaton 7-50-7.1-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Akron - 63 14 19 24-38

Iowa St - -10.5 41 23 37-191 3

vs.

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

Akron ZipsZips Logs

TM REC FOE REC

24-33-317

56 95

Iowa St by 211Team Schedule Strength

117 Akron Iowa St

Akron

Iowa St 34 Akron 13By 1.81 Points

Iowa St 29-12

Phil Steele

Iowa St

Iowa St

430 yards

56 yards

236 yards Akron

Iowa St K

Akron

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Iowa St Pts

Last year Akron at home only trailed 20-14 at half but lost 41-14 with Iowa St having a 508-331 yard-edge on the road. Akron is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and have faced seven P5 teams the previous 3 years losing by an avg of 42-7 but last week rose up and knocked off Northwestern on the road despite trailing 21-3 at half. Akron is off a road upset and traveling, but do have a bye on deck. Iowa St is in an Oklahoma/TCU sandwich and Campbell is 3-1 ATS as a HF with Iowa St. Last week Iowa St was without QB Kyle Kempt but backup Zeb Norland threw for 360 yards (69%) and they only lost to Oklahoma by 10. Iowa St has faced the nation’s toughest schedule having faced only Iowa in Kinnick and Oklahoma and even with NW on the slate Akron has faced my #119 slate. The situation favors 0-2 Iowa St here and Kempt should return to the lineup.

Iowa St 430-236

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Iowa St By 18.5

47 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer Yards5.23

Akron Pts3.42

+/- RatingsIowa St By 21.5

Projected Rushing124 yards

Iowa St RB's0.80

Akron LB'S

27-44-293

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Iowa St Leaders

3.20

Akron ST's

Iowa St ST's

0.10

Akron DB's

Iowa St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Akron K

0.55

Iowa St

Akron Coaches

Akron Iowa St 29 points

0.59Akron

Iowa StExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score12 points

180 yards

Iowa St By 13.1

Receiving

Akron Iowa StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

Akron RB's1.82

Iowa St LB's

Akron QB/WR0.43

Iowa St DB's

Akron DL0.37

Iowa St OL

Akron OL

Projected Yardage Total307 yardsAkron

Projected Passing

Iowa St Coaches

TM +/-0-1 FOE

Total Off at Oklahoma StScore Off

Rush Off Akron

APTM REC FOE

REC

at Texas

vs. MAC vs. BIG 12 Cyclones Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF FOEFOE +/-

TEAM0-0

Bye

Defense

Score Score

TM +/-

Miami, OHat Buffalo

at Iowa St Bye Pass Off at TCU

2018 TEAM RANKINGS South Dakota St Morgan St

Akron Iowa Stat Iowa

at Northwestern Oklahoma

at Nebraska

Bowling Green Score Defat Ohio Sks By Kansas St

Northern Illinois Pass Def at Kansasat Eastern Michigan Total Def Baylor

at Kent St Sks Allowed

0-2OVERALL: OVERALL: Iowa St Cyclones2-0

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM CONFFOE

FOETEAM --PS RANK--

Akron Leaders

Central Michigan Rush Def Texas Tech

Passing

0.80

Iowa St DL

Net Offense Defense

Akr

on Z

ips

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Iow

a S

t C

yclo

nes

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Passing Rushing Receiving

Page 7: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 115 9/1 24-13 W 29 68 96 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/1 35-28 W 71 30 58 77 87 551-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 89 9/8 41-7 W 31 70 96 116 113 128 1-0 0-0 106 9/8 32-16 W 74 31 582-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 116 #14 9/15 34 68 78 12 65 62 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 103 115 9/15 79 27 71 32 33 162-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 103 9/22 31 73 78 80 34 74 #119 #104 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 118 9/22 80 34 74 31 73 78

2-1 0-0 104 9/29 97 53 71 #8 #43 0-3 0-0 88 9/29 124 85 983-0 1-0 121 10/6 9 22 120 #41 #79 1-2 0-0 99 10/5 87 82 115

10/13 #64 #58 0-3 0-2 86 10/13 107 110 473-0 0-0 129 10/20 14 4 60 #4 #21 2-1 0-0 104 10/20 48 64 973-0 1-0 109 10/27 60 108 3 #56 #32 10/271-2 0-2 104 11/3 17 20 35 #74 #60 1-1 0-0 91 11/3 95 93 152-1 0-1 114 11/8 36 75 56 #60 #32 2-1 1-0 83 11/10 116 113 772-1 0-0 107 11/17 52 72 32 #9 #53 0-3 0-0 84 11/17 130 117 330-2 0-0 107 11/24 91 27 4 #68 #38 0-0 0-0 98 11/24 81 86 73

#46 #530 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

James Madison 24-13 27 2 0 25 29-83 2.9 29-43 309 1 23 38-163 4.3 24-30 202 2 at Miami, OH 35-28 -1 1 0 24 38-171 4.5 24-37 272 2 23 27-87 3.2 25-46 357 1 Georgia St 41-7 192 6 0 24 31-115 3.7 32-39 426 0 18 31-107 3.5 19-34 242 3 Eastern Kentucky 32-16 180 6 1 17 28-89 3.2 23-39 278 1 11 45-139 3.1 7-19 48 6 West Virginia CANCELLED at South Carolina CANCELLEDat Marshall NC State Virginia at WKU Boston College Middle Tennessee Bye at Old Dominionat Clemson Florida Atlanticat Syracuse Bye Florida St at Southern Miss Wake Forest Charlotteat Louisville UTSAat North Carolina at FIU

Average 33-10 109.5 4.0 0.0 25 30-99 3.3 74.4% 368 1.2% 21 35-135 3.9 67.2% 222 7.8% Average 34-22 89.5 3.5 0.5 21 33-130 3.9 61.8% 275 3.9% 17 36-113 3.1 49.2% 203 10.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 32-16 180.0 6.0 1.0 17 28-89 3.2 59.0% 278 2.6% 11 45-139 3.1 36.8% 48 31.6%

James Madison Ryan Finley 29-43-309-2-0 Reggie Gallaspy 17-68-4.0-1 Jakobi Meyers 14-161-11.5-0 at Miami, OH Isaiah Green 24-37-272-2-0 Keion Davis 17-76-4.5-1 Tyre Brady 9-116-12.9-2 Georgia St Ryan Finley 31-38-370-2-1 Brady Bodine 5-50-10.0-1 Kelvin Harmon 8-129-16.1-0 Eastern Kentucky Isaiah Green 23-39-278-3-1 Willie Johnson 2-36-18.0-0 Tyre Brady 6-66-11.0-1 West Virginia CANCELLED vs. at South Carolina CANCELLEDat Marshall NC State Virginia at WKU Boston College vs. Middle Tennessee Bye at Old Dominionat Clemson Florida Atlanticat Syracuse vs. Bye Florida St at Southern Miss Wake Forest Charlotteat Louisville vs. UTSAat North Carolina at FIU

vs.

Ryan Finley 60-81-679-4-1 Reggie Gallaspy 28-92-3.3-2 Kelvin Harmon 12-162-13.5-0 Isaiah Green 47-76-550-5-1 Tyler King 21-98-4.7-1 Tyre Brady 15-182-12.1-3Thayer Thomas 1-1-56-0-0 Brady Bodine 5-50-10.0-1 Jakobi Meyers 14-161-11.5-0 vs. Keion Davis 29-95-3.3-1 Obi Obialo 8-107-13.4-2

Trent Pennix 11-29-2.6-0 Thayer Thomas 10-130-13.0-2 Isaiah Green 11-25-2.3-0 Xavier Gaines 4-93-23.3-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.NC State - -23.5 37 23 33-144

Marshall - 55 20 18 25-101 -2

vs.

vs.

vs.

93

N Car St By 4.0

NC State Coaches

Phil Steele

Marshall 422-391

107 NC State

Computer Points

Marshall Coaches

0.20

Las Vegas Total55.5 Points

+/- RatingsN Car St By 11.0

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineMarshall ST's N Car St By 5

100 yards NC State Marshall

291 yards

Experience Rankings Marshall Pts

48

Marshall 120

N Car St 27-24

Team Schedule Strength NC StateMarshall by 3 Best Bet: *Marshall 27 NC State 24By 1.07 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Marshall is 0-4 vs NC State. LY the Thundering Herd led the Wolfpack 20-10 mid-2Q, but NC State scored 27 unanswered & MU fell apart in the 2H, missing a FG, with 2 TO’s & lost by 17 (451-485 yds). The Wolfpack have a veteran QB in Ryan Finley but just 9 ret starters and are making their first road trip. Marshall has 18 ret starters. Marshall is 17-7-1 ATS vs Non conf since 2013. Last year the Wolfpack were led by an NFL caliber Defensive line, but Marshall may have the edge there this year with all 4 starters gone for the Wolfpack. Both teams are off unexpected byes with their games cancelled last week. NCSt has given up 67% completions and new Marshall QB Isaiah Green has hit 62% (5-1 ratio). Marshall has covered 6 straight as an underdog, with 3 outright upsets last year and also 6 straight versus non-conf foes. NCSt is 3-7 as a fav and 2-5 vs non-conf foes. Marhshalls’ D is allowing just 3.1 ypc rush and 49% completions.

0.17

NC State RB's1.48

Marshall LB's

0.26

NC State LB'S

Marshall RB's

NC State DL0.41

Marshall OL

Team & Margin

NC State K

Marshall K

Marshall DL

Computer Yards2.793.86

NC State Pts

NC State LeadersNC State DB's

0.53

Marshall QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

29-36-341

Marshall Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 2.39

NC State ST's

27 points NC State Marshall 24 points

26-43-350 Projected Rushing138 yards

Projected PassingNC State Marshall 284 yards

Projected Yardage Total422 yards391 yards NC State Marshall

Projected Final Score

NC State Marshall

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

at FIU

Florida St Pass Def at Southern Miss Wake Forest Total Def Charlotte

at Clemson Sks Allowed Florida Atlanticat Syracuse Rush Def Bye

James Madison

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

AP

Boston College Total Off Middle Tennessee Bye Score Off at Old Dominion

at Marshall Rush Off NC State Virginia Pass Off at WKU

at Miami, OH Georgia St

NC State Marshall Eastern Kentucky

West Virginia at South Carolina

at Louisville Score Def UTSAat North Carolina Sks By

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Marshall Thundering Herd2-0 2-0Wolfpack Logs vs. ACC vs. CUSA

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Thundering Herd Logs

NC State Wolfpack OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Net Offense Defense

NC

Sta

te W

olfp

ack

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mar

shal

l Th

un

der

ing

Her

d

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

1.19

NC State QB/WR

Marshall DB's

NC State Marshall

0.02

NC State OL

Page 8: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 84 9/1 34-10 W 121 116 100 0-0 0-0 95 8/25 63-15 W 69 114 1301-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 89 103 9/8 9-45 L 118 115 100 88 67 21 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/1 21-55 L 75 114 130 21 22 971-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 85 88 9/15 28-25 W 117 113 77 104 106 52 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 97 95 9/8 13-34 L 87 120 130 104 102 642-1 1-3 1-0 0-1 83 89 9/22 116 113 77 96 125 130 #82 #79 1-2 1-1 0-1 1-0 93 94 9/15 24-63 L 96 125 130 93 91 89

2-1 0-0 100 9/29 73 97 85 #95 #55 1-3 2-1 0-1 1-0 89 83 9/22 96 125 130 116 113 7710/6 #105 #76 1-1 0-0 101 9/29 64 107 9

0-3 0-0 88 10/13 124 85 98 #101 #75 3-0 0-0 107 10/6 49 74 881-2 0-0 99 10/20 87 82 115 #90 #113 10/131-1 0-0 91 10/27 95 93 15 #12 #125 2-1 0-0 89 10/20 120 128 911-2 0-0 100 11/3 58 29 72 #104 #58 1-2 0-1 84 10/27 122 130 762-0 0-0 103 11/10 80 34 74 #55 #112 85 11/3 118 129 1290-0 0-0 98 11/17 81 86 73 #79 #122 2-1 2-1 109 11/10 79 48 902-1 0-0 104 11/24 48 64 97 #52 #126 3-0 1-0 133 11/17 2 18 21

#87 #106+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Fordham 34-10 201 8 0 20 47-221 4.7 13-20 267 3 12 16--9 -0.6 22-47 296 4 Duquesne 63-15 319 11 3 24 39-282 7.2 19-28 290 1 13 36-130 3.6 16-30 123 0 Appalachian St 9-45 -231 -3 0 15 43-95 2.2 12-25 108 3 18 35-139 4.0 15-15 295 1 at Boston College 21-55 -307 -14 -3 18 33-66 2.0 21-34 249 6 32 60-302 5.0 20-27 320 1 Old Dominion 28-25 35 11 1 27 46-171 3.7 23-34 202 1 16 28-123 4.4 16-28 215 1 at GA Southern 13-34 -165 -5 -1 19 25-107 4.3 23-36 216 0 24 59-334 5.7 6-9 154 0at UMass at FIU 24-63 -113 -8 -1 24 34-199 5.9 15-32 224 3 32 53-329 6.2 16-23 207 0at UAB Charlotte Bye at Ohio WKU USFat Middle Tennessee Bye Southern Miss Coastal Carolinaat Tennessee at Connecticutat Marshall Liberty FIU BYUat Florida Atlantic at Georgia

Average 24-27 1.7 5.3 0.3 21 45-162 3.6 60.8% 192 8.9% 15 26-84 3.2 58.9% 269 6.7% Average 30-42 -66.5 -4.0 -0.5 21 33-164 5.0 60.0% 245 7.7% 25 52-274 5.3 65.2% 201 1.1% Conference 28-25 35.0 11.0 1.0 27 46-171 3.7 67.6% 202 2.9% 16 28-123 4.4 57.1% 215 3.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 63-15 319.0 11.0 3.0 24 39-282 7.2 67.9% 290 3.6% 13 36-130 3.6 53.3% 123 0.0%

Fordham Chris Reynolds 13-20-267-1-0 Benny Lemay 25-135-5.4-2 Victor Tucker 7-127-18.1-1 Duquesne Andrew Ford 13-19-186-2-0 Bilal Ally 9-109-12.1-1 Andy Isabella 5-131-26.2-2 Appalachian St Chris Reynolds 12-22-108-0-1 Benny Lemay 7-35-5.0-0 Workpeh Kofa 2-35-17.5-0 at Boston College Ross Comis 9-13-145-1-0 Jordan Fredericks 4-21-5.3-0 Andy Isabella 4-95-23.8-0 Old Dominion Chris Reynolds 23-34-202-2-0 Benny Lemay 25-93-3.7-0 Victor Tucker 7-79-11.3-1 vs. at GA Southern Andrew Ford 22-33-190-0-1 Marquis Young 14-71-5.1-0 Andy Isabella 9-95-10.6-0at UMass at FIU Michael Curtis 8-15-158-1-2 Marquis Young 13-83-6.4-0 Marquis Young 2-47-23.5-0at UAB Charlotte Bye vs. at Ohio WKU USFat Middle Tennessee Bye Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolinaat Tennessee at Connecticutat Marshall Liberty FIU vs. BYUat Florida Atlantic at Georgia

vs.

Chris Reynolds 48-76-577-3-1 Benny Lemay 57-263-4.6-2 Victor Tucker 18-239-13.3-2 Andrew Ford 46-75-460-2-3 Marquis Young 47-252-5.4-2 Andy Isabella 22-364-16.5-3Hassan Klugh 0-2-0.1-0-0 Aaron McAllister 28-131-4.7-1 Workpeh Kofa 13-149-11.5-0 vs. Ross Comis 21-37-335-3-0 Jordan Fredericks 18-129-7.2-1 Brennon Dingle 11-145-13.2-1TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Keshaun McGaugh 6-55-9.2-0 Benny Lemay 8-122-15.3-0 Michael Curtis 11-18-184-1-2 Bilal Ally 18-127-7.1-1 Sadiq Palmer 7-96-13.7-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

11

Umass by 7 Mass 37 Charlotte 30By 0.84 Points

36POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Umass 35-30

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Projected Final Score30 points Charlotte

UMass Coaches

Charlotte Coaches

Projected Yardage Total

Experience RankingsCharlotte UMass

Team Schedule Strength

UMass 35 points

Charlotte Phil Steele122 Charlotte UMass 77

Phil's Forecast:

1st meeting. 49ers are just 1-5 (won at Georgia St 23-20) in non-conf road games since moving to FBS level with just 13.5 ppg and this is their first road game. Charlotte was inexp’d last year but now has 18 ret starters and two years ago beat FAU, Marshall & SMiss all on the road outright. UMass is also a veteran team led by QB Ford (PS#48), RB Marquis Young and WR Andy Isabella. Ford was injured last week and #3 QB Curtis played most of the game. UMass is just 6-16 straight up at home vs FBS schools since Whipple returned and is off a long 3 game road trip (lost all 3 by 21 or more). Charlotte comes in a surprising 2-1, having beaten ODU last week 28-25 (+1’) in a game that was moved up to Wednesday due to Hurricane Florence. ODU led 18-13 3Q but Charlotte won at home 28-25. RB Benny Lemay has rushed for 263 (4.6) and QB Chris Reynolds is not big (5’11) or fast but has hit 63% with a 3-1 ratio guiding two upsets.

Umass By 9.5

Umass By 8.5

Umass By 2.8

58.5 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

0.75

Umass 467-3804.18

Charlotte Pts3.35

UMass PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

Charlotte Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

185 yards CharlotteUMass K

333 yards

194 yardsProjected Passing

0.58Charlotte UMass 134 yards

UMass

Projected Rushing

UMass Leaders

Team & Margin

2.03

Charlotte KLas Vegas Total

UMass QB/WR

Charlotte DB's

Charlotte ST's

UMass ST'sLas Vegas Line

0.70

Charlotte RB's

UMass LB's

Charlotte LB'S0.48

UMass RB's

Charlotte DL0.08

UMass OL

0.24

380 yards Charlotte UMass 467 yards

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score

Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

at Middle Tennessee Sks Allowed Bye Southern Miss Rush Def Coastal Carolina

at Ohio WKU Score Off USF Bye Total Off

UMass

49ers Logs Minutemen Logs

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--1-0 0-1

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

UMass Minutemenvs. CUSA vs. IND

Charlotte 49ers

Duquesne Fordham

OVERALL: OVERALL:

2-1 1-3

TM REC FOE REC

Appalachian StCharlotte

at Boston College Old Dominion at GA Southern

at FIUat UAB Pass Off Charlotteat UMass Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

FIU Score Def BYUat Florida Atlantic Sks By at Georgia

at Tennessee Pass Def at Connecticutat Marshall Total Def Liberty

Net Offense Defense

Ch

arlo

tte

49

ers

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

UM

ass

Min

ute

men

Net Offense

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

0.79

Charlotte QB/WR

UMass DB's

Charlotte UMass

1.88

Charlotte OL

UMass DL

Page 9: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 102 #11 8/31 38-31 W 26 13 61 95 65 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 91 9/1 38-28 W 43 72 90 92 100 501-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 109 #15 9/8 13-16 L 28 14 61 23 75 20 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 107 102 9/8 20-16 W 54 74 90 110 60 401-1 0-0 119 #25 9/15 35 12 50 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 107 89 9/15 38-10 W 52 70 109 77 117 741-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 108 #24 9/22 32 17 41 50 62 83 #114 #29 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 119 #24 9/22 50 62 83 32 17 41

0-3 0-1 88 9/29 123 104 110 #31 #86 1-2 0-1 91 9/29 113 71 811-2 1-0 107 10/6 56 37 82 #70 #56 3-0 1-0 132 10/6 3 6 183-0 0-0 126 10/13 18 19 13 #97 #67 3-0 0-0 117 10/13 68 25 222-1 0-0 122 10/20 40 2 24 #60 #4 3-0 0-0 126 10/20 18 19 130-0 0-0 106 10/27 45 89 59 #1 #94 3-0 0-0 111 10/27 88 44 342-1 0-0 104 11/3 38 51 68 #125 #9 11/33-0 1-0 132 11/10 3 6 18 #79 #37 2-1 0-0 104 11/10 38 51 680-2 0-0 101 11/17 37 33 119 #62 #33 2-1 0-0 122 11/17 40 2 241-2 0-1 91 11/24 113 71 81 #91 #91 0-0 0-0 106 11/24 45 89 59

#73 #450 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Utah St 38-31 108 1 0 23 42-165 3.9 23-33 287 3 22 25-25 1.0 29-44 319 2 at FIU 38-28 138 9 2 31 45-213 4.7 28-37 252 1 22 39-170 4.4 17-28 157 1at Arizona St 13-16 -47 -4 0 23 27-63 2.3 27-39 314 2 27 29-44 1.5 30-48 380 2 Virginia 20-16 93 6 0 21 44-237 5.4 16-22 150 0 15 39-188 4.8 12-25 106 0 Bye Ball St 38-10 110 8 0 26 44-255 5.8 24-32 202 0 18 39-204 5.2 14-28 143 3at Indiana Michigan St Central Michigan at Rutgers Northwestern at Ohio Stat Penn St Iowa Michigan Penn St Purdue at Minnesotaat Maryland Bye Ohio St Marylandat Nebraska at Michigan Rutgers Purdue

Average 26-24 30.5 -1.5 0.0 23 35-114 3.3 69.4% 301 6.9% 25 27-35 1.3 64.1% 350 4.3% Average 32-18 113.7 7.7 0.7 26 44-235 5.3 74.7% 201 1.1% 18 39-187 4.8 53.1% 135 4.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 13-16 -47.0 -4.0 0.0 23 27-63 2.3 69.2% 314 5.1% 27 29-44 1.5 62.5% 380 4.2% Home 29-13 101.5 7.0 0.0 24 44-246 5.6 74.1% 176 0.0% 17 39-196 5.0 49.1% 125 5.7%

Utah St Brian Lewerke 23-33-287-2-1 LJ Scott 23-84-3.7-0 Cody White 5-70-14.0-1 at FIU Peyton Ramsey 20-27-156-3-1 Stevie Scott 20-70-3.5-0 Donavan Hale 4-60-15.0-2at Arizona St Brian Lewerke 27-39-314-1-1 Connor Heyward 5-22-4.4-0 Cody White 9-113-12.6-1 Virginia Peyton Ramsey 16-22-150-2-1 Stevie Scott 31-204-6.6-1 Donavan Hale 4-56-14.0-1 Bye vs. Ball St Peyton Ramsey 20-27-173-0-0 Stevie Scott 18-114-6.3-2 Luke Timian 5-56-11.2-0at Indiana Michigan St Central Michigan at Rutgers Northwestern vs. at Ohio Stat Penn St Iowa Michigan Penn St Purdue vs. at Minnesotaat Maryland Bye Ohio St Marylandat Nebraska vs. at Michigan Rutgers Purdue

vs.

Brian Lewerke 50-72-601-3-2 LJ Scott 30-103-3.4-0 Cody White 14-183-13.1-2 Peyton Ramsey 56-76-479-5-2 Stevie Scott 69-388-5.6-3 Luke Timian 13-138-10.6-0Connor Heyward 10-64-6.4-2 Felton Davis 8-133-16.6-1 vs. Michael Penix 12-15-125-1-0 Peyton Ramsey 23-106-4.6-1 Donavan Hale 8-116-14.5-3La'Darius Jefferson 3-20-6.7-0 Darrell Stewart 12-113-9.4-0 Whop Philyor 3-52-17.3-0 Nick Westbrook 9-84-9.3-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 18 -6.5 17 19 44-89

Indiana - 47 9 14 35-94 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 17 -6.5 21 21 41-175

Indiana - 52 24 19 39-156 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 7 -16 52 33 44-142

Indiana - 61.5 26 20 23-81 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan St 8 -16 56 30 51-330

Indiana - 60.5 17 7 33-213 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Michigan St - -9.5 42 24 47-238

Indiana - 53.5 28 19 27-92 1

Comp-Att-Yds

17-28-281

Team Schedule Strength7 Michigan St Indiana 60

Comp-Att-Yds

24-47-259

22-31-235

By 7.83 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 0.79

Michigan St ST's

Indiana ST's

Michigan St

23 points

Michigan St by 3 Michigan St 20 Indiana 17

These B10 rivals play for the Old Brass Spittoon. IU has won just twice in the last 14 meetings, but both wins were at home, including 2016 (24-21 OT). Last year the Hoosiers let MSU score a TD w/1:49 left, then was SOD at their own 38 w/:48 remaining, 17-9. Mich St is just 1-9 ATS as an AF. Last year the Hoosiers led #2 Ohio St 21-20 3Q and only lost to #17 Michigan in OT. Sparty enters fresh off a bye following their loss at Ariz St & has MAC foe CM on deck. Indiana enters off an easy blowout win over Ball St, as they led 31-3 late 3Q. It’s safe to assume a defensive struggle here as IU has held all 3 of their foes to season lows in total yards & MSU is allowing just 35 (1.3) rush ypg. MSU RB Scott should return to full health for this game. Indy QB Peyton Ramsey is hitting 74% with a 5-2 ratio and true frosh Stevie Scott has rushed for 388 (5.6). Indiana could be 3-0 ATS this year as they ended the FIU game at the 1 yard line and had a blocked xp ret’d for 2 by Virginia in a 4 point win (-5).

Michigan St By 4.5

Las Vegas Total48.5 Points

+/- RatingsMichigan St By 7.8

Phil Steele

23-37-308

Comp-Att-Yds

24-32-332

5-16-11

Comp-Att-Yds

21-35-263

30-52-398

Comp-Att-Yds

147 yards

Indiana Pts

Computer Yards

Michigan St 23-18

Michigan StProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsIndiana 18 points

Michigan St Indiana9 90

Michigan St 384-356

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

7.85

Michigan St Pts0.02

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected Rushing1.59Michigan St Indiana 99 yards

Projected Passing

16-30-185

22-34-158

237 yards Michigan St

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Michigan St Coaches

Michigan St K

Indiana By 3.9

Indiana K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

384 yards Michigan St Indiana 356 yards Indiana Coaches

2.25Indiana 257 yards

Indiana DL

0.38

Michigan St RB's

Indiana LB's

Michigan St DL0.02

Indiana OL

Indiana Leaders

0.82

Michigan St LB'S

Indiana RB's

Michigan St Leaders 0.72

Michigan St DB's

Indiana QB/WR

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Indiana Hoosiers1-1 3-0Spartans Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10

Michigan St Spartans OVERALL: OVERALL:

Hoosiers Logs

TM REC FOE REC

at FIUat Arizona St

Michigan St Indiana Virginia

Bye

Michigan Sks Allowed Penn St Purdue Rush Def at Minnesota

at Ohio Stat Penn St Score Off Iowa Northwestern Total Off

Ball St

Utah St 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Michigan St Central Michigan Pass Off at Rutgersat Indiana Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Nebraska Score Def at Michigan Rutgers Sks By Purdue

at Maryland Pass Def Bye Ohio St Total Def Maryland

Net Offense Defense

Mic

hig

an S

t S

par

tan

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ind

ian

a H

oosi

ers

Net Offense

Rushing Receiving Passing

0.26

Michigan St QB/WR

Indiana DB's

Michigan St Indiana

1.03

Michigan St OL

Page 10: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 108 87 8/30 48-10 W 104 73 52 125 65 111 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 119 #23 9/1 34-29 W 39 47 77 24 12 321-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 110 113 9/8 21-14 W 100 76 52 60 68 89 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 106 89 9/8 45-14 W 41 47 77 103 110 1192-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 111 95 9/15 26-3 W 101 55 35 84 99 88 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 109 101 9/15 14-35 L 37 46 72 106 72 853-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 104 9/22 88 44 34 38 51 68 #66 #25 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 104 111 9/22 38 51 68 88 44 34

9/29 #94 #118 9/293-0 0-0 117 10/6 68 25 22 #95 #88 2-1 0-0 122 10/6 40 2 243-0 1-0 132 10/13 3 6 18 #70 #73 1-2 0-1 91 10/13 113 71 810-2 0-0 101 10/20 37 33 119 #40 #100 3-0 0-0 117 10/20 68 25 223-0 0-0 108 10/27 50 62 83 #6 #27 0-0 0-0 101 10/27 106 100 250-0 0-0 101 11/3 106 100 25 #43 #76 1-1 0-0 119 11/3 32 17 410-0 0-0 106 11/10 45 89 59 #6 #43 3-0 0-0 108 11/10 50 62 830-0 0-0 107 11/17 56 37 82 #7 #76 3-0 1-0 132 11/17 3 6 182-1 0-0 119 11/24 5 16 36 #52 #52 3-0 0-0 126 11/24 18 19 13

#39 #650 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

New Mexico St 48-10 251 4 0 23 47-295 6.3 17-34 227 0 19 20-38 1.9 29-58 233 4 Texas 34-29 2 1 3 21 46-143 3.1 21-34 264 1 20 36-142 3.9 21-39 263 1 Fresno St 21-14 8 7 -1 20 45-132 2.9 16-26 175 1 13 24-87 3.6 24-34 212 0 at Bowling Green 45-14 407 11 0 24 53-444 8.4 8-16 121 0 13 28-15 0.5 17-27 143 5 Miami, OH 26-3 96 12 1 22 44-118 2.7 14-26 177 3 10 31-91 2.9 11-23 108 2 Temple 14-35 -234 -10 -1 11 31-132 4.3 8-21 63 7 21 52-165 3.2 16-28 264 0at Maryland Minnesota Bye Bye Iowa at Michiganat Ohio St Rutgersat Nebraska at Iowa Indiana Illinoisat Illinois Michigan St Purdue at Indiana Northwestern Ohio Stat Wisconsin at Penn St

Average 32-9 118.3 7.7 0.0 22 45-182 4.0 54.7% 193 4.7% 14 25-72 2.9 55.7% 184 5.2% Average 31-26 58.3 0.7 0.7 19 43-240 5.5 52.1% 149 11.3% 18 39-107 2.8 57.4% 223 6.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 24-32 -116.0 -4.5 1.0 16 39-138 3.6 52.7% 164 14.5% 21 44-154 3.5 55.2% 264 1.5%

New Mexico St Zack Annexstad 16-33-220-2-0 Rodney Smith 24-153-6.4-0 Tyler Johnson 5-100-20.0-2 Texas Kasim Hill 17-29-222-1-0 Tayon Fleet-Davis 7-31-4.4-1 Taivon Jacobs 5-73-14.6-1 Fresno St Zack Annexstad 16-26-175-0-0 Bryce Williams 25-87-3.5-0 Rashod Bateman 5-78-15.6-0 at Bowling Green Kasim Hill 8-16-121-1-0 Ty Johnson 12-124-10.3-1 Anthony McFarland 2-53-26.5-0 Miami, OH Zack Annexstad 12-20-142-2-0 Bryce Williams 33-141-4.3-0 Tyler Johnson 9-133-14.8-3 vs. Temple Kasim Hill 7-17-56-0-1 Anthony McFarland 11-107-9.7-0 DJ Turner 4-38-9.5-0at Maryland Minnesota Bye Bye Iowa vs. at Michiganat Ohio St Rutgersat Nebraska at Iowa Indiana vs. Illinoisat Illinois Michigan St Purdue at Indiana Northwestern vs. Ohio Stat Wisconsin at Penn St

vs.

Zack Annexstad 44-79-537-4-0 Bryce Williams 67-259-3.9-1 Tyler Johnson 20-283-14.2-5 Kasim Hill 32-62-399-2-1 Anthony McFarland 21-179-8.5-0 Jeshaun Jones 4-97-24.3-1Tanner Morgan 2-6-35-0-1 Rodney Smith 25-154-6.2-0 Rashod Bateman 13-124-9.5-0 vs. Tyrrell Pigrome 4-8-29-0-1 Ty Johnson 29-177-6.1-1 Taivon Jacobs 7-80-11.4-1

Mohamed Ibrahim 9-101-11.2-0 Chris Autman-Bell 7-89-12.7-0 Jeshaun Jones 1-1-20-1-0 Tayon Fleet-Davis 23-133-5.8-3 Jahrvis Davenport 3-76-25.3-1Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Minnesota - -13 24 18 31-80

Maryland - 43.5 31 23 47-262 22016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Minnesota - 49 31 16 48-229

Maryland - -6.5 10 16 36-130 -4

vs.

vs.

38

18-37-161 140 yards

0.22

120 Minnesota

Minnesota 23 Maryland 20By 3.12 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Maryland Pts

147 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Maryland

Maryland

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

The visitor has won both B10 meetings. Last year MD never trailed. After allowing an 80/7 TD drive to tie the game at 24, the Terps went 74/8 and scored the GW 34 yd TD w/1:10 left. LTH (‘16) QB Conor Rhoda got his 1st career start (7-15-82-1-0, -8 rush) but Minny won 31-10 (+6.5). This is the Gophers first road trip and both teams have a bye on deck in a critical game for each teams’ bowl hopes. The Terps enter off a shocking home loss to Temple. Facing a defense stacked vs the run, QB’s Kasim Hill & Tyrrell Pigrome combined to hit just 8-21-63-0-4 as the Terps were outgained 429-193 & out FD’d 22-9. Minny enters fresh off an easy win over Miami that saw the starters able to rest most of the 2H. The Gophers allowed just 7 FD’s & 199 total yds. After losing RB Rodney Smith for the year true frosh Bryce Williams responded with 141 (4.3) on 33 carries. Minny is allowing just 256 ypg.

Maryland ST's Maryland By 2.5

Projected Rushing13-26-229

18-28-154

7-15-82

Maryland 35POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Minnesota 24-21

Team Schedule Strength Minnesota Phil Steele76 Minnesota Maryland

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

Minnesota by 23

MarylandComp-Att-Yds

Minnesota Minnesota By 4.0

Minnesota By 3.3

+/- Ratings

1.50

Minnesota Coaches

Maryland 359-302Projected Final Score

24 points MinnesotaMinnesota Pts

2.64Computer Yards

155 yards 219 yardsMinnesota

Maryland CoachesGame Grade

46.5 Points

Projected Passing Maryland K0.72

Minnesota KLas Vegas Total

0.12

Minnesota RB's

Maryland LB's

Minnesota DL0.69

Maryland OL

302 yards

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONF

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

at Nebraska Sks Allowed at Iowa Indiana Rush Def Illinois

at Michigan

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

at Ohio St Score Off

Minnesota LB'S1.02

Maryland RB's

Maryland Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)2.77

Minnesota ST's Team & Margin

Minnesota LeadersMaryland QB/WR

0.42

Minnesota DB's

Projected Box Score

vs. BIG 10

OVERALL: OVERALL:

3-0 2-1 Maryland TerrapinsTerrapins Logs

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. BIG 10TEAM --PS RANK--

Golden Gophers Logs

Minnesota Golden Gophers

TM REC FOE REC

Texas Fresno St

Minnesota Marylandat Bowling Green

Miami, OH

Rutgers Iowa Total Off

Temple

New Mexico St 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Minnesota Bye Pass Off Byeat Maryland Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Northwestern Score Def Ohio Stat Wisconsin Sks By at Penn St

at Illinois Pass Def Michigan St Purdue Total Def at Indiana

Net Offense Defense

Min

nes

ota

Gol

den

Gop

her

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mar

ylan

d T

erra

pin

s

Net Offense

Minnesota QB/WR

0.93

Maryland DB's

Minnesota Maryland

Minnesota OL

Maryland DL

Receiving Passing

Minnesota

5.75Maryland 21 points

359 yards

Page 11: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 86 128 #4 9/1 3-34 L 119 95 93 7 15 26 0-0 0-0 81 8/30 42-6 W 89 121 720-1 0-0 89 9/8 28-31 L 122 98 93 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 85 123 9/8 16-24 L 83 123 72 19 12 630-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 85 110 9/15 17-20 L 123 90 90 47 76 40 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 89 107 9/15 10-38 L 77 117 74 52 70 1090-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 88 88 9/22 124 85 98 71 116 102 #115 #31 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 88 88 9/22 71 116 102 124 85 98

2-0 0-0 103 9/29 80 34 74 #47 #75 1-2 0-0 86 9/29 119 103 12810/6 #96 #50 1-2 1-0 100 10/6 105 61 69

2-1 1-0 83 10/13 116 113 77 #121 #106 0-3 0-1 88 10/13 123 104 1100-3 0-2 86 10/20 107 110 47 #113 #40 2-1 0-1 101 10/20 77 91 952-1 1-0 98 10/27 81 86 73 #98 #90 1-1 0-0 101 10/25 64 107 91-2 0-0 99 11/3 87 82 115 #33 #64 1-1 0-0 104 10/31 41 101 162-1 0-0 104 11/10 48 64 97 #66 #85 11/100-3 0-0 78 11/17 125 126 105 #88 #57 0-0 0-0 94 11/17 54 88 862-0 0-0 103 11/24 46 65 127 #38 #68 0-3 0-0 95 11/20 94 96 93

#83 #62-1 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Wisconsin 3-34 -186 -9 -1 15 34-124 3.6 17-30 181 1 24 39-234 6.0 17-31 257 3 Central Conn St 42-6 361 15 0 31 48-316 6.6 28-36 336 0 16 38-174 4.6 14-28 117 1 Maine 28-31 65 3 0 17 31-42 1.4 23-41 347 6 14 41-142 3.5 12-29 182 3 at Notre Dame 16-24 -65 4 1 24 47-169 3.6 23-53 180 1 20 41-117 2.9 17-31 297 4at Louisville 17-20 136 9 0 26 43-168 3.9 25-38 260 3 17 38-204 5.4 10-21 88 1 at Indiana 10-38 -110 -8 0 18 39-204 5.2 14-28 143 3 26 44-255 5.8 24-32 202 0at Ball St WKU Marshall Kent St Bye Northern Illinoisat Charlotte at Central Michigan Old Dominion Eastern Michigan FIU at Ohio at Middle Tennessee at Toledoat Florida Atlantic Bye UTEP Western Michiganat Louisiana Tech at Miami, OH

Average 16-28 5.0 1.0 -0.3 19 36-111 3.1 59.6% 263 9.2% 18 39-193 4.9 48.1% 176 8.6% Average 23-23 62.0 3.7 0.3 24 45-230 5.1 55.6% 220 3.4% 21 41-182 4.4 60.4% 205 5.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 10-27 -25.0 0.0 -0.5 21 39-146 3.8 61.8% 221 5.9% 21 39-219 5.7 51.9% 173 7.7% Home 42-6 361.0 15.0 0.0 31 48-316 6.6 77.8% 336 0.0% 16 38-174 4.6 50.0% 117 3.6%

at Wisconsin Drew Eckels 15-26-167-0-0 Drew Eckels 9-38-4.2-0 Jacquez Sloan 1-48-48.0-0 Central Conn St Riley Neal 23-30-259-2-0 James Gilbert 14-100-7.1-1 Yo'Heinz Tyler 2-83-41.5-2 Maine Drew Eckels 23-41-347-3-0 Garland LaFrance 7-33-4.7-0 Lucky Jackson 4-115-28.8-2 at Notre Dame Riley Neal 23-50-180-1-2 James Gilbert 19-72-3.8-0 Justin Hall 6-71-11.8-0at Louisville Davis Shanley 22-33-240-1-0 D'Andre Ferby 16-74-4.6-0 Quin Jernighan 4-66-16.5-0 vs. at Indiana Riley Neal 12-24-115-0-0 James Gilbert 16-89-5.6-1 Corey Lacanaria 4-40-10.0-0at Ball St WKU Marshall Kent St Bye vs. Northern Illinoisat Charlotte at Central Michigan Old Dominion Eastern Michigan FIU vs. at Ohio at Middle Tennessee at Toledoat Florida Atlantic Bye UTEP vs. Western Michiganat Louisiana Tech at Miami, OH

vs.

Drew Eckels 38-67-514-3-0 D'Andre Ferby 22-102-4.6-0 Lucky Jackson 12-193-16.1-2 Riley Neal 58-104-554-3-2 James Gilbert 49-261-5.3-2 Riley Miller 11-119-10.8-0Davis Shanley 24-36-254-1-0 Garland LaFrance 14-71-5.1-0 Quin Jernighan 11-139-12.6-0 vs. Drew Plitt 7-10-105-1-1 Caleb Huntley 22-112-5.1-0 Corey Lacanaria 11-117-10.6-0Steven Duncan 3-5-20-0-1 Joshua Samuel 13-68-5.2-0 Garland LaFrance 12-123-10.3-1 Riley Neal 23-107-4.7-1 Justin Hall 12-115-9.6-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ball St - 50.5 21 17 31-107

WKU - -10.5 33 22 30-52 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

51

Projected Yardage Total260 yards WKU

28-44-319

126 WKU Ball St

WKU

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

18-36-267

33

3.49

Ball St Pts3.34

WKU Pts

27 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule Strength Ball St Phil Steele15 WKU Ball St Ball St by 6 Ball St 27 WKU 21By 0.15 Points

Projected Passing191 yards WKU Coaches

WKU K

Ball St K

Ball St Coaches

223 yards

414 yards

Projected Rushing

22 points WKU Ball St

127 yards

387 yards WKU

Ball St

Ball St

Ball St

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)2.27

WKU ST's

WKU Leaders 0.15

WKU DB's

Ball St QB/WR

Hilltoppers Logs

WKU Hilltoppers

0.64

Ball St LB's

WKU LB'S1.48

Ball St RB's

WKU DL0.60

Ball St OL

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

0.77Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineBall St By 3

55 Points

+/- Ratings

Last year Ball St took a 21-20 lead with 4:50 left but allowed an 76/8 drive that ended with a 5 yard TD run w/1:38 left. WKU sealed the win with a 34 yd IR TD just :25 sec later for a 33-21 victory. Ball got back QB Neal and RB Gilbert who both missed most of last year and are #33 on my Exp Chart. WKU is just #126. With their QB and RB healthy Ball beat bowl bound UAB from CUSA last year 51-31 at home. WKU is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Last week the Cardinals were outgained 457-347 but they lost 2 def starters early, gave up a PR TD and missed a FG to lose 38-10 (+15). A week after losing to FCS Maine, WKU nearly upset Louisville despite playing without QB Eckels (CS). The ‘Toppers had 428-292 yd & 25-16 FD edges. These teams are close talent-wise but Ball has the better run game (5.1 to 3.1) and better run defense (4.4 vs 4.9) and get this one at home.

Ball St ST's

Game GradeBall St By 4.5

Ball St 414-387

Ball St By 2.5

Ball St 27-22Computer Points

Ball St Leaders

ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

Central Conn St Maine

WKU Ball Stat Notre Dame

at Louisville at Indiana

Old Dominion Sks Allowed Eastern Michigan FIU

FOE +/-TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. CUSA vs. MAC Cardinals Logs

TM REC FOE REC

APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Ball St Cardinals0-3 1-2

TM REC FOE REC

at Wisconsin 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Def at Ohio

Bye Total Off Northern Illinoisat Charlotte Score Off at Central Michigan

at Ball St Rush Off WKU Marshall Pass Off Kent St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

UTEP Score Def Western Michiganat Louisiana Tech Sks By at Miami, OH

at Middle Tennessee Pass Def at Toledoat Florida Atlantic Total Def Bye

Net Offense Defense

WK

U H

illto

pp

ers

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Bal

l St

Car

din

als

Net Offense

0.79

WKU QB/WR

Ball St DB's

WKU Ball St

0.13

WKU OL

Ball St DL

WKU RB's

Page 12: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/1 55-21 W 21 22 97 75 114 130 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 113 9/1 27-31 L 49 90 47 34 26 561-0 0-0 120 9/8 62-14 W 21 22 97 0-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 109 98 9/8 19-20 L 42 90 47 98 85 1152-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 114 9/13 41-34 W 16 24 125 46 71 53 0-2 2-0 0-1 0-0 105 117 9/15 37-40 L 41 89 64 14 58 63-0 0-3 1-0 0-1 121 106 #23 9/22 9 22 120 45 89 59 #8 #56 0-3 3-0 0-1 1-0 106 121 #23 9/22 45 89 59 9 22 120

1-2 0-0 106 9/29 110 67 111 #33 #17 0-2 0-0 101 9/29 37 33 1192-0 0-0 118 10/6 31 73 78 #11 #192-1 0-0 107 10/13 52 72 32 #6 #85 0-0 0-0 101 10/13 106 100 25

10/20 #21 #40 3-0 1-0 132 10/20 3 6 182-1 0-0 122 10/26 25 11 48 #93 #72 1-1 0-0 119 10/27 32 17 412-0 1-0 117 11/3 55 38 20 #35 #120 3-0 0-0 117 11/3 68 25 223-0 0-0 129 11/10 14 4 60 #64 #113 3-0 0-0 111 11/10 88 44 341-2 0-2 104 11/17 17 20 35 #58 #93 2-1 0-0 119 11/17 5 16 363-0 1-0 109 11/24 60 108 3 #7 #38 3-0 0-0 108 11/24 50 62 83

#13 #70+5 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

UMass 55-21 307 14 3 32 60-302 5.0 20-27 320 1 18 33-66 2.0 21-34 249 6 Northwestern 27-31 71 1 -3 23 25-202 8.1 30-46 270 2 22 42-166 4.0 23-37 235 0 Holy Cross 62-14 347 9 1 22 52-365 7.0 16-20 245 1 13 43-197 4.6 12-22 66 1 Eastern Michigan 19-20 60 0 -1 19 42-341 8.1 14-24 135 1 19 31-69 2.2 22-34 347 6at Wake Forest 41-34 12 -8 1 19 44-220 5.0 16-25 304 1 27 60-298 5.0 20-45 214 4 Missouri 37-40 6 -8 0 23 16-42 2.6 39-55 572 1 31 46-233 5.1 26-43 375 1at Purdue Boston College Temple at Nebraskaat NC State Louisville at Illinois Bye Ohio St Miami, Fl at Michigan Stat Virginia Tech Iowa Clemson at Minnesotaat Florida St Wisconsin Syracuse at Indiana

Average 53-23 222.0 5.0 1.7 24 52-296 5.7 72.2% 290 4.2% 19 45-187 4.1 52.5% 176 10.9% Average 28-30 45.7 -2.3 -1.3 22 28-195 7.0 66.4% 326 3.2% 24 40-156 3.9 62.3% 319 6.1% Conference 41-34 12.0 -8.0 1.0 19 44-220 5.0 64.0% 304 4.0% 27 60-298 5.0 44.4% 214 8.9% Conference 27-31 71.0 1.0 -3.0 23 25-202 8.1 65.2% 270 4.3% 22 42-166 4.0 62.2% 235 0.0% Away 41-34 12.0 -8.0 1.0 19 44-220 5.0 64.0% 304 4.0% 27 60-298 5.0 44.4% 214 8.9% Home 28-30 45.7 -2.3 -1.3 22 28-195 7.0 66.4% 326 3.2% 24 40-156 3.9 62.3% 319 6.1%

UMass Anthony Brown 15-21-279-4-0 AJ Dillon 20-98-4.9-0 Kobay White 3-86-28.7-2 Northwestern Elijah Sindelar 18-30-196-1-3 Rondale Moore 2-79-39.5-1 Rondale Moore 11-109-9.9-1 Holy Cross Matt McDonald 5-6-107-2-0 AJ Dillon 6-149-24.8-3 Noah Jordan-Williams 2-70-35.0-1 Eastern Michigan Elijah Sindelar 8-14-87-1-0 DJ Knox 21-152-7.2-1 Cole Herdman 3-33-11.0-0at Wake Forest Anthony Brown 16-25-304-5-0 AJ Dillon 33-185-5.6-1 Jeff Smith 6-145-24.2-2 vs. Missouri David Blough 39-55-572-3-1 DJ Knox 7-23-3.3-0 Rondale Moore 11-137-12.5-1at Purdue Boston College Temple at Nebraskaat NC State vs. Louisville at Illinois Bye Ohio St Miami, Fl vs. at Michigan Stat Virginia Tech Iowa Clemson at Minnesotaat Florida St vs. Wisconsin Syracuse at Indiana

vs.

Anthony Brown 33-48-626-9-0 AJ Dillon 59-432-7.3-4 Jeff Smith 9-184-20.4-2 David Blough 57-81-694-3-1 DJ Knox 35-252-7.2-2 Rondale Moore 25-262-10.5-2EJ Perry 12-16-125-2-0 David Bailey 16-106-6.6-1 Kobay White 5-147-29.4-3 vs. Elijah Sindelar 26-44-283-2-3 Markell Jones 21-141-6.7-0 Brycen Hopkins 9-175-19.4-1Matt McDonald 7-8-118-2-0 Jeff Smith 8-97-12.1-0 Ben Glines 5-89-17.8-2 Rondale Moore 4-128-32.0-1 Jared Sparks 13-138-10.6-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Boston College 37-28Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

Phil SteeleBoston College by 11 Boston College 38 Purdue 27By 4.12 Points

Boston College

PurdueTeam Schedule Strength

Boston College 517-466Projected Final Score

7.63Computer Yards

Boston College Pts

3.51

Purdue Pts

246 yards

Boston College By 5.3

Purdue

Boston College Eagles

466 yards

+/- RatingsPurdue K

Game Grade

Boston College K

1.33Las Vegas Total

517 yards Boston College Purdue Coaches

Boston CollegeProjected Yardage Total

Purdue 257 yards0.75

Purdue

Boston College Coaches

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Boston College Leaders

209 yardsProjected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

0.11

Purdue OL

2.49

1st meeting. Under HC Addazio, BC is 17-6 vs non-conf foes. Last year BC was actually +8 ppg on the road and -2 ppg at home BC rates a large edge on defense (#28 vs #82) and BC has the much more balanced offense with 296 ypg rush and 290 ypg pass. Last week after alternating QB’s Purdue stuck with David Blough and he has a school record 572 pass yards in the 3 point home loss to Missouri. Purdue is 0-3 but with losses by 4, 1 and 3 are 3 plays away from being 3-0 and have faced the tougher schedule (#11 vs #130) and are actually +46 ypg. BC is #11 in my pass defense rankings and the D has recorded 11 sacks. Last week special teams gave Wake 14 points or BC would have won by more. BC is the best team that Purdue has faced so far, and the Boilermakers are just 5-20 ATS as a home dog. BC has now covered 11 straight regular season games and make it 12 here.

Purdue ST's Boston College By 6.5

68 Points

Boston College ST's

1.90

Team & Margin

Boston College By 12.3

Phil's Forecast:

Purdue Leaders

Boston College LB'S

Boston College DL

Boston College DB's

Purdue QB/WR

271 yards Boston CollegeProjected Passing

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

130 Boston College Purdue 11

30

Purdue37 points

8 Boston College

Boston College 28 pointsExperience Rankings

Holy CrossBoston College Purdue

Eastern Michiganat Wake Forest Missouri

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Defense

Score Score

Passing ReceivingRushing

Boston College PurduePosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Bye Sks Allowed Ohio St Miami, Fl Rush Def at Michigan St

Total Off Louisville Score Off at Illinoisat NC State

TM CONF--PS RANK-- FOE

TM REC FOE REC

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--1-0 0-1

TM REC FOE REC

AP TEAM

vs. BIG 10 Boilermakers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Purdue Boilermakers3-0 0-3vs. ACCEagles Logs

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Northwestern UMass

APTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Rush Off Boston College Temple Pass Off at Nebraskaat Purdue

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Florida St Score Def Wisconsin Syracuse Sks By at Indiana

at Virginia Tech Pass Def Iowa Clemson Total Def at Minnesota

Net Offense Defense

Bos

ton

Col

leg

e Ea

gle

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Pu

rdu

e B

oile

rmak

ers

Net Offense

2.38

Boston College RB's

Purdue LB's

1.11

Boston College QB/WR

Purdue DB's

Boston College OL

Purdue DL

0.16

Purdue RB's

0.91

Page 13: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 88 111 #21 8/30 17-56 L 124 125 107 25 79 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 96 8/31 55-42 W 70 109 42 60 99 700-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 85 120 #20 9/8 7-62 L 121 125 107 55 30 18 1-0 0-0 103 9/8 62-10 W 71 105 420-2 0-1 82 9/15 56-49 W 125 128 92 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 105 108 9/15 30-7 W 60 111 2 15 19 311-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 84 109 9/22 122 130 76 60 108 3 #47 #20 3-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 109 84 9/22 60 108 3 122 130 76

3-0 0-0 103 9/29 112 66 53 #80 #71 3-0 0-0 129 9/29 14 4 602-1 0-1 117 10/6 16 81 19 #67 #32 2-1 1-0 112 10/6 67 35 117

10/13 #89 #12 10/133-0 0-0 107 10/20 49 74 88 #40 #79 0-2 0-0 107 10/20 91 27 41-3 0-1 89 10/27 96 125 130 #128 #33 2-0 0-0 118 10/27 31 73 781-2 0-0 98 11/3 104 115 109 #126 #103 2-1 0-1 114 11/3 36 75 560-3 0-0 92 11/10 102 102 123 #129 #78 2-1 0-0 107 11/10 52 72 321-1 0-0 92 11/17 108 112 108 #129 #41 3-0 2-0 118 11/17 21 14 671-2 0-0 106 11/24 110 67 111 #104 #38 3-0 1-0 121 11/24 9 22 120

#129 #49-5 +4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

UCF 17-56 -166 -4 -3 27 46-220 4.8 27-41 266 0 31 36-296 8.2 26-34 356 0 at Western Michigan 55-42 -61 2 1 26 62-334 5.4 11-28 226 2 24 28-242 8.6 19-36 379 1at Boise St 7-62 -615 -29 -1 9 25-122 4.9 11-21 71 1 38 45-400 8.9 25-33 408 0 Wagner 62-10 168 12 2 26 43-215 5.0 24-37 241 1 14 41-41 1.0 17-33 247 2 Rhode Island 56-49 23 4 -1 32 54-265 4.9 20-27 308 3 28 28-199 7.1 23-34 351 3 Florida St 30-7 201 14 1 25 57-222 3.9 18-31 219 3 11 23-62 2.7 18-37 178 4at Syracuse Connecticut Cincinnati at Clemsonat Memphis at Pittsburgh Bye Byeat USF North Carolina UMass NC Stateat Tulsa at Wake Forest SMU Louisvilleat East Carolina † Notre Dame Temple at Boston College

Average 27-56 -252.7 -9.7 -1.7 23 42-202 4.9 65.2% 215 4.5% 32 36-298 8.2 73.3% 372 3.0% Average 49-20 102.7 9.3 1.3 26 54-257 4.8 55.2% 229 6.3% 16 31-115 3.8 50.9% 268 6.6% Conference 17-56 -166.0 -4.0 -3.0 27 46-220 4.8 65.9% 266 0.0% 31 36-296 8.2 76.5% 356 0.0% Conference 30-7 201.0 14.0 1.0 25 57-222 3.9 58.1% 219 9.7% 11 23-62 2.7 48.6% 178 10.8% Away 7-62 -615.0 -29.0 -1.0 9 25-122 4.9 52.4% 71 4.8% 38 45-400 8.9 75.8% 408 0.0% Home 46-9 184.5 13.0 1.5 26 50-219 4.4 61.8% 230 5.9% 13 32-52 1.6 50.0% 213 8.6%

UCF David Pindell 27-41-266-1-1 David Pindell 22-157-7.1-1 Kyle Buss 7-113-16.1-0 at Western Michigan Eric Dungey 7-19-184-2-0 Eric Dungey 15-200-13.3-1 Jamal Custis 6-168-28.0-2at Boise St David Pindell 11-21-71-1-1 Kevin Mensah 10-82-8.2-0 Hergy Mayala 3-24-8.0-0 Wagner Eric Dungey 23-32-218-5-1 Moe Neal 9-71-7.9-0 Nykeim Johnson 3-65-21.7-1 Rhode Island David Pindell 20-27-308-4-1 Kevin Mensah 25-144-5.8-2 Hero Mauriseau 1-74-74.0-1 vs. Florida St Tommy DeVito 11-16-144-1-0 Moe Neal 19-75-3.9-0 Jamal Custis 4-56-14.0-0at Syracuse Connecticut Cincinnati at Clemsonat Memphis vs. at Pittsburgh Bye Byeat USF North Carolina UMass vs. NC Stateat Tulsa at Wake Forest SMU Louisvilleat East Carolina vs. † Notre Dame Temple at Boston College

vs.

David Pindell 58-89-645-6-3 David Pindell 62-334-5.4-3 Kyle Buss 8-129-16.1-0 Eric Dungey 37-66-477-7-1 Eric Dungey 35-277-7.9-1 Jamal Custis 15-265-17.7-3Kevin Mensah 55-285-5.2-2 Aaron McLean 10-102-10.2-2 vs. Tommy DeVito 16-30-209-1-0 Moe Neal 56-228-4.1-2 Nykeim Johnson 6-97-16.2-1Khyo Gillespie 1-6-6.0-0 Hergy Mayala 11-99-9.0-2 Jarveon Howard 18-124-6.9-0 Sean Riley 10-81-8.1-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Connecticut - -3 24 23 45-144

Syracuse - 58 31 19 26-62 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Syracuse

Connecticut Pts

Syracuse By 28.3

Syracuse By 36.4Game Grade

0.15

112 41Connecticut

Phil SteeleConnecticut Syracuse 113 Syracuse by 31 Syracuse 55 Connecticut 24By 9.38 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength Syracuse

665 yards

Syracuse 56 points 0.66

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Syracuse 56-22

46

Connecticut DB's

3.21

Syracuse QB/WR

Las Vegas LineSyracuse By 27.5

Connecticut K26-40-407

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Syracuse

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Connecticut Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing145 yards Connecticut 299 yards

Projected Passing

Syracuse Leaders

Connecticut ST's

28-46-281

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush Def

AP

Connecticut Syracuse

Phil's Forecast:

Last met in 2016, a 31-24 Orange road victory. Syracuse is in a massive Florida St/Clemson sandwich and last week played their A++ game at home whipping Florida St. With Clemson on deck this should be a C- or D effort as a big favorite with everyone patting them on the back. Babers is just 3-4 ATS as a HF. Edsall is 10-5 ATS his last 15 as an AD with Connecticut. Last year Syracuse had 323 ypg pass at home and UConn’s two deep in the secondary consists of 3 sophs and 5 frosh. The defense as a whole has 5 frosh starters and is allowing an amazing 8.2 yards per carry, 73% completions and 670 total yards per game with 56 ppg. Last week against FCS Rhode Island RB Kevin Mensah scored the 22 yd GW TD with :57 left. SU QB Dungey was injured last week but Tommy Devito led the win and super-sized WR Jamal Custis should be on your fantasy team this week and he has 8 TD and 17.7 ypc and takes on those young DB’s.

Syracuse ST's

76 PointsSyracuse K

0.07Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Connecticut Coaches

22 pointsProjected Final Score

Syracuse Coaches

Syracuse 665-396

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

10.05

Experience Rankings Syracuse PtsConnecticut

366 yards

396 yards

251 yards SyracuseConnecticutProjected Yardage Total

Receiving

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-1 1-0

TM REC FOE REC

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Defense

Score

Passing Rushing

--PS RANK--

at East Carolina

at Boise StConnecticut Syracuse

Wagner Rhode Island Florida St

Sks Allowed North Carolina UMass

TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Syracuse Orangemen1-2 3-0

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

vs. AAC vs. ACC Orangemen LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Connecticut HuskiesHuskies Logs

TM REC FOE REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Western Michigan UCF

NC Stateat USF

Total Off at Pittsburgh Bye Score Off Byeat Memphis

Rush Off Connecticut Cincinnati Pass Off at Clemsonat Syracuse

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def † Notre Dame Temple Sks By at Boston College

Pass Def at Wake Forest SMU Total Def Louisvilleat Tulsa

Connecticut Syracuse

0.31

Connecticut OL

Syracuse DL

Connecticut RB's

0.61

Syracuse LB's

Connecticut LB'S

1.12

Syracuse RB's

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Con

nec

ticu

t H

usk

ies

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Syr

acu

se O

ran

gem

en

Receiving

0.35

Connecticut QB/WR

Syracuse DB's

Connecticut DL2.19

Syracuse OL

2.71

Page 14: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 91 109 9/1 28-38 L 92 100 50 43 72 90 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 115 #8 #25 9/2 17-33 L 22 7 66 41 9 780-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 93 89 9/8 28-20 W 95 99 50 101 96 57 0-1 0-0 115 #22 9/8 77-0 W 22 9 661-1 1-2 1-0 0-1 94 93 9/15 63-24 W 93 91 89 96 125 130 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 107 #21 9/15 49-24 W 25 9 43 43 96 112-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 98 122 #21 9/22 81 86 73 25 11 48 #54 #53 2-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 122 98 #21 9/22 25 11 48 81 86 73

9/29 #74 #64 0-2 0-0 107 9/29 91 27 410/6 #67 #57 1-2 0-2 104 10/6 17 20 35

1-2 0-0 99 10/13 87 82 115 #34 #14 2-1 0-0 104 10/13 97 53 710-0 0-0 79 10/20 109 127 27 #21 #60 10/200-3 0-0 88 10/27 124 85 98 #81 #21 3-0 1-0 121 10/27 9 22 1202-1 0-0 104 11/3 48 64 97 #101 #10 3-0 0-0 121 11/3 82 21 121

#94 #5 1-2 0-1 108 11/10 28 68 1032-1 1-0 83 11/17 116 113 77 #82 #37 2-0 1-0 117 11/17 55 38 202-0 0-0 103 11/24 80 34 74 #52 #21 2-1 1-0 112 11/24 67 35 117

#90 #20-2 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Indiana 28-38 -238 -9 -2 22 39-70 1.8 17-28 157 1 31 45-213 4.7 28-37 252 1 † LSU 17-33 46 1 -2 18 34-83 2.4 15-35 259 4 17 41-156 3.8 11-24 140 2at Old Dominion 28-20 93 9 -1 25 51-189 3.7 19-31 300 2 16 27-93 3.4 19-37 303 2 Savannah State 77-0 416 15 2 20 37-239 6.5 19-31 255 1 5 46-30 0.7 6-12 48 3 UMass 63-24 113 8 1 32 53-329 6.2 16-23 207 0 24 34-199 5.9 15-32 224 3 at Toledo 49-24 139 7 1 24 53-268 5.1 13-23 205 0 17 36-112 3.1 13-23 222 4at Miami, Fl FIU Ark Pine Bluff North Carolina Bye Florida St Middle Tennessee at Virginia Rice Byeat WKU at Boston College Florida Atlantic Duke

at Georgia Techat Charlotte at Virginia Tech Marshall Pittsburgh

Average 40-27 -10.7 2.7 -0.7 26 48-196 4.1 63.4% 221 3.7% 24 35-168 4.8 58.5% 260 5.7% Average 48-19 200.3 7.7 0.3 21 41-197 4.8 52.8% 240 5.6% 13 41-99 2.4 50.8% 137 15.3% Conference 28-20 93.0 9.0 -1.0 25 51-189 3.7 61.3% 300 6.5% 16 27-93 3.4 51.4% 303 5.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 28-20 93.0 9.0 -1.0 25 51-189 3.7 61.3% 300 6.5% 16 27-93 3.4 51.4% 303 5.4% Home 77-0 416.0 15.0 2.0 20 37-239 6.5 61.3% 255 3.2% 5 46-30 0.7 50.0% 48 25.0%

Indiana James Morgan 11-20-90-1-1 Anthony Jones 15-88-5.9-2 CJ Worton 5-69-13.8-0 † LSU Malik Rosier 15-35-259-1-2 DeeJay Dallas 8-38-4.8-0 Jeff Thomas 5-132-26.4-0at Old Dominion James Morgan 17-27-251-3-1 Shawndarrius Phillips 18-94-5.2-1 CJ Worton 3-79-26.3-1 Savannah State Malik Rosier 8-12-131-2-0 Travis Homer 13-70-5.4-0 Jeff Thomas 1-67-67.0-1 UMass James Morgan 16-23-207-2-1 Shawndarrius Phillips 16-117-7.3-2 Shawndarrius Phillips 3-56-18.7-0 vs. at Toledo Malik Rosier 13-23-205-2-0 DeeJay Dallas 17-110-6.5-1 Jeff Thomas 5-105-21.0-1at Miami, Fl FIU Ark Pine Bluff North Carolina Bye vs. Florida St Middle Tennessee at Virginia Rice Byeat WKU vs. at Boston College Florida Atlantic Duke

at Georgia Techat Charlotte vs. at Virginia Tech Marshall Pittsburgh

vs.

James Morgan 44-70-548-6-3 Shawndarrius Phillips 45-249-5.5-4 CJ Worton 9-171-19.0-1 Malik Rosier 36-70-595-5-2 DeeJay Dallas 30-196-6.5-1 Jeff Thomas 11-304-27.6-2Christian Alexander 8-12-116-0-0 Napoleon Maxwell 37-182-4.9-2 Maurice Alexander 6-92-15.3-2 vs. N'Kosi Perry 9-14-93-3-1 Travis Homer 36-162-4.5-0 Lawrence Cager 7-131-18.7-2

Anthony Jones 15-88-5.9-2 Tony Gaiter 8-85-10.6-1 Jarren Williams 1-3-17-0-0 Malik Rosier 25-88-3.5-5 Darrell Langham 5-75-15.0-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FIU Golden Panthers

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

FIU RB's1.43

Miami, Fl LB's

FIU LB'S1.08

Miami, Fl RB's

FIU DL0.88

Miami, Fl OL

1.95FIU LeadersFIU DB's

Miami, Fl QB/WR

FIU K

Team Schedule Strength69 FIU Miami, Fl by 24 Miami Fl 44 FIU 20By 8.36 Points

Miami, Fl

Miami, Fl 84Miami, Fl

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Miami, FlProjected Rushing

Phil Steele

50POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

FIU

100 FIU

Miami, Fl Leaders

Game Grade238 yards Miami, Fl Coaches

0.80Miami, Fl 309 yards FIU Coaches

FIU 519 yardsMiami, Fl

138 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rice

Florida Atlantic

58.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineMiami, Fl By 26.5

+/- RatingsMiami, Fl By 28.5

Phil's Forecast:

FIU HC Butch Davis was HC at Miami from 1995-2000. He was 2-1 vs UM while HC at N Carolina. The campuses are just 9 miles apart. Last met in 2006 when an embarrassing bench clearing brawl occurred w/9:00 left 3Q in the Hurricane’s 35-0 shutout of the Panthers. Miami does have a big Thursday Nite game on deck vs North Carolina. Last year FIU was -143 ypg on the road (-17 ppg) and +81 ypg (+9 ppg) at home. Miami got a solid road win at Toledo last week, 49-24 (-12). They held a +139 yd edge and rushed for 268 (5.1). Since Davis took over at FIU, the Panthers have put up 500+ yds twice, both times against UMass including LW in their 63-24 win (-3’). FIU rushed for 329 (6.2) yds as both RB’s Phillips and Maxwell topped 100 yds, but they will find it tough sledding against a Canes D that allows just 99 (2.4) rush ypg. The young FIU defense has allowed FBS season highs to all 3 foes and take on an offense that has put up 63 ppg the last 2 weeks. The Canes have edges across the board, but the players for FIU will be more motivated for this game & the Panthers are 12-5 as a dog.

101 yards FIUProjected Passing Miami, Fl K

0.01

Miami, Fl ST's

Miami, Fl By 23.3Projected Yardage Total

45 pointsMiami, FlProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings Miami, Fl PtsMiami, Fl 519-2388.37

Computer Yards

Computer PointsMiami, Fl 45-19

210 yards

FIU ST's0.30

0.01

FIU Pts

19 points FIU

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE

REC

at Old DominionFIU

PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Miami, Fl

Ark Pine Bluff Pass Off

ReceivingRushingPosition by Position Edges

at Charlotte

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

Hurricanes Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Miami, Fl Hurricanes

--PS RANK--AP FOE--PS RANK--

vs. CUSA

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

1-0 0-0

2-1 2-1vs. ACCGolden Panthers Logs

North Carolinaat Miami, Fl

Total Off Florida St Middle Tennessee Score Off at Virginia Bye

Savannah State UMass at Toledo

Indiana

Rush Off FIU

FOE REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS † LSU

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Def at Georgia TechScore Def at Virginia Tech

Marshall Sks By Pittsburgh

Sks Allowed Byeat WKU Rush Def at Boston College

Pass Def Duke

Net Offense Defense

FIU

Gol

den

Pan

ther

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mia

mi,

Fl H

urr

ican

es

Net Offense

FIU QB/WR1.15

Miami, Fl DB's

FIU Miami, Fl

FIU OL0.79

Miami, Fl DL

Page 15: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 117 9/1 33-7 W 74 39 87 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 113 9/1 17-24 L 76 49 13 56 77 841-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 118 #13 9/8 6-51 L 64 44 87 13 18 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 112 87 9/8 19-41 L 80 41 13 112 126 1271-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 108 9/15 24-19 W 68 42 118 30 64 104 0-2 2-0 0-0 1-0 107 112 #18 9/15 88 30 5 17 80 672-1 0-2 1-0 0-0 112 107 9/22 67 35 117 91 27 4 #42 #80 0-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 107 112 9/22 91 27 4 67 35 117

2-0 1-0 112 9/29 19 83 62 #120 #103 2-1 0-0 122 9/27 25 11 483-0 1-0 109 10/6 60 108 3 #107 #106 10/63-0 2-0 118 10/13 21 14 67 #111 #117 2-0 1-0 117 10/13 55 38 20

10/20 #40 #1 3-0 1-0 109 10/20 60 108 33-0 0-0 121 10/27 82 21 121 #100 #97 2-1 0-0 104 10/27 97 53 712-1 0-0 104 11/3 97 53 71 #26 #62 1-2 0-1 108 11/3 28 68 1032-0 1-0 117 11/10 55 38 20 #65 #87 3-0 0-0 121 11/10 82 21 1212-1 0-1 114 11/17 36 75 56 #75 #98 11/172-1 0-0 122 11/24 25 11 48 #1 #68 2-0 0-0 118 11/24 31 73 78

#91 #1010 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Albany 33-7 84 5 0 21 37-238 6.4 17-23 169 0 16 28-60 2.1 18-29 263 5 at California 17-24 22 -3 -4 16 38-164 4.3 15-35 137 0 19 49-160 3.3 16-32 119 4 Penn St 6-51 -90 -8 -1 15 52-245 4.7 9-18 55 4 23 33-211 6.4 15-31 179 1 at East Carolina 19-41 -115 -7 0 19 25-161 6.4 25-44 234 0 26 49-220 4.5 19-33 290 1 Georgia Tech 24-19 -51 -6 1 16 31-138 4.5 16-23 197 0 22 56-320 5.7 6-15 66 14 UCF CANCELLEDat North Carolina Pittsburghat UCF at Miami, Fl Syracuse Byeat Notre Dame Virginia Tech Bye at Syracuse Duke at Virginiaat Virginia Georgia Tech Virginia Tech at Dukeat Wake Forest Western Carolinaat Miami, Fl NC State

Average 21-26 -19.0 -3.0 0.0 17 40-207 5.2 65.6% 140 6.3% 20 39-197 5.1 52.0% 169 26.7% Average 18-33 -46.5 -5.0 -2.0 18 32-163 5.2 50.6% 186 0.0% 23 49-190 3.9 53.8% 205 7.7% Conference 24-19 -51.0 -6.0 1.0 16 31-138 4.5 69.6% 197 0.0% 22 56-320 5.7 40.0% 66 93.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Albany Kenny Pickett 16-22-154-2-1 Qadree Ollison 7-73-10.4-0 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 3-50-16.7-2 at California Nathan Elliott 15-35-137-1-4 Nathan Elliott 10-58-5.8-0 Anthony Ratliff 3-62-20.7-1 Penn St Kenny Pickett 9-18-55-0-1 Qadree Ollison 21-119-5.7-1 Shocky Jacques-Louis 2-21-10.5-0 at East Carolina Nathan Elliott 22-38-219-0-0 Antonio Williams 6-96-16.0-0 Anthony Ratliff 4-84-21.0-0 Georgia Tech Kenny Pickett 16-23-197-0-1 Qadree Ollison 17-91-5.4-2 Taysir Mack 4-95-23.8-0 vs. UCF CANCELLEDat North Carolina Pittsburghat UCF at Miami, Fl Syracuse vs. Byeat Notre Dame Virginia Tech Bye at Syracuse Duke vs. at Virginiaat Virginia Georgia Tech Virginia Tech at Dukeat Wake Forest vs. Western Carolinaat Miami, Fl NC State

vs.

Kenny Pickett 41-63-406-2-3 Qadree Ollison 45-283-6.3-3 Taysir Mack 8-148-18.5-0 Nathan Elliott 37-73-356-1-4 Antonio Williams 23-143-6.2-1 Anthony Ratliff 7-146-20.9-1Ricky Town 1-1-15-0-0 AJ Davis 19-84-4.4-0 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 9-95-10.6-2 vs. Cade Fortin 3-6-15-0-0 Jordon Brown 19-94-4.9-1 Rontavius Groves 3-54-18.0-0

Kenny Pickett 22-80-3.6-1 George Aston 5-36-7.2-0 Nathan Elliott 11-59-5.4-0 Jordon Brown 5-45-9.0-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - -9 31 25 45-267

North Carolina - 49 34 21 32-96 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - 66.5 36 21 55-281

North Carolina - -7 37 22 22-18 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh 23 56 19 25 37-153

North Carolina - -3 26 17 35-174 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - 65.5 35 23 53-305

North Carolina - -2.5 40 30 43-226 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Pittsburgh - 53 27 22 40-46

North Carolina - E 34 17 35-149 0

21-32-270

Comp-Att-Yds

Panthers Logs

Projected Rushing11-17-142

TEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

208 yards Pittsburgh North Carolina 132 yards

14-23-270

Comp-Att-Yds

27-42-262

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

14-18-140

35-46-453

11-16-218

23-40-276

15-27-173

Comp-Att-Yds

23-39-313

North Carolina RB's

0.91

N Carolina by 3 North Carolina 23 Pittsburgh 20By 5.01 Points

North Carolina Phil Steele

Pittsburgh is 0-5 all-time playing at Chapel Hill. The last 7 have been decided by 7 pts or less (3 ppg). NC has won 5 in a row in the series overall (4-1 ATS). NC comes in off unexpected rest after having their game vs UCF cancelled early. Pitt rebounded last week to beat Georgia Tech. The Panthers led 24-6 early 4Q before GT got 2 long TD drives. This is actually NC’s home opener and their backs are against a wall after starting 0-2. Pitt is playing their first road game, and they haven’t been an AF since ‘16. They were -49 ypg on the road last year and under Narduzzi they are 6-12-1 as a fav. The Tar Heels get a couple of players back but will still be without 8 players due to suspension. Pitt’s QB Pickett only has a 2-3 ratio but NC’s Elliot is hitting just 50.7% with a 1-4 ratio. This is a circle the wagons game for the short-handed Tar Heels and they did hold Cal to 279 total yards in the opener and have the situational edge off a bye with Pitt off a big home win and traveling.

N Carolina 367-320

N Carolina 22-21

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineNorth Carolina ST's Pittsburgh By 4

2.31

Pittsburgh Coaches

0.50

49.5 PointsNorth Carolina K

Pittsburgh K

+/- RatingsPittsburgh By 1.3

North Carolina CoachesNorth Carolina 367 yards

Computer Points

Computer YardsNorth Carolina 22 points

Projected Final Score

Team Schedule StrengthRet

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScorePittsburgh ST's

83 North Carolina 69POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:Pittsburgh

45 Pittsburgh North Carolina 35

Pittsburgh DL

North Carolina OL

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE +/-AP

FOE

PittsburghExperience Rankings

Pittsburgh By 0.5

235 yardsProjected Passing

Game Grade

112 yards Pittsburgh North Carolina

2.57

Pittsburgh Pts7.5821 points

North Carolina Pts

Projected Yardage Total320 yards Pittsburgh

0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF--PS RANK--

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Defense

Score

Pittsburgh North Carolinaat East Carolina

Sks Allowed at Syracuse

Net Offense

Tar Heels Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: North Carolina Tar Heels

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

FOE

Pittsburgh Panthers 2-1 0-2vs. ACC vs. ACC

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS1-0

Georgia Tech UCF

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at California Albany

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/-

Duke Rush Def at Virginia

Total Off Byeat Notre Dame Score Off Virginia Tech Syracuse

Rush Off Pittsburghat UCF Pass Off at Miami, Flat North Carolina

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def Western Carolinaat Miami, Fl Sks By NC State

at Virginia Pass Def Georgia Tech Virginia Tech Total Def at Duke

Offense Defense

Pit

tsb

urg

h P

anth

ers

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Tar

Hee

ls

Pittsburgh QB/WR

1.55North Carolina DB's

Pittsburgh North Carolina

Pittsburgh OL0.16

North Carolina DL

Phil's Forecast:

North Carolina Leaders

Receiving

Team & Margin

3.00Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Pittsburgh LeadersNorth Carolina QB/WR

Pittsburgh DB's0.06

0.68

Pittsburgh RB's

North Carolina LB's

0.98

Pittsburgh LB'S

at Wake Forest

Net

Bye

Penn St

Page 16: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 9/1 7-33 L 91 61 35 68 36 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 114 111 #19 #20 9/3 3-24 L 6 18 6 73 32 390-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 100 120 9/8 6-17 L 92 62 35 44 20 1 0-1 0-1 110 9/8 36-26 W 8 16 60-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 101 87 9/15 24-16 W 103 66 69 120 102 113 1-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 108 105 9/15 7-30 L 15 19 31 60 111 21-2 1-2 1-0 0-2 100 104 9/22 105 61 69 17 20 35 #101 #120 1-2 1-2 0-2 1-0 104 100 9/22 17 20 35 105 61 69

2-1 0-1 101 9/29 77 91 95 #125 #59 2-1 0-0 107 9/29 52 72 321-2 0-0 88 10/6 71 116 102 #129 #110 2-1 0-0 122 10/6 25 11 481-1 0-0 101 10/13 64 107 9 #127 #122 10/13

10/20 #106 #113 2-1 0-1 114 10/20 36 75 562-1 2-1 109 10/27 79 48 90 #67 #44 3-0 0-0 129 10/27 14 4 602-0 0-0 97 11/1 115 52 94 #51 #116 2-0 0-0 118 11/3 31 73 781-1 0-0 104 11/7 41 101 16 #51 #95 3-0 2-0 118 11/10 21 14 670-3 0-0 95 11/14 94 96 93 #53 #79 3-0 1-0 121 11/17 9 22 1200-0 0-0 94 11/20 54 88 86 #7 #52 2-1 0-1 115 11/24 24 23 57

#117 #1150 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Iowa 7-33 -141 -3 -1 15 36-101 2.8 15-26 110 5 18 48-209 4.4 13-25 143 1 Virginia Tech 3-24 8 -3 -5 12 28-94 3.4 22-35 233 5 15 40-112 2.8 16-26 207 3 Utah 6-17 -126 -4 0 15 43-117 2.7 18-33 111 3 19 39-68 1.7 20-31 286 7 Samford 36-26 -71 2 4 25 35-134 3.8 31-46 320 1 23 19-50 2.6 39-60 475 0 Central Michigan 24-16 -38 -6 1 15 48-180 3.8 12-20 104 1 21 46-164 3.6 18-33 158 3 at Syracuse 7-30 -201 -14 -1 11 23-62 2.7 18-37 178 4 25 57-222 3.9 18-31 219 3at Florida St Northern Illinoisat Eastern Michigan at Louisvilleat Ball St at Miami, Fl Ohio Bye Bye Wake Forestat BYU Clemsonat Akron at NC State Toledo at Notre Dame Miami, OH Boston Collegeat Western Michigan Florida

Average 12-22 -101.7 -4.3 0.0 15 42-133 3.1 57.0% 108 11.4% 19 44-147 3.3 57.3% 196 12.4% Average 15-27 -88.0 -5.0 -0.7 16 29-97 3.4 60.2% 244 8.5% 21 39-128 3.3 62.4% 300 5.1% Conference 24-16 -38.0 -6.0 1.0 15 48-180 3.8 60.0% 104 5.0% 21 46-164 3.6 54.5% 158 9.1% Conference 5-27 -96.5 -8.5 -3.0 12 26-78 3.1 55.6% 206 12.5% 20 49-167 3.4 59.6% 213 10.5% Away 7-33 -141.0 -3.0 -1.0 15 36-101 2.8 57.7% 110 19.2% 18 48-209 4.4 52.0% 143 4.0% Home 20-25 -31.5 -0.5 -0.5 19 32-114 3.6 65.4% 277 7.4% 19 30-81 2.7 64.0% 341 3.5%

at Iowa Marcus Childers 14-25-105-1-1 Jordan Nettles 13-74-5.7-0 Jauan Wesley 4-43-10.8-1 Virginia Tech Deondre Francois 22-35-233-0-3 Cam Akers 14-82-5.9-0 Keith Gavin 3-54-18.0-0 Utah Marcus Childers 18-33-111-0-1 Tre Harbison 13-63-4.8-0 Jauan Wesley 8-73-9.1-0 Samford Deondre Francois 31-46-320-3-0 Cam Akers 14-76-5.4-0 Nyqwan Murray 6-63-10.5-0 Central Michigan Marcus Childers 11-18-109-3-0 Tre Harbison 13-124-9.5-0 DJ Brown 4-69-17.3-1 vs. at Syracuse Deondre Francois 18-36-178-0-1 Cam Akers 10-52-5.2-0 Keith Gavin 6-79-13.2-0at Florida St Northern Illinoisat Eastern Michigan at Louisvilleat Ball St vs. at Miami, Fl Ohio Bye Bye Wake Forestat BYU vs. Clemsonat Akron at NC State Toledo at Notre Dame Miami, OH vs. Boston Collegeat Western Michigan Florida

vs.

Marcus Childers 43-76-325-4-2 Tre Harbison 32-228-7.1-0 DJ Brown 13-130-10.0-1 Deondre Francois 71-117-731-3-4 Cam Akers 38-210-5.5-0 Nyqwan Murray 14-146-10.4-0DJ Brown 1-1-5-0-0 Jordan Nettles 32-130-4.1-0 Jauan Wesley 14-124-8.9-1 vs. Jacques Patrick 24-97-4.0-0 Keith Gavin 11-144-13.1-0

Marcus Jones 27-99-3.7-0 Ty Harmston 3-21-7.0-0 Amir Rasul 1-2-2.0-0 Tamorrion Terry 6-100-16.7-2Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Projected Passing121 yards

Florida St

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Projected Rushing

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings24 points

Projected Final Score

Florida St 163 yards

+/- Ratings

N Illinois 0.77

Florida St K

Florida St18 N Illinois Florida St 36

40 N Illinois Florida St 78

Florida St by 7 Florida St 17 Northern Illinois 10By 6.33 Points

Florida St 24-13

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

These two last met in the 2012 Orange Bowl when #13 FSU best #16 NIU 31-10. In ‘16 Taggert’s USF squad beat NIllnois at home 48-17 (-15). Rod Carey is 10-4 ATS as an AD. FSU is in an ACC sandwich with road trips to Louisville and Miami the next 2 weeks. This is a battle of struggling offenses playing against solid defenses. NIU was held to 211 & 228 yds vs the tough D’s of Iowa & Utah. Last week’s 284 yd performance vs C Michigan is less forgiving. The Huskies led 21-3 but had trouble dealing with CM’s QB change (more mobile) and NIU held on to win 24-16 (-14). Last year FSU was held below 300 yards 5 times, and LW’s disappointing 240 yd effort vs Cuse’s leaky D would have only been their 4th worst in ‘17. This figures to be a low scoring game and Northern did outplay Iowa in the 1H and had the ball down by 4 to Utah when they allowed a long IR TD in their 11 point loss. One of these weeks the light bulb will come on and FSU will play up to their talent level and win easy but until that day comes, I will side with their foe.

Florida St ST's

N Illinois Coaches

Projected Yardage Total150 yards

Florida St Pts13 points N Illinois

Computer Yards

44.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Florida St By 8.8

Florida St By 2.5

Florida St By 10

1.76

Florida St RB's

1.19

N Illinois LB'S

Huskies Logs vs. MAC vs. ACC

Pass Off

N Illinois K

1.25N Illinois Florida St 232 yards

Florida St 395-271

N Illinois DL0.23

Florida St OL

Florida St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.18

N Illinois ST's

N Illinois LeadersFlorida St QB/WR

N Illinois DB's

Las Vegas Line

Game Grade271 yards N Illinois Florida St 395 yards Florida St Coaches

1.43

N Illinois Pts7.77

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Florida StN Illinois QB/WR

1.25

Florida St DB's

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Defense

Receiving

N Illinois OL0.42

Florida St DL

Passing

N Illinois RB's2.14

Florida St LB's

N Illinois

Score

Seminoles Logs

Florida St Seminoles1-2

FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

at Louisville

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

NCAA RANKINGS1-0 0-2

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/-

at Florida St

N Illinois Florida St Samford

Central Michigan at SyracuseRush Off Northern Illinois

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Virginia Techat Iowa

1-2OVERALL: OVERALL:N Illinois Huskies

Total Def at Notre Dameat Akron

Score Def Boston College

at BYU Rush Def Clemson Bye

Pass Def at NC State

Ohio Score Off Byeat Ball St

Sks Allowed Wake Forest

Total Off at Miami, Fl

Net Offense Defense

N I

llin

ois

Hu

skie

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Flor

ida

St

Sem

inol

es

Net Offense

Score

at Western Michigan Sks By Florida Miami, OH

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Utah

Toledo

at Eastern Michigan

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/-

Page 17: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 104 9/1 28-35 L 77 87 55 71 30 58 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 91 110 #24 9/1 24-58 L 100 111 119 12 21 1020-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 100 98 9/8 0-21 L 82 86 55 109 89 74 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 89 106 9/8 14-45 L 103 110 119 41 47 770-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 95 111 9/15 3-26 L 84 99 88 101 55 35 0-2 0-0 86 9/15 42-35 W 107 119 1030-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 95 86 9/22 94 96 93 111 122 106 #126 #121 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 86 95 9/22 111 122 106 94 96 93

1-2 0-0 94 9/29 54 88 86 #86 #76 1-2 0-1 108 9/29 28 68 1032-0 0-0 97 10/6 115 52 94 #123 #117 1-1 0-0 104 10/6 41 101 160-0 0-0 86 10/13 119 103 128 #129 #89 1-2 0-0 94 10/13 54 88 862-1 0-0 101 10/20 74 92 39 #21 #113 1-1 0-0 101 10/20 64 107 93-0 1-0 103 10/27 85 87 114 #75 #129 0-0 0-0 86 10/27 119 103 128

10/30 #21 #31 11/31-1 0-0 101 11/7 64 107 9 #38 #124 0-3 0-1 88 11/10 123 104 1101-2 1-0 100 11/14 105 61 69 #82 #127 2-0 0-0 97 11/17 115 52 941-2 0-0 88 11/20 71 116 102 #68 #38 3-0 1-0 103 11/24 85 87 114

#100 #126-2 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Marshall 28-35 1 -1 0 23 27-87 3.2 25-46 357 1 24 38-171 4.5 24-37 272 2 at Oregon 24-58 -115 0 0 21 50-136 2.7 22-39 253 3 21 42-212 5.0 11-26 292 3† Cincinnati 0-21 -35 -2 -1 11 19-59 3.1 22-41 139 0 13 51-188 3.7 6-11 45 0 Maryland 14-45 -407 -11 0 13 28-15 0.5 17-27 143 5 24 53-444 8.4 8-16 121 0at Minnesota 3-26 -96 -12 -1 10 31-91 2.9 11-23 108 2 22 44-118 2.7 14-26 177 3 Eastern Kentucky 42-35 -110 3 2 26 40-130 3.3 28-40 258 2 23 60-389 6.5 6-17 109 4at Bowling Green Miami, OH Western Michigan at Georgia Techat Akron at Toledo Kent St Western Michiganat Army West Point at Ohio at Buffalo Kent St Bye Bye Ohio at Central Michiganat Northern Illinois at Akron Ball St Buffalo

Average 10-27 -43.3 -5.0 -0.7 15 26-79 3.1 52.7% 201 2.7% 20 44-159 3.6 59.5% 165 6.8% Average 27-46 -210.7 -2.7 0.7 20 39-94 2.4 63.2% 218 9.4% 23 52-348 6.7 42.4% 174 11.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 2-24 -65.5 -7.0 -1.0 11 25-75 3.0 51.6% 124 3.1% 18 48-153 3.2 54.1% 111 8.1% Home 28-40 -258.5 -4.0 1.0 20 34-73 2.1 67.2% 201 10.4% 24 57-417 7.4 42.4% 115 12.1%

Marshall Gus Ragland 25-46-357-3-0 Alonzo Smith 8-35-4.4-1 Jack Sorenson 3-106-35.3-1 at Oregon Jarret Doege 22-38-253-3-2 Andrew Clair 25-113-4.5-0 Scott Miller 13-166-12.8-2† Cincinnati Gus Ragland 22-41-139-0-1 Maurice Thomas 4-21-5.3-0 James Gardner 7-80-11.4-0 Maryland Jarret Doege 17-27-143-2-1 Andrew Clair 16-44-2.8-0 Quintin Morris 5-85-17.0-1at Minnesota Gus Ragland 11-20-108-0-1 Davion Johnson 9-50-5.6-0 Jack Sorenson 3-27-9.0-0 vs. Eastern Kentucky Jarret Doege 28-39-258-4-1 Andrew Clair 25-90-3.6-1 Quintin Morris 8-93-11.6-2at Bowling Green Miami, OH Western Michigan at Georgia Techat Akron vs. at Toledo Kent St Western Michiganat Army West Point at Ohio at Buffalo vs. Kent St Bye Bye Ohio at Central Michiganat Northern Illinois vs. at Akron Ball St Buffalo

vs.

Gus Ragland 58-107-604-3-2 Maurice Thomas 15-76-5.1-0 James Gardner 12-157-13.1-0 Jarret Doege 67-104-654-9-4 Andrew Clair 66-247-3.7-1 Quintin Morris 16-213-13.3-3Alonzo Smith 20-56-2.8-1 Jack Sorenson 7-132-18.9-1 vs. TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Bryson Denley 20-57-2.9-0 Scott Miller 16-177-11.1-3Davion Johnson 10-55-5.5-0 Kenny Young 16-77-4.8-1 Charles Lamar 6-16-2.7-0 Deric Phouthavong 12-130-10.8-2

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, OH - -15 29 37 44-238

Bowling Green - 49.5 37 26 41-275 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Oh - 52.5 40 24 46-214

Bowling Green - -1.5 26 26 23-57 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Oh - 48 3 16 37-97

Bowling Green - -23.5 45 30 41-189 2

vs.

0.78

0.01

2.74

121 yardsProjected Passing

211 yards

5.30 2.17

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Bowling Green Coaches

Miami, OH Pts

Bowling Green Pts

0.55

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Bowling Green

Comp-Att-Yds

6

15-25-131

21-30-258

12-26-230

Comp-Att-Yds

22-35-215

30-49-389

at Akron

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

Buffalo

Miami, Oh By 17.3

Passing

Last year BG won 37-29 as a 15 point AD but the score was deceiving as Miami had a 1st&GL at the BG 1 trailing 30-29 but fumbled & BG returned it 93 yds for a TD with 1:21 left. Visitor is on a 7-1 straight up and ATS run with 4 outright upsets. Miami has won 7 of 8 at BG including LTH. BG is 0-7 SU and ATS at home the last two years and Miami is 5-3 straight up and ATS on the MAC road the last 3 years. My Individual Game Grade has Miami Ohio at 78.6 level and BG at 58.6 level that had Miami -17! Miami is 0-3 but has faced my #14 sked and is -43 ypg while BG has faced #55 sked and is -211 ypg. Miami’s defense is holding foes to 111 ypg below season avg and BG’s D allows foes 133 ypg above. BG has the nations’ worst run defense allowing 348 ypg and 6.7 ypc. MIAMI takes a step down in strength of opponent and starts to turn their season around.

Miami, Oh By 6.3

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Bowling Green Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total54.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Miami Oh 35 Bowling Green 23

Miami, OH Leaders

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush OffPass OffTotal Off

0.83

0.40

By 3.13 Points53

247 yards

Total Def

0.80

Bowling Green OL

Bowling Green ST's

Miami, OH DL

Miami, OH ST's

Bowling Green DB's

Pass Def

NCAA RANKINGS2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed

Total TO's

Score DefSks By

† Cincinnati

1-2vs. MAC

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-00-0TM +/-

TEAM

Miami, OH Redhawks Bowling Green FalconsFalcons LogsRedhawks Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. MAC0-3

Kent St Bye

Rush Def

Score Off

Miami, OH Bowling Green

at Central Michigan

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

24-43-374

Miami, OHPassing Rushing

Miami, OH QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mia

mi,

OH

Red

haw

ks

Bow

ling

Gre

en F

alco

ns

Bowling Green

Miami, OH RB's

Bowling Green LB's

Bowling Green DL

Miami, OH OL

Miami, OH LB'S

Bowling Green RB's

Bowling Green K

211 yards

Miami, OHProjected Final Score

Miami, Oh 33-26

Miami, Oh by 12

Miami, Oh 458-332

0.94

Miami, OH K

Miami, OH

Miami, OH Coaches

Bowling Green 332 yards

79

Miami, OH Bowling Green17

Experience Rankings26 pointsBowling GreenMiami, OH

Miami, OH Bowling Green

33 points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

0.44

Miami, OH DB's

Bowling Green QB/WR

Miami, OH

Projected Yardage TotalMiami, OH Bowling Green

458 yards

Las Vegas LineMiami, Oh By 6.5

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

at Oregon Maryland Eastern Kentucky Miami, OHat Georgia Techat Toledo Western Michiganat Ohio

at Buffalo Bye Ohio at Northern Illinois Ball St

at Minnesotaat Bowling Green Western Michiganat Akron Kent Stat Army West Point

Marshall

Ypg Diff

Page 18: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 113 8/30 17-23 L 54 115 76 47 70 95 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 95 #5 9/1 77-31 W 5 4 7 108 110 990-1 0-0 100 9/8 42-17 W 59 111 76 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 131 97 #4 9/8 52-3 W 3 4 7 105 64 981-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 102 97 9/15 24-31 L 40 103 76 82 101 73 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 133 116 #4 #15 9/15 40-28 W 3 5 18 61 4 41-2 3-0 0-0 1-0 100 132 #4 9/22 43 99 64 3 6 18 #51 #17 3-0 1-2 1-0 0-0 133 100 #4 9/22 3 6 18 43 99 64

2-1 0-1 117 9/28 16 81 19 #77 #9 3-0 0-0 126 9/29 18 19 133-0 0-0 103 10/6 112 66 53 #69 #3 3-0 0-0 108 10/6 50 62 83

10/13 #85 #2 3-0 0-0 111 10/13 88 44 340-3 0-0 92 10/20 102 102 123 #125 #40 0-0 0-0 106 10/20 45 89 591-2 0-0 98 10/27 104 115 109 #106 #72 10/273-0 0-0 107 11/3 49 74 88 #80 #47 0-2 0-0 101 11/3 37 33 1191-1 0-0 92 11/10 108 112 108 #100 #52 1-1 0-0 119 11/10 32 17 412-1 0-0 107 11/15 42 57 43 #64 #45 2-1 0-0 104 11/17 38 51 682-1 1-0 106 11/24 39 109 87 #104 #7 2-1 0-0 122 11/24 40 2 24

#92 #7+2 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Wake Forest 17-23 -12 -12 2 20 41-153 3.7 19-38 283 3 32 43-170 4.0 31-51 278 1 Oregon St 77-31 329 20 0 35 53-375 7.1 25-34 346 0 15 39-196 5.0 14-24 196 5 Nicholls 42-17 43 -2 1 22 41-268 6.5 12-16 190 3 24 39-176 4.5 17-32 239 2 Rutgers 52-3 445 20 2 32 40-225 5.6 30-33 354 3 12 31-69 2.2 11-30 65 3at UAB 24-31 -94 -8 -1 17 40-175 4.4 7-26 180 6 25 56-269 4.8 12-27 180 0 † TCU 40-28 15 7 3 29 42-182 4.3 24-38 344 1 22 36-203 5.6 24-40 308 3at Ohio St Tulane Memphis at Penn Stat Cincinnati Indiana Bye Minnesota SMU at Purdueat Tulsa Byeat USF Nebraska East Carolina at Michigan Stat Houston at Maryland Navy Michigan

Average 28-24 -21.0 -7.3 0.7 20 41-199 4.9 47.5% 218 15.0% 27 46-205 4.5 54.5% 232 2.7% Average 56-21 263.0 15.7 1.7 32 45-261 5.8 75.2% 348 3.8% 16 35-156 4.4 52.1% 190 11.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 52-3 445.0 20.0 2.0 32 40-225 5.6 90.9% 354 9.1% 12 31-69 2.2 36.7% 65 10.0% Away 24-31 -94.0 -8.0 -1.0 17 40-175 4.4 26.9% 180 23.1% 25 56-269 4.8 44.4% 180 0.0% Home 65-17 387.0 20.0 1.0 34 47-300 6.5 82.1% 350 4.5% 14 35-133 3.8 46.3% 131 14.8%

Wake Forest Jonathan Banks 18-37-281-2-0 Terren Encalade 1-38-38.0-0 Terren Encalade 8-189-23.6-2 Oregon St Dwayne Haskins 22-30-313-5-1 Mike Weber 20-186-9.3-3 Terry McLaurin 4-121-30.3-2 Nicholls Jonathan Banks 12-16-190-1-0 Corey Dauphine 6-152-25.3-3 Darnell Mooney 6-111-18.5-1 Rutgers Dwayne Haskins 20-23-233-4-0 Tate Martell 8-95-11.9-1 Johnnie Dixon 4-89-22.3-2at UAB Jonathan Banks 7-24-180-2-1 Darius Bradwell 15-90-6.0-1 Darnell Mooney 4-123-30.8-2 vs. † TCU Dwayne Haskins 24-38-344-2-0 JK Dobbins 18-121-6.7-0 KJ Hill 6-95-15.8-1at Ohio St Tulane Memphis at Penn Stat Cincinnati vs. Indiana Bye Minnesota SMU at Purdueat Tulsa vs. Byeat USF Nebraska East Carolina at Michigan Stat Houston vs. at Maryland Navy Michigan

vs.

Jonathan Banks 37-77-651-5-1 Corey Dauphine 19-236-12.4-3 Darnell Mooney 18-308-17.1-3 Dwayne Haskins 66-91-890-11-1 Mike Weber 46-281-6.1-3 KJ Hill 17-202-11.9-1Darius Bradwell 1-1-2-0-0 Darius Bradwell 38-205-5.4-1 Terren Encalade 11-248-22.5-2 vs. Tate Martell 13-14-154-1-0 JK Dobbins 45-268-6.0-1 Terry McLaurin 8-201-25.1-3TEAM 0-2-0-0-0 Stephon Huderson 23-56-2.4-0 Jabril Clewis 2-38-19.0-0 Tate Martell 10-99-9.9-1 Austin Mack 12-173-14.4-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Tulane Green WaveGreen Wave Logs

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF

Bye

Wake Forest

Receiving

Net

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Score Off Minnesota SMU Sks Allowed at Purdueat Tulsa Rush Def Bye

at Maryland Navy Sks By Michigan

at USF Pass Def Nebraska East Carolina Total Def at Michigan Stat Houston Score Def

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Oregon St Nicholls

Tulane Ohio St Rutgers

at UAB † TCUat Ohio St Rush Off Tulane Memphis Pass Off at Penn Stat Cincinnati Total Off Indiana

TEAM

Ohio St Buckeyesvs. AAC vs. BIG 10

OVERALL: OVERALL:

1-2 3-0

TM REC FOE REC

Buckeyes LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP1-0

Offense

TM +/-FOE

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE 0-0NCAA RANKINGS

FOE CONF

TM CONF

Ohio St Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Tulane Leaders

0.32

1.35

Ohio St DB'sTulane RB's

Score

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Score

Tula

ne

Gre

en W

ave

Tulane DB's1.65

Tulane OL

Ohio St DL

Ohio St OL

3.49

Ohio St RB's

Tulane LB'S

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Oh

io S

t B

uck

eyes

Net

ReceivingPassing Rushing

2.68

Ohio St QB/WR

0.32

Projected Passing

0.86

Tulane DL

Total TO's

Rushing Position by Position Edges

Ohio St LB's

Tulane Ohio StTulane QB/WR

Defense

Tulane ST's

Ohio St ST's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

Ohio St 302 yards158 yards Tulane

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Phil's Forecast:

The Buckeyes defended the option last year vs Army and allowed a season high 259 rushing yards but held Army to their 3rd lowest total of the year and 121 ypg below their season total offense. First meeting. Tulane has lost 3 straight vs Top 10 opponents by an average of 51-6. Ohio St is in a large TCU/Penn St sandwich and 10-15 their last 25 as a HF. Tulane does have a Friday night conference opener on deck vs Memphis. QB Dwayne Haskins has completed 73% (11-1 ratio). The Green Wave allowed UAB to rush for 269 (4.8) last week. Tulane QB Banks is hitting just 48% but with a 5-1 ratio and surprisingly has just 29 yds rushing so it is not a pure option offense. Cut blocks will be on the mind of the OSU NFL caliber DL’s and OSU actually blocked a punt and had two defensive scores vs TCU yet did not cover last week. They did have 526 yards vs a fast TCU defense and are averaging 56 points a game. Last year in a Penn St/MichSt sandwich they lost to Iowa 55-24 on the road. Tulane lost to Oklahoma last year by 42.

Ohio St By 37.5

Team & Margin

Ohio St 686-292

Ohio St 53-13

Ohio St By 36.5

67 Points

Ohio St By 38.3

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalTulane K

0.30

Ohio St K

Tulane Ohio St 383 yards

12.60

Ohio St PtsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

0.32

Tulane Pts

Experience Rankings98

Ohio StTulane 53 points

62 Tulane Ohio St

Game Grade1.95

Tulane Coaches

Ohio St Coaches

+/- Ratings

Computer Yards

Computer Points

133 yardsProjected Yardage Total

292 yards Tulane Ohio St 686 yardsProjected Final Score

13 points

Ohio St by 35 Ohio St 50 Tulane 15By 12.28 Points

Phil Steele43

Team Schedule Strength Ohio St71 Tulane Ohio St

Page 19: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 129 #2 9/1 48-7 W 9 1 67 0-0 0-0 110 9/1 41-0 W 44 69 831-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 117 #2 9/8 28-26 W 9 1 67 11 24 15 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 102 9/8 38-49 L 35 69 83 73 45 1142-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 99 #2 9/15 38-7 W 13 3 44 86 85 57 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 112 9/15 19-24 L 30 64 104 68 42 1183-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 129 108 #3 9/22 14 4 60 28 68 103 #33 #1 1-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 108 129 #3 9/22 28 68 103 14 4 60

3-0 1-0 109 9/29 60 108 3 #37 #123 1-2 0-0 86 9/29 111 122 1062-1 0-1 114 10/6 36 75 56 #20 #21 2-1 0-0 107 10/6 52 72 32

10/13 #41 #63 3-0 0-0 121 10/13 82 21 1212-0 0-0 118 10/20 31 73 78 #40 #21 10/201-2 0-2 104 10/27 17 20 35 #15 #65 2-0 1-0 117 10/27 55 38 202-1 0-0 107 11/3 52 72 32 #40 #16 0-2 0-0 107 11/3 91 27 43-0 1-0 121 11/10 9 22 120 #9 #26 2-1 0-0 122 11/10 25 11 483-0 0-0 121 11/17 82 21 121 #15 #70 2-1 0-0 104 11/17 97 53 711-1 0-1 115 11/24 29 42 17 #4 #104 3-0 1-0 133 11/24 2 18 21

#8 #17+2 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Furman 48-7 368 10 2 23 36-254 7.1 22-35 277 2 13 53-117 2.2 4-9 46 3 Alcorn St 41-0 397 15 -1 25 54-439 8.1 9-18 104 0 10 28-77 2.8 15-23 69 1at Texas A&M 28-26 -88 -11 2 14 32-115 3.6 17-27 298 1 25 32-71 2.2 23-40 430 4 at USF 38-49 176 -1 -2 28 57-419 7.4 9-18 183 2 29 44-224 5.1 21-31 202 2 GA Southern 38-7 455 20 -2 27 46-309 6.7 21-31 286 1 7 43-80 1.9 3-9 60 5 at Pittsburgh 19-24 51 6 -1 22 56-320 5.7 6-15 66 1 16 31-138 4.5 16-23 197 0at Georgia Tech Clemson Syracuse Bowling Greenat Wake Forest at Louisville Bye Duke NC State Byeat Florida St at Virginia Tech Louisville at North Carolinaat Boston College Miami, Fl Duke Virginia South Carolina at Georgia

Average 38-13 245.0 6.3 0.7 21 38-226 5.9 64.5% 287 4.3% 15 43-89 2.1 51.7% 179 20.7% Average 33-24 208.0 6.7 -1.3 25 56-393 7.1 47.1% 118 5.9% 18 34-146 4.3 67.5% 156 3.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 19-24 51.0 6.0 -1.0 22 56-320 5.7 40.0% 66 6.7% 16 31-138 4.5 69.6% 197 0.0% Away 28-26 -88.0 -11.0 2.0 14 32-115 3.6 63.0% 298 3.7% 25 32-71 2.2 57.5% 430 10.0% Home 41-0 397.0 15.0 -1.0 25 54-439 8.1 50.0% 104 0.0% 10 28-77 2.8 65.2% 69 4.3%

Furman Trevor Lawrence 9-15-137-3-0 Lyn-J Dixon 6-89-14.8-0 Amari Rodgers 3-44-14.7-1 Alcorn St TaQuon Marshall 9-18-104-1-1 Jordan Mason 11-85-7.7-1 Brad Stewart 4-49-12.3-1at Texas A&M Kelly Bryant 12-17-205-1-0 Kelly Bryant 15-54-3.6-1 Tee Higgins 3-123-41.0-1 at USF TaQuon Marshall 9-18-183-1-2 TaQuon Marshall 13-113-8.7-1 Clinton Lynch 3-111-37.0-1 GA Southern Trevor Lawrence 12-19-194-1-1 Travis Etienne 16-162-10.1-2 Justyn Ross 3-103-34.3-1 vs. at Pittsburgh TaQuon Marshall 6-15-66-0-1 TaQuon Marshall 28-103-3.7-2 Brad Stewart 3-33-11.0-0at Georgia Tech Clemson Syracuse Bowling Greenat Wake Forest vs. at Louisville Bye Duke NC State Byeat Florida St vs. at Virginia Tech Louisville at North Carolinaat Boston College Miami, Fl Duke vs. Virginia South Carolina at Georgia

vs.

Trevor Lawrence 26-43-424-5-1 Travis Etienne 35-269-7.7-4 Tee Higgins 8-169-21.1-1 TaQuon Marshall 24-51-353-2-4 TaQuon Marshall 50-293-5.9-4 Clinton Lynch 3-111-37.0-1Kelly Bryant 29-43-400-2-1 Kelly Bryant 26-125-4.8-2 Huner Renfrow 9-127-14.1-0 vs. Jordan Mason 34-274-8.1-1 Brad Stewart 8-88-11.0-1Chase Brice 5-6-37-0-0 Lyn-J Dixon 11-115-10.5-0 Amari Rodgers 10-126-12.6-1 Tobias Oliver 30-169-5.6-3 Qua Searcy 4-75-18.8-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Clemson 7 -14 24 21 45-221

Georgia Tech - 51.5 10 10 43-198 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Clemson 5 -10 26 24 34-138

Georgia Tech - 58 7 11 38-95 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Clemson 6 -7.5 43 24 41-201

Georgia Tech - 54 24 12 42-71 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Clemson 18 -2.5 6 10 33-131

Georgia Tech 24 59.5 28 16 50-251 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Clemson 8 -10.5 55 26 37-168

Georgia Tech - 61.5 31 22 45-248 -115-26-192

Duke

Louisvilleat Boston College

South Carolina

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

32-48-304

Comp-Att-Yds

11-21-59

8-11-102

Comp-Att-Yds

4-14-29

23-33-336

6-14-159

Comp-Att-Yds

23-30-383

Comp-Att-Yds

22-33-207

Georgia Tech 88Team Schedule Strength

Clemson

Clemson

Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

Clemson Leaders

Net Offense

FOE REC

3-13-32

Georgia Tech Coaches Clemson By 6.6

Las Vegas Total52 Points

+/- Ratings

0.43

Clemson K

ClemsonProjected Rushing

174 yards Georgia Tech 249 yardsProjected Passing

Projected Final Score0.82

Georgia Tech

17 pointsExperience Rankings

18 51POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

8.36

Clemson Pts

Total Def Miami, Fl

Sks Allowed Bye

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def VirginiaSks By at Georgia

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Geo

rgia

Tec

h Y

ello

w J

acke

ts

Net Offense

Score

Cle

mso

n T

iger

s

Score Off

Georgia Techat USFat Pittsburgh

Alcorn St

Rush Off ClemsonPass Off

Duke

Pass Def at North Carolina

Bowling Green

Rush Def at Virginia Tech

Total Off at Louisville

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

Tigers Logs

TM REC

Clemson Tigers

at Georgia Tech Syracuse

at Florida St NC State

at Wake Forest Bye

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets3-0 1-2OVERALL:

vs. ACCvs. ACC Yellow Jackets Logs

0.84

Georgia Tech LB's

Clemson RB's

Clemson OL

Receiving

Clemson Georgia Tech

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

TM CONFTM CONF

0-0FOE CONF TM +/-

By Game Yardage Leaders

Score

0-1TM REC FOE

RECFOE +/-AP

Furman 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

at Texas A&MClemson

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

0.83Georgia Tech QB/WR

1.50

Georgia Tech ST's

Clemson DB's

Clemson ST's

0.82

Georgia Tech RB's

1.54

Clemson DL

Georgia Tech OL

Clemson LB'S

1.08

Georgia Tech DL

Las Vegas Line

TM +/- FOE +/-

GA Southern

Phil SteeleClemson58

Georgia Tech K

Team & Margin

366 yards0.25

117 yardsProjected Yardage Total

427 yards Clemson Georgia Tech

253 yards Clemson

Clemson By 16.5

Clemson By 16.8

Game Grade

Clemson 427-366

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Clemson 35-17

Clemson Coaches

35 pointsGeorgia Tech Pts

Clemson

Defense

--PS RANK--

Georgia Tech Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

The home team is 11-2 in the series. LTH Clemson snapped a 5 game series road losing streak. CU handcuffed the triple option holding GT to 22 total yards in the 1H as they led 23-0 into the 4Q. The Tigers have won 3 in a row over the Yellow Jackets by 17.3 ppg. Last year, in a downpour, CU was up 24-3 after 1st poss of 2H. GT’s only TD was in garbage time. Clemson also has the large edge of just facing the option last week and they allowed Georgia Southern a grand total of 30 yds total offense in the 1H. GT is just 4-8 ATS as a HD the last 9 years. GT is 0-2 vs FBS despite being +113 ypg after suffering B2B outright upsets to USF (-3) and Pitt (-3’). The Jackets, playing their first game without RB KirVonte Benson, trailed Pitt 24-6 4Q then scored 2 last TD’s to make the game closer than the box score indicates. HC Swinney has held GT’s option to 121 (2.9) rush ypg in the last 3 meetings and now has his best defense yet.

Clemson QB/WR

1.88

Georgia Tech DB's

Clemson by 24 Best Bet: *Clemson 34 Georgia Tech 10By 7.54 Points

Page 20: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 107 9/1 38-32 W 55 86 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 93 107 9/1 26-17 W 109 105 74 61 44 591-0 0-0 103 9/8 61 87 8 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 98 100 9/8 21-0 W 109 89 74 82 86 551-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 102 9/15 31-45 L 56 104 10 105 49 65 2-0 0-0 103 9/15 63-7 W 114 74 491-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 101 103 9/22 64 107 9 112 66 53 #102 #16 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 101 9/22 112 66 53 64 107 9

1-3 0-1 89 9/29 96 125 130 #48 #116 1-2 0-1 84 9/29 122 130 761-2 0-0 86 10/6 119 103 128 #85 #61 1-2 0-0 100 10/6 43 99 641-2 1-0 100 10/13 105 61 69 #54 #47 10/131-2 0-0 86 10/20 111 122 106 #60 #79 1-2 0-0 106 10/20 110 67 1111-2 0-0 88 10/25 71 116 102 #80 #11 0-3 0-0 92 10/27 102 102 1230-0 0-0 94 11/1 54 88 86 #129 #11 2-1 1-0 106 11/3 39 109 870-3 0-0 95 11/7 94 96 93 #128 #3 3-0 0-0 107 11/10 49 74 883-0 1-0 103 11/14 85 87 114 #115 #2 2-0 1-0 112 11/17 19 83 622-0 0-0 97 11/23 115 52 94 #91 #38 1-1 0-0 92 11/23 108 112 108

#125 #22+5 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Howard 38-32 -222 -4 4 22 40-146 3.7 19-33 277 2 26 39-161 4.1 27-53 484 1 at UCLA 26-17 -2 3 0 18 51-194 3.8 14-26 110 4 15 31-144 4.6 23-37 162 5 Bye † Miami, OH 21-0 35 2 1 13 51-188 3.7 6-11 45 0 11 19-59 3.1 22-41 139 0at Virginia 31-45 -188 -10 1 13 30-118 3.9 16-31 246 3 23 31-173 5.6 25-30 379 3 Alabama A&M 63-7 559 30 0 38 55-409 7.4 21-26 332 2 8 25-48 1.9 12-28 134 2at Cincinnati Ohio UMass at Connecticutat Kent St Tulane at Northern Illinois Bye Bowling Green at Temple Ball St at SMUat Western Michigan Navyat Miami, OH USF Buffalo at UCF Akron East Carolina

Average 35-39 -205.0 -7.0 2.5 18 35-132 3.8 54.7% 262 7.8% 25 35-167 4.8 62.7% 432 4.8% Average 37-8 197.3 11.7 0.3 23 52-264 5.0 65.1% 162 9.5% 11 25-84 3.3 53.8% 145 6.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 31-45 -188.0 -10.0 1.0 13 30-118 3.9 51.6% 246 9.7% 23 31-173 5.6 83.3% 379 10.0% Home 63-7 559.0 30.0 0.0 38 55-409 7.4 80.8% 332 7.7% 8 25-48 1.9 42.9% 134 7.1%

Howard Quinton Maxwell 17-25-233-2-0 Luke Sheridan 17-59-3.5-0 Papi White 8-154-19.3-1 at UCLA Desmond Ridder 13-24-100-0-0 Michael Warren 35-142-4.1-3 Michael Warren 3-29-9.7-0 Bye † Miami, OH Desmond Ridder 6-11-45-1-0 Desmond Ridder 18-100-5.6-0 Josiah Deguara 4-34-8.5-1at Virginia Nathan Rourke 16-31-246-2-0 Maleek Irons 11-43-3.9-2 Papi White 6-131-21.8-1 vs. Alabama A&M Desmond Ridder 9-10-199-3-0 Tavion Thomas 18-141-7.8-2 Kahlil Lewis 4-92-23.0-1at Cincinnati Ohio UMass at Connecticutat Kent St vs. Tulane at Northern Illinois Bye Bowling Green at Temple Ball St vs. at SMUat Western Michigan Navyat Miami, OH USF Buffalo vs. at UCF Akron East Carolina

vs.

Nathan Rourke 18-39-290-2-0 Maleek Irons 20-95-4.8-2 Papi White 14-285-20.4-2 Desmond Ridder 28-45-344-4-0 Michael Warren 70-311-4.4-6 Kahlil Lewis 8-112-14.0-1Quinton Maxwell 17-25-233-2-0 Luke Sheridan 17-59-3.5-0 Cameron Odom 4-55-13.8-1 vs. Ben Bryant 6-8-75-0-1 Desmond Ridder 34-175-5.1-1 Jayshon Jackson 8-108-13.5-0

Nathan Rourke 10-57-5.7-0 Jerome Buckner 2-44-22.0-0 Hayden Moore 7-9-68-0-0 Tavion Thomas 19-144-7.6-2 Josiah Deguara 7-66-9.4-2Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

UMass

32

TM REC FOE REC

Bye

Cincinnati

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Ohio Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Passing Rushing

Projected Final Score

134 yards Ohio Projected PassingOhio Cincinnati

328 yards Ohio CincinnatiProjected Yardage Total

Ohio Cincinnati 38 pointsExperience Rankings

24 points

at Miami, OH Total Def USF Buffalo Score Def at UCF Akron Sks By East Carolina

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

Oh

io B

obca

ts

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Cin

cin

nat

i Bea

rcat

s

Net Offense

at Virginia Alabama A&Mat Cincinnati Rush Off Ohio

Bobcats Logs--PS RANK--

at Northern Illinois Score Off

1-1OVERALL: OVERALL:

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE 0-0TM REC FOE

REC

at Connecticut Tulane Bye

Bowling Green Sks Allowed at Temple Ball St Rush Def at SMUat Western Michigan

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

Howard 2018 TEAM RANKINGS at UCLA

at Kent St Total Off

Cincinnati OL

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Ohio RB's0.24

Cincinnati LB's

0.52

Ohio QB/WR

530 yards

Cincinnati DB's

Ohio Cincinnati

Ohio DL0.54

Projected Rushing

194 yards 314 yards

Cincinnati 216 yards

Cincinnati Pts

Former MAC rivals played every year from ‘68-’79, but last met in 1981. The schools are 156 miles apart. Ohio is on a 2nd straight road game. Cincy is just 2-11 ATS their last 13 at Nippert Stadium. OU is 9-4 ATS in true road games. Cincy followed up their road upset in the Rose Bowl with a shutout over rival and MAC member Miami, Oh & enter fresh off an easy win over FCS Ala A&M where they were able to rest their starters for most of the game. OU had their road trip to UVA moved to Nashville due to Hurricane Florence & after trailing by 4 TD’s late 1H, responded with a 21-3 run to trail by 10 in the 3Q, but got no closer than that. After allowing 645 yds in their opener vs FCS Howard, the Bobcats allowed 555 last week. Ohio benched QB Nathan Rourke in the opener but he took all the snaps vs Virginia. Cincy is avg just 269 ypg vs FBS foes on offense and Ohio’s defense cannot be as bad as they have shown so far, can they? Ohio is 6-2 ATS off a SU loss and Solich is a great dog and the Bobcats only have UMass on deck.

Cincinnati By 8.51.52

Ohio ST's

Cincinnati ST's

2.10

Ohio Coaches

1.28

Ohio K

Cincinnati K

Cincinnati Coaches

Cincinnati By 5.5

Cincinnati By 41.1

Cincinnati 530-328

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

52 PointsLas Vegas Total

6.09

Ohio Pts

Cincinnati 38-24105POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

Cincinnati by 4 High Score POW: *Cincinnati 38 Ohio 34 (over 52)By 4.31 Points

Phil SteeleOhio

Computer Points

1.78Computer Yards

TM CONF FOE CONF

Ohio Bobcats

0.60

Cincinnati QB/WR

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

vs. MAC vs. AAC

Ohio LB'S0.40

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

0.68

Ohio OL

Cincinnati DL

Cincinnati Leaders

Team & Margin

Defense

Bearcats LogsFOE

Pass Def Navy

3-0 Cincinnati Bearcats

Ohio

Pass Off

Cincinnati† Miami, OH

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength118 Ohio Cincinnati 104

Cincinnati RB'sOhio DB's

Ohio

Page 21: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 90 9/1 23-28 L 110 126 127 0-0 0-0 99 9/1 34-14 W 82 45 1140-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 87 112 9/8 41-19 W 112 126 127 80 41 13 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 112 9/8 49-38 W 73 45 114 35 69 831-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 92 117 #13 9/15 108 115 114 58 29 19 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 106 102 9/15 25-19 W 59 69 79 109 93 241-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 92 107 9/22 108 112 108 49 74 88 #96 #55 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 107 92 9/22 49 74 88 108 112 108

0-3 0-2 86 9/29 107 110 47 #29 #16 9/291-2 0-0 106 10/6 110 67 111 #54 #18 1-3 0-1 89 10/6 96 125 1302-1 0-0 107 10/13 42 57 43 #67 #50 1-2 0-0 98 10/12 104 115 1092-0 1-0 112 10/20 19 83 62 #12 #60 1-2 0-1 84 10/20 122 130 76

10/27 #36 #126 2-1 0-0 107 10/27 42 57 432-1 0-1 117 11/3 16 81 19 #65 #6 1-2 0-0 100 11/3 43 99 641-2 0-0 100 11/10 43 99 64 #47 #91 3-0 0-0 103 11/10 112 66 531-2 0-1 84 11/17 122 130 76 #62 #64 1-2 0-0 106 11/17 110 67 1113-0 0-0 103 11/23 112 66 53 #126 #12 2-0 1-0 112 11/23 19 83 62

#43 #41-3 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

North Carolina A&T 23-28 113 13 -3 28 29-68 2.3 38-66 314 1 15 31-82 2.6 17-29 187 1 Elon 34-14 281 11 2 27 38-148 3.9 29-46 367 2 16 49-192 3.9 6-12 42 3 North Carolina 41-19 115 7 0 26 49-220 4.5 19-33 290 1 19 25-161 6.4 25-44 234 0 Georgia Tech 49-38 -176 2 2 29 44-224 5.1 21-31 202 2 27 57-419 7.4 9-18 183 2at Virginia Tech at Illinois 25-19 246 10 -1 31 44-215 4.9 23-40 411 1 21 48-212 4.4 20-31 168 5at USF East Carolina Old Dominion Byeat Temple at UMass Houston at Tulsa UCF Connecticut Bye at Houston Memphis Tulane at Tulane at Cincinnati Connecticut at Templeat Cincinnati UCF

Average 32-24 114.0 10.0 -1.5 27 39-144 3.7 57.6% 302 2.0% 17 28-122 4.3 57.5% 211 1.4% Average 36-24 117.0 7.7 1.0 29 42-196 4.7 62.4% 327 4.3% 21 51-274 5.3 57.4% 131 16.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 42-26 52.5 6.5 2.0 28 41-186 4.5 64.9% 285 5.2% 22 53-306 5.8 50.0% 113 16.7%

North Carolina A&T Reid Herring 37-65-309-2-2 Anthony Scott 12-34-2.8-0 Terrell Green 10-85-8.5-0 Elon Blake Barnett 24-34-305-3-0 Johnny Ford 8-43-5.4-0 Randall St. Felix 7-143-20.4-1 North Carolina Reid Herring 19-32-290-1-0 Anthony Scott 17-73-4.3-1 Trevon Brown 4-90-22.5-1 Georgia Tech Blake Barnett 21-31-202-2-1 Blake Barnett 16-91-5.7-2 Tyre McCants 10-99-9.9-0at Virginia Tech vs. at Illinois Blake Barnett 23-40-411-2-2 Jordan Cronkrite 22-136-6.2-1 Randall St. Felix 6-120-20.0-0at USF East Carolina Old Dominion Byeat Temple vs. at UMass Houston at Tulsa UCF Connecticut Bye vs. at Houston Memphis Tulane at Tulane at Cincinnati Connecticut vs. at Templeat Cincinnati UCF

vs.

Reid Herring 56-97-599-3-2 Anthony Scott 29-107-3.7-1 Trevon Brown 11-147-13.4-1 Blake Barnett 68-105-918-7-3 Jordan Cronkrite 31-175-5.6-1 Randall St. Felix 16-286-17.9-1Kingsley Ifedi 1-1-5-0-0 Hussein Howe 17-65.1-3.8-0 Deondre Farrier 10-109-10.9-1 vs. Brett Kean 3-7-37-0-0 Blake Barnett 34-139-4.1-3 Darnel Salomon 11-209-19.0-3Holton Ahlers 0-1-0-0-0 Darius Pinnix 5-65-13.0-1 Blake Proehl 12-97-8.1-1 Chris Oladokun 2-5-25-0-0 Duran Bell 12-69-5.8-1 Tyre McCants 19-202-10.6-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.East Carolina - 74 31 23 36-108

South Florida 18 -21.5 61 25 50-390 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.East Carolina - 66 22 24 35-168

South Florida - -16 38 23 42-306 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.East Carolina - -4 17 8 34-62

South Florida - 54 22 22 60-242 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.East Carolina 19 -17 28 25 37-231

South Florida - 56.5 17 23 27-93 0

Pirates Logs

Projected Rushing

24-34-250

21-42-257 East Carolina

at USF

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

UCF

13-21-185

Projected Box Score

235 yardsProjected Passing

68

Comp-Att-Yds

39 pointsExperience Rankings

33-56-308

21-29-250

12-23-200

Comp-Att-Yds

--PS RANK--

FOE

East Carolina Leaders

Bye

AP TEAMFOE +/-

Net Offense Defense

East

Car

olin

a P

irat

es

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

US

F B

ulls

Net Offense

0.85

Pass Def Tulane at Tulane Total Def at Cincinnati Memphis

Score Def at Templeat Cincinnati Sks By UCF Connecticut

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

East Carolina PiratesBulls Logs

--PS RANK--TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

FOE

FOEFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE 0-0 0-0TM REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: USF Bulls1-1 3-0

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/-

Elon North Carolina

East Carolina USF Georgia Tech

at Virginia Tech at Illinois

North Carolina A&T 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Off East Carolina Old Dominion Pass Off Bye

Total Off at UMass Houston Score Off at Tulsaat Temple

Sks Allowed ConnecticutRush Def at Houston

USF LB's

1.57

East Carolina OL

0.18

USF DL

East Carolina USF

0.34

East Carolina QB/WR

USF DB's

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

East Carolina DL

USF OL

East Carolina RB's

Usf By 18.8East Carolina Coaches

USF K

Last year the Bulls led 38-31, but then scored 23 unanswered points in the final 16:51. LTH the Pirates rallied from a 24-6 deficit to get within 24-22 with 6:58 left. EC missed the 2 pt conv, 3 plays later USF tacked on a 62 yd TD run, went 17/2 (after int) for another TD w/3:04 to win 38-22 (-16). USF is 7-1 Straight up and 6-1-1 ATS in the series. This is the conference opener for USF and they have a bye next week and EC is just 1-8-1 ATS as an AD under Montgomery. The Pirates beat up a suspension laden UNC squad their last time out after falling to FCS NC A&T in their opener but are fresh off a bye after their game vs VT was postponed. USF enters off two emotional come-from-behind wins. Trailing by nearly 2 TD’s in the 4Q vs Illinois, the Bulls scored the final 17 pts including the GW 50 yd TD pass w/2:24 left. They did finish w/a 609-396 yd edge after their comeback win over GT where they were -176 yds.

East Carolina Pts

USF Pts

1.09

USF Leaders

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total67.5 Points

1.56

Team & Margin

Usf By 22

+/- Ratings

East Carolina ST's

USF ST'sEast Carolina K

East Carolina DB's

USF QB/WR

East Carolina LB'S

USF RB's

Projected Final Score1.79

261 yards East Carolina USF

25 points East Carolina

Game GradeUsf By 11.4

Computer YardsUsf 543-393USF

USF Coaches1.05

6.31

Comp-Att-Yds

393 yards East Carolina

Phil's Forecast:

Projected Yardage Total14-23-158 543 yards

132 yards

vs. AAC

308 yards

East Carolina USF

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.56Comp-Att-Yds

21-46-306

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

0.89

vs. AAC

Best Bet: *East Carolina 31 (+) USF 41 By 4.51 Points

Usf 39-25

Phil SteeleUSF

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

USF by 10

Computer PointsUSF 123

Team Schedule Strength105 East Carolina USF

127

USF

Page 22: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 124 #12 #14 9/1 24-17 W 17 14 63 19 3 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 99 8/30 23-17 W 47 70 95 54 115 761-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 123 85 #8 9/8 24-16 W 19 12 63 83 123 72 1-0 0-0 112 9/8 51-20 W 67 71 952-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 119 109 #8 9/15 22-17 W 21 15 75 53 51 87 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 114 120 9/13 34-41 L 46 71 53 16 24 1253-0 2-1 2-0 0-1 118 114 #8 9/22 21 14 67 36 75 56 #77 #15 2-1 3-0 0-1 2-0 114 118 #8 9/22 36 75 56 21 14 67

3-0 1-0 119 9/29 7 9 6 #88 #41 1-2 0-0 79 9/29 109 127 272-0 1-0 117 10/6 55 38 20 #99 #14 3-0 0-0 129 10/6 14 4 602-1 1-0 112 10/13 67 35 117 #103 #50 10/13

10/20 #79 #60 1-2 0-2 104 10/20 17 20 352-1 1-0 106 10/27 39 109 87 #26 #64 2-1 0-0 107 10/27 52 72 321-2 1-0 107 11/3 56 37 82 #94 #119 3-0 1-0 109 11/3 60 108 31-2 0-2 104 11/10 17 20 35 #62 #108 2-0 0-0 118 11/8 31 73 783-0 1-0 109 11/17 60 108 3 #31 #76 2-1 1-0 112 11/17 67 35 1171-2 0-1 111 11/24 23 8 11 #68 #21 3-0 0-0 121 11/24 82 21 121

#81 #52+3 -4

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Michigan 24-17 -5 1 1 21 47-132 2.8 12-22 170 2 20 33-58 1.8 24-36 249 3 at Tulane 23-17 112 12 -2 32 43-170 4.0 31-51 378 1 20 41-153 3.7 19-38 283 3 Ball St 24-16 65 -4 -1 20 41-117 2.9 17-31 297 4 24 47-169 3.6 23-50 180 1 Towson 51-20 172 7 -1 32 54-340 6.3 17-27 242 0 25 30-65 2.2 35-51 345 5 Vanderbilt 22-17 -40 1 3 24 48-245 5.1 16-26 135 0 23 27-94 3.5 26-43 326 1 Boston College 34-41 -12 8 -1 27 60-298 5.0 20-45 214 4 19 44-220 5.0 16-25 304 1at Wake Forest Notre Dame Stanford Riceat Virginia Tech Clemson Pittsburgh Bye Bye at Florida St† Navy at Louisvilleat Northwestern Syracuse Florida St at NC State† Syracuse Pittsburghat USC at Duke

Average 23-17 6.7 -0.7 1.0 22 45-165 3.6 57.0% 201 7.6% 22 36-107 3.0 56.6% 252 3.9% Average 36-26 90.7 9.0 -1.3 30 52-269 5.1 55.3% 278 4.1% 21 38-146 3.8 61.4% 311 7.9% Conference 23-17 12.5 -1.5 1.0 22 45-181 4.1 57.9% 216 7.0% 24 37-132 3.6 52.7% 253 2.2% Conference 34-41 -12.0 8.0 -1.0 27 60-298 5.0 44.4% 214 8.9% 19 44-220 5.0 64.0% 304 4.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 43-31 80.0 7.5 -1.0 30 57-319 5.6 51.4% 228 5.6% 22 37-143 3.9 67.1% 325 7.9%

Michigan Brandon Wimbush 12-22-170-1-1 Brandon Wimbush 19-59-3.1-0 Chris Finke 3-55-18.3-1 at Tulane Sam Hartman 31-51-378-2-2 Sam Hartman 13-64-4.9-0 Sage Surratt 11-150-13.6-0 Ball St Brandon Wimbush 17-31-297-0-3 Jafar Armstrong 13-66-5.1-1 Miles Boykin 6-119-19.8-0 Towson Sam Hartman 17-27-242-2-1 Cade Carney 19-130-6.8-1 Greg Dortch 7-94-13.4-1 Vanderbilt Brandon Wimbush 13-23-122-0-0 Tony Jones 17-118-6.9-0 Tony Jones 2-56-28.0-0 vs. Boston College Sam Hartman 20-45-214-2-2 Matt Colburn 23-117-5.1-1 Greg Dortch 9-93-10.3-0at Wake Forest Notre Dame Stanford Riceat Virginia Tech vs. Clemson Pittsburgh Bye Bye at Florida St† Navy vs. at Louisvilleat Northwestern Syracuse Florida St at NC State† Syracuse vs. Pittsburghat USC at Duke

vs.

Brandon Wimbush 42-76-589-1-4 Tony Jones 39-224-5.7-2 Miles Boykin 8-161-20.1-0 Sam Hartman 68-123-834-6-5 Cade Carney 53-300-5.7-2 Greg Dortch 28-336-12.0-1Ian Book 3-3-13-1-0 Jafar Armstrong 39-147-3.8-3 Chris Finke 10-101-10.1-1 vs. Matt Colburn 48-212-4.4-1 Sage Surratt 18-263-14.6-1

Brandon Wimbush 49-136-2.8-1 Chase Claypool 7-100-14.3-0 Sam Hartman 41-193-4.7-1 Alex Bachman 9-116-12.9-3Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Notre Dame 5 -14 48 30 46-380

Wake Forest - 55 37 34 40-239 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Notre Dame 6 -26.5 28 15 30-171

Wake Forest - 52 7 23 44-121 -1

vs.

vs.

Notre Dame

Projected Yardage Total

FOE REC

TEAMTM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP --PS RANK--

Notre Dame Fighting IrishFighting Irish Logs

TM REC

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Wak

e Fo

rest

Dem

on D

eaco

ns

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Not

re D

ame

Fig

hti

ng

Iri

sh

19-30-219 279 yards Notre Dame Wake Forest

21 points

49

8 Notre Dame

Notre Dame Leaders Wake Forest Leaders

Notre Dame DL0.16

Bye Sks Allowed at Florida St† Navy Rush Def at Louisvilleat Northwestern Pass Def Syracuse Florida St Total Def at NC State† Syracuse Score Def Pittsburghat USC Sks By at Duke

Michigan 2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Tulane Ball St

Notre Dame Wake Forest Towson

Vanderbilt Boston Collegeat Wake Forest Rush Off Notre Dame Stanford Pass Off Rice

OVERALL:

FOE +/-AP

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--

OVERALL: Wake Forest Demon Deacons3-0 2-1vs. ACC Demon Deacons Logs

Notre Dame

vs. IND

Wake Forest

1.26

Notre Dame QB/WR

Wake Forest DB's

0.64

Notre Dame DB's

Wake Forest QB/WR

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

2-0

Defense

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff

0-1TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMFOE

at Virginia Tech Total Off Clemson Pittsburgh Score Off Bye

Wake Forest OL

0.80

Notre Dame LB'S

Wake Forest RB's

0.61

Notre Dame RB's

Wake Forest LB's

1.32

Notre Dame OL

Wake Forest DL

Comp-Att-Yds

Wake Forest K13-19-111

Projected Rushing184 yards Notre Dame Wake Forest

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineLast year WF couldn’t stop the Irish run game which rushed for 380 yards. ND had leads of 34-10, 41-16 and 48-23 but gave up a pair of garbage TD’s including one with :51 left to cost me a Pressbox play as ND (-14) only won 48-37. This is the Irish’s first road trip and they are just 6-12 straight up their last 18 true road games but there should be a decent % of Irish fans in the small stadium for this. Clawson is 8-4-1 ATS as a HD here with Wake. Last week, against Vanderbilt, the Irish led 16-0 2Q but found themselves clinging to a 5 pt 4Q lead. WF trailed BC by 14 pts until they added a TD with just 1:33 left. QB Hinton’s 3 game susp ends this week although it remains to be seen if HC Clawson will stick with QB Hartman (55%, 6-5 ratio) who has led WF to 547 ypg. The key matchup will be ND’s stout run D, allowing just 107 (3.0) rush ypg vs WF’s solid run game (269, 5.1). WF has failed to cover their last 5 (0-4-1 ATS) and ND has my #14 rated defense and Wake is just #75.

Notre Dame By 7.5

57.5 Points

Notre Dame By 0.8

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score Notre Dame ST's

2.29

Wake Forest ST's

Notre Dame Coaches

167 yardsProjected Passing

273 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

23-38-330

30-48-348

Wake Forest

Game Grade464 yards Notre Dame Wake Forest 440 yards Wake Forest Coaches

0.75

+/- Ratings

Notre Dame By 0.6

1.15

Notre Dame K

Notre Dame 31 Wake Forest 20By 4.08 Points

Phil SteeleNotre Dame by 11

Notre Dame 464-440Computer Yards

Computer PointsNotre Dame 30-21

Projected Final Score6.54

52

54POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:Team Schedule Strength Notre Dame

Wake ForestNotre Dame Pts

2.45Notre DameExperience Rankings Wake Forest Pts

30 points

Wake Forest

Page 23: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 102 8/31 72-19 W 94 89 79 0-0 0-0 103 9/1 66-3 W 48 96 101-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 105 9/8 10-41 L 90 83 79 68 72 109 1-0 0-0 107 9/8 46 97 101-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 102 96 9/15 37-35 W 94 77 51 102 108 81 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 107 119 #21 9/15 24-49 L 43 96 11 25 9 432-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/22 98 78 37 41 101 16 #100 #80 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/22 41 101 16 98 78 37

1-1 0-0 105 9/29 84 95 44 #40 #27 2-1 0-0 114 9/29 75 60 992-1 0-0 114 10/6 75 60 99 #71 #38 1-2 0-0 86 10/6 111 122 1062-1 0-0 118 10/13 35 49 45 #34 #19 2-1 0-1 101 10/13 77 91 953-1 1-0 88 10/20 114 123 96 #60 #79 3-0 1-0 103 10/20 85 87 1142-1 0-0 101 10/27 103 46 49 #45 #78 1-2 0-0 94 10/27 54 88 86

11/3 #121 #45 1-2 0-0 88 11/3 71 116 1021-3 0-1 87 11/10 93 118 40 #103 #54 1-2 1-0 100 11/10 105 61 690-3 0-0 82 11/17 127 111 104 #95 #76 0-0 0-0 86 11/17 119 103 1282-1 0-0 96 11/24 62 106 116 #12 #91 0-3 0-1 88 11/24 123 104 110

#98 #420 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Portland St 72-19 288 8 0 25 35-216 6.2 18-28 420 1 17 43-107 2.5 14-34 241 4 VMI 66-3 371 16 3 30 45-213 4.7 22-32 390 2 14 31-61 2.0 29-47 171 4at Vanderbilt 10-41 -218 -11 -2 14 25-34 1.4 22-39 216 3 25 39-198 5.1 24-34 270 1 Bye Oregon St 37-35 -183 -11 2 17 30-156 5.2 18-37 201 1 28 40-81 2.0 35-56 459 5 Miami, Fl 24-49 -139 -7 -1 17 36-112 3.1 13-23 222 4 24 53-268 5.1 13-23 205 0at Toledo Nevadaat Air Force at Fresno St Fresno St Bowling Green Boise St at Eastern Michiganat Hawaii Buffalo San Diego St at Western Michigan Bye Ball St Colorado St at Northern Illinoisat San Jose St at Kent Stat UNLV Central Michigan

Average 40-32 -37.7 -4.7 0.0 19 30-135 4.5 55.8% 279 4.8% 23 41-129 3.2 58.9% 323 8.1% Average 45-26 116.0 4.5 1.0 24 41-163 4.0 63.6% 306 10.9% 19 42-165 3.9 60.0% 188 5.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 10-41 -218.0 -11.0 -2.0 14 25-34 1.4 56.4% 216 7.7% 25 39-198 5.1 70.6% 270 2.9% Home 45-26 116.0 4.5 1.0 24 41-163 4.0 63.6% 306 10.9% 19 42-165 3.9 60.0% 188 5.7%

Portland St Ty Gangi 16-26-342-3-1 Toa Taua 8-56-7.0-0 Kaleb Fossum 6-139-23.2-0 VMI Mitchell Guadagni 11-16-265-3-0 Bryant Koback 9-67-7.4-2 Jon'Vea Johnson 3-80-26.7-1at Vanderbilt Ty Gangi 22-39-216-1-2 Toa Taua 6-24-4.0-0 McLane Mannix 6-86-14.3-0 Bye Oregon St Ty Gangi 17-35-195-2-1 Toa Taua 12-81-6.8-1 McLane Mannix 5-85-17.0-1 vs. Miami, Fl Mitchell Guadagni 13-21-222-2-1 Mitchell Guadagni 15-47-3.1-0 Diontae Johnson 6-119-19.8-2at Toledo Nevadaat Air Force at Fresno St Fresno St vs. Bowling Green Boise St at Eastern Michiganat Hawaii Buffalo San Diego St vs. at Western Michigan Bye Ball St Colorado St at Northern Illinoisat San Jose St vs. at Kent Stat UNLV Central Michigan

vs.

Ty Gangi 55-100-753-6-4 Toa Taua 26-161-6.2-1 McLane Mannix 15-303-20.2-4 Mitchell Guadagni 24-37-487-5-1 Bryant Koback 16-90-5.6-2 Diontae Johnson 8-179-22.4-3

Toa Taua 2-2-79-1-0 Ty Gangi 18-80-4.4-1 Kaleb Fossum 13-201-15.5-0 vs. Eli Peters 8-15-73-0-0 Mitchell Guadagni 19-67-3.5-0 Jon'Vea Johnson 4-98-24.5-1Cristian Solano 1-1-5-0-0 Devonte Lee 12-55-4.6-1 Jaxson Kincaide 7-96-13.7-2 Carter Bradley 3-3-52-0-0 Art Thompkins 12-66-5.5-1 Cody Thompson 5-87-17.4-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Nevada - 68.5 24 22 24-109

Toledo - -11 37 28 60-194 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Nevada Toledo 523 yards

Nevada Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

Toledo won last year 37-24 on the road and never trailed (tied 3-3) and led 20-3 late 2Q, but never had a lead larger than 17 pts the entire game. Nevada is on their 2nd road game in 3 weeks and has the option of Air Force on deck. Norvell is 2-5 ATS as an AD and Nevada was 0-6 on the road last year losing by 20 ppg and lost to Vandy by 31 this year. Nevada was 6-34 all-time SU against Power 5 teams but captured a big 37-35 home win against Oregon St last week and are 2-1. Toledo is playing their 3rd straight game at home but are coming off a 49-24 home loss to the Miami Hurricanes. Nevada does have to travel east & it kicks at noon which is 9 am Nevada time. Nevada led Oregon St 30-7 last week but needed the Beavers to miss a FG on the final play to win by 2. The Wolfpack are poor on the road, in an odd spot, off a big win and Toledo is off a loss so I side with the Rockets with my Individual Game grade calling for them to win by 12.4.

Toledo Leaders

Las Vegas Total69.5 Points

+/- RatingsNevada Coaches

Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineToledo ST's Toledo By 10Nevada K

1.50

Toledo By 7.3

Toledo Coaches

Nevada DB's1.52

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Nev

ada

Wol

f P

ack

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Tole

do

Roc

kets

Net Offense

Nevada Toledo

0.87

Nevada QB/WR

Toledo DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Nevada ST's

Nevada DL0.45

Toledo OL

Pass Off

San Diego St Rush Def at Western Michiganat Hawaii

Pass Def Ball St Colorado St Total Def at Northern Illinois Bye

Score Def at Kent Stat UNLV Sks By Central Michiganat San Jose St

AP

Nevada Wolf Packvs. MAC

Nevada LB'S0.06

Toledo RB's

Nevada RB's0.21

Toledo LB's

0.57

Nevada OL

Total OffScore Off

Sks Allowed

vs. MTW Rockets LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Toledo Rockets2-1 1-1

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

Wolf Pack Logs

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

FOE

Defense

Score Score

Bye Miami, Fl

2018 TEAM RANKINGS VMI

Nevada Toledo

at Fresno Stat Toledo

Bowling Green Boise St at Eastern Michigan Fresno St

Buffalo

Oregon St

Portland Stat Vanderbilt

Rush Off Nevadaat Air Force

Toledo DL

19-27-232

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

19-37-277

3.83

Projected Rushing123 yards Nevada Toledo 168 yards

Projected PassingNevada Toledo

0.10

Toledo K

Toledo QB/WR

0.41

ToledoComputer Yards

Toledo 41-30

Toledo 523-379

Computer Points64 Nevada Toledo

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings Toledo PtsNevada 1.85

Nevada Pts

30 points

355 yards256 yards

40 points

Toledo By 12.4Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade379 yards

95 Nevada Toledo

115

110 Toledo by 17 Best Bet: *Toledo 44 Nevada 27By 1.98 Points

Toledo Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

Page 24: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 132 #1 9/1 14-51 L 30 50 41 2 2 53 0-0 0-0 97 9/1 42-13 W 112 57 400-1 0-0 110 9/8 31-7 W 32 53 41 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 107 9/8 16-20 L 110 60 40 54 74 901-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 110 85 9/15 20-17 W 47 76 40 123 90 90 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 103 9/15 45-31 W 105 49 65 56 104 102-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 107 104 9/22 52 72 32 97 53 71 #97 #30 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 107 9/22 97 53 71 52 72 32

1-2 0-2 104 9/29 17 20 35 #112 #73 2-0 0-0 118 9/29 31 73 781-2 0-1 108 10/5 28 68 103 #118 #45 10/63-0 1-0 121 10/13 9 22 120 #108 #55 2-1 0-0 122 10/13 25 11 48

10/20 #90 #79 3-0 0-0 121 10/20 82 21 1212-1 0-1 114 10/27 36 75 56 #95 #42 0-2 0-0 107 10/27 91 27 43-0 0-0 129 11/3 14 4 60 #55 #50 2-1 1-0 112 11/2 67 35 1173-0 1-0 109 11/9 60 108 3 #82 #34 85 11/10 118 129 1292-0 0-0 118 11/17 31 73 78 #71 #49 1-2 0-1 108 11/17 28 68 1030-0 0-0 107 11/24 59 36 107 #68 #68 2-0 1-0 117 11/23 55 38 20

#112 #35-3 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Alabama 14-51 -251 -3 -1 20 26-16 0.6 20-39 252 3 23 42-222 5.3 17-26 297 1 Richmond 42-13 317 16 1 25 47-333 7.1 13-26 187 3 9 20-16 0.8 13-29 187 2 Indiana St 31-7 152 7 -2 19 38-199 5.2 14-22 164 3 12 50-174 3.5 3-12 37 1 at Indiana 16-20 -93 -6 0 15 39-188 4.8 12-25 106 0 21 44-237 5.4 16-22 150 0 WKU 20-17 -136 -9 0 17 38-204 5.4 10-21 88 1 26 43-168 3.9 25-38 260 3 Ohio 45-31 188 10 -1 23 31-173 5.6 25-30 379 3 13 30-118 3.9 16-31 246 3at Virginia Louisville Florida St at NC State Georgia Tech Byeat Boston College Miami, Fl Bye at Duke Wake Forest North Carolinaat Clemson Pittsburghat Syracuse Liberty NC State at Georgia Tech Kentucky at Virginia Tech

Average 22-25 -78.3 -1.7 -1.0 19 34-140 4.1 53.7% 168 8.5% 20 45-188 4.2 59.2% 198 6.6% Average 34-21 137.3 6.7 0.0 21 39-231 5.9 61.7% 224 7.4% 14 31-124 3.9 54.9% 194 6.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 14-51 -251.0 -3.0 -1.0 20 26-16 0.6 51.3% 252 7.7% 23 42-222 5.3 65.4% 297 3.8% Home 44-22 252.5 13.0 0.0 24 39-253 6.5 67.9% 283 10.7% 11 25-67 2.7 48.3% 217 8.3%

† Alabama Jawon Pass 20-39-252-2-2 Trey Smith 4-11-2.8-0 Seth Dawkins 3-68-22.7-0 Richmond Bryce Perkins 12-23-181-2-1 Jordan Ellis 18-141-7.8-2 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-97-19.4-1 Indiana St Jawon Pass 8-14-89-0-1 Jeremy Smith 6-56-9.3-0 Micky Crum 2-47-23.5-0 at Indiana Bryce Perkins 12-24-106-2-0 Bryce Perkins 25-123-4.9-0 Hasise Dubois 4-49-12.3-0 WKU Malik Cunningham 10-18-88-0-0 Malik Cunningham 21-129-6.1-0 Jaylen Smith 3-38-12.7-0 vs. Ohio Bryce Perkins 25-30-379-3-0 Jordan Ellis 19-171-9.0-3 Olamide Zaccheaus 9-247-27.4-2at Virginia Louisville Florida St at NC State Georgia Tech vs. Byeat Boston College Miami, Fl Bye at Duke Wake Forest vs. North Carolinaat Clemson Pittsburghat Syracuse Liberty NC State vs. at Georgia Tech Kentucky at Virginia Tech

vs.

Jawon Pass 28-56-341-2-4 Malik Cunningham 33-183-5.5-1 Jaylen Smith 6-98-16.3-1 Bryce Perkins 49-77-666-7-1 Jordan Ellis 49-375-7.7-5 Olamide Zaccheaus 19-359-18.9-4Malik Cunningham 16-25-163-1-0 Dae Williams 19-65-3.4-2 Seth Dawkins 6-96-16.0-0 vs. Brennan Armstrong 1-2-6-0-0 Bryce Perkins 47-235-5.0-2 Hasise Dubois 13-154-11.8-2Jordan Travis 0-1-0-0-0 Colin Wilson 11-60-5.5-0 Micky Crum 5-71-14.2-0 Chris Moore 2-41-20.5-0 Joe Reed 6-62-10.3-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Louisville - -12 38 27 43-298

Virginia - 66.5 21 16 28-63 0

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Louisville 5 -33.5 32 27 34-147

Virginia - 70.5 25 17 28-84 0

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Louisville - -13.5 38 23 37-266

Virginia - 48 31 22 31-94 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Louisville 21 -5.5 21 17 27-79

Virginia - 47 23 13 40-114 1

Louisville Cardinals

FOE

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Virginia 415 yards

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Lou

isvi

lle C

ard

inal

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Vir

gin

ia C

aval

iers

Net Offense

Louisville VirginiaRushing

Louisville QB/WR

0.25

Virginia DB's

Defense

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Virginia ST's Virginia By 5

19-36-214

202 yards

Miami, Fl Georgia Tech

at Duke Wake Forest Rush Def North Carolina Bye

Pass Def PittsburghTotal Def Liberty

at Clemson

Score Def at Georgia Tech Kentucky Sks By at Virginia Tech NC State

TM CONF FOE CONF

Indiana StLouisville Virginia

at Indiana WKU Ohio

FOE RECTM REC

† Alabama

at Virginia

at Syracuse

Comp-Att-Yds

15-26-195

Louisville Leaders

25-41-260

Comp-Att-Yds

20-43-203

16-30-171

24-41-361

Sks Allowed

vs. ACC vs. ACC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Virginia Cavaliers2-1 2-1Cardinals Logs Cavaliers Logs

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTM +/- FOE +/-FOETEAM --PS RANK--0-0 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM REC

Receiving

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Richmond

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Rush Off Louisville Florida St Pass Off at NC State

Total Off Byeat Boston College Score Off

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

1.60

1.21

Louisville K

0.19

Louisville DL

Virginia OLLouisville LB'S

0.31

Virginia RB's

Louisville RB's0.33

Virginia LB's

1.22

Louisville OL

Virginia DL

Louisville ST's Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Virginia By 0.3

Projected Rushing

Louisville Virginia 213 yards

Projected Passing

157 yards Louisville Virginia

178 yards

Virginia Leaders

Las Vegas Total

Virginia K

55 Points

+/- RatingsLouisville Coaches

Virginia By 18.8

0.06

Louisville DB's

Virginia QB/WR

Game GradeVirginia Coaches

0.75

Phil's Forecast:

Louisville has won 3 in a row in the series, but the Cavs are 3-1 ATS the last 4. Last year LV only led 17-14 at half but was up 38-14 (-12) before allowing a TD with 1:48 left at home. Petrino is 14-8 straight up on the road. LV does have a big home game vs Florida St on deck. The Cards were -33 here in ‘16 and only won by 7. UVA enters off a 45-31 (-5’) ‘home’ win over Ohio in a game that was moved to Nashville, TN. The ‘Hoos are led by WR Zaccheaus who set a school record with 247 yds and QB Perkins who hit 25-30-379-3-0 vs OU. Louisville’s offensive struggles were understood in the first 2 weeks, having played Bama in the opener then dealing with harsh weather conditions in week 2. Last week they put up just 292 yards and 16 FD’s but managed to beat WKU 20-17 despite being -136 yards. QB Cunningham saved the day for the 2nd consecutive week, rushing for 129 (6.1). The UVA D that just held Ohio to 118 (3.9) rush yards. UL is on a 5-15 ATS run (5 straight non-covers). The strongest case for Virginia is that if you take a look at just this year performance, my Individual Game Grades has them favored by 18.8 and they are just a 5 point favorite. The dangerous part is that LV dominated last year, and I had the Cards favored by a TD prior to the season and this is their first time when not facing Bama or being a huge favorite and could be Cunningham’s first start.

Comp-Att-Yds

25-40-238

Comp-Att-Yds

11-22-159

Computer Yards

Virginia 27-21

0.88 Virginia 415-335

Computer Points116 Louisville Virginia 118

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings Virginia Pts

Louisville 5.03

Louisville Pts

21 points 27 points

Projected Yardage Total

335 yards Louisville

Virginia

55 Louisville Virginia 62 Virginia by 6Virginia 27 Louisville 21

By 4.14 Points

Louisville Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

Page 25: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 101 8/31 42-55 L 60 99 70 70 109 42 0-0 0-0 84 9/1 24-20 W 113 112 1280-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 94 122 #21 9/8 3-49 L 50 93 70 25 3 19 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 89 118 9/8 7-41 L 116 113 128 31 70 960-2 0-0 91 9/15 68-0 W 57 92 128 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 89 116 9/15 22-59 L 121 118 123 23 79 201-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 94 88 9/22 54 88 86 121 120 126 #48 #99 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 88 94 9/22 121 120 126 54 88 86

0-3 0-0 95 9/29 94 96 93 #54 #98 2-1 0-0 93 9/29 100 119 612-1 0-1 101 10/6 77 91 95 #48 #113 2-1 0-0 103 10/6 99 70 261-2 0-0 86 10/13 111 122 106 #44 #118 10/130-3 0-1 88 10/20 123 104 110 #21 #100 2-1 0-0 101 10/20 33 94 55

#122 #119 2-1 0-0 89 10/27 120 128 911-1 0-0 101 11/1 64 107 9 #4 #98 1-2 0-1 76 11/3 126 124 124

11/10 #73 #119 1-1 0-0 86 11/10 76 114 1131-2 0-0 88 11/13 71 116 102 #105 #119 1-1 0-0 107 11/17 90 58 291-2 1-0 100 11/20 105 61 69 #52 #104 2-1 0-0 99 11/24 92 90 50

#57 #1200 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Syracuse 42-55 61 -2 -1 24 28-242 8.6 19-36 379 1 26 62-334 5.4 11-28 226 2 Kennesaw St 24-20 -67 2 1 21 38-128 3.4 20-28 187 3 19 51-181 3.5 12-19 201 1at Michigan 3-49 -243 -3 -1 17 40-123 3.1 16-34 85 2 20 35-308 8.8 13-18 143 2 at NC State 7-41 -192 -6 0 18 31-107 3.5 19-34 242 3 24 31-115 3.7 32-39 426 0 Delaware St 68-0 404 26 2 31 41-241 5.9 23-33 286 0 5 38-115 3.0 4-11 8 2 at Memphis 22-59 -237 -5 0 22 43-173 4.0 19-34 139 2 27 35-410 11.7 19-34 139 2at Georgia St Western Michiganat Miami, OH ULM Eastern Michigan at Troyat Bowling Green Byeat Central Michigan at Arkansas St

Coastal Carolina Ohio Texas St Bye at Louisianaat Ball St at Appalachian St Northern Illinois GA Southern

Average 38-35 74.0 7.0 0.0 24 36-202 5.6 56.3% 250 2.9% 17 45-252 5.6 49.1% 126 10.5% Average 18-40 -165.3 -3.0 0.3 20 37-136 3.6 60.4% 189 8.3% 23 39-235 6.0 68.5% 255 3.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 3-49 -243.0 -3.0 -1.0 17 40-123 3.1 47.1% 85 5.9% 20 35-308 8.8 72.2% 143 11.1% Home 24-20 -67.0 2.0 1.0 21 38-128 3.4 71.4% 187 10.7% 19 51-181 3.5 63.2% 201 5.3%

Syracuse Jon Wassink 19-36-379-3-2 LeVante Bellamy 11-120-10.9-2 D'Wayne Eskridge 8-240-30.0-2 Kennesaw St Dan Ellington 20-28-187-3-0 Dan Ellington 18-77-4.3-0 Christian Owens 6-70-11.7-1at Michigan Jon Wassink 16-34-85-0-1 LeVante Bellamy 11-65-5.9-0 D'Wayne Eskridge 2-20-10.0-0 at NC State Dan Ellington 15-28-194-0-0 Destin Coates 6-43-7.2-1 Devin Gentry 5-83-16.6-0 Delaware St Jon Wassink 23-30-286-2-0 LeVante Bellamy 7-83-11.9-1 Giovanni Ricci 5-77-15.4-2 vs. at Memphis Dan Ellington 15-26-107-0-1 Destin Coates 12-68-5.7-0 Cornelius McCoy 5-43-8.6-0at Georgia St Western Michiganat Miami, OH ULM Eastern Michigan vs. at Troyat Bowling Green Byeat Central Michigan at Arkansas St

vs. Coastal Carolina Ohio Texas St Bye at Louisianaat Ball St vs. at Appalachian St Northern Illinois GA Southern

vs.

Jon Wassink 58-100-750-5-3 LeVante Bellamy 29-268-9.2-3 D'Wayne Eskridge 10-260-26.0-2 Dan Ellington 50-82-488-3-1 Destin Coates 20-120-6.0-1 Penny Hart 12-134-11.2-1Alex Mussat 0-2-0.1-0-0 Chase Brown 17-122-7.2-0 Jayden Reed 12-159-13.3-1 vs. Aaron Winchester 6-11-66-0-0 Dan Ellington 32-112-3.5-1 Devin Gentry 6-99-16.5-0TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Jamauri Bogan 24-114-4.8-2 Giovanni Ricci 6-85.1-14.2-2 Jack Walker 2-3-14-0-0 Tra Barnett 25-57-2.3-0 Christian Owens 9-93-10.3-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

60 W MichiganTeam Schedule Strength

47

489 yards W Michigan

Net Offense Defense

W M

ich

igan

Bro

nco

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Geo

rgia

St

Pan

ther

s

Net Offense

Northern Illinois Sks By GA Southernat Ball St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Syracuseat Michigan Delaware Stat Georgia Stat Miami, OH

at Bowling Green Eastern Michigan

Sks AllowedRush Def

at Central Michigan

Pass Defat Louisiana

Ohio

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

W Michigan Georgia St

Rush OffPass OffTotal OffScore Off

Projected Rushing216 yards W Michigan Georgia St 178 yards

Projected Passing

at Troy Byeat Arkansas St Coastal Carolina

Score Def at Appalachian St

Georgia St RB's

W Michigan DL0.51

Georgia St OL

0.90

W Michigan LB'S

1.25

Kennesaw Stat NC Stateat Memphis Western Michigan ULM

vs. MAC vs. SUN

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Broncos Logs

Georgia St Panthers1-2 1-2W Michigan Broncos

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOETEAM

Panthers Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM RECFOE TM

CONF

Texas St Bye Total Def

Defense

W Michigan RB's

Georgia St LB's

1.89

W Michigan OL

Georgia St DL

Receiving

W Michigan Georgia StRushing

2.22

W Michigan QB/WR

Georgia St DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

First meeting. The Panthers are 2-8 in non-conf home games, with both wins coming against FCS teams. WM was +134 ypg at home in ‘17 but -109 ypg on the road. Georgia St plays in a great home venue of ex Turner Field (Atlanta Braves) but went just 1-4 there and were -73 ypg. Both teams have 2nd year HC’s but WM is #62 on my Exp Chart and the Panthers are #113. WM is 4-3 all-time SU vs current Sun Belt teams, with their most recent game in 2016 when they beat Georgia Southern 49-31. WM can focus on their rush attack (202 ypg) with the Panthers giving up 235 rush ypg. My individual game grades which take into account the opponent faced, and yards and scores of each game has WMich playing at a 86.7 level this year and Georgia St at just a 68.4 mark so it favors WMich by 15.8 and the Vegas number is around a TD.

274 yards W Michigan Georgia St 182 yards

W Michigan By 15.8Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

Georgia St Leaders

W Michigan ST's0.47

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Georgia St K

Georgia St QB/WR

0.67

W Michigan DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

W Michigan K

W Michigan Leaders

Computer YardsW Michigan

W Michigan Georgia St 27

40 points

Georgia St

Georgia St

92

Georgia St 360 yards

27 points W Michigan 489-360Projected Final Score

7.42

W Michigan Pts1.33

Experience Rankings Georgia St Pts

Georgia St ST's W Michigan By 7.5

0.50

W Michigan By 3.5+/- Ratings

W Michigan Coaches

0.35Georgia St Coaches

63 Points

W Michigan by 15 Western Michigan 41 Georgia St 26By 6.09 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Computer PointsW Michigan 40-27

Phil SteeleW Michigan

Page 26: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 100 9/1 48-10 W 81 108 125 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 78 9/1 35-7 W 111 75 98 129 117 1291-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 100 105 9/8 36-29 W 85 109 125 102 54 65 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 97 131 #4 9/8 3-52 L 105 64 98 3 4 72-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 101 9/15 35-28 W 89 95 119 95 86 97 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 95 99 9/15 14-55 L 110 63 80 111 82 993-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 103 91 9/22 85 87 114 113 71 81 #86 #94 1-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 91 103 9/22 113 71 81 85 87 114

2-1 0-1 101 9/29 74 92 39 #45 #122 3-0 0-0 108 9/29 50 62 830-3 0-1 88 10/6 123 104 110 #65 #124 0-0 0-0 101 10/6 106 100 252-0 0-0 97 10/13 115 52 94 #34 #119 2-1 0-0 104 10/13 38 51 681-1 0-0 104 10/20 41 101 16 #1 #40 1-2 1-0 107 10/20 56 37 820-3 0-0 95 10/30 94 96 93 #70 #117 10/270-0 0-0 86 11/6 119 103 128 #73 #56 2-1 0-0 119 11/3 5 16 36

11/10 #70 #97 2-1 0-0 122 11/10 40 2 241-1 0-0 101 11/14 64 107 9 #56 #114 3-0 0-0 126 11/17 18 19 131-2 0-0 86 11/23 111 122 106 #31 #68 1-1 0-0 119 11/24 32 17 41

#68 #119+6 -10

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Delaware St 48-10 79 3 4 21 37-154 4.2 19-29 200 0 18 54-199 3.7 8-18 76 1 Texas St 35-7 254 12 -2 23 46-218 4.7 20-29 205 1 11 31-69 2.2 9-26 100 3at Temple 36-29 72 11 2 27 41-152 3.7 26-45 275 0 16 29-115 4.0 17-38 240 1 at Ohio St 3-52 -445 -20 -2 12 31-69 2.2 11-30 65 3 32 40-225 5.6 30-33 354 2 Eastern Michigan 35-28 -1 -4 0 18 41-164 4.0 21-26 325 0 22 43-142 3.3 25-38 348 6 at Kansas 14-55 -270 -8 -6 14 33-150 4.5 14-31 124 0 22 48-400 8.3 15-25 144 0at Rutgers Buffalo Army West Point Indianaat Central Michigan Illinois Akron at Marylandat Toledo Northwestern Miami, OH Bye Kent St at Wisconsin Bye Michiganat Ohio Penn Stat Bowling Green at Michigan St

Average 40-22 50.0 3.3 2.0 22 40-157 3.9 66.0% 267 0.0% 19 42-152 3.6 53.2% 221 8.5% Average 17-38 -153.7 -5.3 -3.3 16 37-146 4.0 50.0% 131 4.4% 22 40-231 5.8 64.3% 199 6.0% Conference 35-28 -1.0 -4.0 0.0 18 41-164 4.0 80.8% 325 0.0% 22 43-142 3.3 65.8% 348 15.8% Conference 3-52 -445.0 -20.0 -2.0 12 31-69 2.2 36.7% 65 10.0% 32 40-225 5.6 90.9% 354 6.1% Away 36-29 72.0 11.0 2.0 27 41-152 3.7 57.8% 275 0.0% 16 29-115 4.0 44.7% 240 2.6% Home 35-7 254.0 12.0 -2.0 23 46-218 4.7 69.0% 205 3.4% 11 31-69 2.2 34.6% 100 11.5%

Delaware St Tyree Jackson 17-27-189-6-0 Johnathan Hawkins 8-37-4.6-0 Anthony Johnson 4-57-14.3-1 Texas St Artur Sitkowski 20-29-205-1-3 Isaih Pacheco 11-76-6.9-0 Bo Melton 4-57-14.3-0at Temple Tyree Jackson 26-45-275-3-1 Kevin Marks 25-138-5.5-2 Anthony Johnson 6-76-12.7-1 at Ohio St Artur Sitkowski 6-18-38-0-1 Raheem Blackshear 9-31-3.4-0 Travis Vokolek 1-13-13.0-0 Eastern Michigan Tyree Jackson 21-26-325-3-0 Emmanuel Reed 15-68-4.5-0 KJ Osborn 7-188-26.9-3 vs. at Kansas Giovanni Rescigno 7-12-77-0-0 Raheem Blackshear 19-102-5.4-0 Eddie Lewis 4-43-10.8-0at Rutgers Buffalo Army West Point Indianaat Central Michigan vs. Illinois Akron at Marylandat Toledo Northwestern Miami, OH vs. Bye Kent St at Wisconsin Bye Michiganat Ohio vs. Penn Stat Bowling Green at Michigan St

vs.

Tyree Jackson 64-98-789-12-1 Kevin Marks 45-219-4.9-4 KJ Osborn 16-300-18.8-5 Artur Sitkowski 33-66-290-1-7 Raheem Blackshear 40-195-4.9-1 Jerome Washington 6-85-14.2-0Kyle Vantrease 2-2-11-0-0 Emmanuel Reed 31-112-3.6-0 Anthony Johnson 16-207-12.9-2 vs. Giovanni Rescigno 12-24-104-0-1 Jonathan Hilliman 33-134-4.1-3 Bo Melton 8-71-8.9-0

Jaret Patterson 19-71-3.7-1 Charlie Jones 6-113-18.8-2 Isaih Pacheco 21-97-4.6-0 Raheem Blackshear 12-68-5.7-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

14

FOE

Byeat Ohio at Bowling Green

Net Offense Defense

111 Buffalo Rutgers

Projected Rushing

Buffalo BullsBulls Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Delaware St 2018 TEAM RANKINGS Texas Stat Temple

Buffalo Rutgersat Ohio St

Eastern Michigan at Kansasat Rutgers Rush Off Buffalo

at Central Michigan Akronat Toledo

vs. MACFOE

OVERALL: Rutgers Scarlet Knights3-0 1-2OVERALL:

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Army West Point Pass Off

vs. BIG 10 Scarlet Knights Logs

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Projected Passing239 yards Buffalo Rutgers 169 yards

0.35

Buffalo Rutgers

Sks Allowed Northwestern Miami, OH Rush Def Bye Kent St Pass Def at Wisconsin

FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--1-0 0-1

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Sks By at Michigan St

Total Def MichiganScore Def Penn St

IndianaTotal Off IllinoisScore Off at Maryland

FOE

Buffalo RB's0.63

Rutgers LB's

Rutgers DLBuffalo DL

0.58

Rutgers OL

Buffalo OL

Receiving

Buffalo RutgersRushing

Rutgers DB's

Defense

Buffalo QB/WR

0.17

Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Bu

ffal

o B

ulls

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ru

tger

s S

carl

et K

nig

hts

Net Offense

Buffalo LB'S0.11

Rutgers RB's

Buffalo Leaders

Projected Yardage Total

Buffalo DB's

Rutgers QB/WR0.45

136 yardsRutgers K

Buffalo Coaches

RutgersTeam Schedule Strength

25 points

By 0.70 Points

Buffalo Rutgers 384 yards

0.35

Rutgers Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score Buffalo ST's1.19

Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Game GradeRutgers Coaches

Phil SteeleRutgers by 1

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Last met in 2007. UB is 1-11 vs current Big Ten teams since moving up to FBS in 1999, losing by an average 34-13 score. Buffalo was 6-6 last year but not invited for a bowl but have the best QB in Tyree Jackson (12-1 ratio this year) and best WR on the field in Anthony Johnson. With 14 ret st’rs they are #44 on my Exp Chart and Rutgers is just #95. Leipold is 2-0 ATS vs B10 teams losing to Penn St by only 13 in ‘15 and to Minnesota by 10 last year. Last year Rutgers lost to MAC member EMich at home. QB Sitowski is struggling with a 1-7 ratio and not only were they -6 in TO’s vs Kansas they were outgained 544-274. Buffalo did only beat Emich by 7 at home and now must win on the road by a TD versus a desperate P5 team. The Big Ten school is a rare. Home dog vs the MAC school and despite Buffalo being the more impressive team so far, I have to think Rutgers will feel disrespected and pull off the upset.

Rutgers ST's Buffalo By 5Buffalo K

214 yards 52 Points

375 yards

31 points Buffalo

Buffalo

Rutgers

46 Rutgers

0.50

Buffalo By 9.0

Buffalo By 8.8

Rutgers 384-375Projected Final Score

1.82

Buffalo Pts2.52

Experience Rankings Rutgers Pts

101POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Buffalo 31-25

Rutgers 28 Buffalo 27

Page 27: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 114 99 9/1 23-28 L 32 54 103 65 46 94 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 95 130 #5 9/1 31-77 L 108 110 99 5 4 70-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 109 104 9/8 18-45 L 34 58 103 51 35 54 0-1 0-0 94 9/8 48-25 W 108 112 990-2 0-0 105 9/15 62-31 W 39 75 105 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 96 102 9/15 35-37 L 102 108 81 94 77 511-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 106 97 9/22 34 76 84 101 105 101 #65 #38 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 97 106 9/22 101 105 101 34 76 84

#23 #22 2-1 1-0 109 9/29 22 56 303-0 0-0 110 10/6 72 50 66 #27 #16 3-0 0-0 111 10/6 69 26 802-1 0-1 117 10/13 51 12 2 #55 #41 10/130-3 0-0 99 10/20 78 39 79 #12 #122 3-0 0-0 110 10/20 72 50 663-0 0-0 108 10/27 11 15 89 #114 #115 3-0 0-0 109 10/27 44 28 233-0 0-0 109 11/3 44 28 23 #88 #114 1-2 0-1 111 11/3 23 8 11

11/10 #111 #123 3-0 1-0 119 11/10 7 9 63-0 0-0 111 11/17 69 26 80 #105 #128 2-1 1-0 126 11/17 13 13 702-1 1-0 109 11/24 22 56 30 #119 #104 3-0 0-0 108 11/24 11 15 89

#75 #83-2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

BYU 23-28 -66 -1 0 22 35-129 3.7 17-34 197 1 23 43-183 4.3 18-28 209 0 at Ohio St 31-77 -329 -20 0 15 39-196 5.0 14-24 196 5 35 53-375 7.1 25-34 346 0at Houston 18-45 -20 3 -2 31 50-150 3.0 28-50 381 1 28 40-297 7.4 19-40 254 0 Southern Utah 48-25 161 0 -1 27 45-360 8.0 19-31 289 1 27 38-148 3.9 31-48 340 2 Southern Utah 62-31 163 -4 0 26 38-268 7.1 15-22 358 0 30 54-193 3.6 27-44 270 2 at Nevada 35-37 183 11 -2 28 40-81 2.0 35-56 459 5 17 30-156 5.2 18-37 201 1at Oregon St Arizona

at Arizona St California Washington Stat Utah Byeat UCLA California Oregon at Colorado Colorado USC Bye at Stanfordat Washington St at Washington Arizona St Oregon

Average 34-35 25.7 -0.7 -0.7 26 41-182 4.4 56.6% 312 1.9% 27 46-224 4.9 57.1% 244 1.8% Average 38-46 5.0 -3.0 -1.0 23 41-212 5.1 61.3% 315 9.9% 26 40-226 5.6 62.2% 296 2.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 18-45 -20.0 3.0 -2.0 31 50-150 3.0 56.0% 381 2.0% 28 40-297 7.4 47.5% 254 0.0% Home 48-25 161.0 0.0 -1.0 27 45-360 8.0 61.3% 289 3.2% 27 38-148 3.9 64.6% 340 4.2%

BYU Khalil Tate 17-34-197-1-0 JJ Taylor 18-85-4.7-1 Shawn Poindexter 4-68-17.0-0 at Ohio St Conor Blount 12-19-169-2-0 Artavis Pierce 11-168-15.3-2 Trevon Bradford 6-104-17.3-2at Houston Khalil Tate 24-45-341-0-2 JJ Taylor 18-54-3.0-0 Shawn Poindexter 7-134-19.1-0 Southern Utah Conor Blount 15-22-226-1-0 Jermar Jefferson 22-238-10.8-4 Isaiah Hodgins 4-59-14.8-0 Southern Utah Khalil Tate 13-20-349-5-0 Gary Brightwell 9-86-9.6-0 Tony Ellison 4-111-27.8-1 vs. at Nevada Jake Luton 23-35-284-1-1 Jermar Jefferson 25-106-4.2-2 Isaiah Hodgins 14-200-14.3-2at Oregon St Arizona

at Arizona St California vs. Washington Stat Utah Byeat UCLA California Oregon vs. at Colorado Colorado USC Bye at Stanfordat Washington St vs. at Washington Arizona St Oregon

vs.

Khalil Tate 54-99-887-6-2 JJ Taylor 44-193-4.4-1 Shawn Poindexter 12-277-23.1-1 Conor Blount 39-61-570-4-1 Jermar Jefferson 55-391-7.1-6 Isaiah Hodgins 20-299-15.0-2Rhett Rodriguez 6-7-49-0-0 Gary Brightwell 31-155-5.0-0 Tony Ellison 12-241-20.1-2 vs. Jake Luton 28-45-372-1-1 Artavis Pierce 22-259-11.8-3 Timmy Hernandez 15-167-11.1-0

Darrius Smith 15-62-4.1-1 Shun Brown 15-181-12.1-2 Jack Colletto 1-4-2-0-0 Trevon Bradford 3-23-7.7-0 Trevon Bradford 9-151-16.8-3Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - -21 49 26 55-534

Oregon St - 71.5 28 22 40-151 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - 60.5 17 23 40-162

Oregon St - -3.5 42 26 46-210 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - -10 44 27 58-368

Oregon St - 64.5 7 15 31-151 -1

vs.

FOE REC

AP

Arizona Wildcats

Arizona LB'S

1.20

Arizona DB's

Score

Arizona 514-469Oregon St Pts

9.14

Arizona Pts

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Ari

zon

a W

ildca

ts

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

5-7-68

17-30-276

12-35-98

16-28-209

Arizona Leaders

73

Oregon St QB/WR

1.47Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Oregon St

Oregon

Californiaat Utah

469 yards

Projected Rushing

vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12 Beavers Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

Defense

Arizona 43-36

75.5 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Arizona By 6.0

Oregon St By 2.3

at Colorado

Total Off Washington StScore Off

Pass Def

Wildcats LogsFOE

TM REC

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Arizona St

Comp-Att-Yds

16-31-188

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Ohio Stat Houston

Arizona Oregon St Southern Utah

Southern Utah at Nevada

Bye

at Oregon St Rush Off

AP

Oregon St DL

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

LTH Arizona trailed 14-0 into the 2Q & after a FG on the 1H’s final play trailed 21-10 (-45 yd/+2 FD). UA never got closer than DD’s in 2H and Ore St won 42-17. UA has dropped 14 of the last 18 in the series but has won 2 of the last 3. The Beavers are 5-17 the last 4 years in Pac-12 home games (0-4 in ‘17 -14 ppg). Arizona is trying to make Khalil Tate a pocket passer and he has just 41 yds rush on the year. AZ finally broke a 0-5 SU and ATS streak but actually was outgained at the half by SUtah in a 62-31 win. Last year with Tate rushing for 206 yards the Cats had a school record 534 yards rush. Despite a 30-7 deficit mid 2Q last week in Reno, the Beavers nearly delivered the comeback victory against Nevada missing a 33 yd GW FG as time expired. OSU had 28-17 FD and 540-357 yd edges. Arizona is just 3-11-1 ATS as P12 road chalk. Ore St has played to an average game grade of 81.3 and Arizona to 82.0 so that favors the home dog.

Oregon St ST's Arizona By 6.5Arizona K

Las Vegas Total

Oregon St Leaders

Arizona ST's Team & Margin

Oregon St Coaches

TEAM

Bye Total Def at StanfordScore Def at Washington

Experience Rankings57 Arizona

Sks By Oregonat Washington St

Ore

gon

St

Bea

vers

Arizona DL1.50

Oregon St OL

Rush Def

ArizonaProjected Yardage Total

514 yards Arizona Oregon St

0.25

Oregon St RB's

0.44

Arizona RB's

Oregon St LB's

2.01

Arizona OL

Oregon St

265 yards Arizona Oregon St

242 yards

Projected Final Score43 points Arizona Oregon St 36 points

226 yardsProjected Passing

249 yards

ArizonaPass Off at Arizona St

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Oregon St Beavers1-2 1-2

BYU

Sks Allowed California

USC Colorado

Receiving

Arizona Oregon StRushing

1.81

Arizona QB/WR

Oregon St DB's

Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Net Offense

at UCLA

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

64 Arizona 31Phil Steele

Team Schedule Strength

1.75

1.75Computer Yards

0.46

Oregon St K

Oregon St

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Arizona Coaches16-19-265

Comp-Att-Yds

Arizona by 3 Arizona 40 Oregon St 37By 7.39 Points

Arizona

Page 28: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 105 #13 8/31 31-10 W 3 25 2 90 35 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 110 91 #24 9/1 58-24 W 12 21 102 100 111 1191-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 117 #10 #17 9/8 17-3 W 5 25 2 14 5 11 1-0 0-0 112 #23 9/8 62-14 W 12 21 1022-0 1-0 120 #9 9/15 30-10 W 5 13 8 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 112 78 #20 9/15 35-22 W 8 18 94 122 114 983-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 119 108 #7 #20 9/22 7 9 6 11 15 89 #111 #37 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 108 119 #20 #7 9/22 11 15 89 7 9 6

3-0 2-0 118 9/29 21 14 67 #61 #35 3-0 0-0 110 9/29 72 50 662-1 0-1 117 10/6 51 12 2 #102 #23 10/6

10/13 #94 #8 2-1 1-0 126 10/13 13 13 702-1 1-0 109 10/18 22 56 30 #21 #21 3-0 0-0 111 10/20 69 26 803-0 0-0 111 10/27 69 26 80 #25 #9 0-0 0-0 106 10/27 34 76 842-1 1-0 126 11/3 13 13 70 #52 #77 0-3 0-0 99 11/3 78 39 791-2 0-0 97 11/10 101 105 101 #23 #27 2-1 0-1 117 11/10 51 12 23-0 0-0 110 11/17 72 50 66 #1 #43 2-1 1-0 109 11/17 22 56 300-3 0-0 99 11/24 78 39 79 #21 #7 1-2 0-0 97 11/23 101 105 101

#66 #21+3 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

San Diego St 31-10 119 8 0 19 28-50 1.8 21-31 332 1 11 37-150 4.1 10-15 113 5 Bowling Green 58-24 115 0 0 21 42-212 5.0 11-26 292 1 21 50-136 2.7 22-39 253 3 USC 17-3 10 -7 3 13 29-159 5.5 16-28 183 0 20 37-114 3.1 17-36 218 4 Portland St 62-14 338 22 0 32 47-296 6.3 23-29 266 1 10 40-66 1.7 8-16 158 4 UC Davis 30-10 43 2 0 17 33-137 4.2 17-33 214 2 15 21-50 2.4 28-56 258 0 San Jose St 35-22 147 4 0 20 39-134 3.4 16-36 309 1 16 28-29 1.0 20-41 267 4at Oregon Stanfordat Notre Dame at California Utah Bye Bye Washingtonat Arizona St at Washington St Washington St at Arizonaat Washington UCLA Oregon St at Utah at California Arizona Stat UCLA at Oregon St

Average 26-8 57.3 1.0 1.0 16 30-115 3.8 58.7% 243 3.3% 15 32-105 3.3 51.4% 196 8.4% Average 52-20 200.0 8.7 0.0 24 43-214 5.0 54.9% 289 3.3% 16 39-77 2.0 52.1% 226 11.5% Conference 17-3 10.0 -7.0 3.0 13 29-159 5.5 57.1% 183 0.0% 20 37-114 3.1 47.2% 218 11.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 52-20 200.0 8.7 0.0 24 43-214 5.0 54.9% 289 3.3% 16 39-77 2.0 52.1% 226 11.5%

San Diego St KJ Costello 21-31-332-4-1 Bryce Love 18-29-1.6-0 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 6-226-37.7-3 Bowling Green Justin Herbert 10-21-281-5-2 CJ Verdell 13-51-3.9-0 Taj Griffin 1-83-83.0-1 USC KJ Costello 16-27-183-1-0 Bryce Love 22-136-6.2-1 Kaden Smith 4-77-19.3-0 Portland St Justin Herbert 20-26-250-4-0 Tony Brooks-James 21-107-5.1-2 Dillon Mitchell 2-55-27.5-0 UC Davis KJ Costello 17-30-214-2-2 Trevor Speights 11-87-7.9-0 Kaden Smith 6-68-11.3-0 vs. San Jose St Justin Herbert 16-34-309-3-2 CJ Verdell 15-42-2.8-0 Jacob Breeland 3-92-30.7-1at Oregon Stanfordat Notre Dame at California Utah vs. Bye Bye Washingtonat Arizona St at Washington St Washington St vs. at Arizonaat Washington UCLA Oregon St at Utah at California vs. Arizona Stat UCLA at Oregon St

vs.

KJ Costello 54-88-729-7-3 Bryce Love 40-165-4.1-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 13-324-24.9-5 Justin Herbert 46-81-840-12-4 CJ Verdell 39-199-5.1-1 Johnny Johnson 6-134-22.3-4TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Trevor Speights 14-106-7.6-0 Kaden Smith 12-163-13.6-0 vs. Braxton Burmeister 4-8-27-0-0 Tony Brooks-James 36-173-4.8-2 Jaylon Redd 5-117-23.4-3

Cameron Scarlett 21-58-2.8-1 Trenton Irwin 13-90-6.9-0 Travis Dye 19-122-6.4-1 Dillon Mitchell 6-98-16.3-1Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 23 -10 49 25 41-248

Oregon - 55.5 7 12 43-276 -12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford - -3 52 26 42-282

Oregon - 58.5 27 24 45-226 -42015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 7 -9 36 32 47-202

Oregon - 68 38 18 36-231 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford - 54.5 16 24 39-132

Oregon 5 -7.5 45 30 46-267 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Stanford 6 61.5 26 26 66-274

Oregon 2 -10.5 20 17 24-62 -2

Oregon 228 yards

Projected Final Score

2.15

Computer YardsOregon 23 points 5.82

Stanford 27 Oregon 24

28

Score Off Washingtonat Arizona St Sks Allowed at Washington St Washington St Rush Def at Arizonaat Washington Pass Def UCLA

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

210 yards Stanford Coaches

Projected Rushing Stanford K

146 yards Stanford Oregon 149 yards 1.51

Stanford Pts

Passing

TM +/- FOE +/-1-0

Stanford

5-13-33

Comp-Att-Yds

19-27-258

21-30-274

Comp-Att-Yds

21-28-256

Comp-Att-Yds

28-39-304

10-12-205

19-31-258

Comp-Att-Yds

Oregon 377 yards Oregon Coaches

Stanford ST's

Oregon K

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Stanford Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

23-33-296

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Passing

Projected Yardage Total

at California

356 yards Stanford

at UCLA

FOE

Ducks LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--

vs. PAC 12

OVERALL:Stanford CardinalCardinal Logs vs. PAC 12

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

Portland St UC Davis

Net

Score Def Arizona StSks By at Oregon St

at Oregonat Notre Dame

Bye Bye

Oregon St Total Def at Utah

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE TM CONF

FOE CONF

0-0TM REC

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

at California Utah Total Off

San Diego St USC

Stanford Oregon

Oregon LB's

1.00

Stanford OL

Oregon DL

Stanford QB/WR

Oregon DB's

Stanford DL

San Jose StRush Off StanfordPass Off

Oregon Ducks3-0 3-0OVERALL:

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ore

gon

Du

cks

Net Offense

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Bowling Green

0.74

Oregon OL

0.18

Stanford RB's

Total TO's

Receiving

Stanford OregonRushing

0.05

1.38Las Vegas Line

Stanford By 2

Phil's Forecast:

Last time here the Cardinal had 3 TD’s in the 1Q & never looked back, led 52-13 4Q. SU had 21 points off four Oregon TO’s. Oregon was without QB Herbert last year and hit just 5-13-33 pass but Herbert is back and OU had 52.1 ppg with him last year and 15 ppg without. In 3 games this year OU has 52 ppg. OU was +186 ypg at home last year and Stanford was -64 ypg on the road. Stanford’s biggest edge is on ST’s (#8 vs #94). Stanford was 0-4 ATS in true P12 AG’s last year and Oregon was 4-1 ATS in conf HG’s. Both teams were clearly looking ahead to this one last week and sleep walked vs inferior opponents. Bryce Love is probably not 100% healthy and only has 168 yards rush this year. I could make a great case for either of these squads as I feel Stanford is the slightly stronger team, but Autzen Stadium is very tough.

Oregon ST's

57.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Oregon LeadersStanford DB's

Oregon QB/WRTeam & Margin

Stanford By 6.5

Stanford By 2.6

Oregon 377-356

0.35

Game Grade

0.57

Stanford LB'S

Oregon RB's

20-34-250

7-13-103 Oregon 126By 3.70 Points

Stanford by 3

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule Strength Stanford Phil Steele42 Stanford

Computer PointsStanford 27-23

Oregon Pts

Oregon 58

2.12

Experience RankingsStanford

26 points Stanford

Page 29: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 115 9/1 53-6 W 23 16 81 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 100 113 #17 9/1 14-40 L 58 34 62 14 62 731-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 102 #25 9/8 16-27 L 20 17 81 70 52 104 0-1 0-0 98 9/8 59-3 W 56 37 621-1 1-2 0-1 0-1 113 89 9/15 48-10 W 26 25 34 93 118 40 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 100 78 9/15 0-24 L 64 34 70 124 126 1082-1 1-2 0-1 0-0 115 100 9/22 24 23 57 58 29 72 #64 #36 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-1 100 115 9/22 58 29 72 24 23 57

3-0 0-0 125 9/29 8 7 38 #92 #100 3-0 1-0 133 9/29 2 18 213-0 1-0 120 10/6 57 5 52 #93 #74 10/62-1 0-0 110 10/13 61 40 92 #40 #66 2-1 0-1 119 10/13 20 10 54

10/20 #40 #40 3-0 1-0 140 10/20 1 1 313-0 1-0 133 10/27 2 18 21 #101 #31 1-1 0-1 115 10/27 29 42 173-0 0-0 116 11/3 12 59 5 #7 #41 2-1 1-0 83 11/3 116 113 771-1 0-1 115 11/10 29 42 17 #42 #14 3-0 1-0 107 11/10 59 36 107

11/17 #18 #18 3-0 0-0 116 11/17 12 59 51-2 0-2 104 11/24 17 20 35 #31 #68 2-1 0-0 110 11/24 61 40 92

#67 #40+5 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Charleston Southern 53-6 219 16 3 25 39-203 5.2 19-27 241 1 9 43-222 5.2 5-16 3 3 † West Virginia 14-40 -246 -7 1 19 38-129 3.4 19-25 172 1 26 27-118 4.4 25-34 429 2 Kentucky 16-27 -94 4 0 24 29-128 4.4 17-38 232 2 20 41-303 7.4 11-16 151 0 East Tenn St 59-3 220 10 3 19 44-190 4.3 11-16 224 1 9 29-125 4.3 12-29 69 1 Colorado St 48-10 31 -8 2 14 29-222 7.7 8-15 119 1 22 42-70 1.7 23-41 240 5 UTEP 24-0 378 17 -2 24 50-345 6.9 13-19 167 2 7 28-95 3.4 9-23 39 2at Tennessee Floridaat Miss St at Georgia LSU Byeat Vanderbilt at Auburn Bye Alabama† Georgia at South Carolina Missouri Charlotte South Carolina Kentucky Idaho Missouriat Florida St at Vanderbilt

Average 39-14 52.0 4.0 1.7 21 32-184 5.7 55.0% 197 5.0% 17 42-198 4.7 53.4% 131 11.0% Average 32-14 117.3 6.7 0.7 21 44-221 5.0 71.7% 188 6.7% 14 28-113 4.0 53.5% 179 5.8% Conference 16-27 -94.0 4.0 0.0 24 29-128 4.4 44.7% 232 5.3% 20 41-303 7.4 68.8% 151 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 42-2 299.0 13.5 0.5 22 47-268 5.7 68.6% 196 8.6% 8 29-110 3.9 40.4% 54 5.8%

Charleston Southern Feleipe Franks 16-24-219-5-0 Dameon Pierce 8-75-9.4-0 Freddie Swain 2-57-28.5-0 † West Virginia Jarrett Guarantano 19-25-172-1-0 Tim Jordan 20-118-5.9-1 Marquez Callaway 7-85-12.1-0 Kentucky Feleipe Franks 17-38-232-2-1 Feleipe Franks 11-44-4.0-0 Kadarius Toney 2-35-17.5-0 East Tenn St Jarrett Guarantano 8-13-154-0-0 Tim Jordan 15-65-4.3-0 Marquez Callaway 5-78-15.6-0 Colorado St Feleipe Franks 8-15-119-2-1 Dameon Pierce 5-87-17.4-1 Van Jefferson 2-62-31.0-1 vs. UTEP Jarrett Guarantano 12-16-168-1-0 Ty Chandler 12-158-13.2-1 Josh Palmer 2-64-32.0-0at Tennessee Floridaat Miss St at Georgia LSU vs. Byeat Vanderbilt at Auburn Bye Alabama† Georgia vs. at South Carolina Missouri Charlotte South Carolina Kentucky Idaho vs. Missouriat Florida St at Vanderbilt

vs.

Feleipe Franks 41-77-570-9-2 Dameon Pierce 13-162-12.5-1 Freddie Swain 6-105-17.5-2 Jarrett Guarantano 39-54-494-2-0 Tim Jordan 48-232-4.8-2 Marquez Callaway 13-171-13.2-0Kyle Trask 3-3-22-0-0 Jordan Scarlett 19-105-5.5-1 Van Jefferson 4-93-23.3-1 vs. Keller Chryst 4-6-69-1-0 Ty Chandler 16-154-9.6-1 Josh Palmer 6-148-24.7-0

Feleipe Franks 23-103-4.5-0 Trevon Grimes 5-76-15.2-1 Madre London 22-133-6.0-2 Jordan Murphy 4-80-20.0-1Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida 24 -4.5 26 14 29-168

Tennessee 23 48.5 20 23 33-183 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida 19 41.5 28 17 31-106

Tennessee 14 -4.5 38 22 46-179 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida - 48 28 17 28-109

Tennessee - E 27 20 51-254 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Florida - 54 10 16 48-156

Tennessee - -2.5 9 12 29-28 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Florida 19 -16 31 20 56-215

Tennessee - 45.5 17 12 23-66 -3

FOE

Florida Leaders

23-43-283

12-19-165

26-39-205

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

13-27-76

at Tennessee

Comp-Att-Yds

Net

Comp-Att-Yds

23-39-296

16-33-319

Comp-Att-Yds

Offense Defense

Flor

ida

Gat

ors

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

† Georgia Rush Def Missouri

Score Def Missouriat Florida St Sks By at Vanderbilt Idaho

Ten

nes

see

Vol

un

teer

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

South Carolina

Rush Off Floridaat Miss St Pass Off at Georgia LSU Total Off Byeat Vanderbilt Score Off at Auburn Bye Sks Allowed Alabama

OVERALL: Tennessee Volunteers2-1

Florida Tennessee East Tenn St

Colorado St

vs. SEC

Charleston Southern 2018 TEAM RANKINGS † West Virginia

TM REC FOE REC

Kentucky

18-28-212

21-39-259 Projected Rushing170 yards Florida

94

Tennessee 170 yardsProjected Passing

168 yards Florida Tennessee 191 yards

26 points Florida Tennessee 20 pointsExperience Rankings

3 Florida TennesseeTeam Schedule Strength

116 Florida Tennessee 121

1-2Gators Logs

Florida Gators OVERALL:

vs. SEC Volunteers Logs

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

0-1 0-0TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Florida LB'S

Tennessee RB's

0.32

Florida RB's

Tennessee LB's

0.60

Florida OL

Tennessee DL

Receiving

Florida TennesseeRushing

Florida QB/WR0.02

Tennessee DB's

0.83

Florida DL

Tennessee OL

0.59

UTEP

at South CarolinaPass Def CharlotteTotal Def Kentucky

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineLast year UT lost on a 63 yd Hail Mary when WR Cleveland got behind the D. The Vol’s trailed 20-10 when UF appeared to get 75 yd TD run, but fmbl’d before crossing GL. Vol’s last 3 losses to UF have been by 8 total points. LTH UF had 11 game series win streak broken. They led 21-0 w/5:12 2Q, but allowed UT to score 38 unanswered until a 86/16 TD drive with 4:17 left. This is the Gators first road game and Dan Mullen is making his first trip to Knoxville as a HC. Mullen has 19 ret starters and my #4 Most Exp’d team (Tennessee #87 ). Mullen is 11-8-1 ATS as an AF and Tennessee is just 5-13 ATS as a HD the last 11 years. The Gators got a punt blk TD, a PR TD, 3 TO’s, and CSU missed 2 FG’s in the 38-point win over Colo St with only a 341-310 yd edge. Florida’s run D, off B2B poor games did hold CSU to 70 (1.7) rushing. Tenn is off a 24-0 (-31) home win over UTEP where they had a 512-134 yd edge. The Gators delivered for me on these pages last week and grab another key win here.

Tennessee ST's Florida By 4.5Florida K

Florida ST's

0.26Las Vegas Total

Tennessee Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

Florida DB's0.01

Tennessee QB/WR

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 3.20

Projected Yardage Total338 yards Florida Tennessee 361 yards

Projected Final Score

Tennessee Pts7.03

Florida Pts0.29

Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Florida 26-20

48 PointsTennessee K

+/- RatingsFlorida Coaches Florida By 11.0

Tennessee By 4.8Game Grade

Tennessee Coaches

14-34-154

11-20-167Phil Steele

Florida by 10 Florida 27 Tennessee 17By 6.75 Points

Florida

1.50

Tennessee 361-338

Page 30: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 118 #18 9/1 63-6 W 13 10 51 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 92 9/1 35-20 W 78 53 104 114 82 1061-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 114 #18 9/8 31-10 W 15 7 51 39 36 24 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 118 #25 9/8 27-16 W 70 52 104 20 17 812-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 87 #16 9/15 56-10 W 9 6 45 74 107 110 2-0 1-0 107 7 9/15 48-10 W 65 41 1063-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 125 107 #14 9/22 8 7 38 59 36 107 #5 #11 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 107 125 #14 9/22 59 36 107 8 7 38

2-1 0-1 115 9/29 24 23 57 #42 #101 1-1 0-1 115 9/29 29 42 172-1 0-1 119 10/6 20 10 54 #8 #36 2-1 0-0 120 10/6 6 30 8

10/13 #9 #47 10/133-0 1-0 120 10/20 57 5 52 #12 #12 2-1 0-0 110 10/20 61 40 922-1 0-0 120 10/27 6 30 8 #13 #40 3-0 0-0 116 10/27 12 59 52-0 0-0 103 11/3 46 65 127 #31 #42 3-0 1-0 133 11/3 2 18 213-0 1-0 140 11/10 1 1 31 #8 #281-2 0-0 98 11/17 47 54 63 #6 #22 1-2 0-0 99 11/17 87 82 1152-1 0-1 109 11/24 15 77 118 #12 #68 2-1 0-0 107 11/24 52 72 32

#2 #27+1 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

SF Austin 63-6 364 9 1 25 37-220 5.9 15-34 398 0 16 41-77 1.9 15-37 177 4 Central Michigan 35-20 172 16 -4 27 43-299 7.0 15-27 128 1 11 39-118 3.0 17-27 137 2at Kansas St 31-10 325 9 0 24 39-384 9.8 11-27 154 0 15 35-113 3.2 9-21 100 4 at Florida 27-16 94 -4 0 20 41-303 7.4 11-16 151 0 24 29-128 4.4 17-38 232 2 Louisiana 56-10 297 16 0 29 47-331 7.0 16-24 276 2 13 26-65 2.5 23-34 245 2 Murray St 48-10 226 11 1 28 43-245 5.7 24-31 283 1 17 21-122 5.8 20-41 180 1at Kentucky Miss St Florida South Carolina Auburn at Texas A&M Bye Byeat LSU Vanderbilt Texas A&M at Missouri Louisiana Tech Georgiaat Alabama Arkansas Middle Tennesseeat Mississippi at Louisville

Average 50-9 328.7 11.3 0.3 26 41-312 7.6 49.4% 276 2.4% 15 34-85 2.5 51.1% 174 10.9% Average 37-15 164.0 7.7 -1.0 25 42-282 6.7 67.6% 187 2.7% 17 30-123 4.1 50.9% 183 4.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 27-16 94.0 -4.0 0.0 20 41-303 7.4 68.8% 151 0.0% 24 29-128 4.4 44.7% 232 5.3% Away 31-10 325.0 9.0 0.0 24 39-384 9.8 40.7% 154 0.0% 15 35-113 3.2 42.9% 100 19.0% Home 42-15 199.0 13.5 -1.5 28 43-272 6.3 67.2% 206 3.4% 14 30-120 4.0 54.4% 159 4.4%

SF Austin Keytaon Thompson 13-31-364-5-0 Keytaon Thompson 10-109-10.9-2 Osirus Mitchell 2-114-57.0-2 Central Michigan Terry Wilson 11-18-78-0-2 Benny Snell 20-125-6.3-2 David Bouvier 3-48-16.0-1at Kansas St Nick Fitzgerald 11-27-154-2-1 Kylin Hill 17-211-12.4-2 Stephen Guidry 2-42-21.0-0 at Florida Terry Wilson 11-16-151-2-1 Benny Snell 27-175-6.5-0 Lynn Bowden 4-79-19.8-1 Louisiana Nick Fitzgerald 14-21-243-2-0 Nick Fitzgerald 15-107-7.1-4 Keith Mixon 4-80-20.0-1 vs. Murray St Terry Wilson 19-25-163-0-0 Terry Wilson 13-80-6.2-1 Lynn Bowden 8-89-11.1-0at Kentucky Miss St Florida South Carolina Auburn vs. at Texas A&M Bye Byeat LSU Vanderbilt Texas A&M vs. at Missouri Louisiana Tech Georgiaat Alabama Arkansas vs. Middle Tennesseeat Mississippi at Louisville

vs.

Nick Fitzgerald 25-48-397.1-4-1 Kylin Hill 32-293-9.2-3 Stephen Guidry 6-138-23.0-1 Terry Wilson 41-59-392-2-3 Benny Snell 62-375-6.0-3 Lynn Bowden 17-185-10.9-1Keytaon Thompson 15-34-397-5-1 Nick Fitzgerald 34-266-7.8-4 Osirus Mitchell 3-119-39.7-2 vs. Gunnar Hoak 8-14-127-2-0 Terry Wilson 32-223-7.0-2 David Bouvier 5-91-18.2-2Logan Burnett 1-1-25-0-0 Keytaon Thompson 15-161-10.7-3 Keith Mixon 6-101-16.8-1 Benny Snell 1-1-43-1-0 Asim Rose 17-146-8.6-3 Clevan Thomas 3-63-21.0-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi St - -12 45 25 48-282

Kentucky - 54.5 7 14 29-115 -22016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi St - -4 38 16 39-281

Kentucky - 53.5 40 26 44-262 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi St - -12 42 30 36-204

Kentucky - 56.5 16 30 33-163 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi St 1 -14 45 30 51-326

Kentucky - 59 31 23 32-103 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Mississippi St - -11 28 24 42-152

Kentucky - 56 22 20 40-160 0

30-52-260

25-44-401

Comp-Att-Yds

18-33-216

Comp-Att-Yds

at Alabama

Net Offense Defense

Mis

s S

t B

ulld

ogs

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ken

tuck

y W

ildca

ts

TM REC FOE REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Central Michiganat Kansas St

Miss St Kentuckyat Florida

Louisiana Murray St

Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Florida Pass Off South Carolina Auburn Total Off at Texas A&M Bye Score Off Byeat LSU Sks Allowed Vanderbilt Texas A&M Rush Def at Missouri Louisiana Tech

SF Austin

Kentucky

Projected Final Score33 points Miss St Kentucky 18 points

99

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

157 yards

115 Miss St

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Miss St is 8-1 straight up in this series. Last year UK trailed 10-7 2Q, allowed a 40 yd TD run with 1:05 left in 1H, then down 24-7 they allowed three 4Q TD’s losing 45-7. The Wildcats are 2-9 when hosting SEC West foes. LTH MSU had their 7 game series win streak snapped. The game featured 7 lead changes & each led by DD’s with UK nailing a GW 51 yd FG as time expired! UK is just #99 on my Exp Chart and Miss St is #5. Stoops is just 3-11-2 ATS as a HD but this is Moorhead’s first SEC game. This years’ Kentucky team has an SEC caliber D-line for the first time in the Stoops era. Miss St did put up 538 yards on the Kansas St defense two weeks ago on the road but only had 358 yards last week at home vs Louisiana in a flat spot.

Kentucky ST's Mississippi St By 10Miss St K

55.5 PointsProjected Rushing

FOE

FOE

Projected Passing178 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Kentucky 96

4 Miss StTeam Schedule Strength

FOE REC

Bulldogs Logs0-0 1-0

TM RECTM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

Wildcats LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Miss St Bulldogsvs. SEC

Kentucky Wildcats3-0 3-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. SEC

Passing Receiving

Miss St KentuckyRushing

0.13

Miss St QB/WR

Kentucky DB's

FOE CONF

Defense

Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM +/-FOE

FOE

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSTM

CONF

at Kentucky Rush Off Miss St

1.42

Miss St DL

Kentucky OLMiss St LB'S

0.50

Kentucky RB'sMiss St DB's

1.25

Miss St RB's

Kentucky LB's

1.17

Miss St OL

Kentucky DL

Pass Def GeorgiaTotal Def

Arkansas Score Def Middle Tennesseeat Mississippi Sks By at Louisville

Net

Kentucky Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.98

Miss St ST's Team & Margin

Miss St LeadersKentucky QB/WR

Projected Box Score

1.59

Experience Rankings

211 yards Miss St

458 yards Miss St Kentucky 336 yards

Kentucky

247 yards Miss St Kentucky

Miss St By 14.5

Miss St By 9.1

By 5.71 Points Mississippi St 33 Kentucky 18

Computer YardsMiss St 458-3367.86

Miss St Pts2.15

Kentucky PtsComputer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Miss St 33-18

1.31

Kentucky K+/- Ratings

Miss St Coaches1.65

Game GradeKentucky Coaches

Las Vegas Total

25-37-295

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Comp-Att-Yds

19-27-159

14-30-145

Comp-Att-Yds

13-21-81

17-33-292

Comp-Att-Yds

26-36-382

19-35-165

Miss St Phil SteeleMiss St by 15

Page 31: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 106 97 9/1 51 48 69 115 59 120 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 121 #14 #12 9/1 17-24 L 19 3 19 17 14 630-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 106 9/8 28-33 L 48 40 69 49 48 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 122 94 #21 9/8 49-3 W 25 3 19 50 93 700-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 104 100 9/15 19-24 L 44 36 112 98 62 27 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 124 90 #19 9/15 45-20 W 28 2 26 69 97 1210-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 122 #19 9/22 37 33 119 40 2 24 #19 #60 2-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 122 101 #19 9/22 40 2 24 37 33 119

0-3 0-1 106 9/29 45 89 59 #83 #81 1-2 1-0 107 9/29 56 37 822-1 0-0 119 10/6 5 16 36 #42 #83 2-1 0-0 104 10/6 38 51 681-2 1-0 107 10/13 56 37 82 #102 #46 2-1 0-0 119 10/13 5 16 363-0 0-0 111 10/20 88 44 34 #60 #79 1-1 0-0 119 10/20 32 17 41

10/27 #19 #37 10/273-0 1-0 132 11/3 3 6 18 #79 #15 3-0 0-0 126 11/3 18 19 130-0 0-0 101 11/10 106 100 25 #39 #12 1-2 0-1 91 11/10 113 71 811-1 0-0 119 11/17 32 17 41 #89 #24 3-0 0-0 108 11/17 50 62 833-0 0-0 117 11/24 68 25 22 #12 #52 3-0 1-0 132 11/24 3 6 18

#33 #38-4 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Akron CANCELLED at Notre Dame 17-24 5 -1 -1 20 33-58 1.8 24-36 249 3 21 47-132 2.8 12-22 170 2 Colorado 28-33 170 -1 -3 25 54-329 6.1 19-29 236 2 26 35-44 1.3 33-50 351 7 Western Michigan 49-3 243 3 1 20 35-308 8.8 13-18 143 2 17 40-123 3.1 16-34 85 2 Troy 19-24 111 -120 -1 22 48-187 3.9 19-27 177 3 142 34-143 4.2 14-21 110 3 SMU 45-20 115 -1 0 21 41-197 4.8 14-18 237 1 22 31-110 3.5 19-34 209 2at Michigan Nebraska Purdue at Northwesternat Wisconsin Marylandat Northwestern Wisconsin Minnesota at Michigan St Bye Byeat Ohio St Penn St Illinois at Rutgers Michigan St Indianaat Iowa at Ohio St

Average 24-29 140.5 -60.5 -2.0 24 51-258 5.1 67.9% 207 8.9% 84 35-94 2.7 66.2% 231 14.1% Average 37-16 121.0 0.3 0.0 20 36-188 5.2 70.8% 210 8.3% 20 39-122 3.1 52.2% 155 6.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 47-12 179.0 1.0 0.5 21 38-253 6.6 75.0% 190 8.3% 20 36-117 3.3 51.5% 147 5.9%

Akron CANCELLED at Notre Dame Shea Patterson 20-30-227-0-1 Karan Higdon 21-72-3.4-1 Nico Collins 3-66-22.0-0 Colorado Adrian Martinez 15-20-187-1-1 Adrian Martinez 15-117-7.8-2 Stanley Morgan 5-75-15.0-0 Western Michigan Shea Patterson 12-17-125-3-0 Karan Higdon 13-156-12.0-1 Nico Collins 1-44-44.0-1 Troy Andrew Bunch 19-27-177-2-2 Maurice Washington 14-92-6.6-0 Stanley Morgan 5-64-12.8-1 vs. SMU Shea Patterson 14-18-237-3-1 Chris Evans 18-85-4.7-0 Zach Gentry 4-95-23.8-0at Michigan Nebraska Purdue at Northwesternat Wisconsin vs. Marylandat Northwestern Wisconsin Minnesota at Michigan St Bye vs. Byeat Ohio St Penn St Illinois at Rutgers Michigan St vs. Indianaat Iowa at Ohio St

vs.

Andrew Bunch 23-36-226-2-2 Greg Bell 27-168-6.2-0 Stanley Morgan 10-139-13.9-1 Shea Patterson 46-65-589-6-2 Karan Higdon 34-228-6.7-2 Donovan Peoples-Jones 14-159-11.4-4Adrian Martinez 15-20-187-1-1 Maurice Washington 22-126-5.7-0 JD Spielman 9-112-12.4-2 vs. Dylan McCaffrey 5-7-40-1-0 Chris Evans 30-172-5.7-2 Zach Gentry 7-116-16.6-0

Adrian Martinez 15-117-7.8-2 Mike Williams 3-40.1-13.3-0 Tru Wilson 17-107-6.3-1 Nico Collins 5-113-22.6-1Category

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Nebraska - 57.5 17 15 43-128

Michigan - -6.5 13 13 36--21 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/-

AP

Nebraska CornhuskersCornhuskers Logs

FOETM REC FOE

REC

Michigan St

Minnesota

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Neb

rask

a C

orn

hu

sker

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mic

hig

an W

olve

rin

es

Net Offense

Bye Rush Def ByePass Def Penn St

Illinois Total Def at Rutgersat Ohio St

Score Def Indianaat Iowa Sks By at Ohio St

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Notre Dame Colorado

Nebraska Michigan Western Michigan

Troy SMU

Akron

OVERALL: OVERALL: Michigan Wolverines0-2

--PS RANK--0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE FOEFOE +/-

vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10 Wolverines Logs0-0 FOEAPFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

2-1

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

Nebraska MichiganRushing

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges

TEAM --PS RANK--

Rush Off Nebraska Purdue Pass Off at Northwesternat Michigan

Total Off Marylandat Northwestern Score Off Wisconsinat Wisconsin

Sks Allowed at Michigan St

Nebraska LB'S0.68

Michigan RB's

0.26

Nebraska OL0.86

Michigan DLNebraska DL

0.05

Michigan OL

Nebraska QB/WR

1.91

Michigan DB'sNebraska RB's

0.61

Michigan LB's

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Projected Rushing Nebraska K

The series is tied 4-4-1 and UM is 1-2 as B10 members. HC Harbaugh beat HC Frost when the latter was at UCF in ’16, 51-14, but did allow a season high 275 rushing yards. The LTH (‘13) the Huskers had a 273-175 yard-edge but needed a late TD to pull out the win in their last meeting Harbaugh is on a 3-8 ATS run as a home favorite. This is the Huskers first road trip and they are 9-4-1 ATS as an AD since 2013. the Huskers enter 0-2 SU for the first time since 1957 following their unexpected home loss vs SBC Troy. True frosh QB Martinez was held out, but NU still finished with a 19-8 FD & 347-253 yd edges as costly TO’s, penalties & a 58 yd PR cost them. Walk-on soph QB Andrew Bunch didn’t look out of his element under center. UM enters off a blowout win over SMU, but they only outgained the Ponies 434-319 & RB Higdon did not play despite no injury news during the week (CS). Despite their 0-2 record the Huskers are +141 ypg and Michigan is just +121 ypg. My computer points forecast is calling for Michigan by 25 but the yards forecast only calls for a 12-point win. I lean with the underdog here especially if QB Martinez is available.

Michigan ST's Michigan By 19.5

133 yards

12-23-145

Michigan Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score Nebraska ST's6.84

Team & Margin

Nebraska

Nebraska DB's

Michigan QB/WR

18-27-196

Nebraska Leaders

Michigan 227 yards Nebraska Coaches Michigan By 25.8+/- Ratings

1.40

Michigan By 18.4Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

126 yards Nebraska

50.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Michigan 190 yards 1.46

Projected Passing Michigan K

Michigan 418-260Projected Final Score

0.26

Nebraska Pts13.81

Michigan Pts10 points Nebraska Michigan

Experience Rankings

260 yards Nebraska Michigan 418 yards Michigan Coaches

Computer Yards35 points

Michigan by 17 Michigan 30 Nebraska 13By 13.55 Points

Michigan 35-10

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:81 Nebraska Michigan 31

Team Schedule Strength Michigan37 Nebraska Michigan 25

Page 32: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 116 9/1 27-24 W 35 38 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 100 #17 9/1 40-14 W 14 62 73 58 34 621-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 114 121 #18 9/8 10-31 L 39 36 24 15 7 51 1-0 0-0 114 #14 9/8 52-17 W 16 63 731-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 111 83 9/15 41-17 W 55 40 7 130 110 38 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 116 118 #14 9/15 12 65 62 34 68 782-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 116 #12 9/22 63 43 12 10 69 51 #69 #46 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 116 110 #12 9/22 10 69 51 63 43 12

2-1 0-0 117 9/29 30 24 75 #106 #5 2-1 0-0 111 9/29 26 47 282-1 0-0 108 10/6 27 79 14 #103 #10 2-1 0-0 103 10/6 89 80 1003-0 0-0 124 10/13 65 32 46 #94 #18 0-2 0-1 115 10/13 70 41 125

#113 #21 10/203-0 1-0 131 10/27 4 31 42 #105 #54 2-1 0-0 108 10/27 27 79 142-1 0-0 117 11/3 53 3 10 #46 #20 2-1 0-0 117 11/3 30 24 752-1 0-0 103 11/10 89 80 100 #86 #20 2-1 0-0 117 11/10 53 3 102-1 0-0 111 11/17 26 47 28 #69 #23 3-0 0-0 124 11/17 65 32 460-0 0-0 115 11/24 70 41 125 #119 #119 3-0 1-0 131 11/24 4 31 42

#97 #4-5 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

South Dakota 27-24 74 -2 -4 19 47-256 5.4 13-28 152 3 21 21-77 3.7 24-56 257 1 † Tennessee 40-14 246 7 -1 26 27-118 4.4 25-34 429 2 19 38-129 3.4 19-25 172 1 Miss St 10-31 -325 -9 0 15 35-113 3.2 9-21 100 4 24 39-384 9.8 11-27 154 0 Youngstown St 52-17 332 10 0 29 46-289 6.3 22-29 336 1 19 36-136 3.8 11-24 157 1 UTSA 41-17 149 3 -1 20 44-164 3.7 14-19 285 3 17 39-143 3.7 19-34 157 1 at NC State CANCELLEDat West Virginia Kansas St Texas at Texas Techat Baylor Kansas Oklahoma St at Iowa St

Byeat Oklahoma Baylorat TCU at Texas Kansas TCU Texas Tech at Oklahoma Stat Iowa St Oklahoma

Average 26-24 -34.0 -2.7 -1.7 18 42-178 4.2 52.9% 179 14.7% 21 33-201 6.1 46.2% 189 1.7% Average 46-16 289.0 8.5 -0.5 28 37-204 5.6 74.6% 383 4.8% 19 37-133 3.6 61.2% 165 4.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 46-16 289.0 8.5 -0.5 28 37-204 5.6 74.6% 383 4.8% 19 37-133 3.6 61.2% 165 4.1%

South Dakota Alex Delton 5-14-91-0-1 Alex Barnes 21-103-4.9-0 Isaiah Zuber 5-68-13.6-1 † Tennessee Will Grier 25-34-429-5-0 Martell Pettaway 9-56-6.2-0 David Sills 7-140-20.0-2 Miss St Skylar Thompson 7-17-86-1-0 Alex Barnes 17-75-4.4-0 Dalton Schoen 2-34-17.0-1 Youngstown St Will Grier 21-26-332-4-1 Leddie Brown 15-115-7.7-1 Marcus Simms 8-119-14.9-0 UTSA Skylar Thompson 13-18-213-2-0 Skylar Thompson 14-66-4.7-1 Isaiah Zuber 7-144-20.6-2 vs. at NC State CANCELLEDat West Virginia Kansas St Texas at Texas Techat Baylor vs. Kansas Oklahoma St at Iowa St

Byeat Oklahoma vs. Baylorat TCU at Texas Kansas TCU Texas Tech vs. at Oklahoma Stat Iowa St Oklahoma

vs.

Skylar Thompson 28-49-360-4-1 Alex Barnes 51-228-4.5-1 Isaiah Zuber 14-223-15.9-3 Will Grier 46-60-761-9-1 Leddie Brown 23-148-6.4-1 Gary Jennings 12-210-17.5-4Alex Delton 8-19-177-1-2 Skylar Thompson 37-158-4.3-1 Dalton Schoen 6-130-21.7-2 vs. Jack Allison 1-3-4-0-0 Martell Pettaway 21-133-6.3-0 David Sills 9-173-19.2-2

Alex Delton 22-88-4.0-0 Zach Reuter 5-72-14.4-0 Kennedy McKoy 15-94-6.3-1 Marcus Simms 10-159-15.9-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas St - -1 23 14 42-173

West Virginia 23 62 28 20 26-120 -22016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas St - 54.5 16 17 42-120

West Virginia - -3 17 21 35-124 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas St - 55 24 15 49-98

West Virginia - -6 23 22 42-166 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas St 12 58 26 18 29-1

West Virginia - -2.5 20 27 37-123 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Kansas St - -13 35 19 43-157

West Virginia - 53 12 18 29-103 -1

Team Schedule StrengthKansas St West Virginia

West Virginia

61

44

22 points

327 yardsProjected Final Score

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

West Virginia

Kansas St West Virginia 563 yards

Kansas St 41 points

at Baylor Oklahoma St

at Oklahoma

19-41-264

The last four meetings have been decided by a total of 13 points. Last year WV allowed FBS season lows in yards (332) and FD’s (14). The 28 points scored was the most by the Mountaineers in the series. LTH (‘16) KSU led 13-0 at HT, 198-169 yd edge (WV missed FG, int & SOD at KSU 31 F/3 drives). KSU led 16-3 into 4Q, but allowed the game deciding TD w/6:11 left. KSU (down 1) missed 43 yd FG with 2:03 left. Bill Snyder had been 4-0 straight up and ATS vs Holgorson but lost the last two SU by 1 and 5 pts. Snyder is an amazing 20-6 ATS as an AD while WV is 15-21 ATS as a HF since 2011 and last year was only +33 ypg at home. WV QB Grier threw for 372 yds (4-2 ratio) in LY’s game at Manhattan, where WV finished with a 160 yard-edge. KSU may be limited on offense, but they do have our #4 rated pass eff D. WV is 3-12 ATS off a bye. I would take the points in this one.

1.70

0.73

1.27

Kansas St OL

0.87

West Virginia LB's

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Kansas St Coaches

West Virginia Coaches

Kansas St Pts

West Virginia Pts

76Experience Rankings

Kansas St 179 yards

Kansas St West Virginia

Phil Steele91

3.94

Kansas St K

West Virginia K

Kansas St

West Virginia

3.77

2-0vs. BIG 12

0-00-0

2-1vs. BIG 12

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing183 yards

Team & Margin

384 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Kansas St DB's

West Virginia

0.71

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

Kansas St Wildcats West Virginia MountainersMountainers LogsWildcats Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

Offense

South Dakota Miss St UTSA

NCAA RANKINGS2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Kansas St

Rush Off

West Virginia

Pass OffTotal Off

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Kan

sas

St

Wild

cats

Wes

t V

irg

inia

Mou

nta

iner

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks AllowedRush Def

West Virginia 37 Kansas St 27

W Virginia 41-22

W Virginia by 10

0.00

Kansas St LB'S

By 0.17 Points

West Virginia RB's

Kansas St

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

13-26-159

27-46-372

Comp-Att-Yds

FOE

10-31-206

144 yardsComp-Att-Yds

24-41-298

10-30-166

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

FOE

Kansas St

West Virginia Leaders

W Virginia By 28.5

W Virginia 563-327

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

W Virginia By 16

60.5 Points

W Virginia By 10.3

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Kansas St Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

0.53

0.44

West Virginia DL

Kansas St DL

Kansas St ST's

West Virginia ST's

West Virginia OL

Kansas St QB/WR

West Virginia DB's

19-42-281

Comp-Att-Yds

18-21-291

at Texas TCUat Oklahoma St Oklahoma

† Tennessee Youngstown Stat NC State Kansas Stat Texas Tech Kansasat Iowa St Bye Baylor

at TCU Kansas Texas Techat Iowa St

at West Virginia Texas

22-34-400

27-48-310

Comp-Att-Yds

Position by Position Edges

West Virginia QB/WR

1.47

Kansas St RB's

Page 33: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 82 100 9/1 24-31 L 127 118 108 106 93 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 107 110 9/1 47-27 W 20 64 123 36 42 250-1 0-0 84 9/8 54-14 W 124 117 108 1-0 0-0 112 9/8 76-41 W 17 51 1231-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 89 123 #11 9/15 10-63 L 119 105 115 19 23 32 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 136 #1 9/15 7-62 L 11 73 100 1 1 581-2 2-1 0-0 0-1 86 109 9/22 119 103 128 15 77 118 #57 #78 2-1 1-2 0-1 0-0 109 86 9/22 15 77 118 119 103 128

1-2 0-0 88 9/29 71 116 102 #85 #21 3-0 1-0 120 9/29 57 5 52#84 #34 2-1 0-0 93 10/6 100 119 61

0-3 0-0 95 10/13 94 96 93 #78 #25 1-2 0-0 98 10/13 47 54 632-0 0-0 97 10/20 115 52 94 #113 #90 2-1 0-1 119 10/20 20 10 54

10/27 #111 #106 10/271-2 0-0 86 10/30 111 122 106 #97 #124 1-1 0-1 115 11/3 29 42 173-0 1-0 103 11/6 85 87 114 #110 #126 2-1 0-0 120 11/10 6 30 81-1 0-0 104 11/15 41 101 16 #108 #124 2-1 0-0 110 11/17 61 40 922-1 0-1 101 11/23 77 91 95 #31 #119 3-0 0-0 125 11/22 8 7 38

#109 #1050 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Illinois 24-31 -16 2 -1 24 43-183 4.3 28-41 270 1 22 49-279 5.7 13-24 190 3 † Texas Tech 47-27 60 -9 -1 22 28-210 7.5 22-32 336 2 31 39-164 4.2 33-56 322 0 Howard 54-14 241 9 0 26 52-355 6.8 13-29 156 2 17 53-65 1.2 13-30 205 4 Southern Illinois 76-41 17 -3 3 26 32-167 5.2 24-35 479 1 29 45-241 5.4 30-48 388 1at Penn St 10-63 -446 -8 1 18 37-41 1.1 21-0 180 7 26 45-297 6.6 14-25 370 1 Alabama 7-62 -268 -18 -1 9 37-115 3.1 7-22 133 4 27 44-210 4.8 19-28 306 1at Mississippi Kent Stat Ball St at LSU

ULMat Miami, OH at Arkansas Akron Auburn Bye Byeat Bowling Green South Carolinaat Buffalo at Texas A&M Toledo at Vanderbilt Eastern Michigan Miss St

Average 29-36 -73.7 1.0 0.0 23 44-193 4.4 88.6% 202 14.3% 22 49-214 4.4 50.6% 255 10.1% Average 43-43 -63.7 -10.0 0.3 19 32-164 5.1 59.6% 316 7.9% 29 43-205 4.8 62.1% 339 1.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 7-62 -268.0 -18.0 -1.0 9 37-115 3.1 31.8% 133 18.2% 27 44-210 4.8 67.9% 306 3.6% Away 17-47 -231.0 -3.0 0.0 21 40-112 2.8 119.5% 225 19.5% 24 47-288 6.1 55.1% 280 8.2% Home 42-52 -125.5 -10.5 1.0 18 35-141 4.1 54.4% 306 8.8% 28 45-226 5.1 64.5% 347 2.6%

at Illinois Woody Barrett 28-41-270-2-2 Woody Barrett 18-117-6.5-1 Mike Carrigan 8-62-7.8-1 † Texas Tech Jordan Ta'amu 22-32-336-2-0 Scottie Phillips 16-204-12.8-2 DaMarkus Lodge 6-96-16.0-0 Howard Woody Barrett 13-27-156-1-1 Justin Rankin 12-147-12.3-1 Isaiah McKoy 4-74-18.5-1 Southern Illinois Jordan Ta'amu 23-33-448-5-0 Scottie Phillips 15-107-7.1-2 AJ Brown 8-158-19.8-2at Penn St Woody Barrett 20-38-176-1-0 Dustin Crum 3-23-7.7-0 Antwan Dixon 5-59-11.8-0 vs. Alabama Jordan Ta'amu 7-22-133-1-2 Scottie Phillips 12-44-3.7-0 DK Metcalf 2-92-46.0-1at Mississippi Kent Stat Ball St at LSU

vs. ULMat Miami, OH at Arkansas Akron Auburn Bye vs. Byeat Bowling Green South Carolinaat Buffalo at Texas A&M Toledo vs. at Vanderbilt Eastern Michigan Miss St

vs.

Woody Barrett 61-106-602-4-3 Justin Rankin 30-199-6.6-1 Mike Carrigan 13-117-9.0-2 Jordan Ta'amu 52-87-917-8-2 Scottie Phillips 43-355-8.3-4 AJ Brown 19-285-15.0-3Dustin Crum 1-4-4-0-0 Jo-el Shaw 22-127-5.8-3 Antwan Dixon 8-107-13.4-1 vs. Matt Corral 1-2-31-0-0 Isaiah Woullard 18-54-3.0-1 DK Metcalf 13-266-20.5-3

Woody Barrett 44-117-2.7-2 Isaiah McKoy 7-95-13.6-1 Tylan Knight 13-45-3.5-0 Braylon Sanders 8-193-24.1-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Eastern Michigan Sks By Miss St

Net Defense

Ken

t S

t G

old

en F

lash

es

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

By Game Yardage Leaders

Mis

siss

ipp

i Reb

els

0.77

2.37

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineMississippi By 28.5

Kent St MississippiPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Mississippi RB's

Kent St LB'S

0.40

Mississippi

at Miami, OH Score Off at Arkansas Akron Sks Allowed Auburn Bye Rush Def Byeat Bowling Green Pass Def South Carolinaat Buffalo Total Def at Texas A&M Toledo Score Def at Vanderbilt

FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

Mississippi RebelsGolden Flashes Logs vs. MAC vs. SEC Rebels Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECFOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff

Net Offense

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APFOE REC

0-0 0-1

at Illinois 2018 TEAM RANKINGS † Texas Tech Howard

Kent St Mississippi Southern Illinois

at Penn St Alabamaat Mississippi Rush Off Kent Stat Ball St Pass Off at LSU

Total Off ULM

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Kent St Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleMississippi by 23

Team & Margin

Projected Passing205 yards

0.18

Kent St

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreKent St ST's

1.80

Mississippi ST's

1.55Mississippi QB/WR

Kent St DB's

Mississippi Leaders

Projected Yardage Total358 yards

Kent St 63

Kent St RB's

Total TO's

Rushing Receiving

27 points Mississippi

Experience Rankings

50 Kent St Mississippi 6

Team Schedule Strength

10.46

Mississippi Pts

Kent St 53 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score0.00

Mississippi

Computer Points

Computer Yards

107 Mississippi 53-27

Mississippi 53 Kent St 30By 10.46 Points

Mississippi DB's

Kent St QB/WR

0.59

Mississippi LB's

Mississippi DL

Kent St OL

Kent St Pts

Mississippi Coaches

0.90

Mississippi By 27.3

Game GradeMississippi By 20.3

Phil's Forecast:

77 Points

+/- Ratings

1.91

Mississippi 603-358

Kent St K

Mississippi K

Kent St Coaches

First meeting. Kent St is 0-13 vs current SEC teams since 1984 losing by an average score of 47-9. Ole Miss has won 15 straight hosting non-conf foes by 33 ppg (10 pts was smallest MOV). Ole Miss is in a Bama/LSU sandwich but beat Louisiana by 28 in an SEC sandwich last year. This is the 3rd road game in 4 weeks with a road game to open the MAC season on deck and Kent’s priority may be staying healthy. Kent lost their road games by 31 ppg last year and just lost at Penn St by 53. Kent has allowed 568 ypg vs two FBS foes while Ole Miss has allowed 544 ypg in their first 3. UM RB Scottie Phillips has been impressive, rushing for 355 (8.3) and the Rebels’s WR corps, dubbed ‘NWO’ (Nasty Wide-Outs) is one of the tops in the country led by AJ Brown (251, 16.7). HC Lewis has Kent’s offense playing much better. Last year they topped 400+ yds twice all season. This year they’ve topped 400+ yards twice in their first 3. Ole Miss’s potent offense will be anxious to get rolling again after being shutout for 59 minutes by Bama but the defense did allow Southern Illinois 629 yards and 41 points. Auburn transfer Woody Barrett has given this Kent offense some juice this year. There will be plenty of points in this one.

OVERALL:

1-2 2-1Kent St Golden Flashes OVERALL:

Kent St DL

Mississippi OL

Kent St Mississippi

Projected Rushing

603 yards

Mississippi 363 yards

Mississippi 240 yards153 yards Kent St

Page 34: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 81 8/25 31-28 W 116 128 80 0-0 0-0 88 9/1 55-7 W 103 97 681-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 79 105 9/1 27-45 L 113 128 80 62 33 54 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 92 95 9/8 20-21 L 96 100 68 99 120 311-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 80 84 9/8 29-43 L 112 127 33 116 123 96 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 91 107 9/15 90 98 23 97 60 291-2 0-0 79 9/15 109 127 27 #49 #104 1-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 91 79 9/22 95 93 15 109 127 27

1-1 0-0 91 9/22 95 93 15 #72 #20 2-1 0-1 119 9/29 20 10 542-1 0-1 114 9/29 36 75 56 #60 #52 10/60-3 0-0 84 10/6 130 117 33 #79 #45 3-0 0-0 105 10/13 83 63 7

#79 #90 0-3 0-0 84 10/20 130 117 332-1 1-0 98 10/20 81 86 73 #92 #47 2-1 1-0 83 10/27 116 113 773-0 0-0 105 10/27 83 63 7 #113 #17 2-0 0-0 103 11/3 80 34 740-3 0-0 78 11/3 125 126 105 #116 #13 2-1 0-0 100 11/10 73 97 852-0 0-0 103 11/10 46 65 127 #116 #17 2-0 0-0 103 11/17 46 65 1273-0 1-0 120 11/17 57 5 52 #68 #119 0-3 0-0 78 11/24 125 126 1050-3 0-2 86 11/24 107 110 47 #103 #28

0 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Prairie View A&M 31-28 13 4 1 22 50-310 6.2 12-24 87 0 18 28-140 5.0 16-29 244 3 Jackson St 55-7 238 18 1 29 45-202 4.5 25-33 255 2 11 22-101 4.6 19-37 118 2 Houston 27-45 -138 -1 1 22 43-147 3.4 24-1 292 3 23 36-257 7.1 18-25 320 0 ULM 20-21 82 10 -2 23 34-58 1.7 31-46 378 5 13 30-159 5.3 15-28 195 0at Hawaii 29-43 -35 -2 -2 21 39-147 3.8 20-33 299 3 23 29-162 5.6 23-33 319 2 at Appalachian St CANCELLED Bye Riceat Southern Miss at Auburnat Wake Forest Bye UTSA at North Texas

UTSAat FIU at Charlotteat North Texas Marshall UTEP at UABat Louisiana Tech Louisiana Techat LSU at UTEP Old Dominion

Average 29-39 -53.3 0.3 0.0 22 44-201 4.6 96.6% 226 10.3% 21 31-186 6.0 65.5% 294 5.7% Average 38-14 160.0 14.0 -0.5 26 40-130 3.3 70.9% 317 8.9% 12 26-130 5.0 52.3% 157 3.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 29-43 -35.0 -2.0 -2.0 21 39-147 3.8 60.6% 299 9.1% 23 29-162 5.6 69.7% 319 6.1% Home 38-14 160.0 14.0 -0.5 26 40-130 3.3 70.9% 317 8.9% 12 26-130 5.0 52.3% 157 3.1%

Prairie View A&M Jackson Tyner 5-9-44-0-0 Emmanuel Esukpa 32-173-5.4-1 Austin Trammell 5-37-7.4-0 Jackson St Jack Abraham 21-27-242-4-0 Trivenskey Mosley 12-49-4.1-0 Quez Watkins 8-138-17.3-3 Houston Shawn Stankavage 20-31-204-3-1 Emmanuel Esukpa 17-81-4.8-0 Aaron Cephus 5-95-19.0-0 ULM Jack Abraham 31-46-378-2-2 Tez Parks 17-42-2.5-0 Jaylond Adams 9-158-17.6-1at Hawaii Shawn Stankavage 20-31-299-2-1 Emmanuel Esukpa 17-104-6.1-1 Aaron Cephus 5-97-19.4-1 vs. at Appalachian St CANCELLED Bye Riceat Southern Miss at Auburnat Wake Forest vs. Bye UTSA at North Texas

UTSAat FIU vs. at Charlotteat North Texas Marshall UTEP at UABat Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana Techat LSU at UTEP Old Dominion

vs.

Shawn Stankavage 47-77-546-5-2 Emmanuel Esukpa 66-358-5.4-2 Aaron Cephus 11-202-18.4-1 Jack Abraham 52-73-620-6-2 Tez Parks 30-76-2.5-0 Quez Watkins 19-219-11.5-4Jackson Tyner 9-17-132-0-0 Austin Walter 39-163-4.2-2 Austin Trammell 17-190-11.2-1 vs. Marcelo Rodriguez 3-5-8-0-2 Trivenskey Mosley 12-49.1-4.1-0 Jaylond Adams 13-183-14.1-1TEAM 0-4-0-0-0 Aston Walter 5-46-9.2-0 Austin Walter 10-160-16.0-0 Tate Whatley 1-1-5-0-0 T-Rod Daniels 12-49-4.1-0 Tez Parks 4-65-16.3-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Rice - 48.5 34 26 49-254

Southern Miss - -10.5 43 28 36-186 0

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Rice - 59 28 19 45-180

Southern Miss - -26 44 23 34-111 -3

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Rice - 60 10 15 35-107

Southern Miss - -7.5 65 26 35-181 0

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Rice - -8.5 41 20 48-217

Southern Miss - 58.5 23 18 23-40 -2

10-16-127

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Rice Leaders

OffenseNet

Rushing Receiving

Southern Miss DB's

0.14

Southern Miss DL

Southern Miss

Passing RushingPosition by Position Edges

Southern Miss

Phil Steele

S Miss By 14.5Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total54.5 Points

+/- RatingsS Miss By 15.3

39 points

at UABat Louisiana Tech Score Def Louisiana Techat LSU Sks By at UTEP Old Dominion Ypg Diff

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

Ric

e O

wls

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Sou

ther

n M

iss

Gol

den

Eag

les

TM REC FOE REC

vs. CUSA vs. CUSAFOETEAM

at Appalachian St Rice

ULM

FOE +/-FOE CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Rice Owls

Prairie View A&M 2018 TEAM RANKINGS Jackson St Houston

Rice

Bye Rush Off

Southern Miss

Golden Eagles LogsOwls Logs

Southern Miss Golden Eagles1-2 1-1OVERALL:OVERALL:

Score

0-0TM REC FOE

REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Hawaii

at Southern Miss

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK--

Pass Off at Auburnat Wake Forest Total Off Bye UTSA Score Off at North Texas

Sks Allowed UTSAat FIU Rush Def at Charlotteat North Texas Pass Def Marshall UTEP Total Def

S Miss by 7Southern Miss 35 Rice 28

339 yards Rice

Southern Miss

LTH Rice led 7-3 with 9:03 2Q. SM scored the next 17 points including 75 & 81 yd TD passes, led 20-7 :51 into 2H. Rice cut it to 6 early 3Q, but SM tossed a 93 yard TD pass (DD lead rest of way). Series is tied 4-4, but SM has won the last 3 by 55, 16 and 9 with Rice winning ATS the last 2. LY despite SM having a 517-381 yard-edge, they needed a 67/10pl for a TD with 2:55 left to clinch it. SM has just 9 ret starters and lost their DC but Rice has a new HC and just 11 ret starters. Hopson is 3-8 ATS as a HF and lost to ULM at the Rock earlier this year. Rice is off a bye, and played Hawaii tight 2 weeks ago, only trailing 36-29 (+17) until they allowed a late 4Q TD run. They also led Houston in the 3Q. SM’s game vs App State was cancelled so this is their 3rd straight home game. The Owls are -53 ypg in their first 3 and they’ve allowed 66% comp. SM is +160 ypg and Jack Abraham has completed 71% (6-2 ratio) in his first 2 starts. SM should be able to get a struggling run game going against a Rice D that allowed 186 (6.0) rush ypg and expected starting QB Kwadra Griggs returns from suspension for SMiss. Rice RB Esukpa has 358 yards rush (5.4) and Rice should keep this closer than expected.

0.83

Projected Passing

1.59Southern Miss RB's

Rice LB'S

187 yards Rice

Projected Rushing

Southern Miss QB/WR

By 7.96 Points106 Rice Southern Miss 128

Team Schedule Strength11024-46-283

0.75

Rice Pts

Experience RankingsSouthern Miss

Southern Miss Pts

Projected Final Score

Southern Miss K

Rice K22-31-331

Comp-Att-Yds

Southern Miss 495 yards

176 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Southern Miss

22 points

113 Rice

16-20-166

25-36-591 Rice

S Miss 495-339

Computer Points

Computer Yards

S Miss By 19.2

8.71

S Miss 39-22POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

319 yards153 yards

Game Grade

Rice Coaches

1.50

Southern Miss

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Rice

Southern Miss Coaches

14-22-178

0.37

Phil's Forecast:

Southern Miss Leaders

1.12

Rice ST's Team & Margin

Southern Miss ST's

Rice DB's2.33

Rice OL

Rice DL1.19

Southern Miss OL

0.38Southern Miss LB's

Rice RB's

Rice QB/WR

By Game Yardage Leaders

RiceReceiving

Comp-Att-Yds

13-36-107

28-37-501

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 35: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 106 9/1 55-20 W 38 58 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 126 #9 #6 9/1 21-16 W 15 11 75 8 6 711-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 108 84 9/8 27-34 L 40 61 30 92 112 30 1-0 0-0 121 #7 9/8 63-9 W 18 11 751-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 100 9/15 17-44 L 42 57 41 81 84 12 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 118 #7 #12 9/15 21-22 L 18 10 66 51 8 561-2 2-1 0-0 0-1 98 119 #9 9/22 47 54 63 20 10 54 #76 #28 2-1 1-2 0-1 0-0 119 98 #9 9/22 20 10 54 47 54 63

2-1 0-0 120 9/29 6 30 8 #69 #84 1-1 0-0 91 9/29 95 93 153-0 1-0 140 10/6 1 1 31 #80 #55 3-0 0-0 125 10/6 8 7 382-1 0-1 109 10/13 15 77 118 #60 #53 1-2 0-0 100 10/13 58 29 721-2 0-0 98 10/20 104 115 109 #90 #21 2-1 0-1 109 10/20 15 77 1182-1 0-0 110 10/27 61 40 92 #14 #16 10/27

11/3 #115 #84 2-1 0-0 120 11/3 6 30 83-0 1-0 120 11/10 57 5 52 #84 #41 3-0 1-0 133 11/10 2 18 213-0 0-0 125 11/17 8 7 38 #99 #24 85 11/17 118 129 1293-0 0-0 116 11/24 12 59 5 #68 #12 3-0 1-0 140 11/24 1 1 31

#78 #430 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Eastern Illinois 55-20 76 -3 5 18 37-80 2.2 21-29 353 1 21 41-127 3.1 27-40 230 2 † Washington 21-16 22 3 2 27 45-147 3.3 26-36 273 2 24 33-102 3.1 18-32 296 5at Colorado St 27-34 8 3 0 24 53-299 5.6 11-22 138 1 21 23-40 1.7 32-50 389 1 Alabama St 63-9 362 18 0 28 59-429 7.3 8-14 138 0 10 35-47 1.3 13-29 158 4 North Texas 17-44 -40 2 -5 20 32-126 3.9 20-45 210 5 18 29-95 3.3 24-46 281 2 LSU 21-22 -42 -2 -2 19 38-130 3.4 16-28 198 1 21 42-121 2.9 15-35 249 1at Auburn Arkansas† Texas A&M Southern Miss Alabama at Miss St Mississippi Tennessee Tulsa at Mississippi Vanderbilt Bye Bye Texas A&M LSU at Georgiaat Miss St Libertyat Missouri at Alabama

Average 33-33 14.7 0.7 0.0 21 41-168 4.1 54.2% 234 7.3% 20 31-87 2.8 61.0% 300 3.7% Average 35-16 114.0 6.3 0.0 25 47-235 5.0 64.1% 203 3.8% 18 37-90 2.5 47.9% 234 10.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 21-22 -42.0 -2.0 -2.0 19 38-130 3.4 57.1% 198 3.6% 21 42-121 2.9 42.9% 249 2.9% Away 27-34 8.0 3.0 0.0 24 53-299 5.6 50.0% 138 4.5% 21 23-40 1.7 64.0% 389 2.0% Home 42-16 160.0 8.0 -1.0 24 49-280 5.8 57.1% 168 2.4% 16 39-84 2.2 43.8% 204 7.8%

Eastern Illinois Ty Storey 12-17-261-3-0 Devwah Whaley 10-28-2.8-1 Jordan Jones 5-132-26.4-1 † Washington Jarrett Stidham 26-36-273-1-0 Kam Martin 22-80-3.6-0 Ryan Davis 7-52-7.4-0at Colorado St Cole Kelley 6-9-102-2-0 Devwah Whaley 26-165-6.3-1 TJ Hammonds 1-64-64.0-1 Alabama St Jarrett Stidham 6-11-113-1-0 Jatarvious Whitlow 14-122-8.7-0 Anthony Schwartz 3-67-22.3-1 North Texas Cole Kelley 16-35-185-0-4 Maleek Williams 5-74-14.8-1 Mike Woods 4-61-15.3-0 vs. LSU Jarrett Stidham 16-28-198-1-2 Jatarvious Whitlow 22-104-4.7-1 Anthony Schwartz 2-37-18.5-0at Auburn Arkansas† Texas A&M Southern Miss Alabama vs. at Miss St Mississippi Tennessee Tulsa at Mississippi Vanderbilt vs. Bye Bye Texas A&M LSU at Georgiaat Miss St vs. Libertyat Missouri at Alabama

vs.

Cole Kelley 31-56-379-3-4 Devwah Whaley 45-205-4.6-2 La'Michael Pettway 11-173-15.7-3 Jarrett Stidham 48-75-584-3-2 Jatarvious Whitlow 44-254-5.8-2 Ryan Davis 13-109-8.4-0Ty Storey 17-30-297-3-2 Maleek Williams 8-91-11.4-1 Jordan Jones 7-147-21.0-1 vs. Cord Sandberg 1-1-22-0-0 Shaun Shivers 21-149-7.1-2 Anthony Schwartz 5-104-20.8-1Connor Nolland 4-7-25-0-1 Rakeem Boyd 13-79-6.1-0 TJ Hammonds 4-84-21.0-1 Malik Willis 1-2-3-0-0 Kam Martin 31-124-4.0-1 Darius Slayton 6-74-12.3-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arkansas - 52.5 20 19 42-171

Auburn 21 -15.5 52 26 47-345 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arkansas 17 54.5 3 14 31-25

Auburn 21 -10 56 26 57-543 22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arkansas - -6.5 54 29 49-213

Auburn - 51.5 46 22 52-162 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arkansas - 57.5 21 20 29-153

Auburn 6 -19 45 27 48-302 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Arkansas - 56 17 25 47-222

Auburn 8 -7.5 35 18 46-233 3

FOE +/-

Projected Rushing

Comp-Att-Yds

12-27-124

8-9-133

7-12-89

Comp-Att-Yds

20-32-244

19-34-254

0.09

Arkansas K

Auburn

Auburn By 26.0

Auburn By 26.0

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

56.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

75 Auburn 44-17

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

103

Offense Defense

Ark

ansa

s R

azor

bac

ks

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Au

bu

rn T

iger

s

Net Offense

By Game Yardage Leaders

16-22-293

Passing

Arkansas Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

15-26-163

21-30-284

Comp-Att-Yds

18-33-190

289 yards

213 yards

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

47 Arkansas Auburn

80 yards ArkansasProjected Passing

Pass Def Texas A&M LSU Total Def at Georgiaat Miss St Score Def Libertyat Missouri Sks By at Alabama

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

at Colorado StArkansas Auburn

Alabama St North Texas LSUat Auburn Rush Off Arkansas† Texas A&M Pass Off Southern Miss

Tigers Logs2-1 Auburn TigersOVERALL:

vs. SEC vs. SECRazorbacks Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Score Score

Total Off Mississippi Score Off Tulsa Sks Allowed

1-2OVERALL:Arkansas Razorbacks

Rushing

Net

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS0-0 0-1

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEAP

Eastern Illinois 2018 TEAM RANKINGS † Washington

Alabama at Miss St Tennesseeat Mississippi

Vanderbilt Rush Def Bye Bye

0.14

Arkansas DL

Auburn OL

Las Vegas Line

Arkansas OL1.56

Auburn DL

Arkansas RB's0.95

Auburn LB's

Defense

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Phil's Forecast:

Auburn By 29.5

Auburn Leaders

Team & Margin

0.06

Arkansas QB/WR

Auburn DB's

Arkansas

17 points Arkansas Auburn

2.30

10.55

Arkansas Coaches

Auburn Coaches

0.29

Arkansas Pts

Auburn Pts

306 yards Arkansas Auburn 502 yards

226 yards ArkansasProjected Yardage Total

Auburn

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Auburn 38 Arkansas 17By 10.27 Points

Auburn

Auburn has put up 632 and 629 yards in this series the last two years winning here in ‘16 56-3 and last year won 52-20 on the road. In that ‘16 game Auburn ran for an SEC record 543 rush yards. Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS as an AD the last 4 years but have a new HC. Auburn is 14-3 at home the last 3 years but just 5-15-1 as a HF and Auburn is off a big revenge game vs LSU. Auburn blew a DD lead last week at home vs LSU. Auburn was outgained 370-328 but only lost when LSU hit a GW FG as time expired to win 22-21 (-10). Last week Ark suffered their 2nd consecutive outright upset. The Hogs were only outgained by 40 yds in their 41-17 (-6) loss vs N Texas but were sacked 5 times, QB’s Kelly, Noland and Jones combined for 6 int’s, and they allowed a trick PR TD. Auburn is +114 ypg and has held foes to 48% completions. Ark is +15 ypg despite the 1-2 start and keep this closer than expected.

Auburn K

Computer YardsAuburn 502-306

Auburn by 21

Computer Points

Arkansas Auburn 63

44 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

Auburn ST's

0.90

Auburn RB'sArkansas DB's

1.37

Auburn QB/WR

3.47

Arkansas ST's

Arkansas LB'S

Auburn

18-31-175

Page 36: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 110 107 9/1 27-47 L 36 42 25 20 64 123 0-0 0-0 115 9/1 58-17 W 33 40 460-1 0-0 105 9/8 77-0 W 38 46 25 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 118 89 9/8 55-13 W 30 43 46 126 103 451-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 109 9/15 63-49 W 29 43 25 36 53 61 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 123 #24 #17 9/15 44-21 W 20 35 59 33 47 362-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 124 #15 9/22 26 47 28 65 32 46 #71 #18 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 124 111 #15 9/22 65 32 46 26 47 28

2-0 0-0 116 9/29 10 69 51 #1 #13 2-1 0-0 103 9/29 89 80 10010/6 #1 #6 0-2 0-1 115 10/6 70 41 125

2-1 0-0 117 10/13 53 3 10 #3 #7 2-1 0-0 110 10/13 63 43 122-1 0-0 103 10/20 89 80 100 #4 #106 10/200-0 0-0 115 10/27 70 41 125 #77 #7 2-1 0-0 117 10/27 30 24 753-0 1-0 131 11/3 4 31 42 #112 #74 2-1 0-0 108 11/3 27 79 142-1 0-0 117 11/10 30 24 75 #105 #17 3-0 1-0 131 11/10 4 31 420-0 0-0 110 11/17 63 43 12 #96 #32 2-0 0-0 116 11/17 10 69 512-1 0-0 108 11/24 27 79 14 #68 #2 2-1 0-0 117 11/24 53 3 10

#25 #3+4 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Mississippi 27-47 -60 9 2 31 39-164 4.2 33-56 322 0 22 28-210 7.5 22-32 336 2 Missouri St 58-17 472 20 0 33 55-436 7.9 25-37 296 2 13 37-110 3.0 11-28 150 4 Lamar 77-0 501 19 3 32 51-264 5.2 30-35 419 0 13 42-102 2.4 10-32 80 2 South Alabama 55-13 403 17 -2 32 44-164 3.7 26-42 453 4 15 37-78 2.1 17-34 136 3 Houston 63-49 69 8 -1 36 41-99 2.4 43-59 605 1 28 40-173 4.3 31-52 462 1 Boise St 44-21 8 -4 1 19 38-176 4.6 16-27 246 3 23 31-34 1.1 39-56 380 7at Oklahoma St Texas Tech West Virginia at Kansas Bye Iowa Stat TCU at Kansas St Kansas Byeat Iowa St Texas Oklahoma at Baylor Texas at Oklahomaat Kansas St West Virginia† Baylor at TCU

Average 56-32 170.0 12.0 1.3 33 44-176 4.0 70.7% 449 0.7% 21 37-162 4.4 54.3% 293 4.3% Average 52-17 294.3 11.0 -0.3 28 46-259 5.7 63.2% 332 8.5% 17 35-74 2.1 56.8% 222 11.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 52-17 294.3 11.0 -0.3 28 46-259 5.7 63.2% 332 8.5% 17 35-74 2.1 56.8% 222 11.9%

† Mississippi Alan Bowman 29-49-273-1-0 Da'Leon Ward 17-90-5.3-2 TJ Vasher 4-66-16.5-0 Missouri St Taylor Cornelius 24-34-295-5-1 Justice Hill 10-122-12.2-1 Jalen McCleskey 6-66-11.0-2 Lamar Alan Bowman 22-25-282-2-0 Jett Duffey 6-81-13.5-1 Antoine Wesley 4-87-21.8-1 South Alabama Taylor Cornelius 25-40-428-1-2 Chuba Hubbard 6-46-7.7-1 Tylan Wallace 10-166-16.6-1 Houston Alan Bowman 43-59-605-5-0 Ta'Zhawn Henry 24-111-4.6-4 Antoine Wesley 13-261-20.1-3 vs. Boise St Taylor Cornelius 15-26-243-1-0 Justice Hill 15-123-8.2-1 Tylan Wallace 5-105-21.0-0at Oklahoma St Texas Tech West Virginia at Kansas Bye vs. Iowa Stat TCU at Kansas St Kansas Byeat Iowa St vs. Texas Oklahoma at Baylor Texas at Oklahomaat Kansas St vs. West Virginia† Baylor at TCU

vs.

Alan Bowman 94-133-1160-8-0 Ta'Zhawn Henry 35-166-4.7-6 Antoine Wesley 23-413-18.0-4 Taylor Cornelius 64-100-966-7-3 Justice Hill 34-277-8.1-4 Tylan Wallace 19-319-16.8-2Jett Duffey 7-9-93-0-1 Da'Leon Ward 17-90-5.3-2 Ja'Deion High 14-222-15.9-2 vs. Keondre Wudtee 2-5-26-1-0 LD Brown 11-129-11.7-1 Tyron Johnson 8-185-23.1-0McLane Carter 4-7-49-0-0 Jett Duffey 6-81-13.5-1 TJ Vasher 13-211-16.2-2 Dillon Stoner 1-1-3-0-0 JD King 22-100-4.5-0 Dillon Stoner 13-151-11.6-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 84 34 25 26-54

Oklahoma St 15 -10.5 41 32 44-221 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 89 44 35 44-142

Oklahoma St 17 -12 45 27 38-210 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 77.5 53 32 39-162

Oklahoma St 12 -1 70 29 36-184 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 69.5 35 32 30-118

Oklahoma St 24 -13.5 45 22 42-158 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Texas Tech 15 69 34 35 26-124

Oklahoma St 18 E 52 24 55-281 1

By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

1.11

Texas Tech QB/WR

Oklahoma St DB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

29-46-330

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

0.07

Texas Tech DL0.48

Oklahoma St OL

Texas Tech Leaders

Projected Rushing

Texas Tech RB's

0.29

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Okl

ahom

a S

t C

owb

oys

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

Texa

s Te

ch R

ed R

aid

ers

Oklahoma St Leaders

0.74

Texas Tech ST's

Oklahoma St ST's

Texas Tech DB's

Oklahoma St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

200 yards

Texas Tech Oklahoma St

Position by Position Edges

Sks Allowed Byeat Iowa St Rush Def Texas Oklahoma Pass Def at Baylor Texas Total Def at Oklahomaat Kansas St Score Def West Virginia† Baylor Sks By at TCU

FOE

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Missouri St Lamar

Texas Tech Oklahoma St South Alabama

Houston Boise St

† Mississippi

Cowboys Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/-0-0 FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: Oklahoma St Cowboys2-1 3-0

Receiving

TEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE

REC

at Oklahoma St Rush Off Texas Tech West Virginia Pass Off at Kansas Bye Total Off Iowa Stat TCU Score Off at Kansas St Kansas

Comp-Att-Yds

38-55-480

27-43-478

Comp-Att-Yds

37-60-394

45-71-425

18-34-211

Comp-Att-Yds

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Oklahoma St By 13

76.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Oklahoma St RB's

1.16

Texas Tech LB'S

Projected Passing

Oklahoma St Coaches Oklahoma St By 15.9

+/- RatingsOklahoma St By 11.0

0.16

355 yardsTexas Tech

Computer Yards3.01

Texas Tech Pts

33 points

Oklahoma St 44 Texas Tech 37By 0.66 Points

Oklahoma St 47-33

Phil SteeleTexas Tech

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Oklahoma St Pts

LTH (‘16) TT never led and trailed by double digits in each half. Down seven they went 88/13, 1 yard TD run w/1:44 left, but their PAT sailed wide right and then they failed to recover the onside kick. OSU has won a series high 9 straight but TT is 3-1 ATS. LY the Cowboys only won by 7 despite a 597-384 yard-edge. OSU missed 18 & 22 yard FG’s. The Cowboys drove 79/6pl and scored GW TD w/1:12 left. This is Tech first true road game for their frosh QB. OSU is in their 4th straight home. In the last 8 home games vs Tech, OSU has only won by 6.2 ppg and only twice won by more than 7 with one of those being by 10. OSU enters off a misleading 23 point win over. The Pokes were outFD’d 23-19 & only held a 10 yd edge, benefitting from 2 blk’d punts. TT outlasted in-state rival Houston LW. The defense was supposed to be improved, but the Red Raiders have all’d their 2 FBS foes 1,181 total yards & 96 points! True frosh QB Alan Bowman set a B12 frosh record after throwing for 605 yds LW! TT is 9-4 as an AD. OSU’s D is holding foes to 167 ypg below their season avg.

Oklahoma St 555-429

53 119

Oklahoma St by 790Team Schedule Strength

94 Texas Tech Oklahoma St

Oklahoma StTexas Tech

Texas Tech Oklahoma St

Oklahoma St

555 yards

Texas Tech K

Oklahoma St

Texas Tech Coaches

77 yards

429 yards Texas Tech

Oklahoma St K

Projected Yardage Total

2.35

1.00352 yards

Texas Tech Oklahoma St 47 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

Oklahoma St LB's

Texas Tech OL0.35

Oklahoma St DL

vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12

35-52-376

20-28-395

Texas Tech Red RaidersRed Raiders Logs

TM REC FOE REC

27-38-376

Comp-Att-Yds

17-31-370

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 37: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 109 79 9/1 41-59 L 57 106 60 123 122 105 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 93 97 9/1 23-46 L 42 92 113 72 98 340-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 104 119 9/8 22-21 W 52 107 60 29 81 5 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 91 115 #16 9/7 12-42 L 53 92 113 66 10 31-1 1-0 107 9/15 51-21 W 62 109 84 0-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 90 124 #19 9/15 20-45 L 69 97 121 28 2 262-1 0-3 1-0 0-0 106 92 9/22 39 109 87 102 102 123 #2 #123 0-3 2-1 0-0 1-0 92 106 9/22 102 102 123 39 109 87

9/29 #128 #97 9/291-1 0-0 105 10/6 84 95 44 #48 #125 2-0 1-0 112 10/6 19 83 621-2 0-0 106 10/13 110 67 111 #41 #115 10/132-1 0-0 107 10/20 42 57 43 #40 #113 1-2 0-0 100 10/20 43 99 643-0 2-0 118 10/27 21 14 67 #76 #82 3-0 0-0 103 10/27 112 66 533-0 0-0 103 11/3 112 66 53 #94 #108 2-1 0-0 107 11/3 42 57 432-0 1-0 112 11/10 19 83 62 #93 #103 1-2 0-1 84 11/10 122 130 761-2 0-0 98 11/17 104 115 109 #104 #125 2-1 0-1 117 11/16 16 81 191-2 0-0 100 11/24 43 99 64 #68 #104 1-2 0-0 98 11/24 104 115 109

12/1 #72 #1232-1 0-0 101 12/8 74 92 39 +7 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Hawaii 41-59 -111 -6 1 19 49-326 6.7 6-13 85 3 25 28-86 3.1 31-42 436 3 at North Texas 23-46 -273 -25 -1 9 19-4 0.2 12-24 252 4 34 43-68 1.6 41-51 461 2 Memphis 22-21 -62 6 3 20 73-264 3.6 4-6 52 1 14 24-233 9.7 15-25 145 1 TCU 12-42 -151 -10 1 13 33-131 4.0 18-39 111 4 23 42-247 5.9 15-28 146 0 Lehigh 51-21 293 10 3 26 62-484 7.8 6-14 145 0 16 25-162 6.5 22-40 174 1 at Michigan 20-45 -115 1 0 22 31-110 3.5 19-34 209 2 21 41-197 4.8 14-18 237 1at SMU Navy Bye Houston Baptist at Air Force at UCF Temple Bye Houston at Tulane † Notre Dame Cincinnatiat Cincinnati Houstonat UCF at Connecticut Tulsa Memphisat Tulane at Tulsa Bye† Army West Point

Average 38-34 40.0 3.3 1.3 22 61-358 5.8 48.5% 94 12.1% 18 26-160 6.2 63.6% 252 4.7% Average 18-44 -179.7 -11.3 0.0 15 28-82 3.0 50.5% 191 10.3% 26 42-171 4.1 72.2% 281 3.1% Conference 22-21 -62.0 6.0 3.0 20 73-264 3.6 66.7% 52 16.7% 14 24-233 9.7 60.0% 145 4.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 41-59 -111.0 -6.0 1.0 19 49-326 6.7 46.2% 85 23.1% 25 28-86 3.1 73.8% 436 7.1% Home 12-42 -151.0 -10.0 1.0 13 33-131 4.0 46.2% 111 10.3% 23 42-247 5.9 53.6% 146 0.0%

at Hawaii Garret Lewis 5-9-66-0-0 Malcolm Perry 17-108-6.4-1 Taylor Jackson 3-38-12.7-0 at North Texas Ben Hicks 12-24-252-2-1 Braeden West 8-26-3.3-1 Braeden West 3-86-28.7-1 Memphis Malcolm Perry 2-3-22-0-0 Malcolm Perry 36-166-4.6-2 Malcolm Perry 1-17-17.0-0 TCU Ben Hicks 18-38-111-0-0 Braeden West 11-78-7.1-1 James Proche 6-50-8.3-0 Lehigh Garret Lewis 4-5-80-0-0 Malcolm Perry 19-223-11.7-3 CJ Williams 3-104-34.7-0 vs. at Michigan Ben Hicks 7-16-113-1-1 Xavier Jones 13-50-3.8-0 James Proche 11-166-15.1-2at SMU Navy Bye Houston Baptist at Air Force vs. at UCF Temple Bye Houston at Tulane † Notre Dame vs. Cincinnatiat Cincinnati Houstonat UCF at Connecticut Tulsa vs. Memphisat Tulane at Tulsa Bye† Army West Point vs.

Garret Lewis 10-16-159-0-0 Malcolm Perry 72-497-6.9-6 CJ Williams 6-148-24.7-0 Ben Hicks 37-78-476-3-2 Braeden West 27-129-4.8-2 James Proche 19-293-15.4-3Malcolm Perry 5-15-106-1-1 Nelson Smith 16-105-6.6-0 Taylor Jackson 4-51-12.8-0 vs. William Brown 11-17-82-2-0 Xavier Jones 22-75-3.4-0 Braeden West 8-106-13.3-1Zach Abey 1-2-17-0-0 Anthony Gargiulo 23-71-3.1-0 Tre Walker 1-19-19.0-1 Tyler Page 1-1-14-0-0 William Brown 9-53-5.9-0 JR Roberson 6-75-12.5-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Navy - -3.5 43 24 72-559

SMU - 68 40 21 31-165 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Navy - -7 75 23 48-496

SMU - 66 31 27 37-96 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Navy 22 -21 55 28 65-403

SMU - 62.5 14 15 31-144 -2

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Nav

y M

idsh

ipm

en1.39

Navy OL

SMU DLNavy DL

1.16

SMU OL

0.92

Navy QB/WR

SMU DB's

1.94

Navy RB's

SMU LB's

Projected Passing293 yards

Projected Yardage Total407 yards Navy SMU

at Cincinnati Pass Def Houstonat UCF Total Def at Connecticut Tulsa Score Def Memphisat Tulane Sks By at Tulsa

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

SM

U M

ust

ang

s

Net Offense

† Army West Point Total TO'sYpg Diff Bye

at SMU Rush Off Navy Bye Pass Off Houston Baptist at Air Force Total Off at UCF Temple Score Off Bye Houston Sks Allowed at Tulane † Notre Dame Rush Def Cincinnati

at North Texas Memphis

Navy SMU TCU

Lehigh at Michigan

TM REC FOE REC

Midshipmen Logs vs. AAC vs. AAC Mustangs Logs

Navy Midshipmen OVERALL: OVERALL: SMU Mustangs2-1 0-3

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE --PS RANK--1-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

at Hawaii 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

Navy SMUPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

SMU Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 0.77

Navy ST's Team & Margin

Navy LeadersNavy DB's

1.19

SMU QB/WR

Navy LB'S0.05

SMU RB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineSMU ST's Navy By 6.5

Projected Rushing Navy K

147 yardsSMU K

325 yards Navy SMU

81 yards

Experience Rankings36 points Navy SMU 31 points

Las Vegas Total65 Points

+/- RatingsNavy By 11.0

Game GradeSmu By 0.8

Phil Steele

Smu 440-407

100 Navy SMU

Navy SMU

440 yards SMU Coaches

2.72

SMU Pts

38

2.50

Navy Coaches

Projected Final Score7.51

Navy Pts

Navy SMU84

Navy 42 SMU 27By 4.79 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

The Gansz Trophy has been on the line since ’09. Last year the Mustangs trailed 34-11 at HT, rallied to tie with 1:08 left, but then allowed Navy to drive 78/10 & hit GW 18 yd FG with no time left. It was my high scoring game of the week on these pages and the final was 43-40. Navy has won 8 straight with LY’s 3-point margin being the closest. LTH (‘16) Navy trailed 24-21 prior to a TD w/:06 left before HT which sparked 47 unanswered points until a SMU garbage TD with 5:44 left (75-31 -7). Navy only had Lehigh and has a bye on deck and is 7-3 ATS as an AF the last 4 years. SMU is 4-12 as a HD the last 5 years. Kevin Kane is in his 3rd year as a DC (was at NIll ‘16-’17) and this is his first crack at the option! SMU is off a physical loss at Michigan that saw QB Ben Hicks benched for frosh William Brown, who threw 2 TD’s before being knocked out of the game. Last year SMU QB’s threw for 3823 (58.1%) with a 35-13 ratio. This year they are on pace for 2292 yards (50.5%) with a 20-8 ratio.

0.32

2

Navy 36-31

Team Schedule Strength NavyNacy by 15

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Comp-Att-Yds

5-9-104

31-46-331

Comp-Att-Yds

2-9-81

9-24-124

AP

16-30-261

Comp-Att-Yds

0-1-0

Page 38: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 87 117 9/1 15-49 L 128 129 88 28 27 16 0-0 0-0 82 9/1 49-17 W 96 119 920-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 87 102 9/8 47-24 W 128 129 88 89 84 82 1-0 0-0 87 9/8 87 119 921-1 0-0 87 9/15 58-21 W 127 129 91 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 87 124 #16 9/15 10-56 L 74 107 110 9 6 452-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 89 86 9/22 120 128 91 76 114 113 #21 #59 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 86 89 9/22 76 114 113 120 128 91

2-1 0-0 103 9/29 99 70 26 #110 #61 3-0 1-0 140 9/29 1 1 3110/6 #63 #59 1-2 0-1 76 10/6 126 124 124

2-1 0-0 93 10/13 100 119 61 #32 #77 0-4 0-1 79 10/13 128 84 1221-3 0-1 89 10/20 96 125 130 #60 #40 1-1 0-0 107 10/20 90 58 291-2 0-0 88 10/27 121 120 126 #110 #120 2-1 0-0 101 10/27 33 94 551-1 0-0 107 11/3 90 58 29 #71 #68 2-1 0-0 103 11/3 99 70 262-1 0-0 101 11/10 33 94 55 #98 #107 1-2 0-0 88 11/10 121 120 1262-1 0-0 99 11/17 92 90 50 #94 #111 1-2 1-0 86 11/17 129 98 651-2 1-0 86 11/24 129 98 65 #91 #52 2-1 0-0 93 11/24 100 119 61

#89 #95-1 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at South Carolina 15-49 -319 -12 -1 20 39-126 3.2 13-18 112 3 32 38-263 0.0 25-35 294 1 Grambling St 49-17 250 12 -1 27 43-315 7.3 23-30 241 2 15 36-147 4.1 16-29 159 4 UAB 47-24 28 -1 1 25 43-296 6.9 11-18 167 2 26 41-286 0.0 12-27 149 2 Bye Campbell 58-21 268 14 -1 32 44-333 7.6 13-17 241 0 18 29-88 0.0 16-34 218 1 at Miss St 10-56 -297 -16 0 13 26-65 2.5 23-34 245 2 29 47-331 7.0 16-24 276 2at Louisiana Coastal Carolinaat Troy at Alabama Bye at Texas St ULM New Mexico Stat UMass at Appalachian Stat Georgia St Arkansas St Appalachian St at Troy Arkansas St Georgia St GA Southern South Alabamaat South Alabama at ULM

Average 40-31 -7.7 0.3 -0.3 26 42-252 6.0 69.8% 173 9.4% 25 36-212 0.0 55.2% 220 4.2% Average 30-37 -23.5 -2.0 -0.5 20 35-190 5.5 71.9% 243 6.3% 22 42-239 5.8 60.4% 218 11.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 15-49 -319.0 -12.0 -1.0 20 39-126 3.2 72.2% 112 16.7% 32 38-263 0.0 71.4% 294 2.9% Home 49-17 250.0 12.0 -1.0 27 43-315 7.3 76.7% 241 6.7% 15 36-147 4.1 55.2% 159 13.8%

at South Carolina Kilton Anderson 11-13-91-0-0 Marcus Outlow 12-59-4.9-0 Malcolm Williams 6-49-8.2-0 Grambling St Andre Nunez 19-22-184-2-0 Trey Ragas 13-142-10.9-1 Ja'Marcus Bradley 6-70-11.7-2 UAB Kilton Anderson 11-18-167-2-0 Marcus Outlow 20-140-7.0-2 Ky'Jon Tyler 3-63-21.0-0 Bye Campbell Kilton Anderson 10-14-202-3-1 Kilton Anderson 5-67-13.4-0 Ky'Jon Tyler 1-81-81.0-1 vs. at Miss St Andre Nunez 21-29-224-1-1 Trey Ragas 7-49-7.0-0 Keenan Barnes 4-76-19.0-0at Louisiana Coastal Carolinaat Troy at Alabama Bye vs. at Texas St ULM New Mexico Stat UMass at Appalachian Stat Georgia St vs. Arkansas St Appalachian St at Troy Arkansas St Georgia St GA Southern vs. South Alabamaat South Alabama at ULM

vs.

Kilton Anderson 32-45-460-5-1 Marcus Outlow 33-262-7.9-3 Ky'Jon Tyler 7-167-23.9-1 Andre Nunez 40-51-408-3-1 Trey Ragas 20-191-9.6-1 Ryheem Malone 11-115-10.5-0Bryce Carpenter 4-7-46-2-0 Torrance Marable 20-173-8.7-4 Malcolm Williams 12-144-12.0-2 vs. Levi Lewis 6-13-78-2-1 Raymond Calais 8-78-9.8-1 Keenan Barnes 6-97-16.2-0Chance Thrasher 1-1-14-0-0 Kilton Anderson 28-147-5.3-1 Jeremiah Miller 6-65-10.8-0 Elijah Mitchell 13-34-2.6-0 Ja'Marcus Bradley 8-72-9.0-3

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Louisiana ST'sLas Vegas Line

Louisiana K

268 yards

238 yardsProjected Passing

1.01

Team Schedule Strength Louisiana Phil Steele98 Coastal Carolina Louisiana 70

Louisiana Coaches

Projected Final Score36 points Coastal Carolina

162 yards Coastal Carolina

255 yards

Louisiana

Projected Rushing

Louisiana 523-4003.93

Coastal Carolina Pts

7.16

Net Offense Defense

Coa

stal

Car

olin

a C

han

ticl

eers

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.09

Coastal Carolina QB/WR

Louisiana DB's

Coastal Carolina DL

2.11

Louisiana OLCoastal Carolina LB'S

2.78

Louisiana RB's

1.01

Coastal Carolina RB's

Louisiana LB's

at Appalachian Stat Georgia St Rush Def Arkansas St Appalachian St Pass Def at Troy Arkansas St Total Def Georgia St GA Southern Score Def South Alabamaat South Alabama Sks By at ULM

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Lou

isia

na

Rag

in C

aju

ns

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

Grambling St

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. SUN vs. SUN

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers OVERALL: OVERALL:

2-1 1-1Chanticleers Logs Ragin Cajuns Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTEAM --PS RANK--FOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

UABCoastal Carolina Louisiana

Bye Campbell at Miss St

0.36

Coastal Carolina OL

Louisiana DL

Coastal Carolina Louisiana

Coastal Carolina Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

at South Carolina

Coastal Carolinaat Troy Pass Off at Alabamaat Louisiana Rush Off

at Texas St ULM Score Off New Mexico St Bye Total Off

at UMass Sks Allowed

Phil's Forecast:

1.02

1st ever meeting. Billy Napier has just 11 ret starters but liked the overall talent of the team he inherited and between Alabama and Miss St games, they need to focus on their SBC home opener and get a win. CC got back HC Joe Moglia this year and went just 3-9 last year with OC Chadwell acting as interim HC. Coastal has been a slow starter trailing UAB and Campbell big in the 1H but rallying for 23 & 37 point wins. CC moved last weeks’ game up to Wednesday but has been forced from campus and are practicing in Jacksonville this week. UL is allowing 5.8 ypc rush and CC is allowing 5.9 ypc rush. UL QB Andre Nunez is hitting 78% with a 3-1 ratio despite facing Miss St’s D and CC’s Kilton Anderson is hitting 71% with a 5-1 ratio and my computer is calling for 76 points so your best play may be the over.

Louisiana By 4

Louisiana By 0.0

Louisiana By 1.9

64.5 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Projected Yardage Total400 yards Coastal Carolina Louisiana 523 yards

Louisiana Leaders

Team & Margin

1.25

Coastal Carolina KLas Vegas Total

Louisiana QB/WR

Coastal Carolina DB's

Coastal Carolina ST's

Coastal Carolina Louisiana

1.45

Coastal Carolina Coaches

Louisiana 40 pointsLouisiana Pts

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

88

Louisiana by 7 Louisiana 42 Coatal Carolina 35By 3.23 Points

71POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Louisiana 40-36Experience Rankings

Coastal Carolina Louisiana

Page 39: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 95 118 #15 9/1 21-43 L 80 120 122 18 5 11 0-0 0-0 96 9/1 48-21 W 40 74 370-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 95 79 9/8 52-24 W 72 121 122 127 124 121 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 99 134 #1 9/8 7-57 L 47 77 37 2 2 531-1 0-0 96 9/15 46-17 W 67 116 127 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 97 102 9/15 29-20 W 38 87 55 78 124 1112-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 96 101 9/22 62 106 116 33 94 55 #3 #58 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/22 33 94 55 62 106 116

9/29 #124 #29 2-1 0-0 99 9/29 92 90 502-1 0-0 92 10/6 66 121 112 #43 #29 1-1 0-0 107 10/6 90 58 292-1 0-0 112 10/13 86 45 1 #34 #82 10/131-1 0-0 105 10/20 84 95 44 #90 #60 1-2 0-0 88 10/20 121 120 1260-3 0-0 82 10/27 127 111 104 #99 #96 1-1 0-0 86 10/27 76 114 1132-1 0-0 114 11/3 75 60 99 #61 #69 1-2 1-0 86 11/3 129 98 652-1 0-0 101 11/10 103 46 49 #89 #92 2-1 0-0 89 11/10 120 128 913-1 1-0 88 11/17 114 123 96 #85 #99 2-1 0-0 93 11/17 100 119 612-1 0-0 101 11/24 98 78 37 #52 #31 1-2 0-1 76 11/24 126 124 124

#61 #55+2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at USC 21-43 -96 -6 -1 17 43-308 7.2 12-27 97 5 23 38-219 5.8 22-35 282 2 SE Missouri St 48-21 400 16 -3 30 39-188 4.8 28-40 497 0 14 31-122 3.9 18-28 163 3 UTEP 52-24 145 10 3 29 56-414 7.4 6-14 119 1 19 37-265 7.2 11-29 123 0 at Alabama 7-57 -208 -7 0 19 31-173 5.6 22-51 218 2 26 44-278 6.3 20-29 321 1 Prairie View A&M 46-17 141 13 0 28 63-318 5.0 11-21 130 1 15 32-99 3.1 11-38 208 4 at Tulsa 29-20 66 5 2 24 49-214 4.4 20-33 191 3 19 42-167 4.0 19-27 172 4at Arkansas St UNLV Bye at GA Southern New Mexico Appalachian Stat Utah St Bye Air Force Georgia Stat San Jose St at Louisiana Fresno St South Alabamaat San Diego St at Coastal Carolinaat Hawaii ULM Nevada at Texas St

Average 40-28 63.3 5.7 0.7 25 54-347 6.4 46.8% 115 11.3% 19 36-194 5.4 43.1% 204 5.9% Average 28-33 86.0 4.7 -0.3 24 40-192 4.8 56.5% 302 4.0% 20 39-189 4.8 67.9% 219 9.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 21-43 -96.0 -6.0 -1.0 17 43-308 7.2 44.4% 97 18.5% 23 38-219 5.8 62.9% 282 5.7% Home 23-21 400.0 16.0 -3.0 30 39-188 4.8 70.0% 497 0.0% 14 31-122 3.9 64.3% 163 10.7%

at USC Armani Rogers 12-27-97-2-0 Lexington Thomas 14-136-9.7-1 Kendal Keys 1-31-31.0-1 SE Missouri St Justice Hansen 26-36-423-6-1 Marcel Murray 10-54-5.4-0 Marcel Murray 2-75-37.5-1 UTEP Armani Rogers 6-13-119-3-0 Lexington Thomas 17-127-7.5-2 Mekhi Stevenson 1-51-51.0-1 at Alabama Justice Hansen 15-36-140-1-1 Warren Wand 11-60-5.5-0 Omar Bayless 3-36-12.0-0 Prairie View A&M Armani Rogers 11-21-130-1-1 Lexington Thomas 30-124-4.1-1 Tyleek Collins 2-29-14.5-0 vs. at Tulsa Justice Hansen 20-33-191-0-0 Justice Hansen 14-80-5.7-1 Justin McInnis 6-66-11.0-0at Arkansas St UNLV Bye at GA Southern New Mexico vs. Appalachian Stat Utah St Bye Air Force Georgia Stat San Jose St vs. at Louisiana Fresno St South Alabamaat San Diego St at Coastal Carolinaat Hawaii vs. ULM Nevada at Texas St

vs.

Armani Rogers 29-61-346-6-1 Lexington Thomas 61-387-6.3-4 Mekhi Stevenson 5-83-16.6-1 Justice Hansen 61-105-754-7-2 Warren Wand 32-153-4.8-0 Justin McInnis 12-134-11.2-1Max Gilliam 0-1-0-0-0 Armani Rogers 44-307-7.0-5 Darren Woods 4-62-15.5-1 vs. Logan Bonner 8-17-127-1-1 Armond Weh-Weh 27-136-5.0-0 Kirk Merritt 13-112-8.6-0

Xzaviar Campbell 22-129-5.9-0 Tyleek Collins 5-55.1-11.0-1 Darveon Brown 1-1-25-0-0 Marcel Murray 26-124-4.8-1 Omar Bayless 5-103-20.6-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

UN

LV R

ebel

s

UNLV Arkansas StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.35

UNLV QB/WR

Arkansas St DB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UNLV Coaches1.25

UNLV K

Arkansas St By 13.0

Projected Rushing1.19UNLV Arkansas St

at San Jose St Rush Def at Louisiana Fresno St Pass Def South Alabamaat San Diego St Total Def at Coastal Carolinaat Hawaii Score Def ULM Nevada Sks By at Texas St

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ark

ansa

s S

t R

ed W

olve

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

New Mexico Total Off

Air Force Sks Allowed Georgia St

TM REC FOE REC

Red Wolves LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--

Rebels Logs vs. MTW vs. SUN

UNLV Rebels OVERALL: OVERALL: Arkansas St Red Wolves2-1 2-1

Passing ReceivingRushing

APTM CONF

TEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

0-0TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGSFOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

SE Missouri St UTEP

UNLV Arkansas Stat Alabama

at GA Southernat Arkansas St Rush Off

Appalachian Stat Utah St Score Off Bye

Arkansas St K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

413 yards UNLV Arkansas St 579 yards Arkansas St Coaches

Prairie View A&M at Tulsa

at USC 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

UNLV Bye Pass Off

UNLV DL1.66

Arkansas St OL

Arkansas St Leaders

UNLV LB'S1.09

Arkansas St RB's

2.03

UNLV RB's

Arkansas St LB's

0.71

UNLV OL

Arkansas St DL

34

By 2.38 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score UNLV ST's

Arkansas St 579-413

235 yardsProjected Passing

UNLV LeadersUNLV DB's

1.44Arkansas St QB/WR

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)1.22

Arkansas St ST's

Team & Margin

UNLV Pts6.66

Arkansas St Pts

Computer Yards

Arkansas St 41-33

Arkansas St 344 yards

UNLVProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings

161 yards UNLV Arkansas St By 9.3

Phil SteeleArkansas St

33 points

Arkansas St by 7 Arkansas St 41 UNLV 34

Last met in 1995. Ark St is 10-4 in home non conf games since 2010. Blake Andersen is 19-5 straight up at home and 15-8 ATS and last year was +230 ypg at home and +27 ppg. Tony Sanchez is 12-4 ATS as an AD. He won for me this year at USC and has also covered at places like Michigan, UCLA, Fresno St and Ohio State. QB Rogers has 307 rush (7.0) which is a big reason that the Rebels average 347 (6.4) on the ground. He is completing just 46.8% for 115 ypg. UNLV is allowing teams 192 ypg above their season average. Ark St put up 391 yards on Alabama’s defense and the Red Wolves are playing to an average game grade of 87.3 while UNLV is at 78.5. That would favor Ark St by 12.8 with their 4-point home-edge. The game is at 7:00 at night so the trip East should not be tough on the body clock of the Rebels.

Arkansas St By 7.5

Las Vegas Total68 Points

+/- Ratings

UNLV Arkansas St45

34

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

4.28Arkansas St 41 points

Team Schedule Strength97 UNLV Arkansas St

252 yards

Page 40: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 113 #16 9/1 55-7 W 64 8 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 102 #23 9/1 29-34 L 24 12 32 39 47 771-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 91 #16 9/8 42-14 W 66 10 3 53 92 113 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 114 100 9/8 28-21 W 27 13 32 76 108 1122-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 116 133 #15 #4 9/15 28-40 L 61 4 4 3 5 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 112 116 #22 9/15 37-14 W 31 20 14 24 7 92-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 #17 9/22 53 3 10 30 24 75 #32 #68 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 #17 9/22 30 24 75 53 3 10

0-2 0-1 115 9/29 70 41 125 #65 #56 2-1 0-0 110 9/29 63 43 1210/6 #39 #62 3-0 1-0 131 10/6 4 31 42

2-1 0-0 111 10/13 26 47 28 #28 #72 2-1 0-0 108 10/13 27 79 143-0 1-0 131 10/20 4 31 42 #21 #21 10/202-1 0-0 103 10/27 89 80 100 #52 #28 3-0 0-0 124 10/27 65 32 460-0 0-0 110 11/3 63 43 12 #44 #90 2-0 0-0 116 11/3 10 69 512-0 0-0 116 11/10 10 69 51 #33 #63 2-1 0-0 111 11/10 26 47 282-1 0-0 108 11/17 27 79 14 #41 #58 0-0 0-0 115 11/17 70 41 1253-0 0-0 124 11/24 65 32 46 #31 #91 2-1 0-0 103 11/23 89 80 100

#30 #60-1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Southern 55-7 314 21 3 30 42-235 5.6 21-32 264 0 9 34-84 2.5 5-18 101 3 at Maryland 29-34 -2 -1 -3 20 36-142 3.9 21-39 263 1 21 46-143 3.1 21-34 264 1at SMU 42-12 151 10 -1 23 42-247 5.9 15-28 146 0 13 33-131 4.0 18-39 111 4 Tulsa 28-21 125 7 1 24 47-241 5.1 21-27 237 0 17 38-189 5.0 13-26 164 0† Ohio St 28-40 -15 -7 -3 22 36-203 5.6 24-40 308 3 29 42-182 4.3 24-38 344 1 USC 37-14 77 9 0 25 48-160 3.3 16-34 234 2 16 16--5 -0.3 30-48 322 3at Texas TCU Iowa St at Kansas St Bye † Oklahoma Texas Tech Baylor Oklahoma Byeat Kansas at Oklahoma St Kansas St West Virginiaat West Virginia at Texas Techat Baylor Iowa St Oklahoma St at Kansas

Average 42-20 150.0 8.0 -0.3 25 40-228 5.7 60.0% 239 3.0% 17 36-132 3.6 49.5% 185 8.4% Average 31-23 66.7 5.0 -0.7 23 44-181 4.1 58.0% 245 3.0% 18 33-109 3.3 59.3% 250 3.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 35-26 68.0 1.5 -2.0 23 39-225 5.8 57.4% 227 4.4% 21 38-157 4.2 54.5% 228 6.5% Home 33-18 101.0 8.0 0.5 25 48-201 4.2 60.7% 236 3.3% 17 27-92 3.4 58.1% 243 4.1%

Southern Shawn Robinson 17-24-182-3-0 Emari Demercado 8-57-7.1-0 Trevontae Hights 1-57-57.0-1 at Maryland Sam Ehlinger 21-39-263-2-2 Tre Watson 12-52-4.3-0 Lil'J Humphrey 6-82-13.7-0at SMU Shawn Robinson 15-28-146-1-1 Darius Anderson 9-69-7.7-0 Kavontae Turpin 4-64-16.0-1 Tulsa Sam Ehlinger 21-27-237-2-0 Tre Watson 18-74-4.1-0 Lil'J Humphrey 7-109-15.6-1† Ohio St Shawn Robinson 24-40-308-1-2 Darius Anderson 12-154-12.8-2 Jalen Reagor 7-98-14.0-0 vs. USC Sam Ehlinger 15-33-223-2-0 Tre Watson 18-72-4.0-0 Lil'J Humphrey 4-84-21.0-1at Texas TCU Iowa St at Kansas St Bye vs. † Oklahoma Texas Tech Baylor Oklahoma Byeat Kansas vs. at Oklahoma St Kansas St West Virginiaat West Virginia at Texas Techat Baylor vs. Iowa St Oklahoma St at Kansas

vs.

Shawn Robinson 56-92-636-5-3 Darius Anderson 29-259-8.9-2 Jalen Reagor 14-188-13.4-1 Sam Ehlinger 57-99-723-6-2 Tre Watson 48-198-4.1-0 Lil'J Humphrey 17-275-16.2-2Michael Collins 3-5-71-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 30-141-4.7-1 Kavontae Turpin 12-125-10.4-1 vs. Daniel Young 23-125-5.4-0 Collin Johnson 13-175-13.5-1Grayson Muehlstein 1-3-11-0-0 Shawn Robinson 18-119-6.6-3 Trevontae Hights 3-114-38.0-2 Sam Ehlinger 36-116-3.2-2 Devin Duvernay 6-73-12.2-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.TCU 10 -7 24 17 46-177

Texas - 46.5 7 14 26-9 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.TCU - 60.5 31 25 46-309

Texas - -3 9 19 46-189 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.TCU 4 -14.5 50 31 42-228

Texas - 73 7 20 51-191 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.TCU 6 -6.5 48 16 31-135

Texas - 55 10 12 36-90 -42013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

TCU - -2.5 7 12 24-45

Texas - 51 30 18 52-187 1

Net Offense Defense

TCU

Hor

ned

Fro

gs

TCU DL

Texas OL

1.52

TCU LB'S

Texas RB's

TCU QB/WR0.35

Texas DB's

TCU OL

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Since TCU joined the Big 12 they are 5-1 vs Texas and have won the last 4 in a row and done so by an amazing 30 ppg despite only being favored by 6 ppg. LY the ‘Horns were travelling for a 3rd time in 4 weeks. Texas was sacked a season high 7 times while being held to season lows in rushing (9) & total (263) yards. LTH (‘16) TCU led 10-9 with 9:30 left 3Q. From that point the Frogs scored 21 unanswered with a 330-97 yd edge forcing 5 punts, SOD & an int on UT’s last 7 poss in a 31-9 win. TCU is 17-6 straight up on the road but is #120 on my Exp Chart while Texas is #27. The underdog is 16-5-1 in Tom Hermans’ 4 years as a HC when he is at home. Texas held USC to -5 yards rush last week and catch TCU on their 3rd road game in 3 weeks while they are at home a 3rd straight week. My computer calls for Texas to have a 77-yard edge.

Texas ST's Tcu By 3.5

Projected Rushing19-27-166

21-44-254

16-30-178

at Oklahoma St Kansas St Pass Def West Virginiaat West Virginia Total Def at Texas Techat Baylor Score Def Iowa St Oklahoma St Sks By at Kansas

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Texa

s Lo

ng

hor

ns

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

TCU Horned Frogs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

APTM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOE

at Maryland

vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:

2-1 2-1Longhorns Logs

Texas Longhorns

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

FOE

ReceivingRushing

TCU TexasPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Tulsa† Ohio St USC

Southern

TCU Iowa St Pass Off at Kansas Stat Texas Rush Off

† Oklahoma Texas Tech Score Off Baylor

FOE

Game Grade22-38-376

TexasComp-Att-Yds

9-19-228

TCU

Texas Pts20-34-233

313 yards

Las Vegas Total96 yards 146 yardsTCU 1.38

TCU K

0.90

TCU Coaches

Texas Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)2.59

TCU ST's Team & Margin

TCU LeadersTexas QB/WR

Texas By 4.0

Tcu By 1.0

Bye

+/- Ratings

0.34

Projected Yardage Total

1.05

TCU DB's

Texas LB's

0.39

Texas K

FOE +/-AP TEAM

Oklahoma Sks Allowed

FOE

at Kansas Rush Def

47.5 Points

vs. BIG 12

0-0 0-0TM REC

TCU Pts0.95

13-28-122

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Texas Coaches

Texas DL

TCU RB's0.26

Horned Frogs Logs

Projected Passing

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Bye Total Off

at SMUTCU Texas

Texas by 4 Upset POW: *Texas 24 (+) TCU 20By 6.89 Points

Tcu 23-23Comp-Att-Yds Team Schedule Strength TCU Phil Steele

56 TCU Texas

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

17-39-201

114 TCU Texas 24

Computer YardsTexas 387-313

Projected Final ScoreComp-Att-Yds

19

20-34-200

16-39-218

Comp-Att-Yds

TCU 387 yards

Texas

Texas

Projected Box Score

241 yards217 yards

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

23 points 7.84Texas23 points TCU

Page 41: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 118 9/1 14-34 L 93 88 48 63 20 116 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 110 #7 9/1 63-14 W 4 43 43 31 28 910-1 0 0-1 0 104 85 9/8 38-14 W 94 88 48 119 130 101 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 131 102 #6 9/8 49-21 W 4 39 43 62 42 591-1 3-0 0-1 1-0 104 85 9/15 28-21 W 80 88 37 114 123 96 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 131 115 #5 9/15 37-27 W 4 32 47 54 38 1172-1 3-0 0-1 1-0 101 131 #5 9/22 74 92 39 4 31 42 #6 #35 3-0 2-1 1-0 0-1 131 101 #5 9/22 4 31 42 74 92 39

3-0 1-0 103 9/29 85 87 114 #121 #14 2-1 0-0 108 9/29 27 79 1410/6 #51 #12 2-1 0-0 117 10/6 30 24 75

0-3 0-0 82 10/13 127 111 104 #89 #10 10/130-3 0-0 95 10/20 94 96 93 #4 #40 2-1 0-0 117 10/20 53 3 102-1 0-1 101 10/27 77 91 95 #29 #34 0-0 0-0 110 10/27 63 43 121-1 0-0 105 11/3 84 95 44 #107 #104 2-1 0-0 111 11/3 26 47 28

11/10 #83 #80 3-0 0-0 124 11/10 65 32 4611/17 #58 #45 2-1 0-0 103 11/17 89 80 10011/24 #52 #21 2-0 0-0 116 11/23 10 69 5112/1 #64 #26

2-1 1-0 106 12/8 39 109 87 +2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Duke 14-34 -16 -1 -1 18 47-168 3.6 10-21 197 1 19 35-184 5.3 13-17 197 1 Florida Atlantic 63-14 326 6 1 26 39-316 8.1 19-23 334 3 20 42-132 3.1 18-32 192 2 Liberty 38-14 93 7 3 28 74-449 6.1 2-8 61 0 21 23-110 4.8 19-37 307 2 UCLA 49-21 102 7 -1 27 35-179 5.1 19-35 306 0 20 50-129 2.6 16-26 254 6 Hawaii 28-21 103 3 0 18 66-303 4.6 6-10 162 0 15 13-41 3.2 20-32 321 3 at Iowa St 37-27 72 4 0 24 39-171 4.4 21-29 348 1 20 29-87 3.0 25-36 360 1at Oklahoma Army West Pointat Buffalo Baylor Bye † Texas† San Jose St Bye Miami, OH at TCUat Eastern Michigan Kansas St Air Force at Texas Tech Lafayette Oklahoma St Colgate Kansas Bye at West Virginia Bye† Navy

Average 27-23 60.0 3.0 0.7 21 62-307 4.9 46.2% 140 2.6% 18 24-112 4.7 60.5% 275 7.0% Average 50-21 166.7 5.7 0.0 26 38-222 5.9 67.8% 329 4.6% 20 40-116 2.9 62.8% 269 9.6% Conference 38-14 93.0 7.0 3.0 28 74-449 6.1 25.0% 61 0.0% 21 23-110 4.8 51.4% 307 5.4% Conference 37-27 72.0 4.0 0.0 24 39-171 4.4 72.4% 348 3.4% 20 29-87 3.0 69.4% 360 2.8% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 56-18 214.0 6.5 0.0 27 37-248 6.7 65.5% 320 5.2% 20 46-131 2.8 58.6% 223 13.8%

at Duke Kelvin Hopkins 10-21-197-1-0 Calen Holt 7-54-7.7-0 Camden Harrison 3-92-30.7-1 Florida Atlantic Kyler Murray 9-11-209-2-0 Rodney Anderson 5-100-20.0-2 Marquise Brown 6-133-22.2-1 Liberty Kelvin Hopkins 2-7-61-1-0 Darnell Woolfolk 17-98-5.8-2 Christian Hayes 1-44-44.0-1 UCLA Kyler Murray 19-33-306-3-1 Kyler Murray 10-69-6.9-2 CeeDee Lamb 7-146-20.9-1 Hawaii Kelvin Hopkins 6-10-162-0-0 Kelvin Hopkins 20-110-5.5-2 Calen Holt 1-63-63.0-0 vs. at Iowa St Kyler Murray 21-29-348-3-0 Kyler Murray 15-77-5.1-0 Marquise Brown 9-191-21.2-1at Oklahoma Army West Pointat Buffalo Baylor Bye vs. † Texas† San Jose St Bye Miami, OH at TCUat Eastern Michigan vs. Kansas St Air Force at Texas Tech Lafayette Oklahoma St Colgate vs. Kansas Bye at West Virginia Bye† Navy vs.

Kelvin Hopkins 18-38-420-2-0 Kelvin Hopkins 48-206-4.3-3 Camden Harrison 3-92-30.7-1 Kyler Murray 49-73-863-8-1 Kyler Murray 29-169-5.8-2 Marquise Brown 19-412-21.7-3Luke Langdon 0-1-0-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 43-188-4.4-3 Christian Hayes 3-87-29.0-1 vs. Austin Kendall 8-10-88-1-0 Trey Sermon 29-156-5.4-2 CeeDee Lamb 12-225-18.8-2

Connor Slomka 26-153-5.9-2 Kell Walker 3-77-25.7-0 Tanner Mordecai 2-4-37-0-0 Rodney Anderson 11-119-10.8-3 Lee Morris 2-73-36.5-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Army OL0.28

Oklahoma DL

Army OklahomaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Army QB/WR1.41

Oklahoma DB's

21

Oklahoma

266 yards

308 yards Army

By Game Yardage Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Army Leaders

Army LB'S1.92

Oklahoma RB's

Passing

623 yards

Army DL2.54

Oklahoma OL

Phil Steele

at West Virginia

† Navy Total TO'sYpg Diff Bye

Net Offense Defense

Arm

y B

lack

Kn

igh

ts

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Okl

ahom

a S

oon

ers

Net Offense

TM REC FOE REC

Sooners Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Oklahoma Sooners2-1 3-0

1-0TM REC FOE

REC

Defense

Score Score

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

at Duke Florida Atlantic Liberty

Army Oklahoma Hawaii

UCLAat Iowa St

at Oklahoma Rush Off Army West Pointat Buffalo Pass Off Baylor Bye

Sks Allowed at TCUat Eastern Michigan Rush Def

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-1TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM

CONF

Kansas St Air Force Pass Def at Texas Tech Lafayette Total Def Oklahoma St Colgate Score Def Kansas Bye Sks By

Oklahoma By 35.3

Oklahoma 49-17Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

3.70Las Vegas Line

Oklahoma By 31.5

63 Points

+/- Ratings

Oklahoma Leaders

12.46

Oklahoma Pts

Army ST's

Army DB's2.62

Oklahoma QB/WR

† Texas† San Jose St Score Off Bye Miami, OH

1.77

Army Pts

49 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

Black Knights Logs

Army Black Knights

1.22

Army RB's

Oklahoma LB's

Passing Rushing Receiving

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. IND vs. BIG 12

Oklahoma by 31 Oklahoma 48 Army 17By 10.69 Points

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

ReceivingRushing

After winning the first meeting in 1946, Army lost the last two in ‘59 & ‘61. Army is 8-16 vs current Big12 foes (last win ‘06 over Baylor). The last time the Sooners played a service academy was vs Air Force here in 2010 and they only won 27-24. OU held Tulane’s option to 3.8 ypc last year. The Sooners enter off of their revenge win at ISU & were victimized through the air as they held RB David Montgomery to just 82 (3.9). Army enters off a win over Hawai’i but are just #104 in our pass eff D rankings & allowed Rainbow Warrior QB Cole McDonald to throw for 321 (63%). OU QB Kyler Murray is completing 67% w/a 8-1 ratio. Still, OU is in a B12 sandwich and I don’t see them piling it on against a service academy.

Oklahoma ST's

Game GradeOklahoma By 30.3

Oklahoma 623-308

Team Schedule Strength Oklahoma80 Army Oklahoma

42 yards Army

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:82

Projected Rushing

17 points Army

Oklahoma 67

Projected Passing

0.50382 yards Army Coaches

0.05

Army K

Oklahoma K

Oklahoma Coaches

241 yards

Total Off

Army

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Projected Yardage Total

Army

Page 42: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 88 9/1 30-26 W 85 56 117 125 102 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 118 #25 #8 9/2 33-17 W 41 9 78 22 7 661-0 0-0 102 9/8 54-17 W 84 59 117 1-0 0-0 119 #11 9/8 31-0 W 45 8 782-0 0-0 103 9/15 48 61 126 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 121 #12 #7 9/15 22-21 W 51 8 56 18 10 662-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 103 120 #6 9/22 46 65 127 57 5 52 #40 #92 3-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 120 103 #6 9/22 57 5 52 46 65 127

3-0 0-0 105 9/29 83 63 7 #19 #105 2-1 0-1 109 9/29 15 77 1182-1 0-0 100 10/6 73 97 85 #17 #111 2-1 0-1 115 10/6 24 23 570-3 0-0 84 10/13 130 117 33 #27 #80 3-0 1-0 133 10/13 2 18 210-3 0-0 78 10/20 125 126 105 #60 #60 3-0 0-0 125 10/20 8 7 382-1 0-0 104 10/27 48 64 97 #61 #18 10/273-0 0-0 125 11/3 8 7 38 #14 #67 3-0 1-0 140 11/3 1 1 310-0 0-0 79 11/10 109 127 27 #20 #29 1-2 0-0 98 11/10 47 54 631-1 0-0 91 11/17 95 93 15 #51 #13 0-0 0-0 79 11/17 109 127 270-3 0-0 88 11/24 124 85 98 #38 #12 2-1 0-0 120 11/24 6 30 8

#12 #76+1 +7

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at South Alabama 30-26 132 7 1 22 48-231 4.8 19-29 209 3 15 43-217 5.0 11-23 91 2 † Miami, Fl 33-17 -46 -1 2 17 41-156 3.8 11-24 140 2 18 34-83 2.4 15-35 259 4 Southern 54-17 327 15 0 32 33-186 5.6 27-42 427 2 17 40-70 1.8 18-25 216 5 SE Louisiana 31-0 81 -3 3 15 35-184 5.3 10-20 151 2 18 42-65 1.5 23-34 189 5 Bye at Auburn 22-21 42 2 2 21 42-121 2.9 15-35 249 1 19 38-130 3.4 16-28 198 1at LSU Louisiana Techat North Texas Mississippi UAB at Floridaat UTSA Georgia UTEP Miss Stat Florida Atlantic Byeat Miss St Alabama Rice at Arkansasat Southern Miss Rice WKU at Texas A&M

Average 42-22 229.5 11.0 0.5 27 41-209 5.1 64.8% 318 7.0% 16 42-144 3.5 60.4% 154 14.6% Average 29-13 25.7 -0.7 2.3 18 39-154 3.9 45.6% 180 6.3% 18 38-93 2.4 55.7% 215 10.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 22-21 42.0 2.0 2.0 21 42-121 2.9 42.9% 249 2.9% 19 38-130 3.4 57.1% 198 3.6% Away 30-26 132.0 7.0 1.0 22 48-231 4.8 65.5% 209 10.3% 15 43-217 5.0 47.8% 91 8.7% Home 31-0 81.0 -3.0 3.0 15 35-184 5.3 50.0% 151 10.0% 18 42-65 1.5 67.6% 189 14.7%

at South Alabama J'Mar Smith 19-29-209-2-3 Jaqwis Dancy 15-144-9.6-2 Adrian Hardy 3-73-24.3-1 † Miami, Fl Joe Burrow 11-24-140-0-0 Nick Brossette 22-125-5.7-2 Justin Jefferson 5-81-16.2-0 Southern J'Mar Smith 24-37-380-2-0 Jaqwis Dancy 5-67-13.4-2 Adrian Hardy 6-111-18.5-0 SE Louisiana Joe Burrow 10-20-151-2-0 Nick Brossette 19-137-7.2-0 Stephen Sullivan 2-54-27.0-1 Bye vs. at Auburn Joe Burrow 15-34-249-1-0 Nick Brossette 19-69-3.6-0 Justin Jefferson 5-97-19.4-0at LSU Louisiana Techat North Texas Mississippi UAB vs. at Floridaat UTSA Georgia UTEP Miss Stat Florida Atlantic vs. Byeat Miss St Alabama Rice at Arkansasat Southern Miss vs. Rice WKU at Texas A&M

vs.

J'Mar Smith 43-66-589-4-3 Jaqwis Dancy 20-211-10.6-4 Adrian Hardy 9-184-20.4-1 Joe Burrow 36-78-540-3-0 Nick Brossette 60-331-5.5-2 Justin Jefferson 11-183-16.6-0Aaron Allen 3-5-47-1-0 Israel Tucker 25-98-3.9-1 Rhashid Bonnette 11-155-14.1-1 vs. Zach Von Rosenberg 0-1-0-0-0 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 26-72-2.8-2 Derrick Dillon 1-71-71.0-1

J'Mar Smith 13-62-4.8-1 Teddy Veal 7-126-18.0-0 Joe Burrow 22-56-2.5-1 Stephen Sullivan 4-66-16.5-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

LA T

ech

Bu

lldog

s

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Score

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineLast met in 2009. LT only had 11 ret starters last year and is up to 15 this year and are 2-0 and fresh off a bye. Holtz is 6-3 ATS his last 9 vs P5 schools and last year lost at South Carolina by 1 and in ‘16 at Arkansas by 1. LSU is in an SEC sandwich after their big upset win over Auburn and with Ole Miss on deck. QB Joe Burrow has completed just 46%, which has been enough to lead the Tigers to a 3-0 start. LT is fresh off a bye, having won easily over an FCS foe the week prior. Burrow won’t have an easy time with an LT secondary who returned 7 of their top 9 including Amik Robertson who was 1st tm All-CUSA as a true frosh LY. LSU has allowed just 93 (2.4) rush ypg, having faced much stiffer competition. Despite the knocks on HC Orgeron, LSU has actually covered their last 9 reg ssn FBS games. LT is 10-3 as an AD and has a significant experience edge (#10 vs #129). Two weeks ago vs SEL in a similar sandwich LSU’s longest TD drive the first 3Q’s was 42 yds and they got a Hail Mary TD at the end of the half and scored a TD with 2:00 left to total 31 points. This is a night game in Death Valley and the fans should be pumped up after those two upsets’ but I like the dog here.

LSU ST's Lsu By 21

50.5 Points

LA Tech DB's0.49

LSU QB/WRLSU Leaders

LA Tech K

Team & Margin

Lsu By 22.0

428 yards

+/- RatingsLSU K

Game Grade

at Florida Atlantic Rush Def Byeat Miss St Pass Def Alabama Rice Total Def at Arkansasat Southern Miss Score Def Rice WKU Sks By at Texas A&M

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

LSU

Tig

ers

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

LA Tech QB/WR0.78

LA Tech ST's

2.81

2018 TEAM RANKINGS † Miami, Flat South Alabama

APTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

0-0 1-0TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM

Tigers Logs

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: LSU Tigers2-0 3-0

LA Tech LB'S0.30

LSU RB's

1.26

22

SouthernLA Tech LSU

SE Louisiana Bye

Passing Rushing

Defense

Score

vs. CUSABulldogs LogsTM

CONF--PS RANK-- FOE

TM REC FOE REC

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. SEC

at Auburn

LSU DL

LA Tech LSUPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

LA Tech RB's1.21

LSU LB'sLA Tech OL

0.78

at UTSA Score Off Georgia UAB

UTEP Sks Allowed Miss St

Rush Off Louisiana Techat North Texas Pass Off Mississippiat LSU

Total Off at Florida

Receiving

LSU DB's

Rushing Receiving

LA Tech Bulldogs

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

LA Tech Leaders

233 yards

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

LA Tech Coaches

Lsu 428-290

Projected Final Score0.50

Computer YardsLA Tech Pts

8.29

LSU Pts

229 yards

Lsu By 20.8

Las Vegas Total

290 yards LA Tech LSU Coaches

LA Tech

Projected Yardage TotalLSU 195 yards

0.50

61 yards LA Tech

Projected Passing

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

LA Tech DL0.66

LSU OL

LSU

LSU 31 Louisiana Tech 17By 7.79 Points

LSU

Lsu 35-12Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

Phil SteeleLsu by 14

12921 LA Tech LSU

Team Schedule Strength125 LA Tech LSU

LSU

LSU

12 points LA Tech 35 points

Experience Rankings

Page 43: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 96 9/1 23-26 L 105 91 86 0-0 0-0 113 9/1 55-27 W 45 78 230-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 94 92 9/8 31-7 W 106 94 86 115 82 106 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 111 81 9/8 37-20 W 36 79 23 130 104 381-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 99 95 9/15 55-14 W 111 82 99 110 63 80 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 120 9/15 27-40 L 27 81 21 85 21 1012-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/22 89 80 100 27 79 14 #34 #73 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 108 103 9/22 27 79 14 89 80 100

3-0 0-0 124 9/29 65 32 46 #115 #15 3-0 1-0 131 9/29 4 31 422-0 0-0 116 10/6 10 69 51 #90 #25 2-1 0-0 110 10/6 63 43 12

10/13 #49 #34 2-1 0-0 117 10/13 30 24 752-1 0-0 111 10/20 26 47 28 #90 #60 10/202-1 0-0 117 10/27 53 3 10 #66 #89 2-0 0-0 116 10/27 10 69 510-0 0-0 115 11/3 70 41 125 #13 #49 3-0 0-0 124 11/3 65 32 460-0 0-0 110 11/10 63 43 12 #15 #70 0-0 0-0 115 11/10 70 41 1253-0 1-0 131 11/17 4 31 42 #24 #90 2-1 0-0 117 11/17 53 3 102-1 0-0 117 11/23 30 24 75 #119 #68 2-1 0-0 111 11/24 26 47 28

#50 #36+12 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Nicholls 23-26 -74 -3 0 14 32-56 1.8 21-38 199 6 17 50-187 3.7 12-24 142 1 Abilene Christian 55-27 140 7 0 26 36-295 8.2 18-28 311 0 19 27-220 8.1 27-40 246 1at Central Michigan 31-7 81 8 6 20 45-216 4.8 18-27 145 1 12 28-103 3.7 18-32 177 1 at UTSA 37-20 239 10 0 26 31-91 2.9 27-41 403 3 16 26-98 3.8 18-33 157 4 Rutgers 55-14 270 8 6 22 48-400 8.3 15-25 144 0 14 33-150 4.5 14-31 124 0 Duke 27-40 1 1 -2 21 32-130 4.1 24-42 270 2 20 44-225 5.1 12-30 174 0at Baylor Kansas Oklahoma St at Oklahomaat West Virginia Kansas St Bye at Texasat Texas Tech Bye TCU at West Virginia Iowa St Oklahoma Stat Kansas St at Iowa Stat Oklahoma TCU Texas † Texas Tech

Average 36-16 92.3 4.3 4.0 19 42-224 5.4 60.0% 163 7.8% 14 37-147 4.0 50.6% 148 2.3% Average 40-29 126.7 6.0 -0.7 24 33-172 5.2 62.2% 328 4.5% 18 32-181 5.6 55.3% 192 4.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 31-7 81.0 8.0 6.0 20 45-216 4.8 66.7% 145 3.7% 12 28-103 3.7 56.3% 177 3.1% Home 41-34 70.5 4.0 -1.0 24 34-213 6.3 60.0% 291 2.9% 20 36-223 6.3 55.7% 210 1.4%

Nicholls Peyton Bender 19-35-187-2-0 Khalil Herbert 12-61-5.1-0 Kerr Johnson 3-54-18.0-1 Abilene Christian Jalan McClendon 10-13-173-2-0 John Lovett 12-115-9.6-3 Denzel Mims 3-80-26.7-0at Central Michigan Peyton Bender 17-26-130-1-0 Pooka Williams 14-125-8.9-2 Kerr Johnson 4-68-17.0-1 at UTSA Charlie Brewer 23-34-328-3-0 John Lovett 9-47-5.2-0 Jalen Hurd 8-136-17.0-1 Rutgers Peyton Bender 8-12-73-0-0 Pooka Williams 18-158-8.8-1 Jeremiah Booker 3-32-10.7-1 vs. Duke Charlie Brewer 14-26-175-0-0 Jalan McClendon 10-51-5.1-0 Tyquan Thornton 3-92-30.7-1at Baylor Kansas Oklahoma St at Oklahomaat West Virginia vs. Kansas St Bye at Texasat Texas Tech Bye TCU vs. at West Virginia Iowa St Oklahoma Stat Kansas St at Iowa Stat Oklahoma vs. TCU Texas † Texas Tech

vs.

Peyton Bender 44-73-390-3-0 Pooka Williams 32-283-8.8-3 Kerr Johnson 10-147-14.7-2 Charlie Brewer 45-75-641-3-1 John Lovett 26-174-6.7-3 Jalen Hurd 18-251-13.9-2Miles Kendrick 9-15-93-1-0 Khalil Herbert 23-154-6.7-1 Steven Sims 10-81-8.1-1 vs. Jalan McClendon 23-35-307-3-1 JaMycal Hasty 24-122-5.1-3 Denzel Mims 11-213-19.4-1Carter Stanley 1-1-5-0-0 Dom Williams 25-106-4.2-0 Stephon Robinson 5-59-11.8-0 Jared Atkinson 1-1-36-0-0 Charlie Brewer 17-69-4.1-2 Chris Platt 9-118-13.1-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 61 9 15 33-126

Baylor - -7.5 38 20 39-120 22016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 67 7 15 48-83

Baylor 11 -34 49 20 49-246 42015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 76 7 14 39-69

Baylor 3 -46 66 34 45-281 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 61 14 12 27-16

Baylor 12 -35.5 60 30 52-326 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Kansas - 64.5 14 16 50-154

Baylor 6 -35 59 31 44-306 -1

Net Offense Defense

Kan

sas

Jayh

awks

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Kansas QB/WR0.09

Baylor DB's

0.81

Kansas RB's

Baylor LB's

Kansas BaylorRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

at Kansas St Total Def at Iowa St

Bay

lor

Bea

rs

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Rush Off Kansas Oklahoma St Pass Off at Oklahomaat Baylor

Total Off Kansas St Bye Score Off at Texasat West Virginia

TCU

Iowa St

Sks Allowed Bye TCU

Score Def

TM REC FOE REC

vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL: Baylor Bears2-1 2-1

Kansas DB's

0.16

Kansas OL

Baylor DLKansas DL

at West Virginiaat Texas Tech

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Abilene Christianat Central Michigan

Kansas Baylorat UTSA

Rutgers Duke

Nicholls

Oklahoma St

Kansas Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

35 points

Game Grade0.80

Kansas Baylor Baylor 499-378

+/- Ratings

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Kansas LB'S0.57

Baylor RB's

Baylor Leaders

Kansas ST's1.53

Baylor OL

Phil's Forecast:

The home team is 12-5. Last year Baylor won their 8th straight vs Kansas (8-0 SU and ATS) and in fact Baylor was on a 2-17 regular season run heading into this year and the only two wins in that stretch were both vs Kansas. The average score, the last 5 years has been 54-10. These are the 2 most experienced teams in the Big 12 and prior to last year Baylor had been 33-5 at the home the previous 6 years. KU is 14-29-2 ATS as an AD the last 10 years and their win over Central Michigan two weeks ago ended a 49-game road losing streak (now 1-49). It appeared Charlie Brewer won the QB job after taking a majority of the snaps in their win at UTSA, but Jalan McClendon again was needed LW. KU has won B2B game vs FBS foes for the 1st time since 2009. The Jayhawks finished +6 in TO’s in EACH of their last two games & RB Pooka Williams ran for 158 (8.8) as KU finished with 400 (7.5) rush yds vs Rutgers. This is a must win for Baylor and they will take Kansas seriously.

Baylor ST's

58 Points

Team & Margin

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

0.73

Rush Def

vs. BIG 12

Sks By

Baylor Coaches

Computer Yards

Kansas Coaches

Kansas K

13-27-134

24-30-335

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Baylor

1.34

Baylor QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Baylor K0.65

Las Vegas Total

--PS RANK--

Bears LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

† Texas Tech

Pass Def

Baylor By 7.5

Baylor 38 Kansas 24By 4.74 Points

Phil Steele102 Kansas Baylor 112

AP

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds 186 yards Kansas 161 yards

Projected Passing

32 pointsProjected Final Score

0.97

Kansas Pts5.72

Experience Rankings Baylor PtsComputer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO: Baylor 35-32

Kansas Baylor 499 yards

338 yards

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength Baylor

378 yards

Baylor By 9.0

Kansas By 2.0

1 Kansas 15

Baylor by 1411-33-154

192 yards BaylorKansasProjected Yardage Total

21-30-288

20-36-158

at Oklahoma

Comp-Att-Yds

19-36-163

Comp-Att-Yds

13-30-207

Texas

Baylor

Kansas JayhawksJayhawks Logs

21-36-343

27-37-363

Comp-Att-Yds

21-38-437

Page 44: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 87 9/1 49-15 W 28 27 16 128 129 88 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 103 9/1 35-7 W 66 80 109 50 71 1181-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 130 #24 #3 9/8 17-41 L 24 27 16 1 19 9 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 105 106 9/8 41-10 W 68 72 109 90 83 791-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 115 103 9/15 32 33 16 79 27 71 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 109 119 #8 9/15 17-22 L 53 51 87 21 15 751-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 115 110 9/22 29 42 17 61 40 92 #84 #89 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 110 115 9/22 61 40 92 29 42 17

3-0 1-0 107 9/29 59 36 107 #36 #52 9/293-0 0-0 116 10/6 12 59 5 #52 #73 3-0 1-0 133 10/6 2 18 212-1 0-0 120 10/13 6 30 8 #60 #73 2-1 0-1 115 10/13 24 23 57

10/20 #12 #21 3-0 1-0 107 10/20 59 36 1071-2 0-0 100 10/27 58 29 72 #102 #49 1-2 0-0 98 10/27 47 54 632-1 0-1 109 11/3 15 77 118 #18 #35 11/32-1 0-1 115 11/10 24 23 57 #56 #29 3-0 0-0 116 11/10 12 59 5

11/17 #85 #14 2-1 0-1 109 11/17 15 77 1183-0 0-0 129 11/24 14 4 60 #68 #21 1-2 0-0 100 11/24 58 29 72

#51 #480 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Coastal Carolina 49-15 319 12 1 32 38-263 6.9 25-35 294 1 20 39-126 3.2 13-18 112 3 Middle Tennessee 35-7 52 -2 2 19 38-176 4.6 10-17 170 1 21 36-116 3.2 24-37 178 6 Georgia 17-41 -137 -11 -1 19 20-54 2.7 31-48 282 1 30 52-271 5.2 16-19 202 2 Nevada 41-10 218 11 2 25 39-198 5.1 24-34 270 1 14 25-34 1.4 22-39 216 3 Marshall at Notre Dame 17-22 40 -1 -3 23 27-94 3.5 26-43 326 1 24 48-245 5.1 16-26 135 0at Vanderbilt South Carolinaat Kentucky Tennessee St Missouri at Georgia Texas A&M Florida Bye at Kentucky Tennessee at Arkansasat Mississippi Byeat Florida at Missouri Chattanooga Mississippiat Clemson Tennessee

Average 33-28 91.0 0.5 0.0 26 29-159 5.5 67.5% 288 2.4% 25 46-199 4.4 78.4% 157 13.5% Average 31-13 103.3 2.7 0.3 22 35-156 4.5 63.8% 255 3.2% 20 36-132 3.6 60.8% 176 8.8% Conference 17-41 -137.0 -11.0 -1.0 19 20-54 2.7 64.6% 282 2.1% 30 52-271 5.2 84.2% 202 10.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 38-9 135.0 4.5 2.0 22 39-187 4.9 66.7% 220 3.9% 18 31-75 2.5 60.5% 197 11.8%

Coastal Carolina Jake Bentley 22-29-250-4-0 Rico Dowdle 15-105-7.0-1 Shi Smith 4-61-15.3-0 Middle Tennessee Kyle Shurmer 10-17-170-2-0 Jamauri Wakefield 10-56-5.6-1 Kalija Lipscomb 4-60-15.0-1 Georgia Jake Bentley 30-47-269-1-2 Ty'Son Williams 6-26-4.3-0 Bryan Edwards 7-111-15.9-2 Nevada Kyle Shurmer 23-32-258-2-0 Ke'Shawn Vaughn 11-93-8.5-2 Jared Pinkney 4-98-24.5-0 Marshall vs. at Notre Dame Kyle Shurmer 26-43-326-1-1 Ke'Shawn Vaughn 10-54-5.4-1 Jared Pinkney 5-111-22.2-1at Vanderbilt South Carolinaat Kentucky Tennessee St Missouri vs. at Georgia Texas A&M Florida Bye at Kentucky Tennessee vs. at Arkansasat Mississippi Byeat Florida at Missouri Chattanooga vs. Mississippiat Clemson Tennessee

vs.

Jake Bentley 52-76-519-5-2 Rico Dowdle 22-123-5.6-1 Bryan Edwards 11-164-14.9-3 Kyle Shurmer 59-92-754-5-1 Ke'Shawn Vaughn 30-184-6.1-3 Jared Pinkney 12-241-20.1-1Michael Scarnecchia 3-6-44-1-0 Ty'Son Williams 17-108-6.4-1 Deebo Samuel 13-89-6.8-1 vs. Mo Hasan 1-2-12-0-0 Khari Blasingame 28-129-4.6-1 Kalija Lipscomb 25-234-9.4-3Deebo Samuel 1-1-13-1-0 Slade Carroll 4-46-11.5-0 Shi Smith 6-72-12.0-0 Jamauri Wakefield 20-108-5.4-1 Donaven Tennyson 3-82-27.3-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina - -6.5 34 26 37-212

Vanderbilt - 44.5 27 27 23-107 -12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina - 42 13 14 32-121

Vanderbilt - -4 10 14 42-169 22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina - -1.5 19 17 37-152

Vanderbilt - 43.5 10 20 35-155 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina 14 -21.5 48 24 34-212

Vanderbilt - 52.5 34 18 30-156 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

South Carolina 13 -13.5 35 31 49-220

Vanderbilt - 49.5 25 14 33-121 1

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Sou

th C

arol

ina

Gam

ecoc

ks

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Van

der

bilt

Com

mod

ores

Net Offense

Experience Rankings

S Carolina by 6 South Carolina 23 Vanderbilt 17By 3.64 Points

Phil Steele

55POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

at Kentucky Pass Off

Passing

0.09

South Carolina QB/WR

Vanderbilt DB's

0.20

South Carolina RB's

Vanderbilt LB's

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

12-22-147

Comp-Att-Yds

0.95Vanderbilt 269 yards South Carolina Coaches

South Carolina 391 yards

Vanderbilt Leaders

27-49-333 South Carolina K

1.66

South Carolina ST's

22-34-23727 points

Sks Allowed at Kentucky Tennessee Rush Def at Arkansas

Total Off at Georgia Texas A&M Score Off Florida

Score Def Mississippiat Clemson Sks By Tennessee

Pass Def Byeat Florida Total Def at Missouri

FOE REC

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Middle Tennessee Georgia

South Carolina Vanderbilt Nevada

Marshall at Notre Dame

Coastal Carolina

OVERALL: OVERALL: Vanderbilt Commodores1-1 2-1vs. SEC

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE

RECFOE--PS RANK--

vs. SEC

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-1 0-0Gamecocks Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK--AP

Commodores Logs

Missouri

Rush Off South Carolina Tennessee St

at Vanderbilt

Receiving

South Carolina VanderbiltRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.17

South Carolina LB'S

Vanderbilt RB's

0.17

21-42-177

Comp-Att-Yds

17-29-272

Comp-Att-Yds

Vanderbilt

0.46

South Carolina OL

Vanderbilt DL

0.17

South Carolina DL

Vanderbilt OL

3.81

South Carolina Pts

21 points South Carolina

Game Grade357 yards Vanderbilt Coaches

Phil's Forecast:

SC has won 9 in a row in the series by 9 ppg. Last year the ‘Dores trailed 14-13 then allowed a 75/5 TD drive & an 8 yd FG drive before HT. VU cut deficit to 34-27 w/4:50 left. They were SOD at the SC 40 on their last drive. LTH was the tale of two halves. VU led 10-0 at HT with a 106-63 yard edge while SC pulled the 2H shutout 13-0 outgained VU 215-123 (SC GW 55 yd FG w/:35 left). Muschamp is 3-5 SU on the SEC road and only once has won by more than 6 but last year Vandy was 0-4 at home in SEC play with the crowds split in some and they lost by 35.3 ppg! Scar is off an unexpected bye while Vandy trailed ND 16-0 in the 2Q but had the ball down 5 at the end. Muschamp is 7-2 ATS on the road vs SEC but this is the first time he has been favored. My computer has Vandy winning this 27-21 but I will call for South Carolina to grab an important road win and I look for a low scoring game with Vandy holding foes to 106 ypg below their season average and SC’s D is allowing 152 ypg less.

138 yards South CarolinaProjected Passing Vanderbilt K

0.11

Vanderbilt ST's

Vanderbilt By 6.7Projected Yardage Total

54.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineS Carolina By 2

+/- RatingsS Carolina By 1.8

South Carolina Leaders

South Carolina DB's

Vanderbilt QB/WR

19-29-174

Vanderbilt PtsVanderbilt 27-21

TM CONF

FOE CONF

122 yards

South Carolina

Bye

at Mississippi

Chattanooga

Comp-Att-Yds

16-30-187

219 yards

Team Schedule Strength28 South Carolina Vanderbilt 20

South Carolina

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

VanderbiltProjected Rushing

26 South Carolina Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt 391-3570.17Computer Yards

Computer Points

VanderbiltProjected Final Score

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

28-38-359

South Carolina Gamecocks

FOE

8-23-73

15-25-223

Page 45: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 88 104 9/1 26-30 L 125 102 45 85 56 117 0-0 0-0 115 9/1 66-14 W 37 76 50-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 89 118 9/8 13-55 L 126 103 45 30 43 46 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 119 104 9/8 21-22 L 29 81 5 52 107 600-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 87 75 9/15 41-31 W 129 100 68 126 121 124 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 116 89 9/14 59-22 W 23 79 20 121 118 1231-2 2-1 1-0 0-1 86 117 9/22 129 98 65 16 81 19 #98 #4 2-1 1-2 0-1 1-0 117 86 9/22 16 81 19 129 98 65

1-1 0-0 107 9/29 90 58 29 #114 #39 1-2 0-0 100 9/28 43 99 642-1 0-0 99 10/6 92 90 50 #121 #4 1-2 0-1 84 10/6 122 130 76

10/13 #89 #13 2-0 1-0 112 10/13 19 83 6210/20 #60 #12 3-0 0-0 116 10/20 12 59 5

2-1 0-0 103 10/27 99 70 26 #91 #79 10/272-1 0-0 101 11/3 33 94 55 #111 #2 1-1 0-0 92 11/3 108 112 1082-1 0-0 93 11/10 100 119 61 #114 #10 1-2 0-0 98 11/10 104 115 1091-1 0-0 86 11/17 76 114 113 #116 #39 0-3 0-0 92 11/16 102 102 1232-1 0-0 89 11/24 120 128 91 #12 #38 2-1 0-0 107 11/23 42 57 43

#122 #1+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Louisiana Tech 26-30 -132 -7 -1 15 43-217 5.0 11-23 91 2 22 48-231 4.8 19-29 209 3 Mercer 66-14 575 24 1 32 47-324 6.9 28-39 428 0 8 24-60 2.5 14-27 117 4at Oklahoma St 13-55 -403 -17 2 15 37-78 2.1 17-34 136 3 32 44-164 3.7 26-42 453 4 at Navy 21-22 62 -6 -3 14 24-233 9.7 15-25 145 1 20 73-264 3.6 4-6 52 1 Texas St 41-31 10 -7 0 13 27-116 4.3 24-33 266 0 20 52-158 3.0 17-32 214 3 Georgia St 59-22 367 5 0 27 35-410 11.7 19-27 269 1 22 43-173 4.0 19-34 139 2at Memphis South Alabamaat Appalachian St at Tulane at GA Southern Connecticut Alabama St UCF Bye at Missouri Troy Byeat Arkansas St East Carolina ULM Tulsaat Louisiana at SMU Coastal Carolina Houston

Average 27-39 -175.0 -10.3 0.3 14 36-137 3.8 57.8% 164 5.6% 25 48-184 3.8 60.2% 292 9.7% Average 49-19 334.7 7.7 -0.7 24 35-322 9.1 68.1% 281 2.2% 17 47-166 3.6 55.2% 103 10.4% Conference 41-31 10.0 -7.0 0.0 13 27-116 4.3 72.7% 266 0.0% 20 52-158 3.0 53.1% 214 9.4% Conference 21-22 62.0 -6.0 -3.0 14 24-233 9.7 60.0% 145 4.0% 20 73-264 3.6 66.7% 52 16.7% Away 13-55 -403.0 -17.0 2.0 15 37-78 2.1 50.0% 136 8.8% 32 44-164 3.7 61.9% 453 9.5% Home 63-18 471.0 14.5 0.5 30 41-367 9.0 71.2% 349 1.5% 15 34-117 3.5 54.1% 128 9.8%

Louisiana Tech Cole Garvin 7-16-47-1-2 Evan Orth 2-74-37.0-0 Jamarius Way 2-31-15.5-0 Mercer Brady White 22-28-358-5-0 Calvin Austin 1-83-83.0-1 Damonte Coxie 4-79-19.8-1at Oklahoma St Evan Orth 14-25-119-1-1 Kawaan Baker 7-40-5.7-1 Jamarius Way 5-48-9.6-0 at Navy Brady White 15-25-145-0-1 Darrell Henderson 13-212-16.3-3 John Williams 4-42-10.5-0 Texas St Evan Orth 24-33-266-2-0 Tra Minter 9-61-6.8-2 Jamarius Way 11-173-15.7-1 vs. Georgia St Brady White 19-26-269-5-0 Darrell Henderson 14-233-16.6-2 Damonte Coxie 6-123-20.5-2at Memphis South Alabamaat Appalachian St at Tulane at GA Southern vs. Connecticut Alabama St UCF Bye at Missouri Troy vs. Byeat Arkansas St East Carolina ULM Tulsaat Louisiana vs. at SMU Coastal Carolina Houston

vs.

Evan Orth 42-64-429-3-1 Evan Orth 11-104-9.5-0 Jamarius Way 18-252-14.0-1 Brady White 56-79-772-10-1 Darrell Henderson 36-521-14.5-6 Damonte Coxie 15-240-16.0-3Cole Garvin 10-22-64-1-2 Kawaan Baker 16-101-6.3-3 Jordan McCray 9-64-7.1-1 vs. Brady McBride 6-11-70-0-1 Patrick Taylor 21-95-4.5-1 Patrick Taylor 5-118-23.6-1Cephus Johnson 0-4-0-0-0 Tra Minter 33-85-2.6-2 Kawaan Baker 8-48-6.0-2 Connor Adair 0-1-0-0-0 Kenny Gainwell 4-91-22.8-1 Darrell Henderson 4-90-22.5-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Louisiana

Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Sou

th A

lab

ama

Jag

uar

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mem

ph

is T

iger

s

Net

1.60

Memphis 578-238

Memphis 46-16

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Memphis Leaders

Team & Margin

Memphis By 37.0

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

South Alabama LB'S

2.81

Memphis RB'sSouth Alabama DB's

1.57

Las Vegas Line

First meeting. Memphis has won 12 straight non-conference home games by an average score of 45-16. Included in those wins are victories over Power Five schools Ole Miss, Kansas and UCLA. Memphis is off Navy, a Friday Night game and has a Friday Night game at Tulane and the option on deck so this is the least important game in a four week span. SAla is 6-12 ATS as an AD and gave up 617 yards to Oklahoma St two weeks ago in a 55-13 loss and Memphis is just as potent. Arizona St transfer Brady White has thrived in HC Mike Norvell’s system hitting 71% with a 10-1 ratio. RB Darrell Henderson is averaging 14.5 ypc with 521 yards on the ground in just 3 games. The Memphis D has held all 3 foes to season lows and 112 ypg below their season averages. Texas St led SALa 31-23 4Q last week. Memphis is +335 ypg and SAla is -175 ypg. Memphis has covered 7 in a row as a double-digit favorite.

Memphis ST's Memphis By 29

0.41

South Alabama Coaches

Memphis Coaches

Experience RankingsComputer Points

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

South Alabama OL

0.78

Memphis DLSouth Alabama DL

Tulsa

1.21

Memphis OL

South Alabama QB/WR

0.20

Memphis DB'sSouth Alabama RB's

1.80

Memphis LB's

South Alabama Memphis

Bye Sks Allowed at Missouri Troy Rush Def Bye

Score Def at SMU Coastal Carolina Sks By Houston

at Arkansas St Pass Def East Carolina ULM Total Def

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Oklahoma StSouth Alabama Memphis

at Navy Texas St Georgia St

Rush Off South Alabamaat Appalachian St Pass Off at Tulane at Memphis

Total Off Connecticut Alabama St Score Off UCFat GA Southern

Tigers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Memphis Tigers1-2 2-1vs. SUN vs. AAC

South Alabama Jaguars

--PS RANK--TM +/-

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

TEAM

FOE

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS1-0 0-1

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOEFOE +/-

AP

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Mercer Louisiana Tech

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

Computer YardsMemphis 46 points

Projected Final Score1.14

Projected Passing

Game Grade

149 yards South Alabama

Memphis Pts

Projected Yardage Total238 yards South Alabama Memphis 578 yards

283 yardsMemphis K

South Alabama K

+/- RatingsMemphis 296 yards

16 points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

South Alabama LeadersMemphis QB/WR

Memphis by 35 Memphis 48 South Alabama 13By 9.24 Points

Memphis Phil SteeleSouth Alabama Memphis 119

103 Memphis 65South AlabamaTeam Schedule Strength

South Alabama

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 1.14

South Alabama ST's

48

South Alabama Pts

10.39

69 Points

Memphis By 34.8

Memphis

Jaguars Logs

88 yards South AlabamaProjected Rushing

TEAM --PS RANK--

Page 46: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 100 9/1 38-0 W 84 101 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 125 #11 8/31 31-38 L 95 65 4 26 13 611-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 106 9/8 27-33 L 86 95 49 33 28 91 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 106 84 9/8 60-13 W 97 66 4 128 83 1221-1 0-0 105 9/15 73 94 46 1-1 0-0 110 9/15 77-12 W 99 50 11-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 105 112 9/22 84 95 44 86 45 1 #14 #43 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 105 9/22 86 45 1 84 95 44

2-1 0-0 101 9/29 98 78 37 #126 #49 9/292-1 1-0 106 10/6 39 109 87 #98 #40 2-1 2-1 109 10/6 79 48 902-1 0-0 101 10/13 103 46 49 #64 #4 2-1 0-0 96 10/13 62 106 1162-1 0-0 96 10/19 62 106 116 #4 #60 2-2 0-0 96 #REF! 10/20 117 55 582-1 0-0 118 10/27 35 49 45 #2 #60 2-1 0-0 92 10/27 66 121 1122-1 0-0 101 11/3 74 92 39 #100 #38 3-1 1-0 88 11/3 114 123 962-1 0-0 92 11/10 66 121 112 #22 #36 0-3 0-0 82 11/10 127 111 1042-2 0-0 96 11/17 117 55 58 #30 #47 1-3 0-1 87 11/17 93 118 401-3 0-1 87 11/24 93 118 40 #104 #21 2-1 0-0 118 11/24 35 49 45

#59 #310 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Stony Brook 38-0 287 19 0 23 77-333 4.3 2-8 29 0 4 30-30 1.0 7-20 45 2 at Michigan St 31-38 -108 -1 0 22 25-25 1.0 29-44 319 2 23 4-165 41.3 23-33 287 3at Florida Atlantic 27-33 -152 -6 0 19 56-209 3.7 8-13 164 1 25 29-54 1.9 33-40 471 1 New Mexico St 60-13 166 2 3 22 46-274 6.0 17-31 172 3 20 45-109 2.4 20-37 171 5 Bye Tennessee Tech 73-12 384 19 0 31 42-320 7.6 30-35 291 0 12 43-152 3.5 8-24 75 1at Utah St Air Force Nevada Bye Navy at BYUat San Diego St UNLVat UNLV at Wyoming Boise St New Mexicoat Army West Point at Hawaii New Mexico San Jose Stat Wyoming at Colorado St Colorado St at Boise St

Average 33-17 67.5 6.5 0.0 21 67-271 4.1 47.6% 97 4.8% 15 30-42 1.4 66.7% 258 5.0% Average 55-21 147.3 6.7 1.0 25 38-206 5.5 69.1% 261 4.5% 18 31-142 4.6 54.3% 178 9.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 27-33 -152.0 -6.0 0.0 19 56-209 3.7 61.5% 164 7.7% 25 29-54 1.9 82.5% 471 2.5% Home 67-13 275.0 10.5 1.5 27 44-297 6.8 71.2% 232 4.5% 16 44-131 3.0 45.9% 123 9.8%

Stony Brook Arion Worthman 2-8-29-0-0 Joseph Saucier 10-71-7.1-0 Marcus Bennett 1-25-25.0-0 at Michigan St Jordan Love 29-44-319-0-2 Darwin Thompson 10-28-2.8-2 Dax Raymond 7-76-10.9-0at Florida Atlantic Isaiah Sanders 8-13-164-1-1 Cole Fagan 16-80-5.0-0 Marcus Bennett 2-87-43.5-0 New Mexico St Jordan Love 14-27-159-1-1 Gerold Bright 14-134-9.6-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 5-41-8.2-0 Bye vs. Tennessee Tech Jordan Love 21-26-236-2-0 Darwin Thompson 6-107-17.8-1 Dax Raymond 3-57-19.0-0at Utah St Air Force Nevada Bye Navy vs. at BYUat San Diego St UNLVat UNLV at Wyoming Boise St vs. New Mexicoat Army West Point at Hawaii New Mexico San Jose Stat Wyoming vs. at Colorado St Colorado St at Boise St

vs.

Isaiah Sanders 8-13-164-1-1 Cole Fagan 34-147-4.3-1 Marcus Bennett 3-112-37.3-0 Jordan Love 64-97-714-3-3 Darwin Thompson 22-231-10.5-4 Dax Raymond 11-142-12.9-0Arion Worthman 2-8-29-0-0 Joseph Saucier 11-75-6.8-0 Ronald Cleveland 3-27-9.0-0 vs. Henry Colombi 12-13-68-0-0 Gerold Bright 29-187-6.4-2 Jordan Nathan 9-111-12.3-0

Nolan Eriksen 12-67-5.6-1 Geraud Sanders 1-18-18.0-0 Justen Hervey 7-49-7.0-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 13-100-7.7-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - -2 38 28 82-407

Utah St - 57 35 19 29-237 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - -4.5 27 17 52-213

Utah St - 53 20 22 32-42 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - 51 35 27 64-309

Utah St - -3 28 19 23-75 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - 50.5 16 18 51-155

Utah St - -7.5 34 14 28-77 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Air Force - 58.5 20 16 49-162

Utah St - -9.5 52 32 46-217 -1

Net Offense Defense

Air

For

ce F

alco

ns

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Uta

h S

t A

gg

ies

Net Offense

Score

at Florida Atlantic

Rush Def New Mexico

New Mexico Total Def San Jose Stat Army West Point

Score Def at Colorado St Colorado St Sks By at Boise Stat Wyoming

Stony Brook

Rush Off Air Force Nevada Pass Off Byeat Utah St

--PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TEAM

vs. MTW vs. MTW Aggies Logs

Utah St Aggies1-1 2-1OVERALL: OVERALL:

--PS RANK--

Utah St DB's

Defense

Score

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

AP TEAM

FOE

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

FOETM +/- FOE +/-TM

CONFFOE

CONF

Air Force Utah St New Mexico St

Bye

Utah St RB's

1.66

0.20

Air Force LB'S

Utah St Leaders

0.64

0.39

Air Force OL

Utah St DLAir Force DL

0.21

Utah St OL

Position by Position Edges

Pass Def

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Offat San Diego St Score Off Navy

Sks Allowedat UNLV

Passing

Air Force RB's0.46

Utah St LB's

Tennessee Tech

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Michigan St

Air Force Utah StAir Force QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Computer Yards

64 PointsLas Vegas Total

Utah St By 11.0

Utah St By 15.0

Utah St By 10.5

+/- Ratings

at Hawaii

at BYU UNLVat Wyoming

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Air Force ST's2.97

Air Force LeadersUtah St QB/WR

Air Force DB's

Utah St Coaches

0.75Air Force Utah St 280 yards

Comp-Att-Yds Projected Yardage Total67 yards

11-17-271

1.42

Utah St KUtah St 156 yards

Air Force K

Utah St by 17 Utah St 41 Air Force 24By 6.03 Points

Utah St 40-27

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Last year Utah St led AF 21-10, but the lead would change hands five times and AF got a TD with 1:38 left to win 38-35 despite USt having a 521-440 yard-edge. AF has won the last 3 games in this series but in the last 5 despite being 2-3 SU Utah St is +69 ypg and the home team is 3-2. After narrowly losing to Mich St in Week 1, Utah St dominated the past 2 foes by a combined score of 133-25. AF is off a bye and lost a close game at FAU (33-27, blk punt TD late to pull within 6) the previous week. AF has questions at QB, while Utah St looks like a legit contender for the MW title. Matt Wells had experienced teams in his first two years and held AF to just 162 (3.3) and 155 (3.0) those seasons. He has had inexperienced D’s the last 3 years but is back to being experienced this year. Air Force has averaged over 5.0 ypc rush the last 3 years but only 4.1 so far this year. Utah St’s offense is clicking putting up 55 ppg and they are the stronger team playing with revenge and are 7-2 as home favorites.

Utah St ST's

Air Force Coaches

Air Force Utah St 22Team Schedule Strength Utah St

89 Air Force Utah St 101

91

40 points Utah St 436-332Projected Final Score

1.34

Air Force Pts7.36

Experience Rankings Utah St Pts27 points Air Force

Game Grade332 yards

15-29-224

22-31-311

Comp-Att-Yds

6-18-108

Comp-Att-Yds

4-12-33

17-30-284

Utah St

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds

32-40-360

25-47-364

Falcons Logs

Projected Passing265 yards

30-48-372

Air Force Utah St 436 yards

Boise St

5-13-113Air Force

FOE +/-AP

FOE

Air Force Falcons

Page 47: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 87 104 9/1 7-29 L 118 63 111 120 31 22 0-0 0-0 79 9/1 10-30 L 123 124 1210-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 87 108 9/8 10-48 L 125 65 111 104 73 52 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 79 95 9/8 24-52 L 127 124 121 72 121 1220-2 0-1 0-1 0-0 84 106 9/15 13-60 L 128 83 122 97 66 4 0-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 78 100 9/15 0-24 L 124 126 108 64 34 700-3 1-1 0-1 0-0 80 91 9/22 25-42 L 128 84 122 66 125 116 #127 #91 0-3 0-4 0-0 0-1 78 79 9/22 125 126 105 128 84 1220-4 0-3 0-1 0-0 79 78 9/29 128 84 122 125 126 105 #91 #127 0-3 0-0 84 9/29 130 117 33

10/6 #126 #128 3-0 0-0 105 10/6 83 63 7107 10/13 118 129 129 #126 #128 10/13

1-1 0-0 86 10/20 76 114 113 #122 #90 2-0 0-0 103 10/20 46 65 1272-1 0-0 107 10/27 92 90 50 #124 #127 2-1 0-0 100 10/27 73 97 851-2 0-1 76 11/3 126 124 124 #23 #22 0-0 0-0 79 11/3 109 127 27

11/10 #99 #105 1-2 0-0 99 11/10 87 82 11511/17 #126 #107 0-3 0-0 88 11/17 124 85 98

2-1 2-1 109 11/24 79 48 90 #52 #91 1-1 0-0 91 11/24 95 93 15107 12/1 118 129 129 #121 #124

-6 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Wyoming 7-29 -315 -15 0 7 16--9 -0.6 18-33 144 3 22 56-313 5.6 13-22 137 0 Northern Arizona 10-30 -89 1 -2 15 36-102 2.8 15-31 127 5 14 36-107 3.0 19-26 211 1at Minnesota 10-48 -251 -4 0 19 20-38 1.9 29-58 233 0 23 47-295 6.3 17-34 227 0 at UNLV 24-52 -145 -10 -3 19 37-265 7.2 11-29 123 0 29 56-414 7.4 6-14 119 1at Utah St 13-60 -166 -2 -3 20 45-109 2.4 20-37 171 5 22 46-274 6.0 17-31 172 3 at Tennessee 0-24 -378 -17 2 7 28-95 3.4 9-23 39 2 24 50-345 6.9 13-19 167 2 New Mexico 25-42 43 0 -3 22 36-119 3.3 22-40 249 3 22 62-198 3.2 12-19 127 3 New Mexico Stat UTEP at UTSA Bye North Texas Liberty Byeat Louisiana at Louisiana Tech GA Southern UABat Texas St at Rice Alcorn St Middle Tennessee Bye at WKUat BYU Southern Missat Liberty

Average 14-45 -172.3 -5.3 -1.5 17 29-64 2.2 53.0% 199 6.5% 22 53-270 5.1 55.7% 166 5.7% Average 11-35 -204.0 -8.7 -1.0 14 34-154 4.6 42.2% 96 8.4% 22 47-289 6.1 64.4% 166 6.8% Conference 14-40 -174.3 -6.3 -1.0 16 24-49 2.1 52.7% 209 4.6% 22 55-269 4.9 56.0% 164 4.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 12-54 -208.5 -3.0 -1.5 20 33-74 2.3 51.6% 202 5.3% 23 47-285 6.1 52.3% 200 4.6% Home 10-30 -89.0 1.0 -2.0 15 36-102 2.8 48.4% 127 16.1% 14 36-107 3.0 73.1% 211 3.8%

Wyoming Matt Romero 16-27-140-1-0 Jason Huntley 9-22-2.4-0 Drew Dan 2-60-30.0-1 Northern Arizona Kai Locksley 13-26-120-0-1 Kai Locksley 18-50-2.8-0 Walter Dawn 3-30-10.0-0at Minnesota Matt Romero 29-58-233-1-1 Matt Romero 14-24-1.7-0 Johnathan Boone 8-67-8.4-0 at UNLV Ryan Metz 5-10-66-0-1 Kai Locksley 20-119-6.0-2 Warren Redix 1-28-28.0-0at Utah St Matt Romero 18-33-161-1-3 Christian Gibson 11-57-5.2-0 Drew Dan 4-56-14.0-0 vs. at Tennessee Kai Locksley 9-22-39-0-0 Treyvon Hughes 5-33-6.6-0 Keynan Foster 2-21-10.5-0 New Mexico Josh Adkins 12-21-168-1-2 Jason Huntley 15-67-4.5-0 Jason Huntley 4-87-21.8-1 New Mexico Stat UTEP at UTSA Bye vs. North Texas Liberty Byeat Louisiana at Louisiana Tech GA Southern vs. UABat Texas St at Rice Alcorn St Middle Tennessee Bye vs. at WKUat BYU Southern Missat Liberty

vs.

Matt Romero 72-131-609-3-6 Jason Huntley 41-130-3.2-0 Johnathan Boone 17-187-11.0-1 Kai Locksley 28-67-216-0-1 Kai Locksley 47-193-4.1-2 Warren Redix 7-72-10.3-0Josh Adkins 14-24-178-1-2 Royce Caldwell 15-74-4.9-0 Drew Dan 13-183-14.1-1 vs. Ryan Metz 7-16-73-0-2 Quardraiz Wadley 23-172-7.5-2 Walter Dawn 4-57-14.3-0Nick Jeanty 3-13-10-0-1 Christian Gibson 14-67-4.8-0 Jason Huntley 16-146-9.1-1 Treyvon Hughes 11-71-6.5-0 David Lucero 5-50-10.0-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - -19.5 41 21 29-179

UTEP - 60.5 14 15 36-135 -32016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 60.5 22 19 30-139

UTEP - -9.5 38 28 49-289 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 62 47 21 35-256

UTEP - -3 50 27 44-269 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 56.5 24 20 21-90

UTEP - -10 42 26 58-344 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

New Mexico St - 57 21 15 19-99

UTEP - -4 42 29 56-293 2

at Utah St New Mexicoat UTEP Bye

Alcorn St Byeat BYUat Liberty

Libertyat Louisiana GA Southernat Texas St

at Tennessee New Mexico Stat UTSA North Texas Bye

UTEPNew Mexico St

New Mexico St UTEP23-41-335

13-16-126

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Final Score

3.86

New Mexico St

Experience Rankings

Phil's Forecast:

at UNLV

UTEP K

147 yards

N Mexico St 362-313

New Mexico St KLas Vegas Total

48.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Wyoming

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

New

Mex

ico

St

Ag

gie

s

UTE

P M

iner

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

26-43-283

New Mexico St

0.05

Passing Rushing

New Mexico St QB/WR

New Mexico St DB's

UTEP QB/WR

Rushing

0-4

New Mexico St Leaders

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush Off

0-1TM +/-

TEAM

New Mexico St Aggies UTEP MinersMiners LogsAggies Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. IND

Sks By

at Minnesota

0-3vs. CUSA

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-0

Northern ArizonaNCAA RANKINGS

2018 TEAM RANKINGS

UABat Rice

Sks AllowedRush Def

Score Off

New Mexico St UTEP

168 yards

Total Def

UTEP OL

UTEP ST's

New Mexico St DL

New Mexico St ST's

UTEP DB's

0.72

Pass OffTotal Off

1.00

Pass Def

at Louisiana Tech

Las Vegas LineN Mexico St By 3.5

Net

UTEPPassing

UTEP is 57-36-2 in the Battle of I-10, but LY UTEP had an 8 game series win streak (was 5th current longest FBS) broken in a 41-14 loss. Aggies have not won in El Paso (0-4) since 2008. LTH the Aggies lost 38-22 in the ‘16 season opener. This is the Aggies 3rd road game in 4 weeks but they have a bye on deck. Hard to imagine leaning with either of these teams this year. New Mexico St put up a season high 368 last week vs New Mexico and allowed just 325. New HC Dimel inherited a mess. UTEP has lost their last 15 games, topping 300 yds just twice in those losses. NMSt is on a 1-7-1 ATS run while UTEP is on a 3-11-1 ATS run. The Aggies showed signs of life last week, while UTEP was outgained 512-134 by Tennessee. NMSt did use Josh Adkins at QB last week and he threw for 168 yards. UTEP QB Kai Locksley has been mostly a runner and is completing just 41.8% of his passes. NMSt has taken on the tougher schedule (#39 vs #86) yet UTEP is allowing foes 131 ypg above their season avg and NMSt just 66.

Utep By 1.5

Defense

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Phil Steele

Computer Points

UTEP Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Middle Tennesseeat WKU

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

Southern Miss

Receiving

Score

Offense

Team & Margin

New Mexico St 25 UTEP 22

N Mexico St 24-22

Team Schedule StrengthNew Mexico St UTEP

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

UTEP

Comp-Att-Yds

39

68

Projected Passing194 yards

5.70 3.86

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

UTEP CoachesNew Mexico St Pts

UTEP Pts

1.35

New Mexico St

New Mexico St Coaches

UTEP

24 points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

0.37

0.37

0.79

1.05

166 yards10-34-92

New Mexico St RB's

UTEP LB's

UTEP DL

New Mexico St OL

UTEP RB's

New Mexico St LB'S

Projected Yardage TotalNew Mexico St UTEP

362 yards New Mexico St 313 yards

74

N Mexico St By 3.0

By 1.84 Points86

22 points

N Mexico St by 3

Comp-Att-Yds

17-41-206

15-28-229

14-26-299

14-28-285

25-34-273

Comp-Att-Yds

18-28-253

Page 48: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 78 96 9/1 7-35 L 129 117 129 111 75 98 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 84 106 9/1 7-49 L 130 84 38 27 81 200-1 0-0 77 9/8 36-20 W 129 116 129 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 81 111 9/8 20-37 L 130 104 38 36 79 231-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 75 87 9/15 31-41 L 126 121 124 129 100 68 0-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 83 111 9/15 17-41 L 130 110 38 55 40 71-2 0-3 0-1 0-0 76 84 9/22 126 124 124 130 117 33 #70 #124 0-3 1-2 0-0 0-1 84 76 9/22 130 117 33 126 124 124

9/29 #102 #107 0-3 0-0 78 9/29 125 126 1051-1 0-0 86 10/6 76 114 113 #100 #127 1-2 0-0 79 10/6 109 127 272-1 0-0 107 10/13 92 90 50 #99 #124 2-0 0-0 103 10/13 46 65 1272-1 0-0 93 10/20 100 119 61 #90 #129 1-1 0-0 91 10/20 95 93 150-4 0-1 79 10/27 128 84 122 #41 #84 10/271-2 0-0 88 11/3 121 120 126 #102 #118 2-1 0-0 100 11/3 73 97 851-1 0-0 107 11/10 90 58 29 #81 #117 2-1 1-0 98 11/10 81 86 732-1 0-0 103 11/17 99 70 26 #96 #123 2-0 0-0 103 11/17 80 34 742-1 0-0 101 11/24 33 94 55 #119 #52 3-0 0-0 105 11/24 83 63 7

#94 #128+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Rutgers 7-35 -254 -12 1 11 31-69 2.2 9-24 100 3 23 46-218 4.7 20-29 205 1 at Arizona St 7-49 -283 -3 -3 18 34-2 0.1 19-43 218 9 21 36-266 7.4 16-24 237 0 Texas Southern 36-20 196 14 0 28 52-304 5.8 18-29 243 1 14 20-36 1.8 21-40 315 1 Baylor 20-37 -239 -10 0 16 26-98 3.8 18-33 157 4 26 31-91 2.9 27-41 403 3at South Alabama 31-41 -10 7 0 20 52-158 3.0 17-32 214 3 13 27-116 4.3 24-33 266 0 at Kansas St 17-41 -149 -3 1 17 39-143 3.7 19-34 157 1 20 44-164 3.7 14-19 285 3at UTSA Texas St Bye UTEP Louisiana at Rice GA Southern Louisiana Techat ULM at Southern Miss New Mexico St Byeat Georgia St at UAB Appalachian St FIUat Troy at Marshall Arkansas St North Texas

Average 25-32 -22.7 3.0 0.3 20 45-177 3.9 51.8% 186 8.2% 17 31-123 4.0 63.7% 262 2.0% Average 15-42 -223.7 -5.3 -0.7 17 33-81 2.5 50.9% 177 12.7% 22 37-174 4.7 67.9% 308 7.1% Conference 31-41 -10.0 7.0 0.0 20 52-158 3.0 53.1% 214 9.4% 13 27-116 4.3 72.7% 266 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 19-38 -132.0 -2.5 0.5 16 42-114 2.7 46.4% 157 10.7% 18 37-167 4.6 71.0% 236 1.6% Home 20-37 -239.0 -10.0 0.0 16 26-98 3.8 54.5% 157 12.1% 26 31-91 2.9 65.9% 403 7.3%

at Rutgers Willie Jones 7-20-79-0-1 Willie Jones 14-33-2.4-0 JahMarae Sheread 1-23-23.0-0 at Arizona St Cordale Grundy 16-33-187-0-1 BJ Daniels 9-24-2.7-1 Kirk Johnson 5-57-11.4-0 Texas Southern Willie Jones 17-28-235-1-0 Willie Jones 18-107-5.9-0 Keenen Brown 7-108-15.4-1 Baylor Cordale Grundy 18-33-157-1-1 BJ Daniels 16-90-5.6-1 Greg Campbell 4-62-15.5-0at South Alabama Willie Jones 16-30-205-2-1 Willie Jones 17-58-3.4-1 Javen Banks 2-82-41.0-1 vs. at Kansas St Cordale Grundy 14-23-108-1-0 Jalen Rhodes 9-53-5.9-0 Greg Campbell 6-41-6.8-1at UTSA Texas St Bye UTEP Louisiana vs. at Rice GA Southern Louisiana Techat ULM at Southern Miss New Mexico St vs. Byeat Georgia St at UAB Appalachian St FIUat Troy vs. at Marshall Arkansas St North Texas

vs.

Willie Jones 40-78-519-3-2 Willie Jones 49-198-4.0-1 Keenen Brown 10-132-13.2-1 Cordale Grundy 48-89-452-2-2 BJ Daniels 41-161-3.9-2 Greg Campbell 14-137-9.8-1Tyler Vitt 4-7-30-0-1 Anthony Taylor 35-140-4.0-1 Javen Banks 4-85-21.3-1 vs. DJ Gillins 8-21-80-1-0 Jalen Rhodes 14-81-5.8-0 Kirk Johnson 10-102-10.2-0Jaylen Gipson 1-1-8-0-0 Robert Brown 21-105-5.0-0 Hutch White 5-68-13.6-1 Brenden Brady 3-8-2.7-0 Blaze Moorhead 8-94-11.8-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas St - 45 14 17 32-37

UTSA - -13 44 25 45-357 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

Utsa by 7 UTSA 27 Texas St 20By 1.11 Points

Phil Steele9

Team Schedule Strength UTSA

Projected Final Score22 points

Game Grade0.65

Texas St Coaches

UTSA Coaches

+/- Ratings

Experience Rankings124

UTSATexas St 26 points

77 Utsa 26-22Texas St UTSA

123 Texas St UTSA

1.90

Texas St Pts

Texas St OL

UTSA DL

0.06

UTSA OL

Texas St DL

Utsa By 5.6

Team & Margin

Utsa 376-296

Utsa By 7.5

50.5 Points

Utsa By 10.8

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Texas St DB's1.17

Texas St ST's

UTSA ST's

UTSA Leaders

0.43

UTSA K

0.76

UTSA QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalTexas St K

Texas St UTSA 255 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

UTSA 122 yards122 yards Texas StProjected Rushing

174 yardsProjected Yardage Total

0.10

Rushing Position by Position Edges

UTSA LB's

Texas St UTSATexas St QB/WR

0.57

NCAA RANKINGS

Score

Ypg Diff

Pass Off

UTSA DB'sTexas St RB's

Score

Texa

s S

t B

obca

ts

Score Def at Marshall Arkansas St Sks By North Texas

at Georgia St Pass Def at UAB Appalachian St Total Def FIU

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

Total TO's

FOE

FOE 0-1--PS RANK--

Defense

0-0

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

UTS

A R

oad

run

ner

s

Net Offense

TM +/-FOE

at ULM Sks Allowed GA Southern Score Off Louisiana Tech

at UTSA Rush Off Texas St Bye

Offense Defense

UTEP

at Rutgers 2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Arizona St Texas Southern

Texas St UTSA Baylor

at South Alabama at Kansas St

UTSA RB's1.06

Texas St LB'S

Total Off

FOE CONF

TM CONF

0.12

By Game Yardage Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

UTSA has won the previous two meetings and these teams are separated by just 50 miles. LY in San Marcos, the Roadrunners led 17-14 mid-2Q. From that point on UTSA scored 27 straight & won by 30. This is the 3rd road game in 4 weeks for Texas St. UTSA is just 5-11 ATS as a HF and is just #128 on my Exp Chart but needs a win at 0-3. Texas St is 2-12 straight up on the road under Withers and last year their 5 road losses were by 31.4 ppg. Texas St enters off a 41-31 (+9’) loss to S Alabama but did lead 31-23 in the 4Q. UTSA have dropped 3 straight after losing to Kansas St 41-17 (+20’). They trailed 41-7 when UTSA scored 10 in garbage time. UTSA is on a 1-10 ATS run since last year. UTSA’s offense is gaining 167 ypg below what their opp’s normally allow and Texas St is at -275! UTSA’s is allowing foes 77 yds above their season average but that number looks great compared to Texas St yielding 170 above. Do you really want to back either of these teams?

UTSA Roadrunnersvs. SUN vs. CUSA

OVERALL: OVERALL:

1-2 0-3

TM REC FOE REC

Roadrunners Logs

at Rice

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE +/-

AP

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Projected Passing

3.01

UTSA PtsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

at Southern Miss New Mexico St Rush Def Bye

Net

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

10-27-161

Texas St BobcatsBobcats Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

at Troy

Louisiana

TEAM

Texas St Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

17-25-212

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

296 yards Texas St UTSA 376 yards

Page 49: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 116 #22 9/1 20-56 L 107 55 36 53 29 18 0-0 0-0 95 9/1 34-31 W 97 122 310-1 0-0 98 9/8 59-7 W 107 57 36 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 92 9/8 21-20 W 99 120 31 96 100 681-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 100 104 9/15 24-19 W 98 62 27 44 36 112 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 95 118 9/15 10-48 L 96 122 63 7 26 132-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 103 93 9/22 99 70 26 100 119 61 #62 #86 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 93 103 9/22 100 119 61 99 70 26

2-1 0-0 107 9/29 120 128 91 #104 #52 1-2 0-0 88 9/29 121 120 1261-2 0-0 88 10/6 121 120 126 #97 #72 2-1 0-1 109 10/6 15 77 118

107 10/13 118 129 129 #55 #108 2-1 0-0 89 10/13 120 128 911-2 1-0 86 10/20 129 98 65 #122 #40 1-2 0-1 76 10/20 126 124 124

10/27 #38 #57 10/271-1 0-0 86 11/3 76 114 113 #83 #123 2-1 0-0 99 11/3 92 90 502-1 0-0 107 11/10 92 90 50 #57 #109 1-2 1-0 86 11/10 129 98 651-2 0-1 76 11/17 126 124 124 #82 #101 2-1 0-0 101 11/17 33 94 551-1 0-0 107 11/24 90 58 29 #38 #21 1-1 0-0 86 11/24 76 114 113

#79 #104+2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Boise St 20-56 -37 5 -3 21 44-124 2.8 24-34 255 5 16 29-111 3.8 20-28 305 1 SE Louisiana 34-31 117 9 -1 31 43-208 4.8 35-53 346 0 22 23-72 3.1 29-42 365 3 Florida A&M 59-7 190 13 4 26 41-292 7.1 22-38 185 3 13 32-68 2.1 17-31 219 3 at Southern Miss 21-20 -82 -10 2 13 30-159 5.3 15-28 195 0 23 34-58 1.7 31-46 378 5at Nebraska 24-19 -111 -10 1 12 34-143 4.2 14-21 110 3 22 48-187 3.9 19-27 177 3 at Texas A&M 10-48 -202 -18 -1 14 29-103 3.6 15-28 225 4 32 45-281 6.2 19-27 249 1at ULM Troy Coastal Carolina at Georgia St Georgia St at Mississippiat Liberty at Coastal Carolinaat South Alabama Texas St Bye Bye Louisiana GA Southernat GA Southern at South Alabama Texas St at Arkansas Stat Appalachian St Louisiana

Average 34-27 14.0 2.7 0.7 20 40-186 4.7 64.5% 183 11.8% 17 36-122 3.4 65.1% 234 8.1% Average 22-33 -55.7 -6.3 0.0 19 34-157 4.6 59.6% 255 3.7% 26 34-137 4.0 68.7% 331 7.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 24-19 -111.0 -10.0 1.0 12 34-143 4.2 66.7% 110 14.3% 22 48-187 3.9 70.4% 177 11.1% Home 34-31 117.0 9.0 -1.0 31 43-208 4.8 66.0% 346 0.0% 22 23-72 3.1 69.0% 365 7.1%

Boise St Kaleb Barker 20-29-211-1-1 Jabir Daughtry-Frye 7-41-5.9-1 Deondre Douglas 7-102-14.6-1 SE Louisiana Caleb Evans 35-53-346-2-1 Derrick Gore 21-104-5.0-1 Marcus Green 7-99-14.1-2 Florida A&M Kaleb Barker 14-23-140-4-0 Jabir Daughtry-Frye 7-71-10.1-0 Sidney Davis 3-33-11.0-1 at Southern Miss Caleb Evans 15-28-195-2-1 Austin Vaughn 9-85-9.4-0 Marcus Green 4-96-24.0-2at Nebraska Kaleb Barker 14-21-110-0-1 BJ Smith 11-70-6.4-2 Damion Willis 1-39-39.0-0 vs. at Texas A&M Caleb Evans 15-28-225-1-1 Austin Vaughn 8-33-4.1-0 Marcus Green 4-75-18.8-0at ULM Troy Coastal Carolina at Georgia St Georgia St vs. at Mississippiat Liberty at Coastal Carolinaat South Alabama Texas St Bye vs. Bye Louisiana GA Southernat GA Southern at South Alabama Texas St vs. at Arkansas Stat Appalachian St Louisiana

vs.

Kaleb Barker 48-73-461-5-2 BJ Smith 30-167-5.6-4 Deondre Douglas 14-134-9.6-2 Caleb Evans 65-109-766-5-3 Derrick Gore 33-145-4.4-1 Marcus Green 15-270-18.0-4Sawyer Smith 7-12-69-1-0 Jabir Daughtry-Frye 20-127-6.4-1 Damion Willis 9-114-12.7-2 vs. Austin Vaughn 20-130-6.5-0 RJ Turner 13-158-12.2-1Gunnar Watson 5-8-20-0-0 Kaleb Barker 30-91-3.0-1 Sidney Davis 7-73-10.4-1 Caleb Evans 32-124-3.9-1 Xavier Brown 7-76.1-10.9-0

Category

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -9 51 20 35-148

ULM - 52.5 14 20 35-114 -62014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - 53.5 20 17 32-81

ULM - -13.5 22 19 33-29 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -3 37 24 31-144

ULM - 60 49 20 40-108 2

vs.

Phil's Forecast:

Last met in ’15 and ULM had 6 TO’s & Troy won 51-14 (376-493). Loss in ‘15 snapped a four-game win streak for ULM over Troy. ULM has the edge on offense with a veteran QB, but Troy has the edge on defense as they held Boise and Nebraska both to 200 ypg below their season avg. ULM did beat App St (another SBC power) at home last year. ULM actually had a 261-218 yard-edge at the half vs A&M last week but allowed a 75 yd blk FG return for a TD and trailed by 14 at half and had nothing left in the 2H and lost 48-10. Troy is off their 1st ever win over a Big 10 team, as they beat Nebraska 24-19, but they were out FD’d 22-12 and outgained 253-364. ULM is just 3-6 as a home dog since 2015. Last year Troy upset LSU on the road and then the next week had their weakest performance of the year in a home loss to South Alabama. They are off another win over a power 5 team so may be in for a letdown.

Defense

--PS RANK--

Troy QB/WR1.85

ULM DB's

TM +/- FOE +/-

Troy by 3 Troy 27 ULM 24By 9.18 Points

Phil SteeleTroy

Team & Margin

ULM Pts

ULM Leaders

Troy K0.31

ULM KTroy By 7.3

Troy ST's

Troy72

271 yardsProjected Yardage Total

59

24 points

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings111 Troy

ULM

ULM

34 points Troy

23POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

10.16

Troy PtsProjected Final Score

Receiving

Troy ULMPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

0.76

ULM DL

1.05

ULM LB's

Troy RB's

Troy OL

ULM RB's

0.14

Troy DL

ULM OL

1.14

Troy LB'S

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: ULM Warhawks

AP

Boise St 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Florida A&MTroy

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM TM CONF

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

REC

vs. SUNvs. SUN Warhawks Logs2-1 2-1

FOE CONF

OVERALL:

--PS RANK--

Troy TrojansTrojans Logs

TM REC

Pass Def GA SouthernTotal Def at South AlabamaScore Def at Arkansas St

at Liberty Score Off at Coastal CarolinaSks Allowed Texas St

Bye Rush Def Byeat South Alabama

Pass Off at Georgia St Georgia St Total Off at Mississippi

ULMat Southern Miss

at Nebraska at Texas A&Mat ULM Rush Off Troy

SE Louisiana

Troy

Tro

jan

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

ULM

War

haw

ks

Net Offense

Score

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Troy LeadersULM QB/WR

3.87

ULM ST's

Troy DB's

Game Grade

Troy Coaches

Troy

28-43-328

1.35

32-55-367

23-34-270

0.68

ULM Coaches Troy By 8.1

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total64 Points

+/- Ratings

Troy By 6

421 yards Troy

Troy 421-399

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Troy 34-24

0.99

Sks By LouisianaYpg Diff

Total TO's

at Appalachian St

Net

FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Score

FOE +/-

By Game Yardage Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Offense

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Coastal Carolina

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

24-42-262

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

24-36-345

Projected Rushing161 yards ULM 128 yards

Projected Passing

399 yards21-32-354

ULM

260 yards Troy ULM

ULM

Texas St

Louisianaat GA Southern

Page 50: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 114 #20 #19 9/3 24-3 W 73 32 39 6 18 6 0-0 1 0-0 0 94 80 9/1 10-52 L 99 94 57 122 130 1011-0 1-0 116 #12 9/8 62-17 W 78 29 39 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 89 93 9/8 20-28 L 101 96 57 95 99 502-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 117 92 #13 9/15 58 29 19 108 115 114 0-2 1-1 0-1 0-0 88 85 9/15 25-28 L 104 106 52 117 113 772-0 0-3 1-0 0-2 117 86 #13 9/22 55 38 20 107 110 47 #40 #113 0-3 2-0 0-2 1-0 86 117 #13 9/22 107 110 47 55 38 20

3-0 0-0 121 9/29 82 21 121 #57 #70 1-1 0-0 92 9/29 108 112 1083-0 2-0 118 10/6 21 14 67 #46 #108 2-1 0-0 104 10/6 48 64 970-2 0-0 107 10/13 91 27 4 #26 #115 2-0 0-0 103 10/13 80 34 74

10/20 #21 #40 0-3 0-0 88 10/20 124 85 981-2 0-1 108 10/25 28 68 103 #5 #104 1-2 0-0 99 10/27 87 82 1153-0 1-0 121 11/3 9 22 120 #81 #110 11/32-1 1-0 112 11/10 67 35 117 #19 #118 3-0 0-0 105 11/10 83 63 72-1 0-0 122 11/17 25 11 48 #9 #108 11/172-1 0-0 104 11/23 97 53 71 #52 #104 0-0 0-0 79 11/24 109 127 27

#29 #118+6 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Florida St 24-3 -8 3 5 15 40-112 2.8 16-26 207 3 12 28-94 3.4 22-35 233 5 at Liberty 10-52 -290 -11 -1 18 39-129 3.3 18-34 172 1 29 38-238 6.3 26-37 353 0 William & Mary 62-17 320 20 1 32 46-305 6.6 16-23 281 0 12 29-34 1.2 18-30 232 1 FIU 20-28 -93 -9 1 16 27-93 3.4 19-37 303 2 25 51-189 3.7 19-31 300 2 East Carolina CANCELLED at Charlotte 25-28 -35 -11 -1 16 28-123 4.4 16-28 215 1 27 46-171 3.7 23-34 202 1at Old Dominion Virginia Techat Duke at East Carolina Notre Dame at Florida Atlanticat North Carolina Marshall Bye at WKU Georgia Tech Middle Tennessee Boston College Byeat Pittsburgh North Texas Miami, Fl VMI Virginia at Rice

Average 43-10 156.0 11.5 3.0 24 43-209 4.8 65.3% 244 6.1% 12 29-64 2.2 61.5% 233 9.2% Average 18-36 -139.3 -10.3 -0.3 17 31-115 3.7 53.5% 230 4.0% 27 45-199 4.4 66.7% 285 2.9% Conference 24-3 -8.0 3.0 5.0 15 40-112 2.8 61.5% 207 11.5% 12 28-94 3.4 62.9% 233 14.3% Conference 23-28 -64.0 -10.0 0.0 16 28-108 3.9 53.8% 259 4.6% 26 49-180 3.7 64.6% 251 4.6% Away 24-3 -8.0 3.0 5.0 15 40-112 2.8 61.5% 207 11.5% 12 28-94 3.4 62.9% 233 14.3% Home 20-28 -93.0 -9.0 1.0 16 27-93 3.4 51.4% 303 5.4% 25 51-189 3.7 61.3% 300 6.5%

at Florida St Josh Jackson 16-23-207-2-0 Deshawm McClease 13-77-5.9-0 Erik Kumah 4-86-21.5-1 at Liberty Steven Williams 14-30-132-0-0 Steven Williams 10-43-4.3-1 Jonathan Duhart 7-83-11.9-0 William & Mary Josh Jackson 12-16-217-1-0 Hendon Hooker 1-69-69.0-1 Damon Hazelton 4-107-26.8-1 FIU Steven Williams 11-22-160-1-0 Jeremy Cox 13-43-3.3-0 Jonathan Duhart 3-150-50.0-2 East Carolina CANCELLED vs. at Charlotte Steven Williams 16-28-215-1-2 Lala Davis 10-63-6.3-2 Jonathan Duhart 7-127-18.1-1at Old Dominion Virginia Techat Duke at East Carolina Notre Dame vs. at Florida Atlanticat North Carolina Marshall Bye at WKU Georgia Tech vs. Middle Tennessee Boston College Byeat Pittsburgh North Texas Miami, Fl vs. VMI Virginia at Rice

vs.

Josh Jackson 28-39-424-3-0 Deshawm McClease 23-112-4.9-1 Damon Hazelton 6-129-21.5-2 Steven Williams 41-80-507-2-2 Jeremy Cox 32-123-3.8-0 Jonathan Duhart 17-360-21.2-3Ryan Willis 4-7-64-0-0 Steven Peoples 19-99-5.2-2 Erik Kumah 6-109-18.2-1 vs. Blake LaRussa 12-19-183-1-0 Steven Williams 22-83-3.8-1 Isaiah Harper 12-78-6.5-0

Terius Wheatley 9-80-8.9-1 Hezekiah Grimsley 7-96-13.7-0 Lala Davis 10-63-6.3-2 Travis Fulgham 5-64-12.8-0Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Virginia Tech 13 -28.5 38 32 57-271

Old Dominion - 52 0 7 24-64 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE CONF TM +/-

0.30Old Dominion QB/WR

vs. ACC vs. CUSA

1.93

Virginia Tech QB/WR

Old Dominion DB's

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech Old Dominion 114

Old Dominion RB's

Virginia Tech DB's

Virginia Tech Old Dominion 39POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

0.99

Virginia Tech ST's

Old Dominion ST's

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength87

Old Dominion Coaches507 yards Virginia Tech

FOE +/-AP

Virginia Tech 507-300Virginia Tech Old Dominion 11 pointsExperience Rankings

41 points

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineTech’s first trip to Norfolk will be an interesting one. Foreman Field’s got a capacity of 19,818, making it one of the smallest stadiums the Hokies will have ever played in during their modern history. ODU had not faced a ranked FBS tm since restarting their program in 2009 until LY’s VT matchup when VT at home won 38-0 (-28’) as ODU gave true frosh QB Steven Williams his first ever start. ODU is just 3-6 ATS as a HD losing to both NCar and FAU by 30 pts at home last year. In their 2016 bowl season ODU was 6-0 at home while Fuente is 3-6 ATS as an AF. Williams is more seasoned but has completed just 51% (2-2 ratio). ODU has also struggled to run the ball (115, 3.7) and now they face a VT D that allows 64 (2.2) rush ypg. Old Dominion has been a massive disappointment in their first 3, going 0-3 ATS and suffering 2 outright upsets after losing to Charlotte last week. They are on an 0-5 ATS run and are 5-14 as a dog. VT is 4-1 when favored by 20+ points. VT fans figure to make up a good percentage of the crowd. ODU has played to an average game grade of 57.1 which is #129 out of 130 and VT is playing at a 99.4 level.

1.00Computer Yards

Virginia Tech by 29 Virginia Tech 42 Old Dominion 13By 7.20 Points

Old Dominion Pts

Phil SteeleVirginia Tech

Computer PointsVirginia Tech 41-11

8.20

Virginia Tech Pts

Virginia Tech By 27.5

Virginia Tech By 38.9

+/- Ratings

Virginia Tech K

0.70

Old Dominion K

0.10Game Grade

Virginia Tech By 28

51 PointsLas Vegas Total

Passing Rushing

Old Dominion

Defense

0.59

Virginia Tech OL

Old Dominion DL

1.61

Virginia Tech RB's

0-3 Old Dominion Monarchs2-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

Monarchs Logs

Rush Off Virginia Tech

Pass Def Bye

Score Def VMI

Pass Off at East Carolina

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Liberty

Virginia Tech

1.97

Virginia Tech LB'S

at Pittsburgh Total Def

Bye

Old Dominion OL

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK--0-2FOE 1-0TM REC FOE

REC

North Texas

Sks Allowed at WKU Georgia Tech Rush Def Middle Tennessee

Notre Dame Total Off

Miami, Fl

Virginia Tech Hokies

Old Dominion LB's

Old Dominion Leaders

Team & Margin

224 yards

at Duke

William & Mary

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Virginia Tech Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Sks By at Rice

Score

Hokies Logs--PS RANK--

Boston College

at Old Dominion

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

Old Dominion FIU

East Carolina at Charlotte

at Florida Atlanticat North Carolina Score Off Marshall

at Florida St

Virginia

Net Offense Defense

Vir

gin

ia T

ech

Hok

ies

1.00

Virginia Tech DL

291 yards

Score

Passing Rushing

Virginia Tech Coaches

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Old

Dom

inio

n M

onar

chs

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Old Dominion 300 yards

87

Projected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts Projected RushingOld Dominion 75 yards215 yards Virginia Tech

Projected PassingVirginia Tech Old Dominion

Comp-Att-Yds

21-32-311

8-26-85

Projected Yardage Total

Page 51: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 93 9/1 46-23 W 72 98 34 42 92 113 1 0-0 0 0-0 80 94 9/1 52-10 W 122 130 101 99 94 571-0 0-0 99 9/8 58-16 W 77 101 34 0 0-1 0 0-1 85 104 9/8 14-38 L 119 130 101 94 88 482-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 103 9/15 44-17 W 81 84 12 42 57 41 85 9/15 118 130 1293-0 0-0 105 107 9/22 83 63 7 118 129 129 #118 #79 3-0 0-0 85 105 9/22 118 129 129 83 63 7

2-0 0-0 103 9/29 46 65 127 #3 #55 2-1 0-0 92 9/29 66 121 1120-3 0-0 78 10/6 125 126 105 #22 #76 0-4 0-1 79 10/6 128 84 1221-1 0-0 91 10/13 95 93 15 #11 #75 2-1 0-0 103 10/13 99 70 262-1 0-0 100 10/20 73 97 85 #60 #113 10/200-0 0-0 79 10/27 109 127 27 #17 #125 10/27

11/3 #63 #58 1-3 0-1 89 11/3 96 125 1300-3 0-2 86 11/10 107 110 47 #17 #112 2-1 0-0 104 11/10 97 53 712-1 0-0 104 11/17 48 64 97 #36 #122 2-1 0-1 119 11/17 20 10 540-3 0-0 84 11/24 130 117 33 #7 #126 0-4 0-1 79 11/24 128 84 122

#17 #106 12/1+8 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

SMU 46-23 273 25 1 34 43-68 1.6 41-51 461 2 9 19-4 0.2 12-24 252 4 Old Dominion 52-10 290 11 1 29 38-238 6.3 26-37 353 0 18 39-129 0.0 18-34 172 1 Incarnate Word 58-16 311 20 2 32 42-153 3.6 32-49 454 1 12 30-144 4.8 16-30 152 2 at Army West Point 14-38 -93 -7 -3 21 23-110 4.8 19-37 307 2 28 74-449 0.0 2-8 61 0at Arkansas 44-17 40 -2 5 18 29-95 3.3 24-46 281 2 20 32-126 3.9 20-45 210 5 Byeat Liberty North Texas Louisiana Tech at New Mexicoat UTEP at New Mexico St Southern Miss Troyat UAB Idaho St Rice Bye Bye at UMassat Old Dominion at Virginia Florida Atlantic at Auburnat UTSA New Mexico St

Norfolk St

Average 49-19 208.0 14.3 2.7 28 38-105 2.8 66.4% 399 3.4% 14 27-91 3.4 48.5% 205 11.1% Average 33-24 98.5 2.0 -1.0 25 31-174 5.7 60.8% 330 2.7% 23 57-289 0.0 47.6% 117 2.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 44-17 40.0 -2.0 5.0 18 29-95 3.3 52.2% 281 4.3% 20 32-126 3.9 44.4% 210 11.1% Home 52-10 290.0 11.0 1.0 29 38-238 6.3 70.3% 353 0.0% 18 39-129 0.0 52.9% 172 2.9%

SMU Mason Fine 40-50-444-3-0 Nic Smith 17-31-1.8-0 Rico Bussey 9-109-12.1-0 Old Dominion Stephen Calvert 25-36-345-4-0 Kentory Matthews 17-101-5.9-1 DJ Stubbs 7-155-22.1-1 Incarnate Word Mason Fine 25-40-418-4-1 DeAndre Torrey 16-44-2.8-3 Rico Bussey 8-128-16.0-3 at Army West Point Stephen Calvert 19-37-307-2-1 Kentory Matthews 9-81-9.0-0 Damian King 8-172-21.5-1at Arkansas Mason Fine 24-45-281-1-0 Loren Easly 13-68-5.2-1 Jaelon Darden 5-87-17.4-0 vs. Byeat Liberty North Texas Louisiana Tech at New Mexicoat UTEP vs. at New Mexico St Southern Miss Troyat UAB Idaho St Rice vs. Bye Bye at UMassat Old Dominion at Virginia Florida Atlantic vs. at Auburnat UTSA New Mexico St

Norfolk Stvs.

Mason Fine 89-135-1143-8-1 Loren Easly 25-99-4.0-1 Rico Bussey 22-264-12.0-4 Stephen Calvert 44-73-652-6-1 Kentory Matthews 26-182-7.0-1 DJ Stubbs 8-174-21.8-1Quinn Shanbour 3-6-21-0-0 DeAndre Torrey 22-63-2.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-248-17.7-3 vs. Mason Cunningham 1-1-8-0-0 Peytton Pickett 18-133-7.4-2 Damian King 8-172-21.5-1Kason Martin 1-1-15-0-0 Nic Smith 23-49-2.1-0 Jaelon Darden 13-178-13.7-0 Frank Boyd 4-33-8.3-0 BJ Farrow 6-98-16.3-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

North Texas 38 Liberty 28By 14.22 Points

N Texas 44-23

Phil SteeleNorth Texas

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

N texas by 10

Computer Points

77

Game GradeN Texas By 36.9

Computer YardsN Texas 530-354

ReceivingPassing Rushing

AP

Liberty Leaders

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total70.5 Points

Team & Margin

N Texas By 13.5

+/- Ratings

0.00

131 yardsProjected Passing

170 yards North Texas Liberty

354 yards

Phil's Forecast:

N Texas By 17.8North Texas Coaches

Liberty K

First meeting and first time hosting a CUSA team. The Mean Green are 2-13 in non-conference road games the last 6 years (won at Army in 2016 and Arkansas LW). The Flames are in their first year being an FBS member, going 6-5 in ‘17 including a win at Baylor. Liberty is 49-12 the last 11 years at home but almost all of those games were FCS games. North Texas is off to their first 3-0 start since 1979. The Mean Green led Arkansas 44-10 (+6). NT int’d 6 passes, got a PR TD and an IR TD. Liberty had their game vs Norfolk St cancelled last week. The Flames have already hosted and beat CUSA member Old Dominion 52-10 (+5’) in their home opener. This is a much tougher test considering how ODU has struggled since. NT is +208 ypg on the season, though last year they were -65 ypg on the road and even in their 27-point win last week were only +40 yards. Liberty is an experienced team (16 ret starters), at home, and NT is coming off an emotional win, playing B2B road games and traveling to the East coast. My computer has NT winning by 21 but the Individual Game grades have NT only by 9.3, so I lean with the home dog here.

North Texas Pts

Liberty Pts

Liberty Coaches

14.22

1.00

360 yards North Texas Liberty

44 points North Texas

0.57

North Texas DB's

Liberty QB/WR

0.88

North Texas LB'S

Liberty RB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)5.29

North Texas ST's

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Liberty ST's

0.94

North Texas K

Liberty

530 yards North Texas

Liberty 29

223 yards

Projected Final ScoreLiberty

Projected Yardage Total

Team Schedule Strength108

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.15

North Texas RB's

Liberty LB's

North Texas Liberty

2.67

North Texas QB/WR

Liberty DB's

NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC

North Texas

Ypg Diff

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

REC

Old Dominion

Libertyat Army West Point

at Arkansas Bye

SMU 2018 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed Idaho St

North Texas Mean Green

Rush Def Byeat UAB

Total Off

TEAM

Incarnate Word

OVERALL:

3-0

at New Mexico St Southern Miss Score Off Troyat UTEP

Rush Off North Texas Louisiana Tech Pass Off at New Mexicoat Liberty

vs. CUSA vs. IND Flames Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE

OVERALL: Liberty Flames1-1

Norfolk StTotal TO's

Score Def at Auburnat UTSA Sks By New Mexico St Florida Atlantic

Pass Def at UMassat Old Dominion Total Def at Virginia Bye

Net Offense Defense

Nor

th T

exas

Mea

n G

reen

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Lib

erty

Fla

mes

Net Offense

2.11

North Texas OL

Liberty DL

0.61

North Texas DL

Liberty OL

Liberty

North Texas

23 pointsExperience Rankings

70

Rice

Mean Green Logs

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

FOE

North Texas Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

North Texas

Page 52: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 128 #3 9/1 45-0 W 1 19 9 0-0 0-0 113 9/1 51-14 W 10 51 141-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 117 #3 #24 9/8 41-17 W 1 19 9 24 27 16 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 101 9/8 40-13 W 10 56 14 115 52 602-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 132 100 #3 9/15 49-7 W 2 17 22 91 78 107 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 117 105 9/15 40-37 W 14 58 6 41 89 643-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 133 116 #2 9/22 2 18 21 12 59 5 #13 #50 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 116 133 #2 9/22 12 59 5 2 18 21

1-2 0-0 100 9/29 58 29 72 #78 #4 9/292-1 0-0 110 10/6 61 40 92 #31 #7 1-1 0-1 115 10/6 29 42 173-0 1-0 120 10/13 57 5 52 #19 #22 3-0 1-0 140 10/13 1 1 31

10/20 #40 #4 2-1 0-1 117 10/20 16 81 192-1 0-1 115 10/27 24 23 57 #23 #8 3-0 1-0 107 10/27 59 36 1073-0 1-0 107 11/3 59 36 107 #19 #117 2-1 0-1 115 11/3 24 23 572-1 0-1 119 11/10 20 10 54 #7 #74 2-1 0-0 110 11/10 61 40 921-3 0-1 89 11/17 96 125 130 #2 #49 1-2 0-0 100 11/17 58 29 721-2 0-1 108 11/24 28 68 103 #126 #68 1-2 0-0 98 11/24 47 54 63

#11 #15+3 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Austin Peay 45-0 356 14 0 21 33-284 8.6 21-27 224 0 7 29-91 3.1 13-21 61 0 UT Martin 51-14 281 13 1 26 44-164 3.7 23-34 394 0 13 29-94 3.2 17-30 183 2at South Carolina 41-17 137 11 1 30 52-271 5.2 16-19 202 2 19 20-54 2.7 31-48 282 1 Wyoming 40-13 353 18 0 33 46-203 4.4 33-45 398 0 15 30-88 2.9 13-28 160 2 Middle Tennessee 49-7 196 9 2 23 35-261 7.5 17-21 223 2 14 38-158 4.2 20-30 130 0 at Purdue 40-37 -6 8 0 31 46-233 5.1 26-43 375 1 23 16-42 2.6 39-55 572 1at Missouri Georgia Tennessee Bye Vanderbilt at South Carolinaat LSU at Alabama Bye Memphis† Florida Kentuckyat Kentucky at Florida Auburn Vanderbilt UMass at Tennessee Georgia Tech Arkansas

Average 45-8 229.7 11.3 1.0 25 40-272 6.8 80.6% 216 6.0% 13 29-101 3.5 64.6% 158 1.0% Average 44-21 209.3 13.0 0.3 30 45-200 4.4 67.2% 389 0.8% 17 25-75 3.0 61.1% 305 4.4% Conference 41-17 137.0 11.0 1.0 30 52-271 5.2 84.2% 202 10.5% 19 20-54 2.7 64.6% 282 2.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 41-17 137.0 11.0 1.0 30 52-271 5.2 84.2% 202 10.5% 19 20-54 2.7 64.6% 282 2.1% Home 46-14 317.0 15.5 0.5 30 45-184 4.1 70.9% 396 0.0% 14 30-91 3.1 51.7% 172 6.9%

Austin Peay Jake Fromm 12-16-157-2-0 Demetris Robertson 1-72-72.0-1 Mecole Hardman 2-63-31.5-1 UT Martin Drew Lock 19-25-289-4-0 Larry Rountree 14-58-4.1-1 Emanuel Hall 4-171-42.8-2at South Carolina Jake Fromm 15-18-194-1-1 Elijah Holyfield 9-76-8.4-1 Mecole Hardman 6-103-17.2-1 Wyoming Drew Lock 33-45-398-4-0 Damarea Crockett 19-73-3.8-0 Emanuel Hall 10-171-17.1-1 Middle Tennessee Jake Fromm 10-12-128-3-0 Elijah Holyfield 8-100-12.5-0 Jeremiah Holloman 3-90-30.0-1 vs. at Purdue Drew Lock 26-43-375-3-1 Larry Rountree 23-168-7.3-0 Jalen Knox 5-110-22.0-1at Missouri Georgia Tennessee Bye Vanderbilt vs. at South Carolinaat LSU at Alabama Bye Memphis† Florida vs. Kentuckyat Kentucky at Florida Auburn Vanderbilt UMass vs. at Tennessee Georgia Tech Arkansas

vs.

Jake Fromm 37-46-479-6-1 Elijah Holyfield 22-200-9.1-2 Mecole Hardman 12-187-15.6-3 Drew Lock 78-113-1062-11-1 Larry Rountree 47-260-5.5-1 Emanuel Hall 18-430-23.9-3Justin Fields 14-17-142-2-0 D'Andre Swift 24-119-5.0-2 Jeremiah Holloman 5-112-22.4-1 vs. Taylor Powell 4-9-105-0-0 Tyler Badie 33-139-4.2-0 Jalen Knox 10-169-16.9-1Matthew Downing 3-4-28-0-0 James Cook 22-105-4.8-0 Riley Ridley 8-82-10.3-2 Damarea Crockett 37-132-3.6-1 Johnathon Johnson 14-149-10.6-3

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Georgia 4 -29.5 53 24 51-370

Missouri - 57 28 10 24-59 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Georgia 16 -7 28 25 38-101

Missouri - 54.5 27 18 37-95 -42015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Georgia - -14.5 9 19 45-120

Missouri - 46 6 6 22-21 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Georgia 13 -3 34 25 58-210

Missouri 23 58.5 0 10 22-50 -52013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Georgia 6 -7 26 26 31-164

Missouri 25 64.5 41 23 37-142 4

Computer Yards

Computer PointsGeorgia 44-27

Projected Final Score8.39

Best Bet: *Georgia 44 Missouri 23By 5.65 Points

Phil SteeleGeorgia by 21

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UGA is 5-1 SU in the series but Missouri has covered 3 in a row. Last year Georgia had a 696-312 yard-edge and never trailed in a 53-28 home win (-29.5). Smart is 6-2 ATS as an AF. Last year Missouri did not defeat a team with a winning record and Odom is 0-4 vs ranked teams losing by 20 ppg. Missouri faced 3 Power 5 teams with a winning record at home the last two years and lost those by 29 ppg. UGA is +230 ypg on the season and has already gone on the road and crushed SC 41-17. MO got their revenge on Purdue last week, though it was closer than expected. The Tigers were outgained 614-608 and needed a 25 yd FG as time expired to win 40-37 (-6). Georgia has covered 7 straight vs FBS foes and are on a 7-0 ATS run on the road. MO is 6-11 as a dog. Drew Lock has a 22-23 ratio in his career vs P5 teams that go to a bowl and a 60-9 ratio versus all others.

Missouri ST's Georgia By 14

64.5 Points

Georgia Coaches Georgia By 16.0

Georgia By 9.0

Georgia KComp-Att-Yds

Missouri K29-55-308

Projected Rushing221 yards Georgia Missouri 152 yards

Game Grade512 yards Georgia Missouri 455 yards Missouri Coaches

1.75

+/- RatingsProjected Passing

Georgia Pts2.75Georgia

Georgia DB's0.70

Missouri QB/WR

0.75

Georgia LB'S

Missouri RB's

Missouri Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score Georgia ST's1.41

Team & Margin

0.12Las Vegas Total

Experience Rankings Missouri Pts

Projected Yardage Total

85

17POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:Team Schedule Strength Georgia

Missouri

Georgia MissouriComp-Att-Yds

Georgia 512-455Comp-Att-Yds

Rush Off Georgia Tennessee Pass Off Bye

Austin Peay

2.31

Georgia RB's

Missouri LB's

Georgia Missouri

2.04

Georgia QB/WR

Missouri DB's

Georgia DL0.52

Missouri OL

1.54

Georgia OL

Missouri DL

2018 TEAM RANKINGS UT Martinat South Carolina

Georgia Missouri Wyoming

Middle Tennessee at Purdue

Defense

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

OVERALL: OVERALL: Missouri Tigers3-0 3-0vs. SEC vs. SEC Tigers Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--0-0TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM--PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP1-0

at Tennessee Georgia Tech Sks By Arkansas

at Kentucky Pass Def at Florida Auburn Total Def Vanderbilt

Bye Sks Allowed Memphis† Florida Rush Def Kentucky

UMass

Total Off at South Carolinaat LSU Score Off at Alabama

Net Offense

Score Def

Net Offense Defense

Geo

rgia

Bu

lldog

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Mis

sou

ri T

iger

s

18-26-326

15-25-253

AP

Georgia BulldogsBulldogs Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

Georgia Leaders

23-29-169

9-21-97

Comp-Att-Yds

at Missouri

TM +/- FOE +/-

Missouri 304 yards

25-45-290

22-31-233

28 points

86

74 Georgia Missouri

41 points

23-38-376

Comp-Att-Yds

23-32-178

11-26-143

292 yards Georgia

Vanderbilt

Page 53: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 114 8/30 59-7 W 16 24 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 113 #1 9/1 51-14 W 2 2 53 30 50 411-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 130 #2 9/8 26-28 L 11 24 15 9 1 67 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 99 #1 9/8 57-7 W 2 2 53 47 77 371-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 95 9/15 48-10 W 7 26 13 96 122 63 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 136 113 #1 9/15 62-7 W 1 1 58 11 73 1002-1 3-0 0-0 1-0 120 140 #22 #1 9/22 6 30 8 1 1 31 #9 #27 3-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 140 120 #1 #22 9/22 1 1 31 6 30 8

1-2 0-0 98 9/29 47 54 63 #24 #25 1-1 0-0 86 9/29 76 114 1133-0 1-0 107 10/6 59 36 107 #5 #15 1-2 0-0 98 10/6 47 54 631-1 0-1 115 10/13 29 42 17 #21 #1 3-0 0-0 116 10/13 12 59 5

10/20 #90 #21 1-2 0-0 100 10/20 58 29 723-0 0-0 125 10/27 8 7 38 #10 #24 10/272-1 0-1 119 11/3 20 10 54 #93 #58 3-0 1-0 120 11/3 57 5 522-1 0-1 109 11/10 15 77 118 #43 #24 3-0 0-0 125 11/10 8 7 382-1 0-0 100 11/17 73 97 85 #21 #8 11/173-0 1-0 120 11/24 57 5 52 #68 #21 2-1 0-1 119 11/24 20 10 54

#6 #9-2 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Northwestern St 59-7 507 27 -1 40 61-503 8.2 23-35 255 2 13 13-21 1.6 18-35 230 0 † Louisville 51-14 251 3 1 23 42-222 5.3 17-6 297 1 20 26-16 0.6 20-39 252 3 Clemson 26-28 88 11 -2 25 32-71 2.2 23-40 430 4 14 32-115 3.6 17-27 298 1 Arkansas St 57-7 208 7 0 26 44-278 6.3 20-29 321 1 19 31-173 5.6 22-51 218 2 ULM 48-10 202 18 1 32 45-281 6.2 19-27 249 1 14 29-103 3.6 15-28 225 4 at Mississippi 62-7 268 18 1 27 44-210 4.8 19-28 306 1 9 37-115 3.1 7-22 133 4at Alabama Texas A&M† Arkansas Louisiana Kentucky at Arkansasat South Carolina Missouri Bye at Tennesseeat Miss St Byeat Auburn at LSU Mississippi Miss St UAB The Citadel LSU Auburn

Average 44-15 265.7 18.7 -0.7 32 46-285 6.2 63.7% 311 6.9% 14 25-80 3.2 55.6% 251 5.6% Average 57-9 242.3 9.3 0.7 25 43-237 5.5 88.9% 308 4.8% 16 31-101 3.2 43.8% 201 8.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 62-7 268.0 18.0 1.0 27 44-210 4.8 67.9% 306 3.6% 9 37-115 3.1 31.8% 133 18.2% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 57-7 208.0 7.0 0.0 26 44-278 6.3 69.0% 321 3.4% 19 31-173 5.6 43.1% 218 3.9%

Northwestern St Kellen Mond 17-25-184-2-0 Trayveon Williams 20-240-12.0-3 Jhamon Ausbon 6-81-13.5-0 † Louisville Tua Tagovailoa 12-16-227-2-0 Damien Harris 7-55-7.9-0 DeVonta Smith 4-99-24.8-0 Clemson Kellen Mond 23-40-430-3-0 Kellen Mond 10-33-3.3-0 Kendrick Rogers 7-120-17.1-2 Arkansas St Tua Tagovailoa 13-19-228-4-0 Najee Harris 13-135-10.4-1 Jerry Jeudy 4-87-21.8-2 ULM Kellen Mond 16-24-210-1-0 Trayveon Williams 22-128-5.8-1 Jhamon Ausbon 4-59-14.8-0 vs. at Mississippi Tua Tagovailoa 11-15-191-2-0 Damien Harris 5-62-12.4-1 Jerry Jeudy 3-136-45.3-2at Alabama Texas A&M† Arkansas Louisiana Kentucky vs. at Arkansasat South Carolina Missouri Bye at Tennesseeat Miss St vs. Byeat Auburn at LSU Mississippi Miss St UAB vs. The Citadel LSU Auburn

vs.

Kellen Mond 56-89-824-6-0 Trayveon Williams 59-399-6.8-4 Jhamon Ausbon 13-201-15.5-0 Tua Tagovailoa 36-50-646-8-0 Najee Harris 30-203-6.8-3 Jerry Jeudy 11-287-26.1-6Nick Starkel 8-11-102-1-0 Jashaun Corbin 18-113-6.3-1 Camron Buckley 9-165-18.3-0 vs. Jalen Hurts 19-28-248-4-1 Damien Harris 24-178-7.4-1 DeVonta Smith 10-204-20.4-1Connor Blumrick 1-1-8-0-0 Kellen Mond 25-103-4.1-3 Kendrick Rogers 9-153-17.0-2 Mac Jones 1-5-30-0-0 Tua Tagovailoa 14-93-6.6-1 Irv Smith 9-122-13.6-2

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M - 56 19 16 40-71

Alabama 1 -25.5 27 16 44-232 22016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M 6 60 14 17 38-114

Alabama 1 -18 33 28 57-287 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M 9 54.5 23 16 25-32

Alabama 10 -3.5 41 17 45-258 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas A&M 21 63.5 0 8 24-31

Alabama 7 -13.5 59 30 45-298 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Texas A&M 6 61 42 31 32-164

Alabama 1 -8.5 49 31 37-234 1

10 Alabama by 27 Alabama 43 Texas A&M 16By 6.50 Points

Alabama Phil Steele28-39-464

20-29-33483 Texas A&M

Alabama Coaches

52POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Alabama PtsTexas A&M 1.55

Texas A&M Pts

16 pointsComputer Yards

1.50

Alabama 43-16

8.05 Alabama 513-299

Computer Points16 Texas A&M Alabama

Las Vegas Total

Alabama K61 Points

+/- RatingsTexas A&M Coaches

13-22-123

Phil's Forecast:

Nick Saban is now 12-0 vs his former assistants that became head coaches winning by 27.8 ppg. Saban just beat Jimbo Fisher last year in a #1 vs #2 showdown 24-7 but FSU had a 15-13 FD edge. Last year I used A&M at home as my Underdog Play on Sportscenter and the Aggies were +25’ and only lost 27-19. Alabama has won 20 straight home games by 32 ppg. Alabama has an unstoppable offense with 5.5 ypc rush and Tua Tagovailoa hitting 72% of his passes. Unstoppable until they put the offense away in the last 1.5Q’s of games that is. Last week my high scoring game of the week was Bama-Ole Miss with 56 points at the half but it came up a point short. Texas A&M did trail Clemson by 15 in the second half at home. My computer has this one right at the line and I can make a case for Texas A&M as a dog, but I am not jumping in front of this Alabama train.

Projected Rushing137 yards Texas A&M Alabama 208 yards

Projected Passing

Texas A&M K

Texas A&M Alabama 304 yards161 yards

Comp-Att-Yds 1.44

Comp-Att-Yds

22-45-284 Alabama By 22.7Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade299 yards Texas A&M Alabama 513 yards

NCAA RANKINGS FOEFOE

Defense

Score Score

Arkansas Stat Mississippi

2018 TEAM RANKINGS † Louisville

Texas A&M Alabama

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Pass Def at LSUTotal Def Miss St

Score Off MissouriSks Allowed at Tennessee

Rush Def Bye

Rush Off

OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide2-1 3-0

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 1-0TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

vs. SEC vs. SEC Crimson Tide LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

Mississippiat Auburn

Kentucky

at Miss St Bye

Texas A&M Louisianaat Arkansas

Offense Defense

Texa

s A

&M

Ag

gie

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

Net Offense

ULM

Northwestern St Clemson

† Arkansas Pass Offat Alabama

Total Offat South Carolina

Net

Ypg Diff

Score Def The Citadel LSU Sks By Auburn UAB

Texas A&M AlabamaTexas A&M QB/WR

1.39

Alabama DB's

Texas A&M DL1.12

Alabama OL

Texas A&M OL0.05

0.11

Texas A&M RB's

Alabama LB's

Total TO's

Alabama DL

Texas A&M LB'S1.33

Alabama RB'sTexas A&M DB's

1.45

Alabama QB/WR

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Texas A&M ST's1.22

Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineAlabama ST's Alabama By 27

Comp-Att-Yds

19-29-237

Alabama By 25.5

Alabama Leaders

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

Texas A&M AggiesAggies Logs

19-25-138

Comp-Att-Yds

19-31-141

21-35-304

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Texas A&M Leaders

14-31-164

15-25-164

Experience RankingsAlabama 43 points

Comp-Att-Yds

Alabama

Page 54: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 86 #4 9/1 34-3 W 7 15 26 119 95 93 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 9/1 33-7 W 68 36 17 91 61 351-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 125 90 #5 9/8 45-14 W 6 15 26 65 118 124 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 118 9/8 13-3 W 57 33 17 43 34 1102-0 1-1 0-0 1-1 124 104 #6 9/15 21-24 L 6 16 42 83 54 102 2-0 0-0 117 9/15 38-14 W 70 22 172-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 117 #18 9/22 5 16 36 68 25 22 #9 #72 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 117 119 #18 9/22 68 25 22 5 16 36

9/29 #90 #79 9/290-2 0-0 101 10/6 37 33 119 #33 #87 3-0 0-0 111 10/6 88 44 342-1 0-0 122 10/13 40 2 24 #59 #82 3-0 0-0 108 10/13 50 62 830-0 0-0 101 10/20 106 100 25 #79 #40 2-1 0-0 104 10/20 38 51 681-2 1-0 107 10/27 56 37 82 #48 #2 3-0 0-0 126 10/27 18 19 131-2 0-1 91 11/3 113 71 81 #11 #24 0-0 0-0 106 11/3 45 89 593-0 0-0 126 11/10 18 19 13 #11 #2 0-0 0-0 107 11/10 56 37 820-0 0-0 106 11/17 45 89 59 #16 #2 0-0 0-0 101 11/17 106 100 253-0 0-0 111 11/24 88 44 34 #104 #4 0-2 0-0 101 11/24 37 33 119

#16 #23+1 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

WKU 34-3 186 9 1 24 39-234 6.0 17-31 257 3 15 34-124 3.6 17-30 181 1 Northern Illinois 33-7 141 3 1 18 48-209 4.4 13-25 143 1 15 36-101 2.8 15-26 110 5 New Mexico 45-14 357 15 1 29 59-417 7.1 9-13 151 1 14 30-77 2.6 14-24 134 1 Iowa St 13-3 83 3 1 14 36-105 2.9 16-28 166 0 11 25-19 0.8 19-31 169 4 BYU 21-24 83 6 -1 20 43-204 4.7 18-28 190 2 14 28-191 6.8 13-23 120 1 Northern Iowa 38-14 317 13 0 27 50-207 4.1 25-31 338 3 14 21-6 0.3 21-38 222 3at Iowa Wisconsin Bye Bye Nebraska at Minnesotaat Michigan at Indiana Illinois Marylandat Northwestern at Penn St Rutgers at Purdueat Penn St Northwesternat Purdue at Illinois Minnesota Nebraska

Average 33-14 208.7 10.0 0.3 24 47-285 6.1 61.1% 199 8.3% 14 31-131 4.3 57.1% 145 3.9% Average 28-8 180.3 6.3 0.7 20 45-174 3.9 64.3% 216 4.8% 13 27-42 1.5 57.9% 167 12.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 28-8 180.3 6.3 0.7 20 45-174 3.9 64.3% 216 4.8% 13 27-42 1.5 57.9% 167 12.6%

WKU Alex Hornibrook 17-29-257-2-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-145-8.1-2 AJ Taylor 5-85-17.0-0 Northern Illinois Nate Stanley 11-23-108-1-1 Toren Young 8-84-10.5-1 TJ Hockenson 4-64-16.0-0 New Mexico Alex Hornibrook 8-11-148-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 33-253-7.7-3 AJ Taylor 5-134-26.8-1 Iowa St Nate Stanley 16-28-166-0-0 Toren Young 21-68-3.2-0 Ihmir Smith-Marsette 1-45-45.0-0 BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-28-190-0-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-117-4.5-0 Jake Ferguson 3-61-20.3-0 vs. Northern Iowa Nate Stanley 23-28-309-2-1 Toren Young 14-82-5.9-1 Nick Easley 10-103-10.3-1at Iowa Wisconsin Bye Bye Nebraska vs. at Minnesotaat Michigan at Indiana Illinois Marylandat Northwestern vs. at Penn St Rutgers at Purdueat Penn St Northwesternat Purdue vs. at Illinois Minnesota Nebraska

vs.

Alex Hornibrook 43-68-595-3-2 Jonathan Taylor 77-515-6.7-5 AJ Taylor 12-250-20.8-1 Nate Stanley 50-79-583-3-2 Toren Young 43-234-5.4-2 Noah Fant 12-140-11.7-2Danny Vanden Boom 1-1-3-1-0 Taiwan Deal 23-125-5.4-2 Jake Ferguson 8-108-13.5-0 vs. Peyton Mansell 4-5-64-0-1 Mekhi Sargent 38-137-3.6-3 Nick Easley 11-118-10.7-1TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Garrett Groshek 10-69-6.9-0 Garrett Groshek 6-79-13.2-1 Ivory Kelly-Martin 16-62-3.9-1 TJ Hockenson 12-113-9.4-0

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 6 -11.5 38 18 49-247

Iowa 25 44 14 5 26-25 1

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 10 -4 17 20 48-167

Iowa - 42.5 9 14 27-83 1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 19 -6 6 21 34-86

Iowa - 45 10 14 40-144 2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Wisconsin 14 -10 26 18 42-266

Iowa - 51 24 19 28-101 -1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Wisconsin 22 -9 28 15 45-218

Iowa - 48.5 9 14 32-110 -1

65 Wisconsin by 7 Wisconsin 20 Iowa 13 By 5.54 Points

Wisconsin Phil Steele11-19-144

16-40-179

66 Wisconsin Iowa

Phil's Forecast:

Iowa has lost 5 of the last six for the Heartland Trophy. LY Iowa entered off their monumental upset of Ohio St & was held to season lows in FD’s (5), rushing (25) & passing (41) yards with UW having a 382-66 yard-edge. Iowa’s two TD’s came via IR’s. The visitor has won 8 of the last 11 meetings. LTH (‘16) UW won 17-9 (-4) but the Badgers had a 423-236 yard-edge. Iowa has lost their exceptional LB corps and must contend with my #1 rated Oline and RB Jonathan Taylor. Iowa will be at home at night in Kinnick and amazingly beat #3 Ohio St here last year 55-24, lost to #4 Penn St by 2 on a TD pass at :00 and beat #2 Michigan here in 2016. Iowa followed up their win over rival Iowa St with an easy win over FCS Northern Iowa last week and has a bye on deck. UW enters off a shocking home loss vs BYU, its first non-conference home loss since 2003, missing a 42-yard FG at the end. Before LW’s results UW would have been about a DD favorite but the opening line is just 3 and Paul Chryst has lost 7 times as head coach and is 7-0 ATS in the next game. Despite this being a night game at Kinnick Stadium, there’s value now with a stronger Wisconsin team that’s 9-1 their last 10 as an AF.

Projected Rushing

Wisconsin Iowa 187 yardsProjected Passing

217 yards Wisconsin Iowa

159 yards

22 points

Iowa By 2.8

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

376 yards Wisconsin Iowa 329 yards Iowa Coaches

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings

Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Iowa ST's Wisconsin By 3

8-24-41 Wisconsin K

0.10

Iowa By 2.5

Iowa Leaders

Las Vegas Total

Iowa K

43.5 Points

+/- RatingsWisconsin Coaches

Comp-Att-Yds

Iowa Pts

Wisconsin 6.84

Wisconsin Pts

23 points IowaComputer Yards

Wisconsin 23-22Comp-Att-Yds

1.30 Wisconsin 376-329

Computer Points2 Wisconsin

Wisconsin DL0.17

Iowa OL

0.73

Wisconsin OL

Iowa DL

Wisconsin LB'S

Iowa RB's

0.69

Wisconsin DB's

Iowa QB/WR

2.35

0.32

Wisconsin ST's

0.75

Wisconsin IowaRushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

2.75

Wisconsin RB's

Iowa LB's

Wisconsin QB/WR

0.27

Iowa DB's

APTM CONFTM +/- FOE +/-

FOETEAM --PS RANK--0-0 FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Hawkeyes Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Receiving

Pass Def at PurdueTotal Def Northwestern

Sks Allowed

2018 TEAM RANKINGS Northern Illinois

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Iowa Hawkeyes2-1 3-0vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10

OVERALL: OVERALL:

at Penn St Rutgers

at Purdue

TM REC

Rush Off Wisconsin Bye Pass Off Bye

New MexicoWisconsin Iowa

Iowa St BYU Northern Iowa

FOE CONF

0-0TM REC

MarylandRush Def at Penn St

Illinois

Total Off at Minnesotaat Michigan Score Off at Indiana Nebraska

Net Offense Defense

Wis

con

sin

Bad

ger

s

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Iow

a H

awke

yes

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at Illinois Minnesota Sks By Nebraska

15-25-256

17-33-153

Comp-Att-Yds

21-38-234

9-21-77

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

11-18-135

Badgers Logs

Wisconsin Leaders

at Iowa

142 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

at Northwestern

FOE REC

WKU

Wisconsin Badgers

TM CONF

11-14-139

20-30-311 Iowa 97

Page 55: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 84 9/1 49-7 W 27 81 20 130 84 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 126 119 #6 #9 9/1 16-21 L 8 6 71 15 11 751-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 109 122 #15 9/8 16-13 W 23 75 20 28 14 61 0-1 0-0 124 #9 9/8 45-3 W 7 6 712-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 104 #23 9/15 28-21 W 22 59 28 100 44 54 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 124 119 #10 9/15 21-7 W 10 14 48 45 11 32-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 109 126 #10 9/22 21-0 W 22 56 30 13 13 70 #111 #88 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 126 109 #10 9/22 13 13 70 22 56 30

1-2 0-0 97 9/29 101 105 101 #18 #32 2-1 2-1 109 9/29 79 48 903-0 0-0 109 10/6 44 28 23 #58 #47 0-3 0-0 99 10/6 78 39 79

10/13 #80 #87 3-0 0-0 108 10/13 11 15 893-0 1-0 119 10/18 7 9 6 #60 #79 3-0 0-0 109 10/20 44 28 231-2 0-1 111 10/27 23 8 11 #43 #62 3-0 0-0 110 10/27 72 50 662-1 0-1 117 11/3 51 12 2 #71 #27 3-0 1-0 119 11/3 7 9 60-3 0-0 99 11/10 78 39 79 #53 #31 11/103-0 0-0 108 11/17 11 15 89 #27 #11 1-2 0-0 97 11/17 101 105 1010-0 0-0 106 11/24 34 76 84 #4 #52 3-0 0-0 111 11/23 69 26 80

#54 #34+4 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

UTSA 49-7 283 3 3 21 36-266 7.4 16-24 237 0 18 34-2 0.1 19-43 218 9 † Auburn 16-21 -22 -3 -2 24 33-102 3.1 18-32 296 5 27 45-147 3.3 26-36 273 2 Michigan St 16-13 47 4 0 27 29-44 1.5 30-48 380 2 23 27-63 2.3 27-39 314 2 North Dakota 45-3 370 15 -1 25 34-195 5.7 31-45 437 0 10 33-161 4.9 17-33 101 2at San Diego St 21-28 -63 -6 1 21 24-36 1.5 31-46 341 3 27 58-311 5.4 12-24 129 1 at Utah 21-7 66 5 2 18 41-172 4.2 14-24 155 1 13 29-123 4.2 20-39 138 2at Washington 0-0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0 0 Arizona St Oregon St BYUat Colorado at UCLA Bye at Oregon Stanford Coloradoat USC at California Utah Stanford UCLA Byeat Oregon Oregon Stat Arizona at Washington St

Average 29-16 89.0 0.3 1.3 23 30-115 3.9 65.3% 319 4.2% 23 40-125 3.2 54.7% 220 11.3% Average 27-10 138.0 5.7 -0.3 22 36-156 4.3 62.4% 296 5.9% 17 36-144 4.0 58.3% 171 5.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 21-7 66.0 5.0 2.0 18 41-172 4.2 58.3% 155 4.2% 13 29-123 4.2 51.3% 138 5.1% Away 21-28 -63.0 -6.0 1.0 21 24-36 1.5 67.4% 341 6.5% 27 58-311 5.4 50.0% 129 4.2% Home 45-3 370.0 15.0 -1.0 25 34-195 5.7 68.9% 437 0.0% 10 33-161 4.9 51.5% 101 6.1%

UTSA Manny Wilkins 16-24-237-4-0 Eno Benjamin 16-131-8.2-1 N'Keal Harry 6-140-23.3-2 † Auburn Jake Browning 18-32-296-1-1 Myles Gaskin 17-75-4.4-0 Aaron Fuller 7-135-19.3-0 Michigan St Manny Wilkins 30-48-380-1-1 Eno Benjamin 13-27-2.1-0 Kyle Williams 7-104-14.9-0 North Dakota Jake Browning 23-37-313-2-2 Myles Gaskin 15-53-3.5-1 Quinten Pounds 3-98-32.7-0at San Diego St Manny Wilkins 31-46-341-2-0 Eno Benjamin 13-21-1.6-0 Frank Darby 5-127-25.4-0 vs. at Utah Jake Browning 14-24-155-1-1 Myles Gaskin 30-143-4.8-1 Aaron Fuller 6-108-18.0-0at Washington Arizona St Oregon St BYUat Colorado vs. at UCLA Bye at Oregon Stanford Coloradoat USC vs. at California Utah Stanford UCLA Byeat Oregon vs. Oregon Stat Arizona at Washington St

vs.

Manny Wilkins 77-118-958-7-1 Eno Benjamin 42-179-4.3-1 N'Keal Harry 21-315-15.0-4 Jake Browning 55-93-764-4-4 Myles Gaskin 62-271-4.4-2 Aaron Fuller 19-317-16.7-0Isaiah Floyd 14-88-6.3-1 Frank Darby 9-171-19.0-0 vs. Jake Haener 7-7-110-1-0 Salvon Ahmed 14-85-6.1-0 Ty Jones 8-159-19.9-3Manny Wilkins 21-69-3.3-1 Kyle Williams 12-159-13.3-0 Andre Baccellia 1-1-14-0-0 Kamari Pleasant 5-47-9.4-1 Quinten Pounds 4-111-27.8-1

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona St - 56.5 13 17 32-40

Washington 5 -18 7 14 31-91 02016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona St - 63.5 18 14 27-15

Washington 7 -27 44 26 33-201 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona St - -2.5 27 19 43-144

Washington - 53 17 27 34-142 -42014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona St 14 -3.5 24 14 43-105

Washington - 60 10 19 46-151 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Arizona St - -3 53 31 51-314

Washington 20 67 24 12 25--5 1

1.07

Washington By 21.8

Last year I used Arizona St +18 as my Upset pick on Sportscenter and the Sun Devils pulled the upset 13-7. Arizona St is actually 10-1 the last 11 matchups. UW came in avg 43 ppg and 432 ypg and was held to just 7 pts and 230 yds in the desert at night. Ariz St is just 3-13 straight up on the P12 road. LTH ASU trailed #7 UW 30-0 w/5:24 3Q & up to that point had gained just 45 total yards in their first 10 poss. UW is playing with legitimate revenge and was 5-2 ATS as a HF last year winning their home games by 30 ppg. I expected Arizona St to win on the road last week and they led 14-7 but gave up a late TD in the 1H and came up short in a 7 point loss. I was surprised the Aztecs ran for 331 yards on the Sun Devil defense which had allowed just 65 yards rush combined the first two games. The Huskies get their revenge.

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Projected Final Score1.94

Arizona St Pts5.85

Experience Rankings Washington Pts18 points Arizona St

washington 34 Arizona St by 17By 3.91 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Computer PointsWashington 34-18

Phil Steele

+/- RatingsArizona St Coaches

1.55Washington Coaches

49 Points

Washington by 17

Washington 526-354Computer Yards

Washington23

0.84

Arizona St KComp-Att-Yds

Arizona St Leaders

17-30-139

Washington Leaders

Arizona St ST's Team & Margin

1.32

Las Vegas Total

Washington K

Washington QB/WR

29-41-245

Arizona St Washington 26

Washington ST's Washington By 17.5

18-26-139

232 yards Arizona St Washington 337 yards

Washington By 9.5Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

Comp-Att-Yds

26-42-271

Washington 526 yards

0.02

Arizona St OL

Washington DL

Arizona St RB's1.00

Washington LB's

0.49

Washington RB's

Arizona St DL1.28

Washington OLArizona St LB'S

Arizona St DB's

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Arizona St QB/WR

0.20

Washington DB's

Receiving

Arizona St WashingtonRushing

--PS RANK--0-0 FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

1-0TM REC

FOE TM CONF

FOETEAM

Huskies Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM

Washington Huskies2-1 2-1Arizona St Sun Devilsvs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Sun Devils Logs

Projected Rushing122 yards Arizona St Washington 190 yards

Projected Passing

Rush Off Arizona St Oregon St Pass Off BYU

UTSA 2018 TEAM RANKINGS † Auburn Michigan St

Arizona St Washington North Dakota

at San Diego St at Utah

Pass Def Stanford UCLA Total Def Bye Utah

Sks Allowed Coloradoat USC Rush Def at California Stanford

Total Off at UCLA Bye Score Off at Oregonat Colorado

Net Offense Defense

Ari

zon

a S

t S

un

Dev

ils

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Was

hin

gto

n H

usk

ies

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def Oregon Stat Arizona Sks By at Washington Stat Oregon

16-40-217

AP

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

22-34-253

28-52-405

Comp-Att-Yds

21-33-230

27-44-338

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

43 Arizona St Washington

Washington 34 points

7Team Schedule Strength

14-25-180

354 yards Arizona St

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

at Washington

--PS RANK--

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Page 56: Phil Steele Plus H POW H Inside the Pressbox H HIGH H · 2019. 7. 16. · Temple - -17 35 21 35-203 -2 vs. vs. Score By Game Yardage Leaders Bye at UCF at Houston USF Position by

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 98 8/31 -23-17 L 98 85 115 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 119 #13 9/1 10-31 L 90 35 28 3 25 21-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 98 109 9/8 20-19 W 98 85 115 42 90 47 0-1 0-0 104 9/8 28-14 W 93 38 282-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 101 103 9/15 28-35 L 95 86 97 89 95 119 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 104 112 #23 9/15 28-21 W 100 44 54 22 59 282-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 101 101 9/22 77 91 95 103 46 49 #107 #43 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-1 101 101 9/22 103 46 49 77 91 95

1-2 1-0 100 9/29 105 61 69 #12 #111 9/291-2 0-0 94 10/6 54 88 86 #44 #94 2-1 0-0 118 10/6 35 49 451-1 0-0 104 10/13 41 101 16 #60 #107 1-1 0-0 105 10/13 84 95 441-2 0-0 88 10/20 71 116 102 #125 #100 0-3 0-0 82 10/20 127 111 1042-1 0-0 101 10/27 74 92 39 #116 #4 2-1 0-0 101 10/27 98 78 370-3 0-1 88 11/3 123 104 110 #70 #109 2-1 0-0 92 11/3 66 121 1122-0 0-0 97 11/10 115 52 94 #101 #45 2-1 0-0 96 11/10 62 106 116

11/17 #64 #53 2-1 0-0 114 11/17 75 60 990-0 0-0 86 11/23 119 103 128 #91 #38 3-1 1-0 88 11/24 114 123 96

#82 #69+2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Monmouth 51-17 76 3 1 26 38-160 4.2 22-27 302 0 23 34-187 5.5 27-45 199 3 at Stanford 10-31 -119 -8 0 11 37-150 4.1 10-15 113 5 19 28-50 1.8 21-31 332 1at Purdue 20-19 -60 0 1 19 32-69 2.2 22-34 347 6 19 42-341 8.1 14-24 135 1 Sacramento St 28-14 195 15 -2 25 45-158 3.5 17-28 271 2 10 31-53 1.7 12-20 181 3at Buffalo 28-35 1 4 0 22 43-142 3.3 25-38 348 6 18 41-164 4.0 21-26 325 0 Arizona St 28-21 63 6 -1 27 58-311 5.4 12-24 129 1 21 24-36 1.5 31-46 341 3at San Diego St Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois Byeat Western Michigan at Boise St Toledo Air Forceat Ball St San Jose St Army West Point at Nevada Central Michigan at New Mexico Akron UNLV Bye at Fresno Stat Kent St Hawaii

Average 33-24 5.7 2.3 0.7 22 38-124 3.3 69.7% 332 12.1% 20 39-231 5.9 65.3% 220 4.2% Average 22-22 46.3 4.3 -1.0 21 47-206 4.4 58.2% 171 11.9% 17 28-46 1.7 66.0% 285 7.2% Conference 28-35 1.0 4.0 0.0 22 43-142 3.3 65.8% 348 15.8% 18 41-164 4.0 80.8% 325 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 24-27 -29.5 2.0 0.5 21 38-106 2.8 65.3% 348 16.7% 19 42-253 6.1 70.0% 230 2.0% Home 28-18 129.0 10.5 -1.5 26 52-235 4.6 55.8% 200 5.8% 16 28-45 1.6 65.2% 261 9.1%

Monmouth Tyler Wiegers 18-21-238-2-0 Ian Eriksen 12-44-3.7-0 Blake Banham 8-103-12.9-1 at Stanford Christian Chapman 10-15-113-0-0 Juwan Washington 24-158-6.6-1 Tim Wilson 2-49-24.5-0at Purdue Tyler Wiegers 20-28-312-1-1 Shaq Vann 7-44-6.3-0 Blake Banham 6-99-16.5-0 Sacramento St Ryan Agnew 11-17-159-0-2 Juwan Washington 36-156-4.3-3 Ethan Dedeaux 6-90-15.0-0at Buffalo Mike Glass 17-27-284-2-0 Mike Glass 14-69-4.9-1 Blake Banham 9-159-17.7-1 vs. Arizona St Ryan Agnew 12-24-129-1-0 Juwan Washington 27-138-5.1-1 Kahale Warring 4-30-7.5-0at San Diego St Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois Byeat Western Michigan vs. at Boise St Toledo Air Forceat Ball St San Jose St Army West Point vs. at Nevada Central Michigan at New Mexico Akron UNLV Bye vs. at Fresno Stat Kent St Hawaii

vs.

Tyler Wiegers 46-60-614-3-1 Shaq Vann 28-109-3.9-1 Blake Banham 23-361-15.7-2 Ryan Agnew 23-41-288-1-2 Juwan Washington 87-452-5.2-5 Ethan Dedeaux 11-141-12.8-0Mike Glass 22-37-349-4-0 Mike Glass 20-91-4.6-2 Arthur Jackson 9-203-22.6-1 vs. Christian Chapman 16-26-225-0-0 Chase Jasmin 27-139-5.1-1 Tim Wilson 6-106-17.7-1Isaac Holder 1-1-34-1-0 Ian Eriksen 27-88-3.3-0 Mathew Sexton 9-143-15.9-2 Ryan Agnew 12-57-4.8-0 Kahale Warring 7-103-14.7-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Phil SteeleSan Diego St by 7

3.37

E Michigan Pts6.06

Experience RankingsSan Diego St 417-284

Projected Final Score

San Diego St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 1.81

E Michigan ST's Team & Margin

Game GradeSan Diego St Coaches

San Diego St

Computer Points

Team Schedule Strength82 E Michigan San Diego St 129 San Diego St 24 Eastern Michigan 17By 2.68 Points

49 Points0.80

San Diego St Pts

284 yards

24 points

80POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED

TO:

Computer Yards17 points E Michigan

E Michigan

San Diego St

85 San Diego St San Diego St 24-17

0.36

San Diego St DL

2018 TEAM RANKINGS at Stanford

E Michigan San Diego St Sacramento St Arizona St

Rush Off Eastern MichiganPass Off Bye

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

San Diego St is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite the last 4 years. Last year SDSt only beat MAC school Northern Illinois 34-28 at home (-10) and were outgained 417-263 and out FD’d 22-10. EMich is not only making a long trip to California but it is their 3rd straight AG. EM is 12-2 ATS as an AD the last 14 games. Last week SDSt upset #23 Arizona St by a TD at home last week behind backup QB Ryan Agnew. While the situation favors the Aztecs they usually play down to the level of their opponent and EM had a 22-18 FD edge last week and Tyler Wiegers should return to form. I will call for an Aztec 7-point win.

San Diego St ST's San Diego St By 10.5E Michigan K

E Michigan San Diego St 417 yards

Las Vegas Total

San Diego St K+/- Ratings

E Michigan Coaches

1.50

San Diego St By 4.0

San Diego St By 7.6

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP 0-1 0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

at New Mexico Akron Total Def

OVERALL: San Diego St Aztecs2-1 2-1OVERALL:

vs. MAC

Projected Passing265 yards E Michigan San Diego St 139 yards

0.68

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

vs. MTW Aztecs Logs

E Michigan San Diego St

E Michigan OL

San Diego St DB's

E Michigan RB's1.02

San Diego St LB's

E Michigan QB/WR

Projected Rushing

at Purdueat Buffalo

FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

at San Diego St Northern Illinois

San Diego St 278 yards

E Michigan LB'S0.85

San Diego St RB's

E Michigan DL1.53

San Diego St OL

Sks Allowed San Jose St Army West Point Rush Def at Nevada

at Western Michigan Total Off at Boise St Toledo Score Off Air Force

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Bye Score Def at Fresno Stat Kent St Sks By Hawaii

Central Michigan Pass Def UNLV

Net Offense Defense

E M

ich

igan

Eag

les

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

San

Die

go

St

Azt

ecs

Net Offense

E Michigan Leaders

Projected Yardage Total

E Michigan DB's

San Diego St QB/WR

0.88

19 yards E Michigan

E Michigan EaglesEagles Logs

TM REC

at Ball St

Monmouth