Satellitemeeting

Mortalitydataandmethodologicalapproachesinestimatingmortalityindevelopingcountries

May152019HarnackHaus,Berlin

Objective Thenumberof countries included in theHumanMortalityDatabase (HMD)hasbeenapproaching its limits due to strict requirements for coverage and reliability ofpopulation statistics. The HMD project considers several directions for furtherdevelopmenttakingintoaccounttheglobalimportanceandgrowingdemandformorereliableandcomparablemortalityestimatesfordevelopingcountries.Themaingoalisto obtain reliable and consistent mortality estimates by using country-specific data-intensiveapproach combinedwith standardizedmethodsanduniformprinciples. Theobjectiveof this satellitemeeting is toexploreanddiscusspossibilities toextend theHMD approach to China, India, and other middle- and low-income developingcountries.

Date

May152019

Location

GoetheHall,HarnackHausIhnestr.16-2,Berlin(Germany)https://www.harnackhaus-berlin.mpg.de/2316/en

Sponsor

MaxPlanckInstituteforDemographicResearchRostock,Germany

Organizers

DomantasJasilionis,DmitriJdanov

Topics

•Qualityofmortalityandpopulationdata•Developmentsindirectandindirectmortalityestimations•Advantagesanddisadvantagesofmodel-basedmortalityestimates

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PROGRAMMEWednesday,May158:30–9:00Registration9:00–9:15WelcomeandIntroduction

DomantasJasilionis(MPIDR)

9:15–10:45SESSIONI:CollaborativestudiesbytheHMDprojectteam●Chair:DomantasJasilionis

• TrifonMissovetal.(MPIDR/PU/CPDRD)MortalityestimatesforChinaanditsregions:solvingdataandmethodologicalchallenges

• VladimirM.Shkolnikovetal.(MPIDR/IIPS)Reconstructingage-specificmortalityinIndiausingdatawithpronouncedageheapingfromDLHSandNFHSsurveys

• MagaliBarbierietal.(UCB/AMS-HW)IssuesinconstructingHMDdataseriesinmiddle-incomecountries:ThecaseofMexico

10:45–11:00COFFEEBREAK

11:00–12:30SESSIONII:Monitoringmortalitytrendsanddifferentials●Chair:K.S.James

• ChristopheZ.Guilmoto(CEPED),NanditaSaikia(IIASA,JNU)LocalmortalityestimationinIndia.CanweavoidCensusdata?

• HiramBeltrán-Sánchez(UCLA-FSPH)Impactofdelayedeffectsonhumanold-agemortality

• YongCai(UNC-CPC)MortalitytrendsandvariationinChinA

12:30–13:30LUNCHBREAK

13:30–15:00SESSIONIII:Datachallenges:IndiaandChina●Chair:MathiasLerch

• DananGu(UNPD)DataqualityofmortalityinChinesecensuses

• UshaRam(IIPS)SampleRegistrationSysteminIndia

• ChengLi(ANU/ZJU),HongMi(ZJU)AssessmentsofProvincialMortalityinChina’s2010PopulationCensus:astudybasedontheDCMDmodellifetable

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15:00–15:15COFFEEBREAK

15:15–16:15:SESSIONIV:Datachallenges:LatinAmericanCountries●Chair:HiramBeltrán-Sánchez

• AndresBarajasPaz,AndrewCairns,TorstenKleinow(HW)Ageheapinginpopulationdataofemergingcountries

• MaríliaNepomuceno(MPIDR),CassioM.Turra(UFmG)ThepopulationofcentenariansinBrazil:Anhistoricalanalysisfrom1900to2010

• IvánWilliams,TimRiffe(MPIDR)ArgentiniandataqualityassessmentforHMDfamilyofdatabases

16:15–17:00ROUNDTABLE:DiscussionandConclusions●Moderator:DmitriJdanov

Discussants:K.S.James(IIPS)ChristopheZ.Guilmoto(CEPED)HiramBeltrán-Sánchez(UCLA-FSPH)CuilingZhang(CPDRD)MathiasLerch(MPIDR)

Listofinstitutionsabbreviations

AMS-HW Dep.ofActuarialMathematics&Statistics,Heriot-WattUniversity(Edinburgh,Scotland,UK)CEPED CentrePopulationetDéveloppement,UniversitéParisDescartes(Paris,France)CPDRD ChinaPopulationandDevelopmentResearchCenter(Beijin,China)HKU UniversityofHongKong,MindlinkResearchCentre(HongKong)IIASA InternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnalysis(Laxenburg,Austria)IIPS InternationalInstituteforPopulationSciences,DeemedUniversity(DeonarMumbai,India)INED InstitutNationald’ÉtudesDémographiques(Paris,France)JNU JawaharlalNehruUniversity(NewDelhi,India)MPIDR MaxPlanckInstituteforDemographicResearch,(Rostock,Germany)PU PekingUniversity(Beijing,China)RUC RenminUniversityofChina(Beijing,China)UCB UniversityofCaliforniaBerkeley(Berkeley,USA)UCLA-FSPH UniversityofCaliforniaLosAngelesFieldingSchoolofPublicHealth(LosAngenes,USA)UFmG FederalUniversityofMinasGerais(BeloHorizonte,Brazil)UNC-CPC CarolinaPopulationCenter,UniversityNorthCarolina(ChapelHill,USA)UNPD UnitedNationsPopulationDivision,UnitedNations(NewYork,USA)ZJU ZhejiangUniversity(Hangzhou,China)